Final Emmy Predictions: Creative Arts Night One Will be Dominated by Barack Obama, Joanna Gaines and Arcane – Variety
The first night of the 2022 Creative Arts Emmy Awards is taking place on Saturday, Sept. 3, and well see where the Primetime ceremony could be heading based on the first wave of winners.
With an evening that features categories for animated program, reality host, documentaries and short form, we could get a strong sense of where some of the support lies for the main ceremony on Monday, Sept. 12.
There are significant history-making moments that can take place.
Barack Obama could become the second U.S. president to win an Emmy for outstanding narrator for Netflixs Our Great National Parks. Dwight Eisenhower won in 1956, while still in office when he picked up the Governors Award for his use and encouragement of television.
If Obama wins, hell be halfway to EGOT status after netting two Grammys for best spoken word album for Dreams from My Father (2006) and The Audacity of Hope: Thoughts on Reclaiming the American Dream (2008). Other presidents that have won Grammys include Bill Clinton and Jimmy Carter.
Netflix could be the big winner of the first night of honors, as the streamer is projected to take home nine statuettes, including outstanding short form comedy, drama or variety series for I Think You Should Leave with Tim Robinson and critically acclaimed and fan-favorite series Arcane in animated program. The projected big night could also have up to five more Emmy wins land in its favor, based on the predictions.
Other notable races to keep an eye on are the reality races that could see reigning champ RuPauls Drag Race: Untucked bested by the heartwarming Love on the Spectrum U.S. for unstructured reality. In the structured reality category, Im going on a limb and foreseeing Chip and Joanna Gaines walking away with their first Emmy for Fixer Upper: Welcome Home. The power couple could be unseated by either Queer Eye or Shark Tank, which would become the most awarded show in the categorys history.
Finally, well see if the Will Smith slap helps the 94th Oscars squeak past Norman Lear or the Super Bowl Halftime show or if John Oliver should prepare multiple speeches since his show is nominated in the writing variety lineups.
Check out the final predictions for Night One of the Creative Arts ceremony below. The forecasts for Night Two will be revealed on Friday.
Read Varietys Awards Circuit predictions to keep up with the latest Emmy and Oscar race updates.
Outstanding Animated Program
Will win: Arcane (Netflix)
Episode: When These Walls Come Tumbling Down Christian Linke (executive producer/story by), Marc Merrill (executive producer), Brandon Beck (executive producer), Jane Chung (executive producer), Thomas Vu (executive producer), Jerme Combe (co-executive producer), Melinda Wunsch Dilger (co-executive producer), Pascal Charrue (co-executive producer/directed by), Arnaud Delord (co-executive producer/directed by), Alex Yee (co-executive producer/directed by), Ash Brannon (co-executive producer/story by), Conor Sheehy (story by), Barthelemy Maunoury (animation director), David Lyerly (voice director)
Could win: Rick and Morty (Adult Swim)
Outstanding Casting for a Reality Program
Will win: Love on the Spectrum U.S. (Netflix)
Casting directors: Laura Ritchie, Kat Elmore and Jeffrey Marx
Could win: Lizzos Watch Out for the Big Grrrls (Amazon Prime Video)
Outstanding Character Voice-Over Performance
Will win: Maya Rudolph, Big Mouth (Netflix)
Episode: A Very Big Mouth Christmas as Connie the Hormone Monstress
Could win: Chadwick Boseman, What If? (Disney+)
