Today’s D Brief: Ukraine, Russia escalate; Chinese fishing boats, unwanted; Small carrier, unneeded?; Lessons from Suez; And a bit more. – Defense One
Ukraine says Russia is massing troops on its border, and pro-Moscow separatists were systematically violating a ceasefire in eastern Ukraine, Reuters reports from Moscow the same day Kievs parliament officially declared an escalation in the east.
Just now catching up? The war in eastern Ukraine...has escalated sharply in recent days, the New York Times Andrew Kramer reported Tuesday from Moscow. [F]our Ukrainian soldiers were killed and another seriously wounded in a battle against Russian-backed separatists in the Donetsk Region, Kramer writes.
Whats more, the U.S. militarys European Command raised its watch level from possible crisis to potential imminent crisis the highest level in response to the deployment of the additional Russian troops. New equipment has been seen among the Russian-backed rebels, too; artillery fire has increased as well. And Russian negotiators have warned of a breakdown in peace talks that have been dragging on for years, the Times reports.
Russias reax: Point the finger at Kiev. We express concern over the growing tension and express concern that one way or another the Ukrainian side could take provocative actions that would lead to war. We really dont want to see that, Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said today from the Russian capital.
Russian hackers are believed to have snatched more State Department emails in a breach that happened last year at the Bureau of European and Eurasian Affairs and Bureau of East Asian and Pacific Affairs, Politico reports.
ICYMI: Suspected Russian hackers accessed former Homeland Security Acting Secretary Chad Wolfs emails last year, too, the Associated Press reported Monday.
And on the U.S. side, cyber defense is getting more difficult: Staffers are worn out, money is tight and the Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency is struggling to keep up with multiple competing crises, including the recently uncovered intrusions blamed on Russia and China, Politico reported separately Tuesday.
One more Russian thing: A new report from Brookings says the U.S. military should anticipate encounters with Russian private military contractors in the field. PMCs allow the Russian government to operate in places where it could not openly do so at least not without drawing international retribution or sanctions. The Department of Defense (DoD) and U.S. military leaders must plan for this increased PMC presence. What measures must be taken to protect American forces and safeguard U.S. interests? And what procedures could the U.S. military implement to effectively counter PMC operations in certain countries around the world? Some ideas, here.
PMCs in the CAR: Russian mercenaries from the Wagner group, a private military contractor, have committed human rights abuses in the Central African Republic while fighting alongside government forces, according to a group of independent UN experts, The Guardian reports. The country has been racked by a renewed bout of civil war since an alliance of rebel factions launched an offensive. More, here.
New Small Aircraft Carrier Unlikely, Admiral Says As US Navy Begins New Assessment // Marcus Weisgerber: Air warfare chief: I believe the L-class ships operating with the F-35B fit that bill.
A US Ambassador Ends His Service on the Front Lines in Syria // William Roebuck: Reflections on U.S. foreign policy in a wartorn state.
The Suez Grounding Was an Accident. The Next Blocked Chokepoint Might Not Be. // Scott Savitz: Military planners must bear in mind the tactic of blockships.
Heres How Russia and China Are Helping the U.S. // Yasmeen Serhan, The Atlantic: Beijing and Moscow are filling the vaccine gap that wealthy countries helped create.
Americas Immigration Amnesia // Caitlin Dickerson, The Atlantic: Despite recurrent claims of crisis at the border, the United States still does not have a coherent immigration policy.
Welcome to this Wednesday edition of The D Brief from Ben Watson with Bradley Peniston. Send us tips from your community right here. And if youre not already subscribed to The D Brief, you can do that here. On this day in 1945, German test pilot Hans Fay defected to the Allies but only when he learned his parents hometown of Lachenspeyerdorf was under U.S. control and landed his Messerschmitt Me 262 A-1 jet fighter at Frankfurt/Rhein-Main Airfield. The Allies would have another 16 months to learn about its design before an Army Air Corps pilot crashed it after an engine caught fire during a test flight over Ohio in August the following year.
