Republicans face a Trump problem as they look to 2018 contests – Los Angeles Times
With the first two elections over in a series of off-season special House races, the Republican partys biggest challenge is obvious:
President Trump.
Republicans had hoped the protests that marked Trumps inauguration and early presidency would peter out over time. So far, thats not happened. Instead, the fervor of opposition to the president has powered stronger-than-expected results for Democrats at the ballot box. Unless that changes, that opposition could torment the GOP through the 2018 elections.
How to manage Trump to appeal to the voters he attracts and the voters he offends now ranks as the premier challenge for Republican candidates, party strategists say.
Democrats face their own challenges this year and next. In the first two contests of the year, in Kansas and Georgia, theyve come close, but havent yet won a GOP-controlled seat. Theyll have to do that in significant numbers if they are to regain control of the House in the 2018 midterm elections.
Moreover, for now, they have been able to focus money and volunteer activity on a limited number of special elections. By next year, the targeted seats will balloon in number, diluting their focus.
At this point, however, its the Republicans challenge that appears to loom largest.
Conservative activist Erick Erickson on Wednesday offered a succinct wrap-up of Tuesdays House special election in the northern suburbs of Atlanta, where he is based. Several GOP hopefuls had competed to take on the leading Democratic candidate, Jon Ossoff.
The more closely aligned a candidate was with President Trump, the worse that candidate did, Erickson wrote of the Republican field on his website, the Resurgent.
Republicans had a measure of success in that race, forcing Ossoff into a June 20 runoff. But the party is unable to ignore the warning signs.
In both places, Democratic turnout was proportionally better, a reflection of the intensity that is fueling the party out of power and lacking in the party fully controlling Washington. In both places, historically sites of easy wins for Republicans, Democrats improved their standing fairly dramatically.
The Democratic candidate in Kansass 4th District lost by seven points, about 20 points less than losses suffered by previous Democrats. In Georgia, Ossoff came within two points of winning a seat outright that Republicans have held for decades. A first place finish for the Democrat, a 30-year-old filmmaker and former congressional aide making his first run for elective office, would have been unthinkable mere months ago.
The distant second-place finisher, former Georgia Secretary of State Karen Handel, defeated other Republicans who had bragged of their affinity for Trump, about whom she offered measured support.
The special elections this year serve as warm-ups for 2018, when attention will turn to, at minimum, the nearly two dozen seats held by Republicans in districts won in 2016 by Hillary Clinton. Seven of those seats are in California. Only 12 House seats are held by Democrats in districts won by Trump.
Democrats would need to win nearly all of those Republican-held House seats or a strong majority of them combined with any open seats to take over control of the House. That will mean a large number of targets for Democrats to sort through.
Thats going to be one of the problems for Democrats next year, said Republican strategist Charlie Gerow, who is based in Pennsylvania. Which ones do you target? You cant put the resources that they put into Georgia into all those other races.
Another challenge for Democrats, especially in those centrist districts, will be riding the enthusiasm of a party turning rapidly to the left without appearing to be out of touch with the demands of less partisan voters.
But the challenge for Republicans may be more complicated. In many cases, it may put candidates on a collision course with the president and party leaders.
The difficulty will be particularly acute in districts like the 6th in Georgia, where voters already had demonstrated an arms-distance relationship with the president.
With a highly educated suburban voter base, diverse and with large numbers of women, it represents the kind of district that posed problems for Trump all over the country.
Ossoff and his allies exploited that, casting the race as a referendum on the president. Millions of dollars poured in from sympathetic activists living elsewhere, especially California, financing a campaign that presented Ossoff as an antidote to the animosity and inaction of Washington.
Trump seized on Ossoffs outside fundraising when he tweeted about the race early Wednesday.
Dems failed in Kansas and are now failing in Georgia. Great job Karen Handel! It is now Hollywood vs. Georgia on June 20th, he tweeted.
But in the runoff, Hollywood is less likely to be the focus than Trump himself. That will present Handel with a series of dicey decisions that will be watched by Republicans elsewhere.
For one, she needs to bring together her own supporters, Republicans more in the Mitt Romney mold, with the staunch Trump supporters who backed other candidates. When businessman Bob Gray, the most vocally pro-Trump candidate, implored his supporters Tuesday to back Handel, the room went silent, the Atlanta Journal-Constitution reported.
