Trump isn’t changing the Republican Party. The Republican Party is changing Trump. – Washington Post
By Matt Grossmann and David A. Hopkins By Matt Grossmann and David A. Hopkins August 2 at 6:00 AM
During the 2016 election, many observers from across the political spectrum saw Donald Trumps candidacy as a direct challenge to the Republican Partys ideological orthodoxy. Reporters described Trump as an insurgent populist running on a policy platform that cuts across party lines . . . [and is] anathema to movement conservatives. From Barack Obama on the left to Bill Kristol on the right, critics described Trumps brand of politics as fundamentally incompatible with conservative principles and Republican heritage.
But thats not what weve seen so far. Instead of transforming the Republican Party, Trump has assembled the most conservative administration and agenda of any modern president. Analysts overstated Trumps distance from Republican campaign orthodoxy and expected him to be able to avoid the challenges of leading his party from opposition to governing mode. As a result, they underestimated the resilience of the GOPs basiccharacter.
Many observers misread the Trump campaign, predicting a political realignment between the parties
Because Trumps campaign was so superficially unusual, journalists exaggerated its distance from ordinary conservative positions. Like previous Republicans, Trump relied on broad symbolic rhetoric rather than policy specifics. He accused the Democrats of weakness on national security and the mainstream news media of bias. He denounced Obamacare without explaining how he would replace it, proposed large-scale tax cuts, and decried government regulation.
Trump even stood to the right of other Republicans on his signature issue: immigration. He deployed nativist rhetoric and denounced international institutions. That reinvigorated the American rights tradition of nationalism and aligned the Republicans with a global trend among far-right parties.
The Washington Post's Philip Rucker, Ashley Parker and David Nakamura look at what President Trump has done over the past six months to fulfill his pledge to build a border wall. (Bastien Inzaurralde/The Washington Post)
Trumps campaign did deviate from a few conventional Republican positions particularly on free trade and entitlements. But so had previous conservative populists, like Pat Buchanan. Predictions that Trumps rise would cause the parties to realign ideologically were overstated.
In fact, Trump is governing like a firm even far-right conservative
Before the election, we predicted that Trump wouldnt redefine Republican ideology; rather, the GOPs stable congressional leadership and infrastructure would change Trump, forcing him to reconcile his ambitious campaign promises with the realities of governing without alienating conservative ideologues.
[This is why Pences voter fraud commission will almost certainly find duplicate registrations that arent really duplicates.]
And thats what has happened. Trump is not trying to redefine party orthodoxy or build coalitions with the Democrats. His executive branch appointments have tilted farther to the ideological right than previous Republican presidents (as did his Supreme Court nomination). Working with the Republican-controlled Congress, his appointees are swiftly reversing Obama-era regulations. Republican leaders have driven the congressional agenda, emphasizing ACA repeal, tax reform, and corporate deregulation rather than Trumps less conservative campaign proposals like infrastructure spending and expanded parental leave.
Speaking to conservative activists, Feb. 24, President Trump outlined his plans for tax reform, regulatory rollback and strengthening the U.S. military. (Reuters)
Trumps proposed federal budget endorses deep cuts to many domestic programs, and his positions on social issues such as his recently-announced decision to ban transgender servicemembers from the military are just as conservative.
Trumps distinctive personality continues to dominate headlines. But the presidents personnel and policy choices mostly show how hes constrained by the broader Republican infrastructure of media, interest group, and activist supporters, who were attracted to his angry denunciations of Obama policies but werent interested in a leftward tilt.
Even though some observers saw the recent departure of White House chief of staff Reince Priebus as a sign of Trumps growing independence from the Republican establishment, theres no reason to think that the presidents frustration with Priebuss performance is leading him to reconsider the rightward policy direction of his administration.
[Republicans and Democrats cant even agree about how they disagree]
Heres why the Republican Party is pulling Trump rightward
Our recent book, Asymmetric Politics, explains why the GOP cannot easily be diverted from its conservative path. The Republican Party is the agent of an ideological movement unlike the Democratic Party, which is a social coalition defending the concrete interests of its constituent groups. Democratic politicians work to achieve incremental benefits for a variety of electoral constituencies. But Republican voters, politicians, and activists are motivated instead by adherence to a single ideological doctrine. With Trumps election, Republicans are continuing their longstanding drive toward a broad rightward shift in policy.
President Trump asked House Republicans if they can "believe" that he's president, while celebrating the passage of the American Health Care Act in the House of Representatives on May 4 at the White House. (The White House)
Republicans firm and uncompromising dedication to small-government values can cause big problems for party leaders. The congressional right wing has already shown that its willing to oppose health care and budgetary proposals introduced by its own partys leadership. Disputes among Republicans over how much electoral risk the party should take in order to remain true to conservative principles can be just as difficult to resolve as typical Democratic disagreements over which party constituency should receive the most attention from officeholders.
