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Trkiye will continue to protect its water resources: President Erdogan – Anadolu Agency | English

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Trkiye will continue to protect its water resources: President Erdogan - Anadolu Agency | English

Will Turkey ever become a Russian gas hub? – DW (English)

Russia was the world's largest gas exporter until February 24, when Moscow invadedUkraine, shaking global energy markets and forcing Europe to end its dependence on Russian fossil fuels.

Europe imposed sanctions on Russia, which Turkey has refused to apply. Since the war began, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan has sought to play a mediatingrole in the conflict, supplying weapons to Kyiv while maintaining close relations with President Vladimir Putin.

In response,Putin proposed in October to make Turkey a hub for Russian gas deliveriesas an alternative supply route to Europea plan backed by Erdogan. But what Putin has in mindis not clear, so far.

Both presidents are going through difficult times. After 20 years in power, Erdogan faces the toughest challenge of his political life in the upcoming elections on May 14.

Erdogan's re-election bidwas already proving to be arduous amidrecord-high inflation and an economic slowdown. Adevastating earthquake that hit Turkey in February, killing almost 50,000 people, has only made it harder for the Turkish leader.The quake caused damage worth more than $103billion (96.11 billion), or approximately 9% of the country's expected national income this year.

Putin has his own set of challenges at hand, including the war in Ukraine and tough economic sanctions hitting the Russian economy.

"Putin is dangling for Turkey the'carrot' of becoming a gas hub to bring Turkey closer to Moscow's orbit similarly to whatPutin had tried to do with Germany and Nord Stream," said energy expert Agnia Grigas, a senior fellow at the Atlantic Council, a US think tank.

"Putin has traditionally used personal relationships, natural gas dealsand arguably corruption to establish closer diplomatic relations with European and Eurasian countries, so Turkey is no exception," she told DW.

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Despite promising rhetoric by the leaders of both countries, there are technical concerns about the plan for Turkey to become a Russian gas hub.

"The idea behind Putin's statements seems to send more Russian pipeline gas to Turkey, and that gas could then be re-exported to Europe," Anne-Sophie Corbeau, a global research scholar at Columbia University's Center on Global Energy Policy, told DW.

"The issue is that there is not enough pipeline capacity to do that," she added.

Two active natural gas pipeline systems carry gas from Russia to Turkey. The biggest of these,TurkStreamis designed to carry 31.5 billion cubic meters (bcm) per year and supplies gas to both Europe and Turkey via two pipelines.

The second pipeline system, BlueStream, has an annual capacity of 16 bcm and covers Turkey's domestic gas demand.

Both systems are currently heavily congested and adding one or more pipelines will take years, energy analysts say.

Russian gas is currently exempt from sanctions because so many European nations are reliant on it. However, EU states have been desperately seeking to reduce this dependency. So if Turkey becomes an energy hub that includes Russian gas, Western leaders are concerned Europe could end up importing the very Russian gas it is trying to move away from.

Considering Erdogan's well-known long-standing goal of making Turkey one of the world's leading energy trading centers, could Turkey and Russia pull this off?

"Despite the TurkStreampipeline project, Turkey does not have the potential to become a gas hub for Europe as the EU countries and Russia's near abroad countries areseeking diversification away from Russian energy sources," said energy expert Grigas.

"Likewise, most EUcountries are prioritizing alternative supplies of gas such as from the Caspian, Norway, North Africa and furtherafield such as the United States and Qatar via LNG," she said, referring to liquefied natural gas.

With oil and gas scarce, Turkey relies heavily on gas imports from Russia, Azerbaijan and Iran, as well as LNG imports from the United States, Egypt, Qatar, Nigeria and Algeria.

LNG imports have reached 14.1 bcm, accounting for 24%of total imports, according to data from the Turkish Ministry of Energy. Turkey has doubled its LNG imports since 2013, data shows.

In order for Turkey to become a gas hub and supply Europe "the only possibility that I could see is that Turkey imports more Russian pipeline gas [once the pipeline capacity has been built]. Therefore it needs less LNG and this LNG is then free to supply other European markets," Corbeau said.

"I don't think Europe wants to be more dependent on Russian gas coming through another place," she noted.

