Republicans’ Obamacare repeal would be one of the biggest cuts to the social safety net in history – Washington Post
Throughout the modernhistory of Congress, lawmakers have inexorablyexpanded progressive social policies, and whileconservatives have successfully forestalledexpansions to the social safety net, they've had very little success in reversingthem.
Right now, however, Republicanshave a chance to buck that trend, as they prepare legislation aimed at repealing and replacing the Affordable Care Act, also known as Obamacare. The Senate bill released on Thursday, coupled with the House bill passed earlier this year, would beexactly the kind of cuts to the welfare state that conservativeshave consistently failed to achieve.
The repeal measure, which follows weeks of unusual secrecy in its drafting, would bring down taxes, eliminatehundreds of billions of dollarsin outlays on the social safety net and curtail the federal government's involvement in a crucial sector of the economy.
Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) unveiled the legislation that would reshape a big piece of the U.S. health-care system on Thursday, June 22. Here's what we know about the bill. (Monica Akhtar/The Washington Post)
The American right has had few chancesto enact such far-reaching legislation. For decades, Democrats controlled the House, and Republican presidents have often pursuedmoderate or progressive domestic agendas.Public programs established by Democrats have proven popular among beneficiaries,and it has been difficult for Republicans to dismantle them.
Conservative principles have often won out in foreign policy, in the courts and at the level of the states, but the trend in federal lawmaking has long been to the left.The Republican health-care bill would be an exception. The law would go beyond repealing parts of Obamacare to drastically restructure Medicaid, a 52-year-old program.
The more common pattern in the U.S. is that progressive social policies have been prevented, rather than rolled back, said Julia Lynch, a political scientist atthe University of Pennsylvania.
Until now, the growth of the welfare state has occasionally been slowed, but never reversed in any major way, noted H.W. Brands, a historian at the University of Texas at Austin, in an email.
Here's a timeline of some of the rare big wins for congressional conservatives.
After the Second World War, Congress dealt a blow to organized labor, removing one of the main reasons for workers to join unions in many states. Employers gained the ability to hire workers who were not members of their union but who were still paid according to the union contract, as long as their state passed what is known as a right-to-work law.
Proponents have argued that right-to-work legislation has helped workers get jobs even if they do not want to be members of a union. At the same time, these laws have allowed workers to enjoy the benefits of collective bargaining without paying union dues, diluting the political clout of organized labor.
Activists and organizers often cite the Taft-Hartley Act, as the bill Congress passed in 1947 is known, as one of the reasons union membership has declined since the Second World War. There have been economic burdens on unions as well, however. Competition from industrial robots and overseas labor has put limits on their bargaining power.
The Republican health-care bill has followed a parallel trajectory to the Taft-Hartley law. Much as the GOP bill is a response to Democrats' victory on the issue a few years ago with Obamacare, the Taft-Hartley bill weakened New Deal labor legislation enacted in 1935. The law did so by devolving some authority over collective bargaining to the states, just as Republicans hope to give states the freedom to waive certain requirements in Obamacare.
There is one notable difference, though. Congress passed the Taft-Hartley Act with broad bipartisan support, as conservative Democrats joined Republicans to override a veto from President Harry S. Truman, a Democrat. Republicans appear unlikely to win any Democratic votes for their health-care bill.
Congress passed the Taft-Hartley Actamida long series of defeatsforAmerican conservatism.
Beginning in 1933, Democrats had taken control of the House, and they remainedin power for decades, with only a few exceptions. Meanwhile, Republican presidents pursued centrist agendas.
President Dwight D. Eisenhower profoundly expanded the federal government's involvement in the economy with the Interstate Highway System. Richard Nixon supported a health-care overhaul that would have been substantially more progressive than Obamacare.
That changed with President Ronald Reagan, who won election in 1980 in part on a promise to bring down taxes. In his first year in office, he signed a major tax cut into law.
He brought down the marginal rate paid by the wealthiest taxpayers on their income from 70 percent to 50 percent. The law weakened the estate tax and offered businesses more favorable treatment on their investments.
Reagan's 1981 bill passed Congress with bipartisan support. The House, controlled by Democrats, voted 323 to 107 in favor of the law.
Had that law stood, it would have been the most significant reduction in taxes in modern times, reducing federal revenue by 2.9 percent of gross domestic product. Yet the law forced the federal government to borrow more to make up for the forgone revenue. During the rest of his administration, Reagan was repeatedly forced to increase taxes to deal with mounting deficits. Ultimately, he replaced about half of the original cut with tax hikes.
Arguably, the best precedent for what Republicans hope to achieve in undoing Obamacare is the welfare overhaul that President Bill Clinton signed in 1996, which eliminated a major federal entitlement and over time reduced the financial support available to poor American families.
