Today’s D Brief: Ukraine, Russia escalate; Chinese fishing boats, unwanted; Small carrier, unneeded?; Lessons from Suez; And a bit more. – Defense One
Ukraine says Russia is massing troops on its border, and pro-Moscow separatists were systematically violating a ceasefire in eastern Ukraine, Reuters reports from Moscow the same day Kievs parliament officially declared an escalation in the east.
Just now catching up? The war in eastern Ukraine...has escalated sharply in recent days, the New York Times Andrew Kramer reported Tuesday from Moscow. [F]our Ukrainian soldiers were killed and another seriously wounded in a battle against Russian-backed separatists in the Donetsk Region, Kramer writes.
Whats more, the U.S. militarys European Command raised its watch level from possible crisis to potential imminent crisis the highest level in response to the deployment of the additional Russian troops. New equipment has been seen among the Russian-backed rebels, too; artillery fire has increased as well. And Russian negotiators have warned of a breakdown in peace talks that have been dragging on for years, the Times reports.
Russias reax: Point the finger at Kiev. We express concern over the growing tension and express concern that one way or another the Ukrainian side could take provocative actions that would lead to war. We really dont want to see that, Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said today from the Russian capital.
Russian hackers are believed to have snatched more State Department emails in a breach that happened last year at the Bureau of European and Eurasian Affairs and Bureau of East Asian and Pacific Affairs, Politico reports.
ICYMI: Suspected Russian hackers accessed former Homeland Security Acting Secretary Chad Wolfs emails last year, too, the Associated Press reported Monday.
And on the U.S. side, cyber defense is getting more difficult: Staffers are worn out, money is tight and the Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency is struggling to keep up with multiple competing crises, including the recently uncovered intrusions blamed on Russia and China, Politico reported separately Tuesday.
One more Russian thing: A new report from Brookings says the U.S. military should anticipate encounters with Russian private military contractors in the field. PMCs allow the Russian government to operate in places where it could not openly do so at least not without drawing international retribution or sanctions. The Department of Defense (DoD) and U.S. military leaders must plan for this increased PMC presence. What measures must be taken to protect American forces and safeguard U.S. interests? And what procedures could the U.S. military implement to effectively counter PMC operations in certain countries around the world? Some ideas, here.
PMCs in the CAR: Russian mercenaries from the Wagner group, a private military contractor, have committed human rights abuses in the Central African Republic while fighting alongside government forces, according to a group of independent UN experts, The Guardian reports. The country has been racked by a renewed bout of civil war since an alliance of rebel factions launched an offensive. More, here.
New Small Aircraft Carrier Unlikely, Admiral Says As US Navy Begins New Assessment // Marcus Weisgerber: Air warfare chief: I believe the L-class ships operating with the F-35B fit that bill.
A US Ambassador Ends His Service on the Front Lines in Syria // William Roebuck: Reflections on U.S. foreign policy in a wartorn state.
The Suez Grounding Was an Accident. The Next Blocked Chokepoint Might Not Be. // Scott Savitz: Military planners must bear in mind the tactic of blockships.
Heres How Russia and China Are Helping the U.S. // Yasmeen Serhan, The Atlantic: Beijing and Moscow are filling the vaccine gap that wealthy countries helped create.
Americas Immigration Amnesia // Caitlin Dickerson, The Atlantic: Despite recurrent claims of crisis at the border, the United States still does not have a coherent immigration policy.
Welcome to this Wednesday edition of The D Brief from Ben Watson with Bradley Peniston. Send us tips from your community right here. And if youre not already subscribed to The D Brief, you can do that here. On this day in 1945, German test pilot Hans Fay defected to the Allies but only when he learned his parents hometown of Lachenspeyerdorf was under U.S. control and landed his Messerschmitt Me 262 A-1 jet fighter at Frankfurt/Rhein-Main Airfield. The Allies would have another 16 months to learn about its design before an Army Air Corps pilot crashed it after an engine caught fire during a test flight over Ohio in August the following year.
