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I think that appetite has turned more into a raging starvation, said a Democrat who worked for multiple campaigns in the Rio Grande Valley in South Texas last cycle.

But taking aim at a 10-term incumbent is a massive gamble for progressives. The Democratic establishment is trying to conserve resources for the larger battle to seize the House from Republicans. Democratic officials are exasperated by yet another attempt to find a challenger from the left particularly since Cuellar has defeated one twice before.

Progressive activists in the Rio Grande Valley say the desire to get Cuellar out of office hasnt waned. Cuellar is often the only Democrat to vote with Republicans on abortion in the House an affront to activists who think the issue is a winner for Democrats. They see him as being in the pocket of the oil and gas industry. And he has been highly critical of President Joe Bidens border enforcement policies.

Cuellar beat Jessica Cisneros, an immigrant lawyer, by fewer than 300 votes in a runoff election last cycle. And there is a sense on the ground that grassroots progressive organizing in the district is even stronger now.

There is a vibrant progressive scene. Its just less visible, said Tory Gavito, president of Way to Win, an up-and-coming hub of progressive groups, and an experienced Texas strategist. She said that younger Latinos in particular have effectively been organizing in the region.

Cuellar didnt comment for this story, but in an interview about immigration with POLITICOs Playbook Deep Dive podcast, he defended his centrist instincts. We need to have centrist policies, especially when it comes to border security, but still be respectful of immigrants rights, he said.

The lawmaker hasnt drawn a primary challenger yet, and Cisneros did not respond to POLITICOs inquiries about whether she was planning to run again. (The deadline for primary candidates to file is in December.) Cuellar is not on the Republican target list for 2024, but POLITICO ranked the district as competitive last year.

Hes not the only member at risk in South Texas. When it comes to the general election, both parties are looking to make gains.

Republicans want to oust four-term Democrat Rep. Vicente Gonzalez, and Democrats think they can take out first-term Republican Rep. Monica De La Cruz.

The three Rio Grande Valley districts, Texas 28th, 15th and 34th, are majority Hispanic, have an immediate proximity to border policies and are majority working class, with about one in five people living in poverty. Both parties are working to campaign authentically and more effectively in these districts, especially when it comes to voters who prefer to speak Spanish.

Youre seeing a transformation among the Republican voters, particularly folks in the Rio Grande Valley, who share Republican values: faith, family, hard work, said National Republican Congressional Committee Chair Richard Hudson (R-N.C.). The Republican electorate has changed, and its going to continue to grow.

Democrats think they can take out first-term Republican Rep. Monica De La Cruz.|Mariam Zuhaib/AP Photo

Gavito said she didnt see Republican gains in the Valley in the most recent cycle, but she also added that the GOPs plans for long-term investment to win over these voters shouldnt be underestimated.

Both parties have spent heavily in the three South Texas districts. Cuellar received the fourth highest independent expenditure investment from the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee in his general election race. And $18 million was spent by outside groups making it the ninth most expensive House race when comparing outside spending, according to Open Secrets.

Gonzalezs race was not far behind, drawing in more than $13 million from outside groups.

De La Cruzs race attracted $4 million from outside groups, according to Open Secrets. But more than $3.3 million of that benefitted the Republican side, mostly with negative spending against Democratic first-time candidate Michelle Vallejo.

Our party did not make the financial commitment to Michelle that they should have and until theyre willing to make that commitment, its very difficult for us to take back that seat, said Texas Democratic Party Chair Gilberto Hinojosa. That seat is winnable.

Hinojosa said national Democrats need to make the serious investment needed to keep the Rio Grande Valley safe for Democrats. There are several potential Democrats eyeing a run against De La Cruz, he said, including a potential second run from Vallejo, but no one has officially declared yet.

In last cycles match up, Vallejo won the counties closest to the U.S.-Mexico border. Meanwhile, De La Cruz won the others, including the more rural parts of the district. Former President Donald Trump won it by nearly 3 points in 2020.

Republicans see an opportunity to build on trend lines among voters in rural areas in South Texas.

Look, if youre a Hispanic guy and you drive a pickup truck, and you work in the oil field and you go bird hunting on the weekends, you voted for Donald Trump, said Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Texas), who is up for reelection next year. And so I think South Texas is headed red.

