Trump isn’t changing the Republican Party. The Republican Party is changing Trump. – Washington Post
By Matt Grossmann and David A. Hopkins By Matt Grossmann and David A. Hopkins August 2 at 6:00 AM
During the 2016 election, many observers from across the political spectrum saw Donald Trumps candidacy as a direct challenge to the Republican Partys ideological orthodoxy. Reporters described Trump as an insurgent populist running on a policy platform that cuts across party lines . . . [and is] anathema to movement conservatives. From Barack Obama on the left to Bill Kristol on the right, critics described Trumps brand of politics as fundamentally incompatible with conservative principles and Republican heritage.
But thats not what weve seen so far. Instead of transforming the Republican Party, Trump has assembled the most conservative administration and agenda of any modern president. Analysts overstated Trumps distance from Republican campaign orthodoxy and expected him to be able to avoid the challenges of leading his party from opposition to governing mode. As a result, they underestimated the resilience of the GOPs basiccharacter.
Many observers misread the Trump campaign, predicting a political realignment between the parties
Because Trumps campaign was so superficially unusual, journalists exaggerated its distance from ordinary conservative positions. Like previous Republicans, Trump relied on broad symbolic rhetoric rather than policy specifics. He accused the Democrats of weakness on national security and the mainstream news media of bias. He denounced Obamacare without explaining how he would replace it, proposed large-scale tax cuts, and decried government regulation.
Trump even stood to the right of other Republicans on his signature issue: immigration. He deployed nativist rhetoric and denounced international institutions. That reinvigorated the American rights tradition of nationalism and aligned the Republicans with a global trend among far-right parties.
The Washington Post's Philip Rucker, Ashley Parker and David Nakamura look at what President Trump has done over the past six months to fulfill his pledge to build a border wall. (Bastien Inzaurralde/The Washington Post)
Trumps campaign did deviate from a few conventional Republican positions particularly on free trade and entitlements. But so had previous conservative populists, like Pat Buchanan. Predictions that Trumps rise would cause the parties to realign ideologically were overstated.
In fact, Trump is governing like a firm even far-right conservative
Before the election, we predicted that Trump wouldnt redefine Republican ideology; rather, the GOPs stable congressional leadership and infrastructure would change Trump, forcing him to reconcile his ambitious campaign promises with the realities of governing without alienating conservative ideologues.
[This is why Pences voter fraud commission will almost certainly find duplicate registrations that arent really duplicates.]
And thats what has happened. Trump is not trying to redefine party orthodoxy or build coalitions with the Democrats. His executive branch appointments have tilted farther to the ideological right than previous Republican presidents (as did his Supreme Court nomination). Working with the Republican-controlled Congress, his appointees are swiftly reversing Obama-era regulations. Republican leaders have driven the congressional agenda, emphasizing ACA repeal, tax reform, and corporate deregulation rather than Trumps less conservative campaign proposals like infrastructure spending and expanded parental leave.
Speaking to conservative activists, Feb. 24, President Trump outlined his plans for tax reform, regulatory rollback and strengthening the U.S. military. (Reuters)
Trumps proposed federal budget endorses deep cuts to many domestic programs, and his positions on social issues such as his recently-announced decision to ban transgender servicemembers from the military are just as conservative.
Trumps distinctive personality continues to dominate headlines. But the presidents personnel and policy choices mostly show how hes constrained by the broader Republican infrastructure of media, interest group, and activist supporters, who were attracted to his angry denunciations of Obama policies but werent interested in a leftward tilt.
Even though some observers saw the recent departure of White House chief of staff Reince Priebus as a sign of Trumps growing independence from the Republican establishment, theres no reason to think that the presidents frustration with Priebuss performance is leading him to reconsider the rightward policy direction of his administration.
