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Quebec Liberals lead grows as PQs francophone support falls: poll

Quebec Liberals widened their lead over the Parti Qubcois in voting intentions and PQ support among francophones appeared to be collapsing heading into the final week of the election campaign, according to a new Ipsos Reid poll.

The PQ fell to 28 per cent support, nine percentage points behind the Liberals, as the PQ campaign hit a series of missteps in the wake of two leadership debates where Leader Pauline Marois tried to go on the offensive against her Liberal counterpart, Philippe Couillard.

Compared with another Ispos Reid survey two weeks ago, the Liberals stood firm at 37 per cent while the PQ slipped four points to 28 per cent. On the strength of robust debate performances by their leaders, both Coalition Avenir Qubec and Qubec Solidaire rose three points. The CAQ sat at 19 per cent while Qubec Solidaire was at 13.

The latest poll, conducted for CTV News, showed francophone support for the PQ dropped seven points while rising three points for the Liberals, leaving the two leading parties tied at 31 per cent a result rarely seen in Quebec politics. The CAQ was the biggest beneficiary of former PQ francophone supporters, rising three points.

If the result, especially the tie among francophones, holds true for the April 7 vote, it would translate into an easy majority government win for the Liberals.

Its true, we rarely see the two parties at the same level of support among francophones, said Luc Durand, president of the Quebec branch of Ispos Reid. Mr. Durand added that additional poll results to be released Thursday will help explain the PQ collapse among francophones.

The survey was conducted with an online panel of 1,012 Quebeckers between March 28 and April 1, and has a margin of error of 3.5 per cent. The trend throughout the 2014 campaign has shown the Liberals rising and the PQ falling, with the CAQ dropping and then bouncing back mid campaign.

The bottom line appears clear: for the PQ to close to the gap, they need to woo Solidaire voters while driving squeamish Liberal voters to the CAQ, Ispos Reid said in a written analysis of the poll.

The poll questioned voters on their level of commitment and pegged the Liberal lead to 12 percentage points among voters most likely to go to the polls. It also found Liberal voters are least likely to change their minds.

As with most elections heading into the final week before Election Day, the opportunity for change still exists especially with the CAQ being the most-popular second-choice among Liberal-leaning voters, the poll analysis said. A late campaign surge that pulls Liberal voters to the CAQ could diminish the aggregate Liberal lead with the PQ being the net beneficiaries.

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Quebec Liberals lead grows as PQs francophone support falls: poll

Quebec Liberals widen lead over PQ as election day draws near

Christina Commisso, CTVNews.ca Published Wednesday, April 2, 2014 5:55PM EDT Last Updated Wednesday, April 2, 2014 10:44PM EDT

The Quebec Liberals have a strong lead over the Parti Quebecois with just days left before the provincial election, a new poll shows.

According to a new CTV/Ipsos Reid poll, Liberal support sits at 37 per cent among decided voters, which has remained unchanged, while support for the PQ is down four points to 28 per cent.

Liberal support is even stronger among Quebecers who are most likely to vote in the April 7 election.

Among those who said that nothing short of an emergency would stop them from voting, 40 per cent indicated that they support the Liberals, while 28 per cent are planning to vote PQ.

Support for the Liberals and PQ was even among Quebecers who opted to complete the survey in French, with each party receiving 31 per cent support.

However, the Liberals have a commanding lead over the other parties among those who completed the survey in English, with 83 per cent support. Meanwhile, the PQ have 3 per cent support among this group.

Other parties

If the election was held tomorrow, the poll showed that the Coalition Avenir Quebec (CAQ) led by Francois Legault would receive 19 per cent of the vote (up 3 points), while Quebec Solidaire would take 13 per cent support (up 3 points). The poll showed the Option Nationale would receive 1 per cent of the vote (down 1 point), while two per cent of Quebecers would vote for some other party including the Green Party, and 7 per cent remain undecided.

Nearly one-third of Quebecers undecided

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Quebec Liberals widen lead over PQ as election day draws near

Couple receives voter card pre-marked for Democrats from Obamacare site – Video


Couple receives voter card pre-marked for Democrats from Obamacare site
A California couple phoned ABC10 news when they received an envelope from Covered California, the state #39;s Obamacare website, with a voter registration card p...

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Couple receives voter card pre-marked for Democrats from Obamacare site - Video

AP: Its Political Suicide for Democrats to Run On Obamacare in 2014 – Video


AP: Its Political Suicide for Democrats to Run On Obamacare in 2014

By: Washington Free Beacon

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AP: Its Political Suicide for Democrats to Run On Obamacare in 2014 - Video

Democrats bash SCOTUS ruling

Democratic lawmakers and campaign finance reform advocates quickly bashed Wednesdays Supreme Court decision to strike down total limits on individual campaign contributions, warning of future corruption in elections.

Meanwhile, Republicans largely cheered the ruling from the narrowly divided court, which found it unconstitutional to impose caps on the aggregate amounts that one person can donate to campaigns, parties and political action committees.

Calling himself all for freedom, Speaker John Boehner (R-Ohio) on Wednesday commended the ruling, saying donors ought to have the freedom to give what they want to give. And Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.), who had filed a friend-of-the-court brief in the case, also praised the decision.

(Also on POLITICO: Supreme Court strikes down aggregate campaign giving limits)

Let me be clear for all those who would criticize the decision: It does not permit one more dime to be given to an individual candidate or a party, McConnell said Wednesday. It just respects the constitutional rights of individuals to decide how many to support.

Senate Democrats, who control the chamber, are already planning to respond. Senate Judiciary Committee Chairman Patrick Leahy (D-Vt.) said he will hold a hearing on the impact of the McCutcheon decision and other rulings from the high court that he says have eviscerated our campaign finance laws.

Meanwhile, Maine Sen. Angus King, an independent who caucuses with Democrats, said he introduced legislation intended to make donations more transparent by requiring all contributions of $1,000 or more to be disclosed to the Federal Election Commission within 48 hours. A campaign bill in the House will be introduced by Rep. Beto ORourke (D-Texas).

(Also on POLITICO: Dems lead Twitter charge against ruling)

New York Sen. Chuck Schumer, the third-ranking Senate Democrat who also chairs the Rules Committee, said the panel will hold hearings on the ruling and that leadership will explore what can be done legislatively. A Constitutional amendment proposed by Sen. Tom Udall (D-N.M.), which would explicitly give Congress the power to regulate campaign finance for federal races, is a more attractive option since the court ruling was made on First Amendment grounds, Schumer said.

The specific effect of this decision is not that large because were already awash in money, Schumer told reporters Wednesday. But it shows where the Supreme Court is headed, which is to dismantle other even more significant limits so that any person could write out a check of any size and undisclosed, put it into unlimited numbers of races. And that direction as I said, it would be like the 1890s. Wed go back to the days of the robber barons.

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Democrats bash SCOTUS ruling