Cruz donated to and campaigned with the Republican candidates in the Valley last cycle, and he said he plans to do so again next year, when hes running for reelection. Cruz won about 30 percent of the Hispanic vote in his last election in 2018 against former Democratic Rep. Beto ORourke, according to AP Vote Cast.

Gavito, the Democratic Texas strategist, said that Cuellar and Gonzalez won reelection last year because of their authentic connections with their districts and more conservative-leaning voters. Cuellar, in particular, gets bipartisan recognition for his ubiquitous presence in his district.

But his positions butt up against Democrats strategy of appealing to the growing liberal vote.

Henry Cuellars voting record is so close to Republicans hes aiding momentum around Republicans. And eventually those voters are going to want the real deal, not coca lite, Gavito said.

Continue reading here:
The nastiest Democratic primary of 2022 may be heading for another round - POLITICO

Opinion

Ask the public: do you want more jobs and higher wages, or huge companies making fatter profits by raising prices?

Fri 12 May 2023 06.12 EDT

The economic goal should be more jobs at higher wages. Right?

Yet the Federal Reserve, corporate economists and the Republican party have turned the goal upside down into fewer jobs and lower wages. Otherwise, they say, well face more inflation.

Rubbish.

This upside-down logic is pushing the United States economy toward a recession, which could hit about the same time as the next presidential election which will make Joe Biden a one-term president, just as Fed-induced recessions made Jimmy Carter and George HW Bush one-term presidents.

None of this is necessary.

The Fed has raised borrowing costs at 10 consecutive meetings, pushing its benchmark rate to over 5%. Yet inflation has barely budged. In April, it dropped to 4.9% (year-over-year) from 5% in March according to Wednesdays Labor Bureau data.

Why are the Feds rate hikes having so little effect?

Because inflation is not being propelled by an overheated economy. Its being propelled by overheated profits.

Wage gains still lag behind price increases. Average hourly earnings grew by just 0.3% in March, with year-over-year growth of only 4.2%. Wages and salaries in the Employment Cost Index, a broader measure of worker compensation, have been trending downward for a year.

Supply chains have returned to normal. Freight-trucking prices peaked in spring 2022 and since then have tumbled close to pre-pandemic levels. In March, the Federal Reserve Bank of New Yorks global supply-chain-pressure index fell to its lowest level since 2008, and it has been dropping since December 2021. Prices for raw goods have also dropped from mid-2022 highs.

Meanwhile, consumers have used up whatever extra money they accumulated during the pandemic.

So, whats causing inflation? Corporations with enough monopoly power to raise their prices and fatten their profits which the Feds rate hikes barely affect.

Even the Wall Street Journal (in a lead article last week headlined Why Is Inflation So Sticky? It Could Be Corporate Profits) spotlights corporations boosting profit margins.

Corporate profit margins were around 10% in 2019. Last year, they reached over 15% their highest level since 1950 rising 6.6% year over year. By the end of 2022, profits were still near 14%.

Prices remain sky-high because corporations got hooked on price-gouging and wont give it up.

Corporate economists argue that businesses couldnt possibly be padding their profits; if they could, they would have done it before the inflation of the last two years.

Baloney. Businesses have been using the cover of inflation to justify price increases, so consumers accept them.

According to Paul Donovan, chief economist at UBS Global Wealth Management, businesses are betting that consumers will go along with the price hikes because they assume prices are being driven by supply bottlenecks and higher energy prices. Corporations are confident that they can convince consumers that it isnt their fault, and it wont damage their brand.

Last month, Procter & Gamble said in an earnings call that it had boosted its profit margins in the first three months of the year by raising its prices.

Last Thursday, Budweiser-owner Anheuser-Busch reported a jump in profit margins for the first quarter by raising its prices.

Chipotles chief financial and administrative officer, Jack Hartung, said in the firms first-quarter earnings call that menu prices have risen by about 10%, and chairman and CEO Brian Niccol said they were staying the course on pricing despite the fact profits were up 17% for the quarter. Were in a really strong position that when were ready and we believe its necessary to pull that pricing lever, we can.