The overhaul, a joint effort by the Clinton administration and Republicans in Congress,generally required Americans to work, volunteer, participate in vocational training or meet other requirements to receive cash assistance from the government. Like the Taft-Hartley Act, Clinton's bill left much of the actual policymaking to states, which gained new authority to impose restrictions on welfare.
And like the Republican health-care bill released Thursday, Clinton's overhaul reduced federal spending over many years through inflation. The Republican bill would limit spending on Medicaid to an index of inflation, but spending on Medicaid is increasing more rapidly than inflation as beneficiaries get older and require more expensive treatment. The result would be a cut to the program likely approaching $1 trillion, although official estimates are not yet available.
Clinton ran on a promise to overhaul the welfare system, but the retooling was in part the result of agitation from conservative lawmakerssuch as Rep. Newt Gingrich (R-Ga.), then the speaker of the House. Republicans had won the Housetwo years earlier, ending generations of Democratic control, and Clinton was in the middle of a difficult campaign for his reelection at a time when public opinion had turned against the welfare system.
He vetoed two bills sent to him by Republicans, who were now in control of Congress, before signing the bill over the objections of liberal Democrats on Capitol Hill and in his own administration.Two of his top advisers on poverty policy resigned in the wake of the bill.
President George W. Bush sought to mimic Reagan's achievement by cutting taxes as well, with a series of three tax-relief bills totaling about 1.3 percent of GDP between 2001 and 2003.
The rest of Bush'sadministration might have been a disappointment to conservatives, however. Heincreased federalborrowing by expanding benefits under Medicare, and his plan for free-market overhauls to Social Securitydid not win support in Congress.
A handful of Democratic lawmakers voted in favor of the tax cuts, but the parties had long been drifting apart ideologically, and there were fewer of the kind of conservative Democrat that had supported limited-government legislation in the past.
Republicans have shifted to the right as well, and they are now are pursuing a health-care policy that will likely draw opposition from nearly all Democrats, but some moderate GOP lawmakers, too.
That fact demonstrates the enduing difficulty for conservative activists of unwinding social programs that help large numbers of people get by.
If it is enacted, it willcertainly be historic, said Norm Ornstein, a political scientist at the right-leaningAmerican Enterprise Institute.Conservatives, he said, find themselves in the unfamiliar position of being able to pass and get through a dramatic change in an important area of policy that really does take a meat-ax to government in terms of size and role.
See more here:
Republicans' Obamacare repeal would be one of the biggest cuts to the social safety net in history - Washington Post
- Republicans ready for very hasty Trump-a-palooza convention in Texas - The Hill - August 31st, 2026 [August 31st, 2026]
- Republicans Are Worried About the Midterms. Trump Is Focused on His Legacy. - WSJ - August 31st, 2026 [August 31st, 2026]
- Republicans Panic Over Trump Dooming the Midterms - The Daily Beast - August 31st, 2026 [August 31st, 2026]
- Republicans are breaking with Donald Trump on data centers - Politico - August 31st, 2026 [August 31st, 2026]
- Texas Republicans attending RNC midterm convention in Dallas believe it will energize their base - CBS News - August 31st, 2026 [August 31st, 2026]
- Republicans Buck Trumps Lake America Order: Petty and Disappointing - News of the United States - NOTUS - August 31st, 2026 [August 31st, 2026]
- Texas Republicans redrew five seats. A year later, heres whats happening - Austin American-Statesman - August 31st, 2026 [August 31st, 2026]
- Republicans were already nervous about November. Then Trump restarted his trade war. - Politico - August 31st, 2026 [August 31st, 2026]
- Trump faces backlash from Republicans over plan to lift tariffs on beef imports - The Guardian - August 31st, 2026 [August 31st, 2026]
- Big hemp is betting Republicans roll over on diet weed ban to avoid shutdown - Politico - August 31st, 2026 [August 31st, 2026]
- Texas Republicans attending Dallas RNC Midterm Convention believe it will energize their base - CBS News - August 31st, 2026 [August 31st, 2026]
- Fettermans Popularity With Republicans Surges as He Angers the Left, Poll Finds - The New York Times - August 31st, 2026 [August 31st, 2026]
