Is this the year that no one watches political spots? – Roll Call
Little more than a decade ago, campaign finance reform was one of the hottest issues animating Democrats. Now it seems as irrelevant as a national drive to make Esperanto Americas second language.
Barack Obama, in his 2010 State of the Union address, predicted that the Supreme Courts Citizens United decision will open the floodgates for special interests. The TV cameras caught Supreme Court Justice Samuel A. Alito Jr. angrily shaking his head as he mouthed, Not true.
Obama was, of course, right.
Super PACs, created in the wake of Citizens United, are fast dominating politics. The arithmetic is irresistible: Candidates can urge the super wealthy to donate $3,300 (the legal maximum) to their general election campaigns or they can encourage them to make a seven-figure donation to a friendly super PAC.
As late as 2016, Hillary Clinton gave lip service to the cause in her convention acceptance speech: We need to appoint Supreme Court justices who will get money out of politics and well pass a constitutional amendment to overturn Citizens United.
But that was about the time when the Democrats discovered they could more than match the Republicans in super PAC largesse. And suddenly the issue faded like an Obama bumper sticker.
For a while, Democrats were apologetic as they explained that they couldnt practice unilateral disarmament in the battle against the Republicans. Then, faced with the never-ending threat from Donald Trump, Democrats unapologetically adopted the GOPs philosophy that anything goes in politics.
Roughly $8 billion was spent in 2020 on campaigns for federal office. And, with another bitterly fought presidential race and close battles for Congress, that number is likely to rise this year as fast as college tuition.
Early this month, Politico estimated that super PAC spending on federal races had more than doubled compared with the numbers from a similar period in 2020.
As super PACs play a larger role in politics, congressional candidates in both parties are fast losing control of their own campaigns. While the rules barring coordination between a super PAC and a candidate are increasingly porous, there can be sharp differences over what is the best political message.
An illustrative example is the collapse of Never Back Down, the super PAC that spent a jaw-dropping $158 million in 2023 supposedly boosting Ron DeSantis presidential campaign. Instead of powering the Florida governor to victory, the super PAC imploded with staff resignations and acrimony with the official DeSantis campaign before the Iowa caucuses.
Part of the problem is that there is so much money sloshing around politics in 2024 that greed becomes entwined with electoral strategies. All it takes is one smooth-talking political consultant and one gullible billionaire and, voil, you have a new super PAC.
The result is that many TV ads from super PACs and cause groups are designed to appeal to one key constituency: politically naive donors. The spots may be off message for the candidate they are promoting, but they attract money to fund new ads and, of course, lucrative fees for the consultant.
This may also be the year when the TV ad (a staple of politics since I Like Ike cartoons in 1952) may finally lose its luster.
Three trends are colliding: The 2024 presidential race promises to be the most expensive in history. The campaign is expected to pivot around just six or seven swing states (Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Nevada, Arizona, Georgia and maybe North Carolina). And, thirdly, because of cord-cutting, 50 percent of households barely see any TV ads at all.
Pity the more than 30 million voters in those seven battleground states. Not only will they be thumped with nonstop political commercials, but their phones will also constantly beep with text messages from candidates. And these swing-state voters will only venture onto social media at their own peril.
Probably, at this very moment, both presidential campaigns are working on ways that a hologram of President Joe Biden or Trump can greet swing voters at their breakfast table each morning.
Amid the torrent of ads in every place except inside bottles of laundry detergent, congressional candidates will face a daunting challenge on how to break through the clutter.
Four Senate races and 14 up-for-grabs House seats are in those seven swing states. Throw in two other hotly contested House races in Nebraska and Maine, where electoral votes are awarded by congressional district.
When voters are savvy enough to recognize a negative TV spot as soon as they glimpse the first grainy photograph or hear the initial words of voice-of-doom narration, how can a House candidate, without an unlimited budget, ever communicate? And even Senate candidates will play second fiddle to the high-intensity presidential race.
Maybe the result in these swing states will be even more party-line voting than ever before. When the congressional and Senate races become a blur, regardless of the merits of individual candidates, it will be hard to motivate voters to split their tickets.
Obviously, there is no current constituency in Congress pressing to write legislation to regulate the cacophony of political ads. But at some point, maybe, legislators in both parties will come to the conclusion that the only people benefiting from the current system are (surprise) political consultants.
