Today’s D Brief: Ukraine, Russia escalate; Chinese fishing boats, unwanted; Small carrier, unneeded?; Lessons from Suez; And a bit more. – Defense One
Ukraine says Russia is massing troops on its border, and pro-Moscow separatists were systematically violating a ceasefire in eastern Ukraine, Reuters reports from Moscow the same day Kievs parliament officially declared an escalation in the east.
Just now catching up? The war in eastern Ukraine...has escalated sharply in recent days, the New York Times Andrew Kramer reported Tuesday from Moscow. [F]our Ukrainian soldiers were killed and another seriously wounded in a battle against Russian-backed separatists in the Donetsk Region, Kramer writes.
Whats more, the U.S. militarys European Command raised its watch level from possible crisis to potential imminent crisis the highest level in response to the deployment of the additional Russian troops. New equipment has been seen among the Russian-backed rebels, too; artillery fire has increased as well. And Russian negotiators have warned of a breakdown in peace talks that have been dragging on for years, the Times reports.
Russias reax: Point the finger at Kiev. We express concern over the growing tension and express concern that one way or another the Ukrainian side could take provocative actions that would lead to war. We really dont want to see that, Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said today from the Russian capital.
Russian hackers are believed to have snatched more State Department emails in a breach that happened last year at the Bureau of European and Eurasian Affairs and Bureau of East Asian and Pacific Affairs, Politico reports.
ICYMI: Suspected Russian hackers accessed former Homeland Security Acting Secretary Chad Wolfs emails last year, too, the Associated Press reported Monday.
And on the U.S. side, cyber defense is getting more difficult: Staffers are worn out, money is tight and the Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency is struggling to keep up with multiple competing crises, including the recently uncovered intrusions blamed on Russia and China, Politico reported separately Tuesday.
One more Russian thing: A new report from Brookings says the U.S. military should anticipate encounters with Russian private military contractors in the field. PMCs allow the Russian government to operate in places where it could not openly do so at least not without drawing international retribution or sanctions. The Department of Defense (DoD) and U.S. military leaders must plan for this increased PMC presence. What measures must be taken to protect American forces and safeguard U.S. interests? And what procedures could the U.S. military implement to effectively counter PMC operations in certain countries around the world? Some ideas, here.
PMCs in the CAR: Russian mercenaries from the Wagner group, a private military contractor, have committed human rights abuses in the Central African Republic while fighting alongside government forces, according to a group of independent UN experts, The Guardian reports. The country has been racked by a renewed bout of civil war since an alliance of rebel factions launched an offensive. More, here.
New Small Aircraft Carrier Unlikely, Admiral Says As US Navy Begins New Assessment // Marcus Weisgerber: Air warfare chief: I believe the L-class ships operating with the F-35B fit that bill.
A US Ambassador Ends His Service on the Front Lines in Syria // William Roebuck: Reflections on U.S. foreign policy in a wartorn state.
The Suez Grounding Was an Accident. The Next Blocked Chokepoint Might Not Be. // Scott Savitz: Military planners must bear in mind the tactic of blockships.
Heres How Russia and China Are Helping the U.S. // Yasmeen Serhan, The Atlantic: Beijing and Moscow are filling the vaccine gap that wealthy countries helped create.
Americas Immigration Amnesia // Caitlin Dickerson, The Atlantic: Despite recurrent claims of crisis at the border, the United States still does not have a coherent immigration policy.
Welcome to this Wednesday edition of The D Brief from Ben Watson with Bradley Peniston. Send us tips from your community right here. And if youre not already subscribed to The D Brief, you can do that here. On this day in 1945, German test pilot Hans Fay defected to the Allies but only when he learned his parents hometown of Lachenspeyerdorf was under U.S. control and landed his Messerschmitt Me 262 A-1 jet fighter at Frankfurt/Rhein-Main Airfield. The Allies would have another 16 months to learn about its design before an Army Air Corps pilot crashed it after an engine caught fire during a test flight over Ohio in August the following year.