Attracting those bedrock voters would be best accomplished with Trumps help. Indeed, Handel on Wednesday said she would welcome the president to the district. (White House Press Secretary Sean Spicer, said Trump would play a role if needed.)
But Trumps presence could backfire by inflaming voters in the district who dislike him. That is a balance that other Republican candidates in closely divided districts will also have to mind, strategists say.
For Republican candidates, a priority will be maintaining an image of loyalty to voters, not necessarily to Trump. Another solution is something out of their control: a positive shift in the way the country views Trump, who is the least popular president in decades at this point in his presidency.
I think what the presidents doing with regard to traveling around the country the event he had in Wisconsin yesterday was great for rallying the base is important, said Republican strategist Alice Stewart. But he needs to start having some success with regard to policy, whether its a healthcare bill passed, or tax reform.
Meaningful success, not just executive orders. If we are still here in a year and a half, and there havent been any meaningful successes, it will be challenging for Republicans, she said.
Much of the furor surrounding the 2017 special elections is about creating circumstances for improvement in 2018: keeping activists engaged, reaping money from enthusiastic donors and encouraging newly optimistic candidates to jump in and take a chance, as Ossoff did.
In Georgia and elsewhere, Democratic victories would make the Republican road more treacherous than it is at present.
Democrats are now aware that theres a pathway to victory for them, said University of Georgia political scientist Charles S. Bullock III.
Republicans have a lot, I think, to look at and ponder. They cant feel particularly good.
For more on politics
Twitter: @cathleendecker
ALSO:
Republicans force a June runoff in a race seen as a referendum on President Trump
The latest from Washington
Updates on California politics
More here:
Republicans face a Trump problem as they look to 2018 contests - Los Angeles Times
- Mike Johnson set to huddle with Indiana Republicans amid redistricting fight - Politico - November 28th, 2025 [November 28th, 2025]
- Republicans seek severe immigration crackdown over D.C. shooting: "Deport them all. Now." - Axios - November 28th, 2025 [November 28th, 2025]
- Young Republicans want Texas to ban IVF. We can't let them. | Editorial - Houston Chronicle - November 28th, 2025 [November 28th, 2025]
- After weathering a blue wave, Republicans maintain grip Rensselaer County politics - Times Union - November 28th, 2025 [November 28th, 2025]
- House Republicans join Democrats in effort to repeal Trumps unprecedented union-busting executive order - The Labor Tribune - November 28th, 2025 [November 28th, 2025]
- Judges allow North Carolina to use a map drawn in bid to give Republicans another US House seat - Newsday - November 26th, 2025 [November 26th, 2025]
- House Republicans Slam Witkoff Over Handling of Russia-Ukraine Talks - Foreign Policy - November 26th, 2025 [November 26th, 2025]
- Judges allow North Carolina to use a map drawn in bid to give Republicans another U.S. House seat - PBS - November 26th, 2025 [November 26th, 2025]
- Republicans consider quitting Congress early over death threats and infighting - Axios - November 26th, 2025 [November 26th, 2025]
- Republicans Fight With Trumps Team Over Ukraine Talks - The New York Times - November 26th, 2025 [November 26th, 2025]
- Indiana Republicans may have to break with their rules to redistrict. Can Democrats stop them? - IndyStar - November 26th, 2025 [November 26th, 2025]
- Once Foes of Obamacare, Some Republicans Push to Protect It - The New York Times - November 26th, 2025 [November 26th, 2025]
- Are Republicans in Indiana caving to President Trump's redistricting demands? - CNN - November 26th, 2025 [November 26th, 2025]
- Most Democrats and one-third of Republicans think its likely the U.S. will get into a nuclear war in the next decade - YouGov - November 26th, 2025 [November 26th, 2025]
- Opinion: Republicans hope the Supreme Court will help them hold the House - Chattanooga Times Free Press - November 26th, 2025 [November 26th, 2025]
- Obamacare premiums are skyrocketing. Republicans cant figure out what to do. - Politico - November 26th, 2025 [November 26th, 2025]
- Facing Threats and Intimidation, Indiana Republicans Will Vote on Redistricting - Democracy Docket - November 26th, 2025 [November 26th, 2025]
