Who Invests In Ukraine In A Time Of Turmoil?
Thousands of people gathered in Kyivs Independence square, known as Maidan, to commemorate the first anniversary of protests that unleashed a year of turmoil in Ukraine. November 21st, 2014. Photo: Genya Savilov/AFP/Getty
A year after Ukraines anti-government protests ousted corrupt president Viktor Yanukovych, the crisis in Ukraine continues with a Russian invasion in the countrys East and a nationwide political system that so far hasnt proven its capable of fighting corruption and bringing about much-needed reforms. Nevertheless, some consider Ukraine an opportunity.
I think that Ukraine remains an attractive investment destination, said Varel Freeman, Executive Advisor at the European Bank of Reconstruction and Development (EBRD) during an interview with Forbes at the Invest in Ukraine conference New York this month. And that may be paradoxical because of the coverage that the conflict gets.
Freeman said the Russian military invasion in Ukraines eastern industrial region, Donbass, thats been taking place since spring, is not dramatically affecting the balance of the country and that Ukraines new administration is substantially reform oriented. There is a blast there, thats not appreciated by many who simply look at the headlines, he adds.
EBRD has been investing in Ukraine for 20 years focusing on long-term financing of equity and debt and has so far bet about $10 billion in the eastern European nation. The main part of the banks portfolio in Ukraine is financial institutions (34%) as well as infrastructure and energy. The bank the largest financial investor in the region is designed to support a transition to market economy in countries like Ukraine and works with private investors and local authorities on public projects. Freeman sees Ukraines investments potential in projects that require intellectual capital, precision manufacturing and anything that requires trained engineering staff. You can find opportunities in putting together teams that are competitive worldwide.
But today Ukraines economic situation is risky. The estimated real GDP for the 3rd quarter of 2014 shrunk by 5.1%, on its way to its 7% contraction this year, according to SigmaBleyzer macroeconomic report.
Ukraines central banks reserves were at $12.6 billion in October, with JP Morgan forecasting a drop to $7.4 billion by years end. According to the International Monetary Fund, Ukraines budget deficit was at 10.1% of GDP the last summer, while Consumer Price Index grew to 17.5% in September.
The International Monetary Fund approved $17 billion bailout program for Ukraine, however the country is unlikely to receive a second tranche an expected $2.7 billion this year.
Anders Aslund, an economic expert in Eastern Europe and a senior fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics in the US, foresee a major problems for the country moving forward. In his recent assessment of Ukraines economic situation, he said Ukraine is entering a depreciation-inflation cycle which, if not taken care of by austerity measures and structural reforms immediately imposed by the government, would lead to a financial meltdown.
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Who Invests In Ukraine In A Time Of Turmoil?
- Panic in eastern Ukraine as Trump entertains idea of giving parts of it to Russia - CNN - August 12th, 2025 [August 12th, 2025]
- EU leaders say Ukraine should have freedom to decide its future ahead of Trump-Putin summit - The Guardian - August 12th, 2025 [August 12th, 2025]
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- Trump says he hopes to get 'prime territory' back for Ukraine as he prepares for Putin summit - Sky News - August 12th, 2025 [August 12th, 2025]
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- UK and Canada say peace must not be imposed on Ukraine - Reuters - August 12th, 2025 [August 12th, 2025]
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- Trump and Putin to meet in Alaska for Ukraine talks next week - BBC - August 9th, 2025 [August 9th, 2025]
- WATCH: Trump suggests swapping Ukraine and Russia territories ahead of meeting with Putin - PBS - August 9th, 2025 [August 9th, 2025]
- Europe rallies behind Ukraine after defiant Zelensky rejects any peace plan that gives up land to Russia - The Independent - August 9th, 2025 [August 9th, 2025]
- Lammy and Vance hold meeting to discuss US-brokered Ukraine peace plan - The Guardian - August 9th, 2025 [August 9th, 2025]
- Zelenskiy Says Ukraine Wont Give Up Land to Russia for Peace - Bloomberg.com - August 9th, 2025 [August 9th, 2025]
- Russian Strikes Kill 3 in Ukraine, Which May Be Left Out of Peace Talks - The New York Times - August 9th, 2025 [August 9th, 2025]
- Trump, casting himself as peacemaker-in-chief, faces tests in Gaza and Ukraine - Los Angeles Times - August 9th, 2025 [August 9th, 2025]
- Trump says Ukraine will have to give up territory for a ceasefire, Zelenskyy says no - CBS News - August 9th, 2025 [August 9th, 2025]
- Trump will meet with Putin in Alaska for talks on ending Russias war in Ukraine - PBS - August 9th, 2025 [August 9th, 2025]
- Exclusive: Putin to demand Ukraine cede new territory in 'Alaska peace plan' US likely to agree, Kyiv to reject - The Kyiv Independent - August 9th, 2025 [August 9th, 2025]
- Where could Trump and Putin meet about the war in Ukraine? The options are limited - NPR - August 9th, 2025 [August 9th, 2025]
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- Ukraine will not give up land, Zelenskyy warns ahead of Trump-Putin meeting - The Guardian - August 9th, 2025 [August 9th, 2025]
- Freeze in Ukraine war may be close, says Tusk, as US and Russia plan talks - The Guardian - August 9th, 2025 [August 9th, 2025]
- Map Shows How Russia and Ukraine Could Swap Land to End War - Newsweek - August 9th, 2025 [August 9th, 2025]
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- Remains of Wakefield native killed while fighting for Ukraine return home - WCVB - August 7th, 2025 [August 7th, 2025]
- Why Trump-Putin talks unlikely to bring rapid end to Ukraine war - BBC - August 7th, 2025 [August 7th, 2025]
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- How Trump and Putin Reached a New Make-or-Break Moment on Ukraine - The Wall Street Journal - August 7th, 2025 [August 7th, 2025]
- Secretary General welcomes first package of U.S. equipment for Ukraine funded by the Netherlands under new NATO initiative - NATO - Homepage - August 7th, 2025 [August 7th, 2025]
- Trump may be forging progress in Ukraine or walking into Putins trap - CNN - August 7th, 2025 [August 7th, 2025]
- For Some Wounded in Ukraine War, Surgery Helps Rebuild a Sense of Self - The New York Times - August 7th, 2025 [August 7th, 2025]
- Another week, another deadline: Timeline of Trumps promises to end Russias war on Ukraine - The Independent - August 7th, 2025 [August 7th, 2025]
- Russian Drone Innovations are Likely Achieving Effects of Battlefield Air Interdiction in Ukraine - Institute for the Study of War - August 7th, 2025 [August 7th, 2025]
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- Ukraine-Russia war latest: Trump and Putin agree to meet to discuss ceasefire in coming days - The Independent - August 7th, 2025 [August 7th, 2025]
- Trump Ramps Up Ukraine War Pressure With Nuclear and Sanction Threats - Council on Foreign Relations - August 7th, 2025 [August 7th, 2025]
- Is a ceasefire in Ukraine finally on the table? Here's what we know - as fighting grinds on - Sky News - August 7th, 2025 [August 7th, 2025]
- Putin says he hopes to meet with Trump as the White House presses for a Ukraine peace deal - WGAL - August 7th, 2025 [August 7th, 2025]