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The Red Flags in Biden’s State of the Union Address – Reason

This Monday, Matt Welch, Katherine Mangu-Ward, Peter Suderman, and Nick Gillespie dish on their least favorite parts of President Joe Biden's State of the Union address and the messaging around the newest coronavirus guidelines. Plus, The Reason Roundtable answers a listener question about the ties between self-proclaimed libertarians and people against the coronavirus vaccine.

Discussed in the show:

1:36: Biden's SOTU address takeaways.

22:34: The government's newest coronavirus guidelines.

36:56: Weekly Listener Question: The current anti-vax sentiment within a significant portion of the libertarian world has me questioning everything. Weren't we the folks who, a mere couple of years ago, were saying "Get the FDA out of the way so big pharma can cure things?" That literally happened, and now a significant number of libertarians are kvetching about how quickly the vaccines were developed. How can I have faith in the rationality of libertarianism when there is a significant portion of the movement that is so breathtakingly wrong on vaccines?

48:52: Media recommendations for the week.

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Send your questions to roundtable@reason.com. Be sure to include your social media handle and the correct pronunciation of your name.

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Audio production by Ian Keyser.Assistant production by Regan Taylor.Music: "Angeline," by The Brothers Steve.

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The Red Flags in Biden's State of the Union Address - Reason

The ‘Post-Covid-19 World’ Will Never Come. – Scoop.co.nz

Tuesday, 4 May 2021, 10:24 amArticle: Eric Zuesse

On May 3rd, the New York Times bannered Reaching HerdImmunity Is Unlikely in the U.S., Experts NowBelieve and reported that there is widespreadconsensus among scientists and public health experts thatthe herd immunity threshold is not attainable at leastnot in the foreseeable future, and perhaps notever.

In other words: the news-sources thatwere opposing the governments taking action againstCovid-19 libertarian news-sites that opposegovernmental laws and regulations, regardless of thepredominant view by the vast majority of the scientists whospecialize in studying the given subject are lookingwronger all the time, as this novel coronavirus (whichis what it was originally called) becomes less and lessnovel, and more and more understoodscientifically.

The herd immunity advocates foranti-Covid-19 policies have been saying that governmentsshould just let the virus spread until nature takes itscourse and such a large proportion of the population havesurvived the infection as to then greatly reduce thelikelihood that an uninfected person will become infected.An uninfected person will increasingly be surrounded bypeople who have developed a natural immunity to the disease,and by people who dont and never did become infected byit. The vulnerable people will have become eliminated (died)or else cured, and so they wont be spreading the diseaseto others. Thats the libertarian solution, thefinal solution to the Covid-19 problem, according tolibertarians.

For example, on 9 April 2020,Forbes magazine headlined AfterRejecting A Coronavirus Lockdown, Sweden Sees Rise InDeaths and reported that, Swedens chiefepidemiologist Anders Tegnell has continuously advocated forlaid back measures, saying on Swedish TV Sunday that thepandemic could be defeated by herd immunity, or the indirectprotection from a large portion of a population being immuneto an infection, or a combination of immunityand vaccination. However, critics have argued that withacoronavirus vaccine could be more than a year away, andinsufficient evidence that coronavirus patients that recoverare immune from becominginfected again, the strategy of relying on herd immunityand vaccinations [is] ineffective.

The libertarianproposal of relying upon herd immunity for producingpolicies against this disease has continued,nonetheless.

CNN headlined on 28 April 2020, Swedensays its coronavirus approach has worked. The numberssuggest a different story, and reportedthat

On March 28, a petition signed by 2,000Swedish researchers, including Carl-Henrik Heldin, chairmanof the Nobel Foundation, called for the nation's governmentto "immediately take steps to comply with the World HealthOrganization's (WHO) recommendations."

Thescientists added: "The measures should aim to severely limitcontact between people in society and to greatly increasethe capacity to test people for Covid-19infection."

"These measures must be in place assoon as possible, as is currently the case in our Europeanneighboring countries," they wrote. "Our country should notbe an exception to the work to curb thepandemic."

The petition said that trying to"create a herd immunity, in the same way that occurs duringan influenza epidemic, has low scientificsupport."

Swedish authorities have deniedhaving a strategy to create herd immunity, one the UKgovernment was rumored to be working towards earlier on inthe pandemic -- leading to widespread criticism -- before itenforced a strict lockdown.