- Is the price of doing this worth it?: North Carolina Republicans worry about Trump immigration raids - Politico - November 26th, 2025 [November 26th, 2025]
- How Democrats and Republicans are rethinking the goal of government under Trump - NPR - November 26th, 2025 [November 26th, 2025]
- The Clock Is Ticking For Republicans To Overhaul Health Insurance - Investopedia - November 26th, 2025 [November 26th, 2025]
- Its Not Just MTG: Other Republicans in Congress Are Reportedly Eyeing an Exit - Vanity Fair - November 26th, 2025 [November 26th, 2025]
- Republicans want comprehensive oversight of Michigans 2026 election. What does that mean? - Michigan Advance - November 26th, 2025 [November 26th, 2025]
- Some Republicans want to try to pass another mega-bill on health care - The Washington Post - November 26th, 2025 [November 26th, 2025]
- Article | Trump was going to roll out a health care plan. Then Republicans weighed in. - POLITICO Pro - November 26th, 2025 [November 26th, 2025]
- Why Republicans Are Fighting About the Nazis - The New York Times - November 26th, 2025 [November 26th, 2025]
- Trump's Chummy Embrace Of Mamdani Is 'Sabotaging Himself And Republicans': GOP Strategist - Forbes - November 26th, 2025 [November 26th, 2025]
- From The New York Times Opinion Section Only Republicans have a plan for A.I., David Byler writes. Democrats, at best, have concepts of a plan. And if... - November 26th, 2025 [November 26th, 2025]
- Trump seizes control of Republicans' 2026 election strategy with his presidency on the line - Yahoo - November 26th, 2025 [November 26th, 2025]
- Georgia Republicans and the Trump Administration Are Working to Undermine the 2026 Elections - Democracy Docket - November 26th, 2025 [November 26th, 2025]
- Trumps gambit to save Republicans from a giant health insurance spike comes with a $50 billion price tag, CRFB estimates - Fortune - November 26th, 2025 [November 26th, 2025]
- Why health savings accounts arent the fix Republicans hope for - The Washington Post - November 26th, 2025 [November 26th, 2025]
- Its not just Marjorie Taylor Greene: The Republicans considering quitting over Trump - Yahoo - November 26th, 2025 [November 26th, 2025]
- Democrats make a new offer to end the shutdown, but Republicans aren't buying it - NBC News - November 7th, 2025 [November 7th, 2025]
- The Republicans Warning They Have a Problem - The New York Times - November 7th, 2025 [November 7th, 2025]
- LEADER JEFFRIES ON MSNBC: DONALD TRUMP AND REPUBLICANS HAVE DECIDED TO WEAPONIZE HUNGER AND STARVATION Congressman Hakeem Jeffries - Congressman... - November 7th, 2025 [November 7th, 2025]
- Democrats consider prolonging the government shutdown as Republicans prepare new bills without health care fix - ABC7 Los Angeles - November 7th, 2025 [November 7th, 2025]
- Democrats consider prolonging the shutdown as Republicans prepare new bills without health care fix - abcnews.go.com - November 7th, 2025 [November 7th, 2025]
- Republicans are losing this key voting bloc. Here's why. - USA Today - November 7th, 2025 [November 7th, 2025]
- Republicans Block Measure to Bar Military Strike on Venezuela - The New York Times - November 7th, 2025 [November 7th, 2025]
- Republicans are losing support from Latinos in Colorado as voters voice dissatisfaction with immigration, inflation efforts - Post Independent - November 7th, 2025 [November 7th, 2025]
- Senate Republicans Reject Measure to Block Military Action in Venezuela - WSJ - The Wall Street Journal - November 7th, 2025 [November 7th, 2025]
- Senate will vote Friday to advance shutdown-ending deal, Thune tells Republicans - Politico - November 7th, 2025 [November 7th, 2025]
- EDITORIAL: Stuck on Stupid-How Annapolis Republicans Turned Another Election Into a Self-Inflicted Rout - Eye On Annapolis - November 7th, 2025 [November 7th, 2025]
- Article | Key Republicans waver ahead of war powers vote - POLITICO Pro - November 7th, 2025 [November 7th, 2025]
- Charlotte GOP lost big on election night. Is it final nail in coffin for Republicans? - Charlotte Observer - November 7th, 2025 [November 7th, 2025]
- Republicans must nuke filibuster now or Democrats will do it when they regain power, Trump warns - Washington Examiner - November 7th, 2025 [November 7th, 2025]
- Trump and Republicans admonish others for their election losses - Politico - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]
- Republicans think the shutdown is about to end. They could be dead wrong. - MSNBC News - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]
- Trump says election results not good for Republicans, citing 2 possible reasons - Fox News - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]
