Archive for April, 2017

Country Folk Arent Perfect, but No, Coastal Liberals, Trump Is Not Their Fault – Daily Beast

Now we see some liberals sneering at poor whites and saying theyre getting what they deserve. But it wasnt poor whites who put Trump in office.

If you didnt bother to look at the data and relied entirely on the popular narrative, you could be forgiven for thinking that Donald Trump won the presidency by getting everyone who lives in a rural area on a low income to spontaneously decide to start voting. Trump won, the story goes, because of those rural white working class voters. Theyre the people who voteagainst their own best interests.

This has led to a resurgence in popular classism in the public square. Its in vogue in certain liberal circles to laugh at the very real struggles of the poor. When a story of horrific racism comes across their feed, the Twitter wags ironically cluck economic anxiety, to mock the narrative that economic anxiety made the racist punch that black person or call in that bomb threat.

A variation on that joke is liberal smirking at the prospect of some poor person who voted incorrectlylosing health careas a result of Trumps monstrous policies. These bon mots are explained away because after all, its those rural white low-income earners who got us Trump, a man who would happily terrorize a litter of puppies if it earned him a dollar.

Only 20 percent of the American population lives in a rural area. Even if every single denizen of the mountains, hills, and plains voted for Trump, it wouldnt make up enough people to have won him the presidencyand they didnt. Rural voters made up17 percent of the electorate. That number is up, to be sure. But its still not even representative of the population.

Beyond that, there were plenty of rural voters who went for Hillary Clinton. I should know; Im one of them. So are my closest friends and family. It seems more likely that I will be made president of Australia than that our little group of 10 or so in Meigs County, Ohio, were the only rural Hillary voters in the whole country. But the narrative took hold because rural turnout was up while city turnout was down, and its much simpler to talk about how the country folk came out and handed the White House to Trump than it is to parse out the reasons why the city dwellers stayed home. And who wants to let facts get in the way of a solid session of group condescension, anyway?

Then theres the problem of income. Poor people famously do not vote in anywhere near the numbers their wealthier peers do. Yet suddenly were all pretending that the people with the least political power in a country that is run on money and fantasies of meritocracy are the kingmakers, the real power behind Trumps throne. It must be nice, after years of rhetoric about the 99 percent and endless discussions about income inequality, for bigots who think the poor are beneath them to finally have an excuse to unleash all the venom and bias theyve been holding back politely.

Theres just one problem. Trumps voters skew wealthy. Two-thirds of voters making less than $50,000 yearly voted for Clinton. People makingmorethan that went for Trump, in margins that increased along with the tax bracket. Hisaveragevoter earns $72,000 a year. Its surpassingly unlikely that low-income white people voted en masse for Hillary. We dont have solid data, but we can infer from what we know that many or even most voted for Trump. Still, it doesnt follow that strong support from a low-turnout demographic can then be blamed alone for the election of Trump.

The single biggest predictor of voting behavior was educationevenmajority-minority countieswith low to medium educational attainment shifted toward Trump. (It is a personal belief of mine that black women will eventually save the world from itself, and the data show us that they voted against Trump in huge margins. That should be noted. But they dont make up enough of the population to swing a whole election any more than rural voters do.) As it turns out, poor people arent stupid, but the uneducated are susceptible to demagogues and propaganda. This shouldnt be surprising to anyone whos even thought about history or human behavior, much less studied it.

It may be cathartic to imagine all rural voters as toothless rednecks waving the Stars and Bars and singing racist chants, and then to blame that caricature for the countrys woes, but it doesnt get us anywhere. Bigotry surely does exist out in the country, and its ugly. It exists in the lower classes, and it should be stamped out. But it exists everywhere in America. Nobody from the holler is gentrifying Brooklyn. No poor person has set a rapist free with merely probation as punishment. It isnt out-of-work welders scratching busily away at legal justifications for the travel ban. Not a single rural opiate addict is conducting ICE raids, and that now-ubiquitous voter from Youngstown isnt in a position to close the wage gap.

If you want to mitigate bigotry and hate, try focusing on the system and the people who perpetuate it instead of merely pointing and laughing at the people who consume its outputs. It is never excusable and should be obliterated with vigor and forceespecially when the bigotry comes from people who actually have the political power to enforce and perpetuate it.

