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WASHINGTON A push by Democrats to enact the most expansive voting rights legislation in generations is set to collapse in the Senate on Tuesday, when Republicans are expected to use a filibuster to block a measure that President Biden and his allies in Congress have called a vital step to protect democracy.

Despite solid Republican opposition, Democrats plan to bring the voting rights fight to a head on the Senate floor, by calling a test vote to try to advance the broad federal elections overhaul, known as the For the People Act. As Republican-led states rush to enact restrictive new voting laws, Democrats have presented the legislation as the partys best chance to undo them, expand ballot access from coast to coast and limit the effect of special interests on the political process.

We can argue what should be done to protect voting rights and safeguard our democracy, but dont you think we should be able to debate the issue? Senator Chuck Schumer, Democrat of New York and the majority leader, said on Monday in a last-ditch appeal to Republicans to let the debate proceed.

But in the hours before the vote, Democrats conceded they were facing defeat at least for now. Even if they succeeded in securing the votes of all 50 senators in the Democratic caucus, party leaders were expected to fall well short of the 60 votes needed to overcome a filibuster and begin debating the bill.

Instead, they focused on Monday on rallying the party around a more limited alternative proposed by Senator Joe Manchin III of West Virginia, who had been the only Democratic holdout on the voting rights measure. Both the White House and former President Barack Obama said his suggestions would address many of the most urgent issues. President Biden and Mr. Manchin also spoke directly about the need to find a legislative solution, according to an official familiar with their conversation who was not authorized to discuss it publicly.

Leaders hope that, given the support for his proposal, Mr. Manchin will vote with the rest of the Senates Democrats and Democratic-aligned independents to allow the debate to proceed, allowing his party to present a unified front on the bill.

What we are measuring, I think, is, is the Democratic Party united? We werent as of a couple of weeks ago, Jen Psaki, the White House press secretary, said before acknowledging the vote would fail.

Mr. Obama offered a tepid endorsement, saying it would address many of his concerns about elections, but doesnt have everything Id like to see in a voting rights bill.

Regardless, Mr. Schumer appeared to have only one remaining option to try to pass the legislation: eliminating or altering the Senate rule that sets a 60-vote threshold for breaking a legislative filibuster. Progressives have clamored to do so since Democrats won a narrow majority in January, and argued before Tuesdays vote that it would help make their case. Yet a handful of key moderates led by Mr. Manchin insist they will never go along.

One of them, Senator Kyrsten Sinema of Arizona, dug in further Monday night on the eve of the vote, warning her party in an op-ed in The Washington Post that it would lose much more than we gain by eliminating the 60-vote threshold.

To those who want to eliminate the legislative filibuster to pass the For the People Act (voting-rights legislation I support and have co-sponsored), I would ask: Would it be good for our country if we did, only to see that legislation rescinded a few years from now and replaced by a nationwide voter-ID law or restrictions on voting by mail in federal elections, over the objections of the minority? Ms. Sinema wrote.

With the path forward so murky, top Democrats began framing Tuesdays vote as a moral victory, and potentially a crucial step in building consensus around eventually blowing up the filibuster.

The outcome, Ms. Psaki said, may change the conversation on the Hill around the filibuster, but she offered no clear next steps.

After former President Donald J. Trump returned in recent months to making false claims that the 2020 election was stolen from him,Republican lawmakers in many states have marched aheadto pass laws making it harder to vote and change how elections are run, frustrating Democrats and even some election officials in their own party.

Mr. Manchin had opposed key planks in the original For the People Act as too intrusive into the rights of states to regulate their own elections. His proposal would eliminate a provision neutering state voter identification laws and strip out a public campaign financing program.

But it preserves other key measures, like an end to partisan gerrymandering of congressional districts and the creation of tough new ethics rules. It would also expand early voting, make Election Day a federal holiday and make it easier to vote by mail.

A Monmouth University Poll released on Monday indicated that Mr. Manchins position may be more in line with public sentiment, particularly his support for some kinds of voter identification requirements.

The poll found, for instance, that seven in 10 Americans supported making early in person voting easier and were in favor of the federal government creating national guidelines for mail-in and early in person voting. But eight in 10 said they generally supported voter identification requirements that the For the People Act would effectively neuter.

Republicans are united in their opposition both to Democrats original bill and to Mr. Manchins changes, describing them as overly prescriptive and geared toward giving their own party an advantage in future elections.

The real driving force behind S. 1 is the desire to rig the rules of American elections permanently permanently in Democrats favor, said Senator Mitch McConnell, Republican of Kentucky and the minority leader, referring to the legislation by its bill number. Thats why the Senate will give this disastrous proposal no quarter.

Reid J. Epstein and Catie Edmondson contributed reporting.

