House Republicans struggle with costs of tax overhaul – Chicago Tribune
As House Republicans turn their attention toward a sweeping overhaul of the tax code, they're struggling with two things: how much the package will cost and how much of that expense should be covered up front.
The answers will drive how deep rate cuts can go and whether they carry an expiration date or remain embedded in a newly streamlined tax code. The debate over how to get there exposes a long-simmering tension in the Republican Party over which deserves higher priority lower taxes or a balanced budget.
For now, House Republicans leading the process say they are committed to an overhaul package that doesn't add to the deficit. They intend to cover the price of lower individual and corporate rates by raising revenue from a new levy on imports and eliminating costly deductions. "We're going for the greatest growth for the greatest number of years," House Ways and Means Chairman Kevin Brady, R-Texas, said Thursday. "That happens when tax reform is bold, when it is balanced within the budget, counting on economic growth, and when it's built to last."
That puts the tax-writing committee at odds with the White House, which rolled out a plan in late April that relies on slashed tax rates unleashing explosive and, most economists say, unachievable economic growth to largely pay for themselves. The Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget estimated the proposal would drain federal coffers by $5.5 trillion over 10years.
To meet Brady's goal of permanence, Republicans would need to find a way to compensate for the revenue they'd lose from lowering tax rates. That's because party leaders in both chambers want to use a budget tool called reconciliation that allows them to pass the package with a simple majority and without Democratic support. But under the strategy, Senate rules require lawmakers pay for the cuts if they add to the deficit, typically after 10 years, or make them temporary.
Big businesses, which prize predictability for planning purposes, likewise want Congress to make the tax cuts lasting. "We agree with Chairman Brady that tax reform needs to be permanent to have the best impact on the economy and offer the greatest certainty to businesses," said Caroline Harris, vice president for tax policy and chief tax counsel at the U.S. Chamber of Commerce.
Some key Republicans disagree, arguing Congress should focus on driving rates as low as possible without worrying first about the price tag. Paying for the package up front "doesn't have to be the top priority," said Rep. Mark Meadows, R-N.C., chairman of the hard-line House Freedom Caucus. "Deficits do matter, but we're willing to consider growing the deficit in the short run, hopefully to be outweighed with strong GDP growth in the long run."
That theory that lower rates encourages businesses to invest and hire, thereby expanding the tax base and returning a growing pile of money to the government has been a bedrock of the supply-side economic model that many conservative policymakers have embraced for decades. "I'm a big believer that tax cuts don't have to be paid for because they pay for themselves," said Sen. Sen. Tim Scott, R-S.C., a member of the tax-writing Senate Finance Committee.
Most experts, however, are skeptical. Out of 42 top economists surveyed by the Initiative on Global Markets at the University of Chicago Booth School of Business, 37 said Trump's proposal would not pay for itself through added growth. The other five did not answer the question.
The administration's plan calls for cutting the corporate tax rate to 15 percent from 35 percent and collapsing the seven personal income tax brackets into three, with rates of 10 percent, 25 percent and 35 percent. Firms that pay taxes through the individual side of the code would also see their rate slashed to 15 percent.
House Republicans have proposed slightly less ambitious though still aggressive targets: A 20 percent corporate rate; individual rates of 12 percent, 25 percent and 33 percent; and a 25 percent rate for so-called "pass through" businesses. Each percentage-point cut from the corporate rate alone costs the federal government $100 billion over a decade in lost revenue, according to estimates by the Joint Committee on Taxation.
Brady said Thursday he wants to iron out those differences before introducing legislation. But Republicans on and off Capitol Hill aren't waiting for a bill to start gaming out how they could pass the biggest possible tax cut with bare majorities in Congress. Sen. Patrick J. Toomey, R-Pa., in a Bloomberg editorial on Thursday, called for extending the traditional 10-year budgeting window to 20 or 30 years, to keep steep rate cuts on the books for that much longer.
