Republicans see crime as issue that could win them the Senate – The Hill
Republicans in an increasing number of crucial Senate battleground states are keying in on the issue of crime, bombarding voters with the message that electing Democrats would increase lawlessness.
In Pennsylvania, Republicans are seizing on high-profile incidents in the Philadelphia area, including the recent ransacking of a Wawa store and the shooting of five students outside a high school last month.
Democratic Senate nominee John Fetterman, the states lieutenant governor, has been forced to play defense by erasing statements of support for the Black Lives Matter movement from his website.
In Wisconsin, Republicans are trying to link Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes, the Democratic Senate nominee, to former San Francisco District Attorney Chesa Boudin, who was recalled from office in June amid growing voter frustration over rising crime and homelessness.
Republicans see the issue as one of their best opportunities to drive base voters to the polls and as a wedge between Democrats and suburban swing voters, especially in Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Nevada and North Carolina, according to GOP strategists.
There are few issues that unite the concerns of Republicans, independents and Democrats in this environment quite like crime, especially in Pennsylvania, said a Senate Republican strategist.
The party sees crime as the antidote to its vulnerability on the issue of abortion rights, which has revved up Democrats and pushed swing voters away from the GOP in the wake of the Supreme Courts decision this summer overturning Roe v. Wade.
Some Senate Democrats saw rising crime rates as a potential political liability months ago, and Sen. Richard Blumenthal (D-Conn.) privately pressed the White House to come up with a plan to address the issue.
Its a huge problem. Lets face it, this guy is repeatedly on film talking about how he wants to release as many people as possible from prisons and end life sentences for murderers. Its so far outside the mainstream, retiring Sen. Pat Toomey (R-Pa.), whose seat is up for grabs in November, said of Fetterman.
The National Republican Senatorial Committee (NRSC) has paid for ads highlighting Fettermans support for sanctuary cities, eliminating life sentences for murders and reducing prison populations.
Fetterman responded last week with his own ad featuring Montgomery County Sheriff Sean Kilkenny defending the Democratic candidate and asserted that Fetterman, Pennsylvanias lieutenant governor, supports giving second chances to people who deserve it and non-violent marijuana offenders.
Republicans are also attacking Fetterman for supporting clemency for Lee and Dennis Horton, brothers who served 27 years in prison after being convicted for robbery and a fatal shooting. Fetterman, who chairs the state board of pardons, advocated for their release and hired them to serve as field organizers for his campaign.
The Republican National Committee has tweeted out a near-daily update of crimes and crime statistics in the Philadelphia area. On Tuesday it shared footage of a car-jacking at a Philadelphia gas station and highlighted that there have been more than 1,000 car-jackings in the city this year.
The strategy appears to be paying off as the Republican candidate for Senate in Pennsylvania, Mehmet Oz, has gained some ground in the polls over the last two weeks. On Tuesday, the Cook Political Report, which in August shifted the race from toss up to lead Democratic, moved it back to its toss up column.
Democrats say that Republicans are trying to distract attention from abortion and other issues where Democratic candidates have an advantage.
False ads will not distract voters from Republicans unpopular agenda: making abortion illegal, ending Medicare and Social Security and raising tax on working families, said David Bergstein, a spokesman for the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee.
In Wisconsin, Republicans are circulating a photo of Boudin, San Franciscos controversial former district attorney, attending a fundraiser for Barnes a year ago.
Incumbent Sen. Ron Johnson (R-Wis.) and the NRSC have labeled Barnes as dangerously liberal on crime and highlighted Milwaukees rising crime rate. More specifically, they have emphasized Barness support for eliminating cash bail.
The Wesleyan Media Project found that ads about the Wisconsin Senate race have airedmore than 14,000 times in just the past two weeks and that 90 percent of the ads aimed at helping Johnson have focused solely on attacking Barnes.
Like Fetterman, Barnes has tried to push back by criticizing Johnson for voting against the $1.9 trillion American Rescue Plan, which he says promoted and supported public safety, and accused Johnson of being sympathetic to the mob of supporters of former President Trump that invaded the Capitol on Jan. 6 of last year.
A Democratic strategist pointed out that the American Rescue Plan included $350 billion in funding that state and local governments could use to hire new police officers.
Drumming on the issue of crime has been a tried-and-true Republican strategy in midterm elections, when voter turnout tends to be smaller and the electorate tends to be older than in presidential election years.
In the off-presidential year, voters are much more intent on crime and education, Brandon Scholz, a Republican-based Wisconsin strategist, said.
