Today’s D Brief: Ukraine, Russia escalate; Chinese fishing boats, unwanted; Small carrier, unneeded?; Lessons from Suez; And a bit more. – Defense One
Ukraine says Russia is massing troops on its border, and pro-Moscow separatists were systematically violating a ceasefire in eastern Ukraine, Reuters reports from Moscow the same day Kievs parliament officially declared an escalation in the east.
Just now catching up? The war in eastern Ukraine...has escalated sharply in recent days, the New York Times Andrew Kramer reported Tuesday from Moscow. [F]our Ukrainian soldiers were killed and another seriously wounded in a battle against Russian-backed separatists in the Donetsk Region, Kramer writes.
Whats more, the U.S. militarys European Command raised its watch level from possible crisis to potential imminent crisis the highest level in response to the deployment of the additional Russian troops. New equipment has been seen among the Russian-backed rebels, too; artillery fire has increased as well. And Russian negotiators have warned of a breakdown in peace talks that have been dragging on for years, the Times reports.
Russias reax: Point the finger at Kiev. We express concern over the growing tension and express concern that one way or another the Ukrainian side could take provocative actions that would lead to war. We really dont want to see that, Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said today from the Russian capital.
Russian hackers are believed to have snatched more State Department emails in a breach that happened last year at the Bureau of European and Eurasian Affairs and Bureau of East Asian and Pacific Affairs, Politico reports.
ICYMI: Suspected Russian hackers accessed former Homeland Security Acting Secretary Chad Wolfs emails last year, too, the Associated Press reported Monday.
And on the U.S. side, cyber defense is getting more difficult: Staffers are worn out, money is tight and the Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency is struggling to keep up with multiple competing crises, including the recently uncovered intrusions blamed on Russia and China, Politico reported separately Tuesday.
One more Russian thing: A new report from Brookings says the U.S. military should anticipate encounters with Russian private military contractors in the field. PMCs allow the Russian government to operate in places where it could not openly do so at least not without drawing international retribution or sanctions. The Department of Defense (DoD) and U.S. military leaders must plan for this increased PMC presence. What measures must be taken to protect American forces and safeguard U.S. interests? And what procedures could the U.S. military implement to effectively counter PMC operations in certain countries around the world? Some ideas, here.
PMCs in the CAR: Russian mercenaries from the Wagner group, a private military contractor, have committed human rights abuses in the Central African Republic while fighting alongside government forces, according to a group of independent UN experts, The Guardian reports. The country has been racked by a renewed bout of civil war since an alliance of rebel factions launched an offensive. More, here.
New Small Aircraft Carrier Unlikely, Admiral Says As US Navy Begins New Assessment // Marcus Weisgerber: Air warfare chief: I believe the L-class ships operating with the F-35B fit that bill.
A US Ambassador Ends His Service on the Front Lines in Syria // William Roebuck: Reflections on U.S. foreign policy in a wartorn state.
The Suez Grounding Was an Accident. The Next Blocked Chokepoint Might Not Be. // Scott Savitz: Military planners must bear in mind the tactic of blockships.
Heres How Russia and China Are Helping the U.S. // Yasmeen Serhan, The Atlantic: Beijing and Moscow are filling the vaccine gap that wealthy countries helped create.
Americas Immigration Amnesia // Caitlin Dickerson, The Atlantic: Despite recurrent claims of crisis at the border, the United States still does not have a coherent immigration policy.
Welcome to this Wednesday edition of The D Brief from Ben Watson with Bradley Peniston. Send us tips from your community right here. And if youre not already subscribed to The D Brief, you can do that here. On this day in 1945, German test pilot Hans Fay defected to the Allies but only when he learned his parents hometown of Lachenspeyerdorf was under U.S. control and landed his Messerschmitt Me 262 A-1 jet fighter at Frankfurt/Rhein-Main Airfield. The Allies would have another 16 months to learn about its design before an Army Air Corps pilot crashed it after an engine caught fire during a test flight over Ohio in August the following year.
