The Fix: The Why not me? race for the Republican presidential nomination in 2016
If there's one think you can say about the2016 Republican presidential field, it is this: It is going to be HUGE.
There are currently23 names on the long, long list of potential candidates. That's twice (!) as many people as have ever run for the GOPnomination in the past. Now, not all of those "candidates" will actually run -- Tennessee Sen. Bob Corker and Rep. Marsha Blackburn don't make much sense as presidential candidates, to name just two -- but that's a huge field of prospective candidates.
And while all two dozen names being mentioned won't make the race, the fact that so many credible candidates are actively looking at running speaks to the key dynamic of the coming Republican race: There is no true frontrunner.
You can make the case for Jeb Bush as the top dog. Or Chris Christie. Or, as we have in the ratings below, Rand Paul. But, you can unmake each of those cases -- including ours -- pretty easily. When national polls on the race puts the frontrunner at 15 percent, you know that the word "frontrunner" doesn't really mean that much.
Given that, the prevailing sentiment among ambitious Republicans looking at 2016 is, "Why not me?" As in, if the best-known candidates are only polling the in the mid-teens (at best), why the heck shouldn't I run and just see what happens? That attitude is affirmed by what happened in the 2012 primary fight, a remarkably fluid contest that saw previously unknown candidates like Herman Cain get their moment(s) in the national spotlight. It's also buoyed by the recent trend of people running for president not necessarily to win but to improve their future earning prospects.
Add it all up and you can expect to see somewhere as many as12-15 legitimate candidates in the presidential contest at some point during the next two years.
Below are our rankings of the 10 with the best chance of winding up as the nominee. The No. 1-ranked candidates is the most likely winner.
To the line!
10. Rep. Paul Ryan (Wis.): The 2012 GOP vice presidential nominee is on this list because he would be a frontrunner the moment he got in. But Ryanalso seems entirely happy to continue serving in the House. He just traded in his House Budget Committee chairmanship for the even-more-powerful Ways and Means Committee, which gives him ample reason to stick around. Remember that Ryan is only 44 years old, meaning he could easily wait a presidential cycle or even two before going national (again). (Previous ranking: 10)
9. Former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee:On the one hand, there arenational and early-state polls that show Huckabee is among the best-known and best-liked politicians considering the 2016 contest. On the other hand, Huckabee seems no more committed to building a real campaign infrastructure or raising money than he was in 2008, when his inability to do either made it impossible for him to capitalize on the momentum gained from his win in the Iowa caucuses. Huckabee is a very talented pol. But not learning the lessons of a past loss is the hallmark of someone who will lose again. (Previous ranking: 7)
View post:
The Fix: The Why not me? race for the Republican presidential nomination in 2016
- Colorado primary for governor: Meet the Democratic and Republican candidates - Colorado Springs Gazette - June 16th, 2026 [June 16th, 2026]
- Former Chairwoman of the Lynchburg Republican City Committee speaks on primary nullification - WSLS - June 16th, 2026 [June 16th, 2026]
- Former Vice President Pence on His New Book and the Republican Party Outlook - C-SPAN - June 16th, 2026 [June 16th, 2026]
- Baldwin Calls on Republican Leaders to Bring Bipartisan Bill to Cap Insulin at $35 Up for a Vote - Urban Milwaukee - June 16th, 2026 [June 16th, 2026]
- Judge Dismisses Republican Groups Case Against the University of Florida - The New York Times - June 16th, 2026 [June 16th, 2026]
- Congressman Mfume Statement on Republican Passage of ICE & CBP Funding via Reconciliation - Representative Kweisi Mfume | (.gov) - June 16th, 2026 [June 16th, 2026]
- Republican voucher initiative would override voters' approval of others - PinalCentral.com - June 16th, 2026 [June 16th, 2026]
- Senate Republican on FISA holdup: Stop playing the politics - Senator Shelley Capito (.gov) - June 16th, 2026 [June 16th, 2026]
- Republican Need Some Serious Thought Into Whats Next - The Newnan Times-Herald - June 16th, 2026 [June 16th, 2026]
- Republican Peter Soul advances to the general election for U.S. House in California's 16th Congressional District - Caledonian Record - June 16th, 2026 [June 16th, 2026]