Turkey's strategic position in the Black Sea, its control over theBosphorus,and itsstatus as a NATO member makeit a valuable partner for Moscow in the current geopolitical situation. But Putin's idea of turning Turkey into a Russian gas hub could make Ankara more dependent on Moscow, analysts warn.

"You have to remember that the relationship between Erdogan andPutin has not always been great if you recall what happened in 2015," said Corbeau, referring to the downing of a Russian fighter jet by Turkish forces in Syria.

Even though the relationship was officially restored in 2016, the two countries have remainedon opposite sides in recent conflicts such as Libya and Syria.

Corbeau thinksErdogan is playing an "interesting game between Ukraine and Russia," wonderingif anyone would "betthat the relationship between Russia and Turkey in particular their presidentswould be good for a long time."

"It's not really down to the relationship between two countries but the relationship between two presidents. At the end of the day it's all about Mr. Putin and Mr. Erdogan," she added.

There is one more piece of the puzzle. Turkey will go to the ballot box on May 14, which could be a game changer, said Grigas and could spell the end to the "cozy personal relationship between Putin and Erdogan," resultingin changes toTurkey's energy and foreign policy.

Turkey had planned to hold a natural gas summit in Istanbul this year, bringingtogether gas suppliersand Europe's consumer countries. The event, which was initially planned for Februaryand was postponed to March 22 due to the earthquake, has been pushed back indefinitely, according to local media reports.

The Kremlin said on Monday that work to create a gas hubin Turkey was "a complex project that would require time to come to fruition."

"It is clear that this is quite complicated work, it is a rather complex project which, unfortunately, cannot be implemented without time shifts, without technical or other problems," Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov told reporters.

"Such situations are inevitable in relation to the Turkish hub. We will follow it, we will continue to work with our Turkish partners."

Edited by: Ashutosh Pandey

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Will Turkey ever become a Russian gas hub? - DW (English)

Erdogan: Turkey will ratify Finland’s NATO membership ahead of … – NHK WORLD

Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan has said he will ask parliament to ratify Finland's NATO membership, while putting Sweden's bid on hold for the time being.

Erdogan made the announcement in Ankara on Friday, accompanied by Finnish President Sauli Niinisto.

The Turkish president said Finland has taken "concrete steps" to address his calls to crack down on Kurdish separatist militants, who Ankara regards as "terrorists."

Erdogan has suggested that Sweden has not done enough, and that he will continue watching what actions it takes.

Finland and Sweden both applied for NATO membership in May last year, following Russia's invasion of Ukraine. Finland shares a border with Russia.

Accession to the trans-Atlantic alliance requires approval by all 30 member states.

Finland now appears assured of gaining membership. The only other hold-out, Hungary, has said its parliament will vote on ratification on March 27.

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Erdogan: Turkey will ratify Finland's NATO membership ahead of ... - NHK WORLD

Trial of 2016 Twitter Troll to Test Limits of Online Speech – The New York Times

The images appeared on Twitter in late 2016 just as the presidential campaign was entering its final stretch. Some featured the message vote for Hillaryand thephrases avoid the line and vote from home.

Aimed at Democratic voters, and sometimes singling out Black people, the messages were actually intended to help Donald J. Trump, not Hillary Clinton. The goal, federal prosecutors said, was to suppress votes for Mrs.Clinton by persuading her supporters to falsely believe they could cast presidential ballots by text message.

The misinformation campaign was carried out by a group of conspirators, prosecutors said, including a man in his 20s who called himself Ricky Vaughn. On Monday he went on trial in Federal District Court in Brooklyn under his real name, Douglass Mackey, after being charged with conspiring to spread misinformation designed to deprive others of their right to vote.

The defendant, Douglass Mackey, tried to steal peoples right to vote, a prosecutor, Turner Buford, told jurors Monday morning during his opening statement. He did it by spreading a fraud.

A few minutes later, a defense lawyer, Andrew J. Frisch, said that Mr. Mackey, a staunch political conservative, would testify in his own defense. Mr. Frisch added that his client had been trying only to attract attention to himself by posting memes, not carry out a clandestine conspiracy.

Mr. Mackey did not share these memes as some sort of grand plan, he said, adding that it was not a crime to vigorously support your candidate of choice.

Prosecutors have said that Mr. Mackey, who went to Middlebury College in Vermont and said helived on the Upper East Side of Manhattan, used hashtags and memes as part of his deception and outlined his strategies publicly on Twitter and with co-conspirators in private Twitter group chats.

