Most Republicans still falsely believe Trump’s stolen election claims. Here are some reasons why. – Poynter
Former President Donald Trump has made the stolen 2020 election the centerpiece of his post-White House political life. Virtually every statement he sends out invokes the false theme.
The polling shows it has been effective, not just with the crowd that stormed the Capitol on his behalf on Jan. 6, 2021, but with members of the Republican Party almost a year and a half later.
The multiple recounts and audits that confirmed Joe Bidens win have changed little. With remarkable consistency, a scant one-quarter of Republican voters tell pollsters that Biden won legitimately. That was the view they shared in the spring of 2021, and the fraction remains about the same today.
Roughly 70% of Republicans dont see Biden as the legitimate winner. Surveys by different pollsters show virtually the same results, with the exception of a Washington Post/University of Maryland poll that dropped it to 61%.
Trumps insistence that he won the 2020 election became the target of the House select committee investigating the Jan. 6 attack. In the second of a series of hearings revealing what it has found, the committee showed video of Trump insiders describing how, from the earliest days, the conviction grew that Trump had failed to get enough votes.
Campaign manager Bill Stepientold investigatorsthat by Nov. 5, two days after the election, they saw Biden take the lead. Stepien and other top campaign staff went to Trump.
We told him, the group that went over there, (we) outlined my belief on the chances for success at this point, and we pegged it at 5%, maybe 10%, Stepien said.
The situation, Stepien said, was very, very bleak.
Acting Deputy Attorney General Richard Donoghue was one of many officials who tried to counter Trumps claims of fraud.
I said something to the effect of, Sir, weve done dozens of investigations, hundreds of interviews. The major allegations are not supported by the evidence developed. Weve looked at Georgia, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Nevada. We are doing our job. Much of the info you are getting is false, Donoghue told investigators.
Focus groups have shown that Trump supporters werent swayed by specific pieces of evidence that rebutted his claims.
Sarah Longwell, executive director of Republicans for the Rule of Law, has conducted regular focus groups with fans of Trump.
For many of Trumps voters, the belief that the election was stolen is not a fully formed thought, Longwell wroteApril 18for The Atlantic. They know something nefarious occurred, but cant easily explain how or why. Whats more, theyre mystified and sometimes angry that other people dont feel the same.
Trump, Longwell wrote, primed his backers to disbelieve the official results. Months before the vote, he linked mail-in ballots to fraud. On Election Night in many states, mail-in results come later than in-person tabulations. Longwell said that timing raised suspicions.
A woman from Georgia told me, When I went to bed, Trump was so in the lead and then (I got) up and hes not in the lead. I mean, thats crazy, Longwell said.
Other interviews with Trump voters found similar attitudes. Researchers at the University of Texas at AustinsCenter for Media Engagementspent time with 56 people who believed that Trump most likely won the election. Professor Talia Stroud said that contrary to popular assumptions, the people we spoke with were not conspiracists isolated in right-wing echo chambers.
These voters said they got their news from a variety of outlets, and wound up with multiple theories of how the vote was manipulated. Stroud said the multiple reasons made it harder to change their minds.
It is one thing to dismiss one misleading claim, but countering many different claims across many different people is much more challenging, Stroud said. If I have five reasons that the election could have been fraudulent, and you dismiss one of them, there are four others waiting in the wings.
Personal experience also reinforced belief. Political scientist Lilliana Mason at Johns Hopkins University told us that maps of the election results show that many Republican voters live in communities that are almost entirely red.
It seems ludicrous to them that Biden could have won, because theyve never heard of a single person who voted for him, Mason said.
Political scientist Alexander Theodoridis, associate director of the University of Massachusetts-Amherst poll, said partisan polarization makes agreement on the election results even harder to achieve.
Partisans view the other side as morally bankrupt and capable of anything, Theodoridis said. This makes it nearly impossible to correct even the most egregious pieces of misinformation.