Japan, South Korea security officials are headed to Annapolis. President Bidens National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan will welcome his counterparts from Tokyo and Seoul to a Trilateral National Security Advisors Dialogue on Friday at the U.S. Naval Academy in Annapolis. The meeting comes on the heels of Defense Secretary Lloyd Austins first overseas trip to both countries about two weeks ago.Attending: Japans National Security Secretariat Secretary General Shigeru Kitamura, and South Koreas National Security Advisor Suh Hoon.Topics of discussion include maintaining peace and stability on the Korean Peninsula, addressing the COVID-19 pandemic, and combating climate change...reflecting the importance we place on broadening and deepening our cooperation on key issues and advancing our shared prosperity across a free and open Indo-Pacific, National Security Council Spokesperson Emily Horne said in a statement Tuesday evening.
Hundreds of Chinese fishing ships are ignoring Philippine requests (Reuters) to leave its 200-mile exclusive economic zone while they allegedly wait out a storm near the contested Whitsun Reef, where some 220 boats have been fishing against Manilas wishes for the past several weeks.About this place: The reef, which Manila calls Julian Felipe, is a boomerang-shaped and shallow coral region about 175 nautical miles (324 kilometers) west of Bataraza town in the western Philippine province of Palawan, AP reported 10 days ago.About that storm: Its hard to find, judging by video from the location in question, Greg Poling of the Center for Strategic and International Studies points out on Twitter.The Philippines defense chief says hes deployed his air force to monitor the ships, and hes requested China order the fishing vessels out of Manilas EEZ, he said this weekend (al-Jazeera). We are ready to defend our national sovereignty and protect the marine resources of the Philippines, Defense Secretary Delfin Lorenzana said on Saturday.Stern talk: Neither the Philippines nor the international community will ever accept Chinas assertion of its so-called indisputable integrated sovereignty over almost all of the South China Sea, the Philippines task force on the South China Sea said in a statement today, according to Reuters, which called it Manilas strongest [statement] since President Rodrigo Duterte took power in 2016 and sought to befriend Beijing. Read on, here.
France immediately rejected a UN report accusing Paris of killing 16 civilians at a wedding in Mali back in January, Reuters reports.According to the UN, a wedding celebration was held that brought together about 100 civilians at the site of the strike, among whom five armed individuals, presumed members of [alleged regional al-Qaeda affiliate] Katiba Serma, were present. The strike is believed to have killed 19 people at that wedding, including three accused members of Katiba Serma.According to the French military, The only concrete sources on which this report is based are local testimonies. They are never transcribed, the identity of the witnesses is never specified, nor the conditions in which the testimonies were gathered...It is therefore impossible to distinguish credible sources from false testimonies by possible terrorist sympathisers or individuals under the influence (including threats) from jihadist groups.Quick background, via Reuters: France has been embroiled in Malis conflict since 2013, when it intervened to push back Islamist militants who were advancing south after seizing the desert north. The conflict has since spread to neighbouring countries in the West African Sahel region like Burkina Faso and Niger, leading to rising criticism of French forces from local activists and some politicians. More here.
The U.S. just pledged almost $600 million for Syrian refugees, Americas Ambassador to the UN Linda Thomas-Greenfield announced Tuesday. That could help a U.N.-coordinated effort [that] is seeking some $4.2 billion to help Syrians inside the country and $5.8 billion for countries hosting refugees, the Wall Street Journal reports.
Some of the alleged Capitol insurrectionists are now coming on hard times, and some are even apparently a bit sorry for stoking and participating in that insurrection on Jan. 6.Among the rude awakenings: No plea deals yet, though they may be in the works, the Associated Press reports. Given it was an attack on what many regard as the citadel of American democracy, the sentiment among prosecutors, judges and the public at large, at least for now, isnt exactly lenient. More including a possible defense invoking the psychology of crowds here.
