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What is the most important product that comes out of the semiconductor industry?

Here is a hint: It is inherent to the market, but enhanced by a positively reinforcing feedback loop of history. Here is another hint: You cant hold it in your hand, like an A0 stepping of a device, and you cant point at it like a foundry with the most advanced manufacturing processes created from $15 billion to $20 billion worth of concrete, steel, and wafer etching equipment and a whole lotta people in bunny suits.

No, the most important thing that the semiconductor industry delivers and has consistently delivered for over five decades is optimism. And unlike a lot of chips these days, there is no shortage of it despite the serious challenges that the industry is facing.

By optimism we do not mean the kind of future poisoning that company founders and chief executives sometimes succumb to when they spend too much time in the future that is not yet here without seeing the consequences of the technologies they are in the process of inventing. And we certainly do not mean the zeal that others exhibit when they think that information technology can solve all of our problems. It cant, and it often makes some things worse as it is making other things better, as all technologies have done since humanity first picked up a stick. It is the arm that swings the stick both ways to plant a seed or to crush a skull. So it is with the Internet, social media, artificial intelligence, and so on.

The optimism that we are speaking of in the semiconductor industry is usually stripped bare of such consequences, with the benefits all emphasized and the drawbacks mostly ignored except possibly when considering the aspects of climate change and how compute, storage, and networking are an increasingly large part of our lives, and something that represents an ever-enlargening portion of business and personal budgets and consequently an embiggening part of the energy consumption on the planet. Semiconductor makers turn this drawback more computers requiring more power and cooling into a cause for driving innovation as hard as it can be done.

The irony is that we will need some of the most power-hungry systems the world has ever seen to simulate the conditions that will prove how climate change will affect us collectively and here is the important bit individually. How will you feel when you can drill down into a simulation, for a modest fee of course, and see a digital twin of your home being destroyed by a predicted hurricane two years from now? Or an earthquake, or a fire, or a tsunami? What is true of the Earth simulation will be as true for your body simulation and your consequent healthcare.

If the metaverse means anything, it means using HPC and AI to make general concepts extremely personal. We dont know that the world was hell bent to adopt the 24 hour news cycle and extreme entertainment optionality of cable television, or the Web, or social networks, but what we do know is that most of us ended up on these platforms anyway. And what seems clear is that immersive, simulated experiences are going to be normalized, are going to be a tool in all aspects of our lives, and that the race is on to develop the technologies that will get us there.

It would be hard to find someone more genuine and more optimistic about the future of the semiconductor industry than Aart de Geus, co-founder, chief executive officer, and chairman of electronic design automation tool maker Synopsys, who gave the opening keynote at the ISSCC 2022 chip conference, which was hosted online this week. We read the paper that de Geus presented and watched the keynote as well, and will do our best to summarize the tour de force in semiconductor history and prognostication as we enter in what de Geus called the SysMoore Era the confluence of Moores Law ambitions in transistor design and now packaging coupled to systemic complexity that together will bring about a 1,000X increase in compute across devices and systems of all kinds and lead to a smart everything world.

Here is de Geus showing the well familiar exponential plot of the transistor density of CPUs, starting with the Intel 4004 in 1971 and running all the way out five decades later to the Intel Ponte Vecchio GPU complex, with 47 chiplets lashing together 100 billion transistors, and the Cerebras WSE 2 wafer-scale processor, with 2.5 trillion transistors.

Thats the very familiar part of the SysMoore Era, of course. The Sys part needs a little explaining, but it is something that we have all been wrestling with in our next platforms. Moores Law improvements of 2X transistor density are taking bigger leaps to stay on track and are not yielding a 2X lowering in the cost of the transistors. This latter bit is what actually drives the semiconductor industry (aside from optimism), and we are now entering a time when the cost of transistors could rise a little with each generation, which is why we are resorting to chiplets and advanced packaging to glue them together side-by-side with 2.5D interposers or stacking them up in 3D fashion with vias or in many cases, a mix of the two approaches. Chiplets are smaller and have higher yield, but there is complexity and cost in the 2.5D and 3D packaging. The consensus, excepting Cerebras, is that this chiplet approach will yield the best tech-onomic results, to use a term from de Geus.