In the U.S. Senate race and to some extent the gubernatorial race, there are some contemporary events that have driven this issue and kept it at the forefront of the minds of voters, he added, citing an attack by a man who drove a sports utility truck into the Christmas parade in Waukesha last year after being freed two days earlier on $1000 bail for a domestic violence charge.
Milwaukee is surging in crime and murders, he added. That has elevated crime as an issue. The Johnson is working on Barness statements and record on bail and reducing prison populations.
The NRSC launched a television and digital ad late last month that hammered Barnes for saying that he wants to reduce the prison population and criticized Democratic Gov. Tony Everss administration for paroling more than 800 convicted criminals.
Senate Republicans are now trying to expand the debate on crime to other Senate battlegrounds, including Nevada and Wisconsin.
In Nevada, former state Attorney General Adam Laxalt (R) on Tuesday released a new ad titled Dangerous in which Nevada police groups say they have switched their endorsement from incumbent Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto (D-Nev.) to the Republican challenger.
The ad featured testimonials by local law enforcement officials who attack Cortez Masto for rubber stamp[ing] radical officials, including activists who refuse to prosecute drug dealers.
In North Carolina, Republicans have put the spotlight on Democratic Senate candidate Cheri Beasleys record as a state Supreme Court justice.
The NRSC spent over $1 million on an ad in May seeking to define Beasley early in the race by calling attention to her ruling vacating the death sentence of a man who shot a boy in the face and another man convicted of assaulting a young woman. FactCheck.org, however, concluded the ad lacked context.
The Democrat-allied Senate Majority PAC responded with its own ad buy defending Beasley.
More recently, the NRSC has pursued Beasleys vote to vacate a mans habitual felon conviction, which would have resulted in a lighter criminal sentence. The Senate GOP campaign arm says decisions such as these are at odds with her pledge to keep North Carolina communities safe.
Sen. Bob Casey (D-Pa.), who is working to flip Toomeys seat to Democratic control, says while Republicans talk tough on crime, they have also voted against legislation to make communities safer.
Its an issue that Republicans go to all the time even though they have a pathetic voting record on crime. They voted against the COPS program, they wanted to defund the COPS program, they voted against the Byrd justice grants, he said, referring to community policing programs.
He said Fetterman had to withstand a carpet bombardment over the past several weeks, and that as long as Democrats punch back, theyll survive.
More here:
Republicans see crime as issue that could win them the Senate - The Hill
- Democrats make a new offer to end the shutdown, but Republicans aren't buying it - NBC News - November 7th, 2025 [November 7th, 2025]
- The Republicans Warning They Have a Problem - The New York Times - November 7th, 2025 [November 7th, 2025]
- LEADER JEFFRIES ON MSNBC: DONALD TRUMP AND REPUBLICANS HAVE DECIDED TO WEAPONIZE HUNGER AND STARVATION Congressman Hakeem Jeffries - Congressman... - November 7th, 2025 [November 7th, 2025]
- Democrats consider prolonging the government shutdown as Republicans prepare new bills without health care fix - ABC7 Los Angeles - November 7th, 2025 [November 7th, 2025]
- Democrats consider prolonging the shutdown as Republicans prepare new bills without health care fix - abcnews.go.com - November 7th, 2025 [November 7th, 2025]
- Republicans are losing this key voting bloc. Here's why. - USA Today - November 7th, 2025 [November 7th, 2025]
- Republicans Block Measure to Bar Military Strike on Venezuela - The New York Times - November 7th, 2025 [November 7th, 2025]
- Republicans are losing support from Latinos in Colorado as voters voice dissatisfaction with immigration, inflation efforts - Post Independent - November 7th, 2025 [November 7th, 2025]
- Senate Republicans Reject Measure to Block Military Action in Venezuela - WSJ - The Wall Street Journal - November 7th, 2025 [November 7th, 2025]
- Senate will vote Friday to advance shutdown-ending deal, Thune tells Republicans - Politico - November 7th, 2025 [November 7th, 2025]
- EDITORIAL: Stuck on Stupid-How Annapolis Republicans Turned Another Election Into a Self-Inflicted Rout - Eye On Annapolis - November 7th, 2025 [November 7th, 2025]
- Article | Key Republicans waver ahead of war powers vote - POLITICO Pro - November 7th, 2025 [November 7th, 2025]
- Charlotte GOP lost big on election night. Is it final nail in coffin for Republicans? - Charlotte Observer - November 7th, 2025 [November 7th, 2025]