Outstanding Choreography for Variety or Reality Programming
Will win: Step Into The Movies With Derek and Julianne Hough (ABC)
Episode: Moulin Rouge Roxanne Tessandra Chavez, Derek Hough
Could win: Dancing with the Stars (ABC)
Outstanding Cinematography for a Nonfiction Program
Will win: Our Great National Parks (Netflix)
Episode: Chilean Patagonia Christiaan Muoz-Salas and Ignacio Walker
Could win: 100 Foot Wave (HBO)
Outstanding Cinematography for a Reality Program
Will win: Life Below Zero (National Geographic)
Episode: Fire in the Sky Danny Day, Michael Cheeseman and Simeon Houtman
Could win: Deadliest Catch (Discovery)
Outstanding Commercial
Will win: Teenage Dream (Sandy Hook Promise) BBDO New York, Ad Agency; Smuggler, Production Company
Could win: Detectives (Apple iPhone 13 Pro)
Outstanding Directing for a Documentary/Nonfiction Program
Will win: The Beatles: Get Back (Disney+) Peter Jackson
Episode: Part 3: Days 17-22
Could win: We Need to Talk About Cosby (Showtime) W. Kamau Bell
Outstanding Directing for a Reality Program
Will win: Lizzos Watch Out for the Big Grrls (Amazon Prime Video) Nneka Onuorah
Episode: Naked
Could win: RuPauls Drag Race (VH1) Nick Murray
Outstanding Directing for a Variety Series
Will win: Saturday Night Live (NBC) Don Roy King and Liz Patrick
Episode: Host: Billie Eilish
Could win: Last Week Tonight with John Oliver (HBO) Paul Pennolino and Christopher Werner
Outstanding Directing for a Variety Special
Will win: Jerrod Carmichael: Rothaniel (HBO) Bo Burnham
Could win: The Pepsi Super Bowl LVI Halftime Show Starring Dr. Dre, Snoop Dogg, Mary J. Blige, Eminem, Kendrick Lamar and 50 Cent (NBC) Hamish Hamilton
Outstanding Documentary or Nonfiction Series
Will win: The Beatles: Get Back (Disney+) Paul McCartney, Ringo Starr, Yoko Ono Lennon and Olivia Harrison, producers; Peter Jackson, Clare Olssen and Jonathan Clyde, produced by
Could win: We Need to Talk About Cosby (Showtime)
Outstanding Documentary or Nonfiction Special
Will win: Lucy and Desi (Amazon Prime Video) Michael Rosenberg, Justin Wilkes, Jeanne Elfant Festa, Nigel Sinclair, Amy Poehler and Mark Monroe, produced by
Could win: George Carlins American Dream (HBO) Teddy Leifer, Judd Apatow, Michael Bonfiglio and Kelly Carlin, executive producers; Joe Beshenkovsky, co-executive producer; Amanda Glaze, supervising producer; Wayne Federman, producer
Outstanding Exceptional Merit in Documentary Filmmaking
Will win: Frederick Douglass: In Five Speeches (HBO) Henry Louis Gates Jr., Dyllan McGee, Nancy Abraham, Lisa Heller and Sara Rodriguez, executive producers; Oluwaseun Babalola, producer
Could win: Changing the Game (Hulu)
Outstanding Host for a Reality or Competition Program
Will win: RuPaul, RuPauls Drag Race (VH1)
Could win: Padma Lakshmi, Top Chef (Bravo)
Outstanding Hosted Nonfiction Series or Special
Will win: The Problem with Jon Stewart (Apple TV+) Jon Stewart, executive producer/host; Brinda Adhikari, James Dixon and Richard Plepler, executive producers; Chris McShane, co-executive producer; Lorrie Baranek, supervising producer; Caity Gray, producer
Could win: Stanley Tucci: Searching for Italy (CNN)
Outstanding Individual Achievement in Animation
Will win: The Boys Presents: Diabolical (Amazon Prime Video)
Episode: Boyd in 3D Lexy Naut (storyboard artist)
Could win: Love, Death & Robots (Netflix)
Outstanding Lighting Design/Lighting Direction for a Variety Series
Will win: Americas Got Talent (NBC) Noah Mitz, Michael Berger, William Gossett, Ryan Tanker, Matt Benson, Patrick Brazil, Scott Chmielewski
Episode: Finale Results
Could win: Dancing with the Stars (ABC)
