Today’s D Brief: Ukraine, Russia escalate; Chinese fishing boats, unwanted; Small carrier, unneeded?; Lessons from Suez; And a bit more. – Defense One
Ukraine says Russia is massing troops on its border, and pro-Moscow separatists were systematically violating a ceasefire in eastern Ukraine, Reuters reports from Moscow the same day Kievs parliament officially declared an escalation in the east.
Just now catching up? The war in eastern Ukraine...has escalated sharply in recent days, the New York Times Andrew Kramer reported Tuesday from Moscow. [F]our Ukrainian soldiers were killed and another seriously wounded in a battle against Russian-backed separatists in the Donetsk Region, Kramer writes.
Whats more, the U.S. militarys European Command raised its watch level from possible crisis to potential imminent crisis the highest level in response to the deployment of the additional Russian troops. New equipment has been seen among the Russian-backed rebels, too; artillery fire has increased as well. And Russian negotiators have warned of a breakdown in peace talks that have been dragging on for years, the Times reports.
Russias reax: Point the finger at Kiev. We express concern over the growing tension and express concern that one way or another the Ukrainian side could take provocative actions that would lead to war. We really dont want to see that, Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said today from the Russian capital.
Russian hackers are believed to have snatched more State Department emails in a breach that happened last year at the Bureau of European and Eurasian Affairs and Bureau of East Asian and Pacific Affairs, Politico reports.
ICYMI: Suspected Russian hackers accessed former Homeland Security Acting Secretary Chad Wolfs emails last year, too, the Associated Press reported Monday.
And on the U.S. side, cyber defense is getting more difficult: Staffers are worn out, money is tight and the Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency is struggling to keep up with multiple competing crises, including the recently uncovered intrusions blamed on Russia and China, Politico reported separately Tuesday.
One more Russian thing: A new report from Brookings says the U.S. military should anticipate encounters with Russian private military contractors in the field. PMCs allow the Russian government to operate in places where it could not openly do so at least not without drawing international retribution or sanctions. The Department of Defense (DoD) and U.S. military leaders must plan for this increased PMC presence. What measures must be taken to protect American forces and safeguard U.S. interests? And what procedures could the U.S. military implement to effectively counter PMC operations in certain countries around the world? Some ideas, here.
PMCs in the CAR: Russian mercenaries from the Wagner group, a private military contractor, have committed human rights abuses in the Central African Republic while fighting alongside government forces, according to a group of independent UN experts, The Guardian reports. The country has been racked by a renewed bout of civil war since an alliance of rebel factions launched an offensive. More, here.
New Small Aircraft Carrier Unlikely, Admiral Says As US Navy Begins New Assessment // Marcus Weisgerber: Air warfare chief: I believe the L-class ships operating with the F-35B fit that bill.
A US Ambassador Ends His Service on the Front Lines in Syria // William Roebuck: Reflections on U.S. foreign policy in a wartorn state.
The Suez Grounding Was an Accident. The Next Blocked Chokepoint Might Not Be. // Scott Savitz: Military planners must bear in mind the tactic of blockships.
Heres How Russia and China Are Helping the U.S. // Yasmeen Serhan, The Atlantic: Beijing and Moscow are filling the vaccine gap that wealthy countries helped create.
Americas Immigration Amnesia // Caitlin Dickerson, The Atlantic: Despite recurrent claims of crisis at the border, the United States still does not have a coherent immigration policy.
Welcome to this Wednesday edition of The D Brief from Ben Watson with Bradley Peniston. Send us tips from your community right here. And if youre not already subscribed to The D Brief, you can do that here. On this day in 1945, German test pilot Hans Fay defected to the Allies but only when he learned his parents hometown of Lachenspeyerdorf was under U.S. control and landed his Messerschmitt Me 262 A-1 jet fighter at Frankfurt/Rhein-Main Airfield. The Allies would have another 16 months to learn about its design before an Army Air Corps pilot crashed it after an engine caught fire during a test flight over Ohio in August the following year.
Japan, South Korea security officials are headed to Annapolis. President Bidens National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan will welcome his counterparts from Tokyo and Seoul to a Trilateral National Security Advisors Dialogue on Friday at the U.S. Naval Academy in Annapolis. The meeting comes on the heels of Defense Secretary Lloyd Austins first overseas trip to both countries about two weeks ago.Attending: Japans National Security Secretariat Secretary General Shigeru Kitamura, and South Koreas National Security Advisor Suh Hoon.Topics of discussion include maintaining peace and stability on the Korean Peninsula, addressing the COVID-19 pandemic, and combating climate change...reflecting the importance we place on broadening and deepening our cooperation on key issues and advancing our shared prosperity across a free and open Indo-Pacific, National Security Council Spokesperson Emily Horne said in a statement Tuesday evening.