Japan, South Korea security officials are headed to Annapolis. President Bidens National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan will welcome his counterparts from Tokyo and Seoul to a Trilateral National Security Advisors Dialogue on Friday at the U.S. Naval Academy in Annapolis. The meeting comes on the heels of Defense Secretary Lloyd Austins first overseas trip to both countries about two weeks ago.Attending: Japans National Security Secretariat Secretary General Shigeru Kitamura, and South Koreas National Security Advisor Suh Hoon.Topics of discussion include maintaining peace and stability on the Korean Peninsula, addressing the COVID-19 pandemic, and combating climate change...reflecting the importance we place on broadening and deepening our cooperation on key issues and advancing our shared prosperity across a free and open Indo-Pacific, National Security Council Spokesperson Emily Horne said in a statement Tuesday evening.
Hundreds of Chinese fishing ships are ignoring Philippine requests (Reuters) to leave its 200-mile exclusive economic zone while they allegedly wait out a storm near the contested Whitsun Reef, where some 220 boats have been fishing against Manilas wishes for the past several weeks.About this place: The reef, which Manila calls Julian Felipe, is a boomerang-shaped and shallow coral region about 175 nautical miles (324 kilometers) west of Bataraza town in the western Philippine province of Palawan, AP reported 10 days ago.About that storm: Its hard to find, judging by video from the location in question, Greg Poling of the Center for Strategic and International Studies points out on Twitter.The Philippines defense chief says hes deployed his air force to monitor the ships, and hes requested China order the fishing vessels out of Manilas EEZ, he said this weekend (al-Jazeera). We are ready to defend our national sovereignty and protect the marine resources of the Philippines, Defense Secretary Delfin Lorenzana said on Saturday.Stern talk: Neither the Philippines nor the international community will ever accept Chinas assertion of its so-called indisputable integrated sovereignty over almost all of the South China Sea, the Philippines task force on the South China Sea said in a statement today, according to Reuters, which called it Manilas strongest [statement] since President Rodrigo Duterte took power in 2016 and sought to befriend Beijing. Read on, here.
France immediately rejected a UN report accusing Paris of killing 16 civilians at a wedding in Mali back in January, Reuters reports.According to the UN, a wedding celebration was held that brought together about 100 civilians at the site of the strike, among whom five armed individuals, presumed members of [alleged regional al-Qaeda affiliate] Katiba Serma, were present. The strike is believed to have killed 19 people at that wedding, including three accused members of Katiba Serma.According to the French military, The only concrete sources on which this report is based are local testimonies. They are never transcribed, the identity of the witnesses is never specified, nor the conditions in which the testimonies were gathered...It is therefore impossible to distinguish credible sources from false testimonies by possible terrorist sympathisers or individuals under the influence (including threats) from jihadist groups.Quick background, via Reuters: France has been embroiled in Malis conflict since 2013, when it intervened to push back Islamist militants who were advancing south after seizing the desert north. The conflict has since spread to neighbouring countries in the West African Sahel region like Burkina Faso and Niger, leading to rising criticism of French forces from local activists and some politicians. More here.
The U.S. just pledged almost $600 million for Syrian refugees, Americas Ambassador to the UN Linda Thomas-Greenfield announced Tuesday. That could help a U.N.-coordinated effort [that] is seeking some $4.2 billion to help Syrians inside the country and $5.8 billion for countries hosting refugees, the Wall Street Journal reports.
Some of the alleged Capitol insurrectionists are now coming on hard times, and some are even apparently a bit sorry for stoking and participating in that insurrection on Jan. 6.Among the rude awakenings: No plea deals yet, though they may be in the works, the Associated Press reports. Given it was an attack on what many regard as the citadel of American democracy, the sentiment among prosecutors, judges and the public at large, at least for now, isnt exactly lenient. More including a possible defense invoking the psychology of crowds here.