FORTUNEmagazine headlined on 30 July 2020, Howparts of India inadvertently achieved herd immunity,and reported that, Around 57% of people across parts ofIndia's financial hub of Mumbai have coronavirus antibodies,a July study found, indicating that the population may haveinadvertently achieved the controversial herd immunityprotection from the coronavirus.Furthermore:

Herd immunity is an approach to thecoronavirus pandemic where, instead of instituting lockdownsand other restrictions to slow infections, authorities allowdaily life to go on as normal, letting the disease spread.In theory, enough people will become infected, recover, andgain immunity that the spread will slow on its own andpeople who are not immune will be protected by the immunityof those who are. University of Chicago researchersestimated in a paperpublished in May that achieving herd immunity from COVID-19would require 67% of people to be immune to the disease.Mayo Clinic estimates70% of the U.S. population will need to be immune for theU.S. to achieve herd immunity, which can also be achieved byvaccinating that proportion of a population.

On 27September 2020, Reuters bannered InBrazil's Amazon a COVID-19 resurgence dashes herd immunityhopes, and reported that, The largest city inBrazils Amazon has closed bars and river beaches tocontain a fresh surge of coronavirus cases, a trend that maydash theories that Manaus was one of the worlds firstplaces to reach collective, or herd, immunity.

Rightnow, the global average of Covid-19 intensity (total cases of the diseasethus far) is 19,693 persons per million population. Forexamples: Botswana is barely below that intensity, at19,629, and Norway is barely above that intensity, at20,795. Sweden is at 95,905, which is nearly five times theglobal average. Brazil is 69,006, which is around 3.5 timesworse than average. India is 14,321, which is slightlybetter than average. USA is 99,754.

However, the dayprior, on May 2nd, America had 30,701 new cases. Brazil had28,935. Norway had 210. India had 370,059. Swedens latestdaily count (as-of May 3rd) was 5,937 on April 29th, 15times Norways 385 on that date. Swedens population is1.9 times that of Norway. Indias daily count is soaring.Their population is four times Americas, but the numberof new daily cases in India is twelve times Americas.Whereas India has had only one-seventh as much Covid-19intensity till now, India is soaring upwards to becomeultimately, perhaps, even worse than America is on Covid-19performance. And Brazil is already almost as bad as America,on Covid-19 performance, and will soon surpass America inCovid-19 failure.

There is no herd immunityagainst Covid-19, yet, anywhere. Its just anotherlibertarian myth. But libertariansstill continue to believe it they refuse to accept thedata.

Investigativehistorian Eric Zuesse is the author, most recently, of TheyreNot Even Close: The Democratic vs. Republican EconomicRecords, 1910-2010, and of CHRISTSVENTRILOQUISTS: The Event that CreatedChristianity.

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The 'Post-Covid-19 World' Will Never Come. - Scoop.co.nz

Diverse Group Files Petition To Put Qualified Immunity On The Ballot – WCBE 90.5 FM

A group has taken the first step to asking voters next year to eliminate qualified immunity for police officers and other government employees accused in shootings or other actions. Statehouse correspondent Karen Kasler reports.

The group gathered to support the ballot issue at the Statehouse included Black Lives Matter and community activists, the far-right Boogaloo Boys and libertarians. Spike Cohen was the Libertarian Partys vice presidential candidate last year and lives in South Carolina, but says he supports ending the civil defense for police officers and other public sector workers they were just doing their jobs.

By being able to do that, they arent held accountable. And what this would do is, it would disallow them from doing that. They would have to defend themselves on the merits of the case.

Law enforcement groups say police actions in volatile situations are complex but that officers who are act within the law should be protected. The group filed its petition language with the Ohio Attorney Generals office. If its certified, the group would have to gather more that 440,000 signatures to get it on the next years ballot.

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Diverse Group Files Petition To Put Qualified Immunity On The Ballot - WCBE 90.5 FM

A lawsuit may be needed to decide whether Colorado’s 17-year-olds can really vote – The Coloradoan

Lakewood High School junior Spencer Wilcox is 16 and, unlike a lot of kids his age, is very invested in politics. Hes the president of the Colorado High School Democrats, and has worked on voter registration drives and educational campaigns to get more young people involved.

