Here are six reasons to be optimistic about 2020 – CNBC
Eiffel Tower fireworks.
Fred Dufour | AFP | Getty Images
T'is the season to be gloomy, when the world's prognosticators provide their competing lists of the coming year's top risks. And there are plenty of candidates, from Iran to North Korea, and from American elections to global warming.
Acting on the advice of Winston Churchill, I'll instead close my year on a more hopeful note. "A pessimist sees the difficulty in every opportunity, an optimist sees the opportunity in every difficulty," Churchill famously said. He declared himself an optimist as "it does not seem to be much use to be anything else."
With that in mind, here are six sources of optimism for 2020:
We've never had it so good.
Global well-being has hit its highest level ever, or so says the recently released Legatum Prosperity Index. In the past decade, prosperity has improved in 148 countries and declined in only 19 of the 167 countries Legatum surveys, making up more than 99% of the world's population.
This improvement reaches from health-care systems and adult education, and from the delivery of basic services to more widespread financial security.
According to World Bank figures, more than a billion people have moved out of extreme poverty since 1990, leaving the share of population at that level at 10 % which, though still troubling, is the lowest since such figures have been recorded.
The Economist picks a "country of the year" each December, and it is telling that this year Uzbekistan was its most-improved land. What one is seeing are fruits of Prime Minister Shavkat Mirziyoyev's leadership after the Uzbek despot Islam Karimov died in 2016.
Until his death, the regime was "a closed society run with exceptional brutality and incompetence," writes the Economist. "It's regime allegedly boiled dissidents alive, and certainly forced legions of men, women and children to toil in the cotton fields."
After firing the head of his security services in 2018, Mirziyoyev's reforms accelerated this year. They largely ended forced labor, shut down Uzbekistan's most notorious prison, opened the country to foreign journalists and stopped bureaucrats from bullying small businesses for bribes.
The Economist's runner up was Sudan, another country that in 2019 took a giant step from despotism when mass protests led to the removal of "one of the world's vilest tyrants," Omar al-Bashir. The Atlantic Council this month hosted Prime Minister Abdalla Hamdok, who represented a power-sharing government that has promised elections in three years.
Although there is justifiable concern about growing inequalities within countries both in the developing and less developed world less attention has been paid to the more positive trend that global inequality among countries has been declining for several decades. For the first time since the Industrial Revolution, about half of the global population can be considered middle class.
Beyond that, about half of the world's population now lives in democracies, a far cry from most of human history during which the vast majority lived under non-democratic regimes. Of those still living in autocracies, some 90% are in China. The conventional wisdom is that China is growing even more authoritarian, and hence it is inspiring others.
That said, protests in Hong Kong and upcoming elections in Taiwan suggest otherwise. Protests in the Middle East in Iran, Iraq and Lebanon also are aimed at corrupt and sectarian governments and could be a force for democratic change.
Watch this space in 2020.
With the United Kingdom leaving the European Union next year, the continent's doomsayers are at it again (sometimes including me). What they forget is that there has been no war or conflict in Western Europe in some three generations, in no small part due to the European Union's creation and the peace between France and Germany that accompanied it.
Long may that last.
And for all the concern about growing tensions between China and the United States, neither country wants a war. Global history since 1500 shows that the world's two leading powers have been at war more than half the time, but the period since World War II has been historically peaceful. It will take increased attention to keep it that way.
Quoting Steven Pinker's book Enlightenment Now, Bill Gates writes that the global average IQ score is rising by about 3IQ points every decade. "Kids' brains are developing more fully thanks to improved nutrition and a cleaner environment," he writes, crediting Pinker.
"Think about how many symbols you interpret every time you check your phone's home screen or look at a subway map," writes Gates. "Our world today encourages abstract thought from a young age, and it's making us smarter."
Elsewhere, Gates notes that while a century ago it was legal to be gay in only 20 countries, today that's true in more than 100. Legatum's survey showed that residents of 11 countries expressed more tolerance than they did a decade previously, particularly regarding the LGBT community (but that at the same time restrictions on freedoms to speak, assemble and associate have deteriorated in 122 countries.)
In parallel, women are gaining political power in leaps and bounds, now making up more than a fifth of members of national parliaments. The world listens in unprecedented manner when women raise complaints about discrimination and sexual assault.
Okay, there's a lot about Artificial Intelligence that is scary. It could empower tyrants, threaten jobs and entrench bias. At the same time, history is awash with examples that technological change has brought more progress than perils. Advanced technologies could improve health care and even address climate change.
Writing for the World Economic Forum, Jeremy O'Brien says quantum computing could help beat climate change through simulations that could uncover new catalysts for carbon capture that are cheaper and more efficient than current models. "A catalyst for 'scrubbing' carbon dioxide directly from the atmosphere could be a powerful tool in tackling climate change," he writes.
