GOP Primary Primer: most interesting races to watch in Florida – The Capitolist
With less than one week to the Florida primaries, several campaigns across the state are entering do-or-die mode, hoping to see the fruits of their labor pay off with a big victory that will catapult them into the general election this November. The losers go home empty-handed.
While several races are on the table next week, only a handful are worth noting, as many of the outcomes are essentially already decided. Heres a look at the most hotly contested and/or more interesting races of the 2020 primary cycle:
Candidates: Judson Sapp, Kat Cammack, Gavin Rollins, Ryan Chamberlin, Todd Chase, Joe Millado, James St. George, Bill Engelbrecht, David Theus, Amy Pope Wells
A crowded Republican field is an understatement.
With Congressman Ted Yoho honoring his initial pledge to step down after serving 8 years in the House, CD 3 is up for grabs, with 10 Republicans staking their claims for the red meat seat.
But not all GOP candidates are created equal
In a WPA Intelligence poll conducted in June, Sapp led with 12 percent support among Republican primary voters. Cammack, a businesswoman and former deputy chief of staff for Yoho, followed in that poll closely with 10 percent support. All other candidates registered in the single digits. But primary polls in wide-open races are virtually worthless so early in the contest, and the race remains wide open for several candidates.
The most recent poll conducted this week by Meer Research saw a reverse in the top two spots, with Cammack receiving 25 percent support putting her 10 points ahead of Sapp. Meanwhile, St. George garnered 13 percent support, while Rollins secured 11 percent.
Both Cammack and Sapp have also dominated in the area of endorsements, with the Sapp camp being backed by several big names like political aide Roger Stone, Turning Point USA founder Charlie Kirk, Florida Congressman Matt Gaetz and NRA spokeswoman Dana Loesch, with Cammack drawing support from U.S. Senator Rand Paul, We Build the Wall founder Brian Kolfage and several mayors across Florida.
While its still too early to call, it looks like Sapp and Cammack are the front-runners heading into Tuesday.
Candidates: Byron Donalds, Dane Eagle, Casey Askar, Darren Aquino, William Figlesthaler, Randy Henderson, Daniel Kowal, Christy McLaughlin, and Dan Severson
From one of the most crowded fields to one of the nastiest, the battle for CD 19 continues to be one of the most hotly contested races in the state.
While full of potential of successors to replace Congressman Francis Rooney, the primary is currently a competitive four-way race between Donalds, Eagle, Figlesthaler, and Askar. Several polls have been conducted of the past few weeks, with the four front-runners each touting a preliminary victory. In the most recent poll, Donalds edged out the competition, receiving 22 percent support. Figlesthaler came in second with 21 percent, while Eagle and Askar netted 20 percent and 16 percent of those polled.
The race for CD 19 has also proved to be one of the most expensive Republican primary races in the 2020 election cycle. Donalds, especially, has raked in a lot of cash, sitting on over $300,000. More importantly, the Naples lawmaker has The Club for Growth backing his candidacy with over $1.5 million in TV and print advertising quite possibly making him the clear favorite. Meanwhile, Askar continues to hold a strong cash lead over the field, reporting over $900,000 on hand at the end of July. Eagle and Figlesthaler have netted $250,217 and $240,611 respectively.
Unfortunately, the tight race has been marred with mudslinging, with Club for Growth labeling Askar as a Mitt Romney Republican, leading Askar to take shots at Donalds, attempting to discredit his campaign by accusing Donalds of supporting President Barack Obama allegations which have yet to be substantiated.
Askar has also gone after Donalds past, pointing to the representatives arrest record something Donalds has been open about.
Also something worth mentioning: Donalds was publicly praised by Trump at the Step Presidential Justice Forum last October something that could pay dividends on election day.
Heated with razor-thin margins, this Republican primary will be a must-watch on election night.
Candidates: Ray Rodrigues and Heather Fitzenhagen
This may be a primary race, but given their opposing stances on crucial issues, youd think this was a general election.