With SysMoore, we are moving from system on chip designs to system of chips designs, illustrated below, to bend up the semiconductor innovation curve that has been dominated by Moores Law for so long (with some help from Dennard scaling until 2000 or so, of course). Like this:

The one thing that is not on the charts that de Geus showed in the keynote, and that we want to inject as an idea, is that compute engines and other kinds of ASICsare definitely going to get more expensive even if the cost of packing up chiplets or building wafer-scale systems does not consume all of the benefits from higher yield that comes from using gangs of smaller chips or adding lots of redundancy into a circuit and never cutting it up.

By necessity, as the industry co-designs hardware and software together to wring the most performance per dollar per watt out of a system, we will move away from the volume economics of mass manufacturing. Up until now, a compute engine or network ASIC might have hundreds of thousands to millions of units, driving up yields over time and driving down manufacturing cost per unit. But in this SysMoore Era, volumes for any given semiconductor complex will go down because they are not general purpose, like the X86 processor in servers and PCs or the Arm system on chip was for smartphones and tablet have both been for the past decade and a half. If volumes per type of device go down by an order of magnitude, and the industry needs to make more types devices, this will put upward pressure on unit costs, too.

So what is the answer to these perplexing dilemmas that the semiconductor industry is facing? Artificial intelligence augmenting human expertise in designing these future system of chips complexes, of course. And it is interesting that the pattern that evolved to create machine learning for data analytics is being repeated in chip design.

EDA is relatively simple conceptually, explains de Geus. If you can capture data, you may be able to model it. If you can model it, maybe you can simulate. If you can simulate, maybe you can analyze. If you can analyze, maybe you can optimize. And if you can optimize, maybe you can automate. Actually, lets not forget the best automation is IP reuse it is the fastest, most efficient kind. Now its interesting to observe this because if you look at the bottom layers, what we have been doing in our field really for 50 years, is we have built digital twins of the thing that we are still building. And if we now say were going to deliver to our customers and the world that 1,000X more capability in chips, the notion of Metaverse some call it Omniverse, Neoverse, whatever you want to call it is becoming extremely powerful because it is a digital view of the world as a simulation of it.

The complexity that comprises a modern chip complex, full of chiplets and packaging, is mind-numbing and the pressure to create the most efficient implementation, across its many possible variations, is what is driving the next level of AI-assisted automation. We are moving from computer-aided design, where a workstation helped a chip designer, to electronic design automation, where synthesis of logic and the placing and routing of that logic and its memories and interconnects, is done by tools such as those supplied by Synopsys, to what we would call AIDA, short for Artificial Intelligence Design Automation, and making us think of Ada Lovelace, of course, the programmer on the Difference Engine from Charles Babbage.

This chart captures the scale of complexity in an interesting way, since the bottom two have been automated by computers IBMs Deep Blue using brute force algorithms to play chess and Googles AlphaGo using AI reinforcement learning to play Go.

Google has been using lessons learned from AlphaGo to do placement and routing of logic blocks on chips, as we reported two years ago from ISSCC 2020, and Synposys is embedding AI in all parts of its tool stack in something it is calling Design Space Optimization, or DSO. A chess match has a large number of possible moves, and Go has orders of magnitude more, but both are win-loss algorithms. Not so for route and placement of logic blocks or the possible ways to glue compute complexes together from myriad parts. These are not zero sum algorithms, but merely better or worse options, like going to the eye doctor and sitting behind that annoying machine with all the blasted lenses.

The possible combinations of logic elements and interconnects is a very large data space, and will itself require an immense amount of computation to add AI to the design stack. The amount has been increasing on a log scale since the first CAD tools became widely used:

But the good news is that the productivity gains from chip design tools have been growing at a log scale, too. Which means what you can do with one person and one workstation designing a chip is amazing here in the 2020s. And will very likely be downright amazing in the 2030s, if the vision of de Geus and his competitors comes to pass.

In the chart above, the Fusion block is significant, says de Geus, and it is implemented in something called the Fusion Compiler in the Synopsys toolchain, and this is the foundation for the next step, which is DSO. Fusion plugs all of these different tools together to share data as designers optimize a chip for power, performance, and area or PPA, in the lingo. These different tools work together, but they also fight, and they can be made to provide more optimal results than using the tools in a serial manner, as this shows:

The data shown above is an average of more than 1,000 chip designs, spanning from 40 nanometers down to 3 nanometers. With DSO, machine learning is embedded in all of the individual elements of the Fusion Compiler, and output from simulations is used to drive machine learning training that in turn is used to drive designs. The way we conceive of this and de Geus did not say this is that the more the Synopsys tools design chips and examine options in the design space, the faster it will learn what works and what does not and the better it will be at showing human chip designers how to push their designs.

