Poland Can’t Get Enough of Ukrainian Migrants – Bloomberg
by
March 6, 2017, 6:00 PM EST March 7, 2017, 4:05 AM EST
In a world of ever-tighter borders, an epic labor migration into Poland has it asking for more of the same.
Not even a million Ukrainians whove come to the nation of 38 million since a pro-Russian insurgency erupted in their country three years ago have been enough to sate a labor market stretched by record-low unemployment and economic growth on track to top 3 percent in 2017.
The unprecedented numbers have already helped keep a lid on wage growth while stabilizing an economy that stumbled last year. As policy makers review borrowing costs this week, the arrivals have also meant a boon for a central bank thats prized stability in interest rates. On pause since March 2015, the 10-member Monetary Policy Council will leave its benchmark at a historical low of 1.5 percent again on Wednesday, according to all 30 analysts surveyed by Bloomberg.
The entry of one million Ukrainians implies that demography is not destiny, Tomasz Wieladek, an economist at Barclays Plc, said in a report. The disinflationary pressure in the labor market will likely contribute to low core CPI inflation and hence allow lower interest rates for longer. The mitigation of population aging from migration will likely contribute to higher long-run growth.
The most important market news of the day.
Get our markets daily newsletter.
Russian President Vladimir Putins annexation of Crimea in 2014, followed by a separatist conflict and a two-year recession, sent more Ukrainians to neighboring Poland in search of better lives. Close cultural and linguistic ties, as well as convenient bus transit across the border, made Poland an obvious destination. While the wave of migration into the European Union is largely fueled by those escaping armed conflicts in Syria and North Africa, Ukrainians are drawn to Poland by higher wages and relative ease of access to its job market. The number of Ukrainians absorbed by Poland is comparable to the total of migrants that came to Germany -- a country about double the size -- in 2015-2016, according to official estimates. Its clearly up to a combination of not only economic but also political reasons that the size of Ukrainian immigration has become exceptionally huge, saidJakub Binkowski, an immigration expert at the Polish Union of Entrepreneurs and Employers.
QuickTake: Ukraine's Uncertain Future
Although the number of Ukrainian workers in Poland already topped a record 1.3 million last year, almost half of employers sought out Ukrainians because no local hires were available, according to a surveyof 300 companies in January. Almost 40 percent of firms in sales and services rely on Ukrainians, said Work Service SA, a recruiting and human resources company in Warsaw that conducted the study.
The immigration wave from Ukraine has effectively delayed the graying of Polands population by five years, according to PKO Bank Polski SA. Thats no small feat for one of the fastest-aging and lowest-fertility nations in Europe.
National Bank of Poland Governor Adam Glapinski has already warned that the country is facing a deficit of workers, saying unemployment is below its natural level. Members of the rate-setting council expressed concern that wage growth might quicken substantiallyin the coming quarters as joblessness declines, according to minutes of the central banks February meeting.
Some measures proposed by the government, such as a plan to lower the retirement age, may only compound Polands woes by shrinking labor supply. The jobless rate in Poland has been at the lowest since the data series started in 1992. It was 5.5 percent last quarter, compared with 5.9 percent in the prior three months.
Growth in average gross wages accelerated to 4.3 percent from a year earlier in January, the fastest in five months, after averaging about 4 percent in 2016. Without easing the strains on the labor market, higher salaries could put even more pressure on inflation, which in January already reached the central banks target range for the first time in four years.
Forward-rate agreements, derivatives used to bet on interest rate levels, reveal expectations that Polands next policy move with be to increase borrowing costs in 2018.
Poland needs an additional 5 million workers within the next 20 years to keep up economic growth, according to the Polish Union of Entrepreneurs and Employers. Its set to receive about 100 billion euros ($106 billion) in EU development funds over the next five years, and the country risks spinning its wheels if the labor supply is thinning.
Poland is just about to set in motion major investment projects and needs to speed up work on their completion, said Maciej Witucki, head ofWork Service. Without workers from Ukraine, the risk that companies will miss their plans becomes more and more realistic.