Another fiery contest, Fitzenhagen will look to take her 8 years of experience in the Florida House and bring it to the State Senate. Unfortunately for her, shes facing a viable candidate with a proven conservative record.
Unlike Rodrigues, Fitzenhagens lukewarm conservative principles are a black eye on her candidacy. While the former Morgan & Morgan lawyer tries to smear Rodrigues with his connections to the sugar industry and tout herself as a Trump Republican, her record on gun control and abortion says otherwise.
Fitzenhagen famously voted for a massive gun control measure in 2018, leading her to draw the ire of National Rifle Association (NRA) lobbyist Marion Hammer. The vote resulted in the state representative getting raked over the coals by Hammer, who accused Fitzenhagen of stabbing Republicans in the back by pledging support for anti-gun Democrat Gary Farmer.
Fitzenhagen also has a shaky record when it comes to the life of the unborn. During the 2020 Legislative Session, she cast one of the few Republican votes against a parental consent bill that requires girls under the age of 18 to get a parents permission before having an abortion while Rodrigues voted for the bill.
The vote did little to add credibility to the conservative label she hijacked, and even resulted in Floridas top evangelical activist, John Stemberger, labeling Fitzenhagen as the most pro-abortion Republican in the Florida House.
While early polling saw Rodrigues and Fitzenhagen trade victories, most recently, the Estero lawmaker has dominated his Fort Myers colleague polling 22 points ahead of the moderate.
Rodrigues also has the support of incoming Senate President Wilton Simpson and has outspent Fitzenhagen nearly six times the amount of her expenditures.
Barring some unforeseen collapse, Rodrigues should walk away with an easy victory.
Candidates: Jenna Persons, Roger Lolly, and Charlie Lynch
Another example of a candidate with an identity crisis, Lolly is only leasing the Republican title.
Last year, Lolly took home more than $187,000 in salary from his Fort Myers based If I Can Dream Foundation (IICDF). The issue: the foundation entirely funded by tax dollars through a state contract. Now, he is asking Republican voters in the South Florida district to nominate him to replace Fitzenhagen.
On paper, hes a solid, pro-life conservative. But the controversy surrounding his lavish salary far larger than what most organizations of the same size actually pay may be the coup de grce to his campaign. The high salary issue is made even more relevant because it is Lollys only source of income, and in January of this year he loaned his campaign $115,000 in cash.
While neither Persons, Lolly, or Lynch has held public office, Persons has proven to be a natural in the political arena. To date, the Fort Myers lawyer has raised over $250,000 and spent close to $247,500.
Meanwhile, polling has pegged Persons as the front-runner for the seat, with the Fort Myers native garnering over 40% of 232 likely Republican voters.
Related
More here:
GOP Primary Primer: most interesting races to watch in Florida - The Capitolist
- Rand Paul Releases Festivus Report Detailing $1.6 Trillion in Government Waste - Focus on the Family - December 27th, 2025 [December 27th, 2025]
- Cocaine Dogs and Safe Space Ambassadors: Rand Paul Highlights Wild Government Waste in Annual Festivus Report - National Review - December 25th, 2025 [December 25th, 2025]
- Rand Paul's 'Festivus Report' calls out cocaine dogs, COVID influencers and a mountain of debt - Fox News - December 25th, 2025 [December 25th, 2025]
- Who Are They Protecting? Rand Paul Swipes at Trump DOJ Over Epstein Files in Airing of Grievances - Yahoo - December 25th, 2025 [December 25th, 2025]
