Archive for April, 2017

In Mike Pence’s Pacific Swing, Security Will Trump Trade – Wall Street Journal (subscription)


Wall Street Journal (subscription)
In Mike Pence's Pacific Swing, Security Will Trump Trade
Wall Street Journal (subscription)
The Trump administration will take its newly prominent globalism to the Pacific next week, as Vice President Mike Pence tours the region to reassure allies about a continuing U.S. presence. With North Korea escalating its nuclear-weapons program ...

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In Mike Pence's Pacific Swing, Security Will Trump Trade - Wall Street Journal (subscription)

Why Mike Pence Might Not Pardon Donald Trump – Huffington Post

Co-Authored by Maclen Zilber, Democratic Strategist and Campaign Consultant based in Hollywood, CA

September 8, 1974. Its not a date that rings a bell for most of us, but its a day that came to define an entire Presidency. President Gerald Ford issued a sweeping pardon to Richard Nixon that day, absolving him of all of his crimes, and ensuring hed never face the music for his many crimes.

Mention of Watergate is in the air these days, it seems. You cant throw a stone in Washington without hitting somebody making a comparison between Donald Trumps Russia misdeeds and Watergate.

The parallels to Watergate are inescapable. Watergate was, after all, about a break-in at the Democratic National Committee headquarters, and todays Russia scandal is, at least partly, about a digital theft from the DNC headquarters.

There has been, and will be, millions of words of digital ink devoted to the likelihood of Donald Trump being impeached, and we wont rehash most of it. Instead, we ask, what happens after a potential impeachment? No U.S. President has ever been prosecuted for high crimes and misdemeanors after leaving office. Could President Trump be the first?

Two things are true in regards to a potential Trump impeachment:

Ever since President Ford pardoned Nixon, it has been a widely held assumption in American politics that any Vice President would likely pardon their President in the event of a scandal-based impeachment. Certainly it would have happened if any President since committed similar crimes.

As is the case in so many areas, Donald Trump changes everything.

Mike Pence had little or no relationship with Donald Trump prior to being nominated as Vice President from the start, they had an arranged marriage. In fact, Pence backed Senator Ted Cruz in the Indiana GOP Presidential primary contest over Trump. That said, this is hardly unprecedented numerous Presidential tickets have included uneasy bedfellows but the degree to which Pence and Trump come from different wings of the party and different walks of life can hardly be overstated. Pence is an individual whose principal motivation in public life appears to be social issues, while Trumps positions on abortion and other issues seem to be little more than a matter of convenience (indeed, he has held every position conceivable on abortion).

With the possible exception of Vice President Dick Cheney, nobody agrees to serve as Vice President unless they have at least some hopes of becoming President. In the case of Pence, that rings especially true; he has been repeatedly publicly humiliated by Trump, and the only plausible reasons that he has stood by Trump are:

Its for these reasons that there is a good chance Vice President Pence will not pardon Donald Trump.

To back up and provide some context, its worth noting that if Trump is removed from office, it likely means he will have, by that point, become even more unpopular than he is today. Trump is already more unpopular than any other President has been at this juncture of their Presidency, and there is hardly a whisper of impeachment. This suggests that Republicans wont seriously consider removing him until Trumps presence becomes politically untenable even in safe red districts.

Even if Democrats take back the House of Representatives in 2018, conviction on an impeachment proceeding requires a two-thirds vote in the Senate, which necessarily requires Republican votes. Thus, in any world in which Trump is impeached, we can assume that he has become so unpopular, so politically toxic, that his removal is supported by mainstream Republicans, not just Democrats.

Which brings us back to Mike Pence. If all Mike Pence wants to do is to become President of the United States, pardoning a wounded and scandal-ridden President would almost ensure his defeat in 2020. Remember, the only way Trump gets impeached is if he is so unpopular that hes toxic in red states, not just blue ones.