Visit link:
Poland Can't Get Enough of Ukrainian Migrants - Bloomberg
- Why are Ukraine's military recruiters facing violence in their own country? - BBC - July 21st, 2026 [July 21st, 2026]
- Watch: Sen. Kennedy presses Caine and Hegseth on Ukraine, Strait of Hormuz - CBS News - July 21st, 2026 [July 21st, 2026]
- Ukraine is winning. Heres what it needs to finish the job. - Atlantic Council - July 21st, 2026 [July 21st, 2026]
- Ukraine is in danger of losing its innovation edge over Russia - Atlantic Council - July 21st, 2026 [July 21st, 2026]
- Taiwan looks to Ukraine for inspiration in drone warfare - NBC News - July 21st, 2026 [July 21st, 2026]
- We lived in peace, and now theyre bombing us: Ukraine hit two huge Wildberries warehouses near Moscow and in Tambov, killing eight. A correspondent... - July 21st, 2026 [July 21st, 2026]
- Three wounded in strike on Ukraine-bound LPG tanker off Romanian coast - Euronews - July 21st, 2026 [July 21st, 2026]
- Everyone's afraid to die: Struggle to recruit soldiers in Ukraine turns violent - BBC - July 21st, 2026 [July 21st, 2026]
- How the Mariupol theater strike exposed Russia's brutality in Ukraine - PBS - July 21st, 2026 [July 21st, 2026]
- Ukraine Was on a Roll. Then a Clash Over War Strategy Exploded Into View. - The New York Times - July 21st, 2026 [July 21st, 2026]
- I Have Decided That Mykhailo Drapatyi Will Become the New Commander-In-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine Address by the President - - - July 21st, 2026 [July 21st, 2026]
- EU countries agree to extend temporary protection for those fleeing Ukraine until March 2028 - consilium.europa.eu - July 21st, 2026 [July 21st, 2026]
- Ukraine expands Diia.AI with voice-based access to government services - Biometric Update - July 21st, 2026 [July 21st, 2026]
- Zelensky: Drapatyi appointed as Ukraine's New Commander-in-Chief of Armed Forces - Ukrinform - July 21st, 2026 [July 21st, 2026]
- Ukraine Finally Has a Theory of Victory. Will It Work? - Foreign Policy - July 9th, 2026 [July 9th, 2026]
- Losing in Ukraine, is Putin finally down to his nukes? - The Hill - July 9th, 2026 [July 9th, 2026]
- WATCH: Trump says he thinks an end to Ukraine war is 'getting close' despite Russian strikes on Kyiv - PBS - July 9th, 2026 [July 9th, 2026]
- Trump targets Spain, NATO backs Ukraine: Is the alliance still united? - Al Jazeera - July 9th, 2026 [July 9th, 2026]
- Ukraine Says It Hit 35 Russian Shadow Fleet Ships in 96 Hours, Including 14 Vessels Overnight - Kyiv Post - July 9th, 2026 [July 9th, 2026]
- Poland and Ukraine have fallen out over history - The Economist - July 9th, 2026 [July 9th, 2026]
- Trump gives Ukraine OK to produce Patriot missiles as war with Russia drags on - ABC News - Breaking News, Latest News and Videos - July 9th, 2026 [July 9th, 2026]
- Russias missile and drone attacks on Ukraine kill at least 22 - AP News - July 9th, 2026 [July 9th, 2026]
- As NATO meets, Putin is weighing his options in Ukraine, and further afield - CNN - July 9th, 2026 [July 9th, 2026]
- The Biggest Takeaways for Ukraine From the NATO Summit in Ankara - UNITED24 Media - July 9th, 2026 [July 9th, 2026]
- Trump says US will give Ukraine licence to build Patriot missiles - RFI - July 9th, 2026 [July 9th, 2026]
- Ukraine has two months before Putin escalates war - The Telegraph - July 9th, 2026 [July 9th, 2026]
- Wave of Russian strikes in Ukraine kills at least 21 people on eve of Nato summit - The Guardian - July 9th, 2026 [July 9th, 2026]
