Here are six reasons to be optimistic about 2020 – CNBC
Eiffel Tower fireworks.
Fred Dufour | AFP | Getty Images
T'is the season to be gloomy, when the world's prognosticators provide their competing lists of the coming year's top risks. And there are plenty of candidates, from Iran to North Korea, and from American elections to global warming.
Acting on the advice of Winston Churchill, I'll instead close my year on a more hopeful note. "A pessimist sees the difficulty in every opportunity, an optimist sees the opportunity in every difficulty," Churchill famously said. He declared himself an optimist as "it does not seem to be much use to be anything else."
With that in mind, here are six sources of optimism for 2020:
We've never had it so good.
Global well-being has hit its highest level ever, or so says the recently released Legatum Prosperity Index. In the past decade, prosperity has improved in 148 countries and declined in only 19 of the 167 countries Legatum surveys, making up more than 99% of the world's population.
This improvement reaches from health-care systems and adult education, and from the delivery of basic services to more widespread financial security.
According to World Bank figures, more than a billion people have moved out of extreme poverty since 1990, leaving the share of population at that level at 10 % which, though still troubling, is the lowest since such figures have been recorded.
The Economist picks a "country of the year" each December, and it is telling that this year Uzbekistan was its most-improved land. What one is seeing are fruits of Prime Minister Shavkat Mirziyoyev's leadership after the Uzbek despot Islam Karimov died in 2016.
Until his death, the regime was "a closed society run with exceptional brutality and incompetence," writes the Economist. "It's regime allegedly boiled dissidents alive, and certainly forced legions of men, women and children to toil in the cotton fields."
After firing the head of his security services in 2018, Mirziyoyev's reforms accelerated this year. They largely ended forced labor, shut down Uzbekistan's most notorious prison, opened the country to foreign journalists and stopped bureaucrats from bullying small businesses for bribes.
The Economist's runner up was Sudan, another country that in 2019 took a giant step from despotism when mass protests led to the removal of "one of the world's vilest tyrants," Omar al-Bashir. The Atlantic Council this month hosted Prime Minister Abdalla Hamdok, who represented a power-sharing government that has promised elections in three years.
Although there is justifiable concern about growing inequalities within countries both in the developing and less developed world less attention has been paid to the more positive trend that global inequality among countries has been declining for several decades. For the first time since the Industrial Revolution, about half of the global population can be considered middle class.
Beyond that, about half of the world's population now lives in democracies, a far cry from most of human history during which the vast majority lived under non-democratic regimes. Of those still living in autocracies, some 90% are in China. The conventional wisdom is that China is growing even more authoritarian, and hence it is inspiring others.
That said, protests in Hong Kong and upcoming elections in Taiwan suggest otherwise. Protests in the Middle East in Iran, Iraq and Lebanon also are aimed at corrupt and sectarian governments and could be a force for democratic change.
Watch this space in 2020.
With the United Kingdom leaving the European Union next year, the continent's doomsayers are at it again (sometimes including me). What they forget is that there has been no war or conflict in Western Europe in some three generations, in no small part due to the European Union's creation and the peace between France and Germany that accompanied it.
Long may that last.
And for all the concern about growing tensions between China and the United States, neither country wants a war. Global history since 1500 shows that the world's two leading powers have been at war more than half the time, but the period since World War II has been historically peaceful. It will take increased attention to keep it that way.
Quoting Steven Pinker's book Enlightenment Now, Bill Gates writes that the global average IQ score is rising by about 3IQ points every decade. "Kids' brains are developing more fully thanks to improved nutrition and a cleaner environment," he writes, crediting Pinker.
"Think about how many symbols you interpret every time you check your phone's home screen or look at a subway map," writes Gates. "Our world today encourages abstract thought from a young age, and it's making us smarter."
Elsewhere, Gates notes that while a century ago it was legal to be gay in only 20 countries, today that's true in more than 100. Legatum's survey showed that residents of 11 countries expressed more tolerance than they did a decade previously, particularly regarding the LGBT community (but that at the same time restrictions on freedoms to speak, assemble and associate have deteriorated in 122 countries.)
In parallel, women are gaining political power in leaps and bounds, now making up more than a fifth of members of national parliaments. The world listens in unprecedented manner when women raise complaints about discrimination and sexual assault.
Okay, there's a lot about Artificial Intelligence that is scary. It could empower tyrants, threaten jobs and entrench bias. At the same time, history is awash with examples that technological change has brought more progress than perils. Advanced technologies could improve health care and even address climate change.