- Analysis: Putin hints he might end Russias war in Ukraine. But why now? - CNN - May 11th, 2026 [May 11th, 2026]
- As Iran war hits U.S. weapons stocks, allies fear impact on Ukraine - The Washington Post - May 11th, 2026 [May 11th, 2026]
- Why is Putin now talking about the war in Ukraine coming to an end? - The Guardian - May 11th, 2026 [May 11th, 2026]
- Ukraine's Zelenskiy: Russia has no intention of ending this war - Reuters - May 11th, 2026 [May 11th, 2026]
- Ukraine asks Europe to broker airport ceasefire with Putin - politico.eu - May 11th, 2026 [May 11th, 2026]
- Russian losses in war with Ukraine amount to 35,000 troops per month, The Economist says - Gwara Media - May 11th, 2026 [May 11th, 2026]
- EU rejects Putin call for Gerhard Schrder role in Ukraine peace talks - The Guardian - May 11th, 2026 [May 11th, 2026]
- Russia and Ukraine accuse the other of ceasefire violations - Al Jazeera - May 11th, 2026 [May 11th, 2026]
- Russia and Ukraine accuse each other of violating U.S.-brokered ceasefire - CBS News - May 11th, 2026 [May 11th, 2026]
- Ukraine war briefing: Mixed reaction to Putin proposal of Schrder as peace mediator - The Guardian - May 11th, 2026 [May 11th, 2026]
- Putin says he thinks Ukraine conflict 'coming to an end' - BBC - May 11th, 2026 [May 11th, 2026]
- Spring in Ukraine means the return of blooms, battles and wartime tourists - The Washington Post - May 11th, 2026 [May 11th, 2026]
- Ukraine and Allies Launch New Measures to Return Children Abducted by Russia - UNITED24 Media - May 11th, 2026 [May 11th, 2026]
- Putin says he thinks Russia-Ukraine war is coming to an end - Reuters - May 11th, 2026 [May 11th, 2026]
- Is Ukraine Winning Without U.S. Help? - The Free Press - May 11th, 2026 [May 11th, 2026]
- EU capitals say momentum is shifting toward Ukraine as Russia feels the pressure - Euractiv - May 11th, 2026 [May 11th, 2026]
- It's time to admit that a strong Ukraine is a strong Europe - Euractiv - May 11th, 2026 [May 11th, 2026]
- Trump says Russia and Ukraine have agreed to his request for a 3-day ceasefire and a prisoner swap - AP News - May 11th, 2026 [May 11th, 2026]
- What Russias lowkey Victory Day celebrations reveal about Putin and the war in Ukraine - AP News - May 11th, 2026 [May 11th, 2026]
- Germany and Ukraine Launch Brave Germany Defense Alliance for AI, Drones, and Long-Range Weapons - UNITED24 Media - May 11th, 2026 [May 11th, 2026]
- Putin in Weaker Position Than Ever Before on Ukraine War: EUs Kallas - Newsweek - May 11th, 2026 [May 11th, 2026]
- Russia and Ukraine trade blame for continued fighting as US-brokered ceasefire nears its end - AP News - May 11th, 2026 [May 11th, 2026]
- Germany and Ukraine to jointly produce long-range drones [VIDEO] - TVP World - May 11th, 2026 [May 11th, 2026]
- ADAPTIVE INDOMITABLE UKRAINE: Against All Odds Still Holds Russian Territory in Kursk. And Intends to Stay - Daily Kos - May 11th, 2026 [May 11th, 2026]
- Ukraine Offers Hungary a Package of Proposals to Reset Bilateral Relations Following Historic Elections - UNITED24 Media - May 11th, 2026 [May 11th, 2026]
- Strategic partners: Germany and Ukraine to jointly produce long-range strike drones - TVP World - May 11th, 2026 [May 11th, 2026]
- Who is winning the war in Ukraine? - The Kyiv Independent - May 11th, 2026 [May 11th, 2026]
- Russia doesnt have much to celebrate on Victory Day, as Ukraine brings the war home to Putin - The Conversation - May 11th, 2026 [May 11th, 2026]