Japan, South Korea security officials are headed to Annapolis. President Bidens National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan will welcome his counterparts from Tokyo and Seoul to a Trilateral National Security Advisors Dialogue on Friday at the U.S. Naval Academy in Annapolis. The meeting comes on the heels of Defense Secretary Lloyd Austins first overseas trip to both countries about two weeks ago.Attending: Japans National Security Secretariat Secretary General Shigeru Kitamura, and South Koreas National Security Advisor Suh Hoon.Topics of discussion include maintaining peace and stability on the Korean Peninsula, addressing the COVID-19 pandemic, and combating climate change...reflecting the importance we place on broadening and deepening our cooperation on key issues and advancing our shared prosperity across a free and open Indo-Pacific, National Security Council Spokesperson Emily Horne said in a statement Tuesday evening.
Hundreds of Chinese fishing ships are ignoring Philippine requests (Reuters) to leave its 200-mile exclusive economic zone while they allegedly wait out a storm near the contested Whitsun Reef, where some 220 boats have been fishing against Manilas wishes for the past several weeks.About this place: The reef, which Manila calls Julian Felipe, is a boomerang-shaped and shallow coral region about 175 nautical miles (324 kilometers) west of Bataraza town in the western Philippine province of Palawan, AP reported 10 days ago.About that storm: Its hard to find, judging by video from the location in question, Greg Poling of the Center for Strategic and International Studies points out on Twitter.The Philippines defense chief says hes deployed his air force to monitor the ships, and hes requested China order the fishing vessels out of Manilas EEZ, he said this weekend (al-Jazeera). We are ready to defend our national sovereignty and protect the marine resources of the Philippines, Defense Secretary Delfin Lorenzana said on Saturday.Stern talk: Neither the Philippines nor the international community will ever accept Chinas assertion of its so-called indisputable integrated sovereignty over almost all of the South China Sea, the Philippines task force on the South China Sea said in a statement today, according to Reuters, which called it Manilas strongest [statement] since President Rodrigo Duterte took power in 2016 and sought to befriend Beijing. Read on, here.
France immediately rejected a UN report accusing Paris of killing 16 civilians at a wedding in Mali back in January, Reuters reports.According to the UN, a wedding celebration was held that brought together about 100 civilians at the site of the strike, among whom five armed individuals, presumed members of [alleged regional al-Qaeda affiliate] Katiba Serma, were present. The strike is believed to have killed 19 people at that wedding, including three accused members of Katiba Serma.According to the French military, The only concrete sources on which this report is based are local testimonies. They are never transcribed, the identity of the witnesses is never specified, nor the conditions in which the testimonies were gathered...It is therefore impossible to distinguish credible sources from false testimonies by possible terrorist sympathisers or individuals under the influence (including threats) from jihadist groups.Quick background, via Reuters: France has been embroiled in Malis conflict since 2013, when it intervened to push back Islamist militants who were advancing south after seizing the desert north. The conflict has since spread to neighbouring countries in the West African Sahel region like Burkina Faso and Niger, leading to rising criticism of French forces from local activists and some politicians. More here.
The U.S. just pledged almost $600 million for Syrian refugees, Americas Ambassador to the UN Linda Thomas-Greenfield announced Tuesday. That could help a U.N.-coordinated effort [that] is seeking some $4.2 billion to help Syrians inside the country and $5.8 billion for countries hosting refugees, the Wall Street Journal reports.
Some of the alleged Capitol insurrectionists are now coming on hard times, and some are even apparently a bit sorry for stoking and participating in that insurrection on Jan. 6.Among the rude awakenings: No plea deals yet, though they may be in the works, the Associated Press reports. Given it was an attack on what many regard as the citadel of American democracy, the sentiment among prosecutors, judges and the public at large, at least for now, isnt exactly lenient. More including a possible defense invoking the psychology of crowds here.