Writing for the World Economic Forum, Jeremy O'Brien says quantum computing could help beat climate change through simulations that could uncover new catalysts for carbon capture that are cheaper and more efficient than current models. "A catalyst for 'scrubbing' carbon dioxide directly from the atmosphere could be a powerful tool in tackling climate change," he writes.
It's tempting to write some balancing lines here about why 2020 will be a particularly shock-prone year. Let's save that for the New Year. After all, it is the optimists who are best equipped to find solutions to global problems because they believe they can.
"Choose to be optimistic, it feels better," said the Dalai Lama.
Happy holidays.
Frederick Kempe is a best-selling author, prize-winning journalist and president & CEO of the Atlantic Council, one of the United States' most influential think tanks on global affairs. He worked at The Wall Street Journal for more than 25 years as a foreign correspondent, assistant managing editor and as the longest-serving editor of the paper's European edition. His latest book "Berlin 1961: Kennedy, Khrushchev, and the Most Dangerous Place on Earth" was a New York Times best-seller and has been published in more than a dozen languages. Follow him on Twitter @FredKempe and subscribe here to Inflection Points, his look each Saturday at the past week's top stories and trends.
For more insight from CNBC contributors, follow @CNBCopinion on Twitter.
More:
Here are six reasons to be optimistic about 2020 - CNBC
- How Quantum Computings Biggest Challenges Are Being Solved With Accelerated Computing - NVIDIA Blog - October 2nd, 2025 [October 2nd, 2025]
- Here's the Quantum Computing Stock Wall Street Loves the Most (Hint: It's Not IonQ or Rigetti) - Yahoo Finance - October 2nd, 2025 [October 2nd, 2025]
- D-Wave to Participate in Quantum Beach Conference, Highlighting Companys Leadership in the Commercialization of Quantum Computing - Yahoo Finance - October 2nd, 2025 [October 2nd, 2025]
- Quantum computing could have a major impact on investing - Business Insider - October 2nd, 2025 [October 2nd, 2025]
- Here's the Quantum Computing Stock Wall Street Loves the Most (Hint: It's Not IonQ or Rigetti) - The Motley Fool - October 2nd, 2025 [October 2nd, 2025]
- IBM and Vanguard Team Up to Build Investment Portfolios with Quantum Computing - TipRanks - October 2nd, 2025 [October 2nd, 2025]
- Connecticut to Invest $10 Million in QuantumCT for Quantum Infrastructure and Testbed Deployment - Quantum Computing Report - October 2nd, 2025 [October 2nd, 2025]
- Odra Quantum Computing School Debuts in Poland with Intensive Training and Hackathon - HPCwire - October 2nd, 2025 [October 2nd, 2025]
- Billionaires Are Piling Into a Quantum Computing Stock That Gained Over 3,700% in the Past Year - The Motley Fool - October 2nd, 2025 [October 2nd, 2025]
- Introducing CHPX: The Case For AI Semiconductors And Quantum Computing - Seeking Alpha - October 2nd, 2025 [October 2nd, 2025]
- Quantum Computing Meets Aerospace: D-Wave CEO to Reveal Real-World Optimization Solutions at Quantum Beach - Stock Titan - October 2nd, 2025 [October 2nd, 2025]
- Combination of quantum and classical computing supports early diagnosis of breast cancer - Phys.org - October 2nd, 2025 [October 2nd, 2025]
- Quantum computing to unlock over $50 billion in value across key industries, says BCG - Economy Middle East - October 2nd, 2025 [October 2nd, 2025]
- Billionaires Are Piling Into a Quantum Computing Stock That Gained Over 3,700% in the Past Year - The Globe and Mail - October 2nd, 2025 [October 2nd, 2025]
- How Quantum Computing Is Positioned to Drive Long-Term Growth - Yahoo Finance - October 2nd, 2025 [October 2nd, 2025]
- QUDORA And Norma Inc. Partner to Advance Quantum Computing Adoption in South Korea - The Quantum Insider - October 2nd, 2025 [October 2nd, 2025]
- Construction kicks off at old steel mill in South Chicago, making way for massive quantum computing campus - Chicago Sun-Times - October 2nd, 2025 [October 2nd, 2025]
- PsiQuantum breaks ground on quantum computing project in Chicago - Evertiq - October 2nd, 2025 [October 2nd, 2025]
- Harnessing the complementary power of AI and Quantum Computing - The Business Journals - October 2nd, 2025 [October 2nd, 2025]
