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Erdogans foreign policy: Continuity amid electoral setback and global engagements – Kathimerini English Edition

Turkish President and leader of the Justice and Development Party, or AKP, Recep Tayyip Erdogan gives a speech during a campaign rally ahead of nationwide municipality elections, in Istanbul, March 24. [AP]

There is talk of a new era in Turkish politics. Following the recent local elections, all sides agree that President Recep Tayyip Erdogan is the big loser. With Turkeys economic challenges the paramount concern, foreign policy played a marginal role in the electoral discourse. Remarkably, amid the multitude of analyses, the foreign policy implications of the election outcome are scarcely addressed.

Upon closer scrutiny, two discernible trends come to light. One school of thought proposes that Erdogan, now weakened domestically, could regain lost trust on the far nationalist right of the political spectrum by employing radical nationalist rhetoric a tactic he has deftly utilized in the past by instrumentalizing foreign policy to mobilize voters.

An alternate interpretation posits that the Turkish presidents foreign policy decisions transcend mere domestic calculations. Following last years parliamentary and presidential elections, Ankara embarked on a strategic realignment aimed at repairing relations with neighboring countries. The Greek-Turkish detente is one example of this shift. There is much to suggest that Erdogan will stick to this line.

Looking ahead, Erdogans agenda is underpinned by two dominant objectives: revitalizing the ailing economy and positioning Turkey (and himself) as a key player in global geopolitics. Erdogans aspiration to engage on an equal footing with world leaders reflects a desire to have a say in critical international issues.

Crucially, economic recovery and geostrategic advancement are interlinked. Both goals are not compatible with a foreign policy that as we have seen in recent years has led Turkey into isolation.

In the forthcoming weeks and months, Erdogans diplomatic engagements will be in the international spotlight more than once. Egyptian President Abdel Fattah El-Sisi is expected to pay an official visit to Ankara at the end of next week. Sisi is returning Erdogans visit to Cairo last February. Ankaras new relationship with the most populous Arab country has the potential to change the geostrategic map in the Eastern Mediterranean.

A trip to Baghdad is on the Turkish presidents agenda shortly afterward. Erdogan wants to establish a common front against the Kurdish PKK with the Iraqi government.

Barely back from the neighboring country, Erdogan is expected to welcome Vladimir Putin on his repeatedly postponed visit to Turkey, according to Turkish media. The war in Ukraine elevates the Russian-Turkish summit to an event of foremost geopolitical importance. One of the very few politicians of rank with working relations with both warring parties, Erdogan will once again offer himself as a mediator.

The visit by German President Frank-Walter Steinmeier to Ankara, planned for the end of April, has a high political symbolic value, even if it is more a matter of protocol. Still, improved relations between Ankara and Berlin may herald new progress in Turkeys relations with the European Union.

The culmination of Ankaras diplomatic overtures will undoubtedly be Erdogans visit to the White House on May 9, which has now been officially confirmed by both sides. It will be the first time that President Joe Biden receives the Turkish president at the White House a special diplomatic treat seen also as a reward for Ankaras ratification of Swedens accession to NATO.

In Washington, President Erdogan will engage in negotiations regarding the financial aspects of acquiring F-16 fighter jets for the Turkish Air Force, while also seeking an acceleration of their delivery. Additionally, he will offer Turkeys mediation efforts in the conflicts in Gaza and Ukraine.

Erdogans success in presenting these proposals in Washington hinges on his ability to adopt a cooperative and constructive stance. Of particular importance to American interests is Turkeys behavior toward Greece. The recent improvement in Turkeys relations with the West and the US coincides with a reduction in tensions between Athens and Ankara.

A significant upcoming event in this diplomatic process will be the scheduled visit of Greek Prime Minister Kyriakos Mitsotakis to Turkey in May. Its noteworthy that the upcoming Greek-Turkish summit was arranged well before the Turkish local elections. Erdogans defeat in these elections is inconsequential to Turkish foreign policy and, consequently, will not impact the trajectory of Greek-Turkish relations.

Dr Ronald Meinardus is a senior research fellow at the Hellenic Foundation for European and Foreign Policy (ELIAMEP).

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Erdogans foreign policy: Continuity amid electoral setback and global engagements - Kathimerini English Edition

A Turkey of an Election for Erdogan: AKP losses, CHP wins, and mamolu’s rising star – The New Arab

The recent local elections in Turkey did not go to plan for President Erdogan.

