Archive for April, 2017

Ontario’s Liberals take a big step to the left – The Globe and Mail

Andrew Steele is vice-president at StrategyCorp, Canadas integrated public affairs, communications and management consultancy. He served as senior adviser to Ontario premier Dalton McGuinty

Despite a 14-year run in office, the Ontario Liberals havent had much swagger of late. But that may change. As the government turns the corner on a balanced budget, Ontarians are about to see the government shift into an explicitly small-l liberal groove for the first time in almost a decade.

Cast your mind back. During the Great Recession, Ontarios balanced budgets of 2006 and 2007 gave way to $20-billion-a-year deficits in 2008 and 2009. While the public was hardly clamouring for fiscal discipline in the era of GMs bankruptcy, premier Dalton McGuinty nevertheless made a promise to balance by the year 2017.

The province has since held by that pledge, even after the Liberals chose a new premier, Kathleen Wynne. But fiscal discipline is no longer a key vote driver with the Liberal coalition. While in the mid-00s balanced budgets were the necessary precondition to be seen as competent managers, public opinion subsequently shifted. Today, deficits are no longer anathema.

In fact, the belt-tightening required to balance the budget may have been a large factor in Ms. Wynnes poor postelection polling. Voters elected Kathleen Wynne as a progressive breath of fresh air who would build Ontario up with public spending. Those voters felt a lunch-bag letdown when her first three years with a majority government were spent doing not-so-Liberal things such as managing down labour-cost pressures and selling Hydro One.

With a balanced budget now in the works, the Liberal Premier appears likely to begin governing unbound. Ms. Wynne is now in a position to undertake a much more aggressive agenda in line with the deficits and infrastructure spending of the popular Trudeau Liberals. While that approach will find no friends with National Post editorial writers and Bay Street, it is likely to prove more popular than the austerity of the past decade.

This Great Shift Left will see the end of 10 years of austerity and incrementalism in pursuit of a refashioning of the social compact to help Ontarians prosper in the face of globalized disruption. It is fuelled by the fastest growth in the country in 2017, growth that is expanding the fiscal capacity of the province at the exact time there is renewed permission for spending.

The Ontario government signalled its intention to move to the left over past weeks. Already they have announced:

What is waiting in the wings is even more dramatic:

Shifting left is a smart political strategy for the struggling Liberals.

The NDP has been siphoning left-leaning voters from the Grits on the back of fiscally driven decisions such as the Hydro One privatization and battles with public-sector unions to control costs. Moving left could help the Liberals win back many of these progressive voters.

But the primary threat to the Liberals remains the Conservatives. Since winning the leadership as the darling of social conservatives, Patrick Brown has been removing the Mike Harris-era rough edges off the PC Party. His efforts sparked a backlash among party grassroots with a pledge to implement a carbon tax. All of this is in an effort to remove policy differences between the PCs and Liberals so the next election is fought on time for a change and not over the PCs policy positions.

Shifting left will open up room between the PCs and Liberals, likely too far for the already internally assailed Brown to follow. That will give the Liberals the ability to fight the election on policy, polarize the vote between themselves and the PCs, minimize the NDP vote and make the election a choice instead of a referendum on themselves.

No government looks good measured against perfection. But by shifting left, the Liberals hope they will be measured against Patrick Brown, a more appetizing prospect.

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Ontario's Liberals take a big step to the left - The Globe and Mail

Liberals’ Infrastructure Program Could Pay For Projects In U.S. – Huffington Post Canada

OTTAWA A new federal agency designed to fuse public and private dollars to help build infrastructure in Canada could end up building new roads and bridges south of the border so long as they connect to the Great White North.

The legislation for the Liberals' proposedinfrastructure bank would allow the arm's-length organization to use public money to help bankroll or financially backstop projects that are "in Canada or partly in Canada."

The key for the government is that there has to be a financial benefit and a physical connection to the country, meaning Canadian dollars won't be building any infrastructure solely in the United States or anywhere overseas, andsuggesting that the government is interested in funding projects like transmission lines and bridges that cross the border and have a revenue stream attached to them.

U.S. President Donald Trump's transition teammusedabout setting up an American infrastructure bankthat would use various financing toolsto lure private dollars towards the construction ofpublic assets like new transit and transportation networks and the issue remains a topic of discussion in American political and academic circles.

Minister of Infrastructure and Communities Amarjeet Sohi. (Photo: The Canadian Press/Adrian Wyld)

Infrastructure Minister Amarjeet Sohimet high-level American officials on two separate visits to Washington, D.C., along with top officials at the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank, all of themkeenly interested in how the Canadian bank will operate once it officially launches.

So tooare observers and investors in Canada, many of whom still havequestions about the bank's operations and whether the legislation as worded could put up roadblocks to the bank's success.