Not only does accurate information fail to persuade, Longwell said the effort can backfire.
A woman from Arizona told me, I think what convinced me more that the election was fixed was how vehemently they have said it wasnt, Longwell said.
This article was originallypublished by PolitiFact, which is part of the Poynter Institute. It is republished here with permission. See the sources hereand more of their fact checkshere.
Read the rest here:
Most Republicans still falsely believe Trump's stolen election claims. Here are some reasons why. - Poynter
- Capitol agenda: Trump tells Republicans to vote or go to hell - Politico - September 11th, 2026 [September 11th, 2026]
- Trump promised $5,000 checks if Republicans win the midterms. How would that work? - pbs.org - September 11th, 2026 [September 11th, 2026]
- Im on the ticket: Trump implores Republicans to vote in November at unusual midterm convention - theguardian.com - September 11th, 2026 [September 11th, 2026]
- Supreme Court grants request to prevent Missouri from using congressional map expected to aid Republicans - SCOTUSblog - September 11th, 2026 [September 11th, 2026]
- Indiana Republicans starting ads for Engling a month after Democrat Bayh hit the airwaves - Indiana Capital Chronicle - September 11th, 2026 [September 11th, 2026]
- Republicans are touting their 'big beautiful bill' to voters. Here's what the law has actually done - pbs.org - September 11th, 2026 [September 11th, 2026]
- NC Republicans take the stage at the GOP midterm convention - ncnewsline.com - September 11th, 2026 [September 11th, 2026]
- Wisconsin Republicans are heading to a midterm convention. What is that? - WPR - September 11th, 2026 [September 11th, 2026]
- Republicans were confident about keeping the Senate. Now the battle is wide open - pbs.org - September 11th, 2026 [September 11th, 2026]
- Elections dispute continues after Justice Kavanaugh turns down request from Missouri to use congressional map expected to aid Republicans - SCOTUSblog - September 11th, 2026 [September 11th, 2026]
- Trump Floats $5,000 Trump Dividend Checks if Republicans Win the Midterms - The New York Times - September 11th, 2026 [September 11th, 2026]
- Trump says every adult American will get $5,000 if Republicans win midterms - BBC - September 11th, 2026 [September 11th, 2026]
- Vance calls on battleground state Republicans to nationalize the midterms - NBC News - September 11th, 2026 [September 11th, 2026]
- Vance seizes MAGA spotlight as Republicans begin looking beyond Trump - Reuters - September 11th, 2026 [September 11th, 2026]
- Vance tests 2028 appeal as Republicans gather in Trumps shadow - thearabweekly.com - September 11th, 2026 [September 11th, 2026]
- Does Trump Want Republicans to Win the Midterms? - The Atlantic - September 11th, 2026 [September 11th, 2026]
- Trump-a-palooza: why are Republicans avoiding the president? | Politics Weekly America - theguardian.com - September 11th, 2026 [September 11th, 2026]
- Texas Republicans Are Turning Against Data Centers. Will It Matter in November? - The New York Times - September 11th, 2026 [September 11th, 2026]
- Vance's speech at US Republicans' convention interrupted by protester waving Mexican flag - Anadolu Ajans - September 11th, 2026 [September 11th, 2026]
- As Midterms Approach, Republicans Find There Is No Escape From Trump - The New York Times - September 6th, 2026 [September 6th, 2026]
- Republicans might still lose half the seats they gerrymandered to flip - Politico - September 6th, 2026 [September 6th, 2026]
- Opinion | Republicans seem to only call out antisemitism when it suits them politically. Elon Musk proves it. - MS NOW - September 6th, 2026 [September 6th, 2026]
- Raskin says the SC has been "stacked and packed" by Republicans - NBC News - September 6th, 2026 [September 6th, 2026]
