Archive for April, 2017

VERIFY: Is Maine’s 2nd District more Republican than the nation as a whole? – WCSH-TV

Verify: is CD2 growing more red

Chris Facchini, WLBZ 9:08 PM. EDT April 14, 2017

(Photo: NEWS CENTER)

AUGUSTA, Maine (NEWS CENTER) -- The Maine GOP issued a press release Monday celebrating the news that Maine was more Republican than the national as a whole, according to a new report out over the weekend.

"We just received some great news over the weekend! Maine's Second Congressional District is now a Republican +2 District according to the Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," said Jason Savage, executive director of the Maine Republican Party. "A Partisan Voting Index score of R+2 means the district performed two points more Republican than the national average. This is a tectonic shift for Maine in the last few years."

NEWS CENTER checked the Cook Political Report's Website. Its "Partisan Voter Index" compares how our districts voted in the last two presidential elections as compared to the national average.

It does indeed show Maine as an R+2. We can verify this information is accurate. The data used does match data from the secretary of state's office.

Is this a tectonic shift? Certainly. If you go back to the index for the 2012 and 2008 elections, the 2nd District was a D+2. In the 2008 and 2004 elections, it was a D+3. That's a five-point swing in the last 12 years.

"Since 1988 the 2nd [District] has gone Democratic at least in the presidential elections, and so this is significant, " said Democratic political analyst John Richardson. "This report, I think, shows there's a trend and the trend is moving towards Republicans in the 2nd Congressional District."

"The 2nd Congressional District has been Republican for decades," said Republican political analyst Phil Harriman. "Rep. Mike Michaud campaigned as a moderate Democrat but governed perhaps a little more to the left. You talk about issues like gun rights, hunting, less government I think the 2nd Congressional District has been solid in that mindset for decades."

More people are voting Republican in the 2nd District, so are there more Republicans? NEWS CENTER looked into the numbers of registered voters in the 2nd District from the last election cycle.

A total of 29.3 percent of voters are registered Democrats and 29.1 percent are registered Republicans, but the largest number by far are unenrolled voters at nearly 36.6 percent. Greens and Libertarians make up the other 5 percent. That's according to data provided by the Maine Secretary of State's office.

2017 WLBZ-TV

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VERIFY: Is Maine's 2nd District more Republican than the nation as a whole? - WCSH-TV

Frustration with Trump down South: The changing politics of reliably Republican congressional district propels Jon … – Salon

CHAMBLEE, Ga. Looking at just the history, the case for a Democratic victory in the special election in Georgias 6th Congressional District is thin. The district has voted for Republicans stretching all the way back to 1978, when Newt Gingrich first won the seat. In the years since Republicans have won re-election in the district by large margins. Tom Price, who vacated the seat to become President Donald Trumps secretary of the Department of Health and Human Services, first won the district in 2004 running unopposed. And he has brushed off all Democratic challengers since then, never once having less than 60 percent of the vote.

But with Price gone and Democrats looking to take out some political frustration withTrump, the race in Georgias 6th Congressional District has taken on national significance. Democrat Jon Ossoff, buoyed by local activism and a flood of outside money, is working to pull off an upset on April 18. If Ossoff can take home more than 50 percent of the vote as he facesa fractured Republican field, hell win the seat outright. If he falls short of that figure, hell have to make it through a June runoff against a single Republican opponent.

Where the Democrats see their opportunity is in the yawning disparity between Tom Prices 2016 margin of victory in the district and Trumps. Price was re-elected in November with a 23-point spread, but Trump carried the district only by 1.5 percentage points over his rival Hillary Clinton. In the 2012 presidential election, Mitt Romney won the district with 61 percentof the voteto Barack Obamas 37percent.

So why did the 2016 race in Georgias 6th Congressional District result in so much ticket splitting in what has historically been extremely favorable territory for the GOP? The answer is complicated, but the abridged version is because demographics in the district are changing and certain flavors of Republican voters despise Donald Trump.