At the heart of the concerns is one of independence from political interference: Giving the government too much control over the bank's operations could end up scaring off investors who don't want short-term political opportunism meddling in long-term infrastructure projects. On the flip side, not enough political oversight could scare off cities and provinces who would be the ones to bring projects forward.

"We believe that the legislation to create the CIB strikes the right balance between creating an arms-length Crown corporation that would attract private capital to build more infrastructure across Canada and would ensure the agency is accountable to Parliament in its management of public funds," said Brook Simpson, a spokesman for Sohi.

The Liberals are infusing the bank with $35 billion in government funding, hoping that the money can leverage three or four times that much in private dollars to build infrastructure in Canada.

Last year, Finance Minister Bill Morneau's council of economic advisers envisioned a very specific decision-making process that would only allow government to step inif a project didn't have a revenue stream attached to it, wasn't in line with the government's growth strategy, or didn't have a private backer.

Finance Minister Bill Morneau. (Photo: Reuters/Chris Wattie)

The overarching idea was to make the bank independent, so that it would be viewed as credible by capital markets and signal stability to private investors.

Private pension funds have pushed for months for the Liberals to make the new bank independent from government intervention. Now that the legislation is out, some are privately expressing concerns while others are taking a wait-and-see approach, knowing that more details about the bank's operations will come from a corporate plan set to be released later this year.

Government officials have been telling investors that the plan for the bank would be for the government to approve a project when it is submitted to the bank for review, meaning cabinet couldn't cancel a project later on in the process. Nor would there be any restrictions on where private backing could come from, easing concerns from some corners that only blocking foreign funds could see retaliation against domestic funds that invest overseas.

Benjamin Dachis, associate director of research at the C.D. Howe Institute, says investors could be scared away fromworking with the bank if they don't feel that there are strong firewalls to prevent political meddling in long-term projects.

"Private investors will be very skittish if they know that any individual decision is going to be subject to right until the actual project is completed that any infrastructure can just be scuttled by the government of the day," Dachis said.

"This legislation needs to strike that balance between democratic oversight, but institutional independence to make sure that projects that go ahead are the right ones and not just politically attractive ones in the short term."

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Liberals' Infrastructure Program Could Pay For Projects In U.S. - Huffington Post Canada

After Georgia’s Close Race, Montana Democrats Demand Party’s Attention – New York Times


New York Times
After Georgia's Close Race, Montana Democrats Demand Party's Attention
New York Times
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After Georgia's Close Race, Montana Democrats Demand Party's Attention - New York Times

Kathleen Wynne insists she’s not going anywhere despite concern among Liberal MPPs – Toronto Star

I understand that there is a political story around personal popularity, but thats actually beside the point for me, Premier Kathleen Wynne said firmly. (Ed Clark, chair of the Premier's Advisory Council on Government Assets, is pictured at a 2015 announcement on beer being sold in Ontario grocery stores.) ( MARTA IWANEK / THE CANADIAN PRESS file photo )

A defiant Premier Kathleen Wynne said she is not going anywhere despite concern within the governing Liberals that her unpopularity is hurting the party.

Ive made a decision, with the support of my caucus, to go into the next election, Wynne told reporters at the Childrens Hospital of Eastern in Ottawa on Wednesday.

We have important work still to do. Were on the verge of . . . bringing in a balanced budget for the first time in nearly a decade, she said, referring to Finance Minister Charles Sousas April 27 budget.

That will allow us to do more of the things that are needed in this province, whether its in health care, whether its in infrastructure.

Her comments came in the wake of a front-page Star story on Tuesday that revealed unease within the Liberals because Wynne badly trails Progressive Conservative Leader Patrick Brown and NDP Leader Andrea Horwath in public opinion polls.

The Star revealed that more than a dozen Liberal MPPs are considering not running again in the June 7, 2018 election over concern her numbers will drag them down.

I understand that there is a political story around personal popularity, but thats actually beside the point for me, the premier said firmly.

The point for me is to do the work that I was elected to do with the support of my colleagues, she said, flanked by Attorney General Yasir Naqvi, Community Safety and Correctional Services Minister Marie-France Lalonde, and MPP Nathalie Des Rosiers (Ottawa-Vanier).

Of course, there are political calculations along the way. There always are. Ive been in this office since 2013. We won a majority in 2014 and we have been doing the work that we were elected to do.

Asked why her personal popularity appears to be down the economy is performing well and residential electricity rates are being cut by 25 per cent this year Wynne smiled gamely.

Im going to leave that to the pundits and to the press . . . to analyze.

The Star disclosed that some Grits are worried about continuing organizational challenges in the Ontario Liberal Party.

Within hours of those concerns being aired in print, the Liberals scrambled to announce a candidate for an upcoming byelection in Sault Ste. Marie, former local mayor Debbie Amaroso, and unveiled a new executive director of the party, former political staffer David Clarke.

