In Americas Uncivil War, Republicans Are The Aggressors – FiveThirtyEight
In his inaugural address, President Biden described America as in the midst of an uncivil war that pits red against blue, rural versus urban, conservative versus liberal. His invocation of a civil war and the American Civil War was provocative. It was also accurate. There is no formal definition of an uncivil war, but America is increasingly split between members of two political parties that hate each other.
In the same speech, Biden warned of the dangers of a rise in political extremism, white supremacy, domestic terrorism. This too was accurate. Biden was delivering his address exactly two weeks after a group of supporters of then-President Trump, riled up by his false claims about voter fraud, stormed the Capitol to try to overturn the results of a free and fair election, an act of political extremism and domestic terrorism carried out by at least some people who believe in white supremacy.
[Related: Storming The U.S. Capitol Was About Maintaining White Power In America]
Biden didnt explicitly say that the extremism, domestic terrorism and white supremacy is largely coming from one side of the uncivil war. But thats the reality. In Americas uncivil war, both sides may hate the other, but one side conservatives and Republicans is more hostile and aggressive, increasingly willing to engage in anti-democratic and even violent attacks on their perceived enemies.
The Jan. 6 insurrection and the run-up to it is perhaps the clearest illustration that Republicans are being more hostile and anti-democratic than Democrats in this uncivil war. Biden pledged to concede defeat if he lost the presidential election fair and square, while Trump never made such a pledge; many elected officials in the GOP joined Trumps efforts to overturn the election results; and finally, Trump supporters arrived at the Capitol to claim victory by force. But there are numerous other examples of conservatives and Republicans going overboard in their attempts to dominate liberals and Democrats:
We could also compile a long list of anti-democratic and hostile actions taken by Trump himself against Democrats. At the top of that list would be his attempt to coerce the Ukrainian government into announcing it would investigate the Biden family essentially a scheme for Trump to use the power of his office to tilt the upcoming presidential election in his favor.
Its important to be specific here, however. Many of the most aggressive actions against liberals have been taken not by Republican voters but largely by Republican officials, particularly at the state level.
Many Republicans do not accept Democratic governance as a legitimate outcome of elections, said Thomas Zimmer, a history professor at Georgetown University who is writing a book about political divides in America. America is nearing a crisis of democratic legitimacy because one side is trying to erect one-party minority rule.
Gretchen Helmke, a political scientist at the University of Rochester who studies the state of democratic governments around the world, said, There is a marked asymmetry between the two parties, with Republicans more engaged in playing constitutional hardball and taking actions that are still within the letter of the law but [that] may violate the spirit of the law or common-sense ideas about fairness and political equality.
Those types of actions are much harder to find on the Democratic side. There is no campaign by Democratic elected officials to disenfranchise white evangelical Christians, a constituency that overwhelmingly backs GOP candidates, just as Black voters overwhelmingly back Democratic candidates. There was no widespread, systematic attempt by Democratic officials four years ago to disqualify the votes that elected Trump or to spur Democratic voters to attack the Capitol to prevent the certification of his presidency. While the left-wing antifa movement has violent tendencies, it isnt an organized group nor is it aligned with Biden or Democrats. And at least right now, national security experts describe right-wing violence as a much bigger danger in America than any violent behavior from the left. In an October 2020 report, the Department of Homeland Security called violent white supremacists the most persistent and lethal threat in the Homeland.
And, of course, Democrats did not embrace an anti-democratic figure like Trump as their standard-bearer. There are no Democratic politicians in Congress implying that conservative politicians are such dangers to the country that they should be killed.
[Related: The GOP Might Still Be Trumps Party. But That Doesnt Mean Theres Room For Him.]
The GOP is a counter-majoritarian party now, every week it becomes less like a normal party, said Jay Rosen, a journalism professor at New York University who has written extensively about the radicalization of the Republican Party. The GOP has to make it harder to vote and harder to understand what the party is all about. Those are two parts of the same project. And it cant treat its white supremacist and violent wings as extremists who should be isolated because it needs them. They provide motor and momentum.
The GOP has radicalized (and is still radicalizing) on its willingness to break democratic norms and subvert or eliminate political institutions. Dont expect restraint where youve seen it in the past, said Charlotte Hill, a Ph.D. candidate at the Goldman School of Public Policy at the University of California, Berkeley, who conducts research on election and voting laws.