Obviously we can win Pennsylvania, Mr. Mackey said on Twitter, using one of his pseudonymous accounts less than a week before the election, according to a complaint and affidavit. The key is to drive up turnout with non-college whites, and limit black turnout.

That tweet, court papers said, came a day after Mr. Mackey tweeted an image showing a Black woman in front of a sign supporting Mrs. Clinton. That tweet told viewers they could vote for Mrs. Clinton by text message.

Prosecutors said nearly 5,000 people texted the number shown in the deceptive images, adding that the images stated they had been paid for by the Clinton campaign and had been viewed by people in the New York City area.

On the trials first day of testimony, prosecutors presented several witnesses.

One, Jess Morales Rocketto, said she was working for the Clinton campaign when the deceptive images urging viewers to vote by text began circulating in late 2016. She testified that those images had used a hashtag from the campaign as well as a logo that closely resembled the campaigns own logo.

Its a very sneaky graphic, she said. Its definitely designed to look very close to a legitimate ad.

Mr. Mackeys trial is expected to provide a window into a small part of what the authorities have described as broad efforts to sway the 2016 election through lies and disinformation. While some of those attempts were orchestrated by Russian security services, others were said to have emanated from American internet trolls.

People whose names may surface during the trial or who are expected to testify include a man who tweeted about Jews and Black people and was then disinvited from the DeploraBall, a far-right event in Washington, D.C., the night before Mr. Trumps inauguration and an obscure federal cooperator who will be allowed to testify under a code name.

As the trial has approached, people sympathetic to Mr. Mackey have cast his case as part of a political and cultural war, a depiction driven in part by precisely the sort of partisan social media-fueled effort that he is accused of engineering.

Mr. Mackeys fans have portrayed him as a harmless prankster who is being treated unfairly by the state for engaging in a form of free expression. That notion, perhaps predictably, has proliferated on Twitter, advanced by people using some of the same tools that prosecutors said Mr. Mackey used to disseminate lies. Mackey supporters have referred to him on social media as a meme martyr and spread a meme showing him wearing a red MAGA hat and accompanied by the hashtag #FreeRicky.

Some tweets about Mr. Mackey from prominent figures have included apocalyptic-sounding language. The Fox personality Tucker Carlson posted a video of himself on Twitter calling the trial the single greatest assault on free speech and human rights in this countrys modern history.

Joe Lonsdale, a founder of Palantir Technologies, retweeted an assertion that Mr. Mackey was being persecuted by the Biden DOJ for posting memes and added: This sounds concerning. Elon Musk, the billionaire owner of Twitter, replied with a one word affirmation: Yeah.

Mr. Mackey is accused of participating in private direct message groups on Twitter called Fed Free Hatechat, War Room and Infowars Madman to discuss how to influence the election.

Prosecutors said people in those groups discussed sharing memes suggesting that celebrities were supporting Mr. Trump and that Mrs. Clinton would start wars and draft women to fight them.

One exchange in the Madman group centered on an image that falsely told opponents of Brexit that they could vote remain in that British referendum through Facebook or Twitter, according to investigators. One participant in the group asked whether they could make something similar for Mrs. Clinton, investigators wrote, adding that another replied: Typical that all the dopey minorities fell for it.

Last summer, defense lawyers asked that Mr. Mackeys case be dismissed, referring to Twitter as a no-holds-barred-free-for-all and saying the allegedlydeceptive memes had been protected by the First Amendmentas satirical speech.

They wrote to the court that it was highly unlikely that the memes had fooled any voters and added that any harm was in any event far outweighed by the chilling of the marketplace of ideas where consumers can assess the value of political expression as provocation, satire, commentary, or otherwise.

Prosecutors countered that illegal conduct is not protected by the First Amendment merely because it is carried out by language and added that the charge against Mr. Mackey was not based on his political viewpoint or advocacy. Rather, they wrote, it was focused on intentional spreading of false information calculated to mislead and misinform voters about how, where and when to cast a vote in a federal election.

Judge Nicholas G. Garaufis ruled that the case should continue, saying it was about conspiracy and injury, not speech and adding that Mr. Mackeys contention that his speech was protected as satire was a question of fact reserved for the jury.