- Republicans must nuke filibuster now or Democrats will do it when they regain power, Trump warns - Washington Examiner - November 7th, 2025 [November 7th, 2025]
- Trump and Republicans admonish others for their election losses - Politico - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]
- Republicans think the shutdown is about to end. They could be dead wrong. - MSNBC News - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]
- Trump says election results not good for Republicans, citing 2 possible reasons - Fox News - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]
- Republicans Just Lost a Statewide Election in Pennsylvania. What Does That Mean for the Future? - Slate - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]
- California Republicans thought they could beat Newsom's gerrymander. They crashed and burned. - Politico - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]
- In an Upset, Democrats Oust Two Republicans on Georgias Utility Board - The New York Times - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]
- Democratic election wins send Trump and Republicans a message: Americans blame them for government shutdown - The Conversation - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]
- Kansas Young Republicans' racist texts show how far the party has strayed from its noble roots - Kansas Reflector - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]
- Republicans Reprise Unfounded Claims of Widespread Election Interference - The New York Times - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]
- Remember the hateful Young Republicans group chat? It's the tip of the iceberg. | Opinion - USA Today - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]
- Trump urges Republicans to kill filibuster, warning they'll lose if they don't - Politico - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]
- Rosen: Trump, Republicans feast while SNAP, health benefits on the line - Nevada Current - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]
- Video Republicans need to 'think about what happened': GOP strategist - abcnews.go.com - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]
- How Republicans are planning to win the 2026 midterms without Trump on the ballot - abcnews.go.com - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]
- Trump Orders Republicans to Approve His Sinister Plan to Rule Forever - The Daily Beast - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]
- Enfield Democrats upend Republicans, Vernon's GOP mayor reelected and more 2025 election results - CT Insider - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]
- In Redistricting Battles, Heres How Trump, Republicans and Democrats Are Faring - The New York Times - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]
- Trump says this is what Republicans need to do next following election defeats - MLive.com - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]
- Why Republicans had a 'math problem' in off-year election - Fox News - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]
- Poll: Republicans shoulder more shutdown blame, as signs of voter irritation with both parties pile up - NBC News - November 3rd, 2025 [November 3rd, 2025]
- Republicans argue big-hearted president Trump is keen to end shutdown - The Guardian - November 3rd, 2025 [November 3rd, 2025]
- Republicans re-up trans attacks on Dems that worked for Trump in 2024 - The Washington Post - November 3rd, 2025 [November 3rd, 2025]
- Republicans Claim They Have a Healthcare Plan. But They Wont Tell You Whats in It - Rolling Stone - November 3rd, 2025 [November 3rd, 2025]
- Virginia Republicans rally in Hanover ahead of Election Day, highlighting work since 2022 - WRIC ABC 8News - November 3rd, 2025 [November 3rd, 2025]
- Ted Cruz to Jewish Republicans: Antisemitism is an existential crisis in our party - The Times of Israel - November 3rd, 2025 [November 3rd, 2025]
- Obama says it's 'like every day is Halloween' as he blames Republicans for government shutdown - Fox News - November 3rd, 2025 [November 3rd, 2025]
- House Republicans exploring ways to prevent Mamdani from being sworn in as NYC mayor if he wins on Election Day - New York Post - November 3rd, 2025 [November 3rd, 2025]
- Opinion: Republicans keep winning. Sand hopes to change the game - thegazette.com - November 3rd, 2025 [November 3rd, 2025]
- President Trump, House Speaker Johnson, others address Las Vegas meeting of Jewish Republicans - Las Vegas Review-Journal - November 3rd, 2025 [November 3rd, 2025]
- Obama blasts Trump ahead of Election Day in Virginia and New Jersey. Republicans keep it local - Decatur Daily - November 3rd, 2025 [November 3rd, 2025]
- Republicans quickly push back on Trumps call to nix filibuster - Politico - October 31st, 2025 [October 31st, 2025]