- Ukraine abandons truce and attacks Russian oil refinery as Zelenskyy says he feels betrayed by Trump - AP News - October 17th, 2026 [October 17th, 2026]
- UK, France, and Germany Gear Up for Ukraine Deployment With Major Military Drills in Poland - UNITED24 Media - October 17th, 2026 [October 17th, 2026]
- Exclusive: Ukraine runs out of Patriot interceptor missiles as Zelensky and Trump clash over war - CNN - October 17th, 2026 [October 17th, 2026]
- Ukraine Claws Back Land in the Donbas, Thwarting a Russian Push - The New York Times - October 17th, 2026 [October 17th, 2026]
- Trump says US still sharing intel, even as Ukraine reports attacks with no warnings - Reuters - October 17th, 2026 [October 17th, 2026]
- Ukraine faces grim question of whether it can take on Russia without US backing - The Hill - October 17th, 2026 [October 17th, 2026]
- Elons gone from friend to foe in Ukraine - CNN - October 17th, 2026 [October 17th, 2026]
- Ukraine says new Starlink restrictions disrupt military as it reels from intel gaps and Trump clash - NBC News - October 17th, 2026 [October 17th, 2026]
- Ukraine warns Starlink limits are disrupting military operations as Russia pounds its energy infrastructure - CNBC - October 17th, 2026 [October 17th, 2026]
- The Rupturing Trump-Zelensky Relationship Stands to Hurt Ukraine and Its European Allies - The New York Times - October 17th, 2026 [October 17th, 2026]
- Zelensky says Ukraine has right to defend itself after Trump calls latest strikes a 'disgrace' - BBC - October 17th, 2026 [October 17th, 2026]
- Defying Trump, Zelensky Says Ukraine Will Resume Russian Refinery Strikes - The New York Times - October 17th, 2026 [October 17th, 2026]
- U.S. may have withheld warnings to Ukraine of Russian strikes that killed 6, cut power to 600,000, sources say - CBS News - October 17th, 2026 [October 17th, 2026]
- The Defector: A Russian Officer Turned Against His Country and Helped Ukraine Kill Hundreds - WSJ - October 17th, 2026 [October 17th, 2026]
- Belgium to transfer three F-16s to Ukraine this year, Zelenskiy says - reuters.com - September 29th, 2026 [September 29th, 2026]
- Why is South Korea so angry with Ukraine over two North Korean prisoners of war? - The Guardian - September 29th, 2026 [September 29th, 2026]
- More NATO countries are buying a US-made interceptor that has downed thousands of Russian drones in Ukraine - Business Insider - September 29th, 2026 [September 29th, 2026]
- Ukraine to Have $54 Billion Funding Gap by 2029, IMF Predicts - bloomberg.com - September 29th, 2026 [September 29th, 2026]
- Putin envoy, US officials discussed Ukraine war and energy initiatives, US official says - reuters.com - September 29th, 2026 [September 29th, 2026]
- Russian strikes on Ukraine kill at least 7, including woman at Kyiv's National Academy of Sciences - CBS News - September 29th, 2026 [September 29th, 2026]
- Their Sons Are Dying on Battlefields in Ukraine. They Still Back Russias War. - The New York Times - September 29th, 2026 [September 29th, 2026]
- These teens lost parents to fighting Russia. Ukraine is training them for war - The Detroit News - September 29th, 2026 [September 29th, 2026]
- How the War in Ukraine Has Restricted the Way We See the Countrys Art - Ocula - September 29th, 2026 [September 29th, 2026]
- Putin Envoy, U.S. Officials Discussed Ukraine War and Energy Initiatives, U.S. Official Says - The Moscow Times - September 29th, 2026 [September 29th, 2026]
- Tuesday, September 29. Russias War On Ukraine: News And Information From Ukraine - forbes.com - September 29th, 2026 [September 29th, 2026]
- Ukraine's Battlefield Supply Robots Have Learned How to Swim - Business Insider - September 29th, 2026 [September 29th, 2026]