[Republicans and Democrats cant even agree about how they disagree]
Heres why the Republican Party is pulling Trump rightward
Our recent book, Asymmetric Politics, explains why the GOP cannot easily be diverted from its conservative path. The Republican Party is the agent of an ideological movement unlike the Democratic Party, which is a social coalition defending the concrete interests of its constituent groups. Democratic politicians work to achieve incremental benefits for a variety of electoral constituencies. But Republican voters, politicians, and activists are motivated instead by adherence to a single ideological doctrine. With Trumps election, Republicans are continuing their longstanding drive toward a broad rightward shift in policy.
President Trump asked House Republicans if they can "believe" that he's president, while celebrating the passage of the American Health Care Act in the House of Representatives on May 4 at the White House. (The White House)
Republicans firm and uncompromising dedication to small-government values can cause big problems for party leaders. The congressional right wing has already shown that its willing to oppose health care and budgetary proposals introduced by its own partys leadership. Disputes among Republicans over how much electoral risk the party should take in order to remain true to conservative principles can be just as difficult to resolve as typical Democratic disagreements over which party constituency should receive the most attention from officeholders.
[How different are the Democratic and Republican parties? Too different to compare.]
Many conservative Republican themes like personal liberty, American nationalism, and moral traditionalism are quite popular. But the ideology is more appealing than most specific conservative policy positions. As Republicans have discovered during frustrating debates over health care, while small government may be an attractive idea, losing government benefits or protections is not and provokes a backlash.
Why Trump still represents a conservative opportunity
Previous Republican presidents resolved these conflicts by pairing selected conservative priorities with major policy initiatives departing from ideological precepts even expanding the size and scope of government.
For instance, George W. Bush launched a new federal intervention in public education, No Child Left Behind, which included nationwide standards and testing; regulated the accounting industry; brought back agricultural subsidies; and passed a new prescription drug entitlement. His father George H. W. Bush hiked the minimum wage, raised taxes, increased environmental regulation, and expanded disability rights. Ronald Reagan hiked gas taxes to fund transportation improvements, built major job training programs, and offered amnesty to undocumented immigrants.
But Trump is sticking with a more consistently conservative path and refusing to compromise with the Democratic opposition. In doing so, Trump and his Republican congressional allies are trying to reverse a decades-long trend in which federal policymaking has drifted in a liberal direction no matter which party is in power.
If the Trump administration doesnt win any major legislative victories while hes in office, conservatives will surely be quite disappointed. Yet if Trump pursues regulatory retrenchment within the federal bureaucracy while declining to advance any major new legislative expansions of government responsibility, he will still compile the most conservative policy record of any recent administration.
Reporters and pundits like to portray political campaigns as a battle of individual personalities. But elections are mostly a competition between two partisan teams. Many Republican leaders and activists saw Trumps victory as a rare opportunity to move national policy much farther to the right. Rather than trying to squelch or redirect these ambitions, Trump has staked his presidency on fulfilling them.
Matt Grossmannis director of theInstitute for Public Policy and Social Researchandassociate professor of political science at Michigan State University. Find him on Twitter@mattgrossmann.
David A. Hopkinsis associate professor of political science at Boston Collegeand blogs about U.S.politics atHonest Graft.
Together theyare the authors ofAsymmetric Politics: Ideological Republicans and Group Interest Democrats(Oxford University Press, 2016).