Alternatively, if Mike Pences principal motivation is to be a good soldier for the Republican Party, he also will likely see that pardoning a scandal-ridden President would lead to massive down-ticket losses for Republicans.

We must remember that Pence, for all his loyal posturing in the press, ultimately has no personal loyalty to Trump. The two barely knew each other a year ago. If the political winds become unfavorable, Pence will no doubt save himself.

It is too early to tell whether the revelations from the Russia scandal, or Donald Trumps personal graft and profiteering, will ever rise to a level of outrage that leads to Trumps impeachment. However, with new information coming out on Russia every day including The Guardian reporting that investigators have concrete and specific evidence of collusion between the Trump campaign and Russia we cant rule out impeachment. Nor can we rule out, if an impeachment process is initiated, that the President could resign in disgrace prior to such a process, as was the case with President Nixon.

If either scenario played out, and if Vice President Mike Pence were to be absolved of any potential Russian-related taint, thereby becoming President himself, the question is, might he follow in Fords footsteps by pardoning a President? The move ultimately cost Ford in 1976 at the ballot box when he actually ran for President himself.

If all these, of course, speculative events come to fruition, and if Pence were to follow the same Ford playbook, the Vice President might pay the same price that Ford did with the electorate should he have future Presidential aspirations. Given this dynamic, we wont be surprised if Mike Pence learns from Gerald Fords mistake and leaves Trump out to dry.

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Why Mike Pence Might Not Pardon Donald Trump - Huffington Post

Galway stun Kerry in All-Ireland U21 football semi-final | Irish Examiner – Irish Examiner

Galway 2-14 Kerry 2-10

Galway will play Dublin in the All-Ireland U21 football final after shocking Kerry in todays semi-final, writes Cusack Park, writes Eoghan Cormican.

The underdogs were 1-9 to 0-4 in front at the break and, in truth, should have been further ahead having wasted a number of chances after rushing 1-7 to 0-1 clear by the ninth minute. Corner-forward Dessie Conneely handed the westerners the dream start when gaoling after just 23 seconds.

Points followed from Peter Cooke, Michael Daly, Robert Finnerty, Sean Kelly and Kieran Molloy as Galway completely stunned their opponents.

A Sean OShea free on 19 minutes was only Kerrys second point of the half and theyd return to the dressing-room with only one point from play to their name. Galway were down the corridor kicking themselves at not having put the game beyond the kingdom, particularly the spell midway through the opening half where they kicked five consecutive wides and squandered two goal chances.

The opening to the second-half was a carbon copy of the first with the net billowing after 23 seconds on this occasion, however, it was Kerry who were celebration after Matthew OSullivan palmed the ball to the net. The referee initially ruled out the goal but decided to award the score upon consultation with both empires.

A Peter Cooke free steadied Galway but two Matthew Flaherty points had the gap back to four. Thats as close as it would get, though. Galway, despite their wasteful nature, kept their noses in front and their place in the decider was secured when sub Colin Brady kicked a 58th minute goal to send 2-14 to 1-9 clear.

Jordan Kiely pegged a goal back for Kerry, but it was a consolation score for the favourites who were completely out-foxed.

Scorers for Galway: P Cooke (0-5, 0-3 frees); C Brady, D Conneely (1-0 each); S Kelly, M Daly (0-2 each); K Molloy, C McDaid, D DArcy, P Mannion, R Finnerty (0-1 each).

Scorers for Kerry: K Spillane (0-4, 0-3 frees); J Kiely, M OSullivan (1-0 each); S Ryan (0-1 free, 0-1 45), M Flaherty (0-2 each); S OShea (0-1 free), C Geaney (0-1 free).

Kerry: S Ryan (Rathmore);TL OSullivan (Dingle), J Foley (Ballydonoghue), T OSullivan (Dingle); B Beaglaoich (An Ghaeltacht), B Seanachin (Ballydonoghue), G White (Dr Crokes); A Barry (Na Gaeil), B OSullivan (Dingle); M Flaherty (Dingle), S OShea (Kenmare), B Barrett (Ardfert); K Spillane (Templenoe), M OSullivan (St Michaels Foilmore), C Geaney (Dingle).