Hundreds of Chinese fishing ships are ignoring Philippine requests (Reuters) to leave its 200-mile exclusive economic zone while they allegedly wait out a storm near the contested Whitsun Reef, where some 220 boats have been fishing against Manilas wishes for the past several weeks.About this place: The reef, which Manila calls Julian Felipe, is a boomerang-shaped and shallow coral region about 175 nautical miles (324 kilometers) west of Bataraza town in the western Philippine province of Palawan, AP reported 10 days ago.About that storm: Its hard to find, judging by video from the location in question, Greg Poling of the Center for Strategic and International Studies points out on Twitter.The Philippines defense chief says hes deployed his air force to monitor the ships, and hes requested China order the fishing vessels out of Manilas EEZ, he said this weekend (al-Jazeera). We are ready to defend our national sovereignty and protect the marine resources of the Philippines, Defense Secretary Delfin Lorenzana said on Saturday.Stern talk: Neither the Philippines nor the international community will ever accept Chinas assertion of its so-called indisputable integrated sovereignty over almost all of the South China Sea, the Philippines task force on the South China Sea said in a statement today, according to Reuters, which called it Manilas strongest [statement] since President Rodrigo Duterte took power in 2016 and sought to befriend Beijing. Read on, here.
France immediately rejected a UN report accusing Paris of killing 16 civilians at a wedding in Mali back in January, Reuters reports.According to the UN, a wedding celebration was held that brought together about 100 civilians at the site of the strike, among whom five armed individuals, presumed members of [alleged regional al-Qaeda affiliate] Katiba Serma, were present. The strike is believed to have killed 19 people at that wedding, including three accused members of Katiba Serma.According to the French military, The only concrete sources on which this report is based are local testimonies. They are never transcribed, the identity of the witnesses is never specified, nor the conditions in which the testimonies were gathered...It is therefore impossible to distinguish credible sources from false testimonies by possible terrorist sympathisers or individuals under the influence (including threats) from jihadist groups.Quick background, via Reuters: France has been embroiled in Malis conflict since 2013, when it intervened to push back Islamist militants who were advancing south after seizing the desert north. The conflict has since spread to neighbouring countries in the West African Sahel region like Burkina Faso and Niger, leading to rising criticism of French forces from local activists and some politicians. More here.
The U.S. just pledged almost $600 million for Syrian refugees, Americas Ambassador to the UN Linda Thomas-Greenfield announced Tuesday. That could help a U.N.-coordinated effort [that] is seeking some $4.2 billion to help Syrians inside the country and $5.8 billion for countries hosting refugees, the Wall Street Journal reports.
Some of the alleged Capitol insurrectionists are now coming on hard times, and some are even apparently a bit sorry for stoking and participating in that insurrection on Jan. 6.Among the rude awakenings: No plea deals yet, though they may be in the works, the Associated Press reports. Given it was an attack on what many regard as the citadel of American democracy, the sentiment among prosecutors, judges and the public at large, at least for now, isnt exactly lenient. More including a possible defense invoking the psychology of crowds here.