[How different are the Democratic and Republican parties? Too different to compare.]
Many conservative Republican themes like personal liberty, American nationalism, and moral traditionalism are quite popular. But the ideology is more appealing than most specific conservative policy positions. As Republicans have discovered during frustrating debates over health care, while small government may be an attractive idea, losing government benefits or protections is not and provokes a backlash.
Why Trump still represents a conservative opportunity
Previous Republican presidents resolved these conflicts by pairing selected conservative priorities with major policy initiatives departing from ideological precepts even expanding the size and scope of government.
For instance, George W. Bush launched a new federal intervention in public education, No Child Left Behind, which included nationwide standards and testing; regulated the accounting industry; brought back agricultural subsidies; and passed a new prescription drug entitlement. His father George H. W. Bush hiked the minimum wage, raised taxes, increased environmental regulation, and expanded disability rights. Ronald Reagan hiked gas taxes to fund transportation improvements, built major job training programs, and offered amnesty to undocumented immigrants.
But Trump is sticking with a more consistently conservative path and refusing to compromise with the Democratic opposition. In doing so, Trump and his Republican congressional allies are trying to reverse a decades-long trend in which federal policymaking has drifted in a liberal direction no matter which party is in power.
If the Trump administration doesnt win any major legislative victories while hes in office, conservatives will surely be quite disappointed. Yet if Trump pursues regulatory retrenchment within the federal bureaucracy while declining to advance any major new legislative expansions of government responsibility, he will still compile the most conservative policy record of any recent administration.
Reporters and pundits like to portray political campaigns as a battle of individual personalities. But elections are mostly a competition between two partisan teams. Many Republican leaders and activists saw Trumps victory as a rare opportunity to move national policy much farther to the right. Rather than trying to squelch or redirect these ambitions, Trump has staked his presidency on fulfilling them.
Matt Grossmannis director of theInstitute for Public Policy and Social Researchandassociate professor of political science at Michigan State University. Find him on Twitter@mattgrossmann.
David A. Hopkinsis associate professor of political science at Boston Collegeand blogs about U.S.politics atHonest Graft.
Together theyare the authors ofAsymmetric Politics: Ideological Republicans and Group Interest Democrats(Oxford University Press, 2016).
Read this article:
Trump isn't changing the Republican Party. The Republican Party is changing Trump. - Washington Post
- Colorado primary for governor: Meet the Democratic and Republican candidates - Colorado Springs Gazette - June 16th, 2026 [June 16th, 2026]
- Former Chairwoman of the Lynchburg Republican City Committee speaks on primary nullification - WSLS - June 16th, 2026 [June 16th, 2026]
- Former Vice President Pence on His New Book and the Republican Party Outlook - C-SPAN - June 16th, 2026 [June 16th, 2026]
- Baldwin Calls on Republican Leaders to Bring Bipartisan Bill to Cap Insulin at $35 Up for a Vote - Urban Milwaukee - June 16th, 2026 [June 16th, 2026]
- Judge Dismisses Republican Groups Case Against the University of Florida - The New York Times - June 16th, 2026 [June 16th, 2026]
- Congressman Mfume Statement on Republican Passage of ICE & CBP Funding via Reconciliation - Representative Kweisi Mfume | (.gov) - June 16th, 2026 [June 16th, 2026]
- Republican voucher initiative would override voters' approval of others - PinalCentral.com - June 16th, 2026 [June 16th, 2026]
- Senate Republican on FISA holdup: Stop playing the politics - Senator Shelley Capito (.gov) - June 16th, 2026 [June 16th, 2026]
- Republican Need Some Serious Thought Into Whats Next - The Newnan Times-Herald - June 16th, 2026 [June 16th, 2026]
- Republican Peter Soul advances to the general election for U.S. House in California's 16th Congressional District - Caledonian Record - June 16th, 2026 [June 16th, 2026]
- Republican decision on secretary of state race could also show reach of Banks influence - The Republic News - June 16th, 2026 [June 16th, 2026]