The voters sent a clear message to the ruling Justice and Development Party (AKP) party and the strongman president, when they voted in unprecedented numbers for the oppositionRepublican People's Party (CHP).

The CHP took control of Turkey's biggest cities and also managed to make significant headway into provinces that had been traditional AKP territory.

Additionally, the AKP also lost out to the NewWelfare Party (YRP), and Islamist party, who collected former AKP voters, who were angered by Erdogan's Gaza policy.

The recent vote raises some big questions about the future of Turkey and Erdogan.

This week on The New Arab Voice, we look at the recent Turkish elections. Why did the AKP and Erdogan do so badly? How big was the CHP victory? Has the path been set forEkremmamolu to rise to the presidency? Can and will Erdogan run again? Will Erdogan start another crackdown? And what is the state of Turkish democracy?

Joining us this week, we speak withGnl Tol (@gonultol),the founding director of the Middle East Institutes (@MiddleEastInst) Turkey programmeand a senior fellow with the Black Sea Program. Gnl's new book,Erdogan's War: A Strongman's Struggle at Home and in Syria, is out now.

Also, Soner Cagaptay (@SonerCagaptay), the Beyer Family Senior Fellow and director of theTurkish Research Programat The Washington Institute for Near East Policy (@WashInstitute), and the author of A Sultan in Autumn.

his podcast is written and produced by Hugo Goodridge (@hugogoodridge).

Theme music by Omar al-Fil.

To get in touch with the producers, follow then tweet us at@TNAPodcastsor emailpodcast@newarab.com

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A Turkey of an Election for Erdogan: AKP losses, CHP wins, and mamolu's rising star - The New Arab

Finn McRedmond: Nothing is new under the sun: the solar eclipse became the latest shiny object in the culture wars – The Irish Times

Herodotus writing in the 5th century BC contended more than once that a solar eclipse changed the entire course of history. First, the Medes and the Lydians were encouraged to broker a peace treaty under an inauspiciously darkened sky; and again, the Persian general Xerxes took an eclipse as a good omen for his planned invasion of Athens. The New Testament says the sky turned dark as Jesus was crucified. The Aztecs believed eclipses were a warning shot from the jaguar god; the Incas, meanwhile, were terribly concerned about the wrath of their own sun god.

If we think we have progressed past such primitive attempts to rationalise and understand the stars, we are very wrong. Mondays eclipse displayed no more intellectual sophistication than our Persian forebears, no more cool-headed rationality. In fact, there was perhaps no greater reminder of human atavism than Americans gathering outside to stare at the sky. The eclipse is as compelling to us now as it always has been and so, naturally, it quickly became a point of politics, a vehicle for the culture wars, a contemporary example of our base instinct for mythology.

The last total solar eclipse before Mondays happened on August 21st, 2017. Donald Trump and his wife Melania stood outside the White House to watch. Against the advice of all medical experts Trump looked up, pointed his finger, and stared directly into the sun. It was a humanising moment for those of us who know they couldnt resist the threat of a burned retina out of primal curiosity. But, more than that, it was a political statement.

Donald Trump looks up at the solar eclipse of August 21st, 2017 from a balcony in the White House. Photograph: Mark Wilson/Getty Images

Meanwhile, this week Joe Biden took a different approach. In a clip shared on social media, Biden is standing in the same spot where Trump and Melania stood seven years ago, but he is wearing protective eclipse goggles. An eclipse is worth marvelling at. But dont be silly, folks play it safe and wear protective eyewear, the post read. It immediately and purposefully conjures 2017 Trump.

In the middle of the pandemic Hillary Clinton used the same image of a squinting Trump. Please do not take medical advice from a man who looked directly at a solar eclipse, she said. And so the eclipse (both in 2017 and now) became no mere celestial event but a symbol of moral fortitude, a lesson on how to vote, a display of values, an augury for Covid-19. Xerxes looking to the sun for advice on when to attack Athens made him no fool. Humans havent changed.

Trump foolishly peering at the sun strikes a rather different figure to Bidens dorky public safety announcement. It is perfect shorthand for the Trump voter: one mans virility versus anothers frailty. For the Democrat, it is a clear display of the wanton recklessness of Trump versus the cautious sense of Biden. It doesnt really matter which interpretation is closer to the truth. The contrasting images are just a simple metaphor, ready to be warped into the shape of long-held prejudice, ready to be adopted as a symbol for something that extends far beyond the realm of astronomy. Which politician can be trusted? When should we invade Athens?

