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Scenario 1 Slight increase in migration via N Africa to EU

The political and security situation in Libya remains unstable and the movement of migrants from Libya to the Mediterranean continues largely unhindered. The slightly rising trend in arrivals to Italy continues, with an expected seasonal spike during the summer months as smuggler activity becomes slightly more organised. The number of people stuck in Libya remains stable. Meanwhile the number of returns and readmissions from (and to) EU member states continues at a very low level.

Protection (especially for women, children and those in detention in Libya) is the overwhelming priority need as human rights abuses, including detention, trafficking and SGBV continue. Those stuck in Libya also need food, shelter and WASH services while advocacy to the Italian authorities to increase the processing of asylum claims and provide more effective community integration for migrants is also a priority.

Scenario 2 Large increase in migration and readmissions

Continued insecurity and ineffective law enforcement in Libya coupled with improved and expanded smuggling operations result in a significant increase in the number of migrants attempting to cross from north Africa to Europe. New routes through Egypt, and to a lesser extent, Morocco, open up. The numbers of deaths at sea increase. Meanwhile European countries place further restrictions on the movement of migrants, attempt to increase returns and Dublin transfers, and increase the use of detention for those awaiting return or transfer.

Priority needs are as for scenario 1, and protection for those who fear forced return/Dublin transfer and Increased search & rescue operations.

Scenario 3 Enforced closure of central Mediterranean route

To prevent a re-escalation of the migrant crisis, the EU adopts tougher measures to disrupt the smuggling operations in Libya and prevent migrants crossing to Italy via the central Mediterranean route. The number of arrivals in Italy reduces dramatically until swift adaptation of the smuggling business results in a gradual increase in arrivals via new routes through Egypt and possibly Algeria, Morocco and Tunisia. Increased numbers of people are stuck in Libya where humanitarian assistance and protection continues to be largely absent: conditions deteriorate while increasing numbers of migrants risk new, more costly and dangerous routes to Italy and Spain.

Throughout north Africa, protection and the provision of health and psychosocial services for those risking the new and longer routes to Europe is a priority. In Libya, protection (as for scenario 2 and for children against recruitment to armed groups) remains a priority along with the provision of all basic humanitarian services, including education and livelihoods.

Scenario 4 Improved internal security in Libya

The migrant crisis continues to dominate the EU political agenda resulting in increased efforts to stabilise Libya. Significant EU investment in Libya leads to a noticeable improvement in security and governance in Libya. Humanitarian access improves while improved internal security and border controls restrict smuggling operations from Libya via the central Mediterranean route. Legal pathways open up for asylum-seekers in North Africa. The number of migrants stuck in Libya continues to rise and, although conditions begin to improve and more migrants decide to remain in Libya, smuggling activity continues for the few determined to reach Europe. National humanitarian responders are overwhelmed.

Protection issues in Libya remain a priority and there is a need to scale up health, psychosocial services, food assistance, shelter, and WASH assistance. Meanwhile search and rescue operations need to adjust to the new routes.

Originally posted here:
Refugee/Migrant crisis in Europe: Scenarios - Possible developments in Libya, Italy, Spain and other transit ... - Reliefweb

Reliefweb describes possible developments in Libya, Italy, Spain and other transit countries over the next 6 months in its articleRefugee/Migrant crisis in Europe: Scenarios - Possible developments in Libya, Italy, Spain and other transit countries over the next 6 months

Scenario 1 Slight increase in migration via NorthAfrica to EU

The political and security situation in Libya remains unstable and the movement of migrants from Libya to the Mediterranean continues largely unhindered. The slightly rising trend in arrivals to Italy continues, with an expected seasonal spike during the summer months as smuggler activity becomes slightly more organised. The number of people stuck in Libya remains stable. Meanwhile the number of returns and readmissions from (and to) EU member states continues at a very low level.

Protection (especially for women, children and those in detention in Libya) is the overwhelming priority need as human rights abuses, including detention, trafficking and SGBV continue. Those stuck in Libya also need food, shelter and WASH services while advocacy to the Italian authorities to increase the processing of asylum claims and provide more effective community integration for migrants is also a priority.

Scenario 2 Large increase in migration and readmissions

Continued insecurity and ineffective law enforcement in Libya coupled with improved and expanded smuggling operations result in a significant increase in the number of migrants attempting to cross from north Africa to Europe. New routes through Egypt, and to a lesser extent, Morocco, open up. The numbers of deaths at sea increase. Meanwhile European countries place further restrictions on the movement of migrants, attempt to increase returns and Dublin transfers, and increase the use of detention for those awaiting return or transfer.

Priority needs are as for scenario 1, and protection for those who fear forced return/Dublin transfer and Increased search & rescue operations.

Scenario 3 Enforced closure of central Mediterranean route

To prevent a re-escalation of the migrant crisis, the EU adopts tougher measures to disrupt the smuggling operations in Libya and prevent migrants crossing to Italy via the central Mediterranean route. The number of arrivals in Italy reduces dramatically until swift adaptation of the smuggling business results in a gradual increase in arrivals via new routes through Egypt and possibly Algeria, Morocco and Tunisia. Increased numbers of people are stuck in Libya where humanitarian assistance and protection continues to be largely absent: conditions deteriorate while increasing numbers of migrants risk new, more costly and dangerous routes to Italy and Spain.

Throughout north Africa, protection and the provision of health and psychosocial services for those risking the new and longer routes to Europe is a priority. In Libya, protection (as for scenario 2 and for children against recruitment to armed groups) remains a priority along with the provision of all basic humanitarian services, including education and livelihoods.