Granted, it is hard to shake the inbred belief in politics that a few million dollars more or one killer TV ad will make all the difference. But the sad truth is that in this politically saturated year, almost nobody is listening.
View post:
Is this the year that no one watches political spots? - Roll Call
- Barack Obama bracket 2025: March Madness picks, predictions from former president - USA TODAY - March 22nd, 2025 [March 22nd, 2025]
- Kylie Kelce Has Perfect Response to Hateful Michelle Obama Message - Newsweek - March 22nd, 2025 [March 22nd, 2025]
- Michelle Obama breaks her silence on possibility of 2028 presidential run - PennLive - March 22nd, 2025 [March 22nd, 2025]
- Obamas to have a third child to fight divorce rumors? Michelle Obama breaks silence on expanding their fa - The Times of India - March 22nd, 2025 [March 22nd, 2025]
- Michelle Obama Says Barack Wanted a Third Child but She Wasn't on Board: Were Gonna Get a Crazy One - PEOPLE - March 22nd, 2025 [March 22nd, 2025]
- Michelle Obama Has Two Very Important Reasons Why She Will Never, Ever Run For President - BuzzFeed - March 22nd, 2025 [March 22nd, 2025]
- How a Lunch With Michelle Obama Led to Netflixs The Residence - Washingtonian - March 22nd, 2025 [March 22nd, 2025]
- Insight: The vanishing Obama presidency - The Anniston Star - March 22nd, 2025 [March 22nd, 2025]
- Why Michelle Obama Said No to Having a 3rd Baby With Barack Obama - E! Online - E! NEWS - March 22nd, 2025 [March 22nd, 2025]
- Will USC womens basketball raise another banner? Heres what Barack Obama has to say - AOL - March 22nd, 2025 [March 22nd, 2025]
- Michelle Obama and Kylie Kelce, Both 5'11", Agree That Tall Women Should Get Dibs on the Tall Guys - PEOPLE - March 22nd, 2025 [March 22nd, 2025]
- Former Obama official calls AOC one of Dems' most effective messengers - Fox News - March 22nd, 2025 [March 22nd, 2025]
- Michelle Obama worried about daughters Malia and Sasha turning up on Page Six while in the White House - Page Six - March 22nd, 2025 [March 22nd, 2025]
- Michelle Obama explains why she is not interested in politics after stepping back from spotlight - Page Six - March 22nd, 2025 [March 22nd, 2025]
- Kylie Kelce & Michelle Obama Bond Over Extremely Relatable Habit Theyre Often Teased About - Parade Magazine - March 22nd, 2025 [March 22nd, 2025]
- Michelle Obama reveals Barack Obama's wish for a third child amid divorce rumours: We should have a third - Hindustan Times - March 22nd, 2025 [March 22nd, 2025]
- Michelle Obama reveals the real reason she won't answer Democrat calls to run for president in 2028 - Daily Mail - March 22nd, 2025 [March 22nd, 2025]
- Michelle Obama Is Still Taking the High Road on Social Media - Vanity Fair - March 22nd, 2025 [March 22nd, 2025]
- UN resolution that passed on Obama admin 11th-hour abstention a mistake, US envoy says - JNS.org - March 22nd, 2025 [March 22nd, 2025]
- Michelle Obama reveals Barack's disappointment that she wouldn't have a third child amid divorce rumors - Daily Mail - March 22nd, 2025 [March 22nd, 2025]
- Hey, where's Barack Obama's NCAA bracket predictions in 2025? They were late! - For The Win - March 22nd, 2025 [March 22nd, 2025]
- Michelle Obama Is In Her Rocker-Chic Hair Era and I Am Here For It - Yahoo Life - March 22nd, 2025 [March 22nd, 2025]
- Michelle Obama on why Sasha and Malia don't have other siblings - HOLA! USA - March 22nd, 2025 [March 22nd, 2025]
- This is how Michelle Obama has kept her sanity when dealing with social media - Business Insider - March 22nd, 2025 [March 22nd, 2025]
- Michelle Obama on the Funny Reason She Said No When Barack Wanted Another Child - Harper's BAZAAR - March 22nd, 2025 [March 22nd, 2025]
- Michelle Obama to share unfiltered thoughts in new podcast 'IMO' with older brother - USA TODAY - March 13th, 2025 [March 13th, 2025]
