Final Emmy Predictions: Creative Arts Night One Will be Dominated by Barack Obama, Joanna Gaines and Arcane – Variety

The first night of the 2022 Creative Arts Emmy Awards is taking place on Saturday, Sept. 3, and well see where the Primetime ceremony could be heading based on the first wave of winners.

With an evening that features categories for animated program, reality host, documentaries and short form, we could get a strong sense of where some of the support lies for the main ceremony on Monday, Sept. 12.

There are significant history-making moments that can take place.

Barack Obama could become the second U.S. president to win an Emmy for outstanding narrator for Netflixs Our Great National Parks. Dwight Eisenhower won in 1956, while still in office when he picked up the Governors Award for his use and encouragement of television.

If Obama wins, hell be halfway to EGOT status after netting two Grammys for best spoken word album for Dreams from My Father (2006) and The Audacity of Hope: Thoughts on Reclaiming the American Dream (2008). Other presidents that have won Grammys include Bill Clinton and Jimmy Carter.

Netflix could be the big winner of the first night of honors, as the streamer is projected to take home nine statuettes, including outstanding short form comedy, drama or variety series for I Think You Should Leave with Tim Robinson and critically acclaimed and fan-favorite series Arcane in animated program. The projected big night could also have up to five more Emmy wins land in its favor, based on the predictions.

Other notable races to keep an eye on are the reality races that could see reigning champ RuPauls Drag Race: Untucked bested by the heartwarming Love on the Spectrum U.S. for unstructured reality. In the structured reality category, Im going on a limb and foreseeing Chip and Joanna Gaines walking away with their first Emmy for Fixer Upper: Welcome Home. The power couple could be unseated by either Queer Eye or Shark Tank, which would become the most awarded show in the categorys history.

Finally, well see if the Will Smith slap helps the 94th Oscars squeak past Norman Lear or the Super Bowl Halftime show or if John Oliver should prepare multiple speeches since his show is nominated in the writing variety lineups.

Check out the final predictions for Night One of the Creative Arts ceremony below. The forecasts for Night Two will be revealed on Friday.

Read Varietys Awards Circuit predictions to keep up with the latest Emmy and Oscar race updates.

Outstanding Animated Program

Will win: Arcane (Netflix)

Episode: When These Walls Come Tumbling Down Christian Linke (executive producer/story by), Marc Merrill (executive producer), Brandon Beck (executive producer), Jane Chung (executive producer), Thomas Vu (executive producer), Jerme Combe (co-executive producer), Melinda Wunsch Dilger (co-executive producer), Pascal Charrue (co-executive producer/directed by), Arnaud Delord (co-executive producer/directed by), Alex Yee (co-executive producer/directed by), Ash Brannon (co-executive producer/story by), Conor Sheehy (story by), Barthelemy Maunoury (animation director), David Lyerly (voice director)

Could win: Rick and Morty (Adult Swim)

Outstanding Casting for a Reality Program

Will win: Love on the Spectrum U.S. (Netflix)

Casting directors: Laura Ritchie, Kat Elmore and Jeffrey Marx

Could win: Lizzos Watch Out for the Big Grrrls (Amazon Prime Video)

Outstanding Character Voice-Over Performance

Will win: Maya Rudolph, Big Mouth (Netflix)

Episode: A Very Big Mouth Christmas as Connie the Hormone Monstress

Could win: Chadwick Boseman, What If? (Disney+)

Outstanding Choreography for Variety or Reality Programming

Will win: Step Into The Movies With Derek and Julianne Hough (ABC)

Episode: Moulin Rouge Roxanne Tessandra Chavez, Derek Hough

Could win: Dancing with the Stars (ABC)

Outstanding Cinematography for a Nonfiction Program

Will win: Our Great National Parks (Netflix)

Episode: Chilean Patagonia Christiaan Muoz-Salas and Ignacio Walker

Could win: 100 Foot Wave (HBO)

Outstanding Cinematography for a Reality Program

Will win: Life Below Zero (National Geographic)

Episode: Fire in the Sky Danny Day, Michael Cheeseman and Simeon Houtman

Could win: Deadliest Catch (Discovery)

Outstanding Commercial

Will win: Teenage Dream (Sandy Hook Promise) BBDO New York, Ad Agency; Smuggler, Production Company

Could win: Detectives (Apple iPhone 13 Pro)

Outstanding Directing for a Documentary/Nonfiction Program

Will win: The Beatles: Get Back (Disney+) Peter Jackson

Episode: Part 3: Days 17-22

Could win: We Need to Talk About Cosby (Showtime) W. Kamau Bell

Outstanding Directing for a Reality Program

Will win: Lizzos Watch Out for the Big Grrls (Amazon Prime Video) Nneka Onuorah

Episode: Naked

Could win: RuPauls Drag Race (VH1) Nick Murray

Outstanding Directing for a Variety Series

Will win: Saturday Night Live (NBC) Don Roy King and Liz Patrick

Episode: Host: Billie Eilish

Could win: Last Week Tonight with John Oliver (HBO) Paul Pennolino and Christopher Werner

