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Will Bitcoin be killed by quantum computing? – Investment Monitor

Quantum computers will eventually break much of todays encryption, and that includes the signing algorithm of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. Approximately one-quarter of the Bitcoin ($168bn) in circulation in 2022 is vulnerable to quantum attack, according to a study by Deloitte.

Cybersecurity specialist Itan Barmes led the vulnerability study of the Bitcoin blockchain. He found the level of exposure that a large enough quantum computer would have on the Bitcoin blockchain presents a systemic risk. If [4 million] coins are eventually stolen in this way, then trust in the system will be lost and the value of Bitcoin will probably go to zero, he says.

Todays cryptocurrency market is valued at approximately $3trn and Bitcoin reached an all-time high of more than $65,000 per coin in 2021, making crypto the best-performing asset class of the past ten years, according to Geminis Global State of Crypto report for 2022. However, Bitcoins bumpy journey into mainstream investor portfolios coincides with major advances in quantum computing.

Most encryption relies on the relationship between public and private keys, which is called asymmetric cryptography. Quantum-vulnerable Bitcoins include those created before 2010 when public keys had not been hashed into a different and safer format. Also at risk are Bitcoin addresses that have been already used once and have therefore become visible on the blockchain. There are four million Bitcoin addresses that could in theory be hacked by a quantum computer large enough to derive the corresponding private key to unlock and transfer the value to another address. This is known as a storage attack.

The second kind of attack a transit attack attacks Bitcoin transactions in transit. In contrast to the storage attacks, where only a subset of addresses is vulnerable, all transactions are vulnerable.

In January 2022, a team at Sussex University spin-out company Universal Quantum published research on transit attacks, which calculated that it would require a quantum computer with a 1.9 billion qubit-capacity to break Bitcoins encryption in the required ten-minute window (this is the time taken for a Bitcoin to be mined). Even at 317 million qubits it would take an hour and 13 million qubits for a day. For context, IBMs superconducting quantum computer currently has a 127-qubit processor.

Cybersecurity is top of mind for those within the quantum community, but many industry insiders, including Barmes, believe there is not enough communication between the quantum computing community and the Bitcoin community to ensure future cybersecurity on the Bitcoin blockchain. There are a lot of statements made from either community which indicates a lack of understanding of the other side, he says.

Barmes believes that as long as cryptocurrencies migrate on time (to post-quantum cryptography) then everything should be fine. It is not too late to migrate, but such a migration takes time, so waiting until the last moment might turn out to be too late, he says. The exact moment when it becomes too late is, of course, unknown.

The blockchain presents a unique challenge for quantum-safe cryptography because of its decentralised nature and the complications in governance structures that this poses. Achieving this consensus is extremely difficult, so the governance issues are possibly equal to the complexities of the technical problems agreement takes much more time than people think, says Barmes. While not enough is being done on technical solutions, too little attention is also given to governance issues, he adds.

Barmes is advocating awareness of the issues as the first stage in addressing the problem. Then, very technical people need to come up with published and demonstratable solutions, not just speculation, he adds.

For investors without a technical background, quantum security is a difficult topic to evaluate. Cryptocurrency projects should be more transparent about their plans to mitigate quantum risk, says Barmes. That will give investors the information they need in order to make decisions. The hope is that this transparency could encourage a more robust mitigation strategy.

While more mainstream investors may not be aware of the potential security issues arising from quantum computing advances on Bitcoin, Miko Matsumura, general partner at San Francisco-based Cryptos Capital, says most knowledgeable investors have priced in the risk of quantum cybersecurity breaches. He is not concerned about quantum computing risk because attackers have two ways to breach Bitcoin, neither one of which presents a catastrophe for the blockchain.

You could attack Bitcoins signing mechanism, which would create havoc during an attack, but the attack would be very visible, adds Matsumura. If such attackswere to take place, Satoshi [Bitcoins architect] had a plan, which was simply to hard fork Bitcoin (a complete protocol change leading to divergence from the original) and replace the signing mechanism.

On the point of consensus, Matsumura is much more buoyant than Barmes. Satoshi already wrote about what to do in case the signing algorithm was penetrated, so it is likely that the community would just agree to do what Satoshi proposed, he says.