- Trump promises to campaign for Republicans and says they have a winning midterm message - PBS - September 6th, 2026 [September 6th, 2026]
- Republicans arent exactly flocking to Trumps midterm convention - Politico - September 6th, 2026 [September 6th, 2026]
- Byron York: Which Republicans will run to succeed Trump in 2028? - Troy Record - September 6th, 2026 [September 6th, 2026]
- We've told them he cannot come: Republicans grapple with how to handle Trump on the trail - Politico - September 6th, 2026 [September 6th, 2026]
- Trump and Vance will keynote the Republicans midterm convention in Texas next month - NewsNation - September 6th, 2026 [September 6th, 2026]
- Republicans fear Trump will keep super PAC money and not spend on the midterms - The Washington Post - September 6th, 2026 [September 6th, 2026]
- Republicans at odds over whether voters should rank the red in Alaska governors race - Anchorage Daily News - September 6th, 2026 [September 6th, 2026]
- Elon Musks super PAC dives into the midterms to bolster Republicans in battleground races - NBC News - September 6th, 2026 [September 6th, 2026]
- Trump says hell campaign for Republicans in 35 races ahead of the midterms - NBC News - September 6th, 2026 [September 6th, 2026]
- Weve run out of time: Republicans accept that Iran war will last past elections - Politico - September 6th, 2026 [September 6th, 2026]
- NEWSLETTER: Trump and the left: Republicans' two-pronged midterms strategy - Reuters - September 6th, 2026 [September 6th, 2026]
- Republicans trying to win over unenrolled voters - Sentinel and Enterprise - September 6th, 2026 [September 6th, 2026]
- As Republicans plan to gather in Bush's backyard, his influence is largely absent from the party - KERA News - September 6th, 2026 [September 6th, 2026]
- In Missouri and Texas, Republicans make opposite arguments on whether redistricting maps can change after a primary - Democracy Docket - September 6th, 2026 [September 6th, 2026]
- Trump says he will spend up to $500 million of 'my money' to help Republicans in midterms - cnbc.com - September 6th, 2026 [September 6th, 2026]
- Democrats in key state legislative races tout more cash than Republicans - The Detroit News - September 6th, 2026 [September 6th, 2026]
- Trump to travel for embattled Republicans in last 30 days of midterms - Politico - September 6th, 2026 [September 6th, 2026]
- AI Hitler videos and DOGE dividends: How two Republicans became the most influential losers - Washington Examiner - September 6th, 2026 [September 6th, 2026]
- The Iran war drags on. Republicans are watching from the sidelines. - MS NOW - September 6th, 2026 [September 6th, 2026]
- Democrats and Republicans work to unify their parties two months from Election Day - wsaw.com - September 6th, 2026 [September 6th, 2026]
- Republicans ready for very hasty Trump-a-palooza convention in Texas - The Hill - August 31st, 2026 [August 31st, 2026]
- Republicans Are Worried About the Midterms. Trump Is Focused on His Legacy. - WSJ - August 31st, 2026 [August 31st, 2026]
- Republicans Panic Over Trump Dooming the Midterms - The Daily Beast - August 31st, 2026 [August 31st, 2026]
- Republicans are breaking with Donald Trump on data centers - Politico - August 31st, 2026 [August 31st, 2026]
- Texas Republicans attending RNC midterm convention in Dallas believe it will energize their base - CBS News - August 31st, 2026 [August 31st, 2026]
- Republicans Buck Trumps Lake America Order: Petty and Disappointing - News of the United States - NOTUS - August 31st, 2026 [August 31st, 2026]
- Texas Republicans redrew five seats. A year later, heres whats happening - Austin American-Statesman - August 31st, 2026 [August 31st, 2026]
- Republicans were already nervous about November. Then Trump restarted his trade war. - Politico - August 31st, 2026 [August 31st, 2026]
