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Published October 14, 2014

Mitt Romney, the former Republican presidential nominee, addresses a crowd of supporters while introducing New Hampshire Senate candidate Scott Brown at a farm in Stratham, N.H.(AP)

Iowa Republicans are hoping Mitt Romney will change his mind about running for president in 2016.

Despite the 2012 Republican nominees continued assertions that he will not run for president again, Romney is still the top pick for likely Iowa Republican 2016 caucusgoers, according to a Bloomberg Politics/Des Moines Register Iowa poll released Tuesday.

Romney was the top vote-getter in the poll with 17 percent and Dr. Ben Carson, a conservative neurosurgeon who has never held public office, came in second with 11 percent.

Carson told Fox News Sean Hannity Monday night that the chances of him running are 50/50.

Iowa Republicans were less enthusiastic about other potential candidates, most of whom currently hold public office and are better nationally recognized.

Kentucky Sen. Rand Paul came in third in the poll with 10 percent, but New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie and former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush failed to make waves with 6 percent and 4 percent each.

The poll results came a day after Romneys wife Ann insisted to the Los Angeles Times that there was no chance of a third Romney presidential bid.

Done, she said. Completely. Not only Mitt and I are done, but the kids are done. Done. Done. Done.

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Romney leads among likely 2016 Iowa Republican caucusgoers ...

Four Democrats and one Republican have filed papers by the deadline to compete in the Dec. 9 special election to fill the state Senate seat that was vacated when Sen. Roderick D. Wright(D-Inglewood) resigned after his sentencing for lying about living in his district.

The papers were due Friday afternoon, and Los Angeles elections officials will announce next week which candidates qualified for the ballot.

The winner of the election would fill the unexpired term for the 35thSenate District.

Democrats who filed papers by Fridays deadline include retired teacher Louis L. Dominguez of San Pedro, perennial candidate Mervin Evans of Los Angeles, Assemblyman Isadore Hall III of Compton, and Harbor Planning Commissioner Hector Serrano of Wilmington.

The lone Republican to file papers is Inglewood businessman James Spencer.

If no candidates wins 50% of the vote plus one on Dec. 9, the top-two vote-getters will face each other in a runoff Feb. 10.

@Mcgreevy99

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4 Democrats, 1 Republican file papers for Rod Wright's Senate seat

Des Moines, Iowa Jill Paxton would appear to be the Republicans dream. A young suburban mother, Ms. Paxton grew up in a Republican household, has voted against President Obama in both presidential elections, and would like to see the Republicans take back the Senate a very real possibility on Nov. 4.

Shes perfectly positioned to help make it happen. Shes an Iowa voter, and a Republican win here could tip control of the Senate to the GOP. All Paxton has to do is vote for the woman running for Senate, Republican Joni Ernst.

But she might not do it.

The fact is, Paxton doesnt agree with Ms. Ernst on several issues that really matter to her, including education and reproductive rights. She calls Ernst old-fashioned.

For Democrats facing an energized Republican base and an election map that heavily favors Republicans, voters like Paxton represent a potential lifeline. Republicans need to win six Senate seats to take control of the chamber; two appear in the bag, and of 10 to 12 others that polls show are still in play, eight are in red states that went for Republican Mitt Romney in the last presidential election.

But Paxton offers the hope that, if Democrats can motivate women to vote, they might be able to stop Republicans short of their Senate goal. Indeed, the biggest thing standing in the way of Ernst becoming the first woman to represent Iowa in Congress might be Iowas women voters, who strongly favor her Democratic opponent, US Rep. Bruce Braley, according to polls.

Given a generic ballot, the countrys Democrats enjoy a 10-point advantage among likely women voters, while Republicans enjoy a nine-point gap among men, according to a September poll by the Pew Research Center.

In presidential years, this slight difference can work to Democrats advantage, because more women than men vote. In midterm years like this one, the number of women voters drops and Democrats have to scramble to get them to the polls.

There are other pitfalls for Democrats, such as a big drop in the approval rating of Mr. Obama among women only 44 percent compared with 55 percent in 2012, according to a Washington Post/ABC News survey. But in tossup states, such as Iowa, North Carolina, Georgia, Kentucky, and Arkansas, Democrats are counting on women voters to make the difference.

Democrats believe that if they can turn out enough women they can overcome whatever advantages Republicans have because of the political environment, says Jennifer Duffy of the independent Cook Political Report.

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Joni Ernst faces big problem in Iowa Senate race: women voters (+video)

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