Japan, South Korea security officials are headed to Annapolis. President Bidens National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan will welcome his counterparts from Tokyo and Seoul to a Trilateral National Security Advisors Dialogue on Friday at the U.S. Naval Academy in Annapolis. The meeting comes on the heels of Defense Secretary Lloyd Austins first overseas trip to both countries about two weeks ago.Attending: Japans National Security Secretariat Secretary General Shigeru Kitamura, and South Koreas National Security Advisor Suh Hoon.Topics of discussion include maintaining peace and stability on the Korean Peninsula, addressing the COVID-19 pandemic, and combating climate change...reflecting the importance we place on broadening and deepening our cooperation on key issues and advancing our shared prosperity across a free and open Indo-Pacific, National Security Council Spokesperson Emily Horne said in a statement Tuesday evening.
Hundreds of Chinese fishing ships are ignoring Philippine requests (Reuters) to leave its 200-mile exclusive economic zone while they allegedly wait out a storm near the contested Whitsun Reef, where some 220 boats have been fishing against Manilas wishes for the past several weeks.About this place: The reef, which Manila calls Julian Felipe, is a boomerang-shaped and shallow coral region about 175 nautical miles (324 kilometers) west of Bataraza town in the western Philippine province of Palawan, AP reported 10 days ago.About that storm: Its hard to find, judging by video from the location in question, Greg Poling of the Center for Strategic and International Studies points out on Twitter.The Philippines defense chief says hes deployed his air force to monitor the ships, and hes requested China order the fishing vessels out of Manilas EEZ, he said this weekend (al-Jazeera). We are ready to defend our national sovereignty and protect the marine resources of the Philippines, Defense Secretary Delfin Lorenzana said on Saturday.Stern talk: Neither the Philippines nor the international community will ever accept Chinas assertion of its so-called indisputable integrated sovereignty over almost all of the South China Sea, the Philippines task force on the South China Sea said in a statement today, according to Reuters, which called it Manilas strongest [statement] since President Rodrigo Duterte took power in 2016 and sought to befriend Beijing. Read on, here.
France immediately rejected a UN report accusing Paris of killing 16 civilians at a wedding in Mali back in January, Reuters reports.According to the UN, a wedding celebration was held that brought together about 100 civilians at the site of the strike, among whom five armed individuals, presumed members of [alleged regional al-Qaeda affiliate] Katiba Serma, were present. The strike is believed to have killed 19 people at that wedding, including three accused members of Katiba Serma.According to the French military, The only concrete sources on which this report is based are local testimonies. They are never transcribed, the identity of the witnesses is never specified, nor the conditions in which the testimonies were gathered...It is therefore impossible to distinguish credible sources from false testimonies by possible terrorist sympathisers or individuals under the influence (including threats) from jihadist groups.Quick background, via Reuters: France has been embroiled in Malis conflict since 2013, when it intervened to push back Islamist militants who were advancing south after seizing the desert north. The conflict has since spread to neighbouring countries in the West African Sahel region like Burkina Faso and Niger, leading to rising criticism of French forces from local activists and some politicians. More here.
The U.S. just pledged almost $600 million for Syrian refugees, Americas Ambassador to the UN Linda Thomas-Greenfield announced Tuesday. That could help a U.N.-coordinated effort [that] is seeking some $4.2 billion to help Syrians inside the country and $5.8 billion for countries hosting refugees, the Wall Street Journal reports.
Some of the alleged Capitol insurrectionists are now coming on hard times, and some are even apparently a bit sorry for stoking and participating in that insurrection on Jan. 6.Among the rude awakenings: No plea deals yet, though they may be in the works, the Associated Press reports. Given it was an attack on what many regard as the citadel of American democracy, the sentiment among prosecutors, judges and the public at large, at least for now, isnt exactly lenient. More including a possible defense invoking the psychology of crowds here.