On this more positive note, Duncan Jones, head of cybersecurity at Cambridge Quantum, says the conversation about risk needs to be more focused on how quantum technologies can enhance digital asset security. The focus is often on the threat from quantum computers, and yet blockchains face complex and sophisticated threats every day, he says. We can strengthen blockchains against some of these risks if we integrate quantum technology into the core of these systems.

This is a view reiterated by Charles Hayter, CEO and co-founder of CryptoCompare, who believes quantum computing cyber risk is not on the radar of the cryptocurrency investment community. The optimistic view is that quantum-safe cryptocurrency will solve the problems that arise and that is the reason that the community is not worried, he says. It is considered by many in the industry as like having to replace the engine on your car there is a solution.

Cryptography has always been a race against hackers and there have always been solutions along the way, says Hayter. As for quantum cybersecurity mitigation strategies on cryptocurrency exchanges, he believes it is far too early for quantum computing to be an issue.

Transitioning to post-quantum algorithms and conversations between the Bitcoin community and the quantum computing community will be key to mitigating the cybersecurity risk to cryptocurrency investment. As always, timelines around quantum computing appear to be vague, but nevertheless the time has come for Bitcoin investors to take note.

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Will Bitcoin be killed by quantum computing? - Investment Monitor

Memristors: Quantum computing breakthrough could take us back to the multiverse – RedShark News

It could be right out of Back to the Future but a device known as a quantum memristor has been invented to open up the possibility of building a brainlike supercomputer. Lets call it Orac, Blakes 7 fans.

Detailing the creation of the first prototype of such a device in the journal Nature Photonics, Experimental photonic quantum memristor | Nature Photonics, scientists say the breakthrough could help combine quantum computing with artificial intelligence and the development of quantum neuromorphic computers.

A memristor or memory resistor is describedas a kind of building block for electronic circuits that scientists predicted roughly 50 years ago but created for the first time only a little more than a decade ago.

These components are essentially electric switches that can remember whether they were toggled on or off after their power is turned off. As such, they resemble synapsesthe links between neurons in the human brainwhose electrical conductivity strengthens or weakens depending on how much electrical charge has passed through them in the past.

In theory, memristors can act like artificial neurons capable ofboth computing and storing data. As such, researchers have suggested thatneuromorphiccomputer would perform well at running neural networks, which are machine-learning systems that use synthetic versions of synapses and neurons to mimic the process of learning in the human brain.

Using computer simulations, the researchers suggest quantum memristors could lead to an exponential growth in performance in a machine-learning approach known asreservoir computingthat excels at learning quickly.

Potentially, quantum reservoir computing may have aquantum advantageover classical reservoir computing, says study lead author Michele Spagnolo, a doctoral student in quantum physics at the University of Vienna.

The advantage of using a quantum memristor in quantum machine learning is the fact that the memristor, unlike any other quantum component, has memory, he adds.

Among the more profound benefits that quantum computers could be used for is to simulate quantum physical processes for much faster drug and material design; to accelerate AI development and to provide new levels of security and information communication. But they could also be used to break public-key encryptions, to amplify current AI risks at a faster pace, or be misused in biotechnology to design bio-weapons or other risks.

We now live in a Wright brothers moment in the history of quantum computing,Ibrahim Almosallam, a consultant for the Saudi Information Technology Company, writes atWorld Economic Review. When a commercial jet version arrives, it will deliver a new leap in information technology similar to what classical computation delivered in the 20th century, and, just like with any general-purpose technology such as the internet, electricity, and, for that matter, fire alongside great benefits, comes great risks.

Then theres more prosaic stuff like a super-AI creating the latest Pixar feature. This is where quantum can turbo-charge machine learning, improving the ability of AI to derive useful information from photos and videos, according to a recent report in the Harvard Business Review Quantum Computing for Business Leaders (hbr.org).

However, building and scaling a stable quantum computer is not easy. Photons and electrons are delicate; their behaviour defies our ingrained view of how the physical world operates, saysHBR.

One of the most formidable obstacles to building functional quantum computers is that qubits dont stick around very long, the article elaborates. Vibration, temperature, and other environmental factors can cause them to lose their quantum-mechanical properties, resulting in errors. Today, the rate at which errors occur in qubits limits the duration of algorithms that can be run.