[Great American eclipse was, like, wooaahhh, writes Keith Duggan ]

I used to think mistakenly that these kinds of culture wars were a distraction from the substance of real politics; that serious minded people did not get caught up in the frivolities of things like the colour of a passport, the alleged race politics of Harry Potter, Joe Rogan and Russell Brand. I thought these things were deliberate ploys to divert attention from important matters of trade policy and infrastructure spending. I thought things could somehow fall victim to the culture wars. Mea culpa.

I have since come to realise via a rather robust correction afforded to me by the historian Dominic Sandbrook that this was wrong. Culture wars are no distraction from the substance of politics they are the substance of politics, he argues. The eclipse was neat evidence of this fact as it became a metaphor far more powerful and captivating than any taxation manifesto could ever aspire to be, as it revealed our culture-war instincts are as ancient as the Persians.

If anything should have disabused us of the idea that there is no meaningful distinction between culture and politics, perhaps it is the pandemic. Follow the science was an adage as much about political allegiance as any statement of policy. Mask-wearing in the US is still a dividing force between certain coastal liberal elites and the rest of the country. Lockdown policy was as much a reflection of a countrys values as anything else Jacinda Arderns New Zealand versus Boris Johnsons Britain a stark example of this fact.

Grand narratives of history too often focus on all the ways humanity has progressed but just as interesting is all the ways we do not change. The lure of mythology is a perfect example: astrology, organised religion, Republicanism, belief in national foundation stories, the flag, the monarchy. And the eclipse now is no different, not just in its ancient appeal but in its lessons: how to vote in November 2024; whether to wear a mask indoors; whether to broker a peace deal with the Medes.

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Finn McRedmond: Nothing is new under the sun: the solar eclipse became the latest shiny object in the culture wars - The Irish Times

Land, Livestock and Darfurs ‘Culture Wars’ – MERIP

In November 2023, members of Sudans Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and their allied militias went house-to-house in Ardamata on the outskirts of El Geneina, the capital of West Darfur. They looted property and rounded men up for execution. A community Facebook page, El Geneina Darndouka, estimated the death count to be as high as 2,000 people. Among the dead was Muhammad Arbab, an 85-year-old Masalit leader, who was killed along with his son and eight grandchildren in an attack on their home.

Sudanese who had been forced off of their land in Darfur and were living on the outskirts of El Fasher in Abu Shuk Camp begin farming again, 2007. Carolyn Cole/Los Angeles Times via Getty Images.

Sudans civil war broke out in Khartoum in April 2023. The RSF, Sudans most powerful militia force, seized the airfields and palaces of its erstwhile patron, the Sudan Armed Forces (SAF). The war quickly spread to West Darfur, where civilians from different social groups had been arming themselves against each other and against the violent systems of governance and resource extraction that had bolstered the RSF. Initially, fighting erupted between social groups rather than between armies. By May, the first mass graves were found, and hundreds of thousands of people fled across the Chadian border, 20 kilometers from El Geneina. In June, footage of the spectacular assassination of Khamis Abbakr, the governor of West Darfur and a leading figure in Masalit politics, circulated on social media. Hours before his death, Abbakr described the situation in El Geneina as genocide in what would become his last TV interview.

The violence recalled the intense, genocidal violence in Darfur that began in the mid-1990s and reached its height in the early 2000s. Darfurs system of governance at the time was dominated by the militias that would form the roots of the RSF, to whom the SAF outsourced security. The militias supported communities that practiced mobile pastoralism and those that had moved from mobile pastoralism into a new looting-based economy. Armed Masalit groups, first organized by Abbakr, fought against them. The system thrived off intercommunal violence among the ethnically diverse populations that lived in El Geneina, with the farms and pastures of West Darfur at the frontline of this violence.

Having come to rely on the RSF and its allied militias for security in the region, the SAF struggled to maintain control over garrisons in major cities when the current war first reached Darfur. By October, the SAFs capacity to maintain garrisons all but collapsed. In November, the SAF withdrew from their base in Ardamata, a garrison and airfield where many displaced Masalit people had settled, setting off another round of devastating violence against the Masalit population.