- A crisis over using frozen Russian assets to help Ukraine - The Economist - December 7th, 2025 [December 7th, 2025]
- 2 killed as Russian overnight attack hits infrastructure in Ukraine, officials say - ABC News - December 7th, 2025 [December 7th, 2025]
- Zelenskys Government Sabotaged Oversight, Allowing Corruption in Ukraine to Fester - The New York Times - December 7th, 2025 [December 7th, 2025]
- Ukraine war live: Kremlin welcomes US security vision ahead of London peace talks - The Independent - December 7th, 2025 [December 7th, 2025]
- Nicola Jennings on Putins dealings with Trump over Ukraine cartoon - The Guardian - December 7th, 2025 [December 7th, 2025]
- Russia bombards Ukraine as US says progress made in talks with Kyiv - BBC - December 7th, 2025 [December 7th, 2025]
- Russia rapidly gaining territory in Ukraine ahead of Downing Street summit - The Telegraph - December 7th, 2025 [December 7th, 2025]
- Putin says Russia will take Donbas by force or Ukraine's troops will withdraw - BBC - December 7th, 2025 [December 7th, 2025]
- Russia unleashes massive drone and missile attack on Ukraine as talks to end war continue - PBS - December 7th, 2025 [December 7th, 2025]
- Alarm grows in Europe over what is seen as Trumps betrayal of Ukraine - Los Angeles Times - December 7th, 2025 [December 7th, 2025]
- Only Europe can save Ukraine from Putin and Trump but will it? - The Guardian - December 7th, 2025 [December 7th, 2025]
- Ukraine's peace talks with US constructive but not easy: Zelenskyy - TRT World - December 7th, 2025 [December 7th, 2025]
- Ukraine, Europe and the new economics of war - Financial Times - December 7th, 2025 [December 7th, 2025]
- Ukraine showed the UK its classic 'tactically safe' trench-clearing methods don't work in chaotic, booby-trapped trenches - Business Insider - December 7th, 2025 [December 7th, 2025]
- Looking for the 10 best Ukraine-related books of 2025? Weve got you - The Kyiv Independent - December 7th, 2025 [December 7th, 2025]
- U.S. and Ukraine hold marathon talks in Miami on Trump's peace plan - Axios - December 5th, 2025 [December 5th, 2025]
- Ukraine-Russia war latest: Putin risks fresh row with Trump after pledging to supply uninterrupted fuel to India - The Independent - December 5th, 2025 [December 5th, 2025]
- No mistrust between Europe and US over Ukraine, Macron says - The Guardian - December 5th, 2025 [December 5th, 2025]
- Putin says there are points he can't agree to in the U.S. proposal to end Ukraine war - NPR - December 5th, 2025 [December 5th, 2025]
- France's Macron: unity between Europe and U.S on Ukraine is "essential" - Reuters - December 5th, 2025 [December 5th, 2025]
- This Week in the Russia-Ukraine War (December 5) - Defense Security Monitor - December 5th, 2025 [December 5th, 2025]
- Putin says Russia will take all of Ukraine's Donbas region militarily or otherwise - Reuters - December 5th, 2025 [December 5th, 2025]
- Enough dithering. Europe must pay to save Ukraine - The Economist - December 5th, 2025 [December 5th, 2025]
- What are the Results of U.S. talks in Russia to end the war in Ukraine? - NPR - December 5th, 2025 [December 5th, 2025]
- Putin says there are points he can't agree to in the US proposal to end Russia's war in Ukraine - AP News - December 5th, 2025 [December 5th, 2025]
- Stakes High, Europe Races to Save Its Financing Plan for Ukraine - The New York Times - December 5th, 2025 [December 5th, 2025]
- Ukraine war briefing: Stop wasting the worlds time, Putin told - The Guardian - December 5th, 2025 [December 5th, 2025]