- Q&A: Meet the Republican candidates vying for Colorado Governor - SummitDaily.com - June 12th, 2026 [June 12th, 2026]
- Republican Greg Cunningham on the border, Trump and big money in the N.M. CD2 race - Santa Fe New Mexican - June 12th, 2026 [June 12th, 2026]
- 'I wont vote for Ken Paxton': Former GOP official breaks with party in ad to play during Texas Republican convention - Spectrum News - June 12th, 2026 [June 12th, 2026]
- Times Opinion: This is the Hamilton County budget you get under Republican rule - Chattanooga Times Free Press - June 12th, 2026 [June 12th, 2026]
- Carter supports House Republican passage of life-saving ICE, Border Patrol funding - U.S. Representative Buddy Carter (.gov) - June 12th, 2026 [June 12th, 2026]
- Trump pardons former Republican congressman convicted of insider trading - PBS - June 12th, 2026 [June 12th, 2026]
- Evette and Wilson Advance to Runoff in South Carolina Republican Primary for Governor - The New York Times - June 12th, 2026 [June 12th, 2026]
- In Nevada, Trumps policies are making things tough for Republican Gov. Joe Lombardo - NPR - June 12th, 2026 [June 12th, 2026]
- How the political typology groups feel about the Republican and Democratic parties - Pew Research Center - June 12th, 2026 [June 12th, 2026]
- Beshear slams Louisville Republican for medical cannabis attack: 'I think they think it's masculinity' - WHAS11 - June 12th, 2026 [June 12th, 2026]
- A quick look at the Colorado governor candidates running in this months Democratic, Republican primaries - The Denver Post - June 12th, 2026 [June 12th, 2026]
- These Republican Lawmakers Challenged Abortion Bans. Then They Faced Backlash. - ProPublica - June 12th, 2026 [June 12th, 2026]
- Ousted Republican Heather Hill re-enters governors race as write-in candidate - NBC4 WCMH-TV - June 12th, 2026 [June 12th, 2026]
- 5 Big Moments in the Texas Republican Senate Race - The New York Times - May 27th, 2026 [May 27th, 2026]
- Trump is getting the Republican Party that he wants. But can he win in the midterms? - The Seattle Times - May 27th, 2026 [May 27th, 2026]
- What to expect in the Texas US Senate Republican primary runoff - PBS - May 27th, 2026 [May 27th, 2026]
- Ken Paxton Wins the Senate Republican Primary Runoff in Texas - The New Yorker - May 27th, 2026 [May 27th, 2026]
- MAP: How Bexar County and Texas voted in the U.S. Senate Republican primary runoff - KSAT - May 27th, 2026 [May 27th, 2026]
- 5 Things to Know About Ken Paxton, the Republican Senate Nominee in Texas - The New York Times - May 27th, 2026 [May 27th, 2026]
- Democratic Incumbents Run Against Each Other After Republican Redistricting in Texas - The New York Times - May 27th, 2026 [May 27th, 2026]
- Americas ugliest primary? Texas Republican infighting could hand Senate seat to Democrat - The Guardian - May 27th, 2026 [May 27th, 2026]
- State Republican convention headed for Duluth - Duluth News Tribune - May 27th, 2026 [May 27th, 2026]
- WATCH: Would Republican candidates for SC governor want to appoint judges? Heres what they said. - WIS News 10 - May 27th, 2026 [May 27th, 2026]
- Republican-Appointed Judges Just Gave the Roberts Court a Stunning Rebuke - Mother Jones - May 27th, 2026 [May 27th, 2026]
- WATCH: Republican candidates for SC governor speak on failed redistricting push, loyalty to Trump - WIS News 10 - May 27th, 2026 [May 27th, 2026]
- Republican attorneys general split with House party members over US social media bill - Reuters - May 27th, 2026 [May 27th, 2026]
- Trump is getting the Republican Party that he wants. But can he win in the midterms? - Yahoo - May 27th, 2026 [May 27th, 2026]
- Republican Rep. Mike Flood Jeered at Another Contentious Nebraska Town Hall - News of the United States - NOTUS - May 27th, 2026 [May 27th, 2026]
- Read the DOJ's memo to Republican senators on how Trump's $1.8 billion 'anti-weaponization' fund will work - PBS - May 22nd, 2026 [May 22nd, 2026]
- Trump exerts iron grip on Republican Party with Massie defeated - BBC - May 22nd, 2026 [May 22nd, 2026]
- Blanche thrust into Republican firestorm over $1.8B fund as he seeks to prove his loyalty to Trump - KSAT - May 22nd, 2026 [May 22nd, 2026]
- Blanche at center of Republican firestorm over $1.8B fund as he seeks to prove his loyalty to Trump - Inquirer.com - May 22nd, 2026 [May 22nd, 2026]
- Congress delays vote on Republican-backed ICE funding after GOP infighting - KUOW - May 22nd, 2026 [May 22nd, 2026]
- Tommy Tuberville wins Republican nomination for Alabama governor - ESPN - May 22nd, 2026 [May 22nd, 2026]
- Greg Dolezal and John F. Kennedy advanced from the May 19 Republican primary for lieutenant governor of Georgia to the June 16 primary runoff -... - May 22nd, 2026 [May 22nd, 2026]