Subs: M Burns (Dr Crokes) for Barrett (28 mins); R S (An Ghaeltacht) for Seanachin (40); J Kiely (Dr Crokes) for OShea (44); J Morgan (Austin Stacks) for White (56); C Coffey (Kerins ORahillys) for TL OSullivan (59)

Galway: R Beolin (Michel Breathnach); R Greene (Killannin), SA Ceallaigh (Leitir Mr), L Kelly (An Spidal); C McDaid (Monivea-Abbey), D McHugh (Corofin), K Molloy (Corofin); P Cooke (Moycullen), C DArcy (Caherlistrane); S Kelly (Moycullen), M Daly (Mountbellew/Moylough), P Mannion (Kilconly); R Finnerty (Salthill/Knocknacarra), E Finnerty (Mountbellew/Moylough), D Conneely (Moycullen).

Subs C Brady (Corofin) for Mannion (40); M Boyle (Killererin) for R Finnerty (53); C Brennan (Aran Islands) for DArcy (56); E Lee (Oughterard) for McDaid (60)

Referee: B Cawley (Kildare).

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Galway stun Kerry in All-Ireland U21 football semi-final | Irish Examiner - Irish Examiner

Why Donald Trump still needs Steve Bannon – New York Post

Why Donald Trump still needs Steve Bannon
New York Post
As the political world knows, Trump declined to say yes to my question, creating a clear impression that his chief strategist is on thin ice. The under the bus notion surged on social media. The prospect of Bannon's departure from the White House ...

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Why Donald Trump still needs Steve Bannon - New York Post

Nationwide Tax Day Marches Demand Donald Trump Releases His Tax Returns – Huffington Post

WASHINGTON Tens of thousands of activists demonstrated in cities across the country on Saturday the date when Americans taxes are normally due to demand the release of President Donald Trumps tax returns.

The largest marches took place in New York City and Washington, D.C. Some 100 other cities hosted smaller marches.

Protest organizers estimated that over 25,000 people attended the rally in Washington, D.C., and 20,000 people participated in New York City.

Together, the rallies across the country were among the largest anti-Trump demonstrations since theWomens March drew millions of people into the streets on Jan. 21.

Trump says only the media cares about this taxes. Today, weve proved him wrong. Its time for Trump to come clean, so we know who hes really working for, said Working Families Party national membership director Nelini Stamp, a keynote speaker at the New York City, in a statement following the march.

In Washington, D.C.,the march began with a rally at the U.S. Capitol followed by a parade down Pennsylvania Avenue, past the Internal Revenue Service headquarters and the Trump International Hotel where protesters chanted shame in unison. The rally at times played the role of an all-purpose demonstration against Trump, replete with derisive condemnations of the president including references to alleged collusion of staff members from his presidential campaign with the Russian government.

Rep. Maxine Waters (D-Calif.), the ranking member on the House Financial Services Committee, gave one of the most impassioned speeches at the U.S. Capitol. Waters, who has become a leading voice of opposition to Trump,vowed to impeach the president for his contemptible actions, as she led the crowd in a chant ofimpeach 45.

I have laryngitis. But the only way I would not have been here with you today is if they cut my throat and stopped me from talking, she declared. If he thinks he can get away with playing king, hes got another thing coming!

Sen. Ron Wyden (D-Ore.), the ranking member on the Senate Finance Committee, declared during his speech,We are taking the gloves off to say knock off the secrecy Mr. President and publicly release your own tax returns!

Rep. Jamie Raskin (D-Md.) was another leading Democrat to address the D.C. crowd, along with several policy experts and progressive leaders.

The rallies also featuredDonny the Tax March Chicken, an inflatable chicken made to resemble Trump. The gag is intended to mock Trump for being too chicken to reveal his tax returns.