- Republican decision on secretary of state race could also show reach of Banks influence - The Republic News - June 16th, 2026 [June 16th, 2026]
- Q&A: Meet the Republican candidates vying for Colorado Governor - SummitDaily.com - June 12th, 2026 [June 12th, 2026]
- Republican Greg Cunningham on the border, Trump and big money in the N.M. CD2 race - Santa Fe New Mexican - June 12th, 2026 [June 12th, 2026]
- 'I wont vote for Ken Paxton': Former GOP official breaks with party in ad to play during Texas Republican convention - Spectrum News - June 12th, 2026 [June 12th, 2026]
- Times Opinion: This is the Hamilton County budget you get under Republican rule - Chattanooga Times Free Press - June 12th, 2026 [June 12th, 2026]
- Carter supports House Republican passage of life-saving ICE, Border Patrol funding - U.S. Representative Buddy Carter (.gov) - June 12th, 2026 [June 12th, 2026]
- Trump pardons former Republican congressman convicted of insider trading - PBS - June 12th, 2026 [June 12th, 2026]
- Evette and Wilson Advance to Runoff in South Carolina Republican Primary for Governor - The New York Times - June 12th, 2026 [June 12th, 2026]
- In Nevada, Trumps policies are making things tough for Republican Gov. Joe Lombardo - NPR - June 12th, 2026 [June 12th, 2026]
- How the political typology groups feel about the Republican and Democratic parties - Pew Research Center - June 12th, 2026 [June 12th, 2026]
- Beshear slams Louisville Republican for medical cannabis attack: 'I think they think it's masculinity' - WHAS11 - June 12th, 2026 [June 12th, 2026]
- A quick look at the Colorado governor candidates running in this months Democratic, Republican primaries - The Denver Post - June 12th, 2026 [June 12th, 2026]
- These Republican Lawmakers Challenged Abortion Bans. Then They Faced Backlash. - ProPublica - June 12th, 2026 [June 12th, 2026]
- Ousted Republican Heather Hill re-enters governors race as write-in candidate - NBC4 WCMH-TV - June 12th, 2026 [June 12th, 2026]
- 5 Big Moments in the Texas Republican Senate Race - The New York Times - May 27th, 2026 [May 27th, 2026]
- Trump is getting the Republican Party that he wants. But can he win in the midterms? - The Seattle Times - May 27th, 2026 [May 27th, 2026]
- What to expect in the Texas US Senate Republican primary runoff - PBS - May 27th, 2026 [May 27th, 2026]
- Ken Paxton Wins the Senate Republican Primary Runoff in Texas - The New Yorker - May 27th, 2026 [May 27th, 2026]
- MAP: How Bexar County and Texas voted in the U.S. Senate Republican primary runoff - KSAT - May 27th, 2026 [May 27th, 2026]
- 5 Things to Know About Ken Paxton, the Republican Senate Nominee in Texas - The New York Times - May 27th, 2026 [May 27th, 2026]
- Democratic Incumbents Run Against Each Other After Republican Redistricting in Texas - The New York Times - May 27th, 2026 [May 27th, 2026]
- Americas ugliest primary? Texas Republican infighting could hand Senate seat to Democrat - The Guardian - May 27th, 2026 [May 27th, 2026]
- State Republican convention headed for Duluth - Duluth News Tribune - May 27th, 2026 [May 27th, 2026]
- WATCH: Would Republican candidates for SC governor want to appoint judges? Heres what they said. - WIS News 10 - May 27th, 2026 [May 27th, 2026]
- Republican-Appointed Judges Just Gave the Roberts Court a Stunning Rebuke - Mother Jones - May 27th, 2026 [May 27th, 2026]
- WATCH: Republican candidates for SC governor speak on failed redistricting push, loyalty to Trump - WIS News 10 - May 27th, 2026 [May 27th, 2026]
- Republican attorneys general split with House party members over US social media bill - Reuters - May 27th, 2026 [May 27th, 2026]
- Trump is getting the Republican Party that he wants. But can he win in the midterms? - Yahoo - May 27th, 2026 [May 27th, 2026]
- Republican Rep. Mike Flood Jeered at Another Contentious Nebraska Town Hall - News of the United States - NOTUS - May 27th, 2026 [May 27th, 2026]
- Read the DOJ's memo to Republican senators on how Trump's $1.8 billion 'anti-weaponization' fund will work - PBS - May 22nd, 2026 [May 22nd, 2026]
- Trump exerts iron grip on Republican Party with Massie defeated - BBC - May 22nd, 2026 [May 22nd, 2026]
- Blanche thrust into Republican firestorm over $1.8B fund as he seeks to prove his loyalty to Trump - KSAT - May 22nd, 2026 [May 22nd, 2026]
- Blanche at center of Republican firestorm over $1.8B fund as he seeks to prove his loyalty to Trump - Inquirer.com - May 22nd, 2026 [May 22nd, 2026]
- Congress delays vote on Republican-backed ICE funding after GOP infighting - KUOW - May 22nd, 2026 [May 22nd, 2026]
- Tommy Tuberville wins Republican nomination for Alabama governor - ESPN - May 22nd, 2026 [May 22nd, 2026]