Big corporations have enough monopoly power to raise prices. With just a handful of companies dominating each market, its easy to implicitly agree theyll all raise their prices.

What to do about this? Put the burden of fighting inflation on corporations rather than on workers and consumers.

Instead of relying on the Fed to tame inflation via fewer jobs and lower wages, Congress should pass legislation that:

Allows the justice department to bust up monopolies (and prevent further consolidation through mergers and acquisitions) when three or fewer corporations have more than half the sales of a particular market.

Directs the Federal Trade Commission to find that any such corporation has engaged in unlawful price gouging whenever it has raised prices higher than the rate of inflation and impose a fine that would claw back those unlawful gains.

Permits the treasury department to impose a windfall profits tax on large corporations, above a specific reasonable rate of return or profit margin.

Republicans wont go along with any of this, of course.

Which presents Biden and the Democrats with a clear opportunity.

Make this a major campaign theme for 2024. Ask the public: do you want more jobs and higher wages, or do you want large corporations making fatter profits by raising prices?

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The Democrats have a powerful campaign issue: price-gouging corporations - The Guardian

The latest allegations from House Republicans have put more pressure on a growing scandal surrounding the Biden family.

While many Republicans have long questioned Hunter Biden's financial dealings, Democrats and independents are also voicing concerns about President Biden's involvement in his son's overseas business affairs.

"It's completely unethical," independent voter Mary Josephine Generoso said Thursday during a "Fox & Friends" discussion with a bipartisan group of voters.

"You have foreign nationals funneling money into an LLC, then being disbursed to the Biden family. I mean, it's basically unethical. It's a national security threat. It could be treasonous, as far as I'm concerned."

COMER SAYS BIDEN INVOLVED IN FAMILY BIZ DEALINGS; BROTHER, GRANDKIDS, HUNTER AND HIS WIVES ALL GOT PAID

During a press conference Wednesday, House Oversight Committee Chairman Rep. James Comer, R-Ky., and a panel of other members said they believe President Biden "has been involved" in his familys foreign business dealings "from the very beginning," telling reporters that lawmakers are only "in the beginning stages" of their investigation.

Comer listed the Biden family members who received funds, including Hunter Biden, Jim Biden, "Joe Bidens brother's wife, Hunter Biden's girlfriend or Beau Biden's widow however you want to write that Hunter Biden's ex-wife, Hunter Biden's current wife and three children of the president's son and the president's brother."

"I'm not surprised that the family is receiving money. I'm really just disappointed that politicians continue to come into office and leave extremely rich. And we really need to get back to basics and make America first and people coming into office need to really represent America and do things for America, not for themselves," independent voter Dominick Ciccarelli said.

Just before the press conference, Comer and Republican lawmakers released a more-than-30-page memo Wednesday morning revealing newly-subpoenaed bank records that they say show that the Biden family and its business associates created more than 20 companies and received more than $10 million from foreign nationals while Joe Biden served as vice president and that some of the payments could indicate attempts by the Biden family to "peddle influence."

The memo said the Biden family "used business associates companies to receive millions of dollars from foreign companies," including from those with links to the Chinese Communist Party and a corrupt individual in Romania, and "received incremental payments over time to different bank accounts."

The memo states that the "complicated and seemingly unnecessary financial transactions appear to be a concerted effort to conceal the source and total amount received from the foreign companies."

BIDEN FAMILY RECEIVED MILLIONS FROM FOREIGN NATIONALS, TRIED TO CONCEAL SOURCE OF FUNDS: HOUSE OVERSIGHT

Democrat Marissa Caro-Cortese said she was concerned the Biden family had broken that law, but also questioned why so much corruption is present in the government.

"I've had this conversation numerous times with my friends about both sides of the political spectrum. You have such corruption. When is it going to end?" she said.

"I don't think that you rise to that level of power without having skeletons in your closet on either side. But why is America okay? Why is that an okay narrative that we just get to go along with that, oh, this person's corrupt. We're going to spend taxpayer dollars to investigate them and nothing's going to change."

Comer said the panel will continue to investigate and has only subpoenaed four banks, at this point in the probe, but said lawmakers have identified 12 more they will seek records from.