The Masalit describe the events of 2023 as a second genocide. Observers of Sudan often interpret this violenceintended to destroy national, ethnic, racial or religious groupsthrough culturalist explanations. But behind the racialized violence in Darfur is a decades-long history of climate migration, austerity politics and export-led growth that has significantly altered the regions relationship to land and livestock and peoples relations to one another.

El Geneina, the capital of the West Darfur state, has long been the political center of Dar Masalitthe homeland of the Masalit people, straddling the border between Chad and Sudan. This region, which was an independent sultanate in the late nineteenth and early twentieth centuries, was incorporated into Sudan in 1924 under British colonial administration.

For much of the twentieth century, Dar Masalit was a destination for mobile pastoralists from the west and north. Today, many Darfurians, as well as outsiders, draw a stark distinction between herding and farming across the Sahel. Mobile pastoralists are often categorized as Arabs, while farmersmany of whom speak Nilo-Saharan languages as well as Arabic, Darfurs lingua francaare classed as Africans. But this racialized Afro-Arab binary does not capture the interconnectedness of these two livelihoods. Historically, herding communities lived in stationary or semi-mobile clusters of farayg (tents), typically with access to fields and watercourses. The most mobile groups moved across fairly narrow and predictable circuits, traveling from wetter to drier pastures. Meanwhile, farmers often kept animals, sending them to nearby pastures, and people from these farming communities would sometimes adopt more mobile herding livelihoods.[1]

Mobile pastoralists are often categorized as Arabs, while farmersmany of whom speak Nilo-Saharan languages as well as Arabic, Darfurs lingua francaare classed as Africans.

In the 1970s, an influx of migrants arrived from neighboring Chad, a Cold War frontier at the time that was aligned with France and Libya. In 1973, a massive drought wiped out as much as 70 percent of the countrys cattle, prompting Chadian cattle and camel herders to flee east through Dar Masalit, where many settled.[2] Drought in North Darfur also led many mobile pastoralists, along with their livestock, to move to the wadis (seasonal river pastures) south of El Geneina. Many switched from camel to cattle herding, as the pastures were more suitable, while others moved from herding to farming.

Further droughts in the 1980s crowded even more people into the fertile Dar Masalit, as pastures deteriorated and pastoral routes shifted due to desertification and climate change. This new influx of people intensified pressures on communal relations, and by the 1990s, conflicts began to emerge between the Masalit people and the pastoralists.

The escalating tensions were not solely the result of climate migration and the Cold War militarization of Chadian politics. Neoliberal policies also placed new pressures on rural pastoralists. In the 1970s, governments across Africa ramped up borrowing from international creditors to finance development strategies and consolidate newly independent states. By the early 1980s, global oil shocks and the collapse of the gold-based currency system led to a long-running financial crisis. In many African states, this crisis marked a shift to export-led growth strategies.

Export-led growth began to upend the pastoralist societies of western Sudan. In the 1970s, most families in Darfur kept cattle or sheep as a reliable way of saving up farming wealth, with a few wealthy families holding about half the cattle. Herding stock in a village was cared for by farmers in a few bush camps or manuring fields or entrusted to mobile pastoralists. Farmers supplied meat to El Geneina, and itinerant livestock traders sometimes bought large male animals, keeping prices high.[3]

The shift to livestock exports was not due to government intervention; the state regarded herding and farming systems in western Sudan as subsistence activities, and they barely featured in the five-year plans of the period. Rather, a host of cash pressures beset populations living at the margins of markets as they were forced to cope with new patterns of climate, migration and accumulation. Beginning in the 1980s, demand for live sheep for Eid al-Adha and camels in Saudi Arabia and Egypt put increased pressure on producers and pastures. Over the course of the 1990s, Sudanese sheep exports went up sevenfold, and camel exports rose a hundredfold.[4]

At the same time, the drought and climate crisis pushed some groups in Darfur away from pastoralism. To the north of El Geneina, some pastoralist systems collapsed entirely. Yet, the fertile wadi lands around El Geneina continued to attract pastoralists. Pressure on these lands intensified, and relationships between already-arrived farming groups and newcomer herding groups became increasingly tense.

The global financial crisis of the 1980s, and the austerity that came in its wake, radically destabilized the already frayed relationships.