- Republican announces write-in campaign for seat held by late Rep. Liz Conmy - InForum - May 22nd, 2026 [May 22nd, 2026]
- Blanche at center of Republican firestorm over $1.8B fund as he seeks to prove his loyalty to Trump - AP News - May 22nd, 2026 [May 22nd, 2026]
- Thomas Massie - Republican who stood up to Trump is hoping for big win against president - BBC - May 22nd, 2026 [May 22nd, 2026]
- Trumps revenge tour may have sparked a Republican revolt - MS NOW - May 22nd, 2026 [May 22nd, 2026]
- It will be a very difficult cycle for a Republican to hold on. - KTAR News 92.3 FM - May 22nd, 2026 [May 22nd, 2026]
- Blanche at center of Republican firestorm over $1.8B fund as he seeks to prove his loyalty to Trump - Caledonian Record - May 22nd, 2026 [May 22nd, 2026]
- Republican party infighting spills over to Montana's legislative primaries - Montana Public Radio - May 22nd, 2026 [May 22nd, 2026]
- Blanche at center of Republican firestorm over $1.8B fund as he seeks to prove his loyalty to Trump - dailyrecordnews.com - May 22nd, 2026 [May 22nd, 2026]
- Sen. Bill Cassidys defeat shows the price of dissent in Trumps Republican Party - NBC News - May 17th, 2026 [May 17th, 2026]
- Polls vs prediction: The Kentucky primary testing Trump's influence in Republican party - TRT World - May 17th, 2026 [May 17th, 2026]
- Why Trump is going to war with Kentuckys rebellious Republican - The Times - May 17th, 2026 [May 17th, 2026]
- This Republican voted to convict Trump. Now he's up for reelection. Can he survive? - NPR - May 17th, 2026 [May 17th, 2026]
- Sen. Cassidy knocked out of Louisiana Republican primary as Trump-backed Letlow, Fleming make runoff - AP News - May 17th, 2026 [May 17th, 2026]
- Trump's revenge tour continues with ouster of Republican Sen. Bill Cassidy - WBAL-TV - May 17th, 2026 [May 17th, 2026]
- Georgia Senate race tests Gov. Brian Kemps sway in the Republican Party - NBC News - May 17th, 2026 [May 17th, 2026]
- All three branches of government should have a stock trading ban: House Republican - The Hill - May 17th, 2026 [May 17th, 2026]
- CT Republican convention opens with congressional nominations after governor race shake-up - CT Insider - May 17th, 2026 [May 17th, 2026]
- Gail Symons: The Difference Between The 1994 And 2026 Republican Platform - Cowboy State Daily - May 17th, 2026 [May 17th, 2026]
- A Top Connecticut Republican, Accused of Fraud, Ends Her Bid for Governor - The New York Times - May 17th, 2026 [May 17th, 2026]
- Trump Gets Revenge on Republican Who Voted to Convict Him - Yahoo Finance - May 17th, 2026 [May 17th, 2026]
- Colorado county Republican chair arrested in sting on allegations he tried to pay for sex with a child - Colorado Springs Gazette - May 17th, 2026 [May 17th, 2026]
- Cornyn and Paxton battle for Republican nomination, abortion pill ruling sparks Texas reaction - CBS News - May 17th, 2026 [May 17th, 2026]
- Trump Gets Revenge on Republican Who Voted to Convict Him (1) - Bloomberg Government News - May 17th, 2026 [May 17th, 2026]
- Democratic spokesperson's advice to the Republican Party: 'Learn from the Biden Administration' - CNN - May 17th, 2026 [May 17th, 2026]
- Republican candidates sue to block unaffiliated voters from participating in June primary - Colorado Newsline - May 11th, 2026 [May 11th, 2026]
- In win for voters, Montana court blocks Republican-backed attack on Election Day registration - Democracy Docket - May 11th, 2026 [May 11th, 2026]
- What makes a good teacher? Ask a Republican and a Democrat, and they are likely to agree - The Conversation - May 11th, 2026 [May 11th, 2026]
- 2026 Primary Election: Two Candidates Look for the Republican Nomination in House District 3 - Flathead Beacon - May 11th, 2026 [May 11th, 2026]
- Idahos Republican civil war intensifies as the primary election draws near - Idaho Education News - May 11th, 2026 [May 11th, 2026]
- Iowa politics: KCCI's full interview with Eddie Andrews, Republican candidate for governor - KCCI - May 11th, 2026 [May 11th, 2026]
- Netflix Sued by Republican Texas Attorney General, Who Alleges Service Is Spying on Users and Is Designed to Be Addictive - Variety - May 11th, 2026 [May 11th, 2026]
- G.O.P. Fatigue in Iowa Strains the Republican Primary for Governor - The New York Times - May 11th, 2026 [May 11th, 2026]
- House Republican Proposes Bill to Wind Down the Iran War - The New York Times - May 7th, 2026 [May 7th, 2026]
- Another House Republican is under the microscope for alleged sexual misconduct - Politico - May 7th, 2026 [May 7th, 2026]