- Ukraine war latest: HUR says it destroyed Russian Su-24 tactical bomber, other targets in occupied Crimea - The Kyiv Independent - December 5th, 2025 [December 5th, 2025]
- Giving up territory would be 'unjust peace', says Ukraine's armed forces chief - Sky News - December 5th, 2025 [December 5th, 2025]
- Putin tells Ukraine to withdraw from Donbas or face being forced out - upi.com - December 5th, 2025 [December 5th, 2025]
- US and Ukrainian officials holding further talks on Trump's proposal to end Russia-Ukraine war - AP News - December 5th, 2025 [December 5th, 2025]
- Ukraine peace talks reveal a world slipping back into an acceptance of war - The Conversation - December 5th, 2025 [December 5th, 2025]
- Why is Belgium opposed to using Russian assets to support Ukraine? - Al Jazeera - December 5th, 2025 [December 5th, 2025]
- With reparations loan for Ukraine, the EU defies both Putin and Trump - Euronews.com - December 5th, 2025 [December 5th, 2025]
- Putin visits India amid Ukraine peace push: Whats on the agenda? - Al Jazeera - December 5th, 2025 [December 5th, 2025]
- Which areas is Russia demanding as its price for peace in Ukraine? visual explainer - The Guardian - December 5th, 2025 [December 5th, 2025]
- US, Ukraine officials say they'll meet for 3rd day after progress on creating a security framework - WRAL - December 5th, 2025 [December 5th, 2025]
- Macron reportedly warned Zelenskyy US may betray Ukraine on territory - The Guardian - December 5th, 2025 [December 5th, 2025]
- Rubio says US-Ukraine talks on Russia war were productive but much work remains in search of a deal - NPR - December 5th, 2025 [December 5th, 2025]
- Commission unveils two solutions to support Ukraine's financing needs in 2026-2027 - European Commission - December 5th, 2025 [December 5th, 2025]
- Oil prices hold steady due to stalled Ukraine peace talks and supply outlook - CNBC - December 5th, 2025 [December 5th, 2025]
- Key negotiators in the talks to end the war in Ukraine - WRAL - December 2nd, 2025 [December 2nd, 2025]
- Live updates: Trump presidency, Witkoff and Kushner meet with Putin in Moscow for Ukraine talks - CNN - December 2nd, 2025 [December 2nd, 2025]
- Ukraine war latest: Putin warns Europe that Russia is 'ready' for war - as Trump team at Kremlin for talks - Sky News - December 2nd, 2025 [December 2nd, 2025]
- Putin meets with U.S. officials on Ukraine after accusing Europe of 'blocking the entire peace process' - CBC - December 2nd, 2025 [December 2nd, 2025]
- Russia says before talks with US it has fully captured city of Pokrovsk, Ukraine denies it - Reuters - December 2nd, 2025 [December 2nd, 2025]
- Putin warns Europe against war ahead of meeting with Trump envoys on Ukraine - Reuters - December 2nd, 2025 [December 2nd, 2025]
- Ireland to give 125m to Ukraine as Zelensky visits Dublin - BBC - December 2nd, 2025 [December 2nd, 2025]
- Trump's push to end Ukraine war raises fears of 'ugly deal' for Europe - Reuters - December 2nd, 2025 [December 2nd, 2025]
- Putin threatens to 'cut Ukraine off from the sea' after attacks on tankers - Reuters - December 2nd, 2025 [December 2nd, 2025]
- Putin and Trump envoy Steve Witkoff set for key Ukraine talks in Moscow - BBC - December 2nd, 2025 [December 2nd, 2025]
- Putin: Russia ready for war with Europe, will target tankers of countries helping Ukraine - NewsNation - December 2nd, 2025 [December 2nd, 2025]
- Putin accuses Europe of blocking US efforts to end war in Ukraine - The Guardian - December 2nd, 2025 [December 2nd, 2025]
- U.S. delegation in Moscow for talks on Ukraine war as Russia says it seized more land - CBS News - December 2nd, 2025 [December 2nd, 2025]