Scientists are working to build environments in which many physical qubits act together to create error-protected logical qubits, which can survive for much longer periods of time long enough to support commercially viable applications.

Still, the most advanced quantum computers today have 50 to 100 physical qubits; it will most likely need ten times that to make a single error-protected logical qubit.

It is the state of flux (known assuperpositions) in which photons exist which causes the inherent instability of quantum systems. Superposition means they can essentially be located in two or more places at once (or spin in two opposite directions at the same time).

The breakthrough quantum memristor in the new study, as outlined by IEEE Spectrum, is a technique that relies on a stream of photons existing in superpositions where each single photon can travel down two separate paths laser-written onto glass. One of the channels in this single-qubit integrated photonic circuit is used to measure the flow of these photons, and this data, through a complex electronic feedback scheme, controls the transmissions on the other path, resulting in the device behaving like a memristor.

In other words, while memristive behavior and quantum effects are not expected to coexist, the researchers appear to have overcame this apparent contradiction by engineering interactions within their device to be strong enough to enable memristivity but weak enough to preserve quantum behaviour.

Taking another leap into the theoretical, this could also have implications for our understanding of what it means to live in the multiverse.

Stay with me here. Yes, the multiverse is currently in vogue among storytellers as a means to spin more canon fodder out of tired IP franchises. Looking at you directly Marvel and your upcomingDoctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness. Even season 2 of Netflix comedy Russian Doll loops its protagonists back to 1982 and riffs on Back to the Future.

The multiverse as depicted in the movies, is a world full of endless potential; multiple parallel universes spinning in synchronicity; and the possibility of alternate, powerful, seemingly better versions of ourselves.

At Vox, a mathematical physicist at the California Institute of Technology, says this is possible in theory.

Spyridon Michalakis is no random boffin Im the science consultant forAnt-Manand I introduced the quantum realm [to Marvel], he explains.

Having established his credentials, Michalakis then explains that basically the multiverse is grounded in quantum mechanics.

Space and time are one single, singular construct, he explains in a 101 of Einsteins theory. Theres not like you have space and then time; itsspace X time.Moreover, quantum space time is a superposition: a quantum superposition of an infinite number of space times, all happening at the same time.

That word again: superposition.

This illusion basic physical reality is the fact that human beings have very specific points of view, ways of observing the superposition.

He makes this startling observation by mixing science with a cinematic metaphor.

The frame rate of the human mind is so low relative to the frame rate of the universe, he says. Lets say we only perceive 100 frames per second. We can be aware of our lives and choices we make, but then the frame rate of the universe (where you could be flicking between different timelines) is 40 orders of magnitude above that.

Were all trying to figure out the plot of the universe by just watching the beginning and the end of the movie, the first and last frame. Were just reconstructing the in-between the best we can. Thats where the multiverse hides; it hides there in between frames. Honestly, I think that the frame rate of the universe truly is infinite, not even finite, very, very large. And were so far away from that.

So that means were stuck in observing just one reality, not the multiplicity of them but we could if only we had a brain the size of a planet.

If only we could build one

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Memristors: Quantum computing breakthrough could take us back to the multiverse - RedShark News

Finland-based quantum computing company IQM receives 35M grant from EIB for its Quantum Fabrication Facility – Silicon Canals

IQM Founders | Image credit: IQM

The European Investment Bank (EIB) announced on Friday that it has granted 35M to IQM Quantum Computers for the development and commercialisation of its quantum processors. The development follows IQMs announcement in November of the opening of its first fabrication facility in Espoo, Finland.

The funding is part of the European Guarantee Funds venture debt product introduced to provide liquidity to small and medium-sized companies affected by the pandemic.

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The European Investment Bank (EIB) is a long-term lending institution of the European Union owned by its Member States. It makes long-term finance available for sound investment in order to contribute toward EU policy goals.

Speaking on the development, EIB Vice-President Thomas Ostros, says, As we consider quantum computing as a sector of strategic importance, we are glad to support the Finland-based company IQM. With our financing, we not only sustain and create jobs within a highly innovative industry, but we also place ourselves squarely behind technological know-how. Europe has a strong tradition of quantum research, and funding IQM ensures that the results of this research will be put into practice in real-world innovations.