The marchs speakers were also calling for a fairer taxation system,which they argue is unfairly skewed to the advantage of wealthy people including Trump.

The progressive organizations and labor unions sponsoring the march include Indivisible, Americans for Tax Fairness,MoveOn.org, Public Citizen, Demos, Credo, the Working Families Party, the National Womens Law Center and the American Federation of Teachers.

The coalition of liberal groups organized the Tax March, as they called it, to coincide with April 15, because its usually Tax Day the final day for individuals to submit their tax returns.

This year, individual tax returns are due on Tuesday, April 18, since April 15 is a Saturday and on Monday, federal government workers have the day off work for Emancipation Day, a Washington, D.C.holiday.

Trump is the first president in four decades who has not released his tax returns or comparable financial information. The practice became a tradition when former President Richard Nixon released his returnsafter he was audited.

In January, Trump adviser Kellyanne Conway insisted that Trump would never release his returns, arguing that his election proved that people didnt care about it.

But Trumps critics believe his refusal to disclose his tax returns is a sign that he has something to hide. Questions about his motives have led to speculation that they contain evidence of either major tax avoidance or financial ties to figures close to the Russian government.

The FBI confirmed in March that it is investigating Trump associates for their possible ties to Russia, raising the possibility that the presidents allies participated in the alleged Russian interference efforts in some capacity.

Watch the complete Washington, D.C., rally here, and the New York City rally here.

Jonathan Ernst / Reuters

In D.C.,speakers mixed partisan red meat with sincere appeals for transparency and stinging indictments of wealthy tax avoidance.

A Trump impersonator regaled the crowd with a nasal, self-mocking routine that concluded with fake secret service members showering protesters with shredded paper that represented destroyed copies of his tax returns.

Rep. Waters told the crowd that the presidents missile strike on an airfield in Syriawas an attempt to generate phony tension between his administration and Russian President Vladimir Putin, a patron of the Syrian regime.

Trumps motives and his actions are contemptible. And I will fight every day until he is impeached, she declared.

Heather McGhee, president of the liberal think tank Demos, focused on the way tax loopholes and other schemes rich people use to avoid taxes have deprived public institutions and services of much-needed revenue.

Every year at budget time were coming up short. They tell us there is not enough money to make the schools better or even keep them open in some neighborhoods, McGhee said.

Across the country, Americans are calling bullshit! she concluded, prompting the crowd to repeatedly chant bullshit in response.

And Rep. Raskin, a constitutional law professor who represents the Maryland suburbs of Washington, D.C., protested the lack of voting representation in Congress for D.C.s nearly 700,000 residents despite the billions of dollars in taxes they pay.

He also argued that Trump must disclose his tax returns before he embarks on an effort to reform the countrys tax system.

We cannot debate tax policy in America unless we know what personal, family and business interests are motivating and defining your proposals, he said.

The majority of the activists at the tax march in Washington, D.C., appeared to come from the greater metropolitan area, including the Maryland and Virginia suburbs.

There were, nonetheless, many people who traveled long distances to participate in the event.

Heavy machinery salvage businessman Paul Kelly, 55, and his son Stafford Kelly, 19, took the train up from Chapel Hill, North Carolina. They were sporting hard hats from their line of work.Stafford Kelly was holding a red and yellow Trump flag with old Soviet insignia, while his father held a Syrian flag as a gesture of solidarity with the Syrian people.

We should let the refugees in instead of bombing them, Paul Stafford said.

He identifies as an independent and was not involved in politics until Trumps election.

We gotta do something to oppose this administration, he said. The Russian connections, the misogyny, the sexism, the racism its pretty much just un-American.

Here are some images from tax marches across the country:

This article has been updated with new details on rally developments throughout.

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Nationwide Tax Day Marches Demand Donald Trump Releases His Tax Returns - Huffington Post