- How Ukraine Is Taking the Fight Back to Russia in Crimea - The National Interest - May 11th, 2026 [May 11th, 2026]
- Budanov: Ukraine ready for Zelensky-Putin talks if Kremlin is serious - Ukrinform - Ukrainian National News Agency - May 11th, 2026 [May 11th, 2026]
- As economic despair mounts, Russian official admits the country has had enough of the war on Ukraine - Fortune - May 3rd, 2026 [May 3rd, 2026]
- UK set to enter talks to join the European Union's $105.9 billion Ukraine loan - Reuters - May 3rd, 2026 [May 3rd, 2026]
- Ukraine Bets on AI - Small Wars Journal - May 3rd, 2026 [May 3rd, 2026]
- Ukraine sees path to getting Japanese arms after Tokyo eases export rules - The Spokesman-Review - May 3rd, 2026 [May 3rd, 2026]
- Explainer: Is Zelensky implicated in Ukraine's largest corruption scandal, and what do the new tapes reveal? - The Kyiv Independent - May 3rd, 2026 [May 3rd, 2026]
- Ukraine war latest: Poland's prime minister condemns NATO 'disintegration' as Trump says US will further reduce troop presence in Europe - The Kyiv... - May 3rd, 2026 [May 3rd, 2026]
- Catskill native Jack Vincent directs film in Ukraine - Daily Freeman - May 3rd, 2026 [May 3rd, 2026]
- Russias war casualty toll in Ukraine up by 1,080 over past day - Ukrinform - Ukrainian National News Agency - May 3rd, 2026 [May 3rd, 2026]
- UK to enter talks on joining European Unions 78bn loan for Ukraine - The Independent - May 3rd, 2026 [May 3rd, 2026]
- As Trump focuses on Iran, Europe and Ukraine strengthen ties - Politico - May 1st, 2026 [May 1st, 2026]
- Hezbollah adopts a new weapon: Fiber-optic drones, used widely in the war in Ukraine - NBC News - May 1st, 2026 [May 1st, 2026]
- Ukraine Reacts With Shrug to Phone Call Between Trump and Putin - The New York Times - May 1st, 2026 [May 1st, 2026]
- Ukraine says a strike hit Tuapse oil terminal, the fourth attack on the region in 2 weeks - Northeast Mississippi Daily Journal - May 1st, 2026 [May 1st, 2026]
- Russia unleashed record number of attack drones on Ukraine in April - TVP World - May 1st, 2026 [May 1st, 2026]
- Ukraine says a strike hit Tuapse oil terminal, the fourth attack on the region in 2 weeks - The Killeen Daily Herald - May 1st, 2026 [May 1st, 2026]
- 'We're Learning From Them': Canada's First Female Military Chief on Ukraine, Russia, and What Comes Next - Kyiv Post - May 1st, 2026 [May 1st, 2026]
- 'We should be able to open up negotiations' with Ukraine, Sweden's EU minister says - Talking Europe - France 24 - May 1st, 2026 [May 1st, 2026]
- It takes two to tango: Will Ukraine meet China halfway? - Friends of Socialist China - May 1st, 2026 [May 1st, 2026]
- The tables have turned. Ukraine is now readying the West for modern war with its weapons and combat expertise. - Business Insider - May 1st, 2026 [May 1st, 2026]
- Opinion: Russia, slipping in Ukraine, is now also losing its grip in Mali - MSN - May 1st, 2026 [May 1st, 2026]
- Exclusive: Here's why Trump's envoys aren't going to Ukraine - The Kyiv Independent - May 1st, 2026 [May 1st, 2026]
- FACT-CHECK: Did Secretary Hegseth Just Fib to Congress About Ukraine and Russia? - Kyiv Post - May 1st, 2026 [May 1st, 2026]
- Margaret Atwood to Headline Canada-Ukraine Foundations 30th Anniversary Gala - markets.businessinsider.com - May 1st, 2026 [May 1st, 2026]
- The First Investors in Ukraine Will Own the UpsideLessons from a Simulmedia Founder - UNITED24 Media - May 1st, 2026 [May 1st, 2026]