Founded in 2018 by Jan Goetz, Juha Vartiainen, Kuan Yen Tan, and Mikko Mottonen, IQM builds scalable hardware for universal quantum computers, focusing on superconducting technology.

The company provides on-premises quantum computers for supercomputing data centres and research labs, and offers full access to its hardware. For industrial customers, IQM delivers a quantum advantage through an application-specific, co-design approach.

As a spinoff of Aalto University and VTT Technical Research Centre of Finland, IQMs core technology builds upon decades of research from the world-renowned Quantum Computing and Devices (QCD) lab. This know-how is combined with the experience of renowned quantum computing experts from Bilbao, Munich, Zurich, Delft, and several other locations.

Additionally, IQM is building Finlands first commercial 54-qubit quantum computer with VTT, and an IQM-led consortium (Q-Exa) is building a quantum computer in Germany. The computer will be integrated into an HPC supercomputer to create an accelerator for future scientific research. IQM has over 160 employees with offices in Paris, Bilbao, Munich and Espoo.

EIB President Werner Hoyer says, Quantum computing is still at an early stage. However, it has the potential to revolutionise many sectors, from drug and vaccine development to cybersecurity. Given the scale of the potential impact, global competition in quantum computing is fierce. Ensuring that companies such as IQM are well-funded is key to positioning Europe as a technological leader worldwide.

IQM says that the initial tranche of the EIB funds will be used for expanding the facility, accelerating material research and developing quantum processors.

IQMs Chief Executive Jan Goetz says, Todays chips shortage has exposed just how dependent the world is on semiconductor manufacturers in Asia. Quantum processors give us an opportunity to learn from this and become self-reliant first, and a global provider for quantum chips in the future.

This EIB loan supports us in building more balanced and resilient quantum development in Europe. We are already working on the most advanced quantum technology in Europe and this loan will also help us create the next-generation European quantum ecosystem, adds Goetz.

Recently, IQM announced its open-source processor design software, KQCircuits, the Q-Exa project for quantum acceleration for HPC centres, and the opening of the quantum fabrication facility. With this funding, the company says it will have full control over quantum processor development and strengthen its European leadership.

Catch our interview with Paul Down, Head of Sales at Intigriti.

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Finland-based quantum computing company IQM receives 35M grant from EIB for its Quantum Fabrication Facility - Silicon Canals

Something has to be done about the quantum computer security threat – PC Gamer

When it comes to technology, revolutionary is a word that gets overused. But if theres one thing in the world of 21st century computing that will deserve being described as such, its a fully functional quantum computer. It's no exaggeration to suggest that quantum computers have the potential to change the world as we know it.

Quantum computers are coming sooner than you might expect, in fact there are already functional, if rudimentary systems that have been developed by giants including IBM, Microsoft and Google along with many others. And you can be sure that the governments of the world are working behind the scenes in a quantum arms race. What we see in public is likely not at the bleeding edge of quantum computing research and development.

The power of a quantum computer, versus that of a classical computeror QC vs PCis they're set to dramatically advance fields as diverse as climate science, biology, and machine learning. But there's another application, and it's a somewhat shady one: espionage.

The governments of the world see quantum computers as a tool to break encryption standards. A fully functioning and stable high qubit quantum machine has the potential to wreak havoc across the internet. Previously secure networks would be vulnerable and public confidence in financial systems could collapse.

Forget Y2K, think Y2Q.

Then there are cryptocurrencies. Quantum computers could pose an existential threat to crypto, but I'll get to that a bit later. First, a crash course in quantum computing.

The functions of a classical computer are based around the use of bits, or binary digits, represented by 1s or 0s. A quantum bit, or a qubit as it's known, can exist as a 1 or 0, or both at the same time.This makes a QC much more adept at seeking answers to problems with a large number of outcomes or possible combinations than a classical computer.