And Grover Norquist, president of Americans for Tax Reform, said lawmakers should consider marrying paid-for, permanent cuts with temporary ones they could extend or pay for later. "This is the beginning of a marathon, not the end of a 100-yard dash," he said in an interview.
In fact, House Republicans took their first crack at the tax code in the health-care reform bill they narrowly approved last week. The bill repeals roughly $600 billion in taxes on upper-income earners, insurers, drug companies and others that the Affordable Care Act imposed to fund expanded insurance coverage. The full deficit impact of the legislation isn't known because the Congressional Budget Office hasn't issued its final analysis yet.
View original post here:
House Republicans struggle with costs of tax overhaul - Chicago Tribune
- Mike Johnson set to huddle with Indiana Republicans amid redistricting fight - Politico - November 28th, 2025 [November 28th, 2025]
- Republicans seek severe immigration crackdown over D.C. shooting: "Deport them all. Now." - Axios - November 28th, 2025 [November 28th, 2025]
- Young Republicans want Texas to ban IVF. We can't let them. | Editorial - Houston Chronicle - November 28th, 2025 [November 28th, 2025]
- After weathering a blue wave, Republicans maintain grip Rensselaer County politics - Times Union - November 28th, 2025 [November 28th, 2025]
- House Republicans join Democrats in effort to repeal Trumps unprecedented union-busting executive order - The Labor Tribune - November 28th, 2025 [November 28th, 2025]
- Judges allow North Carolina to use a map drawn in bid to give Republicans another US House seat - Newsday - November 26th, 2025 [November 26th, 2025]
- House Republicans Slam Witkoff Over Handling of Russia-Ukraine Talks - Foreign Policy - November 26th, 2025 [November 26th, 2025]
- Judges allow North Carolina to use a map drawn in bid to give Republicans another U.S. House seat - PBS - November 26th, 2025 [November 26th, 2025]
- Republicans consider quitting Congress early over death threats and infighting - Axios - November 26th, 2025 [November 26th, 2025]
- Republicans Fight With Trumps Team Over Ukraine Talks - The New York Times - November 26th, 2025 [November 26th, 2025]
- Indiana Republicans may have to break with their rules to redistrict. Can Democrats stop them? - IndyStar - November 26th, 2025 [November 26th, 2025]
- Once Foes of Obamacare, Some Republicans Push to Protect It - The New York Times - November 26th, 2025 [November 26th, 2025]
- Are Republicans in Indiana caving to President Trump's redistricting demands? - CNN - November 26th, 2025 [November 26th, 2025]
- Most Democrats and one-third of Republicans think its likely the U.S. will get into a nuclear war in the next decade - YouGov - November 26th, 2025 [November 26th, 2025]
- Opinion: Republicans hope the Supreme Court will help them hold the House - Chattanooga Times Free Press - November 26th, 2025 [November 26th, 2025]
- Obamacare premiums are skyrocketing. Republicans cant figure out what to do. - Politico - November 26th, 2025 [November 26th, 2025]
- Facing Threats and Intimidation, Indiana Republicans Will Vote on Redistricting - Democracy Docket - November 26th, 2025 [November 26th, 2025]
- Is the price of doing this worth it?: North Carolina Republicans worry about Trump immigration raids - Politico - November 26th, 2025 [November 26th, 2025]
- How Democrats and Republicans are rethinking the goal of government under Trump - NPR - November 26th, 2025 [November 26th, 2025]
- The Clock Is Ticking For Republicans To Overhaul Health Insurance - Investopedia - November 26th, 2025 [November 26th, 2025]
- Its Not Just MTG: Other Republicans in Congress Are Reportedly Eyeing an Exit - Vanity Fair - November 26th, 2025 [November 26th, 2025]
- Republicans want comprehensive oversight of Michigans 2026 election. What does that mean? - Michigan Advance - November 26th, 2025 [November 26th, 2025]
- Some Republicans want to try to pass another mega-bill on health care - The Washington Post - November 26th, 2025 [November 26th, 2025]
- Article | Trump was going to roll out a health care plan. Then Republicans weighed in. - POLITICO Pro - November 26th, 2025 [November 26th, 2025]