- Russian Minister Who Had Led Region Later Invaded by Ukraine Is Found Dead - The New York Times - July 8th, 2025 [July 8th, 2025]
- In Sumy, Ukraine, the front line is drawing near but we refuse to leave - Al Jazeera - July 8th, 2025 [July 8th, 2025]
- Ukraine war briefing: US to resume shipments of weapons for Ukrainian defence - The Guardian - July 8th, 2025 [July 8th, 2025]
- Trump embarrasses the Pentagon with a U-turn on Ukraine - The Economist - July 8th, 2025 [July 8th, 2025]
- Trump says U.S. will send more weapons to Ukraine - The Washington Post - July 8th, 2025 [July 8th, 2025]
- Trump says US will send more weapons to Ukraine - Reuters - July 8th, 2025 [July 8th, 2025]
- Trump to Resume Sending Weapons to Ukraine - WSJ - July 8th, 2025 [July 8th, 2025]
- Opinion | The Case for Cutting Off Weapons to Ukraine - WSJ - July 8th, 2025 [July 8th, 2025]
- US to send more weapons to Ukraine, Trump says - Al Jazeera - July 8th, 2025 [July 8th, 2025]
- 'We have to': Trump sending weapons to Ukraine after expressing disappointment with Putin - USA Today - July 8th, 2025 [July 8th, 2025]
- US backs Natos latest pledge of support for Ukraine, but in reality seems to have abandoned its European partners - The Conversation - July 8th, 2025 [July 8th, 2025]
- Trump says US will send more weapons to Ukraine: They have to be able to defend themselves - New York Post - July 8th, 2025 [July 8th, 2025]
- Macrons U.K. State Visit: Migrants and the War in Ukraine Are on the Agenda - The New York Times - July 8th, 2025 [July 8th, 2025]
- What Is Trump Trying to Do With Russia and Ukraine Now? - Slate - July 8th, 2025 [July 8th, 2025]
- Trump says US will resume weapon shipments to Ukraine days after pause - The Independent - July 8th, 2025 [July 8th, 2025]
- US to resume delivery of 'defensive weapons' to Ukraine, says Trump - France 24 - July 8th, 2025 [July 8th, 2025]
- Trump says he'll send Ukraine more weapons: "They have to be able to defend themselves" - Axios - July 8th, 2025 [July 8th, 2025]
- The doctor fighting for women's health on Ukraine's front line - BBC - July 8th, 2025 [July 8th, 2025]
- US envoy Kellogg to attend Ukraine aid conference in Rome - Reuters - July 8th, 2025 [July 8th, 2025]
- Donald Trump says US will send Ukraine more arms - Financial Times - July 8th, 2025 [July 8th, 2025]
- Russia and Ukraine trade drone strikes as Kyiv signs deals to boost drone production - AP News - July 8th, 2025 [July 8th, 2025]
- As Ukraine awaits stalled US weapons, Trump says he's 'helping a lot' in war with Russia - The Kyiv Independent - July 8th, 2025 [July 8th, 2025]
- Opinion | Trump Is Disappointed With Putin on Ukraine - WSJ - July 8th, 2025 [July 8th, 2025]
- Through Fire and Faith: Stories of Resilience in Ukraine - CityWatch LA - July 8th, 2025 [July 8th, 2025]
- How Trump Can Help Ukraine Win The War And Make Russia Pay For It - Forbes - July 8th, 2025 [July 8th, 2025]
- Kellogg, Umerov set to meet, discuss resumption of US military aid to Ukraine, Politico reports - The Kyiv Independent - July 8th, 2025 [July 8th, 2025]
- 'They have to be able to defend themselves' Trump says US will send additional weapons shipments to Ukraine, criticizes Putin - The Kyiv Independent - July 8th, 2025 [July 8th, 2025]
- 11 injured as Russia attacks Ukraine with hundreds of drones - ABC News - Breaking News, Latest News and Videos - July 6th, 2025 [July 6th, 2025]
