Reeling Republicans take one last shot at Obamacare – Politico
Twenty-three years ago, President Bill Clinton and Senate Democrats canceled two weeks of the August recess to pass a major health care bill. They got nowhere.
Now Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell is trying the same thing with the GOP for the August break, and it may lead to the same result.
Story Continued Below
Im hoping for better this time, said Sen. Chuck Grassley (R-Iowa) on Tuesday afternoon after saying earlier he was very pessimistic the GOP would succeed. In 1994, Democrats kept us in and we didnt accomplish anything.
In fact, McConnell would like to finish health care well before August. Though he pulled a vote in June, Republicans say they are serious about completing their work in the coming days.
There will be a vote to advance the bill next week, McConnell said Tuesday. And even if it fails, he made clear to his members at a party lunch that there will be no more false starts despite an increasingly downbeat feeling in the caucus.
New text of the proposal will be made public Thursday, and a Congressional Budget Office analysis is expected on Monday.
Were in gridlock, said Sen. John McCain of Arizona. He added sarcastically: Now were going to look at a new approach. And were going to get a CBO estimate on Monday. Yay!
Sen. Ron Johnson, a conservative holdout, called it a "political blunder" that McConnell started the health care debate as a partisan, all-Republican effort.
Get the latest on the health care fight, every weekday morning in your inbox.
By signing up you agree to receive email newsletters or alerts from POLITICO. You can unsubscribe at any time.
"Its just not smart politically," the Wisconsin senator said.
McConnell spoke to President Donald Trump over the weekend about health care, a source familiar with the conversation said. The White House is distracted by Donald Trump's Jr.s deepening Russia scandal but Trump "definitely wants [health care] done," the source said.
McConnell's new timetable comes as his party is mired in a tug of war among its ideological factions and clearly lacking the 50 required votes to even advance the bill.
An amendment written by Sens. Ted Cruz of Texas and Mike Lee ofUtah is fracturing the conference, with the measure taking center stage at the partys first caucus lunch in nearly two weeks on Tuesday. Though the proposal to allow the sale of cheap, deregulated insurance plans is championed by the right, other Republicans say it would undermine their promise to keep Obamacares protections for people with pre-existing conditions.
There will be two drafts of the new bill text and two scores, senators said: One with the amendment, the other without. McConnell and his team have not decided whether the divisive measure will be included in the base bill. That decision will determine whether Cruz, Lee and other reluctant Republicans even vote to open debate on the bill.
McConnell is urging senators to use the bills open amendment process to alter the measure to suit their concerns, according to senators and aides.
"I just can't imagine not voting to proceed to the bill when you've got an open amendment process," said Sen. Bob Corker of Tennessee. "If you don't like what ends up happening, you can vote no, can you not?"
But many senators suspect McConnell will introduce a substitute measure at the end of the amendment blitz next week that would overwrite any alterations during the bill's "vote-a-rama." And GOP leaders believe if the debate begins, the vote would pass.
If they start the debate that will mean Im confident that we will get there before its over, said Senate Majority Whip John Cornyn of Texas.
Republicans were told on Tuesday the latest draft is likely to keep some of Obamacares taxes on the wealthy and Medicare to help lower premiums for people with low incomes, provide $45 billion to fight opioid addiction and allow people to pay premiums with pre-tax money. It does not appear there is yet a solution for moderates and people from Medicaid expansion states, many of whom gathered on Tuesday to strategize.
I'm not optimistic that its going to be a bill that I can support. But obviously Ill withhold judgment until I see it. It sounds to me like it does not make a lot of major changes," said Sen. Susan Collins. The moderate senator is concerned that future spending reductions to Medicaid would cripple rural hospitals in her state.
Sen. Rand Paul, one of the GOPs most vocal opponents from the right, said he hasnt heard anything that would change his position, even if the amendment by Cruz and Lee is attached.
I promised to repeal it, the Kentucky lawmaker said of Obamacare. I didnt promise to permanently codify that the federal government will buy peoples insurance, subsidize their insurance and then throw a big pool of money at the insurance companies.
The GOP strategy to pass the bill, he said, is the kitchen sink right now theyre just throwing more money at everything.
Indeed, deal-seeking Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-S.C.) said he was convening a group of senators to write a new bill to replace Obamacare. It's not clear how Graham's plan would align with McConnell's work, though he said he believed he could get the support of some Democrats.
That could be helpful, considering how divided the Republican conference is over the issue.
The Cruz and Lee amendment lacks support, and its future has been complicated by a game of telephone between GOP leaders and the two conservative senators. After much back and forth among McConnell, the two conservative senators and CBO, the amendment was rewritten again on Monday, two sources said.