- Senator Rand Paul urges full Epstein file release to restore trust in government - WHAS11 - December 25th, 2025 [December 25th, 2025]
- Rep. Hakeem Jeffries, Sen. Rand Paul & Charlamagne Tha God, Sunday on This Week with Co-anchor Jonathan Karl - ABC News - December 25th, 2025 [December 25th, 2025]
- Rand Paul Slams Slams Trump Admin's Seizure Of Tankers Off Venezuela: 'A Provocation And a Prelude To War' - Latin Times - December 25th, 2025 [December 25th, 2025]
- Tis The Season: Rand Paul's 'Festivus' Report - RealClearPolicy - December 25th, 2025 [December 25th, 2025]
- Sen. Rand Paul does not want Vice President J.D. Vance to be the next president - Washington Times - December 25th, 2025 [December 25th, 2025]
- Rand Paul's 'Festivus' report calls out cocaine dogs, COVID influencers and a mountain of debt - FOX 8 TV - December 25th, 2025 [December 25th, 2025]
- Rand Paul Set To Join Dems To Force Trump To Go Through Congress If He Wants To Declare War Against Venezuela - Latin Times - December 2nd, 2025 [December 2nd, 2025]
- Nancy Maces Political Consultant Resigns Over Her Closeness With Rand Paul, Thomas Massie, Saying Trump Should Not Endorse Her - The New York Sun - December 2nd, 2025 [December 2nd, 2025]
- Trump touts GOP unity while slamming Marjorie Taylor Greene, Thomas Massie and Rand Paul - New York Post - November 24th, 2025 [November 24th, 2025]
- Sen. Rand Paul says he has been given "zero, not one briefing" about Venezuelan actions - CBS News - November 24th, 2025 [November 24th, 2025]
- Trump online threats, posture toward Venezuela posture draw criticism from Sen. Rand Paul - WUKY - November 24th, 2025 [November 24th, 2025]
- Rand Paul Again Slams Trump Admin Over Campaign Against Venezuela: 'If It's War, Declare It' - Latin Times - November 24th, 2025 [November 24th, 2025]
- Senator Rand Paul weighs in on Kentucky hemp, effects of the government shutdown and the improvements of it - WDRB - November 23rd, 2025 [November 23rd, 2025]
- 'His Movement Will Dissolve': Rand Paul Warns Trump That 1 Decision Could Ruin Him - Yahoo - November 23rd, 2025 [November 23rd, 2025]
- Rand Paul Slams Alcohol And Marijuana Interests Over Federal Hemp Ban, Announcing He'll File A Bill To Reverse It Next Week - Marijuana Moment - November 23rd, 2025 [November 23rd, 2025]
- 'His Movement Will Dissolve': Rand Paul Warns Trump That 1 Decision Could Ruin Him - HuffPost - November 23rd, 2025 [November 23rd, 2025]
- Rand Paul Eyes Returning Hemp Policy To The States - Law360 - November 23rd, 2025 [November 23rd, 2025]
- 'The nanny state' | Sen. Rand Paul pitches restoring power to the states to regulate hemp - WHAS11 - November 23rd, 2025 [November 23rd, 2025]
- Rand Paul: Congress Is 'Afraid of the President' - Reason Magazine - November 23rd, 2025 [November 23rd, 2025]
- Rand Paul doubts there will be Earth-shattering details in Epstein files | CUOMO - Yahoo - November 23rd, 2025 [November 23rd, 2025]
- Rand Paul Slams Strikes Against Alleged Drug Vessels, Claims It's Unclear Whether They Are Heading To The U.S. - Latin Times - November 23rd, 2025 [November 23rd, 2025]
- Rand Paul Slams GOP's Shift From Fiscal Conservatism: They Voted To Add '$5 Trillion' To The Debt Ceiling Calls It 'Decimation' - Intel (NASDAQ:INTC)... - November 23rd, 2025 [November 23rd, 2025]
- Rand Paul: The government is open, but a hemp industry shutdown has just begun | Opinion - The Courier-Journal - November 14th, 2025 [November 14th, 2025]
- Rand Paul warns McConnell-backed provision will regulate hemp industry to death - LINK nky - November 14th, 2025 [November 14th, 2025]
- Rand Paul warns McConnell-backed provision will regulate hemp industry to death - the-messenger.com - November 14th, 2025 [November 14th, 2025]
