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Sen Rand Paul (R-Ky) speaks at a campaign event for North Carolina Republican Senate hopeful Greg Brannon in Charlotte, N.C., Monday, May 5, 2014. The struggle for control of the Republican Party gets an early voter test in North Carolina, where GOP leaders Mitt Romney and Rand Paul push candidates competing for the right challenge Democratic Sen. Kay Hagan in the November midterm elections.

CHUCK BURTON AP Photo

It looks as if Rand Paul is about to escape a nasty primary that could have hurt his presidential ambitions, but there could be another one just down the road.

And Paul isn't on the ballot in either one.

If, as expected, U.S. Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell handily wins his primary against Matt Bevin on May 20, Paul will have survived, relatively unscathed, a race that had the potential to force Kentucky's junior senator to choose between the Tea Party and the Republican establishment.

Since Bevin has yet to materialize as a serious threat to McConnell, Paul's endorsement of the senior senator has created only marginal blowback from the Tea Party faithful.

He might not get so lucky in the 2015 GOP primary for governor.

Over the weekend, Paul attended the Kentucky Derby and a fundraiser Sunday in Bowling Green with Cathy Bailey of Louisville, a former ambassador to Latvia and potential candidate for governor.

Bailey told the Herald-Leader in December she was "seriously considering" running for governor.

For those who spent this nightmare of a winter understandably hiding under a rock, Agriculture Commissioner James Comer, who is in many ways Paul's political godson, is very likely to run for governor.

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Political Paddock: Rand Paul's 2015 could get very complicated