A qubit harnesses the properties of quantum superposition. Via quantum entanglement, a qubit can be linked to other qubits to exponentially increase processing power. In simple terms, a QC is excellent at leveraging probabilities, which means that the answers to complex operations are exponentially faster with more qubits. A QC with enough qubits is capable of certain computations that a classical computer can never realistically solve. In certain cases, a calculation that a quantum computer could complete in mere minutes may take billions of years, or more to solve on even the world's most powerful supercomputer today.

The point at which a quantum computer can outperform a classical computer is called quantum supremacy. Some researchers already claim it has occurred, but any such claim is very specific, and completely impractical in a real world sense. There are also significant challenges to overcome before quantum computing becomes a commercial reality. Qubits are tricky things, to put it mildly, and maintaining coherence and scaling them is an area of ongoing research.

It's likely that we're many years away from practical quantum computers, but with enough stable qubits, there are some genuinely world-changing possibilities within reach. For now, the one I'll focus on is the ability to crack encryption. That might be the number one reason for governments to develop quantum computers.

It goes without saying that there's a need for network security. Military networks, financial systems, critical infrastructure, communications. You name it, it all needs to be secure to maintain confidence in the system. Security is built upon encryption.

Much of the encryption underpinning internet security is based upon prime numbers. As far back as 1994, American mathematician Peter Shor developed what is known as Shor's algorithm. It is used to find the prime factors of an integer. Put simply, this algorithm can be used to break many public key cryptography schemes, including RSA, one of the most widely used, and oldest algorithms for encryption.

I don't mean to be a scaremonger here. A QC capable of breaking a large key RSA encryption is probably years away at best, but the theoretical vulnerability exists, and the time to protect the possibility of an attack against it is now.

The governments of the world are developing post-quantum encryption schemes. US National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST) is undertaking a multi-year project with the aim of standardizing one or more quantum-resistant public-key cryptographic schemes. If successful, most of the world's networks should transition to security which will appear seamless to the wider public.

In the end, Y2K wasn't the catastrophe that many doomsayers predicted. Hopefully quantum computers vs public key encryption passes with as little impact as Y2K did.

The moral of the story is that it's important not to ignore the threat posed by a QC. If the NSA is taking steps to secure its networks, then others should take the threat seriously too.

Quantum computers present an existential threat to many cryptocurrencies. Bitcoin is the logical example to use. Bitcoins core protocol relies on Elliptic Curve Digital Signature Algorithm (ECDSA) to create a private key and a corresponding public key. A sufficiently powerful QC can derive the private key from the public key. This allows an attacker to access that particular wallet. ECDSA is not easy to crack, but the potential is there and ignoring it is fraught with danger given the notoriously slow pace of blockchain development combined with head-in-the-sand tribalism.

Bitcoins early wallets are particularly vulnerable due to their use of pay to public key (p2pk) addresses, including the Satoshi Nakamoto era wallets. QC sceptics will say that BTC developers can hard fork to a quantum resistant signature scheme, and thats certainly true, but those dormant wallets remain vulnerable. Some estimates put the number of lost bitcoins at up to 25% of the entire supply. That's a lot of BTC.

What if a million bitcoins suddenly appeared on the market? Confidence would plummet and the price of bitcoin would crash. A hundred billion dollars, give or take is a juicy target for a rogue state. North Korea could certainly use the money.

But BTC and other cryptos aren't just about wealth. Their decentralised nature is antithetical to the ideologies and financial sectors of many countries. A country like China might wish to destroy all confidence in crypto, in order to remain in control of its financial sector. Perhaps the US might covertly attack crypto in order to prevent its use by criminals. Russia might.. well, who knows what Russia might do.

Some cryptos have already adopted QC secure signature schemes. Others including Ethereum and Cardano have quantum signatures or protection on their roadmaps.

I want to note again, my aim here isn't to pronounce doom and gloom. Bitcoin and others will survive if they take steps to protect against QCs, it's just that time is definitely ticking along. Cryptocurrencies already face numerous adversaries day after day, and yet it survives.

But it's time to get past the FUD and take quantum computers seriously. Developers need to act now. It might be a year or 10, but If a black swan event occurs, itll be far too late to do anything about it. The later the threat gets taken seriously, the harder it will be to mitigate against it.

No. Don't stress. Most of the legwork is being done behind the scenes and your current passwords and data should remain unaffected as long as the corporate caretakers of it are competent.