That area has changed; its changing, said Dante Chinni, director of the American Communities Project at George Washington University. Increasingly it is the kind of district that looks like a bad fit for the Trump Republican Party. Georgias 6th Congressional District is largely white but becomingmore diverse. And its full of wealthier, more educated voters who just arent that receptive to Trumpism or actively recoil from it.

I loved George W. [Bush], but I could not vote for Donald Trump, Vicki Ingram, a retiree in the district told me. Ingram was one of the people who split theirticket in 2016; she voted against Trump but for Tom Price. Most of the Republican candidates running to replace Price had alienated her with negative campaigning, so this week she attendeda Jon Ossoff event at the encouragement of her husband. Im sick to death of both parties, she said, before mentioning that she liked Ossoffs positivity. When I asked if she could see herself voting for the Democrat, she said, Absolutely.

On Thursday morning I tagged along on a canvasing trip with Jim Lester, a gregarious 66-year-old Ossoff volunteer who manages rental properties. (He spent the trip doing on-the-spot housing inspections of the exteriors of the homes we visited; most of them failed.) Lester told me he was drawn to Ossoff because the candidate is very Kennedy-esque, adding, I perceive him to be a moderate.A Democrat, Lestervoted for Hillary Clinton in the general election but hadcast a vote for John Kasich in Georgias Republican primary. That was a strategic vote, he said, to try todeny Trump a win in the state. But Lester added, I could be very happy with John Kasich as president.

As Lester and I tromped through a neighborhood called Chateau Woods, we stopped to chat with Bob Wolford, an independent who had voted for Republicans in the past but had cast an early ballot for Ossoff the previous day. We are practically in a one-party state, Wolford explained to me when I asked why hehad voted for the Democrat. With Republicans controlling Congress, the White House and a majority of state legislatures, Wolfordexplained, Im only going to vote for a Democrat because thats the only way to get opposition in the government.

Republicans recent attacks against Ossoff also seem to have had a negative impact on Republicans. Wolford said that he was turned off by the GOPsattack adsabout Ossoff. Ive seen one positive ad on the Republican side, he said. All the other ads say if youre voting for Ossoff, youre voting for ISIS.

The running theme I encountered when talking to voters in Georgias 6th Congressional District was frustration with Trump, partisan rigidity and negative politicking. Ossoff has positioned himself to capitalize on that frustration and the shifting demographics, but hes still a Democrat running in a historically Republican district. The politics of Georgias sixth district are changing and Trump seems to be catalyzing that political shift. Well know soon whether the district has changed enough to elect its first Democratic representative in nearly four decades.

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Frustration with Trump down South: The changing politics of reliably Republican congressional district propels Jon ... - Salon

GOP moderates in the Senate used the nuclear option, now House Republican moderates must repeal ObamaCare – Fox News

Vice President Mike Pence says Republicans are united in keeping their promise to repeal ObamaCare. House Speaker Paul Ryan says the same.

But some House Republicans are openly saying theyll break that promise, conceding they played their constituents for suckers and undermining leaders they claim to respect, such as Pence and Ryan. Not long ago Pence was one of their House colleagues, serving honorably alongside them.

The group of House Republican moderates known as the Tuesday Group is comprised of men and women who, like all Republicans over the past several years, repeatedly championed the repeal and replacement of ObamaCare as part of numerous successful political campaigns that grew and secured Republican majorities in both the House and Senate. But now, when the time has arrived to actually vote for a bill that would repeal and replace ObamaCare, they suddenly have a newfound affinity for this disastrous policy which has thrown a monstrous monkey wrench into one-fifth of the U.S. economy.

Over in the U.S. Senate the GOP moderate Senators, whove been in Washington for decades, have just cast a far tougher vote: theyve done away with the filibuster for Supreme Court judges which for them is something they never saw themselves doing.

I am not eager to see the rules changed so I hope that Democrats do not launch a filibuster against an eminently well-qualified nominee, Sen. Susan Collins (R-Maine), one of the Senate GOP moderates, told reporters recently. Im hoping were not going to get to that point.