Under Omar al-Bashir, Sudans longstanding dictator who came to power in 1989, the state adopted a neoliberal response to the multidimensional crisis caused by climate change, debt overload and the failure of debt-funded development policies aimed at fostering national unity. He imposed austerity policies that involved replacing government investment in social services with user fees that were unaffordable for much of the population. In Darfur, rather than building schools or water points to help Masalit people and their neighbors, his security forces exacerbated local disputes over boundaries and political representation. The security forces deepened polarization between Masalit groups and their neighbors, crystallizing pre-existing cultural and linguistic differences into a racialized Afro-Arab binary. These new divisions cast Masalit people as Black/African and pastoralists as Arab, despite both groups living in Africa, speaking Arabic, intermarrying and sharing lands.

The politics of representation became a key arena for state intervention. In colonial times, rural governance in Darfur and Kordofan was structured around the Native Administrationleaders who had the power to collect taxes, administer justice, oversee land tenure and mediate between communities. Many of these leaders came from prominent families whose authority predated the colonial state and was rooted in the control of land and custom. The Islamist government repurposed the Native Administrations, inventing a new chiefly title, amir, the Arabic word for commander, which also carries Islamic significance. In the mid-1990s, al-Bashirs governor in West Darfur created eight amirchieftaincies along supposedly tribal lines, with all but one assigned to groups identified as Arab. The newly appointed amirs posed a threat to Masalit land governance, exacerbating the tensions that already existed as a result of climate-driven migration.

In 1995, these tensions led to the outbreak of violence in Darfur. Following the announcement of administrative reforms in August, raiders identified as Arab attacked Masalit villages to the east of El Geneina, killing 75 people. The government began supplying these raiding groups with weapons, and toward the end of the 1990s, armed groups, led by amirs, conducted raids across West Darfur. The first major violence in El Geneina took place in 1999, when tit-for-tat shootings between farmers and herders turned into a rampage through villages to the south and east of the capital. Masalit sources suggest that as many as 2,000 people were killed.

Responding to the growing insurgency, the government outsourced security to both militias and irregular forces drawn from land-poor Arab groups led by amirs.

The militias were run by intelligence officers based in military garrisons belonging to the Sudan Armed Forces (SAF), located in Darfurs towns. The mobile counter-insurgency militias, run by the intelligence officers, were known as Janjaweed. After 2013, with the rebel forces weakened, the counter-insurgency militias unified into a new force, the RSF, under the command of Muhammad Hamdan Daglo, known by his nickname Himedti. The RSF eventually pushed nearly all insurgent militias out of Darfur and into Libya and South Sudan. Outsourcing security to these militias aligned with the privatization agenda of the Bashir government. It was intended to keep costs down, given that militia soldiers were paid less than regular soldiers. Emboldening these militias, however, turned out to be a fateful move, creating a dual military structure divided between aggressive, mobile militias and static, garrison forces.

Amirs led the pro-government militias that attacked the Masalit villages. Masalit and other groups continued to form rebel armies, which their enemies described as zurga or Black/African. With the consolidation and militarization of the Arab/African binary, violence intensified. Human rights investigators chronicled the racial slurs that counterinsurgency militias used during village burnings, rapes and murders. This violence was mostly targeted against the settled population, identified as African. Millions of Sudanese were forced into displacement camps, most of them around cities like El Geneina, where the presence of the RSF and groups of armed civilians belonging to different ethnolinguistic communities meant that petty confrontations would often morph into street massacres.

In 2010, when the International Criminal Court first indicted al-Bashir for genocide, it built its case around these events. Following a protracted period of half-implemented peace deals and insecurity, a military campaign led by RSF leader Himedti between 2014 and 2016 defeated most of the armed groups in Darfur. Many of the insurgents were pushed towards dirty war jobs in Libya and South Sudan. Himedti, meanwhile, was welcomed into the center of state and regional politics.

As the conflict in Darfur stalemated, Sudans sheep exports to Saudi Arabia shot up.

Sheep exports helped mitigate the long economic crisis that began after South Sudans independence in 2011. During the 2000s, southern oil wealth transformed Sudans economy and its balance of payments. With South Sudans independence, however, Sudan could no longer balance its books. Livestock exports became vital, amounting to roughly a quarter of Sudans total foreign currency earnings by 2012. In 2017, Sudan and Somalia together accounted for 80 percent of Gulf imports of livestock. [5] But these earnings still could not cover the consumption requirements of Sudans citieswhose populations were expanding due to rural violence.[6] Moreover, Gulf demand for livestock continued to place pressures on land and pastures in Darfur, contributing to communal tensions that sporadically erupted into violence.