You can do things like change your private keys to longer key lengths where possible, but it's pretty safe to say that an adversary with a quantum computer isn't going to be worried about accessing your personal router, banking, or Coinbase password. There's bigger fish in the sea to go after.

The main thing is to be aware of the possible threat. The more people that are aware, the more questions get asked and hopefully answered. With any luck, by the time a fully functional quantum computer sees the light of day, the world will continue just as it always has, while enjoying the benefits they will bring.

In the future, hopefully stories like this one will be long forgotten, much like those Y2K doom and gloom articles were. I want to move on to talk about how a quantum computer can help to solve the really big problems, like clean energy, cures or treatments for things like cancer or diabetes, developing next generation materials, climate simulation or managing an entire city full of self-driving cars. But we all know that the likes of China and the US are after strategic and national security objectives first. And with that in mind, the wider internet and cryptocurrency remains vulnerable.

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Something has to be done about the quantum computer security threat - PC Gamer

PRESS RELEASE: SSH launches Tectia Quantum-Safe and Zero-Trust Editions for the Next Wave of Secure Application Communications – Yahoo Finance

SSH Communications Security Oyj

SSH launches Tectia Quantum-Safe and Zero-Trust Editions for the Next Wave of Secure Application Communications

SSH announces two new editions of their flagship product Tectia SSH Client Server: Tectia Quantum Safe Edition and Tectia Zero Trust Edition. These new additions to the Tectia product family will ensure that SSHs secure remote access solutions stay agile, dynamic and robust enough to meet the challenges posed by quantum computing and cloudification.

Secure Shell (SSH) protocol enables online connections and file transfers between systems handling critical data. Tectia is the original commercial implementation of the SSH protocol, providing secure point-to-point remote access, file transfer and tunneling connections between and to applications.

Quantum computing presents challenge to encryption in the near future by threatening to render classic cryptography useless. Even now, transmissions are recorded and then decrypted when Cryptographically Relevant Quantum Computers are available, making long-term secrets vulnerable as we speak. Tectia Quantum Safe Edition protects critical remote access, file transfers and tunneling connections against the quantum threat.

Tectia Zero Trust Edition introduces an efficient role-based access control (RBAC) upgrade to bring scalability to managing access to large server estates. By operating without permanent credentials like SSH keys or passwords, Tectia Zero Trust Edition eliminates the costly process of managing or rotating credentials while also greatly enhancing system security by removing a significant potential attack vector. Additionally, it increases transparency by centralizing system audit logs.

Quantum Safe and Zero Trust are the two cornerstones of our solution portfolio. I'm extremely proud that we have upgraded Tectia with technologies that will keep our customers safe long into the future while making their environments more dynamic," says SSH CEO, Dr. Teemu Tunkelo. Tectia has a very strong and loyal customer base, especially on the financial sector, Teemu continues. It is therefore not a surprise that our first Tectia Quantum and Tectia Zero Trust customers are banks, since these businesses want to stay ahead of the cybersecurity game.

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Tectia Quantum-Safe Edition will be available to customers during Q2/2022. Tectia Zero-Trust Edition is available to customers immediately.

For more information on Tectia Quantum Safe Edition, please visit: Tectia SSH Client/Server Quantum-Safe Edition

For more information on Tectia Zero Trust Edition, please visit: Tectia SSH Client/Server Zero Trust Edition

Learn more about Tectia: Tectia SSH Client/Server

About SSHSSH helps organizations safeguard their mission-critical digital assets at rest, in transit and in use. We have 5,000+ customers worldwide, including 40 percent of Fortune 500 companies, and major organizations in Finance, Government, Retail, and Industrial segments. We are committed to helping our customers secure their business in the age of hybrid cloud and distributed IT and OT solutions. Our Zero Trust solutions offer safe electronic communications, secure access to servers and between servers. Our teams in North America, Europe, Asia along with a global network of certified partners ensure customer success. The companys shares (SSH1V) are listed on Nasdaq Helsinki. http://www.ssh.com.

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PRESS RELEASE: SSH launches Tectia Quantum-Safe and Zero-Trust Editions for the Next Wave of Secure Application Communications - Yahoo Finance