Their reticence to cast such a tough vote is understandable, yet they have done what they know is best for the country; theyve refused to let partisan battles inside the chamber deprive the country of an exceptionally well qualified Supreme Court justice.

If Senate GOP moderates can invoke the nuclear option with regard to Supreme Court confirmations, a vote they visibly, vocally and repeatedly wished theyd never have to cast, then House GOP moderates can cast a much easier vote: a vote they literally promised their constituents theyd be proud to cast.

Conservative House Republican members, and many of the conservative organizations supporting them, wrongly bore the initial blame for the failure of the American Health Care Act to even get to the House floor for a vote. Conservatives made it clear that first bill was unacceptable on principled grounds: it left the architecture of ObamaCare in place and it would ultimately exacerbate the problems millions of Americans currently experience.

When buzz began circulating in Washington that the bill wasnt dead, it was because these conservatives were intent on finding a way forward because they believed the GOP owed it to the voters who put them in power to fulfill the promises made to those voters. Vice President Pence, representing the White House, was exceedingly helpful in trying navigate a course in the parlance of Congress to get to yes.

Conservative organizations were cautiously optimistic the new proposal, which would allow governors to undo the costly and destructive ObamaCare regulations, would receive support from all House Republicans. This is a quite sensible solution, as it moves power out of Washington and closer to the people.

Thats a principle Republicans usually embrace, but listening to some House GOP moderates one now has to suspend disbelief.

Suddenly, several House Members with an R after their name are now doing their best impressions of House Democratic Leader Nance Pelosi perhaps the most liberal leader in Washington.

They dont talk about repealing ObamaCare anymore, they now say it can be fixed. They want to keep the structure of ObamaCare in place, suddenly oblivious to the evidence from all over the country that its failing now and will only get worse.

Meanwhile, countless constituents whove voted time and again to send these House Republicans back to Congress on the hope theyd one day have the opportunity to repeal this disaster now stand there stunned as their hometown Republican wraps his arms around ObamaCare as if hes loved it all along.

Its time for House Republican moderates to follow the lead of their Senate GOP moderate counterparts. They just cast a truly tough vote.

Keeping a promise repeatedly made to voters and constituents should be an easy vote.

David McIntosh is a leader for the principles of limited constitutional government and individual freedom and is president of the Club for Growth.

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GOP moderates in the Senate used the nuclear option, now House Republican moderates must repeal ObamaCare - Fox News

How Erdogan transformed Turkey’s democracy in a decade – CNN

The country's economic rise has been meteoric, lifting millions of people out of poverty, but it's also suffered a stream of deadly terror attacks and a failed military coup last year, which prompted a clampdown on civil liberties.

Turkey in 2017 is a vastly different country to a decade ago and on Sunday, the Turkish people will vote in a referendum on a new constitution that could hand Erdogan unprecedented powers, cementing his position for years to come.

Shifting Turkey away from a parliamentary republic to a presidential one, is at the heart of the proposals, but the vote has also become a plebiscite on Erdogan and his footprint on the country.

The 18-article constitutional reform package has been dubbed the "power bill," and would effectively consolidate the authority of three legislative bodies into one executive branch, with the President as its head.

The President would be given the authority to appoint ministers and judges without parliament's approval, design a state budget and dissolve parliament.

Currently, the President's role is supposed to be largely ceremonial, but Erdogan has already broken with tradition and kept himself as the face of Turkey's leadership.

If the Turkish people vote yes, the country will get rid of all the checks and balances that keep the government in line, according to Esra Ozyurek, the chair for Contemporary Turkish Studies at the London School of Economics.

"Parliament will become totally ineffective, just rubber stamping Erdogan's policies. There will be no prime minister -- all the power will be in Erdogan's hands."

Erdogan has essentially ruled Turkey for more than 13 years -- he rose to power as prime minister in 2003 and stayed in that position until he was elected president in 2014.

"Erdogan clearly has charismatic aspects -- the people who love him love him so much, and people who hate him, they hate him intensely," Ozyurek said.

"It's rare to meet anyone without strong feelings toward him."