- Republicans fear Trumps midterm convention will be a disaster: Why are we doing this? - AL.com - August 31st, 2026 [August 31st, 2026]
- Republicans privately worry that their Trumpapalooza convention will be a bust - CNN - August 31st, 2026 [August 31st, 2026]
- Republicans plan midterm convention in Dallas featuring Trump speech The Hill - UA.NEWS - August 31st, 2026 [August 31st, 2026]
- Trump has already found someone to blame if Republicans lose the midterms - Yahoo - August 31st, 2026 [August 31st, 2026]
- Democrats are undoing California's pension reforms. Why are Republicans going along with it? - Reason Magazine - August 31st, 2026 [August 31st, 2026]
- Will democratic socialist Francesca Hong shake up the establishment or help Republicans win Wisconsin? - The Guardian - August 11th, 2026 [August 11th, 2026]
- 9 Republicans on US Senate primary ballot but 1 clear frontrunner - 5 EYEWITNESS NEWS - August 11th, 2026 [August 11th, 2026]
- Republicans win Hardeman County seats for first time in 25 years - wbbjtv.com - August 11th, 2026 [August 11th, 2026]
- Republicans vying to face Rep. Castor in redrawn Hillsborough district - WFLA - August 11th, 2026 [August 11th, 2026]
- Rep. Max Miller Stays in the Race. What Will Republicans Do Now? - News of the United States - NOTUS - August 11th, 2026 [August 11th, 2026]
- Trump claims Black voters are rejecting socialism, and 'flocking' to Republicans. Heres what the data says - TheGrio - August 11th, 2026 [August 11th, 2026]
- Sen. Tim Scott: Republicans could win 54 seats with expanded Senate map - CNN - August 11th, 2026 [August 11th, 2026]
- Are Republicans blind to the canaries in the Florida and Texas coal mines? - The Hill - August 9th, 2026 [August 9th, 2026]
- Americans are turning against AI and its a problem for Republicans - The Times - August 9th, 2026 [August 9th, 2026]
- Trump has squandered Republicans typical advantages in 2 key areas - CNN - August 9th, 2026 [August 9th, 2026]
- John James considering these 7 Republicans to be his running mate - detroitnews.com - August 9th, 2026 [August 9th, 2026]
- Republicans are the real winners of Michigans primary - The Economist - August 9th, 2026 [August 9th, 2026]
- Republicans face likely year-end test after punting Trump spending bill - Politico - August 9th, 2026 [August 9th, 2026]
- Amodei still refuses to back Flippo as rift between the two Republicans grows - The Nevada Independent - August 9th, 2026 [August 9th, 2026]
- Trump says the GOP base is 'angry at Republicans,' but not at him - USA Today - August 9th, 2026 [August 9th, 2026]
- MD Republicans sue Moore, elections officials over redistricting ballot question - Maryland Daily Record - August 9th, 2026 [August 9th, 2026]
- Ban hijabs and halal foods? Texas Republicans offer early blueprint of plan to 'stop Islam' - Dallas News - August 9th, 2026 [August 9th, 2026]
- Republicans and Democrats uniting against animal testing are wrong - The Economist - August 9th, 2026 [August 9th, 2026]
- Key Republicans say they'll support Blanche for AG after he rescinds 'Anti-Weaponization Fund' - ABC7 Chicago - August 9th, 2026 [August 9th, 2026]
- Republicans Behind in Five Key Races They Havent Lost in Decades - Newsweek - August 9th, 2026 [August 9th, 2026]
- Ohio Rep. Max Miller faces a growing number of calls to resign from fellow Republicans - NBC News - August 9th, 2026 [August 9th, 2026]
- This Week, Republicans Won Some Battles. Democrats Are Still Winning the War - Cook Political Report - August 9th, 2026 [August 9th, 2026]
- What to Watch in the Kansas Primaries: Can Republicans Flip a Governors Mansion? - The New York Times - August 5th, 2026 [August 5th, 2026]
- With Susan Collins opposed to Todd Blanche, his fate rests with two Senate Republicans - MS NOW - August 5th, 2026 [August 5th, 2026]
- Joseph Solomon Jr. is asking Republicans to disaffiliate and vote for him in the Democratic Primary for Attorney General - SteveAhlquist.news - August 5th, 2026 [August 5th, 2026]
- Republicans are not seizing the day and broadcasting economic progress: Adam Johnson - Fox Business - August 5th, 2026 [August 5th, 2026]
- 'I had to look my kids in the eyes': Why some Republicans are backing Gov. Katie Hobbs - ABC15 Arizona - August 5th, 2026 [August 5th, 2026]
- Ahead of midterms, Republicans run ads after cutting healthcare funds - NPR - August 5th, 2026 [August 5th, 2026]
- Republicans stand behind Trump on Iran even as unpopularity of conflict grows - The Hill - August 5th, 2026 [August 5th, 2026]