Lets show some examples of how the early stages of DSO works with the Synopsys tools, beginning with a real microcontroller from a real customer:

De Geus highlighted the important parts of the design, with a baseline of the prior design and the target of the new design. A team of people were set loose on the problem using the Synopsys tools, and you can see that they beat the customer target on both power and timing by a little bit. Call it a day. But then Synopsys fired up the Fusion Compiler and its DSO AI extensions. Just using the DSO extensions to Fusion pushed the power draw down a lot and to the left a little, and then once AI trained algorithms were kicked on, the power was pushed down even further. You can see the banana curve for the DSO and DSO AI simulations, which allows designers to trade off power and timing on the chip along those curves.

Here is another design run that was done for an actual CPU as it was being designed a year ago:

A team of experts took months to balance out the power leakage versus the timing in the CPU design. The DSO extensions to the Fusion Compiler pushed it way over to the left and down a little, and when the AI trained models of the tool were switched on, a new set of power leakage and timing options were shown to be possible. A single engineer did the DSO design compared to a team using the Synopsys tools, and that single engineer was able to get a design that burned from 9 percent to 13 percent less power and had 30 percent less power leakage with anywhere from 2X to 5X faster time to design completion.

There were many more examples in the keynote of such advances after an injection of AI into the tools. But here is the thing, and de Geus emphasized this a number of times. The cumulative nature of these advances are not additive, but multiplicative. They will amplify much more than the percents of improvement on many different design vectors might imply. But it is more than that, according to de Geus.

The hand that develops the computer on which EDA is written can help develop the next computer to write better EDA, and so on, de Geus explained at the end of his talk. That circle has brought about exponential achievements. So often we say that success is the sum of our efforts. No, its not. It is the product of our efforts. A single zero, and we all sink. Great collaboration, and we all soar.

Continued here:
SysMoore: The Next 10 Years, The Next 1,000X In Performance - The Next Platform

Misinformation and political divisions over science have hampered much-needed climate action in North America, according to a landmark United Nations report.

The second chapter of the sweeping assessment from the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), the most authoritative look at global climate change, was released on Monday.

It says that the unequivocally human-caused climate crisis is dangerously disrupting the natural world and has left about half the people on the planet highly vulnerable to impacts.

Follow the latest on the IPCC report and reaction across the globe.

And for the first time, the IPCC report, which is signed off by 195 governments before release, took an in-depth look at the role that climate change misinformation is playing in North America.

In an email, Dr Sherilee Harper, an IPCC lead author and Canada Research Chair in Climate Change and Health at the University of Alberta, told The Independent: Evidence assessed in the report shows how strong party affiliation and partisan opinion polarization can contribute to delayed climate action, most notably in the USA, but also in Canada.

The IPCC report found that vested interests have undermined science, downplaying the risk and urgency of the climate crisis, and created polarization in public and policy domains.

Dr Max Holmes, executive director at Woodwell Climate Research Center in Massachusetts, told The Independent that he was glad to see the IPCC calling out climate misinformation, calling it super important.

We lead the world in vested interests generating rhetoric and misinformation that undermines climate science, he said.

Climate misinformation has had heightened attention in the US in recent weeks. The streaming platform, Spotify, was forced to confront the issue, along with Covid misinformation, after a series of guests on Joe Rogans hit podcast made false and inaccurate statements.

During an interview last month Dr Jordan Peterson, a Canadian clinical psychologist who is not a climate scientist, told Mr Rogans millions of listeners that theres no such thing as climate then falsely claimed that more people die every year from solar energy than from nuclear.

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In US Congress, the House Committee on Oversight and Reform has been calling on chief executives and board members of the USs largest oil companies to testify in an investigation into the fossil fuel industrys alleged long-running campaign to spread climate disinformation and greenwash its role in causing global warming.

Last week, the White House Office of Science and Technology Policy hosted a virtual roundtable with some of Americas most prominent climate scientists to discuss how arguments for delaying action on climate change can be countered effectively.