- Quantum computing breakthrough has more red flags than a Peoples Liberation Army parade - fi-desk.com - October 2nd, 2025 [October 2nd, 2025]
- PsiQuantum breaks ground on quantum computing park at former U.S. Steel South Works mill - nwitimes.com - October 2nd, 2025 [October 2nd, 2025]
- This Quantum Computing Stock Could Be the Next Nvidia 1,000% Returns Ahead - 24/7 Wall St. - October 2nd, 2025 [October 2nd, 2025]
- Quantum computing in 2025: From sci-fi to real-world solutions - Computerworld - October 2nd, 2025 [October 2nd, 2025]
- Hanbat National University Study Finds Quantum Computing Can Make Homes Smarter And Greener - Mirage News - October 2nd, 2025 [October 2nd, 2025]
- Officials Break Ground on Quantum Computing Campus, Promise Economic Boom for South Chicago. Neighbors Want That in Writing - WTTW News - October 2nd, 2025 [October 2nd, 2025]
- Quantum Computing (QUBT) to Offer Over 26 Million Shares - GuruFocus - October 2nd, 2025 [October 2nd, 2025]
- GPT-5 Serves as Research Assistant in Proving One of Quantum Computing Theory's Trickiest Theorems - The Quantum Insider - September 30th, 2025 [September 30th, 2025]
- Meet the Monster Quantum Computing Stock That Continues to Crush Nvidia, Oracle, and Palantir - The Motley Fool - September 30th, 2025 [September 30th, 2025]
- Quantum computing: unravelling the myths - cio.com - September 30th, 2025 [September 30th, 2025]
- This Quantum Computing Stock Just Set Another Scientific Record. Should You Buy It Here? - Barchart.com - September 30th, 2025 [September 30th, 2025]
- Quantum Computing: The Quantum Play With Decades Ahead (NASDAQ:QUBT) - Seeking Alpha - September 30th, 2025 [September 30th, 2025]
- 3 Incredible Quantum Computing Stocks to Buy Amid Falling Interest Rates - Yahoo Finance - September 30th, 2025 [September 30th, 2025]
- Hebrew University Researchers Achieve Record Room-Temperature Photon Collection from Diamond Defects - Quantum Computing Report - September 30th, 2025 [September 30th, 2025]
- Quantum Computing Accurately Models Atomic Nuclei with 0.1% Error on Trapped-Ion Machine - Quantum Zeitgeist - September 30th, 2025 [September 30th, 2025]
- Solana Co-Founder Says '50/50' Chance Quantum Computing Breaks Bitcoin By 2030, Calls For Quick Action - Yahoo Finance - September 30th, 2025 [September 30th, 2025]
- Comcast Partners with Classiq and D-Wave to Test Quantum-Powered Network Traffic Management - Quantum Computing Report - September 30th, 2025 [September 30th, 2025]
- If quantum computing is answering unknowable questions, how do we know theyre right? - Technology Org - September 30th, 2025 [September 30th, 2025]
- This Unexpected Company Just Achieved a Quantum Computing Milestone. Should You Buy Its Shares Here? - Barchart.com - September 30th, 2025 [September 30th, 2025]
- IonQ Just Achieved a New Quantum Computing Milestone. Should You Buy IONQ Stock Here? - Barchart.com - September 30th, 2025 [September 30th, 2025]
- 3 Incredible Quantum Computing Stocks to Buy Amid Falling Interest Rates - Nasdaq - September 30th, 2025 [September 30th, 2025]
- WiMi's Lays out for the Research on Distributed Quantum Computing Based on Cross-Optical Network Links - Stock Titan - September 30th, 2025 [September 30th, 2025]
- Quantum computing labs: the next phase of science and tech space - Green Street News - September 30th, 2025 [September 30th, 2025]
- HSBC demonstrates worlds first-known quantum-enabled algorithmic trading with IBM - HSBC - September 28th, 2025 [September 28th, 2025]
- There's a new potential quantum computing king. How to invest in it with less risk using options - CNBC - September 28th, 2025 [September 28th, 2025]
- HSBC's quantum computing breakthrough could be the future of Wall Street - Axios - September 28th, 2025 [September 28th, 2025]
- QUDORA Closes a Strategic Partnership with Kensho to Accelerate Quantum Computing Commercialization in Taiwan - The Quantum Insider - September 28th, 2025 [September 28th, 2025]
- Why Quantum Computing Stock Stumbled This Week - The Motley Fool - September 28th, 2025 [September 28th, 2025]
- Booz Allen Hamilton (BAH): Valuation Insights After New Quantum Computing Partnership With SEEQC - simplywall.st - September 28th, 2025 [September 28th, 2025]
- QUDORA and Kensho Partner to Accelerate Quantum Computing Commercialization in Taiwan - Quantum Computing Report - September 28th, 2025 [September 28th, 2025]