Republicans have asked CBO to analyze two versions of their bill, according to senators: one with the Lee and Cruz amendment and one without the provision. The dual scores could set up a showdown between the Senates conservative standard-bearers and other Republicans.
It is unclear whether the CBO score for the Cruz and Lee proposal will be ready in time for next weeks vote on starting debate on the bill.
Republican senators and aides were expected to meet with the Senate parliamentarian on Tuesday about what health care reforms the Senate rules allow. But the Cruz and Lee proposal doesnt have 50 Republican votes at the moment to survive, senators said.
They have an amendment that I have no objection to, said one Republican senator, before adding, I dont think they have the votes to keep it.
Cruz and Sen. Lamar Alexander (R-Tenn.) met for a private breakfast on Tuesday. The two started the Senates working group on health care several months ago and disagree on the effectiveness of Cruz and Lees amendment.
Critics say that bifurcating the insurance markets will result in healthy people buying deregulated insurance and sick people buying insurance under Obamacare regulations, creating a large and costly risk pool of people with pre-existing conditions.
Theres been a good deal of discussion about the amendment and potential changes to it, Alexander said. "Were still discussing it.
More moderate GOP senators are hoping the measure can be altered to win support of the conference rather than divide it. Some Republicans want to see the risk pools for healthy and sicker people linked in some way so that it prevents sick people from seeing their premiums spike.
The hope is that the amendment still lowers premiums here but doesnt create this kind of death spiral over there, said Sen. Bill Cassidy of Louisiana, who said he has spoken with Cruz about the idea.
Adam Cancryn, Josh Dawsey, Austin Wright and Jake Lahut contributed to this report.
Missing out on the latest scoops? Sign up for POLITICO Playbook and get the latest news, every morning in your inbox.
Read more:
Reeling Republicans take one last shot at Obamacare - Politico
- Republicans quietly celebrate the demise of tariffs. That relief might not last. - Politico - February 22nd, 2026 [February 22nd, 2026]
- Republicans have subpoenaed the Clintons to testify about Jeffrey Epstein. Will it backfire? - The Guardian - February 22nd, 2026 [February 22nd, 2026]
- To protect their gerrymanders, Republicans try to revive a dangerous legal theory - Democracy Docket - February 22nd, 2026 [February 22nd, 2026]
- Opinion: Iowa Republicans turn their backs on nursing home residents - thegazette.com - February 22nd, 2026 [February 22nd, 2026]
- Hutzell: Republicans say they want to SAVE us from voter fraud. Its a November trap. - thebanner.com - February 22nd, 2026 [February 22nd, 2026]
- Trumps Steady Loss of Support From Republicans and Courts - The American Prospect - February 22nd, 2026 [February 22nd, 2026]
- "Patience was running thin": Some Republicans privately cheer SCOTUS rebuke of Trump - Axios - February 22nd, 2026 [February 22nd, 2026]
- Republicans breathe sigh of relief as Supreme Court axes Trump tariffs - The Hill - February 22nd, 2026 [February 22nd, 2026]
- Albemarle Republicans name new captain. Can he right the ship? - The Daily Progress - February 22nd, 2026 [February 22nd, 2026]
- Republicans are using fraud scandals against Democrats in key races - PenBay Pilot - February 22nd, 2026 [February 22nd, 2026]
- Charles O. Miller letter: Republicans' letter failed to address the authoritarian ICE actions - West Central Tribune - February 22nd, 2026 [February 22nd, 2026]
- Republicans stand apart as the one group that solidly favors President Trumps tariffs, with 75% saying they approve. - facebook.com - February 22nd, 2026 [February 22nd, 2026]
- Trump Has a Head-Spinning Day, but Republicans Want Him to Focus - The New York Times - February 20th, 2026 [February 20th, 2026]
- Trump says Republicans will never lose a race if Congress restricts voting - Democracy Docket - February 20th, 2026 [February 20th, 2026]
- Iowa Republicans turn their backs on nursing home residents - Times Republican - February 20th, 2026 [February 20th, 2026]
- Republicans send 400-year veto constitutional amendment to voters - WPR - February 20th, 2026 [February 20th, 2026]
- Republicans jam together and pass wake boat and sandhill crane hunt bill - Wisconsin Examiner - February 20th, 2026 [February 20th, 2026]