In a statement US Special Presidential Envoy for Climate John Kerry said that the IPCC report paints a dire picture about climate change impacts already occurring and the terrible risks ahead if we continue to ignore science.

Denial and delay are not strategies, they are a recipe for disaster, Secretary Kerry said. Fortunately, we have a blueprint for action. The best scientists in the world have shown us that we must accelerate adaptation action, with urgency and at scale.

The IPCC report says the world faces unavoidable climate impacts over the next two decades with global warming on track to exceed 1.5C (2.7F) above pre-industrial levels.

Even temporarily exceeding this warming level will result in more severe impacts, some of which will be irreversible.

North America is facing accelerating climate change hazards, and Indigenous Peoples, low-income and historically marginalized communities are the most vulnerable.

Climate-linked extreme events have battered North America in the past year from the Pacific Northwests deadly heatwave, Western wildfires and megadrought, and powerful storms like Hurricane Ida. Their cascading impacts are increasingly difficult to manage.

Communities in low-lying coastal cities are particularly at risk, the IPCC report says, from sea-level rise and hurricanes.

Increased heatwaves, droughts and floods are already exceeding plants and animals tolerance thresholds, driving mass mortalities in species such as trees, and amplifying threats to protected species.

Climate-driven declines will continue to impact food security and intensify losses of key US crops and livestock. Marine species are expected to decline or shift to different areas as ocean acidification and marine heatwaves increase.

Heavy exploitation of limited water supplies, especially in the US Western and northern Mexico, will lead to heightened impacts and risks.

Risks can be reduced by adaptation over the coming decades but plans must be ramped up and transformational, the authors noted. At the same time, planet-heating carbon emissions need to be slashed.

Since the last IPCC report in 2014, experts can now assess many more adaptation strategies - those which have worked, and those with unintended negative consequences.

One example of so-called maladaptation is seawalls. While a seawall may help protect people from coastal flooding in one location, its possible that the same structure can negatively impact others living further down the shore, or have adverse consequences during an extreme rain event.

Dr Holmes said that he hoped the IPCC report would inspire more thoughtful adaptation strategies. You can do things that are worse than doing nothing, he noted.

The first chapter of the sixth IPCC assessment was published last August and revealed that it is more likely than not that the world will reach 1.5C sometime over the next 20 years. UN Secretary General Antonio Guterres called the report a code red for humanity.

The third section of the report will focus on mitigation - what needs to be done to limit planet-heating emissions - and is expected at the beginning of April.

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IPCC report calls out misinformation as barrier to tackling climate crisis in North America - Yahoo News

Ill wager no wounds were found in his back! Purportedly, theseare the words of the mother of Alamo hero Jim Bowie when she heard of hisvaliant death. Bowies life has beenwell documented in history books, andHollywood films where such notable actors as Alan Ladd, Richard Widmark, andJames Arness portrayed Bowie.In his early days, Bowie was known as a carousing woodsman with a violent temper. But in 1828, he made a public commitment of faith in Christ. Six months later, Bowie married Maria Ursula de Veramendi, and he was the father of two children.While most of us have heard about Jim Bowies knife, few knowabout his Bible. According to an 1897 article inThe Southern Mercurynewspaper, Jim Bowies Bible came to rest inthe library of the Texas SupremeCourt. The Chief Justices have used this same Bible to inaugurate governors,and other elected officials for over 150 years.Published in 1816, this pocket-sized King James Version of the Bibleis bound in brown sheepskin and is inscribed on the flyleaf with the words,Supreme Court of the Republic ofTexas, 184[?]. We do not know the lastnumber because half of the page was torn off. Tradition says that Sam Houston gainedthe Bible and wrote his name in it, but someonestole his signature by tearingoff the page.Ever since, this same Bible has been referred to as Sam HoustonsBible, and over 30 Texas governors have placed their hand on it including RickPerry and Greg Abbott. At hisinauguration in 1995, Governor George W. Bushstated unambiguously that the Bible upon which his hand rested was SamHoustons own.Numerous studies have been done to verify or disprove that thisBible actually belonged to Sam Houston and Jim Bowie. Convincing arguments havebeen made on both sides, butin the end, the governors continue to take theiroath of office by placing their hand on Sam Houstons Bible.Did Houston or Bowie ever own this Bible? No one knows for sure. Butthe overriding reality is that the governors of Texas believe in the authorityof the Bible! By taking their oath ofoffice publicly with their hand on aBible, they validate the importance of the Word of God.Recently, Jordan Peterson, a highly-regarded Canadian psychologist,stated that the Bible is way more than just true, its the bedrock of Westerncivilization. Indeed, the Bibleprovides wisdom, guidance, and Divinerevelation for governing society.Conversely, if the Bible is ignored or disparaged, society isdoomed. Could it be that devaluing the Bible is a major cause of our current problemslike raging violence, breakdown ofthe family, racial tensions, rampantimmorality, and so many more societal issues?Jesus said, It is written: Man shallnot live on bread alone, but on every word that comes from the mouth of God.(Matthew 4:4 NIV) It is still true today.