Wilcox has been looking forward to participating in the Democratic caucuses ahead of the June 2022 primaries, thanks to a 2019 Colorado law that lets 17-year-olds do that and vote in state and presidential primaries if theyll be 18 by the time the general election comes around.

But 17-year-olds might actually be out of luck. Voters passed Amendment 76 to the state constitution in November, which specifies that only U.S. citizens 18 and up can weigh in during elections, so lawmakers have to decide what to do about the conflict.

Every single 17-year-old that I knew that was eligible for this presidential primary exercised their right to vote during it, said Wilcox, who at the very least can vote in November 2022 because hell have just turned 18. This is something that we really want to do. We want to be involved with the political process, and the passage of this amendment put that in jeopardy.

The primary purpose of Amendment 76 wasnt really about the age at which people are eligible to vote. It was about citizenship, changing the state constitution to say only a citizen rather than every citizen. (The measure was part of a nationwide movement led by Florida nonprofit Citizen Voters Inc.)

The citizenship requirement already is in federal law, but backers said they wanted to make sure local jurisdictions dont allow non-U.S. citizens to vote in any election. Opponents called it anti-immigrant and confusing.

Still, Scott Gessler, attorney for the Amendment 76 backers (and Colorados former secretary of state), said the intent and language was clear: 18 is the minimum age to vote.

The state now has three options: Repeal the 2019 statute, leave it on the books but still follow the constitutional amendment (the constitution trumps state law), or have a 17-year-old sue for a decision, Denver attorney and DU professor Christopher Jackson said.

Colorado is one of 18 states (plus Washington, D.C.) that gives 17-year-olds advance voting capabilities. And in 2020, Colorados young voters made up the largest voting bloc.

In the presidential primary in March 2020, 10,063 17-year-olds voted 56% unaffiliated, 26% Democrat and 18% Republican (one person voted Libertarian), according to data provided by the Secretary of States Office.

In the June 2020 state primary, 4,380 17-year-olds voted 54% unaffiliated, 29% Democrat, 16% Republican and less than 1% Libertarian.

Both times, a larger percent of Colorados 17-year-old eligible voters turned out than the next age group, 18- to 34-year-olds.

It showed they were really ready to have a voice in our democracy, and we believe its their right to have a choice on who's going to be on the ballot in the general election when theyre 18, said Nicole Hensel, the executive director of New Era Colorado, a civic engagement organization that fought to keep access for 17-year-olds.

Sam Romig of Golden dropped off his ballot in the March 2020 primary at the time, he was 17, so it was his first election and said it felt freeing.

It was cool. Its so much talking and so much conjecture up to the election, you finally are able to make a difference in it, the now 19-year-old said.

And Colorado Springs resident Emma Tang didnt even hesitate to vote as a 17-year-old. The importance of doing so was something her immigrant parents had passed onto her.

Its important for me to make my voice feel heard because as a young person, a lot of people expect us not to know what's going on, said Tang, now 19. But when we do know, they kind of tell us that you're too young, you shouldn't be in this space. So it's a weird kind of paradox of what people expect from the youth.

A legislative committee thats tasked with making sure the states laws work with each other or recommend changes has taken up the issue twice this year, and decided to hold off on a position as of late April.

Democratic Sen. Dominick Moreno of Commerce City, who is on the committee, told The Denver Post that while state attorneys believe the statute allowing 17-year-olds to vote is now null and void, its not completely clear what should happen.

The final decision, he said, lies with the courts.

In a statement, Democratic Secretary of State Jena Griswold said she still supports allowing 17-year-olds to vote in primaries, especially becauseColorado saw historic turnout for young voters in 2020 and its important that we encourage participation at a young age.

But Gessler said the constitutional amendment sets the minimum requirements for voting and it had overwhelming support.

Sen. Barbara Kirkmeyer, a Weld County Republican and vice chair of the Statutory Revision Committee, falls in line with the opinion from the states Legislative Legal Services, saying the 2019 statute should be repealed.

The voters of the state passed a constitutional amendment that made it very clear, Kirkmeyer said. And the statute is contrary to the constitution at this point.

Kirkmeyer said the committee didnt have enough votes in April to recommend rolling back 17-year-olds ability to take part in elections. But she did understand the argument that more debate is needed, and that may take until the next legislative session.