Read this article:
Trump isn't changing the Republican Party. The Republican Party is changing Trump. - Washington Post
- Josh Hawley and the Republican Populists, at War With Their Party - The New York Times - April 30th, 2025 [April 30th, 2025]
- Trumps first 100 days tests future of both Republican and Democratic parties: ANALYSIS - ABC News - April 30th, 2025 [April 30th, 2025]
- Michigan lawmaker penalized after covering Republican colleague's car in plastic wrap - NBC News - April 30th, 2025 [April 30th, 2025]
- WATCH: Sherrill Demands Republican Colleagues Support Amendment To Hold Hegseth Accountable For Reckless Use Of Signal - Congresswoman Mikie Sherrill... - April 30th, 2025 [April 30th, 2025]
- The weekend that sent the Virginia Republican Party into a tailspin - Virginia Scope - April 30th, 2025 [April 30th, 2025]
- How The Republican Student Loan Plan Compares To SAVE And IBR - Forbes - April 30th, 2025 [April 30th, 2025]
- Maine Republican leader says it would be 'absolutely insane' to primary Sen. Collins - WGME - April 30th, 2025 [April 30th, 2025]
- Wisconsins 3rd District Moves From Lean Republican to Toss Up - Cook Political Report - April 30th, 2025 [April 30th, 2025]
- Republican unity to be tested in talks over Trumps big, beautiful bill - The Guardian - April 30th, 2025 [April 30th, 2025]
- Republican Lawmakers Talk About Their Spending Requests at Final JFC Hearing - MacIver Institute - April 30th, 2025 [April 30th, 2025]
- Community solar is winning over Republican lawmakers around the US - Canary Media - April 30th, 2025 [April 30th, 2025]
- He was too conservative for the Republican Party. Now hes a leading candidate. - Politico - April 21st, 2025 [April 21st, 2025]
- Trumps ex-chief of staff says fear among Republican politicians is the consequence of disagreeing with him - The Independent - April 21st, 2025 [April 21st, 2025]
- Republican Agendas Triple Threat to Low- and Moderate-Income Family Well-Being - Center on Budget and Policy Priorities - April 21st, 2025 [April 21st, 2025]
- Republican US Senator Murkowski on threat of Trump retaliation: 'We are all afraid' - Reuters - April 21st, 2025 [April 21st, 2025]
- Commentary: Alaska Republican speaks truth about Trump: 'Retaliation is real. And thats not right.' - Los Angeles Times - April 21st, 2025 [April 21st, 2025]
- Republican state senator says new audits show need to pare down DEI spending in Wisconsin - WPR - April 21st, 2025 [April 21st, 2025]
- Republican Senator 'Very Anxious' and 'Afraid' of Trump's Retaliation - Newsweek - April 21st, 2025 [April 21st, 2025]
- Democratic state rep. reportedly clingwraps Republican colleagues car in parking dispute - MLive.com - April 21st, 2025 [April 21st, 2025]
- Former OneRepublic bassist to take on California House Republican in tight district - AP News - April 21st, 2025 [April 21st, 2025]
- Will end badly for him: Republican Karl Rove says Americans are already tired of Trump - The Independent - April 21st, 2025 [April 21st, 2025]
- Republican Senator Confronted At Town Hall Over Trump: 'Shameful' - Newsweek - April 21st, 2025 [April 21st, 2025]
- Takeaways from APs report on pardoned Jan. 6 rioters being embraced in Republican politics - AP News - April 21st, 2025 [April 21st, 2025]
- In dispute over local elections, Wyoming Republican Party attorney says law, court ruling dont apply - Wyoming Tribune Eagle - April 21st, 2025 [April 21st, 2025]
- Republican senators break ranks to call for investigation of Signal leak scandal - The Guardian US - March 26th, 2025 [March 26th, 2025]
- Former Utah Rep. Mia Love, the first Black Republican woman elected to the US House, has died - The Associated Press - March 26th, 2025 [March 26th, 2025]
- Republican Abortion Laws Are Torturing Women. Can the GOP Fix Its Own Crisis? - The Texas Observer - March 26th, 2025 [March 26th, 2025]