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David G. Rose has been a credentialed minister for over 55 years. He is the author of the book GOD and TEXAS, and the founder of David Rose Ministries in Richmond, TX. Comments may be sent to parsonrose@aol.com, or visit http://www.davidroseministries.com.

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GOD and TEXAS: Jim Bowie's Bible | Community | fbherald.com - Fort Bend Herald

In a culture that has plenty of chick flicks to go around, it is rare for there to be a true dude flick that isnt another war movie. However, Clint Eastwoods Gran Torino is a dude flick if ever there were one, and it is marvelous. While the violence, crude language, and derisive humor may put some viewers off, these factors accentuate the exaggerated but thoroughly masculine feel of the movie and its characters. Like any movie that displays strong masculinity or a traditional message, Gran Torino was snubbed by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences, but I argue that Gran Torino presents a blunt picture of modern young mens predicament, and a beautiful and inspiring image of what our manhood can be.

Many of the scenes that set the mood of Gran Torino are deeply cathartic for a man of Generation-Z. Its establishing shots show a beautiful local church where people congregate surrounded by neighborhoods dilapidated in poverty. Based in economically depressed Detroit, young men are shown involved with gangs and dealing with the cultural confusion of mass immigration among poor Hmong migrants. Among the rich urban socialites like main character Walter Kowalskis children, immodesty and a dearth of tradition are shown in the lack of any respect that Walts son and granddaughter have for their home city, even at the funeral of Walts wife, which opens the movie. This is life for the young American man: a world lacking modesty, economic guarantees, religion, or culturea world without meaning.

The film does not name the illness that underlies these symptoms, but it can be clearly seen by the watchful eye. The problem with our declining America, Eastwood outlines, sounds like a Jordan Peterson lecture: we are burdened by chaos unbridled by traditional and sensible masculine order. All of the perpetrators of decay in this film are agents of this untraditional, insensible chaos. The antagonistic women in the film are nagging like Walts daughter-in-law (literally named Karen), or entitled like his granddaughter Ashley, whose first major conversation in the movie is to ask if she can have Walts car after he dies. These typical examples of unbalanced feminine chaos are countered by the unbalanced masculine order of street thugs, like the movies antagonist Spider, or disrespectful and out-of-touch Gen-Xers, like Walts son Mitch.

Through Walts relationship with Thao Vang Lor, a young, fatherless Hmong boy whom he takes under his wing, our young men see the image of the life we wish we could have. Thao is the archetype that modern young man sees himself to be: effeminate, weakened by exile from the masculine order of his home culture and deprived of the birthright that is his fathers presence in his life. However, Thao still has a deep sense of honor and an underlying knowledge that there are things worth standing up for. The goal for the young man is the masculine life Thao achieves by the films end, complete with a father figure, a grill fork in one hand and a beer in the other, and roots in a community. We want Thaos virtuesa hard working job, competence, experience, a pretty girl on the arm, and strong friends across racial and cultural lines to boot.

What is the medicine that cures the unbridled chaos of the young man and gives him this life of true, fulfilled masculinity? This medicine is represented in the image of the Gran Torino itself. This classic car symbolizes to the young American man watching this movie exactly what it symbolizes to Walt, and eventually to Thao. The Gran Torino is the spirit of American masculinity, built on the factory lines, informed by centuries of culture, and carefully maintained by an experienced man, with all his tools and habits, over a complete lifetime. That car is the very virtue that lives in the heart of the American man, dormant as it may be. This creature of the American male soul brings not only freedom, competence, and mobility, but it is also just undeniably cool. Thao is a stand-in for us, the next generation of American boys and young men, and like Walts prize and joy, we are being called to build true masculinity from the ground up, and it is only at that point that, like Thao, we inherit the ownership of the Gran Torino.

