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Escalation Likely If Iran Talks Fail, U.S. Official Says

The alternatives to an international accord preventing Iran from producing nuclear weapons are quite terrible, the chief U.S. negotiator in talks with Iran said.

Even so, Under Secretary of State for Political Affairs Wendy Sherman said today, the U.S. wont accept a bad deal or even a half-bad deal to avoid failure.

Sherman said in Washington that she cant predict the outcome of the negotiations as they head toward a Nov. 24 deadline with six nations and Iran still jockeying over constraints on the Islamic Republics nuclear activities and the terms for lifting economic sanctions.

U.S. lawmakers on key committees are preparing legislation to impose tougher economic sanctions on Iran if theres no deal by that date, and Irans interim commitment to curtail uranium-enrichment would expire with the end of the negotiations. Barring an agreement to extend the talks for a second time, the stage would be set for events that could lead to military attacks on Irans nuclear facilities by the U.S. or Israel.

Theres no question that, if everything goes away, escalation will be the name of the game on all sides, and none of that is good, Sherman said at a conference on Iran held in Washington by Syracuse Universitys Moynihan Institute of Global Affairs and the Norwegian Institute of International Affairs. Its why I say the stakes are high.

Sherman said the world powers -- China, France, Germany, Russia, the U.K. and the U.S. -- have offered negotiating measures that would ensure that Iran will not acquire a nuclear weapon, that all the pathways to fissile material for a nuclear weapon are shut down in a verifiable manner.

Were striving toward that objective because the alternatives are quite terrible, she said.

The deal would provide for the the U.S. and other nations to suspend and then lift nuclear-related sanctions on the Islamic Republic, she said.

Iran has been seeking a complete lifting of sanctions, which would be difficult to reimpose if Iran were caught cheating on the deal.

The interim accord during the talks has constrained Irans nuclear activities and opened its facilities to increased international monitoring in return for limited sanctions relief, Sherman said.

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Escalation Likely If Iran Talks Fail, U.S. Official Says

Collapse of Iran talks poses danger, U.S. official warns

A failure of the gridlocked nuclear negotiations with Iran will lead to a dangerous escalation by both Tehran and the West, America's lead negotiator warned Thursday.

Undersecretary of State Wendy Sherman said that if the talks end at their Nov. 24 deadline without a deal, "escalation will be the name of the game, on all sides."

"That is why I say the stakes are quite high here," she told an audience at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, a Washington think tank. "The alternatives are quite terrible."

Negotiators from Iran and six world powers have since January been seeking a deal that would lift international sanctions on Iran's economy if it agrees to limits on its nuclear program to prevent it from gaining a nuclear weapons capability. But they have been at an impasse on key issues since the spring.

If no deal is reached, the Iranians could resume progress on controversial aspects of their nuclear program, such as enriching uranium to near-weapons grade. Many U.S. lawmakers have said they will immediately try to add further sanctions on Iran's economy, to seek to choke off more of the oil sales on which it depends.

Sherman hinted that the Obama administration could also turn to military action.

"Our preference is to achieve this goal by diplomatic means," she said. "But make no mistake: Our bottom line is unambiguous, crystal-clear and written in stone: Iran shall not obtain a nuclear weapon."

Despite her warnings, many observers and diplomats believe that the group will instead seek to extend the talks, to prevent the risks of just such a breakdown.

In recent weeks, Iranian, French and Russian diplomats have all floated the idea of extending the talks for months, at least, to avoid a confrontation. U.S. officials haven't publicly addressed that possibility, but they haven't ruled it out, either.

Iranian officials appear to be hoping that if talks collapse they could convince many nations that the West is to blame, and persuade them to resume buying Iranian oil and other products.

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Collapse of Iran talks poses danger, U.S. official warns

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