"Let's make consolidation in this great historic reform and put in place the foundation stones of a strong, leading and prosperous Turkey with unity, solidarity and integrity," he said.

He and his senior ministers have argued that a stronger government is needed to deal with the spate of recent terror attacks.

Extraordinary changes came to Turkey in July 2016, after a failed military coup prompted a purge that reached just about every institution in public life.

According to Turkish state media, 249 people were killed in the coup attempt, and had it been successful, Turkey may have been plunged into civil war.

His government subsequently imposed a state of emergency giving him unprecedented powers; this has been extended several times.

The government has detained tens of thousands of Erdogan's political opponents, as well as journalists and civil society groups and removed more than 100,000 people from their jobs, including school teachers and security officers.

Among those imprisoned were the leaders of the main pro-Kurdish Peoples' Democratic Party, as the government continues to stamp out Kurdish opposition.

The purge also targeted anyone with links to Fethullah Gulen, Erdogan's friend-turned-rival, who lives in the United States in exile.

"People are afraid to talk. You can get in a taxi and complain about Erdogan, and the driver might record you and take you to the police," Ozyurek said.

"I've heard of activists going to the beach and swimming out to sea so they can have a frank conversation without being heard."

The Turkish people had already seen a forceful response from the government, when a 2013 peaceful sit-in over plans to demolish the Gezi Park in central Istanbul turned into a nationwide protest movement against Erdogan, who was then prime minister.

Many of Erdogan's most loyal supporters come from Turkey's rising middle class, whose lives have transformed in the country's economic boom.

"Now the middle class has a different lifestyle. If you take today a couple in their 30s with two kids, and compare them with another couple 10 years ago, they live a different life," said Marc Pierini, a visiting scholar at Carnegie Europe, who served as EU ambassador to Turkey from 2006 to 2011.

Pierini said that when Erdogan became prime minister, his government had adopted the wave of reforms from its predecessors and "got their act together," bringing infrastructure and services to the regions.

The government also made credit more easily available to the middle class.

"Today's couple has an apartment -- of course with a mortgage. They have a car -- of course with credit. They go to shopping centers and they travel. They can take a domestic airline that didn't exist until 2008," he said.

Turkey has also been changed by a series of terror attacks, which some see as a failure by the government to manage long-standing tensions with Kurdish groups and to deal with the Syria conflict on its doorstep.

The US and other countries have long called on Turkey to seal its border with Syria, as ISIS appears to have used Turkey as thoroughfare to smuggle people and resources in and out of Syria.

Almost all recent attacks in Turkey have been blamed on either ISIS or the Kurdistan Workers Party (PKK).

"Tourism in Turkey is in shambles," Ozyurek said. "It is one of the biggest industries, but now all the hotels are empty. And who would want to come to a country where it doesn't feel safe?"

"There used to be a thriving urban nightlife, but not now. It's no longer the cheerful happy city it once was."

What's clear is its role as a bridge between the West and the Islamic east is changing.

And the country now appears to be turning away from the West.

Turkey applied to become a member of the European Union in 1987. Negotiations only began in 2005 and talks have since hit a wall.

If the Turkish people vote "Yes" on Sunday, the country is in for yet another decade of change.

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How Erdogan transformed Turkey's democracy in a decade - CNN

The long coup: Why there is nothing left of Venezuela’s democracy – Fox News

It was supposed to be different. It was supposed to be a turning point. Following 16 years of Chavismo dominance, in December 2015 the democratic opposition in Venezuela had turned the tables; democratically. Democracy and Venezuela arent two words often heard side by side in a positive statement. But The Democratic Unity Roundtable (the opposition coalition, MUD as its known in Spanish) won the last round of elections with overwhelming results: 14 million Venezuelans elected 112 candidates as opposition deputies out of 167, a clear super-majority. Some (perhaps nave) freedom loving Venezuelans sensed real change.

Constitutionally, the opposition led parliament now had the numbers to legislate real change, remove members of the corrupt and pro-government Supreme Court of Justice (TSJ) and National Electoral Council (CNE), as well as to veto ministers and even the vice-president.