- Russia hits Ukraine with largest aerial attack as Trump talks to Zelenskyy and Putin - NPR - July 6th, 2025 [July 6th, 2025]
- Trump has good conversation with Zelenskyy after heavy bombardment of Ukraine by Russia - The Guardian - July 6th, 2025 [July 6th, 2025]
- Opinion | Dont believe the conventional wisdom. Ukraine can still lose. - The Washington Post - July 6th, 2025 [July 6th, 2025]
- Ukraine hits Russian airfield day after mass wave of strikes - dw.com - July 6th, 2025 [July 6th, 2025]
- Trump Hints At New Sanctions On Russia Amid Ongoing Fighting With Ukraine - Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty - July 6th, 2025 [July 6th, 2025]
- Russia to Involve Laos Troops in Its War Against Ukraine. Heres What We Know - UNITED24 Media - July 6th, 2025 [July 6th, 2025]
- Dutch intelligence services say Russia has stepped up use of banned chemical weapons in Ukraine - AP News - July 6th, 2025 [July 6th, 2025]
- Ukraine's top general warns of possible new Russian offensive in northeast - Reuters - July 6th, 2025 [July 6th, 2025]
- Ukraine's Zelenskiy says latest phone call with Trump his most productive yet - Reuters - July 6th, 2025 [July 6th, 2025]
- Russia launches hundreds of drones at Ukraine just hours after Putin-Trump call Europe live - The Guardian - July 4th, 2025 [July 4th, 2025]
- Hegseth halted weapons for Ukraine despite military analysis that the aid wouldnt jeopardize U.S. readiness - NBC News - July 4th, 2025 [July 4th, 2025]
- Trump says US has given Ukraine too many weapons in first public comments on pause in shipments - AP News - July 4th, 2025 [July 4th, 2025]
- Trump Says He Is Very Disappointed With Putin Conversation on Ukraine - WSJ - July 4th, 2025 [July 4th, 2025]
- Russia hammers Kyiv in largest missile and drone barrage since war in Ukraine began - AP News - July 4th, 2025 [July 4th, 2025]
- Ukraine war briefing: Trump says he didnt make any progress with Putin after call - The Guardian - July 4th, 2025 [July 4th, 2025]
- Ukraine looks to jointly produce weapons with allies as the US halts some shipments - AP News - July 4th, 2025 [July 4th, 2025]
- From Cooking on TV to Feeding the Front Line in Ukraine - The New York Times - July 4th, 2025 [July 4th, 2025]
- Ukraine scrambles to clarify extent of US military aid pause and 'whether everything will continue' - The Kyiv Independent - July 4th, 2025 [July 4th, 2025]
- Putin tells Trump he won't back down from goals in Ukraine, Kremlin says - Reuters - July 4th, 2025 [July 4th, 2025]
- How Ukraine can cope with the US pause on crucial battlefield weapons - AP News - July 4th, 2025 [July 4th, 2025]
- Putin says he won't back down from Ukraine goals in hour-long call with Trump - France 24 - July 4th, 2025 [July 4th, 2025]
- Ukraine kills one of the highest-ranking Russian officers of the conflict - CNN - July 4th, 2025 [July 4th, 2025]
- Trump allies caught off guard by Pentagons Ukraine weapons freeze - Politico - July 4th, 2025 [July 4th, 2025]
- Trump Says He Made No Progress On Ukraine-Russia War In Call With Putin - Forbes - July 4th, 2025 [July 4th, 2025]
- BBC Verify Live: Ukraine city strike caught on dashcam, and Mali militants attack town - BBC - July 4th, 2025 [July 4th, 2025]
- Putin tells Trump Russia won't back down from its war aims in Ukraine - The Kyiv Independent - July 4th, 2025 [July 4th, 2025]