Gulf demand for livestock continued to place pressures on land and pastures in Darfur, contributing to communal tensions that sporadically erupted into violence.

The uprisings that started in 2018 and eventually overthrew al-Bashir were fueled, in part, by the confluence of urban migrationspurred by rural violenceand Sudans economic crisis. In cities, protestors took to the streets demanding bread and freedom. Under Himedtis leadership, the RSF initially cracked down violently on protestors. Ultimately, however, it joined forces with the Sudanese army to oust al-Bashir.

The protestors forced the creation of a new civil-military government under Abdullah Hamdok. But the new government prioritized making peace between rebel and government-outsourced militias over meeting the popular demands of the Sudanese people. Himedti, the de facto vice president, was sent to make peace with Darfurian armed groups fighting in Libya or South Sudan.

Former Darfurian rebel groups, including the faction led by Abbakr, signed the Juba Peace Agreement with Himedti in October 2020. Under the agreement, many Darfurian armed groups returned from Libya to Sudan. Some rebel leaders, including Abbakr, were given posts in the Hamdok government. Over the ensuing months, however, a number of these former rebel groups allied with the SAF and RSF against the civilians, ultimately joining the October 2021 coup against Hamdoks government.

Even during the relatively peaceful years that preceded the coup, the Juba agreement did not end violence in Darfur. Many local groups held on to their weapons, and many young men moved out of pastoralism and farming into looting and land-grabbing. Violence occasionally broke out in Dar Masalit between local groups of armed civilians, now straitjacketed into the racialized Afro-Arab binary.

The military coup also failed to lead to a lasting entente between Sudans two armies. In April of 2023, large-scale violence erupted when the RSF and SAF turned on each other. After years of outsourcing the SAF lacked the capacity for mobile warfare. Meanwhile, the RSF excelled at street battles but struggled to dislodge the SAF from their fixed positions in garrisons and airfields, leaving both armies in a stalemate.

Starting in May of 2023, as the RSF swept through Darfur, they allied with the Arab militias led by the amirs, some of whom seized on the outbreak of war to push Masalit people out of El Geneina. In El Geneina, the RSF and its allies expelled up to 70 percent of the Masalit population.

The RSF and its allies came to control much of Darfur, while the SAF defended its garrisons in the five Darfurian state capitals: El Geneina, Zalingei, Nyala, El Fasher and El Daein. In November 2023, however, the SAFs 15 Division in Ardamata appeared to surrender its position without a fight. The collapse of the garrison at Ardamata, one of West Darfurs largest Internally Displaced Persons (IDP) camps, led to large-scale attacks on Masalit groups. Initial reports suggest that thousands of women fled from Ardamata to the Chadian border, as hundreds of men were rounded up and killed.

Amid these mass atrocities and displacements, the livestock trade appears to be expanding. Although Sudan no longer produces foreign trade statistics, Atar, a new Sudanese online publication that monitors shipping from Port Sudan, reports that most ships departing Port Sudan are carrying livestock bound for Saudi Arabia.[7] In March, Sudans finance minister announced that 4.7 million head of livestock had been exported in 2023, compared to less than 2 million heads the year prior.

The civilian government failed to follow through on its promise to conduct an animal census for Sudan. But such a census would likely reveal that most of the countrys livestock is in the west of the country, now under Himedtis control. This data would also likely find that mobile pastoralists livestock-rearing practices are more efficient than others, suggesting there is an economic rationale for turning the stressed wadis around El Geneina into pastureland. According to Sudanese academic Magdi el Gizouli, the Janjaweed spearheaded an agrarian transition that liquidated subsistence farming and herding in western Sudan, replacing it with commercial livestock systems that the war and national economy now depend on.[8] The genocide in El Geneina is part of this transition.

One of the factors behind Himedtis success has been his ability to gain control over key sectors of rural production, including gold, sesame and livestock. The militarization of rural governance has allowed him to extract or extort wealth from producers. Indeed, his access to resources appears to be key to his ability to resupply his vast army, spread out across the country. Some observers question the RSFs ability to tax markets and producers.