- Trump faces backlash from Republicans over plan to lift tariffs on beef imports - The Guardian - August 31st, 2026 [August 31st, 2026]
- Big hemp is betting Republicans roll over on diet weed ban to avoid shutdown - Politico - August 31st, 2026 [August 31st, 2026]
- Texas Republicans attending Dallas RNC Midterm Convention believe it will energize their base - CBS News - August 31st, 2026 [August 31st, 2026]
- Fettermans Popularity With Republicans Surges as He Angers the Left, Poll Finds - The New York Times - August 31st, 2026 [August 31st, 2026]
- Republicans fear Trumps midterm convention will be a disaster: Why are we doing this? - AL.com - August 31st, 2026 [August 31st, 2026]
- Republicans privately worry that their Trumpapalooza convention will be a bust - CNN - August 31st, 2026 [August 31st, 2026]
- Republicans plan midterm convention in Dallas featuring Trump speech The Hill - UA.NEWS - August 31st, 2026 [August 31st, 2026]
- Trump has already found someone to blame if Republicans lose the midterms - Yahoo - August 31st, 2026 [August 31st, 2026]
- Democrats are undoing California's pension reforms. Why are Republicans going along with it? - Reason Magazine - August 31st, 2026 [August 31st, 2026]
- Will democratic socialist Francesca Hong shake up the establishment or help Republicans win Wisconsin? - The Guardian - August 11th, 2026 [August 11th, 2026]
- 9 Republicans on US Senate primary ballot but 1 clear frontrunner - 5 EYEWITNESS NEWS - August 11th, 2026 [August 11th, 2026]
- Republicans win Hardeman County seats for first time in 25 years - wbbjtv.com - August 11th, 2026 [August 11th, 2026]
- Republicans vying to face Rep. Castor in redrawn Hillsborough district - WFLA - August 11th, 2026 [August 11th, 2026]
- Rep. Max Miller Stays in the Race. What Will Republicans Do Now? - News of the United States - NOTUS - August 11th, 2026 [August 11th, 2026]
- Trump claims Black voters are rejecting socialism, and 'flocking' to Republicans. Heres what the data says - TheGrio - August 11th, 2026 [August 11th, 2026]
- Sen. Tim Scott: Republicans could win 54 seats with expanded Senate map - CNN - August 11th, 2026 [August 11th, 2026]
- Are Republicans blind to the canaries in the Florida and Texas coal mines? - The Hill - August 9th, 2026 [August 9th, 2026]
- Americans are turning against AI and its a problem for Republicans - The Times - August 9th, 2026 [August 9th, 2026]
- Trump has squandered Republicans typical advantages in 2 key areas - CNN - August 9th, 2026 [August 9th, 2026]
- John James considering these 7 Republicans to be his running mate - detroitnews.com - August 9th, 2026 [August 9th, 2026]
- Republicans are the real winners of Michigans primary - The Economist - August 9th, 2026 [August 9th, 2026]
- Republicans face likely year-end test after punting Trump spending bill - Politico - August 9th, 2026 [August 9th, 2026]
- Amodei still refuses to back Flippo as rift between the two Republicans grows - The Nevada Independent - August 9th, 2026 [August 9th, 2026]
- Trump says the GOP base is 'angry at Republicans,' but not at him - USA Today - August 9th, 2026 [August 9th, 2026]
- MD Republicans sue Moore, elections officials over redistricting ballot question - Maryland Daily Record - August 9th, 2026 [August 9th, 2026]
- Ban hijabs and halal foods? Texas Republicans offer early blueprint of plan to 'stop Islam' - Dallas News - August 9th, 2026 [August 9th, 2026]
- Republicans and Democrats uniting against animal testing are wrong - The Economist - August 9th, 2026 [August 9th, 2026]
- Key Republicans say they'll support Blanche for AG after he rescinds 'Anti-Weaponization Fund' - ABC7 Chicago - August 9th, 2026 [August 9th, 2026]
- Republicans Behind in Five Key Races They Havent Lost in Decades - Newsweek - August 9th, 2026 [August 9th, 2026]