- Russia has increased its use of drones against Ukraine in September Air Force - Ukrinform - September 29th, 2026 [September 29th, 2026]
- Russian hackers Star Blizzard expand targeting, change up tactics to reach Ukraine and beyond - CyberScoop - September 29th, 2026 [September 29th, 2026]
- Zelenskyy says Belgium to transfer three F-16 fighter jets to Ukraine by year's end - Anadolu Ajans - September 29th, 2026 [September 29th, 2026]
- Ukraine pushes for 'bold action' on Russian assets to plug $78 billion gap in 2027 - euronews.com - September 29th, 2026 [September 29th, 2026]
- Ukraine seeks to expand Solidarity Lanes via Germany and other EU states Vysotskyi - Ukrinform - September 29th, 2026 [September 29th, 2026]
- Kazakh president again calls on Putin to freeze war in Ukraine after talks in Germany - - September 29th, 2026 [September 29th, 2026]
- Ukraine Confirms More Than 20,000 Children Were Unlawfully Deported or Forcibly Transferred - UNITED24 Media - September 29th, 2026 [September 29th, 2026]
- Germany and Slovakia Push for Stronger Pressure on Russia to Protect Ukraine - UNITED24 Media - September 29th, 2026 [September 29th, 2026]
- Moldova's PM on confronting Russian threats and backing Ukraine - pbs.org - September 24th, 2026 [September 24th, 2026]
- Kremlin signals before Lavrov-Rubio meeting that its stance on Ukraine peace talks remains unchanged - Reuters - September 24th, 2026 [September 24th, 2026]
- Senior NATO commander warns Putin is becoming more cavalier and open to risk as Ukraine war drags on - pbs.org - September 24th, 2026 [September 24th, 2026]
- Zelenskyy urges stronger pressure on Russia, warns wars impact is spreading beyond Ukraine - UN News - September 24th, 2026 [September 24th, 2026]
- Zelensky accuses Putin of using nationals of 47 countries to fight Ukraine war - France 24 - September 24th, 2026 [September 24th, 2026]
- Ukraine - Welcome to the United Nations - September 24th, 2026 [September 24th, 2026]
- Agreement on long-term support and cooperation between Australia and Ukraine - foreignminister.gov.au - September 24th, 2026 [September 24th, 2026]
- Zelenskyy says Ukraine ready for energy truce with Russia after Trump talks - Al Jazeera - September 24th, 2026 [September 24th, 2026]
- Russia-Ukraine war is accelerating the dangerous race toward fully autonomous drones - The Conversation - September 24th, 2026 [September 24th, 2026]
- Russia/Ukraine: Statement by the High Representative on behalf of the EU on Russian State Duma elections held on 18-20 September 2026 and their... - September 24th, 2026 [September 24th, 2026]
- Wheat buyers brace for higher costs as Russia-Ukraine war drags on - Reuters - September 24th, 2026 [September 24th, 2026]
- Russia holds parliamentary vote in areas it seized from Ukraine in the war - NPR - September 24th, 2026 [September 24th, 2026]
- Ukraine fires over 1,000 drones at Russia, including largest ever attack on Moscow - AP News - September 24th, 2026 [September 24th, 2026]
- Sexual violence against civilians and POWs in Ukraine widespread and abhorrent - UN News - September 24th, 2026 [September 24th, 2026]
- Zelenskyy addresses UN as Rubio of U.S. says Ukraine, Russia have interest in limited ceasefire - CBC - September 24th, 2026 [September 24th, 2026]
- Exclusive: EU countries sound alarm over weapons brought back from Ukraine front line - Euronews.com - September 24th, 2026 [September 24th, 2026]
- Foreign Secretary address to the UNSC on Ukraine - gov.uk - September 24th, 2026 [September 24th, 2026]
- Video: Zelensky Warns That Russias War in Ukraine Is Spreading - The New York Times - September 24th, 2026 [September 24th, 2026]
- U.N. Updates: Zelensky Warns of Growing Global Cost of Russias War in Ukraine - The New York Times - September 24th, 2026 [September 24th, 2026]