- Cornyn Claims Republicans Cant Rein In Trumpas He Bends the Knee - The New Republic - August 5th, 2026 [August 5th, 2026]
- Republicans are in too little disarray - Slow Boring - August 5th, 2026 [August 5th, 2026]
- Florida Republicans now have a 1.5 million voter registration advantage over Democrats - Creative Loafing Tampa - August 5th, 2026 [August 5th, 2026]
- Here are the Republicans who could replace Chuck Edwards on the ballot in North Carolina - Washington Examiner - August 5th, 2026 [August 5th, 2026]
- Republicans spent years targeting progressive dark money. That could now boomerang on Trump. - CBS News - July 28th, 2026 [July 28th, 2026]
- Grassley is lobbying other Republicans to okay Blanche as attorney general - Radio Iowa - July 28th, 2026 [July 28th, 2026]
- Republicans have nothing to run on in midterms after Trump failures, Jeffries says - The Guardian - July 28th, 2026 [July 28th, 2026]
- The 2026 House Map is No More Favorable to Republicans than the 2018 Map was - Sabato's Crystal Ball - Center For Politics - July 28th, 2026 [July 28th, 2026]
- Republicans head home for the summer after a string of losses in Congress - The Guardian - July 28th, 2026 [July 28th, 2026]
- California Republicans urge RFK Jr. to block new Newsom-backed taxes on health insurers - Denver Gazette - July 28th, 2026 [July 28th, 2026]
- Lindsey Graham, the South Carolina senator who died this month at 71, was eulogized in the Capitol Rotunda on Tuesday morning. Vice President JD Vance... - July 28th, 2026 [July 28th, 2026]
- Meet the Republicans running in Michigans 34th Senate District - 9and10News.com - July 28th, 2026 [July 28th, 2026]
- Republicans Senators Are Turning Todd Blanches Confirmation Fight Into an Anti-Abortion Free-For-All - Balls and Strikes - July 28th, 2026 [July 28th, 2026]
- California Republicans ask Washington to kill the state's new insurer tax - Insurance Business - July 28th, 2026 [July 28th, 2026]
- 4 Republicans Distance Themselves From House H-2A Reform Over Amnesty - DTN Progressive Farmer - July 28th, 2026 [July 28th, 2026]
- Grassley is lobbying other Republicans to okay Blanche as attorney general - Sioux County Radio - July 28th, 2026 [July 28th, 2026]
- Nothing nefarious? Bless Dave Boliek and NC Republicans cheating hearts | Opinion - Raleigh News & Observer - July 28th, 2026 [July 28th, 2026]
- Why Trumps team is letting some Republicans distance themselves from him - MS NOW - July 28th, 2026 [July 28th, 2026]
- An amazing job: Many Republicans cant name a single thing Trump has done wrong - MS NOW - July 24th, 2026 [July 24th, 2026]
- The Republicans Who Have Broken With Their Party to Support Limiting Trumps Iran War Powers - Time Magazine - July 24th, 2026 [July 24th, 2026]
- Some House Republicans defect to again pass resolution seeking to halt military action in Iran - PBS - July 24th, 2026 [July 24th, 2026]
- Congressional Republicans Say D.C. Shouldnt Be Allowed to Run Its Own Tax System - Institute on Taxation and Economic Policy - July 24th, 2026 [July 24th, 2026]
- House Republicans Question Future of Federal Broadband Programs - Broadband Breakfast - July 24th, 2026 [July 24th, 2026]
- These are the Republicans who voted for the Iran war powers resolution - The Hill - July 24th, 2026 [July 24th, 2026]
- Arizona Republicans pick nominees Tuesday for governor and other top offices - PBS - July 24th, 2026 [July 24th, 2026]
- NJ Republicans target two laws as they seek probe into non-citizen voting reveal - New Jersey Monitor - July 24th, 2026 [July 24th, 2026]
- Smithsonian too focused on 'oppressors and the oppressed,' say House Republicans - NPR - July 24th, 2026 [July 24th, 2026]
- House Republicans pass hard-right defense bill, handing wins to Trump - Politico - July 24th, 2026 [July 24th, 2026]
- All 15 Senate Republicans call for probe of voter registration failures - New Jersey Globe - July 24th, 2026 [July 24th, 2026]
- Republicans push Trump administration to extend TPS for Haitians as deadline nears - NBC 6 South Florida - July 24th, 2026 [July 24th, 2026]
- House Republicans to write $95bn bill to fund Iran war and aid farmers | House of Representatives - The Guardian - July 24th, 2026 [July 24th, 2026]
- Why labor unions are sticking with two Pa. Republicans, even as control of the U.S. House hangs in the balance - Inquirer.com - July 24th, 2026 [July 24th, 2026]
- House Republicans Focus on Democrats Plans, Not Their Own Wins - News of the United States - NOTUS - July 24th, 2026 [July 24th, 2026]
- Voter exhaustion could haunt Democrats and Republicans in the midterms - KJZZ - July 24th, 2026 [July 24th, 2026]