Excerpt from:
Democrats Unite Behind Voting Rights Bill as It Faces a Senate Roadblock - The New York Times

WASHINGTONDemocrats face a daunting task: turning years of talking about raising taxes on corporations and high-income Americans into legislation that can get through razor-thin congressional majorities and onto President Bidens desk.

As top Democrats design a roughly $1 trillion infrastructure deal, and a second, broader antipoverty package in coming months, they need to resolve differences over the amount of spending, how much must be paid for, and which of Mr. Bidens proposed tax increases should advance. After meeting with senior administration officials on Thursday, the tax committee chairmen in Congress said lawmakers would make those decisions over the next several weeks.

Were going to build the plan, figure out what people want, what theyre willing to pay for, but also not to be deterred, House Ways and Means Chairman Richard Neal (D., Mass.), said in an interview Friday. Theres this moment, when were talking about Great Society achievements and were talking about New Deal achievements. This is it.

Democrats raised taxes each of the last two times they controlled the governmentin 1993 and 2010after bruising political battles that drew objections from moderates inside the party.

Now, some Democrats are convinced that tax politics have changed and public concern about inequality and corporate tax avoidance make the issue less toxic. The goal: approach 1990s levels of taxes, as a share of the economy, without reversing middle-class tax cuts enacted since then or raising taxes directly on households making under $400,000, a level that covers all but 2% of Americans.

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Democrats Focus on Turning Tax Talk Into Action - The Wall Street Journal

Sen. Tim Kaine of Virginia offered an analogy to the "Peanuts" comic strip on Monday, comparing Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell to the character "Lucy" who always yanks a football away from "Charlie Brown" at the last second.

"It's not unlike him to sometimes pull the football out when the kicker is just about to kick it. I've seen him do that before," Kaine told Politico. "And I know that that's sometimes more frustrating for the Republicans than it is for the Dems. He's pretty inscrutable."

Republicans have sometimes been accused of trying to pull a bait-and-switch with Democrats on immigration and infrastructure, promising backing for bipartisan measures that ultimately never materializes.

Kaine also told reporters that Democrats are starting to assemble an up to $6 trillion party-line package which will move through Congress using an arduous path called budget reconciliation. That allows Democrats to muscle through a separate package focused on childcare, climate change, and healthcare without Republican votes.

On Monday, McConnell demanded that President Joe Biden ensure Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer and House Speaker Nancy Pelosi follow his lead and sever any link between the $1 trillion bipartisan infrastructure deal and the reconciliation package. The latter measure can clear the Senate with a simple majority.

"The President cannot let congressional Democrats hold a bipartisan bill hostage over a separate and partisan process," he said in a statement.

Democrats are likely to trigger the party-line process in mid-July once they return from a two-week recess. But they're clashing on both price tag and scope. Sen. Joe Manchin of West Virginia said on Sunday he would support up to a $2 trillion economic package that's fully paid for and doesn't grow the national debt.

Manchin's position will likely frustrate progressives such as Sen. Bernie Sanders and Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez. They're pressing for a huge spending package that includes aggressive measures to combat climate change, tax hikes on corporations and the wealthy, along with Medicare expansion.

"I think the key for progressives is as long as Dems are willing to act by reconciliation for the pieces we couldn't get, that's great," Kaine told reporters on Thursday, adding that a range of climate and immigration provisions could end up in a Democratic-only package.

Excerpt from:
Democratic senator says Mitch McConnell may 'pull the football out' from Democrats on infrastructure - Business Insider

Democratic senators are starting to say the August recess, or at least part of it, should be in peril as the party falls further behind on its legislative agenda.

Bipartisan infrastructure talks have bogged down, and Senate Democrats have only just started work on a reconciliation package, which they hope to use to pass legislative priorities that dont have Republican support.

Negotiations on police reform, one of the few areas where senators feel more confident about a potential deal, have slowed down. And theres no progress to report on immigration reform or gun violence legislation. A GOP filibuster on Tuesday prevented the Democratic voting rights bill from even getting a debate on the Senate floor.

Senators are scheduled to leave town for a two-week recess starting Friday. After that, the Senate will be in session for four weeks, until Aug. 6, when it is scheduled to take another long recess until Sept. 13.

A growing number of progressives say Senate Majority Leader Charles SchumerChuck SchumerThe Innovation and Competition Act is progressive policy Infrastructure deal: Major climate win that tees up more in reconciliation bill Democrats seek to calm nervous left MORE (D-N.Y.) needs to think about revising the schedule, arguing the historic opportunity to pass a big, bold infrastructure bill is fast disappearing.