But if the war turns out to be a long one, control over rural production and militias will determine the ability of Himedtiand the neoliberal militia he commandsto control Darfur.

[1] Hartmut Lang and Uta Holier, Arab Camel Nomads in the North West Sudan: The Northern Mahria from a Census Point of View, Anthropos 91/1-3 (1996).

[2] J. Millard Burr and Robert O. Collins, Darfur: The Long Road to Disaster (Princeton, NJ: Markus Wiener Publishers, 2008)

[3] Dennis Tully, Culture and Context in Sudan: The Process of Market Incorporation in Dar Masalit (Albany, NY: State University of New York Press, 1988), p. 132-138

[4] World Bank (2003) Sudan Stabilization and Reconstruction: Country Economic Memorandum, Washington, DC: World Bank, vol 2, p.46

[5] Mark Duffield and Nicholas Stockton, How capitalism is destroying the Horn of Africa: sheep and the crises in Somalia and Sudan, Review of African Political Economy (2023)

[6] Edward Thomas and Alex de Waal Hunger in Sudans Political Marketplace, World Peace Foundation Occasional Paper (Somerville, MA: Tufts University, 2022).

[7] Atar Network Team, Tijrat al-sdn al-khrijya: al-yawm al-thn bad al-arb [Sudans foreign trade: the day after the war], Atar 2, October 19, 2023, p. 4.

[8] Magdi el Gizouli, arb la sqn al-n [A war on the sheep shanks]Atar 7, November 23, 2023.

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Land, Livestock and Darfurs 'Culture Wars' - MERIP

Abbreviated Pundit Roundup: Arizona embraces the culture wars on the losing side – Daily Kos

Abbreviated Pundit Roundup is a long-running series published every morning that collects essential political discussion and analysis around the internet.

The New York Times:

Abortion Jumps to the Center of Arizonas Key 2024 Races

Democrats quickly aimed to capitalize on a ruling by the states highest court upholding an 1864 law that bans nearly all abortions.

Democrats seized ona ruling on Tuesday by Arizonas highest courtupholding an 1864 law that bans nearly all abortions, setting up a fierce political fight over the issue that is likely to dominate the presidential election and a pivotal Senate race in a crucial battleground state.

Even though the court put its ruling on hold for now, President Biden and his campaign moved quickly to blame former President Donald J. Trump for the loss of abortion rights, noting that he has taken credit for appointing the Supreme Court justices who overturned a constitutional right to abortion. Just a day earlier, Mr. Trump had sought to defang what has become a toxic issue for Republicans bysaying that abortion restrictions should be decided by the statesand their voters.

But remember,abortion is fading in saliency as an issue, say umpteen anonymous male Republican consultants.

Dan Balz/The Washington Post:

The Arizona Supreme Court just upended Trumps gambit on abortion

On Monday, Trump declined to support a national abortion ban, seeking to neutralize the political issue. A day later, Arizonas ban gave it new life.

On Monday, the former presidentdeclined to supportany new national law setting limits on abortions. Going against the views of many abortion opponents in his Republican Party, Trump was looking for a way to neutralize or at least muddy a galvanizingissue that has fueled Democratic victories for nearly two years. He hoped to keep it mostly out of the conversation ahead of the November elections.

On Tuesday, the Arizona Supreme Court showed just how difficult it will be to do that. The courtresurrected an 1864 lawthat bans nearly all abortions, except to save the life of the mother. The law also imposes penalties on abortion providers.

Trump had said let the states handle the issue. The Arizona court showed the full implications of that states rights strategy.

Put another way: Arizona Supreme Court destroys news organizations plans to declare the abortion issue neutralized).

Marc A Caputo/ The Bulwark:

MAGA Takes Aim at RFK Jr.: Radical Fing Kennedy

They turned on him overnight once they realized hed be a threat to Trump and not only to Biden.

TRUMP ADVISERS QUIETLY acknowledge they and the right helped build up RFK Jr., especially after the pandemic when Kennedys anti-vaccine activism gained broader attention and support among conservatives.

For more than two years, Kennedy was on more conservative media than any of the Republicans who ran for president, so hes partly a monster of our own making, said one adviser in Trumps orbit. But the same conservative media apparatus that built him up is starting to tear him down. Its easy. Hes a liberal.