- Democrats and Republicans Clash Over SNAP Contingency Funds - FactCheck.org - October 31st, 2025 [October 31st, 2025]
- Republicans' refusal to fund SNAP will hurt their own voters most. They don't care. | Opinion - USA Today - October 31st, 2025 [October 31st, 2025]
- Trump calls on Republicans to abolish the Senate filibuster rule - The Guardian - October 31st, 2025 [October 31st, 2025]
- Trump urges Republicans to kill the filibuster - Politico - October 31st, 2025 [October 31st, 2025]
- The Nation: Texas Republicans Are Doubling Down on Banning Capital Gains Taxes - itep.org - October 31st, 2025 [October 31st, 2025]
- Trump tells Senate Republicans to use "nuclear option" to end shutdown - Axios - October 31st, 2025 [October 31st, 2025]
- Republicans notch redistricting win in Ohio but it could have been worse for Democrats - Politico - October 31st, 2025 [October 31st, 2025]
- Full List of Republicans Sponsoring SNAP Funding Bill as Benefits Run Out - Newsweek - October 31st, 2025 [October 31st, 2025]
- Trump calls for Republicans to scrap the Senate filibuster and end the shutdown - NBC News - October 31st, 2025 [October 31st, 2025]
- Four ways Republicans pushed back on Trump this week - Axios - October 31st, 2025 [October 31st, 2025]
- Trump Pushes to Scrap the Filibuster to End the Shutdown. Heres What Republicans Have Said About It - Time Magazine - October 31st, 2025 [October 31st, 2025]
- VIDEO: As Open Enrollment Begins, Rosen Issues Statement on Spike in Health Care Costs And Calls on Washington Republicans to Extend Tax Credits -... - October 31st, 2025 [October 31st, 2025]
- Trump Urges Republicans to End the Filibuster to Reopen Government - The Wall Street Journal - October 31st, 2025 [October 31st, 2025]
- Trump wants Senate Republicans to scrap the filibuster to end the government shutdown - CBS News - October 31st, 2025 [October 31st, 2025]
- How ending the Senate filibuster could impact Democrats and Republicans - CBS News - October 31st, 2025 [October 31st, 2025]
- Trump tells Republicans to play "Nuclear Option" and scrap filibuster to end government shutdown - CBS News - October 31st, 2025 [October 31st, 2025]
- NY Republicans make another bid to stop Hochul, Dems from moving local elections - New York Post - October 31st, 2025 [October 31st, 2025]
- The One Thing Republicans Will Deny Trump: Ending the Filibuster - New York Magazine - October 31st, 2025 [October 31st, 2025]
- Trump urges Republicans to abolish the filibuster to end shutdown - CNN - October 31st, 2025 [October 31st, 2025]
- Trump tells Senate Republicans to get rid of the filibuster to end government shutdown - OregonLive.com - October 31st, 2025 [October 31st, 2025]
- Trump Calls on Republicans to End Filibuster in Shutdown Fight - The New York Times - October 31st, 2025 [October 31st, 2025]
- Article | Republicans expected to embrace Trumps surgeon pick - POLITICO Pro - October 31st, 2025 [October 31st, 2025]
- Democrats frustrated, Republicans hopeful, but Americans overall critical of parties - WJAR - October 31st, 2025 [October 31st, 2025]
- Senator Kim Acts to Save SNAP as Republicans Allow Program to Run Out of Money and Send Shutdown into November - Insider NJ - October 31st, 2025 [October 31st, 2025]
- [2025-10-29] Crapo: Republicans Stand Ready to Work on Meaningful Health Care Reform - Senate Committee on Finance (.gov) - October 30th, 2025 [October 30th, 2025]
- Republicans are growing tired of Marjorie Taylor Greenes shutdown attacks - Politico - October 30th, 2025 [October 30th, 2025]
- Senate Republicans deal Trump a rare rebuke on trade with vote against Brazil tariffs - NPR - October 30th, 2025 [October 30th, 2025]
- Senate Republicans Block Democratic Effort to Fund SNAP During the Shutdown - NOTUS News of the United States - October 30th, 2025 [October 30th, 2025]
- Blue states blame Republicans for looming SNAP shutoff on government websites - Politico - October 30th, 2025 [October 30th, 2025]
- The Republicans thwarting the White Houses redistricting hopes - Politico - October 30th, 2025 [October 30th, 2025]
- Cornyn Blasts Jack Smith for Targeting Republicans as Part of Arctic Frost - Senator Cornyn (.gov) - October 30th, 2025 [October 30th, 2025]
- New Navigator Polling Confirms Americans Blame Trump and Republicans for Their Health Care Shutdown And They Want Them to Fix It - Protect Our Care - October 30th, 2025 [October 30th, 2025]
- DCCC Chair Suzan DelBene: Republicans know they cant win in the hearts and minds of the American voters, so they want to rig the system, and we are... - October 30th, 2025 [October 30th, 2025]
- Republicans dub Fetterman 'voice of reason' after he accuses his own party of 'playing chicken' - Fox News - October 30th, 2025 [October 30th, 2025]
- Maryland House Republicans call for firing of DHS secretary over foster care violations - CBS News - October 30th, 2025 [October 30th, 2025]