It's tempting to write some balancing lines here about why 2020 will be a particularly shock-prone year. Let's save that for the New Year. After all, it is the optimists who are best equipped to find solutions to global problems because they believe they can.
"Choose to be optimistic, it feels better," said the Dalai Lama.
Happy holidays.
Frederick Kempe is a best-selling author, prize-winning journalist and president & CEO of the Atlantic Council, one of the United States' most influential think tanks on global affairs. He worked at The Wall Street Journal for more than 25 years as a foreign correspondent, assistant managing editor and as the longest-serving editor of the paper's European edition. His latest book "Berlin 1961: Kennedy, Khrushchev, and the Most Dangerous Place on Earth" was a New York Times best-seller and has been published in more than a dozen languages. Follow him on Twitter @FredKempe and subscribe here to Inflection Points, his look each Saturday at the past week's top stories and trends.
For more insight from CNBC contributors, follow @CNBCopinion on Twitter.
More:
Here are six reasons to be optimistic about 2020 - CNBC
- [Key Points on NY Stocks] IBM sold off on quantum computing-related news; energy sector remains strong (as of the 3rd) - Moomoo - June 5th, 2026 [June 5th, 2026]
- Citi Sees IBM Strengthening its Position in the Emerging Quantum Computing Market - Yahoo Finance - June 5th, 2026 [June 5th, 2026]
- D-Wave CEO Says Quantum Computing Is Moving Into Daily Business Operations After $10 Million Deal With Fo - Benzinga - June 5th, 2026 [June 5th, 2026]
- Quantum Computing: Hype or the Real Deal? - Investing.com - June 5th, 2026 [June 5th, 2026]
- Classiq and UC Chile Form Latin Americas First Quantum Pathology Consortium - Quantum Computing Report - June 5th, 2026 [June 5th, 2026]
- IBM Commits More Than $10 Billion to Quantum Computing, Funding Its Roadmap from Today's Leading Systems to the World's First Fault-Tolerant Quantum... - June 5th, 2026 [June 5th, 2026]
- IonQ is the First Pure-Play Quantum Computing Company To Generate Over $100 Million in Revenue. Is the Stock Headed to $100? - Yahoo Finance - June 5th, 2026 [June 5th, 2026]
- Hitachi and Intel Expand Partnership Across Physical AI, Quantum Computing and Energy Systems - HPCwire - June 5th, 2026 [June 5th, 2026]
- Room-Temperature Quantum Computing? A Superlattice Breakthrough Could Be Poised to Help Supercharge Information Science - The Debrief - June 5th, 2026 [June 5th, 2026]
- Quantinuum raises $1.68 billion in IPO that seeks to give quantum computing more street cred - MarketWatch - June 5th, 2026 [June 5th, 2026]
- IonQ is the First Pure-Play Quantum Computing Company To Generate Over $100 Million in Revenue. Is the Stock Headed to $100? - The Motley Fool - June 5th, 2026 [June 5th, 2026]
- Quantum computing stocks tumble ahead of Quantinuum IPO - Seeking Alpha - June 5th, 2026 [June 5th, 2026]
- IQM, a Global Leader in Quantum Computing, and Real Asset Acquisition Corp. Announce Upsized USD 146 million PIPE with New Commitment from Ilmarinen -... - June 5th, 2026 [June 5th, 2026]
- Assessing Whether IonQ (IONQ) Shares Look Overvalued After Recent Quantum Computing Optimism - simplywall.st - June 5th, 2026 [June 5th, 2026]
- Report: Quantum Computing Could Unlock More Than 100 Million in Value - The Quantum Insider - June 5th, 2026 [June 5th, 2026]
- IBM Might Be The First To Commercialize Quantum Computing, But At What Cost? - bgr.com - June 5th, 2026 [June 5th, 2026]
- D-Wave Unveils Fault-Tolerant Quantum Computing Plan: What's Ahead? - The Globe and Mail - June 5th, 2026 [June 5th, 2026]
- Quantum Computing: Hype Or The Real Deal? - Real Investment Advice - June 5th, 2026 [June 5th, 2026]
- Quantum Computing Has 53 Companies and a $19T Market Cap? - Moomoo - June 5th, 2026 [June 5th, 2026]
- Quantinuum IPO: QNT stock is listing on the Nasdaq today in a closely watched quantum computing debut - Fast Company - June 5th, 2026 [June 5th, 2026]
- Quantum computing could transform energy grid optimization and security - Tech Xplore - May 29th, 2026 [May 29th, 2026]