- Greg Dolezal and John F. Kennedy advanced from the May 19 Republican primary for lieutenant governor of Georgia to the June 16 primary runoff -... - May 22nd, 2026 [May 22nd, 2026]
- Republican announces write-in campaign for seat held by late Rep. Liz Conmy - InForum - May 22nd, 2026 [May 22nd, 2026]
- Blanche at center of Republican firestorm over $1.8B fund as he seeks to prove his loyalty to Trump - AP News - May 22nd, 2026 [May 22nd, 2026]
- Thomas Massie - Republican who stood up to Trump is hoping for big win against president - BBC - May 22nd, 2026 [May 22nd, 2026]
- Trumps revenge tour may have sparked a Republican revolt - MS NOW - May 22nd, 2026 [May 22nd, 2026]
- It will be a very difficult cycle for a Republican to hold on. - KTAR News 92.3 FM - May 22nd, 2026 [May 22nd, 2026]
- Blanche at center of Republican firestorm over $1.8B fund as he seeks to prove his loyalty to Trump - Caledonian Record - May 22nd, 2026 [May 22nd, 2026]
- Republican party infighting spills over to Montana's legislative primaries - Montana Public Radio - May 22nd, 2026 [May 22nd, 2026]
- Blanche at center of Republican firestorm over $1.8B fund as he seeks to prove his loyalty to Trump - dailyrecordnews.com - May 22nd, 2026 [May 22nd, 2026]
- Sen. Bill Cassidys defeat shows the price of dissent in Trumps Republican Party - NBC News - May 17th, 2026 [May 17th, 2026]
- Polls vs prediction: The Kentucky primary testing Trump's influence in Republican party - TRT World - May 17th, 2026 [May 17th, 2026]
- Why Trump is going to war with Kentuckys rebellious Republican - The Times - May 17th, 2026 [May 17th, 2026]
- This Republican voted to convict Trump. Now he's up for reelection. Can he survive? - NPR - May 17th, 2026 [May 17th, 2026]
- Sen. Cassidy knocked out of Louisiana Republican primary as Trump-backed Letlow, Fleming make runoff - AP News - May 17th, 2026 [May 17th, 2026]
- Trump's revenge tour continues with ouster of Republican Sen. Bill Cassidy - WBAL-TV - May 17th, 2026 [May 17th, 2026]
- Georgia Senate race tests Gov. Brian Kemps sway in the Republican Party - NBC News - May 17th, 2026 [May 17th, 2026]
- All three branches of government should have a stock trading ban: House Republican - The Hill - May 17th, 2026 [May 17th, 2026]
- CT Republican convention opens with congressional nominations after governor race shake-up - CT Insider - May 17th, 2026 [May 17th, 2026]
- Gail Symons: The Difference Between The 1994 And 2026 Republican Platform - Cowboy State Daily - May 17th, 2026 [May 17th, 2026]
- A Top Connecticut Republican, Accused of Fraud, Ends Her Bid for Governor - The New York Times - May 17th, 2026 [May 17th, 2026]
- Trump Gets Revenge on Republican Who Voted to Convict Him - Yahoo Finance - May 17th, 2026 [May 17th, 2026]
- Colorado county Republican chair arrested in sting on allegations he tried to pay for sex with a child - Colorado Springs Gazette - May 17th, 2026 [May 17th, 2026]
- Cornyn and Paxton battle for Republican nomination, abortion pill ruling sparks Texas reaction - CBS News - May 17th, 2026 [May 17th, 2026]
- Trump Gets Revenge on Republican Who Voted to Convict Him (1) - Bloomberg Government News - May 17th, 2026 [May 17th, 2026]
- Democratic spokesperson's advice to the Republican Party: 'Learn from the Biden Administration' - CNN - May 17th, 2026 [May 17th, 2026]
- Republican candidates sue to block unaffiliated voters from participating in June primary - Colorado Newsline - May 11th, 2026 [May 11th, 2026]
- In win for voters, Montana court blocks Republican-backed attack on Election Day registration - Democracy Docket - May 11th, 2026 [May 11th, 2026]
- What makes a good teacher? Ask a Republican and a Democrat, and they are likely to agree - The Conversation - May 11th, 2026 [May 11th, 2026]
- 2026 Primary Election: Two Candidates Look for the Republican Nomination in House District 3 - Flathead Beacon - May 11th, 2026 [May 11th, 2026]
- Idahos Republican civil war intensifies as the primary election draws near - Idaho Education News - May 11th, 2026 [May 11th, 2026]
- Iowa politics: KCCI's full interview with Eddie Andrews, Republican candidate for governor - KCCI - May 11th, 2026 [May 11th, 2026]
- Netflix Sued by Republican Texas Attorney General, Who Alleges Service Is Spying on Users and Is Designed to Be Addictive - Variety - May 11th, 2026 [May 11th, 2026]
- G.O.P. Fatigue in Iowa Strains the Republican Primary for Governor - The New York Times - May 11th, 2026 [May 11th, 2026]
- House Republican Proposes Bill to Wind Down the Iran War - The New York Times - May 7th, 2026 [May 7th, 2026]
- Another House Republican is under the microscope for alleged sexual misconduct - Politico - May 7th, 2026 [May 7th, 2026]