- Why Republicans Are Fighting About the Nazis - The New York Times - November 26th, 2025 [November 26th, 2025]
- Trump's Chummy Embrace Of Mamdani Is 'Sabotaging Himself And Republicans': GOP Strategist - Forbes - November 26th, 2025 [November 26th, 2025]
- From The New York Times Opinion Section Only Republicans have a plan for A.I., David Byler writes. Democrats, at best, have concepts of a plan. And if... - November 26th, 2025 [November 26th, 2025]
- Trump seizes control of Republicans' 2026 election strategy with his presidency on the line - Yahoo - November 26th, 2025 [November 26th, 2025]
- Georgia Republicans and the Trump Administration Are Working to Undermine the 2026 Elections - Democracy Docket - November 26th, 2025 [November 26th, 2025]
- Trumps gambit to save Republicans from a giant health insurance spike comes with a $50 billion price tag, CRFB estimates - Fortune - November 26th, 2025 [November 26th, 2025]
- Why health savings accounts arent the fix Republicans hope for - The Washington Post - November 26th, 2025 [November 26th, 2025]
- Its not just Marjorie Taylor Greene: The Republicans considering quitting over Trump - Yahoo - November 26th, 2025 [November 26th, 2025]
- Democrats make a new offer to end the shutdown, but Republicans aren't buying it - NBC News - November 7th, 2025 [November 7th, 2025]
- The Republicans Warning They Have a Problem - The New York Times - November 7th, 2025 [November 7th, 2025]
- LEADER JEFFRIES ON MSNBC: DONALD TRUMP AND REPUBLICANS HAVE DECIDED TO WEAPONIZE HUNGER AND STARVATION Congressman Hakeem Jeffries - Congressman... - November 7th, 2025 [November 7th, 2025]
- Democrats consider prolonging the government shutdown as Republicans prepare new bills without health care fix - ABC7 Los Angeles - November 7th, 2025 [November 7th, 2025]
- Democrats consider prolonging the shutdown as Republicans prepare new bills without health care fix - abcnews.go.com - November 7th, 2025 [November 7th, 2025]
- Republicans are losing this key voting bloc. Here's why. - USA Today - November 7th, 2025 [November 7th, 2025]
- Republicans Block Measure to Bar Military Strike on Venezuela - The New York Times - November 7th, 2025 [November 7th, 2025]
- Republicans are losing support from Latinos in Colorado as voters voice dissatisfaction with immigration, inflation efforts - Post Independent - November 7th, 2025 [November 7th, 2025]
- Senate Republicans Reject Measure to Block Military Action in Venezuela - WSJ - The Wall Street Journal - November 7th, 2025 [November 7th, 2025]
- Senate will vote Friday to advance shutdown-ending deal, Thune tells Republicans - Politico - November 7th, 2025 [November 7th, 2025]
- EDITORIAL: Stuck on Stupid-How Annapolis Republicans Turned Another Election Into a Self-Inflicted Rout - Eye On Annapolis - November 7th, 2025 [November 7th, 2025]
- Article | Key Republicans waver ahead of war powers vote - POLITICO Pro - November 7th, 2025 [November 7th, 2025]
- Charlotte GOP lost big on election night. Is it final nail in coffin for Republicans? - Charlotte Observer - November 7th, 2025 [November 7th, 2025]
- Republicans must nuke filibuster now or Democrats will do it when they regain power, Trump warns - Washington Examiner - November 7th, 2025 [November 7th, 2025]
- Trump and Republicans admonish others for their election losses - Politico - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]
- Republicans think the shutdown is about to end. They could be dead wrong. - MSNBC News - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]
- Trump says election results not good for Republicans, citing 2 possible reasons - Fox News - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]
- Republicans Just Lost a Statewide Election in Pennsylvania. What Does That Mean for the Future? - Slate - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]
- California Republicans thought they could beat Newsom's gerrymander. They crashed and burned. - Politico - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]
- In an Upset, Democrats Oust Two Republicans on Georgias Utility Board - The New York Times - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]