- Senator Rand Paul threatens to delay government reopening over hemp language - The Independent - November 11th, 2025 [November 11th, 2025]
- Black Tie CBD Stands with Senator Rand Paul to Defend the Future of Legal Hemp and THCA Products - Reuters - November 11th, 2025 [November 11th, 2025]
- Rand Paul wants hemp vote to speed up shutdown endgame - Politico - November 11th, 2025 [November 11th, 2025]
- Republican Senator Uses Trump Post to Dunk on Rand Paul: Common Sense Is Illegal - Yahoo - November 11th, 2025 [November 11th, 2025]
- Rand Paul demands vote on hemp amendment before proceeding with tally to open government - Washington Examiner - November 11th, 2025 [November 11th, 2025]
- Itll take them 5 days': Rand Paul could be obstacle to quickly ending shutdown - Politico - November 10th, 2025 [November 10th, 2025]
- Republican Senator Uses Trump Post to Dunk on Rand Paul: Common Sense Is Illegal - Mediaite - November 10th, 2025 [November 10th, 2025]
- Trump Drags Rand Paul for Blocking Bill to Withhold Pay From Senators: He Wanted to Be Paid! - Yahoo - November 10th, 2025 [November 10th, 2025]
- U.S. Sen. Rand Paul hopeful ongoing discussions will end government shutdown - WCHS - November 10th, 2025 [November 10th, 2025]
- RAND PAUL: THE SWAMP SMILES FOR EVERY CONCESSION MADE BY THE GOP "Tonight the process of opening the govt begins. Less chaos is a good thing but... - November 10th, 2025 [November 10th, 2025]
- Rand Paul Again Warns Against Regime In Venezuela: 'Risks Empowering The Very Cartels We Are Trying To Defeat' - Latin Times - November 10th, 2025 [November 10th, 2025]
- Rep. Thomas Massie announces marriage to former staffer of Sen. Rand Paul - WLWT - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]
- Senators Tim Kaine and Rand Paul on Tariffs and U.S. Trade - C-SPAN - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]
- Rep. Thomas Massie announces his marriage to former staffer of Rand Paul - WAVE News - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]
- Rep. Thomas Massie marries ex-Rand Paul staffer a year after wifes death: Of course we served raw milk! - New York Post - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]
- Sen. Rand Paul blasts health care subsidies for rich people as shutdown drags on - Fox Business - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]
- Civilized People Dont Do This! Rand Paul Torches Trumps Insane Strikes on Alleged Drug Boats - Yahoo - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]
- Opinion - Bill Straub: Rand Paul shows backbone in recent efforts to kill Trump's damaging tariff policy - NKyTribune - November 3rd, 2025 [November 3rd, 2025]
- Kentucky Senator Rand Paul urges compromise to open government - WAVE News - October 30th, 2025 [October 30th, 2025]
- Rand Paul Takes to Fox News Sunday to Condemn Trump Over Shutdown Gridlock, Extrajudicial Killings On Suspected Drug Boats - Yahoo - October 30th, 2025 [October 30th, 2025]
- How Rand Paul says Congress can work together to end government shutdown - The Courier-Journal - October 28th, 2025 [October 28th, 2025]
- PolitiFact FL: Is Rand Paul right 25% of Coast Guard searches of suspected drug boats come up empty? - WLRN - October 28th, 2025 [October 28th, 2025]
- Sen. Rand Paul calls for immediate action to pay federal employees and end shutdown - LEX18 - October 28th, 2025 [October 28th, 2025]
- US warships in Caribbean, Rand Paul reaction - WPSD Local 6 - October 28th, 2025 [October 28th, 2025]
- Rand Paul Pitches Novel Shutdown-Solving Idea to Trump - NOTUS News of the United States - October 28th, 2025 [October 28th, 2025]
- GOP Sen. Rand Paul Again Slams Trump Admin Over Strikes Off Venezuelan Coast: 'Akin To What China, Iran Do' - Latin Times - October 28th, 2025 [October 28th, 2025]
