COMMENTARY: Republicans, the real world and repealing Obamacare – Las Vegas Review-Journal
The Lord giveth and the Lord taketh away, but for governments its not that easy. Once something is given say, health insurance coverage to 20 million Americans you take it away at your peril. This is true for any government benefit, but especially for health care. Theres a reason not one Western democracy with some system of national health care has ever abolished it.
The genius of the left is to keep enlarging the entitlement state by creating new giveaways that are politically impossible to repeal. For 20 years, Republicans railed against the New Deal. Yet, when they came back into office in 1953, Eisenhower didnt just keep Social Security, he expanded it.
People hated Obamacare for its highhandedness, incompetence and cost. At the same time, its crafters took great care to create new beneficiaries and new expectations. Which makes repeal very complicated.
The Congressional Budget Office projects that, under Paul Ryans Obamacare replacement bill, 24 million will lose insurance within 10 years, 14 million after the first year.
Granted, the number is highly suspect. CBO projects 18 million covered by the Obamacare exchanges in 2018. But the number today is about 10 million. That means the CBO estimate of those losing coverage is already about 8 million too high.
Nonetheless, there will be losers. And their stories will be plastered wall to wall across the media as sure as night follows day.
That scares GOP moderates. And yet the main resistance to Ryan comes from conservative members complaining that the bill is not ideologically pure enough. They mock it as Obamacare Lite.
For example, Ryan wants to ease the pain by phasing out Medicaid expansion through 2020. The conservative Republican Study Committee wants it done next year. This is crazy. For the sake of two years savings, why would you risk a political crash landing?
Moreover, the idea that you can eradicate Obamacare root and branch is fanciful. For all its catastrophic flaws, Obamacare changed expectations. Does any Republican propose returning to a time when you can be denied health insurance because of a pre-existing condition?
Its not just Donald Trump who ran on retaining this new, yes, entitlement. Everyone did. But its very problematic. If people know that they can sign up for insurance after they get sick, the very idea of insurance is undermined. People wont sign up when healthy and the insurance companies will go broke.
So what do you do? Obamacare imposed a monetary fine if you didnt sign up, for which the Ryan bill substitutes another mechanism, less heavy-handed but still government-mandated.
The purists who insist upon entirely escaping the heavy hand of government are dreaming. The best you can hope for is to make it less intrusive and more rational, as in the Ryan plans block-granting Medicaid.
Or instituting a more realistic age-rating system. Sixty-year-olds use six times as much health care as 20-year-olds, yet Obamacare decreed, entirely arbitrarily, that the former could be charged insurance premiums no more than three times that of the latter. The GOP bill changes the ratio from 3-to-1 to 5-to-1.
Premiums better reflecting risk constitute a major restoration of rationality. (Its how life insurance works.) Under Obamacare, the young were unwilling to be swindled and refused to sign up. Without their support, the whole system is thus headed into a death spiral of looming insolvency.
Rationality, however, has a price. The CBO has already predicted a massive increase in premiums for 60-year-olds. Thats the headline.
There is no free lunch. GOP hard-liners must accept that Americans have become accustomed to some new health care benefits, just as moderates have to brace themselves for stories about the inevitable losers in any reform. Thats the political price for fulfilling the seven-year promise of repealing and replacing Obamacare.
Unless, of course, you go the full Machiavelli and throw it all back on the Democrats. How? Republicans could forget about meeting the arcane requirements of reconciliation legislation (which requires only 51 votes in the Senate) and send the Senate a replacement bill loaded up with everything conservative including, tort reform and insurance competition across state lines. That would require 60 Senate votes. Let the Democrats filibuster it to death and take the blame when repeal-and-replace fails, Obamacare carries on and then collapses.
Upside: You reap the backlash. Downside: You have to live with your conscience.
Charles Krauthammers email address is letters@charleskrauthammer.com.
