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The scruffy headquarters of HUR, Ukraines military intelligence agency, stands on a jagged piece of land in central Kyiv known as Fishermans Island. Strictly speaking, it is not an island but a peninsula. And there isnt much fishing going on these wartime days. But sporting a piratical beard, the agencys deputy head, Major-General Vadym Skibitsky, plays a nautical theme. Blunt, enigmatic and sharp as a captains hook, he exudes many of the qualities that have made HUR one of the most talked about secret services in the world. But he sounds troubled as he assesses Ukraines battlefield prospects. Things, he says, are as difficult as they have ever been since the early days of Russias full-scale invasion. And they are about to get worse.

He predicts that Russia will first press on with its plan to liberate all of Ukraines eastern Donetsk and Luhansk regions, a task unchanged since 2022. He says a Russian order has gone out to take something in time for the pomp of Victory Day in Moscow on May 9th, or, failing that, before Vladimir Putins visit to Beijing a week later. The speed and success of the advance will determine when and where the Russians strike next. Our problem is very simple: we have no weapons. They always knew April and May would be a difficult time for us.

See the article here:
A fresh Russian push will test Ukraine severely, says a senior general - The Economist

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