All the while, county clerks are awaiting guidance with the 2022 primaries still a year away.

Read or Share this story: https://www.coloradoan.com/story/news/2021/05/04/colorado-voting-law-lawsuit-could-decide-if-17-year-olds-can-vote/4940840001/

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A lawsuit may be needed to decide whether Colorado's 17-year-olds can really vote - The Coloradoan

What Is Machine Learning? | Definition, Types, and …

Machine learning is a subset of artificial intelligence (AI). It is focused on teaching computers to learn from data and to improve with experience instead of being explicitly programmed to do so. In machine learning, algorithms are trained to find patterns and correlations in large datasets and to make the best decisions and predictions based on that analysis. Machine learning applications improve with use and become more accurate the more data they have access to. Applications of machine learning are all around us in our homes, our shopping carts, our entertainment media, and our healthcare.

Machine learning and its components of deep learning and neural networks all fit as concentric subsets of AI. AI processes data to make decisions and predictions. Machine learning algorithms allow AI to not only process that data, but to use it to learn and get smarter, without needing any additional programming. Artificial intelligence is the parent of all the machine learning subsets beneath it. Within the first subset is machine learning; within that is deep learning, and then neural networks within that.

An artificial neural network (ANN) is modeled on the neurons in a biological brain. Artificial neurons are called nodes and are clustered together in multiple layers, operating in parallel. When an artificial neuron receives a numerical signal, it processes it and signals the other neurons connected to it. As in a human brain, neural reinforcement results in improved pattern recognition, expertise, and overall learning.

This kind of machine learning is called deep because it includes many layers of the neural network and massive volumes of complex and disparate data. To achieve deep learning, the system engages with multiple layers in the network, extracting increasingly higher-level outputs. For example, a deep learning system that is processing nature images and looking for Gloriosa daisies will at the first layer recognize a plant. As it moves through the neural layers, it will then identify a flower, then a daisy, and finally a Gloriosa daisy. Examples of deep learning applications include speech recognition, image classification, and pharmaceutical analysis.

Machine learning is comprised of different types of machine learning models, using various algorithmic techniques. Depending upon the nature of the data and the desired outcome, one of four learning models can be used: supervised, unsupervised, semi-supervised, or reinforcement. Within each of those models, one or more algorithmic techniques may be applied relative to the datasets in use and the intended results. Machine learning algorithms are basically designed to classify things, find patterns, predict outcomes, and make informed decisions.Algorithms can be used one at a time or combined to achieve the best possible accuracy when complex and more unpredictable data is involved.

Supervised learning is the first of four machine learning models. In supervised learning algorithms, the machine is taught by example. Supervised learning models consist of input and output data pairs, where the output is labeled with the desired value. For example, lets say the goal is for the machine to tell the difference between daisies and pansies. One binary input data pair includes both an image of a daisy and an image of a pansy. The desired outcome for that particular pair is to pick the daisy, so it will be pre-identified as the correct outcome.

By way of an algorithm, the system compiles all of this training data over time and begins to determine correlative similarities, differences, and other points of logic until it can predict the answers for daisy-or-pansy questions all by itself. It is the equivalent of giving a child a set of problems with an answer key, then asking them to show their work and explain their logic. Supervised learning models are used in many of the applications we interact with every day, such as recommendation engines for products and traffic analysis apps like Waze, which predict the fastest route at different times of day.

Unsupervised learning is the second of the four machine learning models. In unsupervised learning models, there is no answer key. The machine studies the input data much of which is unlabeled and unstructured and begins to identify patterns and correlations, using all the relevant, accessible data. In many ways, unsupervised learning is modeled on how humans observe the world. We use intuition and experience to group things together. As we experience more and more examples of something, our ability to categorize and identify it becomes increasingly accurate. For machines, experience is defined by the amount of data that is input and made available. Common examples of unsupervised learning applications include facial recognition, gene sequence analysis, market research, and cybersecurity.

Semi-supervised learning is the third of four machine learning models. In a perfect world, all data would be structured and labeled before being input into a system. But since that is obviously not feasible, semi-supervised learning becomes a workable solution when vast amounts of raw, unstructured data are present. This model consists of inputting small amounts of labeled data to augment unlabeled datasets. Essentially, the labeled data acts to give a running start to the system and can considerably improve learning speed and accuracy. A semi-supervised learning algorithm instructs the machine to analyze the labeled data for correlative properties that could be applied to the unlabeled data.