One senior Liberal admitted the revelations in the Star were a wake-up call for a party that has been in power since October 2003.

To that end, the Grits are touting the skills of campaign co-chairs David Herle, who managed the victorious 2014 effort, deputy premier Deb Matthews, and prominent lawyer Tim Murphy, as well as campaign director Chad Walsh, a rising star in the party.

The Liberals also announced new campaign committees to oversee fundraising, candidate recruitment, the election platform, organization and communications.

Speaking in Toronto, Matthews said Wynne is our best asset.

She is making some really substantial change for our government . . . and her caucus is fully behind her and the party is fully behind her, she said.

You know, we can get distracted by polls . . . so do not write Kathleen Wynne off. Shes a very, very strong leader for us.

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Kathleen Wynne insists she's not going anywhere despite concern among Liberal MPPs - Toronto Star

Democrats throw millions, Hollywood punch into Georgia House …

Democrats are pumping millions into the Georgia congressional election set for Tuesday, hoping a 30-year-old political upstart who's attracting star power can deliver a rebuke to President Trump and help the party reclaim lost momentum.

Hollywood has even come out for the off-cycle vote, with actor Samuel L. Jackson cutting a radio ad urging voters to flip the seat once held by Republican Tom Price, who is now Trump's health secretary.

Vote for the Democratic Party. Stop Donald Trump, a man who encourages racial and religious discrimination and sexism, Jackson says in the ad, casting the race as a chance to undermine the Republican president and throwing in "Pulp Fiction" references for good measure. We have to channel the great vengeance and fury we have for this administration into votes at the ballot box.

Democrats tried a similar tactic last week in their failed bid for the open seat of Kansas' Mike Pompeo, arguing a win in that conservative district would prove just how eager Americans are to end Trump and fellow Republicans control of Washington.

Washington Democrats, however, put essentially no resources into the race. By contrast, Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee staffers are on the ground in Georgia, and supporters have given top Democratic candidate Jon Ossoff $8 million-plus, with 80 percent of the money coming from outside the state.

Republicans have held the suburban Atlanta seat for nearly four decades. However, Democrats saw an opening for an upset after Trump last year narrowly defeated Democrat Hillary Clinton in that district, while Price won with 61 percent of the vote.

Democrats also see a win as a catalyst for them in the 2018 midterm elections, though Republicans would still have a roughly 44-seat majority in the House and a four-seat advantage in the Senate.

The race Tuesday features 18 candidates -- 11 Republicans, five Democrats and two independents. To outright take the so-called jungle primary, the winner must get more than 50 percent of the vote. If not, the leader would face the second-place finisher in a runoff.

Ossoff is expected to get the most votes but not the majority, likely sending him and one of the Republican candidates to the June 20 runoff.

Trump and other Washington Republicans have gotten into the act -- a clear indication of their desire to keep the seat and blunt any momentum toward a possible 2018 Democratic comeback.

The super Liberal Democrat in the Georgia Congressioal (sic) race tomorrow wants to protect criminals, allow illegal immigration and raise taxes!, Trump tweeted Monday.

He also tweeted Sunday: The recent Kansas election (Congress) was a really big media event, until the Republicans won. Now they play the same game with Georgia-BAD!

Republican field staffers also have been dispatched to Georgia. A GOP political action committee backed by House Speaker Paul Ryan, R-Wis., has spent more than $2 million attacking Ossoff.

In addition, the amount of money going to Ossoff is also a liability.

"I don't care what party you're from," said Marty Aftewicz, a 66-year-old Republican voter from Marietta. "If the money's coming from outside the district, it's dirty. Anyone raising that much outside money can't represent me."

Republicans have also run a barrage of campaign ads trying to tie the 30-year-old Ossoff to House Minority Leader Rep. Nancy Pelosi, a California Democrat, and portray him as too sophomoric and inexperienced to govern.

The Congressional Leadership Fund super PAC, for instance, is running ads showing him pretending to be Star Wars character Han Solo while attending Georgetown University.

"Jon is being bankrolled by the most extreme liberals, said Karen Handel, a former secretary of state and one of Ossoff's Republican challengers. No one is naive enough to think that he will not be beholden to those who are bankrolling him."

Ossoff, nevertheless, pledges to be an "independent voice" in Congress. And he defends his campaign as a grassroots success powered by small and medium donors.

Ossoff is a former staffer to Rep. Hank Johnson and intern for civil rights icon Rep. John Lewis, Georgia Democrats now supporting Ossoff in the race.

Though he could get the most votes Tuesday, national Republicans think he would lose in June to Handel or fellow GOP candidates Bob Gray, a technology executive, or Dan Moody or Judson Hill, former state senators.

Handel vows to work with Trump on common-ground issues but says her job is to be a voice for people of the 6th District."

Gray says he would be a "willing partner" in the effort to fulfill Trumps legislative agenda.

The Associated Press contributed to this report.

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