- Trump speaks with cabinet on Gaza conflict, Russia and Ukraine - WSAZ - October 13th, 2025 [October 13th, 2025]
- Trump speaks with cabinet on Gaza conflict, Russia and Ukraine - WAFB - October 13th, 2025 [October 13th, 2025]
- Ukraine and Russias intensifying energy war brings gas shortages and economic pain - CNN - October 13th, 2025 [October 13th, 2025]
- Kremlin warns the West over 'dramatic' escalation moment in Ukraine war - Reuters - October 13th, 2025 [October 13th, 2025]
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- Trump says he may tell Putin he may send Tomahawks to Ukraine if war not settled - Reuters - October 13th, 2025 [October 13th, 2025]
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- Trump speaks with cabinet on Gaza conflict, Russia and Ukraine - fox10tv.com - October 13th, 2025 [October 13th, 2025]
- Pope hails glimmers of hope for peace in Holy Land and prays for Ukraine - Vatican News - October 13th, 2025 [October 13th, 2025]
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- Trump says he may send Tomahawk missiles to Ukraine - Latest news from Azerbaijan - October 13th, 2025 [October 13th, 2025]
- Trump mulls arming Ukraine with Tomahawk missiles: What makes them lethal? - Business Standard - October 13th, 2025 [October 13th, 2025]
- Trump says he will urge Putin to end the war or face the US sending Tomahawks to Ukraine - The Kyiv Independent - October 13th, 2025 [October 13th, 2025]
- Washington Is Helping Ukraine Hit Russia Where It Hurts MostIts Oil Economy - UNITED24 Media - October 13th, 2025 [October 13th, 2025]
- Melania Trump discusses efforts for 'safe reunification of children' in Ukraine - NBC News - October 11th, 2025 [October 11th, 2025]
- Melania Trump: Eight children 'displaced' by war in Ukraine have been reunited with families - Sky News - October 11th, 2025 [October 11th, 2025]
- Ukraine Restores Power To Thousands After Mass Outages Caused By Russian Strikes - Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty - October 11th, 2025 [October 11th, 2025]
- Skyranger 35 to be supplied to Ukraine - Rheinmetall - October 11th, 2025 [October 11th, 2025]
- UK ready to use frozen Russian assets to fund Ukraine war effort - BBC - October 11th, 2025 [October 11th, 2025]
- On the Battlegrounds in Gaza and Ukraine with H.R. McMaster - Foundation for Defense of Democracies - October 11th, 2025 [October 11th, 2025]
- The new AI arms race changing the war in Ukraine - BBC - October 11th, 2025 [October 11th, 2025]
- Melania Trump reveals talks with Putin over kidnapped Ukraine children - The Independent - October 11th, 2025 [October 11th, 2025]
- Zelenskyy says he will nominate Trump for Nobel peace prize if he secures Ukraine ceasefire as it happened - The Guardian - October 11th, 2025 [October 11th, 2025]
- Ukraine war live: Zelensky will nominate Trump for Peace Prize if US sends Tomahawks - The Independent - October 11th, 2025 [October 11th, 2025]
- Power in Ukraine restored after massive blackout - TVP World - October 11th, 2025 [October 11th, 2025]
- Power returns after Kyiv plunged into darkness by massive Russian attack on Ukraine energy sector as it happened - The Guardian - October 11th, 2025 [October 11th, 2025]
- Power restored to 800,000 in Kyiv after major Russian strikes on Ukraine's energy grid - Yahoo News Canada - October 11th, 2025 [October 11th, 2025]
- Power restored to 800,000 in Kyiv after major Russian strikes on Ukraine's energy grid - The Lufkin Daily News - October 11th, 2025 [October 11th, 2025]
- Poland offers help as Ukraine reels from Russian attacks on energy infrastructure - Reuters - October 11th, 2025 [October 11th, 2025]
- Russian army loses another 1,060 soldiers in war against Ukraine in one day - Ukrinform - October 11th, 2025 [October 11th, 2025]
- Power restored to 800,000 in Kyiv after major Russian strikes on Ukraine's energy grid - Ottumwa Courier - October 11th, 2025 [October 11th, 2025]
- Ukraine war briefing: Analysts flag Kremlin scare campaign against use of Tomahawks - The Guardian - October 9th, 2025 [October 9th, 2025]
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- Russia escalates warning as Trump considers sale of Tomahawks to Ukraine - The Washington Post - October 9th, 2025 [October 9th, 2025]
- News: Five NATO Allies support medical rehabilitation in Ukraine, 07-Oct.-2025 - NATO - Homepage - October 9th, 2025 [October 9th, 2025]
- Beyond FPVs: Learning the Lessons of the Ukraine WarAll of Them - Modern War Institute - - October 9th, 2025 [October 9th, 2025]
- Russia says prospects for Ukraine peace deal now faded as its war rages on - Al Jazeera - October 9th, 2025 [October 9th, 2025]
- Renowned Architect Gunned Down in St. Petersburg in Suspected Murder by Ukraine War Veteran - The Moscow Times - October 9th, 2025 [October 9th, 2025]