- Republicans score another court win on redistricting. Will this one force Virginia Supreme Court to act faster? - Cardinal News - February 20th, 2026 [February 20th, 2026]
- Arizona Republicans urge Interior Secretary to withdraw Colorado River cutbacks over economic risks - AZPM News - February 20th, 2026 [February 20th, 2026]
- Republicans look to speed up small modular nuclear reactor construction in Arizona - Arizona Capitol Times - February 20th, 2026 [February 20th, 2026]
- Republicans are eyeing major election changes. Trumps mail voting crackdown isnt one of them. - Politico - February 20th, 2026 [February 20th, 2026]
- Republicans reach deal on 2% boost to education funding - KGAN - February 20th, 2026 [February 20th, 2026]
- OPBs First Look: Republicans no-show in the Oregon Senate - Oregon Public Broadcasting - OPB - February 20th, 2026 [February 20th, 2026]
- Senate Republicans Kill Efforts to Fund Housing Champions, Increase Oversight of EFAs - InDepthNH.org - February 20th, 2026 [February 20th, 2026]
- The Freshman Lawmaker Working to Build Republicans Bench - NOTUS News of the United States - February 20th, 2026 [February 20th, 2026]
- National Caregivers Day: Trump and Republicans Sold Out Millions Caring For Loved Ones to Pad the Pockets of Billionaires and Big Corporations -... - February 20th, 2026 [February 20th, 2026]
- Trump Targeted These Universities, but Republicans in Congress Are Still Helping Them Out - NOTUS News of the United States - February 20th, 2026 [February 20th, 2026]
- Connecticut Republicans call for more oversight of funding that goes into nonprofits, third-party vendors - NBC Connecticut - February 20th, 2026 [February 20th, 2026]
- A Night Where Secret New York City Republicans Can "Be Themselves" - Vanity Fair - February 20th, 2026 [February 20th, 2026]
- Republicans Have Mastered This One Weird Trick For Dealing With Judges They Dont Like - Balls and Strikes - February 20th, 2026 [February 20th, 2026]
- DC Republicans struggle to cut deal for ethanol expansion, risking wrath from farmers - Chattanooga Times Free Press - February 20th, 2026 [February 20th, 2026]
- Republicans Are Getting Crushed in Recent Elections, And They Are Freaking Out About the Midterms - Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee - February 20th, 2026 [February 20th, 2026]
- Republicans Look to Expand Postpartum Care in Wisconsin - MacIver Institute - February 20th, 2026 [February 20th, 2026]
- Republicans cant stop doing the one thing they should fear most - vox.com - February 2nd, 2026 [February 2nd, 2026]
- Texas loss delivers stark warning to Republicans in critical election year - BBC - February 2nd, 2026 [February 2nd, 2026]
- Five Reasons Republicans Are Worried About This Texas State Senate Race - The Wall Street Journal - February 2nd, 2026 [February 2nd, 2026]
- With an ACA fix uncertain in the Senate, Republicans replay old health care fights - NPR - February 2nd, 2026 [February 2nd, 2026]
- Texas Republicans shift messaging around ICE tactics amid election-year risks - Houston Public Media - February 2nd, 2026 [February 2nd, 2026]
- Trump urges House Republicans, Democrats to work together to end shutdown - The Hill - February 2nd, 2026 [February 2nd, 2026]
- Why some Republicans rediscovered their love of court packing - MS NOW - February 2nd, 2026 [February 2nd, 2026]
- Trumps Remarks That Republicans Should Take Over Voting Raises Concerns - Newsweek - February 2nd, 2026 [February 2nd, 2026]
- House Republicans rake in funds as they seek to stave off midterm headwinds - Politico - February 2nd, 2026 [February 2nd, 2026]
- How Republicans are responding to a Democrat winning a Texas election - Newsweek - February 2nd, 2026 [February 2nd, 2026]
- Texas bruising sends Republicans a message theyd better take to heart - New York Post - February 2nd, 2026 [February 2nd, 2026]
- Republicans play a numbers game in the House, and the number of the moment is 53 - Maryland Matters - February 2nd, 2026 [February 2nd, 2026]
- Senate Republicans try to regain footing on immigration after Minneapolis blowback - The Hill - February 2nd, 2026 [February 2nd, 2026]
- Are Republicans Headed for Texas-Sized Trouble This Fall? - FITSNews - February 2nd, 2026 [February 2nd, 2026]
- Johnson: Republicans OPEN To ICE Reforms As DHS Funding Feud Fuels Government Shutdown | TRENDING - NEWS10 ABC - February 2nd, 2026 [February 2nd, 2026]