The prosecutions star witness is likely to be a man known as Microchip, a shadowy online figure who spread misinformation about the 2016 election, according to two people familiar with the matter who spoke on condition of anonymity.

Microchip was a prominent player in alt-right Twitter around the time of the election, and Judge Garaufis allowed him to testify under his online handle in part because prosecutors say he is helping the F.B.I. with several other covert investigations. Sunday, the case was reassigned to U.S. District Judge Ann M. Donnelly.

In court papers filed last month, prosecutors said they intended to ask the witness to explain to the jury how Mr. Mackey and his allies used Twitter direct messaging groups to come up with deceptive images discussing the time, place, and manner of voting.

One of the people whom Microchip might mention from the stand is Anthime Gionet, better known by his Twitter name, Baked Alaska; he attended the violent Unite the Right rally in Charlottesville, Va., in August 2017. He was barred from the DeploraBall after sending a tweet that included stereotypes about Jews and Black people.

In January, Mr. Gionet was sentenced to two months in prison for his role in storming the Capitol on Jan. 6, 2021.

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Trial of 2016 Twitter Troll to Test Limits of Online Speech - The New York Times

Dutch Elections Produce Another Popular Wave But the Same Prime … – Foreign Policy

Is every Dutch farmer an elected official now? Not quite, but the Farmer-Citizen Movement (BBB) secured a massive victory in last weeks provincial elections in the Netherlands. Despite the countrys farmers only making up around 1 percent of the population, it is now the largest party in every provincial legislature. These newly elected provincial legislators will in turn elect the upper chamber in May and make the BBB the largest party there, with around 17 of 75 seats.

These results represent yet another convulsion on the right of the Dutch political spectrum. It is a remarkable debut for a party that is not currently represented in the Senate, and the second time in a row that a new party has become the largest party in the Dutch Senate after the radical-right Forum for Democracys surprise win in 2019. BBB leader Caroline van der Plasher first name pronounced as one would in English, which in the Netherlands is a marker of coming from the non-elite classesfounded the BBB that year in cooperation with a marketing agency for the agricultural industry. Van der Plas was the partys sole elected official at the start of this week, having won a seat in Parliament in the 2021 general election. The party has presented itself as the voice of the forgotten man, as one does, in particular if that man (or woman) resides outside the Amsterdam-Rotterdam-The Hague-Utrecht megapolis known as the Randstad.

The partys signature policy issue is opposition to planned curbs on nitrogen emissions. This may sound like a niche issue, but last summer was marked by widespread farmer protests against the restrictions that could count on the sympathy of significant numbers of voters, especially outside the Randstad. The urban-rural cleavage is easily visible in Wednesdays election results. For example, the BBB finished in eighth position in the city of Utrecht, in the urban core, with 5.2 percent of the vote, while still winning the province. In contrast, the largely rural province of Overijssel gave it 31.3 percent of the vote, almost four times the vote share of its closest competitor. To be clear, there are significant numbers of voters who care passionately about environmental policy on the other side of the issue as well. While the GreenLeft and the Party for the Animals may have secured only 11.1 percent of the vote in Overijssel, they were the options selected by 31 percent of voters in Utrecht.

While most of the attention will go to the newcomers dramatic victory, the results have important implications for long-standing Prime Minister Mark Rutte, in office since 2010, and his centrist government as well. His coalition consists of the prime ministers center-right Peoples Party for Freedom and Democracy (VVD), the once-almighty Christian Democratic Appeal (CDA), the social liberals of Democrats 66 (D66), and the do-gooder Protestants of the increasingly diverse Christian Union.

The new composition of the Senate may complicate the governments ability to secure majorities for its legislative initiatives there, especially in areas like immigration and environmental policy. At the same time, ironically, it solidifies Ruttes indispensable position at the heart of Dutch politics. It is harder than ever to see how anyone but him will be able to cobble together a majority in Parliament, the dominant lower chamber of the States General, in the foreseeable future. From todays vantage point, the longest-serving prime minister in Dutch history looks like he could remain prime minister for another decade if he chooses to. After all, at only 56 years old he would be one of the younger U.S. senators.

Wednesdays results were a shock to the political system, but not a surprise. BBB had been polling well and van der Plas is omnipresent in the Dutch media. At the same time, the most prominent representative of the previous (and third, since the turn of the century) wave of populism on the Dutch right imploded after its 2019 victories. Opposition to an association agreement between the European Union and Ukraine brought Thierry Baudet and his Forum for Democracy (FvD) party into the limelight in the marquee national conservative year of 2016 and eventual big wins in 2019 in both provincial and Senate elections.