- Finland and Ukraine sign Drone Deal to boost their defence and security cooperation - patriagroup.com - September 24th, 2026 [September 24th, 2026]
- Ukraine's winter warning to Canada: Help us keep the lights on - CBC - September 24th, 2026 [September 24th, 2026]
- Ukraine targets Moscow with hundreds of drones on final day of Russian election - The Guardian - September 24th, 2026 [September 24th, 2026]
- Finland and Ukraine Join Forces on Next-Gen Drone Production - UNITED24 Media - September 24th, 2026 [September 24th, 2026]
- Beslov Hasid man arrested in Ukraine was drafted into the army and stationed in Kharkov as a doctor - Ynetnews - September 24th, 2026 [September 24th, 2026]
- Zelensky tells world leaders that Putin is patient zero spreading war globally - but Ukraine has a cure - The Independent - September 24th, 2026 [September 24th, 2026]
- President calls for peace in Ukraine and security in the Black Sea - - September 24th, 2026 [September 24th, 2026]
- At least 37 dead and hundreds evacuated after strike on Kyiv weapons depot - BBC - August 31st, 2026 [August 31st, 2026]
- Death toll rises to 38 from Russias deadliest attack on Ukraine this year - NBC News - August 31st, 2026 [August 31st, 2026]
- Russian strikes on food warehouses pose threat of shortages in Ukraine - The Washington Post - August 31st, 2026 [August 31st, 2026]
- Russia is slowly grinding through the Donbas as Ukraine braces for a brutal fight over its last strongholds - Business Insider - August 31st, 2026 [August 31st, 2026]
- Ukraine war briefing: Nuclear plant has lost power and running on generators, UN watchdog says - The Guardian - August 31st, 2026 [August 31st, 2026]
- Death toll rises to 38 from Russias deadliest attack on Ukraine this year - AP News - August 31st, 2026 [August 31st, 2026]
- 'Run you fools, you will die': Meet the unit of Russian defectors fighting for Ukraine - Sky News - August 31st, 2026 [August 31st, 2026]
- Unrealistic optimism isnt helping Ukraine - The Telegraph - August 31st, 2026 [August 31st, 2026]
- Death toll rises to 38 from Russia's deadliest attack on Ukraine this year - The Journal Gazette - August 31st, 2026 [August 31st, 2026]
- A look at the deadliest Russian attacks on Ukraine this year - AP News - August 31st, 2026 [August 31st, 2026]
- Ukraine war transforms European security architecture and global balance of powe - The Jerusalem Post - August 31st, 2026 [August 31st, 2026]
- Death toll rises to 38 from Russias deadliest attack on Ukraine this year - Butler Eagle - August 31st, 2026 [August 31st, 2026]
- Russia launches nearly 1,500 drones at Ukraine in four days, including about 800 jet-powered ones, Zelensky sa - Ukrinform - August 31st, 2026 [August 31st, 2026]
- Death toll rises to 38 from Russias deadliest attack on Ukraine this year - WFXRtv - August 31st, 2026 [August 31st, 2026]
- Russia is running out of cash due to its war in Ukraine: report - Defense News - August 29th, 2026 [August 29th, 2026]
- Russian drones batter Ukraine's Kyiv region, hitting apartments and warehouses for a second day - ABC News - Breaking News, Latest News and Videos - August 29th, 2026 [August 29th, 2026]
- Russia planning operation in northern Ukraine, including Kyiv, military says - The Kyiv Independent - August 29th, 2026 [August 29th, 2026]
- DW News. . Russian strikes near Kyiv have killed at least 37 people in one of the deadliest attacks this year. The strikes hit a depot which stored... - August 29th, 2026 [August 29th, 2026]
- 37 killed in Ukraine after Russian attack sparks fire at warehouse near Kyiv - The Times of Israel - August 29th, 2026 [August 29th, 2026]
- Kremlin sets unrealistic goal to capture Donbas by end of year, Ukraine says - TVP World - August 29th, 2026 [August 29th, 2026]