But it seems we still need to blame someone who isnt ourselves. We arent ready yet to grapple with what it says about this society that we elected a kleptocrat whos incapable of politely shaking hands with foreign leaders or going more than a month without a rally to shore up his fragile ego, but who has found time to install his family and crypto-Nazis in positions of power while he terrorizes small children because their parents overstayed their visa. So instead of doing that, were taking this opportunity to blame the poor for the behavior of the well-off, because otherwise wed have to admit that it was just normal Republicans who voted for Trump. Worse, we might have to admit that economic anxiety isnt just a punch line any more than its just for white people.

More than three times as many people voted for Trump on Staten Island, and nearly ten times as many in Macomb County, Michigan, than live in my whole county. If youre looking for a reason Trump is in office, you might start by looking where the majority of his voters are.

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Country Folk Arent Perfect, but No, Coastal Liberals, Trump Is Not Their Fault - Daily Beast

Liberals hold Thornhill, Ottawa, Montreal seats in byelections – Toronto Star

Mary Ng (in red scarf) campaigns with Prime Minister Justin Trudeau at a Markham restaurant last week. ( Chris Young / THE CANADIAN PRESS )

By Lee BerthiaumeThe Canadian Press

Mon., April 3, 2017

OTTAWAUpstart Conservative and New Democrat candidates gave their heavily favoured Liberal rivals a bit of a scare Monday in a pair of byelections in Ontario, where some of Justin Trudeaus policies and promises played a central role.

In Markham-Thornhill, Liberal candidate and former PMO staffer Mary Ng pulled away from Ragavan Paranchothy by a margin of more than 2,000 votes after her Conservative rival made a strong early showing.

A strong performance in the riding long held by former Liberal cabinet minister John McCallum was critical for the party, given the importance of holding Toronto if they want to form government again in 2019.

It was also important for Ng, who is currently on a leave of absence from her job in Prime Minister Justin Trudeaus office and seen by some as a strong candidate for cabinet.

The Liberal future is in Ontario, said political analyst Tim Powers, vice-president of Summa Strategies. If the Liberal vote goes down in Markham-Thornhill, then they will want to spend a lot of time diagnosing what went wrong.

That did indeed appear to be the case: with nearly 90 per cent of polls reporting, Ng had claimed just 51.4 per cent of the vote, compared with 55.72 per cent for the party in 2015.

And in Ottawa-Vanier, where the New Democrats campaigned aggressively against the Liberals for breaking a promise to end the first-past-the-post electoral system, the NDPs Emilie Taman gathered nearly 30 per cent of the vote.

But it was nowhere near enough to challenge Liberal candidate Mona Fortier, who had about 50 per cent of the vote and was nearly 4,000 votes ahead of Taman with about three-quarters of polls reporting.

Greg MacEachern, a former Liberal strategist now at lobby firm Environics Communications, said significant inroads in Ottawa-Vanier for the NDP suggest a surprising degree of anger over the abandonment of electoral reform.

More at thestar.com

Five byelections wont be a test of Trudeau but do mark end of an era: Hebert

Three other byelections took place Monday, and their results were hardly a surprise.

In the Montreal riding of Saint-Laurent, with 70 per cent of polls reporting, Liberal candidate Emmanuella Lambropoulos had 57.3 per cent of the vote, compared with Conservative rival Jimmy Yu, a distant second at just 20.4 per cent.

Lambropoulos, a 26-year-old high school teacher, stunned many when she won the Liberal nomination contest in Saint-Laurent, defeating former Quebec cabinet minister Yolande James.

Im sure it will hit me a little later, she said after her victory speech late Monday.

James had been considered the party favourite to replace Stphane Dion, the former Liberal leader who resigned his seat to become ambassador to Germany and the European Union.

I looked up to him, said Lambropoulos, who worked in Dions office in the riding, which has been held by the Liberals since it was created in the late 1980s.

I didnt let anything stop me. I worked really, really hard. I didnt stop.

The Alberta ridings of Calgary Heritage and Calgary Midnapore, formerly held by Stephen Harper and Jason Kenney, respectively, were no contest.

In Calgary Heritage, Bob Benzen was leading with about 70 per cent of the vote, well clear of the Liberals Scott Forsyth at 22.6 per cent.