- Republicans Just Lost a Statewide Election in Pennsylvania. What Does That Mean for the Future? - Slate - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]
- California Republicans thought they could beat Newsom's gerrymander. They crashed and burned. - Politico - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]
- In an Upset, Democrats Oust Two Republicans on Georgias Utility Board - The New York Times - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]
- Democratic election wins send Trump and Republicans a message: Americans blame them for government shutdown - The Conversation - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]
- Kansas Young Republicans' racist texts show how far the party has strayed from its noble roots - Kansas Reflector - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]
- Republicans Reprise Unfounded Claims of Widespread Election Interference - The New York Times - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]
- Remember the hateful Young Republicans group chat? It's the tip of the iceberg. | Opinion - USA Today - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]
- Trump urges Republicans to kill filibuster, warning they'll lose if they don't - Politico - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]
- Rosen: Trump, Republicans feast while SNAP, health benefits on the line - Nevada Current - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]
- Video Republicans need to 'think about what happened': GOP strategist - abcnews.go.com - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]
- How Republicans are planning to win the 2026 midterms without Trump on the ballot - abcnews.go.com - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]
- Trump Orders Republicans to Approve His Sinister Plan to Rule Forever - The Daily Beast - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]
- Enfield Democrats upend Republicans, Vernon's GOP mayor reelected and more 2025 election results - CT Insider - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]
- In Redistricting Battles, Heres How Trump, Republicans and Democrats Are Faring - The New York Times - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]
- Trump says this is what Republicans need to do next following election defeats - MLive.com - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]
- Why Republicans had a 'math problem' in off-year election - Fox News - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]
- Poll: Republicans shoulder more shutdown blame, as signs of voter irritation with both parties pile up - NBC News - November 3rd, 2025 [November 3rd, 2025]
- Republicans argue big-hearted president Trump is keen to end shutdown - The Guardian - November 3rd, 2025 [November 3rd, 2025]
- Republicans re-up trans attacks on Dems that worked for Trump in 2024 - The Washington Post - November 3rd, 2025 [November 3rd, 2025]
- Republicans Claim They Have a Healthcare Plan. But They Wont Tell You Whats in It - Rolling Stone - November 3rd, 2025 [November 3rd, 2025]
- Virginia Republicans rally in Hanover ahead of Election Day, highlighting work since 2022 - WRIC ABC 8News - November 3rd, 2025 [November 3rd, 2025]
- Ted Cruz to Jewish Republicans: Antisemitism is an existential crisis in our party - The Times of Israel - November 3rd, 2025 [November 3rd, 2025]
- Obama says it's 'like every day is Halloween' as he blames Republicans for government shutdown - Fox News - November 3rd, 2025 [November 3rd, 2025]
- House Republicans exploring ways to prevent Mamdani from being sworn in as NYC mayor if he wins on Election Day - New York Post - November 3rd, 2025 [November 3rd, 2025]
- Opinion: Republicans keep winning. Sand hopes to change the game - thegazette.com - November 3rd, 2025 [November 3rd, 2025]
- President Trump, House Speaker Johnson, others address Las Vegas meeting of Jewish Republicans - Las Vegas Review-Journal - November 3rd, 2025 [November 3rd, 2025]
- Obama blasts Trump ahead of Election Day in Virginia and New Jersey. Republicans keep it local - Decatur Daily - November 3rd, 2025 [November 3rd, 2025]
- Republicans quickly push back on Trumps call to nix filibuster - Politico - October 31st, 2025 [October 31st, 2025]
- Democrats and Republicans Clash Over SNAP Contingency Funds - FactCheck.org - October 31st, 2025 [October 31st, 2025]
- Republicans' refusal to fund SNAP will hurt their own voters most. They don't care. | Opinion - USA Today - October 31st, 2025 [October 31st, 2025]
- Trump calls on Republicans to abolish the Senate filibuster rule - The Guardian - October 31st, 2025 [October 31st, 2025]