That cocksure sentiment pervades Trumps campaign, where they view Kennedy more as an opportunity than a danger.

[]

Matt Bennett, executive vice president of Third Way, said Kennedy has benefited from his famous last name, hissavvy social mediause, and his lack of a political record. Bennett doesnt think the candidate will be able to withstand the scrutiny thats coming now that the threat he represents has become clearer.

Kennedy is in for a rough ride. We need to make sure lower-information voters dont somehow think, Oh, its his dad. Or that hes a safe pair of hands, Bennett said. Hes a lunatic. He lies. Hes a bad person.

Will Bunch/The Philadelphia Inquirer:

Is Team Trump meddling in the Middle East?

This weekend, the endless gusher of petrodollars from Riyadh left their oily mark on the dim jewel of Trumps fast-fading empire, the Trump National Doral course outside of Miami. There, the Saudi-funded LIV Golf tour brought yet another televised and star-studded tournament to a resort owned by the 45th presidents business arm.

We dont how much the LIV tour largely a creation of the massive sovereign wealth fund controlled by the Saudi dictator Prince Mohammed bin Salman (MBS) paid the Trump Organization for the three-day event. The LIV people insist the money is nominal, but no one would argue that the widely seen tournaments are propping up Trumps coffers at a time when his hotel brand is in the loo, and the established PGA golf tour is avoiding the ex-POTUS and his 88 felony charges.

David Gilbert/WIRED:

Inside the Election Denial Groups Planning to Disrupt November

Groups like True the Vote and Michael Flynns America Project want to mobilize thousands of Trump supporters by pushing baseless claims about election fraudand are rolling out new technology to fast-track their efforts.

As the most consequentialpresidential electionin a generation looms in the United States, get-out-the-vote efforts across the country are more important than ever. But multiple far-right activist groups with ties toformer president Donald Trumpand the Republican National Committee are mobilizing their supporters in earnest, drawing on one baseline belief:Elections in the US are rigged, and citizens need to do something about it.

All the evidence states otherwise.But in recent weeks, these groups have held training sessions about how to organize on a hyperlocal level to monitor polling places and drop boxes, challenge voter registrations en masse, and intimidate and harass voters and election officials. And some are preparing to roll out new technology to fast-track all of these efforts: One of the groups claims theyre launching a new platform for checking voter rolls that contains billions of data elements on every single US citizen.

Jennifer Rubin/The Washington Post:

Dont overlook these five aspects of Trumps N.Y. trial

Trumps first impeachment seems like ancient history. ButHouse impeachment investigatorsinterviewed Hope Hicks and Michael Cohen, anddelved into the factsconcerningpayment to womento silence them before the 2016 election. The hush money scheme was grist for impeachment becauseprocuring officeby corrupt means can be a sufficient basis for impeachment.

Philip Bump/The Washington Post:

How much time and money will the GOP waste chasing imaginary election fraud?

Fox host Maria Bartiromo has proved to be one of the most credulous members of the right-wing media universe. This was understood by her own employers in 2020 whenone executive warned anotherthat she had GOP conspiracy theorists in her ear and they use her for their message sometimes. In the wake of the 2020 election, she flirted withthe most ridiculous fraud theoriesthen circulating; more recently, she wasa constant promoterof the discredited idea thatJoe Bidenhad been bribed by a Ukrainian businessman.

Yet she also remains one of the most prominent voices on Fox News and Fox Business. One need not engage in conspiracy-theorizing to guess some reasons for that.

The exclamation point on an amazing college hoops season:

Candace Buckner/The Washington Post:

Connecticut unlocked the overwhelming beauty of a team game

More than other team sports, basketball thrives on individual talent. Singular stars fuel intrigue. They make us sit up and pay attention. And the superstars make us believe that one vs. five maintains pretty good odds. Then a night such as Monday comes along and wrecks the belief that you need a superstar to win.

Somewhere in the Purdue locker room sat [Perdues center Zach] Edey,his season having ended in disappointment, with a lonely shower awaiting. Meanwhile, the Connecticut Huskies were busy changing clothes on the court. Their new shirts read: 2024 Mens Basketball National CHAMPS that word more prominent than the others.

Cliff Schecter on Gen. Mark Milleys opinion of Donald Trump:

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Abbreviated Pundit Roundup: Arizona embraces the culture wars on the losing side - Daily Kos