- Is Barack Obama dating Jennifer Aniston? What to know about the rumors - PennLive - March 13th, 2025 [March 13th, 2025]
- IMO with Michelle Obama review cleaning tips and long-winded platitudes - The Times - March 13th, 2025 [March 13th, 2025]
- Michelle Obama to Launch New Podcast With Sibling Craig Robinson - Hollywood Reporter - March 13th, 2025 [March 13th, 2025]
- Tiger Woods Biopic in the Works with Barack and Michelle Obama in Talks to Produce - PEOPLE - March 13th, 2025 [March 13th, 2025]
- Michelle Obama credits brother for convincing her to support Baracks presidential run - Yahoo Entertainment - March 13th, 2025 [March 13th, 2025]
- Former first lady Michelle Obama to visit Austin on Thursday - KVUE.com - March 13th, 2025 [March 13th, 2025]
- Democrats need to get over Michelle Obama - The Telegraph - March 13th, 2025 [March 13th, 2025]
- In 2015, Obama committed the US to achieving UN global goals by 2030. Trump just rejected the goals - The Associated Press - March 13th, 2025 [March 13th, 2025]
- Michelle Obama launches podcast with her brother, Craig Robinson: Heres what to expect - HOLA! USA - March 13th, 2025 [March 13th, 2025]
- IMO with Michelle Obama & Craig Robinson, review: a podcast so shallow it would insult the nearest puddle - The Telegraph - March 13th, 2025 [March 13th, 2025]
- Will Michelle Obama speak about 'divorce' in new podcast with brother? - The Times of India - March 13th, 2025 [March 13th, 2025]
- Michelle Obama credits brother for convincing her to support Baracks presidential run - The Independent - March 13th, 2025 [March 13th, 2025]
- Michelle Obama Opens Up About Divorce in the Family and Freedom in New Podcast - The Daily Beast - March 13th, 2025 [March 13th, 2025]
- 24 Iowa counties among nation's top 100 for swing from Obama to Trump - Bleeding Heartland - March 13th, 2025 [March 13th, 2025]
- Could Dems have their first primary candidate for 2028? Former Obama official ready to enter the race - The Independent - March 13th, 2025 [March 13th, 2025]
- Michelle Obama reveals the truth about 'unusual' White House marriage - Tyla - March 13th, 2025 [March 13th, 2025]
- Michelle Obama announces video podcast with brother Craig Robinson - Axios - March 13th, 2025 [March 13th, 2025]
- Michelle Obama Said This One Quality of Barack's Is Her Biggest Pet Peeve - InStyle - March 13th, 2025 [March 13th, 2025]
- Michelle Obama: My brother had to talk me into being first lady - The Telegraph - March 13th, 2025 [March 13th, 2025]
- Michelle Obama announces new podcast with brother Craig Robinson after stepping back from the spotlight - Page Six - March 13th, 2025 [March 13th, 2025]
- Michelle Obama premieres podcast with brother Craig Robinson: "We are living in complicated times" - Marca English - March 13th, 2025 [March 13th, 2025]
- Tiger Woods biopic in the works with Barack, Michelle Obama in talks to produce - ABC Digital Syndication - March 13th, 2025 [March 13th, 2025]
- Michelle Obama, Brother Craig Robinsons New Podcast Takes Off On YouTube, Talks Life Lessons And Relations - News18 - March 13th, 2025 [March 13th, 2025]
- Tiger Woods Biopic in the Works with Barack and Michelle Obama in Talks to Produce - MSN - March 13th, 2025 [March 13th, 2025]
- Michelle Obama Launches New Weekly Podcast with Her Brother Craig Robinson to Provide Hope - PEOPLE - March 13th, 2025 [March 13th, 2025]
- Michelle Obama reveals why she's launching a podcast in 2025 - The Times of India - March 13th, 2025 [March 13th, 2025]
- Daily Kickoff: The Trump-Obama double standard - Jewish Insider - March 13th, 2025 [March 13th, 2025]
- Obama archive in Hoffman Estates planned move to Maryland before appearance on DOGE list - Daily Herald - March 13th, 2025 [March 13th, 2025]