- Zelensky orders Ukraine military reform that would allow phased discharge of mobilized soldiers - Meduza - May 1st, 2026 [May 1st, 2026]
- Ambassador: Japan Could Help Ukraine Fund Air Defense Systems to Reduce Reliance on Patriot - - May 1st, 2026 [May 1st, 2026]
- At least 1 killed, 52 injured in Russian attacks on Ukraine over past day - The Kyiv Independent - May 1st, 2026 [May 1st, 2026]
- Army reform in Ukraine to boost combat pay and reshape how troops are recruited and retained - Euromaidan Press - May 1st, 2026 [May 1st, 2026]
- US ambassador to Ukraine appointed by Trump steps down after less than a year in the job - The Guardian - April 29th, 2026 [April 29th, 2026]
- Opinion | Why is the Pentagon holding up Ukraine funds? - The Washington Post - April 29th, 2026 [April 29th, 2026]
- Third Ukraine strike on Tuapse hits Russian oil refinery and prompts evacuations - BBC - April 29th, 2026 [April 29th, 2026]
- Media Alert: Stories of Hope: Nourishing Resilience in Ukraine, Hosted with the Embassy of Ukraine - World Central Kitchen - April 29th, 2026 [April 29th, 2026]
- Acting U.S. Ambassador to Ukraine Julie Davis stepping down, but officials deny reports of dispute with Trump - CBS News - April 29th, 2026 [April 29th, 2026]
- At least three killed, more than 10 injured in Russian attacks on Ukraine - Al Jazeera - April 29th, 2026 [April 29th, 2026]
- Opinion | Ukraine took Russias best punch. It wants to teach Europe what it learned. - The Washington Post - April 29th, 2026 [April 29th, 2026]
- Zelensky Hails Fair Response as Ukraine Strikes Orsk and Perm 1,500 km Behind the Lines - Kyiv Post - April 29th, 2026 [April 29th, 2026]
- Ukraine asks Israel to seize vessel it says is carrying grain stolen by Russia - Reuters - April 29th, 2026 [April 29th, 2026]
- McConnell lays into Pentagon for sitting on $400M in Ukraine aid - The Hill - April 29th, 2026 [April 29th, 2026]
- As Crystal Palace await, Shakhtar Donetsk are using Conference League run to ensure Ukraine isn't forgotten - ESPN - April 29th, 2026 [April 29th, 2026]
- Ukraine war flips Swedens Hagglunds fortunes from layoffs to billions - Reuters - April 29th, 2026 [April 29th, 2026]
- North Korean Troops Ordered to Kill Themselves in Ukraine, Kim Jong Un Confirms - Kyiv Post - April 29th, 2026 [April 29th, 2026]
- Ukraine accuses Israel of receiving shipments of grain 'stolen' by Russia - BBC - April 29th, 2026 [April 29th, 2026]
- The Tank Didn't Fail in Ukraine. The NATO System Did. Now Europe Has to Build a New One - Eyes Only with Wes O'Donnell - April 29th, 2026 [April 29th, 2026]
- OPINION: Europes Ukraine Line Is Starting to Blur and the Timing Isnt Random - Kyiv Post - April 29th, 2026 [April 29th, 2026]
- Inside Ukraine's drive to defeat the dreaded Shahed drone - Reuters - April 29th, 2026 [April 29th, 2026]
- King Charles praises Nato and urges defence of Ukraine in key speech during Trump visit - The Guardian - April 29th, 2026 [April 29th, 2026]
- As Patriots run low, Ukraine may have invented a new way to down Russias 'unstoppable' Kinzhal missiles - The Kyiv Independent - April 29th, 2026 [April 29th, 2026]
- Ukraine Identifies More Than 28,000 Foreign Nationals Fighting for Russias Army - UNITED24 Media - April 29th, 2026 [April 29th, 2026]
- Ukraine urges Israel to seize Russia-linked ship suspected of carrying stolen grain - ynetnews - April 29th, 2026 [April 29th, 2026]
- Acting U.S. ambassador to Ukraine to exit in June, barely a year after her predecessor left - CBC - April 29th, 2026 [April 29th, 2026]