Go here to read the rest:
COMMENTARY: Republicans, the real world and repealing Obamacare - Las Vegas Review-Journal
- Column | Republicans threaten return to Musks chainsaw strategy to government - The Washington Post - October 4th, 2025 [October 4th, 2025]
- Republicans Have a Senate Map Without the Meltdowns - Politico - October 4th, 2025 [October 4th, 2025]
- Democrats and Republicans dig in on the shutdown - MSNBC News - October 4th, 2025 [October 4th, 2025]
- Pelosi on Republican Health Care Crisis: "Trump and Republicans are Inflicting a Painful Shutdown on the American People." - Representative... - October 4th, 2025 [October 4th, 2025]
- Mike Johnson: Republicans have nothing to negotiate on shutdown - Politico - October 4th, 2025 [October 4th, 2025]
- Long Island Republicans criticized for filing lawsuit to keep missing Democratic candidate's name on ballot - CBS News - October 4th, 2025 [October 4th, 2025]
- Back in Maine, Pingree Stresses Local Impact of Republicans Failure to Protect Health Care, Keep the Government Open - Chellie Pingree (.gov) - October 4th, 2025 [October 4th, 2025]
- Long Island Republicans criticized for filing lawsuit to keep missing Democratic candidates name on ballot - Election Law Blog - October 4th, 2025 [October 4th, 2025]
- Republicans are relishing a role reversal in the shutdown fight. Can Trump keep them united? - AP News - October 4th, 2025 [October 4th, 2025]
- 'What are Republicans so afraid of?': Grijalva says swearing-in delayed a week by GOP 'playing games' - Tucson Sentinel - October 4th, 2025 [October 4th, 2025]
- The NFL spent more helping Democrats than Republicans in the last 4 elections - Deseret News - October 4th, 2025 [October 4th, 2025]
- LEADER JEFFRIES ON GOOD MORNING AMERICA: REPUBLICANS HAVE SHUT THE GOVERNMENT DOWN BECAUSE THEY DONT WANT TO PROVIDE HEALTHCARE TO WORKING-CLASS... - October 2nd, 2025 [October 2nd, 2025]
- Governor Hochul Rallies With New Yorkers to Call Out Trump and Washington Republicans Reckless Government Shutdown - Governor Kathy Hochul (.gov) - October 2nd, 2025 [October 2nd, 2025]
- These Democratic senators voted with Republicans on government funding bill - ABC News - Breaking News, Latest News and Videos - October 2nd, 2025 [October 2nd, 2025]
- LEADER JEFFRIES ON CNN: THE REPUBLICANS KNOW THEYRE LYINGABOUT THIS ISSUE - Congressman Hakeem Jeffries (.gov) - October 2nd, 2025 [October 2nd, 2025]
- House Republicans wade into legal fight over California EV rules - E&E News by POLITICO - October 2nd, 2025 [October 2nd, 2025]
- Republicans Demand Information From the College Board and Firms That Help Set College Prices - The New York Times - October 2nd, 2025 [October 2nd, 2025]
- NM congressional delegation say Republicans could have avoided shutdown if they had wanted to - Source New Mexico - October 2nd, 2025 [October 2nd, 2025]
- Pressley Slams Republicans for Shutting Down Government, Creating Healthcare Crisis - House.gov - October 2nd, 2025 [October 2nd, 2025]
- Why did John Fetterman vote with Republicans to reopen the government? - Inquirer.com - October 2nd, 2025 [October 2nd, 2025]
- REP LIEU SLAMS TRUMP SHUTDOWN, CALLS ON REPUBLICANS TO SAVE HEALTHCARE - Congressman Ted Lieu (.gov) - October 2nd, 2025 [October 2nd, 2025]
- Whip Clark on MSNBC: Democrats Are Here, Republicans Are Nowhere To Be Found - Katherine Clark Democratic Whip | (.gov) - October 2nd, 2025 [October 2nd, 2025]
- Opinion | No surprise, Republicans are lying about the cause of the shutdown - Alabama Political Reporter - October 2nd, 2025 [October 2nd, 2025]
- Government shutdown Day 2: Impact in Philly, Pa., Fetterman votes with Republicans - Inquirer.com - October 2nd, 2025 [October 2nd, 2025]
- Kansas Republicans start redistricting process aimed at unseating Rep. Sharice Davids - KLC Journal - October 2nd, 2025 [October 2nd, 2025]
- Get the Facts: Jeffries claims Republicans ended medical research in the US - WMUR - October 2nd, 2025 [October 2nd, 2025]