Featured Image Courtesy of K via Flickr

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The Countercultural Messaging of Gran Torino The Torch | Boston College's Catholic Newspaper - The Torch

WESTLAND New Boston Huron didn't stumble.

Huron's boys showed why they are ranked No. 1 in the state while rolling over the field in the Division 2 Regional at Town N Country Lanes Friday.

Huron shot a 3,840 series to easily top runner-up Tecumseh (3,772). Airport (3,758) took third and also qualified for the state finals Friday at Super Bowl in Canton.

Gibraltar Carlson just missed the cut, finishing fourth with 3,742.

Milan (3,601) was seventh.

Hurons Donald Jacobs had a huge day in singles Saturday. He averaged 221.5 over six games to win the Regional singles title with 1,329. He rolled games of 269, 192, 202, 266, 181 and 219.

Monroe County Region bowlers wound up claiming six of the 10 state qualifying spots. Joining Jacobs at state will be Nico Reach (1,185), Zack Sisk (1,164) and Jordan Bryson (1,150) of Carlson, Colin Peterson (1,171) of Airport, and Hurons Dakota Frahm (1,160).

Andrew Catalano of Huron fell just 7 pins short at 1,143.

Airport's girls earned a trip to state by taking second.

The Jets shot 3,419, which was second only to South Lyon East with 3,459. Huron was one spot away from the third and final state-qualifying spot with 3,171. Carlson placed 10th with 2,497.

Airport's Kyla Peterson was the individual Regional champion with 1,185. She was 20 pins better than anyone in the field.

Also qualifying for state were Huron's Veronica Richardson (third with 1,095), Airport's Ryan Giese (seventh with 1,022) and Milan's Rachel Peladeau (ninth with 1,004).

Huron's Mariah Nutter was close (14th with 982).

WOODHAVEN Nataleigh Eagle was the model of consistency for Monroe in the team event of the Division 1 Regional at Skore Lanes Friday.

She rolled games 201, 201 and 213 for a 615 series and helped the Trojans earn a trip to the state finals. They finished third with 3,214 including the best game of the day 910.

Lincoln Park was first with 3,412 and Warren Cousino second with 3,351.

Patricia Reaume and Rachel Folger both were well over average for Monroe.

Bedford was 11th with 2,751.

Monroe's boys were fifth with 3,919 and Bedford placed eighth with 3,841, Woodhaven (4,161), Warren Woods Tower (4,067) and St. Clair Shores Lakeview (3,965) qualified for state.

Bedfords Laci MacQuisten finished third in Saturdays singles competition with a six-game series of 1,157. She will be joined at state by Eagle (fourth with 1,149) and Teagen Pillette (sixth with 1,038) of Monroe.

Monroes Blake Cabrera fell just five pins shy of the boys singles Regional title with a 1,299. Bedford pushed Logan Cook (sixth with 1,256) and Cooper Grueling (seventh with 1,236) through to state.

Monroes Nick Walters was close to qualifying. He finished 12th with 1,189.

FLAT ROCK Flat Rock's boys took advantage of bowling on its home lanes to earn a trip to the state finals Friday at Jax 60 in Jackson.

The Rams shot 3,679 to take third place.

The first two qualifying spots went to Summit Academy (3,681) and Ann Arbor Gabriel Richard (3,695).

Jefferson finished eighth with 3,337.

On the girls side, Flat Rock was seventh with 2,687 and Dundee eighth with 2,652. The three state qualifying teams were Clinton (3,067), Onsted (3,046) and Summit Academy(2,931).

Individually, Alexis Brown (seventh with 968) and Raven Luff (10th with 930) qualified for state. No Region boys made the cut.

TECUMSEH St. Mary Catholic Central was sixth in the girls standings and ninth in the boys in the Regional at Ten Pin Alley.

Summerfield's first-year boys team placed 15th.

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Regional Bowling: Huron boys live up to No. 1 state ranking to win title - Monroe Evening News