Im in favor of working right through the August recess, said Sen. Chris Van HollenChristopher (Chris) Van HollenSenators call on Biden to sanction Beijing over closure of Hong Kong's Apple Daily Democrats hear calls to nix recess Warren stalls confirmation of Biden pick in push for student loan reforms MORE (D-Md.), a member of the Senate Budget Committee.

My view is we need to keep at it. Ive been a strong proponent of really working to get the caucus fully focused on working as fast as possible, he said of the slow-moving infrastructure negotiations.

Sen. Jeff MerkleyJeff MerkleyOVERNIGHT ENERGY: Biden announces bipartisan infrastructure deal | DOJ backs Trump-era approval of Line 3 permit |Biden hits China on solar panels Bipartisan agriculture climate bill clears Senate Democrats hear calls to nix recess MORE (D-Ore.), who saw his voting rights bill, the For the People Act, get blocked by Republicans, said hes also willing to stay in town during August, when lawmakers traditionally escape the towns hot, humid weather for other locations.

Im very supportive of accelerating the momentum to counter the delay-and-obstruct tactics of Republicans, Merkley said. We need to use every day we can possibly use this year.

Killing the entire August recess is very unlikely, and senior members of the Senate Democratic leadership dont seem all that enthusiastic about canceling part of the recess either.

When asked about calls by colleagues to work through August, Senate Majority Whip Dick DurbinDick DurbinPhotos of the Week: Infrastructure, Britney Spears and Sen. Tillis's dog Democrats hit wall on voting rights push Democrats hear calls to nix recess MORE (D-Ill.) quipped, Chris Van Hollen of Maryland?? Who else?

His implication: Its relatively easy for a senator from a nearby state to call for cutting a recess, which is intended to give lawmakers from far-away states more time to meet with constituents and hold town hall meetings.

Its because of this valuable face-to-face time with constituents that senators officially call the recess the state work period.

Asked last week about Sen. Ed MarkeyEd MarkeySenate plants a seed for bipartisan climate solutions OVERNIGHT ENERGY: Biden announces bipartisan infrastructure deal | DOJ backs Trump-era approval of Line 3 permit |Biden hits China on solar panels Bipartisan agriculture climate bill clears Senate MOREs (D-Mass.) call for cutting the recess, Durbin jokingly shot back: Will you tell Markey to get a life?

Still, Democratic leaders acknowledge pressure is building.

Merkley wants to keep forcing Republicans to consider the voters rights and election reform proposals, and he predicts additional battles.

He says election reforms need to pass before the end of the summer to give state election administrators time to implement legislation.

Sen. Richard Blumenthal (D-Conn.) said hes frustrated with the glacial pace of the infrastructure negotiations and urged colleagues to consider working more in August to give themselves a shot to pass the reconciliation package before Labor Day.

Im running out of patience and the Senate is running out of time, so working for at least part of the August recess ought to be on the table, he said.

This infrastructure package is an historic opportunity that we need to do in August if we cant get it done in July, he said. It has to be done before September or at least have agreement on the basic outlines, even if some of the technical details need to be resolved.

Blumenthal said too much time has been spent waiting for various bipartisan groups of senators to reach a breakthrough on a scaled-down infrastructure package.

We cant go on with this group of eight, group of 20, no pay-fors right now we have this very amorphous and ambiguous idea that a bipartisan package would be a good thing, he added.

Merkley, Van Hollen and Markey, along with Sens. Alex PadillaAlex PadillaDemocrats hear calls to nix recess Schumer vows to only pass infrastructure package that is 'a strong, bold climate bill' Democratic divisions threaten Biden's voting push MORE (D-Calif.), Elizabeth WarrenElizabeth WarrenHeadaches mount for Biden in spending fight Senate plants a seed for bipartisan climate solutions White House adviser to MSNBC host: Biden deal 'wasn't a photo op' MORE (D-Mass.), Kirsten GillibrandKirsten GillibrandDemocrats hear calls to nix recess Overnight Defense: Joint Chiefs chairman clashes with GOP on critical race theory | House bill introduced to overhaul military justice system as sexual assault reform builds momentum House lawmakers introduce bill to overhaul military justice system MORE (D-N.Y.) and Bernie SandersBernie SandersPolitical campaigns worry they're next for ransomware hits Headaches mount for Biden in spending fight How Biden can reframe and reclaim patriotism, faith, freedom, and equality MORE (I-Vt.) have pressed Schumer and Speaker Nancy PelosiNancy PelosiPhotos of the Week: Infrastructure, Britney Spears and Sen. Tillis's dog Headaches mount for Biden in spending fight Wallace has contentious interview with GOP lawmaker: Aren't you the ones defunding the police? MORE (D-Calif.) to get a big, bold infrastructure investment package to Bidens desk before the end of summer.