In Calgary Midnapore, Conservative Stephanie Kusie cruised to an easy win, posting 76.5 per cent of the vote with just over half of polls reporting, leaving her closest rival, Liberal candidate Haley Brown, at 17.6 per cent.

Conservative supporters in Calgary were in an upbeat mood as the polls closed Monday. Voters are angry, especially about the economy, said Sarah Watson, who worked on Kusies campaign.

The voters weve talked to are pretty fired up. Theres a strong sense of really wanting to communicate that Alberta matters, Watson said.

I think youve had a chance to try on Mr. Trudeau for a year and a half to kind of see. Maybe people were willing to see if he was any different, and I think thats worn off.

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Liberals hold Thornhill, Ottawa, Montreal seats in byelections - Toronto Star

Liberals advised to settle minority ridings issue before hitting polls – CBC.ca

Premier Stephen McNeilshould deal with the province's outstanding issue of protected minority ridings before calling an election, says a member of a panel that investigated ridings changes in 2012.

"The government shouldn't be too blase about this. The last [NDP]government made that mistake," said Jim Bickerton, a political science professor at St. Francis Xavier University.

Speaking to CBC's Information Morning on Tuesday, Bickerton recommended the Liberals revisit his panel's report. Itrecommendedthe province reinstate three so-called protected Acadian ridings in southwestern Nova Scotia and as well as the predominantly black riding of Preston, outside of Halifax. That report was rejected by the former NDP government.

Bickerton pointed to a January decision by the Nova Scotia Court of Appeal that ruled the changes that eliminated the three ridings by redrawing boundary maps based on population were unconstitutional.

"There is a cultural importance in having those ridings, Acadians in this province are very much in danger of assimilation pressures, compared to Acadians in N.B. Thecourt of appeal quoted ourinterim report extensively."

The Fdration Acadienne de la Nouvelle-Ecosse(FANE) said itwill go to court as soon as possible in an effort to reinstate three so-called protectedAcadian ridings.

Nova Scotia's opposition parties have also urged the Liberals to redraw the electoral mapbefore the next election to avoid challenges to the legitimacy of the election's outcome.

Premier Stephen McNeil has said there is not enough time to change boundaries this year.

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Liberals advised to settle minority ridings issue before hitting polls - CBC.ca

Montana Democrats Vote Against Bill Banning Sharia Law, Call …

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Senate Bill 97, introduced byKeith Regier (R-Kalispell) bans the application of foreign law in Montanas courts, with the debate particularly focused on Sharia Law, a form of Islamic law typically used in the Middle East.

Although the bill passed on party lines by 56-44,Democrats claimed it was designed to target Muslim communities.

I think it sends a dangerous message to minority groups both here living in our state and wanting to come visit our state, just merely on the fact that you may be different, said Rep. Shane Morigeau, D-Missoula, while debating the bill. I truly believe this law is repugnant. I believe this is not who we are as Montanans.

Meanwhile,Rep. Ellie Hill Smith (D-Missoula) proposed a failed amendment to the bill to include a ban on both Sharia Law and the Law of Moses, in order to show the state of Montana that it is not just about Islamic Law.

The courts have said that laws that single out certain religions violate the First Amendment, Smith said, claiming that it was peppered with anti-Muslim bigotry.

Another Democrat,Rep. Laurie Bishop (D-Livingston) urged legislators not to forget the roots of this bill, adding that our children are watching.

Meanwhile, Rep. Brad Tschida (R-Missoula) said the bill was an attempt to push back against a constitution [that] is constantly under assault.

Bills specifically targeting Sharia Law have passed in statessuch as North Carolina, Alabama, Arizona, Kansas, Louisiana, South Dakota, and Tennessee. The bill will now be passed on to Gov. Steve Bullock (D) for signature or veto.

You can follow Ben Kew on Facebook, on Twitter at @ben_kew,oremail him at bkew@breitbart.com

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Montana Democrats Vote Against Bill Banning Sharia Law, Call ...

US|Fist or Glove: California Democrats Debate Response to Trump – New York Times


New York Times
US|Fist or Glove: California Democrats Debate Response to Trump
New York Times
Many Democrats in the state say they want to go to the barricades, but others are urging a more measured diplomacy.

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US|Fist or Glove: California Democrats Debate Response to Trump - New York Times