Election 2016 lookahead: Would Hillary Clinton really crush Jeb Bush?
If the 2016 presidential election were held today between Hillary Clinton and Jeb Bush, it would be a Clinton landslide, a poll shows. But that's not the troubling data for Mr. Bush.
Hillary Rodham Clinton has a wide lead over Jeb Bush in a head-to-head presidential match-up, according to new numbers from a Washington Post/ABC News poll. When survey respondents were asked who theyd vote for if the election were held today, 53 percent picked Mrs. Clinton, versus the 41 percent who said their choice would be Mr. Bush.
Washington Editor
Peter Grier is The Christian Science Monitor's Washington editor. In this capacity, he helps direct coverage for the paper on most news events in the nation's capital.
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Thats a pretty hefty cushion for the former US secretary of State, isnt it? Its particularly impressive if you run through the poll's cross-tabs and look at the different demographic groups those numbers represent. Clinton gets 94 percent of Democrats, a plurality of 47 percent of independents, 59 percent of moderates, even 25 percent of self-described conservatives. She gets 59 percent of women, to Bushs 36 percent.
Should Bush, a former Florida governor, be worried about these figures, assuming hes interested in running for president? No, not really. (Theres other stuff about the current political landscape that should concern him, though. Well talk about that in a bit.)
First, its just one poll. As we wrote Tuesday about President Obamas approval numbers, individual polls represent a single snapshot, and you need a full photo album to get a picture about whats really going on.
Second, the numbers will change. The Post/ABC numbers include all registered voters, which is a wide net to cast. When the election approaches, pollsters will query likely voters, a narrower demographic that tends to increase the Republican lean by a few percentage points.
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Election 2016 lookahead: Would Hillary Clinton really crush Jeb Bush?