"Right now, you could say that we're in the beginning stages of this investigation," Comer said.

President Biden speaks during a visit to Wolfspeed, a semiconductor manufacturer as he kicks off his Investing in America Tour in Durham, North Carolina, on March 28, 2023. (Melissa Sue Gerrits/Getty Images)

"We've seen this since before the election, and we continue on. We don't see the consequences that it should be when you break the law," Democrat Francisco "Frank" Marte said.

The White House fired back at Comer on Wednesday, accusing him of leading an "evidence-free, politically-motivated" investigation.

"House Oversight Committee Chairman James Comer is loudly and proudly broadcasting a press conference today to continue his long pattern of making absurd claims that President Biden has made governing decisions not in the interest of America, but of the Chinese Communist Party, using baseless claims, personal attacks, and innuendo to try to score political points," spokesperson Ian Sams told Fox News Digital.

Khayyam Payton, another Democrat, said he is also concerned about how the White House and other entities try to keep the focus off the president.

"[Biden's] a walking contradiction. And it seems like they always try to take the focus off of what he's doing at the moment," Payton said.

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"They make Trump seem like he's the worst villain in the world and he's broken every law. But there's no evidence of anything, but with him, it's something that they're trying to sweep under the rug."

Payton also added he will "absolutely not" vote to re-elect Biden in 2024.

Trump pleaded not guilty last month in a Manhattan federal court on charges related to alleged hush money payments made to adult film star Stormy Daniels in 2016.

Fox News' Brooke Singman contributed to this report.

See the rest here:
Democrats and independent voters alarmed over new allegations against Biden family: 'Could be treasonous' - Fox News

Pennsylvania Democrats have a new slogan: Majority matters.

And their majority in the state House is at stake in next weeks special election for a suburban Delaware County seat.

Democrats have a one-seat advantage over Republicans their first House majority in more than 12 years. But if Republicans win the 163rd House District seat, the chamber would have a Republican majority again just three months after Democrats took control.

Whoever controls the House will set the agenda on state policies for elections, school funding, taxes, abortion access, and more.

The control of the House is at stake, so we are not taking anything for granted, said Rep. Leanne Krueger (D., Delaware), who also leads the House Democrats campaign arm.

Democrats won a majority of the chambers seats in November, but three vacancies kept the party from control until special elections in February. Democrats elected the states first woman and first Black woman to the speakership, Rep. Joanna McClinton (D., Philadelphia).

And House Democrats used their new majority to advance a number of long-sought legislative priorities they previously couldnt even get a vote for in committee, such as gun reforms and protections from discrimination for LGBTQ residents.

Voters in Montour County and parts of Northumberland County are also going to the polls for a special election, but that vacant House seat is in a district widely expected to remain in Republican hands.

With such a slim majority, Democrats werent willing to take any chances on the Upper Darby seat left open, with the state Democratic Party spending nearly $1 million in ad buys, mailers, polling, and more, according to campaign finance filings.

Republicans, on the other hand, spent only a small fraction of that, in what seems like a half-hearted attempt to flip the seat.

I believe in being humble, and I believe in putting in the hard work, which I have done, said Katie Ford, the Republican candidate.

Whos running for the 163rd House seat

Two women are vying to fill the suburban Delaware County seat vacated by former Rep. Mike Zabel after he resigned in March over three public sexual harassment allegations, including accusations from a female lawmaker and a lobbyist. Libertarian Alfe Goodwin is also running.

Democratic candidate Heather Boyd has centered her campaign on maintaining her partys House majority and by extension, reproductive rights. Shes focused on preventing a constitutional amendment that would declare abortion is not a constitutional right in Pennsylvania, a change reproductive rights activists say could open the door to a state abortion ban. The Pennsylvania General Assembly approved the measure last year in the wake of the U.S. Supreme Courts reversal of Roe v. Wade, but it must be passed again this year in order to get before voters.

Boyd, 46, chairs the Upper Darby Democratic Committee and left her job as a senior adviser to U.S. Rep. Mary Gay Scanlon (D., Delaware) in March to run. Shes been involved in Democratic politics in the Philadelphia suburb for years and previously served on the local school board.