- Top Russian naval commander latest general to be killed by Ukraine - The Washington Post - July 4th, 2025 [July 4th, 2025]
- Ukraine: Eighth Review Under the Extended Arrangement Under the Extended Fund Facility, Requests for Modification of Performance Criteria, Rephasing... - July 4th, 2025 [July 4th, 2025]
- The David Frum Show: Trumps Betrayal of Ukraine - The Atlantic - July 4th, 2025 [July 4th, 2025]
- Trump administration military aid halt will only encourage Russia, Ukraine warns - politico.eu - July 4th, 2025 [July 4th, 2025]
- Pentagon pause on arms shipments to Ukraine part of a global review of pressures on stockpiles - AP News - July 4th, 2025 [July 4th, 2025]
- Trump admits no progress on ending Ukraine war following call with Putin - MSNBC News - July 4th, 2025 [July 4th, 2025]
- Senior Russian commanders killed by Ukraine since start of the war - Reuters - July 4th, 2025 [July 4th, 2025]
- While the World Watched the Middle East, This Happened in Ukraine - The Moscow Times - July 2nd, 2025 [July 2nd, 2025]
- US won't send some weapons pledged to Ukraine following a Pentagon review of military aid - AP News - July 2nd, 2025 [July 2nd, 2025]
- Ukraine Can Still Win: Western Half Measures Have Prolonged the War, but Decisive Action Now Could End It - Foreign Affairs - July 2nd, 2025 [July 2nd, 2025]
- Map Reveals Scale of Russia's Summer Offensive Against Ukraine - Newsweek - July 2nd, 2025 [July 2nd, 2025]
- Russia-Ukraine war: Donald Trump pauses key weapons shipments to Kyiv; says 'decision made to put America - Times of India - July 2nd, 2025 [July 2nd, 2025]
- Macron and Putin Discuss Iran and Ukraine in Rare Call - The New York Times - July 2nd, 2025 [July 2nd, 2025]
- Macron urges Putin to agree ceasefire with Ukraine, in first talks since 2022 - politico.eu - July 2nd, 2025 [July 2nd, 2025]
- Putin, Macron discuss Iran, Ukraine in first phone call in nearly three years - Reuters - July 2nd, 2025 [July 2nd, 2025]
- Ukraine struck Russian warplanes at a base its fighter-bombers flee to when other airfields are in danger, intel says - Business Insider - July 2nd, 2025 [July 2nd, 2025]
- In Ukraine, most back negotiations over more fighting to end Russias war - Al Jazeera - July 2nd, 2025 [July 2nd, 2025]
- Russian Barrage of Drones and Missiles Hits Beyond Usual Ukraine Targets - The New York Times - July 2nd, 2025 [July 2nd, 2025]
- Ukraine war briefing: Russia claims to have seized all of Luhansk region - The Guardian - July 2nd, 2025 [July 2nd, 2025]
- Defense Department halting some missiles and munitions to Ukraine - The Hill - July 2nd, 2025 [July 2nd, 2025]
- 'No objective reasons' to block Ukraine's EU bid, Brussels tells Orbn - Euronews.com - July 2nd, 2025 [July 2nd, 2025]
- The Future of Modern Warfare Is Being Built in Ukraine - Bloomberg - July 2nd, 2025 [July 2nd, 2025]
- Russia denies US claims it is trying to 'stall' Ukraine peace negotiations - Australian Broadcasting Corporation - July 2nd, 2025 [July 2nd, 2025]
- Russia's war casualty toll in Ukraine rises by 1,110 over past day - Ukrinform - July 2nd, 2025 [July 2nd, 2025]
- Why is Ukraine withdrawing from the Ottawa Treaty banning landmines? - Al Jazeera - July 2nd, 2025 [July 2nd, 2025]
- Ukraine Sees Mixed Results at the 2025 NATO Summit | Opinion - Newsweek - July 2nd, 2025 [July 2nd, 2025]