Since 2019, the FvD has experienced constant turmoil triggered by Baudets stances on vaccines (opposed) and Putin (not so much), and by widespread antisemitism and white nationalism within the party. In just three years, 11 of its 12 senators, as well as almost half of its MPs and all of its elected MEPs, have left the FvD, leaving space for new entrants on the right. The Farmer-Citizen Movement has filled much of that space for now, and then seats, representing the most heavily online denizens of the alt-right, with obsessions not that different from their Anglo-Saxon counterparts. The earlier second wave of Dutch right-wing populism, driven by anti-immigrant and anti-Islam sentiment, has not gone away, either: Geert Wilderss Party for Freedom (PVV) held on to four seats in the Senate this week, speaking for voters whose personality is that they dislike Muslims.

And even the first wave retains a presence: An FvD spinoff called JA-21 will occupy three Senate seats. Its leader in Parliament was first elected in 2002 on the List Pim Fortuyn ticket, shortly after Pim Fortuyn himself was assassinated by an animal rights activist. The List Pim Fortuyn was similar in some ways to the BBB, playing off general discontent with the functioning of the public sector without alienating the center-right entirely, though it lacked the BBBs rural orientation. JA-21 is perhaps best characterized as a party for folks who enjoy all the right-wing populist stuff, but only if served with a side of respectability politics. All these different niche flavors of right-wing populism add up, and these three parties combined will occupy nine seats in the new Dutch Senate. Add in the BBB and you are at 25, a third of the total, all to the governments right.

The governing coalition has been reduced to 22 Senate seats. All but three of the remaining senators are to the coalitions left. To pass legislation, the government will need to be able to count on the support of at least 16 senators in addition to their own. That is not necessarily a problemin his 13 years as prime minister, Rutte has had a Senate majority for just two years. There are two natural paths for passing legislation in the new Senate. One is to convince the Labour Party and the GreenLeft, who will caucus together, plus one additional senator from the number of parties present under the Dutch system of proportional representation. The other one is to appeal to BBB. How much use will be made of the latter route remains to be seen and will depend on the new partys internal stability and whether it manages or even strives to become a serious governing partner. The BBB route will be difficult if not impossible in key areas such as environmental policy or immigration.

Regardless, the results represent a further narrowing down of the broad center that has long dominated Dutch politics and a rightward drift. And that is what really drives Ruttes strong, in fact strengthened, position. With the CDA decimated and D66 (let Labour, the GreenLeft, the Party for the Animals, the left-neoliberals of Volt or the anti-racists of Bij1) unwilling to govern with parties to the VVDs right, there is no future coalition in sight that gets anywhere near a majority in Parliament without Rutte and the VVD. (Unless Rutte becomes secretary-general of NATO, in which case all bets are off.)

Now, to be fair, Rutte does not have an immense amount of choice in the matter, either. If this weeks results or something close to them were to materialize in the next general election, he would have to cobble together a coalition of six or so parties, and beggars cant be choosers.

None of this is particularly helpful either for those looking for electoral competition or political accountability. Ruttes previous government fell over a scandal at the tax agency involving the relentless hounding, partially on ethnic grounds, of low-income families that in many cases were permanently torn apart. With no alternative in sight, the same prime minister, leading the same coalition, was back in the saddle soon enough.

Earlier this week on a podcast about that sleeping giant of Dutch soccer, NAC Breda, one of the hosts insulted the players, was reprimanded by his co-host, and immediately apologized. Just like Rutte, was the response. As a friend joked on Election Day: The only thing Rutte hasnt apologized for is his apology for the Dutch role in the slave trade.

That does not change the fact that this seeming inevitability is convenient to the Netherlands allies and partners overseas. Just as it is hard to see an alternative to Rutte, it is difficult to imagine a move away from the current strong Dutch support for strengthening the EU, for preserving the transatlantic alliance, for arming and supporting Ukraine, for LGBT rights, for the climate transition, and for international law (such as it is). The waves of populism continue to lap at the shores, but the coastline remains the same.

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Dutch Elections Produce Another Popular Wave But the Same Prime ... - Foreign Policy