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This state of affairs suggests the current level of support for Ukraine is no longer sufficient to shift the balance of the war. Ukraines President Volodymyr Zelensky continues to appeal to Western countries to increase arms supplies. But due to the conflict between Israel and Hamas, and the weariness of Americans over the seemingly endless Ukrainian conflict, in which US resources are being drained, the media is increasingly discussing the possibility of a ceasefire.

As a result, the question arises: is it time to pursue a truce between Kyiv and Moscow? Several reasons point towards this outcome.

Second, the United States has depleted Europes stocks of former Soviet military equipment by convincing governments to transfer them to Ukraine. This strategic move has not only resulted in long-term contracts to shore up the production and maintenance of US military equipment but has also sidelined Russian companies.

As a consequence, the US military-industrial complex has emerged as the primary supplier of new military equipment for Europe. It is noteworthy, however, that Germany is also supplying weapons to Kyiv, posing a potential challenge to US dominance in the arms sector in the future.

03:42

Ukraine says Russian strike killed over 50 in one of the deadliest attacks of the war

Ukraine says Russian strike killed over 50 in one of the deadliest attacks of the war

What if a US under Trump or DeSantis turns its back on the Ukraine war?

Prioritising aid to Ukraine over implementing more effective inflation-combating measures has led to public dissatisfaction with the White House. European countries are also expressing war fatigue and increasingly divided on the wisdom of continuing to support Kyiv. Additionally, the effectiveness of financial aid to Kyiv is seen as diminishing due to the countrys high level of corruption.

01:03

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky calls on UN to strip criminal Russia of veto power

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky calls on UN to strip criminal Russia of veto power

While the US officially supports Ukraines fight, Kyivs aspirations are being hindered by the depletion of its military resources. Moreover, there is increasing discussion among Ukrainian politicians about the need to mobilise more people, including younger people and more women.

As a result, Biden is faced with the crucial task of persuading Zelensky to initiate negotiations with Putin, while also being careful not to overtly pressure him.

Even though the Kremlin holds the advantage on the battlefield, the White House dominates the information sphere. The US government should prepare the international community for a potential ceasefire and present a peace agreement between Kyiv and Moscow as a victory for the collective West.

Peter Sojka, a fellow at the Slovak Academy of Sciences, specialises in foreign relations and geopolitics

See the article here:
Why the US needs to get Ukraine to swallow a truce with Russia - South China Morning Post