- Democratic election wins send Trump and Republicans a message: Americans blame them for government shutdown - The Conversation - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]
- Kansas Young Republicans' racist texts show how far the party has strayed from its noble roots - Kansas Reflector - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]
- Republicans Reprise Unfounded Claims of Widespread Election Interference - The New York Times - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]
- Remember the hateful Young Republicans group chat? It's the tip of the iceberg. | Opinion - USA Today - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]
- Trump urges Republicans to kill filibuster, warning they'll lose if they don't - Politico - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]
- Rosen: Trump, Republicans feast while SNAP, health benefits on the line - Nevada Current - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]
- Video Republicans need to 'think about what happened': GOP strategist - abcnews.go.com - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]
- How Republicans are planning to win the 2026 midterms without Trump on the ballot - abcnews.go.com - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]
- Trump Orders Republicans to Approve His Sinister Plan to Rule Forever - The Daily Beast - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]
- Enfield Democrats upend Republicans, Vernon's GOP mayor reelected and more 2025 election results - CT Insider - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]
- In Redistricting Battles, Heres How Trump, Republicans and Democrats Are Faring - The New York Times - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]
- Trump says this is what Republicans need to do next following election defeats - MLive.com - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]
- Why Republicans had a 'math problem' in off-year election - Fox News - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]
- Poll: Republicans shoulder more shutdown blame, as signs of voter irritation with both parties pile up - NBC News - November 3rd, 2025 [November 3rd, 2025]
- Republicans argue big-hearted president Trump is keen to end shutdown - The Guardian - November 3rd, 2025 [November 3rd, 2025]
- Republicans re-up trans attacks on Dems that worked for Trump in 2024 - The Washington Post - November 3rd, 2025 [November 3rd, 2025]
- Republicans Claim They Have a Healthcare Plan. But They Wont Tell You Whats in It - Rolling Stone - November 3rd, 2025 [November 3rd, 2025]
- Virginia Republicans rally in Hanover ahead of Election Day, highlighting work since 2022 - WRIC ABC 8News - November 3rd, 2025 [November 3rd, 2025]
- Ted Cruz to Jewish Republicans: Antisemitism is an existential crisis in our party - The Times of Israel - November 3rd, 2025 [November 3rd, 2025]
- Obama says it's 'like every day is Halloween' as he blames Republicans for government shutdown - Fox News - November 3rd, 2025 [November 3rd, 2025]
- House Republicans exploring ways to prevent Mamdani from being sworn in as NYC mayor if he wins on Election Day - New York Post - November 3rd, 2025 [November 3rd, 2025]
- Opinion: Republicans keep winning. Sand hopes to change the game - thegazette.com - November 3rd, 2025 [November 3rd, 2025]
- President Trump, House Speaker Johnson, others address Las Vegas meeting of Jewish Republicans - Las Vegas Review-Journal - November 3rd, 2025 [November 3rd, 2025]
- Obama blasts Trump ahead of Election Day in Virginia and New Jersey. Republicans keep it local - Decatur Daily - November 3rd, 2025 [November 3rd, 2025]
- Republicans quickly push back on Trumps call to nix filibuster - Politico - October 31st, 2025 [October 31st, 2025]
- Democrats and Republicans Clash Over SNAP Contingency Funds - FactCheck.org - October 31st, 2025 [October 31st, 2025]
- Republicans' refusal to fund SNAP will hurt their own voters most. They don't care. | Opinion - USA Today - October 31st, 2025 [October 31st, 2025]
- Trump calls on Republicans to abolish the Senate filibuster rule - The Guardian - October 31st, 2025 [October 31st, 2025]