- 'They are afraid': Rand Paul thrashes fellow Republicans for not having the 'guts' to stand up against Trump in fear of being ostracized - The Mary... - October 28th, 2025 [October 28th, 2025]
- Rand Paul: "In the one instance you're killed on sight. On the other instance, if you're captured, we just say, 'Oh well, we're gonna send you... - October 26th, 2025 [October 26th, 2025]
- Rand Paul Says 20 GOP Senators Are Grumbling Over Trump Policy But Dont Have the Guts to Criticize the President - Yahoo - October 26th, 2025 [October 26th, 2025]
- Recipe for Chaos: Rand Paul Piles on More Harsh Trump Criticism After Being Called Nasty Liddle Guy - Yahoo - October 26th, 2025 [October 26th, 2025]
- Colin McEnroe (opinion): Chasing unity with Rand Paul and Aaron Rodgers - CT Insider - October 26th, 2025 [October 26th, 2025]
- SEN. RAND PAUL: TRUMP IS CARRYING OUT SUMMARY EXECUTIONS OF VENEZUELANS "I would call them extrajudicial killings. This is akin to what China... - October 26th, 2025 [October 26th, 2025]
- Rand Paul on Trump's strikes on boats: "I would call them extrajudicial killings. This is akin to what China does, what Iran does with drug... - October 26th, 2025 [October 26th, 2025]
- Rand Paul Trashes Republicans for Always Caving to Trump - The New Republic - October 24th, 2025 [October 24th, 2025]
- Rand Paul: Trump could see all hell break loose with further involvement in Ukraine, Venezuela - Yahoo - October 24th, 2025 [October 24th, 2025]
- GOP Senator Rand Paul Cut From Fancy White House Lunch for Voting Against Trump - The Daily Beast - October 24th, 2025 [October 24th, 2025]
- Rand Paul pokes back at Trump after snub from White House reception - USA Today - October 23rd, 2025 [October 23rd, 2025]
- Rand Paul says he was not invited to Rose Garden lunch - Politico - October 23rd, 2025 [October 23rd, 2025]
- Rand Paul Slams Trump Admin For Strikes On Alleged Drug Boats: 'It's Summary Execution!' - HuffPost - October 23rd, 2025 [October 23rd, 2025]
- Rand Paul Again Slams Trump Over Strikes On Alleged Drug Boats Off Venezuela: 'A Lot Of Reasons To Be Worried' - Latin Times - October 23rd, 2025 [October 23rd, 2025]
- Sen. Rand Paul says he was not invited to Republican luncheon - WNKY - October 23rd, 2025 [October 23rd, 2025]
- Sen. Rand Paul to Newsmax: Persistent Critic of Overspending - KABC-AM - October 23rd, 2025 [October 23rd, 2025]
- Rand Paul visits Johnson County to talk Eastern Kentucky tourism - Mountain Top Media - October 23rd, 2025 [October 23rd, 2025]
- Rand Paul: 'All of these people have been blown up without us knowing their name' - Politico - October 21st, 2025 [October 21st, 2025]
- Kentucky Sen. Rand Paul explains why he is voting against spending bill - WDRB - October 21st, 2025 [October 21st, 2025]
- Rand Paul responds to Trump post calling him a 'nasty' guy. What he said on 'Meet the Press' - The Courier-Journal - October 21st, 2025 [October 21st, 2025]
- Rand Paul Awkwardly Confronted About Trump Calling Him a Nasty Liddle Guy - Yahoo - October 21st, 2025 [October 21st, 2025]
- Rand Paul Thought He Could Get Away with Bucking Trump. He Was Wrong. - NOTUS News of the United States - October 21st, 2025 [October 21st, 2025]
- Rand Paul Responds Humbly to Trump Calling Him 'Nasty Little Guy': 'Still One of His Best Supporters' | Video - TheWrap - October 21st, 2025 [October 21st, 2025]
- Rand Paul Again Slams Trump Over Military Pressure On Venezuela: 'Regime Change Isn't Always What You Expect' - Latin Times - October 21st, 2025 [October 21st, 2025]
- Donald Trump posted a vicious attack on Rand Paul, but it hasnt scared the loyal senator away. - Yahoo - October 21st, 2025 [October 21st, 2025]