- Republicans Struggle to Respond to Shooting, Reflecting Political Peril - The New York Times - January 26th, 2026 [January 26th, 2026]
- Disturbed and deeply concerning: Even Republicans want answers on the Minneapolis shooting - MS NOW - January 26th, 2026 [January 26th, 2026]
- Pence And Other Republicans Break With Trump Over Pretti Death: Deeply Troubling - Forbes - January 26th, 2026 [January 26th, 2026]
- Chaos, Candidates, and the Fight for Texas Republicans - houstonpublicmedia.org - January 26th, 2026 [January 26th, 2026]
- Morrow County Republicans call on Rep. Greg Smith to resign over ethics - salemreporter.com - January 26th, 2026 [January 26th, 2026]
- Republicans Wont Split the DHS Funding Bill as a Partial Shutdown Grows Likelier - NOTUS News of the United States - January 26th, 2026 [January 26th, 2026]
- Some Republicans call for investigation after fatal shooting in Minneapolis - mprnews.org - January 26th, 2026 [January 26th, 2026]
- Republicans appeal decision that threw out NYC's only GOP-controlled House district - sfchronicle.com - January 26th, 2026 [January 26th, 2026]
- Why Is the Press Treating Republicans Like Toddlers After Their Agents Killed an American Nurse? - Zeteo | Substack - January 26th, 2026 [January 26th, 2026]
- Why Republicans invented the myth of voter fraud to justify laws that keep American citizens from voting - milwaukeeindependent.com - January 26th, 2026 [January 26th, 2026]
- ICE killings a watershed moment: Trump, Republicans risk breaking with the American people - France 24 - January 26th, 2026 [January 26th, 2026]
- Republicans Ignore Democrats Demands on DHS Funding - NOTUS News of the United States - January 26th, 2026 [January 26th, 2026]
- More Republicans call for investigation after Minneapolis shooting as it happened - The Guardian - January 26th, 2026 [January 26th, 2026]
- Native Americans Are Getting Swept Up by ICE; Republicans Say There Will be Mistakes - oklahomawatch.org - January 26th, 2026 [January 26th, 2026]
- Republicans appeal decision that threw out NYC's only GOP-controlled House district - lufkindailynews.com - January 26th, 2026 [January 26th, 2026]
- Are Republicans Growing a Little Uneasy About the ICE Raids? - The New York Times - January 24th, 2026 [January 24th, 2026]
- Republicans move forward with plans for a midterm convention featuring Trump - CNN - January 24th, 2026 [January 24th, 2026]
- Johnson warns House Republicans to stay healthy as GOP majority shrinks to the edge - Fox News - January 24th, 2026 [January 24th, 2026]
- Georgia Republicans are Putting Themselves on the Path to Income Tax Elimination - Americans for Tax Reform - January 24th, 2026 [January 24th, 2026]
- Democrats are crushing Republicans in this new poll, and Trumps approval numbers tell the whole story - oregonlive.com - January 24th, 2026 [January 24th, 2026]
- This Week, Republicans Showed Us Who Theyre Really Working For: Anti-Abortion Extremists - Reproductive Freedom for All - January 24th, 2026 [January 24th, 2026]
- Republicans narrowly fend off bid to limit Trump on Venezuela - Politico - January 24th, 2026 [January 24th, 2026]
- Republicans fuss over name calling while ICE wreaks havoc - mainebeacon.com - January 24th, 2026 [January 24th, 2026]
- Assembly Republicans approve stewardship reauthorization, with less money and more oversight - wpr.org - January 24th, 2026 [January 24th, 2026]
- Republicans tried to snag Jack Smith on technicalities. But they didnt engage with the facts. - Politico - January 24th, 2026 [January 24th, 2026]
- House Republicans tax cuts, election reform, and more - alohastatedaily.com - January 24th, 2026 [January 24th, 2026]
- Michigan House Republicans threaten judicial funding over proposed court rule on ICE arrests - michiganadvance.com - January 24th, 2026 [January 24th, 2026]
- Republicans holding midterm convention this year | Campaign News | 2news.com - 2news.com - January 24th, 2026 [January 24th, 2026]
- Maine Republicans call for investigation into DHHS over claims of MaineCare fraud - wgme.com - January 24th, 2026 [January 24th, 2026]
- Tennessee Republicans want a Houston-style takeover of Memphis schools. What does that mean? - Chalkbeat - January 24th, 2026 [January 24th, 2026]
- Louisville Republicans hope to gain Metro Council majority for the first time - lpm.org - January 24th, 2026 [January 24th, 2026]
- Jack Smith to defend Trump investigations to House Republicans - opb.org - January 24th, 2026 [January 24th, 2026]