Because of this deep conservative antipathy for the liberal version of America, Joanne Freeman, a professor of history and American studies at Yale University, has compared the state of America today to the 1850s, right before the U.S. Civil War.
Mass violence in Congress seemed possible in 1850. Now, 171 years later, its in the national mindscape once again. And for good reason. The echoes of 1850 are striking. Were at a moment of extreme polarization when outcomes matter, sometimes profoundly, Freeman wrote in a recent essay in The New York Times.
The Republicans, she continued, whose ironclad grip on the Senate has dominated the federal government, feel entitled to that power and increasingly threatened; they know theyre swimming against the demographic tide in a diversifying nation. They have proven themselves ready and eager for minority rule; voter suppression centered on people of color is on the rise and has been for some time. And some of them are willing to protect what they deem right with threats of violence.
To be sure, only a very, very small fraction of conservative Americans participate in acts of domestic terrorism. Most rank-and-file Republicans would likely describe themselves as opposed to individualized acts of racism (a workplace not hiring Black employees, for example) as well as systemic racism and white supremacy. Most Republican voters are not directly participating in moves by GOP officials to make it harder for people of color to vote. And there are a lot of Republican elected officials who have not tried to have the 2020 election results disqualified or promoted laws and rules to make it harder for people of color to vote.
At the same time, Republican voters have stuck with the party despite its recent shift toward move overt and aggressive anti-democratic behavior. This stuff seems not a deal-breaker to the vast majority of Republican voters, said Zimmer.
[Related: How Trump Changed America]
Susan Hyde, a political scientist at University of California, Berkeley, who studies democracy and democratic backsliding both in the U.S. and abroad, said that Republican voters tolerated the partys anti-democratic tendencies because the partys elites signaled that it was OK to do so. Republican politicians have been lying to their own voters, and they need to stop doing that if we are going to have peace, said Hyde, who was referring specifically to the false belief among a large bloc of Republican voters that Trump won the election.
The war is not completely one-sided, however. Liberals and Democrats are trying to enact what amounts to an equality agenda to create a new America where LGBTQ Americans can openly participate in any institution; women can join and lead any institution; and women, Black people, Native Americans and other traditionally marginalized groups can have as much power, wealth and representation as the shares of the population they represent.
Through legislation, lawsuits and other means, liberals and Democrats are pressing this agenda aggressively, over the objections of conservatives. Same-sex marriage has been legalized, and some legal protections have been extended to transgender Americans. Liberals are trying to outlaw the death penalty while trying to enshrine into law the right to use marijuana. They are pushing for a dramatic rethinking of American institutions, including the church and the police, and in some ways a rethinking of America itself.
And liberals and Democrats, believing that their equality agenda is right and just, increasingly cast those who oppose it in very negative terms like racist and sexist. Views held by even many Democrats a decade ago opposition to same-sex marriage and skepticism that racial discrimination is a major barrier to Black advancement in America are now sharply criticized. These criticisms are at the root of conservative complaints that American culture is too politically correct or that those who dissent from the liberal view must be canceled. And in some instances, liberal pressure does result in conservatives being denied platforms: Twitter suspended Trumps account, for example, and Simon and Schuster canceled a book deal with Missouri Sen. Josh Hawley.
Of course, some conservative behavior, like trying to make it harder for Black people to vote, probably should be both shamed and called out as racist. That said, its important to understand that some liberal and Democratic policies will require conservative Christians in particular to live in a changed America that they simply do not wish to live in. And the liberal focus on ideas like systemic racism and white supremacy has left many conservatives feeling that their individual behaviors and choices are being unfairly cast as racist.
Conservatives are reacting to something real, said Zimmer. Their version of Real America a white, Christian America is under threat. Republicans are convinced they are waging a noble war against the demise of Real America. Conservatives think their backs are against the wall.
[On the left] there is a demand for more redistribution and laws and programs that help some people and not others, said Vasabjit Banerjee, a political scientist at Mississippi State University who studies political conflicts. For example, he described Black Lives Matter as a form of status redistribution, that might be threatening to non-Black Americans because the movements goal is to, in effect, make Black people truly full citizens in America, equal to white Americans.
Reflecting on the actions of both sides, you can see why conservative attacks on liberals are much more problematic than the inverse. And thats why it is hard to imagine Biden being able to unify America or end this uncivil war his side is not the one feeling most aggrieved and taking anti-democratic, even violent, measures to win.