Ford, 43, is an early intervention specialist who is deeply involved in the local Home and School associations. Shes a lifelong Upper Darby resident and military veteran who describes herself as a political newcomer, spending her free time rescuing dogs.

Ford, a Republican, has emphasized Zabels misconduct and Boyds knowledge of it along with her mission to make residents excited to be Upper Darby again, she said.

Zabel first flipped the seat in 2018 from longtime Republican control, and its become bluer ever since: Under new district maps approved last year, 51% of registered voters in the district are Democrats, 37% are Republicans, and 12% are not affiliated.

Turnout in a municipal primary is always low. Add in a special election that will determine which party controls the state House, and turnout is even more unpredictable.

This is a Democratic-leaning seat, but in low-turnout primary elections like this, we need to make sure that voters turn out, Krueger said.

Democrats even employed the help of Democratic Gov. Josh Shapiro in a recent ad asking Upper Darby voters to support her, again focusing his message on abortion access in the state.

Abortion rights are threatened right now in Pennsylvania, Shapiro said in the 30-second ad. Delaware County, I need your help in the special election for state representative. The winner will determine which party controls the legislature.

If Republican extremists win, theyll take away my veto power by putting a constitutional amendment on the ballot to outlaw abortion, even in cases of rape or incest, Shapiro said in the ad. Delco, dont let them.

However, Ford said she wouldnt support the proposed constitutional amendment. Republican lawmakers have shown little interest in advancing the measure in recent months, following big Republican losses in the midterm election attributed in part to fears of abortion restrictions. She said she believes there should be exceptions and parameters for any abortion restrictions.

With a Democratic governor and Republican Senate, were not changing [abortion laws] anytime soon, and I have no interest in doing that, Ford said.

Money talks

Since May 2, hundreds of thousands of dollars have flooded into the race to represent the district, which includes parts of Upper Darby and Darby Townships and Clifton Heights, Collingdale, and Aldan Boroughs.

About $178,000 in contributions went to Boyds campaign in the last week, mostly from labor union political action committees. The House Republican Campaign Committee and other House Republicans were the biggest contributors to Fords campaign in recent days, which raised nearly $59,000 since May 2. (Candidates are required to file 24-hour campaign finance reports before the election, but not required to report their spending until after the election.)

However, Ford has spent only a fraction of what Boyd and Democrats have spent since the special election was announced in March.

Fords campaign only spent about $26,000 and accepted $16,000 in in-kind contributions through May 1. Boyd spent $103,000 on her campaign, with the state Democratic Party spending nearly tenfold of that: almost $978,000 in mailers, ad buys, polling and more.

Boyd said shes confident shell win on Tuesday.

This is a community that voted overwhelmingly for Josh Shapiro to be their governor, Boyd said. They voted for Democrats, and they want a Democrat.

Still, Ford hopes her campaigns ground game, with its knocking on more than 7,500 doors, will help her overcome what shes always known was going to be an uphill battle, she said. Shell also continue questioning Boyds assertion that she is a champion for womens rights, when Boyd admitted to The Inquirer in March that she previously knew about allegations against Zabel.

Boyd said she met one of Zabels accusers, a lobbyist for Service Employees International Union 32BJ, in 2021, who later confided in her about a 2019 experience with Zabel.

The lobbyist, Andi Perez, shared her experience at a listening tour event and asked state House leaders to change the rules to allow non-employees to file sexual harassment complaints.

Perez, in a prepared statement last month, said Boyd had been a true ally and did what she could do within the scope of her power while not breaching my trust.

Ford, however, said Boyd should have used her position on the county Democratic committee to ensure Zabel did not run again or that the party didnt support him. Like in 2020, the Democratic Party endorsed Zabel in 2022.

You can protect the privacy of the person whos gone through this and respect that [they dont want to go public], Ford said. However, you cant keep pushing someone into the position that allowed other women to be victimized.

Boyd said she talked with Zabel about his behavior, but followed Perezs lead.

Do you need to perform your trauma in order to get respect and protect your own body? I think that thats offensive, Boyd said.

An SEIU political action committee contributed $50,000 to Boyds campaign last week.