Outstanding Lighting Design/Lighting Direction for a Variety Special
Will win: Adele One Night Only (CBS) Noah Mitz, Bryan Klunder, Patrick Boozer, Patrick Brazil, Matthew Cotter
Could win: Annie Live! (NBC)
Outstanding Makeup for a Variety, Nonfiction or Reality Program
Already awarded: *TIE* Legendary (HBO) Tonia Green, Tyson Fountaine, Sean Conklin, Marcel Banks, Jennifer Fregozo, Silvia Leczel, Glen Alen and Were Here (HBO) Jeremy 6 Austin, Martin de Luna Jr. Lushious Massacr, Tyler Laila McQueen Devlin
Outstanding Music Composition for a Documentary Series or Special (Original Dramatic Underscore)
Will win: Only Murders in the Building (Hulu) Siddhartha Khosla
Episode: The Boy from 6B
Could win: Severance (Apple TV+) Theodore Shapiro
Outstanding Music Direction
Will win: The Pepsi Super Bowl LVI Halftime Show Starring Dr. Dre, Snoop Dogg, Mary J. Blige, Eminem, Kendrick Lamar and 50 Cent (NBC) Adam Blackstone
Could win: 43rd Annual Kennedy Center Honors (CBS) Rickey Minor
Outstanding Narrator
Will win: Barack Obama, Our Great National Parks (Netflix)
Episode: A World of Wonder
Could win: David Attenborough, The Mating Game (Discovery+)
Outstanding Picture Editing for a Nonfiction Program
Will win: The Beatles: Get Back (Disney+)
Episode: Part 3: Days 17-22 Jabez Olssen
Could win: The Tinder Swindler (Netflix)
Outstanding Picture Editing for a Structured Reality or Competition Program
Will win: RuPauls Drag Race (VH1)
Episode: Big Opening #1 Jamie Martin, Paul Cross, Ryan Mallick and Michael Roha
Could win: Lizzos Watch Out for the Big Grrrls (Amazon Prime Video)
Outstanding Picture Editing for an Unstructured Reality Program
- Obama and Bush Unite in Rare Move Against Trump - The Daily Beast - July 2nd, 2025 [July 2nd, 2025]
- Bush, Obama and Bono Commend USAID Staff Members on Their Last Day - The New York Times - July 2nd, 2025 [July 2nd, 2025]
- Lucas: Obama and the Democrats paved the way for Irans nuclear program - Boston Herald - July 2nd, 2025 [July 2nd, 2025]
- Obama, Bush decry travesty of Trumps gutting of USAID on its last day - Al Jazeera - July 2nd, 2025 [July 2nd, 2025]
- Obama, Bush criticize Trump administration for gutting USAID - Washington Examiner - July 2nd, 2025 [July 2nd, 2025]
- 10 Years Later: Looking Back On a Week That Shaped Our Country - Barack Obama Medium - July 2nd, 2025 [July 2nd, 2025]
- Bush, Obama and Bono bid farewell to USAID as 14m more deaths forecast without it - The Independent - July 2nd, 2025 [July 2nd, 2025]
- Obama, Bush and Bono eulogize USAID on final day - The Week - July 2nd, 2025 [July 2nd, 2025]
- House Republicans call for investigation into Obama-appointed judge in Trump funding case - AOL.com - July 2nd, 2025 [July 2nd, 2025]
- Donald Trump's 'colossal mistake' BLASTED by Obama and Bush during surprise reunion that left Bono in tears - Daily Mail - July 2nd, 2025 [July 2nd, 2025]
- Physician Tina Shah, who served in Obama and Biden administrations, will challenge Kean in NJ-7 - New Jersey Globe - July 2nd, 2025 [July 2nd, 2025]
- Michelle Obama shares the three words her dying mother said that changed her outlook on life - TheGrio - July 2nd, 2025 [July 2nd, 2025]
- Michelle Obama's podcast puts her in limelight in new Trump era, but she's not coming to Democrats' rescue - Fox News - July 2nd, 2025 [July 2nd, 2025]
- Bush and Obama fault Trumps gutting of USAID on agencys last day - MSN - July 2nd, 2025 [July 2nd, 2025]
- Don Jr.: "Affirmative Action" is why Obama won Nobel, not Trump - CNN - June 29th, 2025 [June 29th, 2025]