In his inaugural speech, Biden said, We have learned again that democracy is precious. Democracy is fragile. And at this hour, my friends, democracy has prevailed.
He didnt quite say why we had learned that democracy is precious, why it is fragile, or who or what it had prevailed against. But the reality is that some Republicans in America are so intent on defeating liberals that they are willing to erode Americas democracy, or even end it, along the way to victory.
More:
In Americas Uncivil War, Republicans Are The Aggressors - FiveThirtyEight
- Trump's Republican Party insists there's no affordability crisis and dismisses election losses - abcnews.go.com - November 16th, 2025 [November 16th, 2025]
- Why Republican economists overestimate GDP growth when their party occupies the White House - Milwaukee Independent - November 16th, 2025 [November 16th, 2025]
- House Republican Appropriators Stood United to End the Longest Shutdown in U.S. History - House Committee on Appropriations (.gov) - November 16th, 2025 [November 16th, 2025]
- Trumps Republican Party insists theres no affordability crisis and dismisses election losses - AccessWdun - November 16th, 2025 [November 16th, 2025]
- SV band members participate in ceremony for veterans - Pottsville Republican Herald - November 16th, 2025 [November 16th, 2025]
- Video House Republican Greg Steube on why he voted against ending the government shutdown - abcnews.go.com - November 16th, 2025 [November 16th, 2025]
- Trump's Republican Party insists there's no affordability crisis and dismisses election losses - Temple Daily Telegram - November 16th, 2025 [November 16th, 2025]
- House Republican Alleges Epstein Had Thousands of Hours of Tapes of Bedrooms and From Private Island - Yahoo - November 16th, 2025 [November 16th, 2025]
- Pump Up the Numbers: Republican Student Claims Credit for ICE Raid on Car Wash That Led to 9 Arrests - Time Magazine - November 16th, 2025 [November 16th, 2025]
- Video Republican lawmaker predicts House vote to reopen the government will pass Wednesday - abcnews.go.com - November 11th, 2025 [November 11th, 2025]
- Republican Rep. from North Texas says his vote on new government funding bill will be the same - CBS News - November 11th, 2025 [November 11th, 2025]
- Oregon's lone Republican member of Congress, Cliff Bentz, looks forward to a shutdown-ending vote - KGW - November 11th, 2025 [November 11th, 2025]
- Republican Blasted With Boos and Heckles in Trainwreck Town Hall - The Daily Beast - November 11th, 2025 [November 11th, 2025]
- LEADER JEFFRIES: WERE NOT GOING TO SUPPORT A PARTISAN REPUBLICAN SPENDING BILL THAT CONTINUES TO GUT THE HEALTHCARE OFTHE AMERICAN PEOPLE Congressman... - November 11th, 2025 [November 11th, 2025]
- Trump Pardons the Husband of a Republican Congressional Ally - The New York Times - November 11th, 2025 [November 11th, 2025]
- Tony Hudson Republican on a mission to put things right - Bitterroot Star - November 11th, 2025 [November 11th, 2025]
- US Supreme Court to hear Republican bid to limit counting of mail-in ballots - Reuters - November 11th, 2025 [November 11th, 2025]
- Trump pardons the husband of Republican supporter Rep. Diana Harshbarger of Tennessee - WBBJ TV - November 11th, 2025 [November 11th, 2025]
- A Republican lawmaker is riding his motorcycle back to Washington, DC, because flights are too unreliable - Business Insider - November 11th, 2025 [November 11th, 2025]
- Republican voter registration is up in CT, especially in the cities - CT Mirror - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]
- Marjorie Taylor Greene calls it 'an embarrassment' the Republican-led House isn't in session during the shutdown - NBC News - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]
- Kentucky Republican hopes to ban distracted driving with 2026 legislation - Kentucky Lantern - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]
- Democrat Mikie Sherrill prevails over Republican Jack Ciattarelli and wins the race for governor of New Jersey - WHYY - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]
- Why this Republican lawmaker is still showing up to work during the shutdown - NPR - October 28th, 2025 [October 28th, 2025]