- I have visited Russia every year since the Ukraine war began. The mood has changed - The Independent - July 9th, 2026 [July 9th, 2026]
- Ukraine Could Begin Producing Patriot PAC-3 Missiles Within Weeks, Polish Minister Says - UNITED24 Media - July 9th, 2026 [July 9th, 2026]
- Kremlin: We will no longer believe the West wants negotiations on Ukraine - - July 9th, 2026 [July 9th, 2026]
- Ukraine's Answer to the Patriot Shortage is Kind of Awesome - Meet Freya - Eyes Only with Wes O'Donnell - July 9th, 2026 [July 9th, 2026]
- Russia Signals Ukraine May Have Used Its First Ballistic Missile - Bloomberg.com - July 3rd, 2026 [July 3rd, 2026]
- Four Reasons Crimea Has Become Crucial in the Ukraine War - The New York Times - July 3rd, 2026 [July 3rd, 2026]
- Bloodier than Stalingrad: Number of casualties in Russias war on Ukraine reaches 2 million - CNN - July 3rd, 2026 [July 3rd, 2026]
- Ukraine is trying to threaten Vladimir Putin into peace talks - The Economist - July 3rd, 2026 [July 3rd, 2026]
- July 4th events threatened by heat wave. And, Russia strikes on Ukraine's capital - NPR - July 3rd, 2026 [July 3rd, 2026]
- Tusk urges Ukraine to do its part to repair ties with Poland - politico.eu - July 3rd, 2026 [July 3rd, 2026]
- Russia pounds Kyiv with missiles and drones after Ukraine's strikes on oil infrastructure - PBS - July 3rd, 2026 [July 3rd, 2026]
- Ukraine and Moldova set to open another cluster of EU accession talks - Euronews.com - July 3rd, 2026 [July 3rd, 2026]
- As Ukraine War Escalates, Witkoff and Kushner Are Focused on Iran - The New York Times - July 3rd, 2026 [July 3rd, 2026]
- 27 dead, more than 100 injured in Kyiv as Ukraine hit with 'massive' Russian strike - ABC News - Breaking News, Latest News and Videos - July 3rd, 2026 [July 3rd, 2026]
- Putin Retaliates With New Strikes After Ukraine Takes the War to Russia - The New York Times - July 3rd, 2026 [July 3rd, 2026]
- Russia, Ukraine accuse each other of overnight drone strikes that killed at least 6, injured 22 - Anadolu Ajans - July 3rd, 2026 [July 3rd, 2026]
- Russia launches massive strike on Ukraine as Poland scrambles jets, Finland restricts airspace - CNBC - July 3rd, 2026 [July 3rd, 2026]
- Tusk says Poland must be cautious on future financial support for Ukraine - TVP World - July 3rd, 2026 [July 3rd, 2026]
- What Ukraine and Europe see in Americas 250th anniversary - New Eastern Europe - July 3rd, 2026 [July 3rd, 2026]
- Ukraine war sparks fears of an organised crime resurgence in Russia - The Conversation - July 3rd, 2026 [July 3rd, 2026]
- Ukraine war briefing: More than 2 million military casualties caused by Russias invasion, study finds - The Guardian - July 3rd, 2026 [July 3rd, 2026]
- Russian attacks kill 4, injure 10 in Ukraine overnight, officials say - Reuters - July 3rd, 2026 [July 3rd, 2026]
- Ukraine: Rescuers work to save trapped residents after wave of Russian attacks - UN News - July 3rd, 2026 [July 3rd, 2026]
- Russia hits Ukraine's capital with a massive drone and missile attack, killing at least 18 - NPR - July 3rd, 2026 [July 3rd, 2026]
- July 4th events threatened by heat wave. And, Russia strikes on Ukraine's capital - 90.5 WESA - July 3rd, 2026 [July 3rd, 2026]
- Polish Firms Keep Ukraine Push, Shrugging Off Political Tensions - Bloomberg.com - July 3rd, 2026 [July 3rd, 2026]
- Justice and protection for children of Ukraine at the core of meetings at the Council of Europe - coe.int - July 3rd, 2026 [July 3rd, 2026]
