Trump Blows Up Obama’s Foreign Policy Straw Men – National Review
President Trump did more than retaliate for Bashar al-Assads illegal and inhumane use of nerve agents against civilians when he ordered the launch of 59 Tomahawkmissiles to destroy al-Shayrat airbase in Syria. He also detonated a few shibboleths of his predecessors foreign policy.
First isthe idea thatPresident Obamas 2013 deal to remove Assads weapons of mass destruction was a success. Susan Rice and John Kerry have lauded the agreement with Russia to supervise the extraction and destruction of Assads weapons stockpiles as recently as the last year. But Assads brazen attack on civilians in Idlib Province exposed their celebrations as premature. Trumps swift, decisive, and limited response ended more than a half decade of vacillation towards Assads behavior. Obama diplomacy failed, but hard power may yet deter Assad from using weapons banned for almost a century.
The second casualty of the U.S. strike was the absurd Obama line that the only alternatives available to a president are inaction on one hand and a massive ground invasion and occupation on the other. Obama and the architects of his echo chamber would slam any advocate of military measures as a bloodthirsty warmonger ready to repeat the worst mistakes of the U.S. experience in Iraq and Afghanistan. But the reality has always been that there are a range of intermediary steps America can take to pursue her objectives and enforcethe standards of Western civilization. The destruction of al-Shayrat is an example of coercive diplomacy similar to the airstrikes President Reagan deployed against Muammar Qaddafi and President Clinton deployed against Slobodan Milosevic. The immediate aim is punitive, to deterthe further use of nerve gas against civilians. The longer-term goal is to remove Assad from power and reach a settlement that would in all likelihood partition Syria into sectarian zones of influence. Both objectives are impossible through diplomacy alone. Only through the introduction of force might we frighten the Syrians and their supporters into giving up Assad if not the Alawite power structure and winding down his war machine.
EDITORIAL: Syria After the Airstrikes
Which brings us to the final straw man Trump lit on fire. When President Obama punted on Syria in 2013, he claimed there was no international support for limited intervention. True, David Cameron lost a vote in Parliament on the matter. But the actual powers Obama didnt want to offend were Iran and Russia.He worried they would scuttle the Iran nuclear dealas payback. The loss of American credibility, the confidence ofallies, and Syrian civilians were all factored into the cost of an Iranian promise not to test a bomb for 10 years.
Well, the rapprochement with Iran, if it ever existed, is over. In recent weeks President Trump has met with the leaders of our traditional Sunni allies: Saudi Arabia, Egypt, and Jordan. He has signed off on aid to Saudi in its war against Iranian proxies in Yemen. He has approved weapons to Bahrain, which is worried about Iranian influence over its Shiite population. America is heavily involved in Iraq and Syria. And now, by striking Assad, President Trump has targetedIrans most prominentservant.
Where things go from here is anyones guess. One of the reasons I urged Congress not to support Obamas airstrikes in 2013 was worry not only over the presidents ambivalence but also possible escalation. Presidential ambivalence is gone, but myworry remains. I do think that this operation was about the best one could hope for: the message and objective was clear, the focus limited, the forceoverwhelming, support broad and deep. Assad may think twice before using these deadly agents again. Russia may be more inclined to replace him with one of his generals. But it is still worth thinking through possible responses if Assad crosses one of President Trumps many lines again. Whatever the future holds, we do know this: President Trumps foreign policy will look nothing like President Obamas.
Matthew Continetti is the editor-in-chief of the Washington Free Beacon, where this column first appeared. 2017All rights reserved
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