- Article | A small think tank's crusade against Obamacare is making some Republicans nervous - POLITICO Pro - October 2nd, 2025 [October 2nd, 2025]
- Shutdown Entirely The Fault Of Republicans, Gillibrand Says - Post Journal - October 2nd, 2025 [October 2nd, 2025]
- Sen. Coons says Republicans are making Americans poorer, defending Democrats' position in the government funding fight. - CNN - October 2nd, 2025 [October 2nd, 2025]
- Missouri governor signs Trump-backed plan aimed at helping Republicans win another US House seat - CNN - September 30th, 2025 [September 30th, 2025]
- Playbook PM: Republicans and Democrats make their bets on a shutdown - Politico - September 30th, 2025 [September 30th, 2025]
- Warnock: If D.C. Republicans Want My Vote on Their Budget, They Need to Put Forward a Bill That Funds Health Care - U.S. Senate (.gov) - September 30th, 2025 [September 30th, 2025]
- Nancy Pelosi slams Republicans over Trump's role in looming shutdown - NBC Bay Area - September 30th, 2025 [September 30th, 2025]
- Dem Sen. Kim on shutdown: Republicans aren't even showing up to work - CNN - September 30th, 2025 [September 30th, 2025]
- FACT CHECK: John Thune Misleads the American People As Republicans March Toward a Health Care Shutdown - Protect Our Care - September 30th, 2025 [September 30th, 2025]
- Trump is set on punishing enemies. It may hurt Republicans with swing voters. | Opinion - usa today - September 30th, 2025 [September 30th, 2025]
- Where Democrats and Republicans stand as the government barrels toward shutdown - CBS News - September 30th, 2025 [September 30th, 2025]
- Rep. Lightner: Budget agreement reached by the Legislature and Governor - Michigan House Republicans - September 30th, 2025 [September 30th, 2025]
- LEADER JEFFRIES ON ABC THIS WEEK: REPUBLICANS ARE OBSESSED WITH CANCELING THE HEALTHCARE OF THE AMERICAN PEOPLE - Democratic Leader Hakeem Jeffries... - September 30th, 2025 [September 30th, 2025]
- Republicans urge Democrats to agree to short-term bill to keep US government open - Reuters - September 30th, 2025 [September 30th, 2025]
- Can Trump convince Republicans and Democrats to avert a government shutdown? - CBS News - September 30th, 2025 [September 30th, 2025]
- Press Release: Warnock Urges D.C. Republicans to Propose Health Care Funding for Budget Support - Quiver Quantitative - September 30th, 2025 [September 30th, 2025]
- Republicans push series of harsh anti-crime laws with Democratic Party support following Trumps occupation of Washington D.C. - World Socialist Web... - September 30th, 2025 [September 30th, 2025]
- Trumps war on mail-in voting is a crisis for Republicans whove praised Ohio elections - Cleveland.com - September 30th, 2025 [September 30th, 2025]
- House Republicans Demand Harvard Disclose Records on Campus Antisemitism - The Harvard Crimson - September 30th, 2025 [September 30th, 2025]
- Explainer-What are Democrats' and Republicans' positions in US government shutdown fight? - Yahoo - September 30th, 2025 [September 30th, 2025]
- Trumps disapproval among Republicans hits double digits for the first time - The Independent - September 28th, 2025 [September 28th, 2025]
- Republicans are making changes to SNAP and Medicaid. County officials say theyre not prepared to handle it. - Politico - September 28th, 2025 [September 28th, 2025]
- Burgess: Are Republicans now the war party? | Opinion - USA Today - September 28th, 2025 [September 28th, 2025]
- Burgess: Are Republicans now the war party? | Opinion - Chillicothe Gazette - September 28th, 2025 [September 28th, 2025]
- LEADER JEFFRIES: IF THE GOVERNMENT SHUTS DOWN, ITS BECAUSE REPUBLICANS HAVE MADE THE DECISION TO SHUT THE GOVERNMENT DOWN Congressman Hakeem Jeffries... - September 28th, 2025 [September 28th, 2025]
- Redistricting North Carolina could give Republicans an extra seat in the U.S. House - Axios - September 28th, 2025 [September 28th, 2025]
- Republicans Must Negotiate to Prevent Health Care Cost Spikes, Protect Funding Laws - Center on Budget and Policy Priorities - September 28th, 2025 [September 28th, 2025]