- Rigetti Computing Just Got a New Street-High Price Target. Should You Buy This Winning Quantum Computer Stock Here? - Yahoo Finance - September 28th, 2025 [September 28th, 2025]
- StanChart Venture Arm Teams Up With Fujitsu on Quantum Computing - Bloomberg.com - September 25th, 2025 [September 25th, 2025]
- HSBC says quantum computing trial helps bond trading - Reuters - September 25th, 2025 [September 25th, 2025]
- HSBC Claims Quantum Computing First in Algo Bond Trading - The Full FX - September 25th, 2025 [September 25th, 2025]
- HSBC and IBM Demonstrate Quantum-Enabled Algorithmic Trading with up to 34% Improvement - Quantum Computing Report - September 25th, 2025 [September 25th, 2025]
- Quantum Computing Takes Its First Steps Into Wall Street - Quantum Zeitgeist - September 25th, 2025 [September 25th, 2025]
- IBM stock rises over 5% after quantum computing trading trials with HSBC - what's the experiment all about - The Economic Times - September 25th, 2025 [September 25th, 2025]
- Why the U.S.-U.K. Quantum Computing Pact Is Vital for the Nascent Technology - Barron's - September 23rd, 2025 [September 23rd, 2025]
- Miniaturized ion traps show promise of 3D printing for quantum-computing hardware - Tech Xplore - September 23rd, 2025 [September 23rd, 2025]
- Quantum Computing Moves from Theoretical to Inevitable - Bain & Company - September 23rd, 2025 [September 23rd, 2025]
- Who Are the Top 9 Quantum Computing Technologies Companies in 2025? - Global Growth Insights - September 23rd, 2025 [September 23rd, 2025]
- Why Is Quantum Computing Stock (QUBT) Falling Today? - TipRanks - September 23rd, 2025 [September 23rd, 2025]
- HANetf adds defence and quantum computing to tech ETF - ETF Stream - September 23rd, 2025 [September 23rd, 2025]
- BTQ Technologies Receives Approval to List on Nasdaq - Quantum Computing Report - September 23rd, 2025 [September 23rd, 2025]
- Why D-Wave Quantum Computing Stock Dropped Today - The Motley Fool - September 23rd, 2025 [September 23rd, 2025]
- Why D-Wave Quantum Computing Stock Dropped Today - Nasdaq - September 23rd, 2025 [September 23rd, 2025]
- Quantum: Not A Good Play For Either AI Or Quantum Computing - Seeking Alpha - September 23rd, 2025 [September 23rd, 2025]
- A giant quantum computing center for warfare threatens the cost of living on Chicagos South Side - Liberation News - September 21st, 2025 [September 21st, 2025]
- NERSC and Berkeley Lab Study Forecasts Practical Quantum Computing for U.S. Science Within a Decade - Quantum Computing Report - September 21st, 2025 [September 21st, 2025]
- Does Quantum Computing Pose a Threat to Bitcoin? - OneSafe - September 21st, 2025 [September 21st, 2025]
- USU Mathematicians' Topological Theories Could Foster Quantum Computing Breakthrough - Utah State University - September 21st, 2025 [September 21st, 2025]
- Breakthrough phason discovery in twisted 2D materials transforms quantum computing - The Brighter Side of News - September 21st, 2025 [September 21st, 2025]
- Quantum Computing (NASDAQ:QUBT) Trading Up 3.6% - Here's Why - MarketBeat - September 21st, 2025 [September 21st, 2025]
- Quantum Computing Is Skyrocketing Today -- Is the Stock a Buy Right Now? - The Motley Fool - September 21st, 2025 [September 21st, 2025]
- Quantum Gold Rush: QUBT vs. D-Wave Inside the High-Stakes 2025 Quantum Computing Showdown - ts2.tech - September 21st, 2025 [September 21st, 2025]
- The Air Force wants more research on quantum computing, and it's sending stocks in the sector soaring - Yahoo Finance - September 21st, 2025 [September 21st, 2025]
- Quantum Computing Stocks Surge, but IonQ Is the Real Leader - 24/7 Wall St. - September 21st, 2025 [September 21st, 2025]
- Prediction: 2 Stocks That Will Be Worth More Than Quantum Computing 3 Years From Now - The Motley Fool - September 21st, 2025 [September 21st, 2025]
- The Air Force wants more research on quantum computing, and it's sending stocks in the sector soaring - Business Insider - September 19th, 2025 [September 19th, 2025]
- Quantum computing stocks rise to end action-packed week (IONQ:NYSE) - Seeking Alpha - September 19th, 2025 [September 19th, 2025]
- Quantum Computing Stock Is Roaring 23% Higher. Heres Whats Fueling QUBTs Rise - 24/7 Wall St. - September 19th, 2025 [September 19th, 2025]