- Quantum Computing: The Next AI Boom? - Yahoo Finance - May 29th, 2026 [May 29th, 2026]
- Indian Institute of Science and Yaqumo Form Strategic Coalition to Deepen Indo-Japanese Neutral-Atom Quantum Hardware R&D - Quantum Computing Report - May 29th, 2026 [May 29th, 2026]
- Top Quantum Computing Jobs and Salaries in 2026 - The Quantum Insider - May 29th, 2026 [May 29th, 2026]
- Quantonation Selects Neutral-Atom Hardware Developer Yaqumo for First Japanese Investment - Quantum Computing Report - May 29th, 2026 [May 29th, 2026]
- IonQ Stock (IONQ) Opinions on Quantum Computing Momentum and Acquisition Plans - Quiver Quantitative - May 29th, 2026 [May 29th, 2026]
- The U.S. Government Just Invested in These 3 Quantum Computing Stocks. Should Retail Investors Follow Suit? - The Motley Fool - May 29th, 2026 [May 29th, 2026]
- Quantum Computing Is Approaching Its ChatGPT Moment: New Game by Moth Proves Its Closer than You Expected. - The Quantum Insider - May 29th, 2026 [May 29th, 2026]
- Quantum Computing Stocks IonQ, Rigetti Computing, and D-Wave Quantum Are Sending Shockwaves Through Wall Street With This $931 Million Warning - The... - May 29th, 2026 [May 29th, 2026]
- Quantum research points to future energy and computing technologies - University of California, Riverside - May 29th, 2026 [May 29th, 2026]
- Beyond a Single Quantum Chip: Why the Future of Quantum Computing is Modular - Quantum Computing Report - May 29th, 2026 [May 29th, 2026]
- Forget IonQ: This New Quantum Computing IPO Could Be This Year's Dark Horse - Yahoo Finance - May 29th, 2026 [May 29th, 2026]
- Quantum computing has reached its "fab moment". Who will benefit first? - 36 - May 29th, 2026 [May 29th, 2026]
- The U.S. Government Just Bet $2 Billion on 9 Quantum Computing Companies. Here's What It Means for Investors. - Yahoo Finance - May 29th, 2026 [May 29th, 2026]
- Healey debuts quantum computing hub at MIT to capture future market - The Boston Globe - May 29th, 2026 [May 29th, 2026]
- IBM rallies after committing to spend $10 billion to pursue the holy grail of quantum computing - Sherwood News - May 29th, 2026 [May 29th, 2026]
- Rigetti Computing vs. Quantum Computing: Which Quantum Tech Stock Is a Better Buy in 2026? - The Motley Fool - May 27th, 2026 [May 27th, 2026]
- The Conversation Nobody Is Having About Quantum Computing -- and the Stock at the Center of It - The Motley Fool - May 27th, 2026 [May 27th, 2026]
- QuantumCT, UConn, and Yale Launch Industry-Aligned Phase 2 Pilot Projects to Accelerate Applied Research - Quantum Computing Report - May 27th, 2026 [May 27th, 2026]
- D-Wave Quantum vs. IonQ: Which Quantum Computing Stock Is a Better Buy in 2026? - The Motley Fool - May 27th, 2026 [May 27th, 2026]
- The U.S. Government Is Investing $2 Billion in the Quantum Computing Space, But Did It Miss the Best Stock to Buy? - Yahoo Finance - May 27th, 2026 [May 27th, 2026]
- 2 Quantum Computing Stocks That Are Further Along Than Anyone Is Giving Them Credit For - The Motley Fool - May 27th, 2026 [May 27th, 2026]
- Forget SpaceX: The Next Red-Hot IPO Is Here and Its a Quantum Computing Stock - Yahoo Finance - May 27th, 2026 [May 27th, 2026]
- The U.S. Government Just Bet $2 Billion on 9 Quantum Computing Companies. Here's What It Means for Investors. - The Motley Fool - May 27th, 2026 [May 27th, 2026]
- IBM and federal government in $2B deal for building quantum computing wafers - Westfair Communications - May 27th, 2026 [May 27th, 2026]
- Quantinuum targets $12.7B valuation in US IPO, betting investors will pay 400x revenue for quantum computing - Crypto Briefing - May 27th, 2026 [May 27th, 2026]
- The Conversation Nobody Is Having About Quantum Computing -- and the Stock at the Center of It - AOL.com - May 27th, 2026 [May 27th, 2026]
- Forget IonQ: This New Quantum Computing IPO Could Be This Year's Dark Horse - The Motley Fool - May 27th, 2026 [May 27th, 2026]
- This Is the Quantum Computing Stock I'd Buy Before Any Other Right Now - The Motley Fool - May 27th, 2026 [May 27th, 2026]
- D-Wave Quantum vs. IonQ: Which Quantum Computing Stock Is a Better Buy in 2026? - The Globe and Mail - May 27th, 2026 [May 27th, 2026]