- LEADER JEFFRIES: REPUBLICANS HAVE DETERMINED THAT THEY WANT TO SHUT DOWN THE GOVERNMENT AND HURT THE AMERICAN PEOPLE Congressman Hakeem Jeffries -... - September 28th, 2025 [September 28th, 2025]
- Republicans have created chaos all around us. There's nothing 'great' about it. | Letter - Milwaukee Journal Sentinel - September 28th, 2025 [September 28th, 2025]
- Buss: Can Republicans hold the 10th district without James? - The Detroit News - September 28th, 2025 [September 28th, 2025]
- Larsen Op-Ed: Republicans in Congress are doubling down on a health care crisis of their own making - Lynnwood Times - September 28th, 2025 [September 28th, 2025]
- Republicans want to remove threat of government shutdown as leverage in spending talks - Deseret News - September 28th, 2025 [September 28th, 2025]
- Scandal in the NYS Young Republicans - Politico - September 28th, 2025 [September 28th, 2025]
- Central Illinois Republicans rally for increased student privacy - WGLT - September 28th, 2025 [September 28th, 2025]
- Routt Republicans to honor Lockhart with Patriot of the Year award - Steamboat Pilot - September 28th, 2025 [September 28th, 2025]
- Senate Republicans highlight kidnapped Ukrainian children as they push Trump on Russian sanctions - NBC News - September 28th, 2025 [September 28th, 2025]
- The Dirty Move Republicans Could Pull to Keep the House - The Bulwark - September 28th, 2025 [September 28th, 2025]
- This Is Why Republicans Are Blocking the Epstein Files - The New Republic - September 28th, 2025 [September 28th, 2025]
- What Republicans Can Do If They Really Want to Protect Free Speech - The Atlantic - September 25th, 2025 [September 25th, 2025]
- WATCH: Padilla, California Health Care Leaders Call on Republicans to Extend Lifesaving Affordable Care Act Tax Credits Instead of Shutting Down the... - September 25th, 2025 [September 25th, 2025]
- He said he would lower costs: Governor slams Trump, Republicans on healthcare cuts - MSNBC News - September 25th, 2025 [September 25th, 2025]
- Politics Friday: Walz sounds off on new book, 3rd term bid and a rift with Republicans - MPR News - September 25th, 2025 [September 25th, 2025]
- Log Cabin Republicans Disrupted Yasmin Williamss Kennedy Center Performance - Washingtonian - September 25th, 2025 [September 25th, 2025]
- NEW AD: Protect Our Care Releases New Ad Holding Republicans Accountable for the Health Crisis and the Looming Government Shutdown - Protect Our Care - September 25th, 2025 [September 25th, 2025]
- Some House Republicans Break With Party on State Animal Welfare Laws - Civil Eats - September 25th, 2025 [September 25th, 2025]
- Advancing Rep. Linting plan works to protect Downriver community - Michigan House Republicans - September 25th, 2025 [September 25th, 2025]
- U.S. Sen. Tina Smith says she won't vote to keep government open if Republicans don't make changes to health care - kare11.com - September 25th, 2025 [September 25th, 2025]
- Almost 400k Arizonans will pay more for health insurance if Republicans don't extend credits - Arizona Mirror - September 25th, 2025 [September 25th, 2025]
- Republicans More Likely to Believe Theyll Ascend in Rapture: Poll - Newsweek - September 25th, 2025 [September 25th, 2025]
- Hakeem Jeffries rules out handshake deal with Republicans to avert shutdown - Axios - September 25th, 2025 [September 25th, 2025]
- Sussex Republicans demand apology over Nazi reference - Cape Gazette - September 25th, 2025 [September 25th, 2025]
- The Republicans Breaking Ranks with Trump Over Media Suppression - Time Magazine - September 23rd, 2025 [September 23rd, 2025]
- North Carolina Republicans push for tougher bail rules and potentially new execution methods - ABC News - Breaking News, Latest News and Videos - September 23rd, 2025 [September 23rd, 2025]
- Republicans Should Be Apoplectic Over What Trump and Kennedy Are Doing to Tylenol - Washington Monthly - September 23rd, 2025 [September 23rd, 2025]