As explored in depth in this MIT Press research paper, there are, however, risks associated with this model, where flaws in the labeled data get learned and replicated by the system. Companies that most successfully use semi-supervised learning ensure that best practice protocols are in place. Semi-supervised learning is used in speech and linguistic analysis, complex medical research such as protein categorization, and high-level fraud detection.

Reinforcement learning is the fourth machine learning model. In supervised learning, the machine is given the answer key and learns by finding correlations among all the correct outcomes. The reinforcement learning model does not include an answer key but, rather, inputs a set of allowable actions, rules, and potential end states. When the desired goal of the algorithm is fixed or binary, machines can learn by example. But in cases where the desired outcome is mutable, the system must learn by experience and reward. In reinforcement learning models, the reward is numerical and is programmed into the algorithm as something the system seeks to collect.

In many ways, this model is analogous to teaching someone how to play chess. Certainly, it would be impossible to try to show them every potential move. Instead, you explain the rules and they build up their skill through practice. Rewards come in the form of not only winning the game, but also acquiring the opponents pieces. Applications of reinforcement learning include automated price bidding for buyers of online advertising, computer game development, and high-stakes stock market trading.

Machine learning algorithms recognize patterns and correlations, which means they are very good at analyzing their own ROI. For companies that invest in machine learning technologies, this feature allows for an almost immediate assessment of operational impact. Below is just a small sample of some of the growing areas of enterprise machine learning applications.

See SAP intelligent technologies including AI and machine learning in action

In his book Spurious Correlations, data scientist and Harvard graduate Tyler Vigan points out that Not all correlations are indicative of an underlying causal connection. To illustrate this, he includes a chart showing an apparently strong correlation between margarine consumption and the divorce rate in the state of Maine. Of course, this chart is intended to make a humorous point. However, on a more serious note, machine learning applications are vulnerable to both human and algorithmic bias and error. And due to their propensity to learn and adapt, errors and spurious correlations can quickly propagate and pollute outcomes across the neural network.

The SAP AI Ethics Steering Committee has created guidelines to steer the development and deployment of our AI software.

An additional challenge comes from machine learning models, where the algorithm and its output are so complex that they cannot be explained or understood by humans. This is called a black box model and it puts companies at risk when they find themselves unable to determine how and why an algorithm arrived at a particular conclusion or decision.

Fortunately, as the complexity of datasets and machine learning algorithms increases, so do the tools and resources available to manage risk. The best companies are working to eliminate error and bias by establishing robust and up-to-date AI governance guidelines and best practice protocols.

Machine learning is a subset of AI and cannot exist without it.AI uses and processes data to make decisions and predictions it is the brain of a computer-based system and is the intelligence exhibited by machines. Machine learning algorithms within the AI, as well as other AI-powered apps, allow the system to not only process that data, but to use it to execute tasks, make predictions, learn, and get smarter, without needing any additional programming. They give the AI something goal-oriented to do with all that intelligence and data.

Yes, but it should be approached as a business-wide endeavor, not just an IT upgrade.The companies that have the best results with digital transformation projects take an unflinching assessment of their existing resources and skill sets and ensure they have the right foundational systems in place before getting started.

Relative to machine learning, data science is a subset; it focuses on statistics and algorithms, uses regression and classification techniques, and interprets and communicates results. Machine learning focuses on programming, automation, scaling, and incorporating and warehousing results.

Machine learning looks at patterns and correlations; it learns from them and optimizes itself as it goes.Data mining is used as an information source for machine learning.Data mining techniques employ complex algorithms themselves and can help to provide better organized datasets for the machine learning application to use.

The connected neurons with an artificial neural network are called nodes, which are connected and clustered in layers.When a node receives a numerical signal, it then signals other relevant neurons, which operate in parallel.Deep learning uses the neural network and is deep because it uses very large volumes of data and engages with multiple layers in the neural network simultaneously.

Machine learning is the amalgam of several learning models, techniques, and technologies, which may include statistics.Statistics itself focuses on using data to make predictions and create models for analysis.

Follow in the footsteps of fast learners with these five lessons learned from companies that achieved success with machine learning.

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