- The Republican Plan to Reform the Census Could Put Everyones Privacy at Risk - WIRED - October 28th, 2025 [October 28th, 2025]
- Republican candidates to visit the Shore today - Shore Daily News - October 28th, 2025 [October 28th, 2025]
- LEADER JEFFRIES ON CNN: WE ARE DEMANDING THAT OUR REPUBLICAN COLLEAGUES SIT BACK DOWN AT THE TABLE Congressman Hakeem Jeffries - Congressman Hakeem... - October 28th, 2025 [October 28th, 2025]
- Democrats could draw maps to put every Virginia Republican representative in a blue district. Here's how. - Cardinal News - October 28th, 2025 [October 28th, 2025]
- First Michigan Republican governor debate set for this week without John James - MLive.com - October 28th, 2025 [October 28th, 2025]
- Head of the Alamos historic site resigns after top Texas Republican criticized her views - PBS - October 26th, 2025 [October 26th, 2025]
- What one Texas Republican Congressman tells his constituents about the shutdown - NPR - October 26th, 2025 [October 26th, 2025]
- Rep. Carter Statement on the Republican Houses Failure to Uphold Constitutional Responsibilities - Representative Troy Carter | (.gov) - October 26th, 2025 [October 26th, 2025]
- Trump's redistricting push hits roadblocks in Indiana and Kansas as Republican lawmakers resist - The Pantagraph - October 26th, 2025 [October 26th, 2025]
- Republican members of Redistricting Commission are disrespecting Ohio voters | Letters - AOL.com - October 26th, 2025 [October 26th, 2025]
- Republican Minn. gov candidate blasts Tim Walz on election integrity: fraud capital of the country - New York Post - October 26th, 2025 [October 26th, 2025]
- The Republican Party's selective outrage - Daily Kos - October 26th, 2025 [October 26th, 2025]
- Zohran Mamdani Slams Trumps Republican Party: Only Agenda Is Cruelty and Punishment Towards Muslims and Minorities - Yahoo - October 26th, 2025 [October 26th, 2025]
- The CEO of the Alamo's historic site has resigned after a top Texas Republican criticized her - Yahoo - October 26th, 2025 [October 26th, 2025]
- Republican tensions rise over Kevin McCarthys faltering push to fight California redistricting - CNN - October 24th, 2025 [October 24th, 2025]
- The CEO of the Alamo's historic site has resigned after a top Texas Republican criticized her - ABC News - Breaking News, Latest News and Videos - October 24th, 2025 [October 24th, 2025]
- LEADER JEFFRIES: DONALD TRUMP AND REPUBLICAN POLICIES ARE MAKING LIFE TOO EXPENSIVE - Congressman Hakeem Jeffries (.gov) - October 24th, 2025 [October 24th, 2025]
- DAY 24 OF THE TRUMP-REPUBLICAN SHUTDOWN: Congresswoman Maxine Waters Shares Resources and Information for Consumers Impacted by the Shutdown - U.S.... - October 24th, 2025 [October 24th, 2025]
- Carter teams up with Miss. Republican in hopes of getting the NFIP renewed - fox8live.com - October 24th, 2025 [October 24th, 2025]
- Chairman Graves Joins House Republican Leadership and Secretary Duffy at Press Conference on the Government Shutdown - House Transportation and... - October 24th, 2025 [October 24th, 2025]
- Troy Carter teams up with Miss. Republican in hopes of getting the NFIP renewed - fox8live.com - October 24th, 2025 [October 24th, 2025]
- Republican Jack Ciattarelli hopes this is the year he declares victory in N.J. - CBS News - October 24th, 2025 [October 24th, 2025]
- The CEO of the Alamos historic site has resigned after a top Texas Republican criticized her - AccessWdun - October 24th, 2025 [October 24th, 2025]
- Jack Smith Agrees to Republican Demand to TestifyWith a Major Catch - The New Republic - October 24th, 2025 [October 24th, 2025]
- Trumps Attack Dog Wildly Smears Republican in White House Teardown Feud - The Daily Beast - October 24th, 2025 [October 24th, 2025]
- The New Republican Voice of Sanity Is Marjorie Taylor Greene? - The American Prospect - October 23rd, 2025 [October 23rd, 2025]
- LEADER JEFFRIES ON MSNBC: WE HAVE TO DECISIVELY ADDRESS THE REPUBLICAN HEALTHCARE CRISIS - Congressman Hakeem Jeffries (.gov) - October 23rd, 2025 [October 23rd, 2025]