- Ukraine war latest: Kyiv denies involvement in case of Ukrainian detained in Poland over Nord Stream sabotage - The Kyiv Independent - October 9th, 2025 [October 9th, 2025]
- Opinion | What if a Russian victory in Ukraine were only the beginning? - The Washington Post - October 9th, 2025 [October 9th, 2025]
- Russia says impetus for peace in Ukraine after Putin-Trump summit has been exhausted - Reuters - October 9th, 2025 [October 9th, 2025]
- Putin says Russia has captured nearly 5,000 square km in Ukraine this year - Reuters - October 9th, 2025 [October 9th, 2025]
- Ukraine says a massive Russian overnight missile and drone barrage was packed with 100,000 foreign-made parts - Business Insider - October 9th, 2025 [October 9th, 2025]
- Rattled Russia threatens US, Ukraine over Tomahawk missiles: We will find ways to hurt those who cause us trouble - New York Post - October 9th, 2025 [October 9th, 2025]
- Russian regions are massively boosting military sign-up bonuses to lure more people to fight in Ukraine - CNN - October 9th, 2025 [October 9th, 2025]
- Zelenskiy says Ukraine inflicts frontline losses on Russian troops in Donetsk region - Yahoo - October 9th, 2025 [October 9th, 2025]
- A Snapback Solution for Ukraine: How to Craft Security Guarantees That Kyivand MoscowWill Find Credible - Foreign Affairs - October 9th, 2025 [October 9th, 2025]
- Russia is ramping up Shahed-type drone strikes on the front line in Ukraine - The Kyiv Independent - October 9th, 2025 [October 9th, 2025]
- Ohio native, former police officer killed in Ukraine - Spectrum News - October 9th, 2025 [October 9th, 2025]
- Ukraine just broke cover on its newest homemade Neptune missile. It's bulked up with the latest upgrades. - MSN - October 9th, 2025 [October 9th, 2025]
- Ukraine says a massive Russian overnight missile and drone barrage was packed with 100,000 foreign-made parts - MSN - October 9th, 2025 [October 9th, 2025]
- Former Kent police officer dies while fighting in Ukraine - Cleveland 19 News - October 9th, 2025 [October 9th, 2025]
- Thales Anti-Drone Rockets Now Being Used In Ukraine - The War Zone - October 9th, 2025 [October 9th, 2025]
- Ukraine just broke cover on its newest homemade Neptune missile. It's bulked up with the latest upgrades. - Business Insider - October 9th, 2025 [October 9th, 2025]
- Ukraine war latest: Zelensky accuses West of zero real reaction to attack on Lviv - The Independent - October 9th, 2025 [October 9th, 2025]
- Trump pivoted on Ukraine birthright citizenship could be next - The Hill - October 9th, 2025 [October 9th, 2025]
- What to know about the Tomahawk cruise missiles Trump says he might give Ukraine - Business Insider - October 9th, 2025 [October 9th, 2025]
- Ukraine war latest: Putin gets birthday card from Kim Jong Un - with message revealed - Sky News - October 9th, 2025 [October 9th, 2025]
- Former Kent Police officer dies in Ukraine - News 5 Cleveland WEWS - October 9th, 2025 [October 9th, 2025]
- Captured Tajik tells of life on Ukraine frontlines alongside Russian forces - Yahoo - October 9th, 2025 [October 9th, 2025]
- Merkel: Poland and Baltics partly responsible for Ukraine invasion - The Telegraph - October 7th, 2025 [October 7th, 2025]
- Ukraine's Donetsk region seen as Russias gateway, not the ultimate prize in war - ABC News - Breaking News, Latest News and Videos - October 7th, 2025 [October 7th, 2025]
- Merkel blasted by Baltics, Poland for suggesting they share blame for Russias Ukraine invasion - politico.eu - October 7th, 2025 [October 7th, 2025]
- Trump says he's "sort of made a decision" on supplying Tomahawk missiles to Ukraine - Axios - October 7th, 2025 [October 7th, 2025]
- Ukraine-Russia war latest: British parts found in Russian drones used to attack Lviv, says Zelensky - The Independent - October 7th, 2025 [October 7th, 2025]
- Drones, Democracy and the War in Ukraine - The New York Times - October 7th, 2025 [October 7th, 2025]
- Ukraine war briefing: Trump says he would want to know Kyivs plans for Tomahawk missiles before supplying them - The Guardian - October 7th, 2025 [October 7th, 2025]
- Czech president presses parties to keep aid for Ukraine after critics win election - Reuters - October 7th, 2025 [October 7th, 2025]
- Europe is making a cheap anti-drone rocket for Ukraine that blasts a cloud of steel balls - Business Insider - October 7th, 2025 [October 7th, 2025]
- Ukraine-Russia war latest: Zelensky accuses West of zero real reaction to massive Russian attack that killed five - The Independent - October 7th, 2025 [October 7th, 2025]
- 'I want to find out what they're doing with them' Trump mulls sending Tomahawk missiles to Ukraine - The Kyiv Independent - October 7th, 2025 [October 7th, 2025]
- 'Putin lied to Trump and made him look weak,' former US envoy to Ukraine says - Euronews.com - October 7th, 2025 [October 7th, 2025]
- Ukraine's path to EU will be tough, with or without Hungarian hurdle - Reuters - October 7th, 2025 [October 7th, 2025]