Scenario 4 Improved internal security in Libya

The migrant crisis continues to dominate the EU political agenda resulting in increased efforts to stabilise Libya. Significant EU investment in Libya leads to a noticeable improvement in security and governance in Libya. Humanitarian access improves while improved internal security and border controls restrict smuggling operations from Libya via the central Mediterranean route. Legal pathways open up for asylum-seekers in North Africa. The number of migrants stuck in Libya continues to rise and, although conditions begin to improve and more migrants decide to remain in Libya, smuggling activity continues for the few determined to reach Europe. National humanitarian responders are overwhelmed.

Protection issues in Libya remain a priority and there is a need to scale up health, psychosocial services, food assistance, shelter, and WASH assistance. Meanwhile search and rescue operations need to adjust to the new routes.

Link:
Migrant crisis: four possible scenarios - vestnik kavkaza

Friday, April 7, 2017 8:30 AM UTC

Hungary and the European Union is heading for a showdown over the EUs refugee policy adopted in 2015, under which refugees would be redistributed and resettled across the European Union and every country will have to take part in that. Since 2014, millions of people have moved into Europe from war-torn regions in the Middle East and North Africa, who are predominantly Muslim in their faith leading to social friction in countries and giving rise to anti-immigrant nationalist parties.

Since 2015, Hungarys firebrand Prime Minister Viktor Orban has defied the EU on migrant quota system since it became the law in 2015. Now, the European Union is issuing an ultimatum to Hungary to accept the EU law or get out. Hungary, Poland, and Slovakia have brought a case to the European Court of Justice (ECJ) in an attempt to overturn the migrant quota system. However, this threat is unlikely to deter Viktor Orban who has said in the past that he will not accept a single refugee in his country.

The court hearing is set to begin in May and a verdict is not expected before next year. The EU leaders wont mind Hungary moving out of the EU as it can cause a lot more damages staying within the EU.

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Read more from the original source:
European Migrant Crisis Battle intensifies between Hungary and EU - EconoTimes

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Illegal immigrant Carlos Hernandez-Garcia, Carlos Santos-Cortez, and 23-year-old illegal immigrant Brayan Adalid-Lozano were arrested after local police arrived on the scene of the El Azteca Night Club shooting, finding Santos-Cortez bleeding from gunshot wounds in a parking lot, according to KFSM.

Police told local media that Santos-Cortez was shot in his stomach and waist, with the illegal immigrant telling police that he was beaten up by multiple people in the parking lot. Santos-Cortez said six gunshots were fired at him by an individual in a red Nissan truck.

Adalid-Lozano was allegedly stabbed in the neck by Santos-Cortez after he began attacking the illegal immigrant, according to police.

While Santos-Cortez was released on a $5,000 bond for a second-degree battery charge, Hernandez-Garcia is facing a first-degree battery charge, as well as immigration violations.

Adalid-Lozano is also facing immigration violation charges, along with accusations of lying to local police and for being publicly intoxicated. Neither Hernandez-Garcia nor Adalid-Lozano have bond.

John Binder is a contributor for Breitbart Texas. Follow him on Twitter at@JxhnBinder.

Originally posted here:
Illegal Immigrants Charged after Nightclub Shooting - Breitbart - Breitbart News

The U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement detention section of Kankakee's Jerome Combs Detention Center almost looks like a summer camp. There's a main floor and a mezzanine level, both packed with bunk beds. There are public showers, shielded from view by curtains, with men standing outside toweling themselves off.

But instead of campers, the facility is filled with men from across the world, from China to Haiti and Pakistan, almost all boarder violators, all awaiting deportation. And instead of T-shirts and shorts, these illegal immigrants wear standard issue jumpsuits.

The Kankakee ICE facility, which opened in October 2015, brings in $80 per day per detainee for Jerome Combs. Watched by guards on the other side of a wall of tinted glass windows, these detainees spend their time in Kankakee awaiting deportation back to their home countries.

While the detention center is in our county, many of us don't know much about the detainees and their daily lives.

There are about 10.9 million undocumented immigrants in the U.S. The number has fallen every year since 2008, as immigration from Mexico slows down. According to a 2014 Pew Research Center Survey, about two-thirds of those undocumented immigrants are in the workforce, mainly in farming and construction. About two-thirds of undocumented immigrants have lived in the U.S. for more than 10 years. Detainees are held in 112 detention facilities across the country.

At any given time, there are about 100 male detainees being held at Jerome Combs. When the ICE facility opened, the first detainees were Haitian. Since then, many nationalities have been represented.

"The detainees I talked to were all border violations," said Kankakee County Sheriff Mike Downey. "That's probably the biggest legal question out there. Are they really criminals? And I don't know the answer to that."

Detainees are brought to Kankakee from across the country, many of them from California. None of the people housed there are from Kankakee County, and ICE is not performing any raids in the area.

What happens to them after they leave Kankakee?

Once a week, ICE officers arrive early in the morning to transport some of the detainees from Kankakee to the Gary/Chicago Airport via bus. From there, they're sent to facilities across the country for further processing and eventually deported to their home countries.

What are the conditions like at the detention center?

ICE detention centers are held to very specific standards and are subject to inspection. Higher grades on inspections mean the facility receives more money per detainee.

"The three most important aspects ICE looks at are medical care, food service and safety and security, and we meet all three of those things," said Downey.

During a recent inspection, Jerome Combs received a favorable review, though it was asked to make a few changes to ensure the food served to detainees was higher calorie and at a higher temperature.

Downey is pleased with the detention center's performance.

"These folks are going to be housed somewhere, and we want them to be treated as well as we'd treat our family," he said. "If you do that, you can't go wrong."

More here:
How are illegal immigrants treated? - Kankakee Daily Journal