In May, the senators wrote a letter to their leadership urging them to work with committee chairs to develop a rapid legislative timeline to enact an ambitious and comprehensive proposal before the August recess.

They argued that getting major infrastructure legislation passed by the end of July or early August would allow them to use the legislative recess to engage with our constituents in our districts to celebrate, highlight and guide community members through the concrete measures Congress has enacted.

Durbin on Wednesday acknowledged that unfinished business is piling up.

I dont know if well have to stay. I hope we dont, but weve got to get our work done, he said. Theres a lot to do and the Senate is a slow-moving vehicle, on a good day.

Senate Health, Education, Labor and Pensions Committee Chairwoman Patty MurrayPatricia (Patty) Lynn MurraySenate Republicans urge CDC to lift public transportation mask mandate Democrats introduce equal pay legislation for US national team athletes Democrats hear calls to nix recess MORE (D-Wash.), who is working on the reconciliation package, said Democrats have a full plate.

Asked about calls from colleagues to cancel or cut short the recess, Murray said, I havent thought about it.

I think everybody is really pushing to get reconciliation done, and thats our goal, she said. Well get done what we can get done.

Jordain Carney contributed.

Read the rest here:
Democrats hear calls to nix recess | TheHill - The Hill

Welcome to Pollapalooza, our weekly polling roundup.

Rising murder, aggravated assault and auto theft rates have increased concern about crime among the American public. According to polling from YouGov/The Economist, the share of Americans who say crime is the most important issue facing America has increased since President Biden took office to a greater degree than any issue except national security. Relatedly, a May 22-25 Fox News poll found that 73 percent of registered voters thought there was more crime nationwide than there was a year earlier. Only 17 percent thought there was less crime, and 7 percent thought the level of crime had stayed about the same.

Fewer, but still a majority, believed crime was up in their local area, too: 54 percent, compared with 28 percent who thought there was less crime in their area and 15 percent who thought it was about the same. (Its worth noting, though, that Americans perpetually believe that crime is on the rise, even when it is not.)

A Gallup poll earlier this year also found that only 27 percent of Americans were satisfied with the nations policies to reduce or control crime, and that 65 percent were dissatisfied. Thats a big change from 2020, when 47 percent were satisfied and 49 percent were dissatisfied.

Altogether, this has sparked a narrative that the rise in violent crime poses a political problem for Democrats, who are the ruling party and also traditionally perceived as softer on crime. But at this point, its not really clear that the crime issue will hurt Democrats and anti-police progressives politically. For starters, Americans are actually pretty divided on what the best solution to stopping crime is. In a YouGov/Yahoo News poll from May 24-26, 32 percent of adults said that law enforcement is not tough enough on most offenders but about the same amount, 27 percent, said law enforcement is too tough on most offenders. (Eighteen percent thought law enforcements level of toughness was about right, while 22 percent werent sure.)

The public is also pretty sharply divided on whether Democrats or Republicans are better on the issue of crime. When asked whether Biden or former President Donald Trump has done a better job handling crime, 34 percent of respondents to the YouGov/Yahoo poll said Trump, while 32 percent said Biden. (Fifteen percent thought the two were about equally good on crime.) Of course, this just mirrors peoples existing partisan preferences a majority of Republicans preferred Trumps handling, while a majority of Democrats preferred Bidens but that just bolsters the theory that crime isnt an issue thats changing anybodys mind.

Similarly, in elections so far in 2021, it also doesnt look like crime is driving voters toward more conservative candidates. True, this weeks Democratic primary for mayor of New York City focused heavily on crime, and the winner was most likely Brooklyn Borough President Eric Adams, arguably the races most pro-police candidate. But there are plenty of counterexamples: In the Democratic primary for Philadelphia district attorney, incumbent Larry Krasner the George Washington of the progressive criminal-justice movement handily defeated a moderate who attempted to tie Krasners policies to Philadelphias rising crime rate. And in this months special election for New Mexicos 1st Congressional District, the Republican candidate ran what was virtually a single-issue campaign on crime and policing issues; Democrat Melanie Stansbury ended up winning by 25 percentage points, exceeding the districts D+18 partisan lean.

Its possible crime emerges as a wedge issue in the 2022 midterms. But so far, theres little evidence that it is helping one party over the other.

According to FiveThirtyEights presidential approval tracker, 52.6 percent of Americans approve of the job Biden is doing as president, while 42.2 percent disapprove (a net approval rating of +10.5 points). At this time last week, 51.9 percent approved and 42.0 percent disapproved (a net approval rating of +9.9 points). One month ago, Biden had an approval rating of 54.3 percent and a disapproval rating of 40.3 percent, for a net approval rating of +14.0 points.

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Americans Are Worried About Crime, But That Doesnt Mean Theyre Blaming Democrats - FiveThirtyEight