- Michelle Obama Lifts the Lid on Childhood in Tiny 1-Bedroom Chicago Apartment as She and Her Brother Launch New Podcast - Yahoo Life - March 13th, 2025 [March 13th, 2025]
- Opinion | The Obama Plan That Presaged DOGE - The Wall Street Journal - February 20th, 2025 [February 20th, 2025]
- Hurricane, the hero Belgian Malinois who protected the Obama White House from intruder, has died - NPR - February 20th, 2025 [February 20th, 2025]
- Hurricane, the Secret Service Dog Who Protected Obama White House from Intruder in 2014, Dies at 15 - PEOPLE - February 20th, 2025 [February 20th, 2025]
- Hurricane, Dog Who Protected Obama White House From Intruder, Dies at 15 - The New York Times - February 20th, 2025 [February 20th, 2025]
- Why the Obama Presidential Center is immune to Trump's cuts - Axios - February 20th, 2025 [February 20th, 2025]
- Former President Barack Obama scheduled to speak at Hamilton College - WSYR - February 20th, 2025 [February 20th, 2025]
- Anthony Edwards Told Barack Obama 'I'm the Truth' in Viral 'Court of Gold' Video - Bleacher Report - February 20th, 2025 [February 20th, 2025]
- "Man, y'all better stand down. I'm the truth" - Ant boldly tells US President Barack Obama that hes the real deal - Basketball Network - February 20th, 2025 [February 20th, 2025]
- Former President Barack Obama to speak at Hamilton College. What you need to know - Utica Observer Dispatch - February 20th, 2025 [February 20th, 2025]
- Elon Musk Granted Access to Student Loans by Obama-Appointed Judge - Newsweek - February 20th, 2025 [February 20th, 2025]
- Anthony Edwards demands some respect from Barack Obama, viral video reveals: Im the truth! - New York Post - February 20th, 2025 [February 20th, 2025]
- NBA Star Anthony Edwards Goes Viral After Telling Obama 'I'm The Truth' - Black Information Network - February 20th, 2025 [February 20th, 2025]
- Manuals energetic rebrand of the Obama Foundation expands on its visual legacy - It's Nice That - February 20th, 2025 [February 20th, 2025]
- Anthony Edwards demands some respect from Barack Obama, viral video reveals: Im the truth! - NewsBreak - February 20th, 2025 [February 20th, 2025]
- Barack Obama Was Shocked by Anthony Edwards' Confidence During Team USA Meeting at Paris Olympics - Complex - February 20th, 2025 [February 20th, 2025]
- "Man, y'all better stand down. I'm the truth" - Ant boldly tells US President Barack Obama that hes the real deal - MSN - February 20th, 2025 [February 20th, 2025]
- Anthony Edwards Confidently Tells Barack Obama, 'I'm the Truth' - TMZ - February 20th, 2025 [February 20th, 2025]
- Anthony Edwards has viral moment with former President Obama in new documentary - Dunking with Wolves - February 20th, 2025 [February 20th, 2025]
- My Take: Didnt Trump gripe about Obama using too many executive orders? - Parker Pioneer - February 20th, 2025 [February 20th, 2025]
- Democrats Biggest Problem Right Now is 'The Way They Talk', Former Obama Strategist Says (Exclusive) - LatinTimes - February 20th, 2025 [February 20th, 2025]
- Anthony Edwards had the cockiest exchange with Barack Obama before the Olympics - For The Win - February 20th, 2025 [February 20th, 2025]
- Megyn Kelly calls Obama-appointed federal judges "absolute idiots" who were hired because of their "DEI profile" - Media Matters... - February 14th, 2025 [February 14th, 2025]
- Tariffs will add to inflation, ex-Obama economics advisor says - Channel 4 News - February 14th, 2025 [February 14th, 2025]
- Donald Trump pardons former Illinois governor Rod Blagojevich: How is he connected to Barack Obama? - The Times of India - February 14th, 2025 [February 14th, 2025]
- Fact Check: Yes, Trump rebuked Obama in 2012 for 'constantly issuing executive orders' - Yahoo - February 14th, 2025 [February 14th, 2025]