Outstanding Directing for a Variety Special

Will win: Jerrod Carmichael: Rothaniel (HBO) Bo Burnham

Could win: The Pepsi Super Bowl LVI Halftime Show Starring Dr. Dre, Snoop Dogg, Mary J. Blige, Eminem, Kendrick Lamar and 50 Cent (NBC) Hamish Hamilton

Outstanding Documentary or Nonfiction Series

Will win: The Beatles: Get Back (Disney+) Paul McCartney, Ringo Starr, Yoko Ono Lennon and Olivia Harrison, producers; Peter Jackson, Clare Olssen and Jonathan Clyde, produced by

Could win: We Need to Talk About Cosby (Showtime)

Outstanding Documentary or Nonfiction Special

Will win: Lucy and Desi (Amazon Prime Video) Michael Rosenberg, Justin Wilkes, Jeanne Elfant Festa, Nigel Sinclair, Amy Poehler and Mark Monroe, produced by

Could win: George Carlins American Dream (HBO) Teddy Leifer, Judd Apatow, Michael Bonfiglio and Kelly Carlin, executive producers; Joe Beshenkovsky, co-executive producer; Amanda Glaze, supervising producer; Wayne Federman, producer

Outstanding Exceptional Merit in Documentary Filmmaking

Will win: Frederick Douglass: In Five Speeches (HBO) Henry Louis Gates Jr., Dyllan McGee, Nancy Abraham, Lisa Heller and Sara Rodriguez, executive producers; Oluwaseun Babalola, producer

Could win: Changing the Game (Hulu)

Outstanding Host for a Reality or Competition Program

Will win: RuPaul, RuPauls Drag Race (VH1)

Could win: Padma Lakshmi, Top Chef (Bravo)

Outstanding Hosted Nonfiction Series or Special

Will win: The Problem with Jon Stewart (Apple TV+) Jon Stewart, executive producer/host; Brinda Adhikari, James Dixon and Richard Plepler, executive producers; Chris McShane, co-executive producer; Lorrie Baranek, supervising producer; Caity Gray, producer

Could win: Stanley Tucci: Searching for Italy (CNN)

Outstanding Individual Achievement in Animation

Will win: The Boys Presents: Diabolical (Amazon Prime Video)

Episode: Boyd in 3D Lexy Naut (storyboard artist)

Could win: Love, Death & Robots (Netflix)

Outstanding Lighting Design/Lighting Direction for a Variety Series

Will win: Americas Got Talent (NBC) Noah Mitz, Michael Berger, William Gossett, Ryan Tanker, Matt Benson, Patrick Brazil, Scott Chmielewski

Episode: Finale Results

Could win: Dancing with the Stars (ABC)

Outstanding Lighting Design/Lighting Direction for a Variety Special

Will win: Adele One Night Only (CBS) Noah Mitz, Bryan Klunder, Patrick Boozer, Patrick Brazil, Matthew Cotter

Could win: Annie Live! (NBC)

Outstanding Makeup for a Variety, Nonfiction or Reality Program

Already awarded: *TIE* Legendary (HBO) Tonia Green, Tyson Fountaine, Sean Conklin, Marcel Banks, Jennifer Fregozo, Silvia Leczel, Glen Alen and Were Here (HBO) Jeremy 6 Austin, Martin de Luna Jr. Lushious Massacr, Tyler Laila McQueen Devlin

Outstanding Music Composition for a Documentary Series or Special (Original Dramatic Underscore)

Will win: Only Murders in the Building (Hulu) Siddhartha Khosla

Episode: The Boy from 6B

Could win: Severance (Apple TV+) Theodore Shapiro

Outstanding Music Direction

Will win: The Pepsi Super Bowl LVI Halftime Show Starring Dr. Dre, Snoop Dogg, Mary J. Blige, Eminem, Kendrick Lamar and 50 Cent (NBC) Adam Blackstone

Could win: 43rd Annual Kennedy Center Honors (CBS) Rickey Minor

Outstanding Narrator

Will win: Barack Obama, Our Great National Parks (Netflix)

Episode: A World of Wonder

Could win: David Attenborough, The Mating Game (Discovery+)

Outstanding Picture Editing for a Nonfiction Program

Will win: The Beatles: Get Back (Disney+)

Episode: Part 3: Days 17-22 Jabez Olssen

Could win: The Tinder Swindler (Netflix)

Outstanding Picture Editing for a Structured Reality or Competition Program

Will win: RuPauls Drag Race (VH1)

Episode: Big Opening #1 Jamie Martin, Paul Cross, Ryan Mallick and Michael Roha

Could win: Lizzos Watch Out for the Big Grrrls (Amazon Prime Video)

Outstanding Picture Editing for an Unstructured Reality Program

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Final Emmy Predictions: Creative Arts Night One Will be Dominated by Barack Obama, Joanna Gaines and Arcane - Variety

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