Mail ballot requests for 2,784 Democrats, 883 Republicans and 305 third-party or nonaffiliated voters were approved as of the Tuesday deadline to request one, according to Department of State data.

Excerpt from:
Pennsylvania Democrats' House majority is on the line in this special election - The Philadelphia Inquirer

The Midland County Democratic Party's fundraiser on Thursday evening had two themes: growth and the color blue.

The party held a fundraiser at the Midland Country Club for the first time and called the event The Start of Something Blue," encouraging attendees to wear blue, the color that is identified with the Democratic Party.

Speakers continually mentioned how the local party used to meet before Democrats built momentum which culminated in gaining a majority in the state legislature for the first time in many years in the November 2022 election.

As Sen. Kristen McDonald Rivet (D-Bay City) put it, We all could have fit in an elevator.

I remember 30 years ago when the County Democratic Party could join in my living room, said host Eric Blackhurst. And I lived in a very small house.

The event wouldnt fit in an elevator, or even someones living room, anymore. More than 270 people attended the fundraiser, including Midland County Clerk Ann Manary, Midland County Commissioner Alaynah Smith, Rep. Amos ONeal (D-Saginaw), Rep. Laurie Pohutsky (D-Livonia), Delta College Trustee Alex Clark and Midland Public Schools board members Phil Rausch, Jennifer Ringgold and John Hatfield.

The guests of honor were Michigan Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson and McDonald Rivet, who both gave speeches.

Midland County Democratic Party Chairperson Jennifer Austin was the first to speak, commenting on how the organization has grown since 2016 and its efforts toward creating fair and competitive districts.

Austin described the growth of the party by quoting John Green's novel The Fault in Our Stars, saying the party grew slowly, then all at once.

McDonald Rivet continued the conversation on the growth of the Democratic Party in Midland County, commenting on how small the group used to be compared to the crowd that filled the room Thursday night.

This room is so beautiful and so strong, she said. The Midland County Democratic Party is thriving and strong.

She also discussed her time campaigning for the State Senate and remembered when she would knock on a door and introduce herself as a Democrat, how some people would respond, Im a Democrat, too. Ill vote for you, but dont tell anyone.

Other speakers commented on the secrecy among Midland County Democrats before this year and how glad they are to see it end.

Lets just be loud and proud about it, Austin said. I think events like this really allow people to do that, and hopefully that will continue to grow because we had so many Democratic victories in this citytheres no reason for us to hide it anymore.

Benson rounded out the event by talking about the accomplishments of Democrats through voting - noting that 2020 had the highest voter turnout in history even during a pandemic - and the actions of the state legislature so far.

She specifically highlighted the priorities of the state government, including protecting children, fixing the roads, ensuring healthcare for everyone and establishing a livable wage.

The party that stands to protect the fundamental rights and freedoms of citizens all throughout the state no matter who they are, where they are, who they vote for, is a party that a lot of people can get behind here in Midland County and everywhere else.

In addition, Benson commented on the constitutional amendments that Michigan voters approved in 2022, including early voting up to nine days before the election and reproductive rights for women.

She also spoke about the Jan. 6, 2021 attack on the U.S. Capitol and a CNN interview with former President Donald Trump on Wednesday.

I heard the words from the former president, Jan. 6 was a beautiful day, Benson said. I couldnt look away, but I also couldn't take it.(Jan. 6) was not a beautiful day. It was a tragic day.

The event ended with dessert and the completion of a silent auction as guests remained to chat with friends. Midland resident Tamara McGovern said she enjoyed the speakers and the way they represented the growth of the party.

They were very articulate and certainly spoke to the evolution that we have seen from the Democratic Party, she said. Its almost as though there was a full burst of acceptance of a two-party system in Midland.

Kennedy Kazmierski from Saginaw County - who worked on McDonald Rivets campaign - said it was fabulous to see such a large turnout at the event.

Just from my experience door knocking and doing things throughout the community, Ive definitely seen the discourse and kind of secrecy surrounding being a Democrat, she said. So, being able to see the community that weve gathered has been really amazing.

Read more from the original source:
Midland County Democrats fundraiser focuses on redemption, growth - Midland Daily News