- A former Obama speechwriter learned to surf with his Joe Rogan-loving brother-in-law. Heres what happened next. - Inquirer.com - June 29th, 2025 [June 29th, 2025]
- The key difference between Obama and Trump on immigration - Orange County Register - June 29th, 2025 [June 29th, 2025]
- Michelle Obama shares 4 words her mom said at the end of her life that stuck with her - NPR - June 29th, 2025 [June 29th, 2025]
- Michelle Obama Discusses Parental Pain After Malia Changes Her Last Name to Push Away From Her Parents - Yahoo - June 29th, 2025 [June 29th, 2025]
- Michelle Obama Emotionally Shares Impact of 3 Words from Her Dying Mother - MSN - June 29th, 2025 [June 29th, 2025]
- Michelle Obama Reveals the Four Dying Words from Her Mother That Changed the Way She Lives Her Life - parade.com - June 29th, 2025 [June 29th, 2025]
- Michelle Obama reveals why shes rarely seen with Barack - Yahoo - June 29th, 2025 [June 29th, 2025]
- See the photos of Barack Obama School for Social Justice graduation ceremony - Lohud - June 29th, 2025 [June 29th, 2025]
- Viral video: Michelle Obama tears up while remembering her mother, reveals her take on death | Watch - Mint - June 28th, 2025 [June 28th, 2025]
- Michelle Obama says Barack Obama divorce rumor reactions are like 'the apocalypse' - USA Today - June 28th, 2025 [June 28th, 2025]
- This week in whoppers: Former aide's 'anti-war' Obama fantasy, Nina Turner's ignorance on Iran's abuse of women and more - New York Post - June 28th, 2025 [June 28th, 2025]
- Obama and Biden sent American taxpayers' money to Iran...: White House reveals - WION - June 28th, 2025 [June 28th, 2025]
- Trump Jr Says Obama Getting Nobel Prize Over Father Is 'Affirmative Action' - Newsweek - June 28th, 2025 [June 28th, 2025]
- Michelle Obama Gets Emotional Talking About the 3 Powerful Words Her Mom Said While Dying - People.com - June 28th, 2025 [June 28th, 2025]
- Ex-Obama aide says its insane to think Cuomo is best choice for New York mayor as it happened - The Guardian - June 28th, 2025 [June 28th, 2025]
- We are 60: Michelle on divorce rumors, explains why she's rarely seen with Barack Obama - Times of India - June 28th, 2025 [June 28th, 2025]
- Ex-Obama aide: Insane to think Cuomo better than democratic socialist - The Hill - June 28th, 2025 [June 28th, 2025]
- Michelle Obama addresses divorce rumors and why shes rarely seen with Barack: Were 60, yall - New York Post - June 28th, 2025 [June 28th, 2025]
- Democrats are more likely than Republicans to support naming public places after Obama, Harvey Milk, and Malcolm X - YouGov - June 28th, 2025 [June 28th, 2025]
- Trump Jr. says Barack Obama getting Nobel Peace Prize over his father is affirmative action - TheGrio - June 28th, 2025 [June 28th, 2025]
- Michelle Obama addresses rumors of the end of our marriage - The Hill - June 28th, 2025 [June 28th, 2025]
- Michelle Obama reacts to divorce rumours: Were 60, yall! - The Indian Express - June 28th, 2025 [June 28th, 2025]
- Michelle Obama mocks rumors that her marriage is in trouble - Fox News - June 28th, 2025 [June 28th, 2025]
- Michelle Obama Addresses Divorce Rumors and Why Shes Rarely Seen with Husband Barack - instyle.com - June 28th, 2025 [June 28th, 2025]
- Michelle Obama addresses the Barack Obama divorce rumors with humor - HOLA - June 28th, 2025 [June 28th, 2025]
- Megyn Kelly parodies Michelle Obama as she hits out at former first lady for 'never having a positive word to say' - Daily Mail - June 28th, 2025 [June 28th, 2025]
- Michelle Obama Explains Her Rare Public Outings With Barack - The Daily Beast - June 28th, 2025 [June 28th, 2025]