- Texas Republican Introduces Bill to Address the Nonexistent Problem of Furries in Schools - Them - March 26th, 2025 [March 26th, 2025]
- Republican party committees lead in cumulative fundraising as of second finance deadline of the 2026 election cycle - Ballotpedia News - March 26th, 2025 [March 26th, 2025]
- Theres a tug-of-war in the Republican party over Waltzs Signal chat - POLITICO - March 26th, 2025 [March 26th, 2025]
- Trumps job cuts are causing Republican angst as all parties face backlash - The Conversation - March 26th, 2025 [March 26th, 2025]
- Key Republican says savings goal for Trump agenda bill can be reached without cutting Medicaid benefits - POLITICO - March 26th, 2025 [March 26th, 2025]
- The NYS Senate Republican Conference Demands Changes to Discovery Law be Included in State Budget - THE WELLSVILLE SUN - March 26th, 2025 [March 26th, 2025]
- Former Utah Rep. Mia Love, the first Black Republican woman elected to the US House, has died - ABC News - March 26th, 2025 [March 26th, 2025]
- Could California voters be warming to the idea of a Republican governor in 2026? - Sacramento Bee - March 26th, 2025 [March 26th, 2025]
- Mia Love, First Black Republican Woman Elected to Congress, Dies at 49 - The New York Times - March 26th, 2025 [March 26th, 2025]
- Republican candidate for Canonsburg-based magistrate race removed from ballot - Observer-Reporter - March 26th, 2025 [March 26th, 2025]
- UnitedHealthcare 'Pushing' Boundaries of Medicare Fraud, Republican Says - Newsweek - March 26th, 2025 [March 26th, 2025]
- Inside a heated town hall where a Nebraska Republican faced backlash over Trump's policies - PBS NewsHour - March 26th, 2025 [March 26th, 2025]
- Who's running in Olive Branch? A look at the Republican primary ballot and contested races - Commercial Appeal - March 26th, 2025 [March 26th, 2025]
- A Republican-backed bill would upend voter registration. Here are 8 things to know - NPR - March 13th, 2025 [March 13th, 2025]
- With Anderson likely heading to D.C., Republican Party of Virginia could pick a new chair next month - Virginia Mercury - March 13th, 2025 [March 13th, 2025]
- Sins of the past do not budge Republican Senate from voting to end DEI in higher ed - Kentucky Lantern - March 13th, 2025 [March 13th, 2025]
- Republican Full-Year Continuing Resolution - House Committee on Appropriations | - March 13th, 2025 [March 13th, 2025]
- Republican Continuing Resolution Raises Housing Costs for Hardworking Americans - House Committee on Appropriations | - March 13th, 2025 [March 13th, 2025]
- Tariffs Offer Latest Example of Trump Remaking the Republican Party | Opinion - Newsweek - March 13th, 2025 [March 13th, 2025]
- How the White House hired Republican political firms to launch an anti-migrant ad campaign - The Associated Press - March 13th, 2025 [March 13th, 2025]
- Contentious Republican town halls are going viral - The Verge - March 13th, 2025 [March 13th, 2025]
- They live in Californias Republican districts. They feel betrayed by looming health care cuts - CalMatters - March 13th, 2025 [March 13th, 2025]
- Republican threats push DC to begin removing "Black Lives Matter" plaza from street near White House - Milwaukee Independent - March 13th, 2025 [March 13th, 2025]
- Vindman pushes for no pay during shutdown, criticizes Republican bill and executive orders - CBS19 News - March 13th, 2025 [March 13th, 2025]
- Some Republican lawmakers have concerns about Elon Musk and DOGE. Here's what they've said - The Associated Press - March 13th, 2025 [March 13th, 2025]
- Republican leadership tells party to stop holding public events what impact will that have? - The Guardian US - March 9th, 2025 [March 9th, 2025]
- DeLauro Releases Fact Sheet on Republican Funding Bill that Accelerates the Stealing of Taxpayer Funds from American Families and Businesses - House... - March 9th, 2025 [March 9th, 2025]