- Biggest Quantum Computing IPO Ever Is Here. Quantinuum Valued at Nearly 13 Billion Gets US Government Investment; Will It Become the Next 10-Bagger? -... - May 27th, 2026 [May 27th, 2026]
- This Is the Quantum Computing Stock I'd Buy Before Any Other Right Now - Yahoo Finance - May 27th, 2026 [May 27th, 2026]
- D-Wave secures second-year funding for superconducting quantum computing project (QBTS) - Yahoo Finance - May 27th, 2026 [May 27th, 2026]
- Forget IonQ: This New Quantum Computing IPO Could Be This Year's Dark Horse - AOL.com - May 27th, 2026 [May 27th, 2026]
- Quantum Computing Is Getting a $2 Billion Boost. Banks See a Growing Cyber Threat. - Barron's - May 22nd, 2026 [May 22nd, 2026]
- US Government Makes $2 Billion Bet on Quantum Computing as Threat to Bitcoin Grows - Yahoo Finance - May 22nd, 2026 [May 22nd, 2026]
- Quantum computing CEOs hope validating government backing proves their technology is no longer speculative - Sherwood News - May 22nd, 2026 [May 22nd, 2026]
- Department of Commerce Announces Letters of Intent With 9 Companies for $2 Billion to Accelerate U.S. Leadership in Quantum Computing - National... - May 22nd, 2026 [May 22nd, 2026]
- US awards IBM and other firms $2 billion to give America the edge in quantum computing - CNN - May 22nd, 2026 [May 22nd, 2026]
- Exclusive | U.S. to Award Quantum-Computing Firms $2 Billion and Take Equity Stakes - WSJ - May 22nd, 2026 [May 22nd, 2026]
- QUBT Rallies With the Rest of Quantum Computing, but Dont Buy the Hype - Yahoo Finance - May 22nd, 2026 [May 22nd, 2026]
- U.S. Will Invest $2 Billion In Quantum Computing Firms And Take Equity, Report Says - Forbes - May 22nd, 2026 [May 22nd, 2026]
- Quantum Computing Inc.: The Story Is Big, But The Valuation Must Be Earned (NASDAQ:QUBT) - Seeking Alpha - May 22nd, 2026 [May 22nd, 2026]
- US to invest $2 billion in IBM, other quantum computing firms - Reuters - May 22nd, 2026 [May 22nd, 2026]
- Middle Tennessee Electric, MTSU tout 'pioneering work' in quantum computing research - The Daily News Journal - May 22nd, 2026 [May 22nd, 2026]
- D-Wave Quantum and Department of Commerce Sign Letter of Intent for $100 Million in CHIPS and Science Act Funding to Accelerate U.S. Leadership in... - May 22nd, 2026 [May 22nd, 2026]
- US Awards $2 Billion in Quantum Computing Equity Stakes, Compressing the Timeline for Bitcoin's Biggest Security Risk - unchainedcrypto.com - May 22nd, 2026 [May 22nd, 2026]
- U.S. Government Intends To Fund Quantum Computing - AFCEA International - May 22nd, 2026 [May 22nd, 2026]
- U.S. will award $2 billion in grants to nine quantum computing companiesand take equity stakes - Fortune - May 22nd, 2026 [May 22nd, 2026]
- US issues $2B+ in grants to IBM, others for quantum computing initiatives, stocks soar - SiliconANGLE - May 22nd, 2026 [May 22nd, 2026]
- Department of Commerce Selects IBM, PsiQuantum, 7 Others for $2B Quantum Computing Incentive - GovCon Wire - May 22nd, 2026 [May 22nd, 2026]
- Quantum computing stocks to extend rally as federal backing tests bearish sentiment (IONQ:NYSE) - Seeking Alpha - May 22nd, 2026 [May 22nd, 2026]
- The Trump Administration Plans to Take Stakes in These Quantum Computing Firms. Their Stocks Are Soaring. - Investopedia - May 22nd, 2026 [May 22nd, 2026]
- US Is Taking Equity Stakes In IBM And Other Quantum Computing Companies - Engadget - May 22nd, 2026 [May 22nd, 2026]
- Why the Smartest AI Money Is Quietly Moving Into Quantum Computing Right Now - The Globe and Mail - May 22nd, 2026 [May 22nd, 2026]
- Phoenix is building a quantum computing sector. This ASU professor will lead the effort - KJZZ - May 22nd, 2026 [May 22nd, 2026]
- France to invest over $1 billion in quantum computing companies By Investing.com - Investing.com - May 22nd, 2026 [May 22nd, 2026]
- The US government is spending $2 billion on quantum computing, while taking stock in the companies it funds - TechSpot - May 22nd, 2026 [May 22nd, 2026]
- 3 Stocks to Take Advantage of the $72 Billion Quantum Computing Industry - The Motley Fool - May 20th, 2026 [May 20th, 2026]
- What can you do with quantum computing today? - InfoWorld - May 20th, 2026 [May 20th, 2026]