- UKRAINE : Will delayed promised Law introduce alternative civilian service in wartime? - Forum 18 - July 3rd, 2026 [July 3rd, 2026]
- Ukraine Is One Step Closer to Getting Gripen Fighters - The National Interest - July 3rd, 2026 [July 3rd, 2026]
- Ukraine unleashes one of its heaviest drone bombardments of Russia - AP News - June 26th, 2026 [June 26th, 2026]
- Ukraine is spilling its enemies' military secrets. Soldiers, arms makers, and foreign governments all want access. - Business Insider - June 26th, 2026 [June 26th, 2026]
- Ukraine-Russia war latest: Zelensky orders 40-day offensive to press Putin to end war - The Independent - June 26th, 2026 [June 26th, 2026]
- Ukraine war briefing: Zelenskyy declares 40-day Russia blitz to influence the aggressor state - The Guardian - June 26th, 2026 [June 26th, 2026]
- Ukraine launches huge drone attack on Russia and occupied Crimea as it seeks to force Putin "to end the war" - CBS News - June 26th, 2026 [June 26th, 2026]
- Ukraine targets Russia with at least 660 drones overnight, Moscow says - ABC News - Breaking News, Latest News and Videos - June 26th, 2026 [June 26th, 2026]
- Commission proposes to extend temporary protection of people fleeing Ukraine for an additional year - Migration and Home Affairs - June 26th, 2026 [June 26th, 2026]
- Putin, Lukashenko to hold talks on Friday at tense point in Ukraine war - Reuters - June 26th, 2026 [June 26th, 2026]
- EBRD support for wartime Ukraine surpasses 10.5 billion as Bank commits significant new funding at Recovery Conference - EBRD - June 26th, 2026 [June 26th, 2026]
- Lukashenko Heads to Russia for Putin Meeting Amid Rising Tensions With Ukraine - The Moscow Times - June 26th, 2026 [June 26th, 2026]
- Russia used social engineering to breach prominent messaging accounts, Ukraine says - The Record from Recorded Future News - June 26th, 2026 [June 26th, 2026]
- Poland's Tusk calls for 'mutual respect' during row with Ukraine - BBC - June 26th, 2026 [June 26th, 2026]
- Is Ukraine Gearing Up for an Attack on Crimea? - The National Interest - June 26th, 2026 [June 26th, 2026]
- Why is Putin asking for Ukraine-Russia peace talks now? - The Independent - June 26th, 2026 [June 26th, 2026]
- European Commission proposes to extend temporary protection of people fleeing Ukraine for an additional year - EU NEIGHBOURS east - June 26th, 2026 [June 26th, 2026]
- No Other Option Budanov Says Ukraine Will Need Foreign Specialists - Kyiv Post - June 26th, 2026 [June 26th, 2026]
- Mapping Russia's call to Xbox warriors to wage its Ukraine drone offensive - The National - June 26th, 2026 [June 26th, 2026]
- Cracks in European unity emerge over Ukraine and security - The Conversation - June 26th, 2026 [June 26th, 2026]
- Russia Pressures Belarus in Bid to Open New Front in Ukraine War - WSJ - June 24th, 2026 [June 24th, 2026]
- Caught between Kyivs ultimatums and Moscows financial blackmail, Lukashenko faces mounting pressure over the war in Ukraine - Meduza - June 24th, 2026 [June 24th, 2026]
- The Ukraine War Amputees Embracing Wake Boarding and Jujitsu - The New York Times - June 24th, 2026 [June 24th, 2026]
- Russia is still inching forward in eastern Ukraine, but experts say claims of progress are exaggerated - CNN - June 24th, 2026 [June 24th, 2026]
- Russia wants to know if Trump has shifted his stance on Ukraine war after G7, Lavrov says - Reuters - June 24th, 2026 [June 24th, 2026]
- Putin vowed to demilitarize Ukraine. Instead, he created a major military power. - Atlantic Council - June 24th, 2026 [June 24th, 2026]