- Video Republican Sen. James Lankford on East Wing construction: This is not bad timing - ABC News - Breaking News, Latest News and Videos - October 23rd, 2025 [October 23rd, 2025]
- A rare Trump-Republican rift over beef: From the Politics Desk - NBC News - October 23rd, 2025 [October 23rd, 2025]
- LEADER JEFFRIES: THE REPUBLICAN HEALTHCARE CRISIS GROWS WORSE BY THE DAY - Congressman Hakeem Jeffries (.gov) - October 23rd, 2025 [October 23rd, 2025]
- Trump nominee Paul Ingrassia withdraws after rare Republican pushback over text messages - Reuters - October 23rd, 2025 [October 23rd, 2025]
- Republican Rep. Jeff Hurd of Colorado talks about the ongoing shutdown - NPR - October 23rd, 2025 [October 23rd, 2025]
- DAY 21 OF THE TRUMP-REPUBLICAN SHUTDOWN: Crypto JUST Experienced a Major Meltdown. How is the Trump-Republican Shutdown Paving the Way for a Repeat? -... - October 23rd, 2025 [October 23rd, 2025]
- North Carolina gets Trump-backed election map aimed at gaining Republican seat - South China Morning Post - October 23rd, 2025 [October 23rd, 2025]
- They cant stop me: Republican bucks Burgum over owl-kill plan - E&E News by POLITICO - October 23rd, 2025 [October 23rd, 2025]
- Lastinger, Duncan head to runoff in Republican primary to replace ex-SC Rep. RJ May - WIS News 10 - October 23rd, 2025 [October 23rd, 2025]
- Trump hopes Putin will come through for him, says indicted Republican - The Times - October 23rd, 2025 [October 23rd, 2025]
- My Last Day as an Accomplice of the Republican Party - The Bulwark - October 21st, 2025 [October 21st, 2025]
- Republican Representative Says Democrats Hate the Military, Echoing Trumps Attacks - The New York Times - October 21st, 2025 [October 21st, 2025]
- DAY 20 OF THE TRUMP-REPUBLICAN SHUTDOWN: What is the Trump Administration Doing During the Government Shutdown? Plotting on How to Make Wall Street... - October 21st, 2025 [October 21st, 2025]
- Some Republican Senators Entertain Nuking the Filibuster to End the Shutdown - NOTUS News of the United States - October 21st, 2025 [October 21st, 2025]
- Small business owner Will Martin enters Republican primary for lieutenant governor - Wisconsin Examiner - October 21st, 2025 [October 21st, 2025]
- LEADER JEFFRIES: EVERY DAY THAT PASSES BY WITHOUT ACTION, THE REPUBLICAN HEALTHCARE CRISIS GETS EVEN WORSE Congressman Hakeem Jeffries - Congressman... - October 21st, 2025 [October 21st, 2025]
- Members of District 42 Republican Party submit signatures to force special election - Grand Forks Herald - October 21st, 2025 [October 21st, 2025]
- Republican Rep Says There Is a King in America, Actually - The New Republic - October 21st, 2025 [October 21st, 2025]
- Republican Gina Swoboda a force in Arizona GOP politics - azcentral.com and The Arizona Republic - October 21st, 2025 [October 21st, 2025]
- Report: Aide who died in fire was having an affair with Republican congressman - Augusta Free Press - October 21st, 2025 [October 21st, 2025]
- House Republican campaign committee nets record-shattering fundraising haul in third quarter - Washington Times - October 21st, 2025 [October 21st, 2025]
- Opinion | From Buckley to MAGA: The moral decay of the Republican Party - Alabama Political Reporter - October 21st, 2025 [October 21st, 2025]
- GOP lawmaker claims his and other Republican offices have been targeted with flags depicting vile symbol - CNN - October 19th, 2025 [October 19th, 2025]
- All eyes are on Trump after no Republican emerges as the frontrunner in Georgias U.S. Senate race - Georgia Recorder - October 19th, 2025 [October 19th, 2025]
- Donald Trump Says Republican Must Be Thrown Out of Congress ASAP - Newsweek - October 19th, 2025 [October 19th, 2025]
- Inside the Republican network behind big sodas bid to pit Maga against Maha - The Guardian - October 19th, 2025 [October 19th, 2025]
- Opinion | Happy birthday to an old Democrat, from this Republican - thegazette.com - October 19th, 2025 [October 19th, 2025]
- Republican Frustration With Kristi Noem Has Reached a Boiling Point - NOTUS News of the United States - October 19th, 2025 [October 19th, 2025]
- Mahoning County Republican Party calls for resignation of clerk of courts - WKBN.com - October 19th, 2025 [October 19th, 2025]