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Stephen Harper is an election victory away from entering the pantheon of Canadas longest-serving prime ministers and cementing his Conservative agenda in a country dominated by Liberals for most of the past century.

Standing in his way is the heir to that Liberal legacy.

In just over a year as Liberal leader, Justin Trudeau, 42, has emerged as the most serious challenger to Harpers nine-year reign, bringing back from the brink of political extinction the party his father Pierre led for 16 years.

Harper and Trudeau, along with leader Tom Mulcair of the New Democratic Party, are already gearing up for an election scheduled for no later than October 2015, as parliament returns today from a three-month recess.

Public opinion polls now suggest the Liberals are leading and poised to give Harper his toughest political fight since he became prime minister, as he seeks to overcome voter fatigue and scandals that have implicated his office.

To win, Harper has to slow down Trudeau, said Darrell Bricker, a pollster with Ipsos Reid in Toronto who worked for former Prime Minister Brian Mulroney, the last Conservative to win a majority before Harper. Justin Trudeau is for real.

According to polling aggregator threehundredeight.com, the Liberals hold a seven percentage point lead over the Conservatives and have led in almost every poll since Trudeau became Liberal leader in April 2013. This represents an abrupt turnaround from the May 2011 general election in which the Liberals fell to third place, a historic low that led some political observers to question the partys future viability.

Canada's Prime Minister Stephen Harpers success has been his ability to make his party more palatable to suburban voters in eastern Canada and to groups that had historically been more likely to favor the Liberals: immigrants, women and French-speakers. Close

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Trudeau Blocks Harper Path to History as Liberals Revive

Stephen Harper is an election victory away from entering the pantheon of Canada's longest- serving prime ministers and cementing his Conservative agenda in a country dominated by Liberals for most of the past century.

Standing in his way is the heir to that Liberal legacy.

In just over a year as Liberal leader, Justin Trudeau, 42, has emerged as the most serious challenger to Harper's nine-year reign, bringing back from the brink of political extinction the party his father Pierre led for 16 years.

Harper and Trudeau, along with leader Tom Mulcair of the New Democratic Party, are already gearing up for an election scheduled for no later than October 2015, as parliament returns today from a three-month recess.

Public opinion polls now suggest the Liberals are leading and poised to give Harper his toughest political fight since he became prime minister, as he seeks to overcome voter fatigue and scandals that have implicated his office.

To win, Harper "has to slow down Trudeau," said Darrell Bricker, a pollster with Ipsos Reid in Toronto who worked for former Prime Minister Brian Mulroney, the last Conservative to win a majority before Harper. "Justin Trudeau is for real."

According to polling aggregator threehundredeight.com, the Liberals hold a seven percentage point lead over the Conservatives and have led in almost every poll since Trudeau became Liberal leader in April 2013. This represents an abrupt turnaround from the May 2011 general election in which the Liberals fell to third place, a historic low that led some political observers to question the party's future viability.

At stake for Harper, 55, is the chance to become one of the country's five longest serving prime ministers. Another win would mark the first time in more than a century that a party leader has won four straight elections.

Finish Program

Victory would also give Harper the opportunity to finish enacting a program that has included cutting federal taxes as a share of output to the smallest in more than 50 years, shrinking the size of government and streamlining approvals for resource development. His administration has broken from past governments by pulling out of the Kyoto climate change treaty, emphasizing law and order and promoting an uncompromising foreign policy in areas such as the Middle East and Ukraine. It's a record Australian Prime Minister Tony Abbott has called a "guide" to center-right parties around the world.

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Trudeau blocks Harper path to history as Canada Liberals revive

Published on September 15, 2014 Other news

FREDERICTON - New Brunswick's Liberal party is taking aim at the New Democrats as they enter the final week of the provincial election campaign.

Liberal Leader Brian Gallant says the NDP platform doesn't contain costs for 24 of its main commitments, but NDP Leader Dominic Cardy says some of the things the Liberals are criticizing aren't even in the party platform for next Monday's election.

Cardy says the attacks are a desperate effort to cover gaffes in the Liberal campaign.

Geoff Martin, a political scientist at Mount Allison University in Sackville, N.B., says the Liberals may be going on the attack because the NDP could play the role of spoiler in some close races with the Progressive Conservatives.

Political scientist Tom Bateman of the University of New Brunswick says the Liberals may have peaked too early in the polls and party officials might be telling Gallant to launch an offensive in the final days.

Gallant says he has an obligation to tell voters what he thinks of Cardy's and Premier David Alward's campaign promises.

Organizations: NDP, Mount Allison University, Progressive Conservatives University of New Brunswick

Geographic location: New Brunswick, FREDERICTON, Sackville

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