- Berkeley Talks: Heather Cox Richardson on the evolution of the Republican Party and what gives her hope for America - UC Berkeley - March 9th, 2025 [March 9th, 2025]
- Trump administration briefing: US backs Russia ahead of G7, Republican spending bill boosts defense - The Guardian US - March 9th, 2025 [March 9th, 2025]
- Sen. Dan Thatcher is leaving Utahs Republican Party to break the deadlock in politics - Salt Lake Tribune - March 9th, 2025 [March 9th, 2025]
- Republican-led bill would limit investors to 2,000 homes in Georgia - WABE 90.1 FM - March 9th, 2025 [March 9th, 2025]
- Analysis | The Republican governor leading states response to Trump - The Washington Post - March 9th, 2025 [March 9th, 2025]
- Opinion | The Houses Republican edge is gone. But the gerrymander lives. - The Washington Post - March 9th, 2025 [March 9th, 2025]
- DOGE firings provoke heated confrontations, shouts of Nazi, at Republican town halls - Los Angeles Times - March 9th, 2025 [March 9th, 2025]
- Record Surge in Republican Satisfaction With State of Nation - Gallup.com - March 1st, 2025 [March 1st, 2025]
- Senator Murray Raises Alarm Over Looming Republican Cuts to Medicaid, with Health Care Workers in Central and Eastern WA - Senator Patty Murray - March 1st, 2025 [March 1st, 2025]
- LEADER JEFFRIES: THE REPUBLICAN BUDGET REPRESENTS THE LARGEST MEDICAID CUT IN AMERICAN HISTORY Congressman Hakeem Jeffries - Congressman Hakeem... - March 1st, 2025 [March 1st, 2025]
- Police forces lean Republican, but partisan politics dont greatly influence officer actions - PsyPost - March 1st, 2025 [March 1st, 2025]
- Republican senators threaten not to boost Texas public universities funding over DEI ban - The Texas Tribune - March 1st, 2025 [March 1st, 2025]
- There appears to be one Republican serious about fixing government spending | Opinion - USA TODAY - March 1st, 2025 [March 1st, 2025]
- Is it true Republican tax cuts are the biggest federal debt driver since 2001? - Austin American-Statesman - March 1st, 2025 [March 1st, 2025]
- Opinion | Republican Men and Women Are Changing Their Minds About How Women Should Behave - The New York Times - March 1st, 2025 [March 1st, 2025]
- Trump And Republican Budget May Drain Medicaid To Pay For Huge Tax Cut - Forbes - March 1st, 2025 [March 1st, 2025]
- Congresswoman Betty McCollum: I Will Vote No on the Republican Budget Scheme - Betty McCollum - March 1st, 2025 [March 1st, 2025]
- Republican Rep. Joe Wilson announces plan to propose $250 bill featuring Trump - Fox News - February 27th, 2025 [February 27th, 2025]
- The Republican House Budget Resolution's Potential $880 Billion in Medicaid Cuts by Congressional District - Center For American Progress - February 27th, 2025 [February 27th, 2025]
- LEADER JEFFRIES: THE HOUSE REPUBLICAN BUDGET RESOLUTION WILL SET IN MOTION THE LARGEST MEDICAID CUT IN AMERICAN HISTORY Congressman Hakeem Jeffries -... - February 27th, 2025 [February 27th, 2025]
- What's in the House Republican budget bill? | The Excerpt - USA TODAY - February 27th, 2025 [February 27th, 2025]
- Heres Whats in the House Republican Budget and What Comes Next - The New York Times - February 27th, 2025 [February 27th, 2025]
- Rep. Carbajal on the House Passing the Republican Budget That Slashes Funding for Medicaid and SNAP - Salud Carbajal - February 27th, 2025 [February 27th, 2025]
- Republican Heather Hill, Appalachian entrepreneur, is inspired by tragedies to run for Ohio governor - Washington Times - February 27th, 2025 [February 27th, 2025]
- Warren Davidson is the latest Republican to oppose the House budget - POLITICO - February 27th, 2025 [February 27th, 2025]
- What is in the just-passed House Republican budget bill? What to know - USA TODAY - February 27th, 2025 [February 27th, 2025]