The National Assembly held its official opening by swearing in all deputies, both pro and anti-government. The previous parliament, in line with the Chavismo ways, had been hostile to the free press. This parliament invited them all back in. The old guard, however, was not going to leave quietly. And Venezuela quickly learned that lame ducks can still bite.

In its desperation, the outgoing Chavismo-majority National Assembly, that was still in place for a few more days, named 13 new justices and 21 replacements for the TSJ, violating all appointment rules and established protocol. Over half of the new justices lacked the legal qualifications and experience to serve on the courts. And is if to mock all judiciary logic and moral coherence, just a couple of months ago, they placed Maikel Moreno as president of the Supreme Court, a convicted felon for murder. You cant make this stuff up.

Likewise, the National Electoral Council (CNE) the supposed bastion of democracy decided not to confirm the opposition's 112 democratically elected deputies. The new aforementioned judges, following the lead of the CNE, agreed that there had been irregularities in the voting process in several states and that the TSJ would accept the claims for fraud" in Amazonas state; How to Destroy Democracy 101. The newly-elected National Assembly of course refused to accept these trumped up politically motivated claims, cue stalemate, cue mayhem.

Clearly the authorities were getting a taste for this totalitarian business. Next up was the constitution. The CNEs decision to suspend a constitutionally legal recall referendum against President Nicolas Maduro, under the same fraud mechanism, ignoring 2.5 million signatures collected by the opposition, was yet another nail in the coffin of Venezuelan democracy.

Meanwhile the TSJ continues to claim that due to the fraud claim in the Amazonas state, any laws passed (which they dont like) by this National Assembly can be annulled. Using this argument, the high court has annulled over 30 pieces of legislation, and the majority of resolutions taken by the legislative branch since it began its functions almost a year and a half ago. These laws include the Amnesty Law which ordered the release of all political prisoners who have been arrested at protests, or for such heinous crimes as expressing an opposing political opinion. Over 100 Venezuelans, mostly students, still rot in regime dungeons just for expressing the wrong political view.

Last week, Maduros cronies attempted to seal the coffin. The TSJ decided to strip the National Assembly from all of its legislative powers, and eliminated parliamentary impunity. This would allow the court to accuse deputies of treason against the homeland and prosecute them.

For once, the uproar from the opposition was echoed in the international community. Julio Borges, President of the National Assembly, together with a large number of legislators, denounced the decision as trash.

The international community followed suit with the brave and outspoken Organization of American States (OAS) Secretary General Luis Almagro notably calling it a self-inflicted coup dtat perpetrated by the Venezuelan regime against the National Assembly, the last branch of government to be legitimized by the will of the people of Venezuela.

Even Venezuelas Attorney General, who is aligned with the socialist government, said the decision by TSJ had gone too far and was a "rupture of the constitutional order".

Maduro, having led this move, now panicked. He quickly asked the high court to review and revert the ruling, which it did. No one has seen the new ruling, and the National Assembly is still paralyzed.

Butseveral things are now patently clear to all of those who thought there were any crumbs of democracy left in Venezuela. First, the TSJ stole the legislative powers a long time ago, the last weeks shenanigans were just a means to formalize it. Reverting the official ruling does not save the judges from their crimes. They should be prosecuted and removed from their posts right away.

Second, Maduros request to review the sentence does not save him from the coup he perpetrated. He and his corrupt cronies continue to get rich while the masses starve, while imposing his disgraceful authoritarian stamp across the various branches of government.

And third, Venezuelas regime is antithetical to democracy and needs to go.

As this recent episode has proven, real international pressure works. Strong voices backed up by strong actions from the US Administration and Congress, combined with the immediate application of the OAS Inter-American Democratic Charter, will provide a tail wind to the brave liberty loving Venezuelans who still believe that they too deserve democracy and freedom.

Martin Rodil is the President of the Washington-based Venezuelan American Leadership Council, an advocacy group for freedom and democracy for Venezuela.

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The long coup: Why there is nothing left of Venezuela's democracy - Fox News