- Putin accuses Europeans of sabotaging peace efforts in Ukraine - AP News - December 2nd, 2025 [December 2nd, 2025]
- Russia claims to have captured key city of Pokrovsk, as Ukraine dismisses Moscows loud statements ahead of Witkoff talks - CNN - December 2nd, 2025 [December 2nd, 2025]
- US envoy Witkoff to meet Putin in Moscow amid peace efforts to end Ukraine war - France 24 - December 2nd, 2025 [December 2nd, 2025]
- Trump turns to unconventional negotiating team heading to Russia in push for Ukraine peace deal - CNN - December 2nd, 2025 [December 2nd, 2025]
- Why Russias Claimed Capture of Pokrovsk Matters in the Ukraine War - Modern Diplomacy - December 2nd, 2025 [December 2nd, 2025]
- Ukraine Working With Warrant Holders to Resolve Bond-Deal Snag - Bloomberg.com - December 2nd, 2025 [December 2nd, 2025]
- Trump says theres a good chance a deal can be reached to end the war after US-Ukraine talks in Florida - CNN - December 2nd, 2025 [December 2nd, 2025]
- Five South Africans in court over alleged recruitment for Russias war in Ukraine - The Guardian - December 2nd, 2025 [December 2nd, 2025]
- Putin Says Russia Ready Right Now for War with Europe, Accuses EU Leaders of Sabotaging Ukraine Talks - National Review - December 2nd, 2025 [December 2nd, 2025]
- Live: Putin accuses Europeans of sabotaging peace efforts ahead of US talks on Ukraine - France 24 - December 2nd, 2025 [December 2nd, 2025]
- Man allegedly sets fire to historic Sadigura synagogue in Ukraine - The Times of Israel - November 28th, 2025 [November 28th, 2025]
- Ukraine Says It Wont Give Up Land to Russia - The Atlantic - November 28th, 2025 [November 28th, 2025]
- If the fighting ends in Ukraine, the infighting in Europe will begin - The Economist - November 28th, 2025 [November 28th, 2025]
- Ukraine war latest: Ukraine's land not for sale, ex-president says - and only 'unity' can save nation amid scandal - Sky News - November 28th, 2025 [November 28th, 2025]
- Ukraine war live: Kyivs top negotiator says no territory will be given up to Putin - The Independent - November 28th, 2025 [November 28th, 2025]
- Friday briefing: How will Ukraine fare this winter as Trump pushes for a controversial peace deal? - The Guardian - November 28th, 2025 [November 28th, 2025]
- The 28-point peace plan for Ukraine may be dead but Trump still wont stop Putin | Dmytro Kuleba - The Guardian - November 28th, 2025 [November 28th, 2025]
- Putin hosts Hungary's Orban for talks on energy and Ukraine - Reuters - November 28th, 2025 [November 28th, 2025]
- Putin says US plan could be basis of a Ukraine deal but threatens to take land by force if Kyiv doesnt withdraw - CNN - November 28th, 2025 [November 28th, 2025]
- Could the latest Ukraine talks actually end the war? Heres what to know - CNN - November 28th, 2025 [November 28th, 2025]
- JD Vance is right about the bonkers political obsession over Ukraine - The Hill - November 28th, 2025 [November 28th, 2025]
- Putin says US peace plan could form basis for end to Ukraine war as it happened - The Guardian - November 28th, 2025 [November 28th, 2025]
- Ukraine War Live UpdatesRussia Praises Trump 'Realism', Putin Promises Allies New Weapons - Newsweek - November 28th, 2025 [November 28th, 2025]
- War rages in Ukraine as push for peace complicated by leaked call from U.S. negotiator - PBS - November 28th, 2025 [November 28th, 2025]
- Letters to the editor | Bad alternate to Obamacare, Trump and Ukraine - Ventura County Star - November 28th, 2025 [November 28th, 2025]
- Russia Strikes Ukraine and Signals Resistance to Amended Peace Plan - The New York Times - November 28th, 2025 [November 28th, 2025]