- Michelle Obama says Barack Obama divorce rumor reactions are like 'the apocalypse' - MSN - June 28th, 2025 [June 28th, 2025]
- Michelle Obama reveals why shes rarely seen with Barack - The Telegraph - June 28th, 2025 [June 28th, 2025]
- Michelle Obama Just Revealed Why She's Glad She Didn't Have Boys, And Her Reason Makes Sooo Much Sense - BuzzFeed - June 28th, 2025 [June 28th, 2025]
- Michelle Obama addresses lack of public appearances with husband Barack following divorce rumors - The Independent - June 28th, 2025 [June 28th, 2025]
- Obama CBA Coalition adds the $9B Illinois quantum park to its fight for environmental and housing justice - The TRiiBE - June 24th, 2025 [June 24th, 2025]
- Michelle Obama says a line her mom used to repeat about parenting always stuck with her - Business Insider - June 24th, 2025 [June 24th, 2025]
- Rewind: Did Trump claim in 2011 that Obama would start war with Iran to get elected? - Snopes.com - June 24th, 2025 [June 24th, 2025]
- Obama will start a war with Iran to win re-election: Amid US strikes on Tehran, Donald Trumps old twe - Times of India - June 24th, 2025 [June 24th, 2025]
- Did Netanyahu coerce Trump into attacking Iran? No but he tried with Obama - The Forward - June 24th, 2025 [June 24th, 2025]
- Why Michelle Obama Is "So Glad" She Didn't Have a Son With Husband Barack Obama - Marie Claire - June 24th, 2025 [June 24th, 2025]
- Froma Harrop: Barack Obama speaks, and it's the truth - Grand Forks Herald - June 24th, 2025 [June 24th, 2025]
- Michelle Obama: Im glad I dont have a son he would have turned out like my husband - The Telegraph - June 22nd, 2025 [June 22nd, 2025]
- How does an Obama speechwriter befriend a Joe Rogan fan? Via surfing - The Guardian - June 22nd, 2025 [June 22nd, 2025]
- Michelle Obama Jokes She's 'Glad' She Never Had a Boy Because He 'Would've Been a Barack': 'Would've Felt for Him' - People.com - June 22nd, 2025 [June 22nd, 2025]
- Why Michelle Obama Didn't Want to Have A Boy With Husband Barack - parade.com - June 22nd, 2025 [June 22nd, 2025]
- Why Michelle Obama Is Glad She Didnt Have a Son With Husband Barack Obama - E! Online - June 22nd, 2025 [June 22nd, 2025]
- Michelle Obama says she's 'so glad' she never had a son, says he 'would have been a Barack Obama' - Fox News - June 22nd, 2025 [June 22nd, 2025]
- Michelle Obama Spotted On Rare Trip With Daughters Malia and Sasha - parade.com - June 22nd, 2025 [June 22nd, 2025]
- Why Is a Former Obama Official Attacking the Left on Climate? - The American Prospect - June 22nd, 2025 [June 22nd, 2025]
- Barack Obama warns that US is dangerously close to becoming an autocracy - The Independent - June 22nd, 2025 [June 22nd, 2025]
- Michelle Obama says she is 'glad' she never had a son because he would have turned out like Obama - as marriage rumours refuse to go away - Daily Mail - June 22nd, 2025 [June 22nd, 2025]
- Michelle Obama says she's thankful she didn't have a son because he would have been like Barack Obama: Are the problems back? - MARCA - June 22nd, 2025 [June 22nd, 2025]
- Michelle Obama is so glad she never had a son as she feared he would have turned out like her husband - Yahoo - June 22nd, 2025 [June 22nd, 2025]
- Michelle Obama: Im glad I never had a son one Barack is enough - The Times - June 22nd, 2025 [June 22nd, 2025]
- Michelle Obama is so glad she didnt have a son: He would have been a Barack Obama - TheGrio - June 22nd, 2025 [June 22nd, 2025]
- Michelle Obama is glad she and Barack never had a son: 'I would've felt for him' - Christian Post - June 22nd, 2025 [June 22nd, 2025]
- Michelle Obama shares the part of living in DC she could do without - FOX 5 DC - June 22nd, 2025 [June 22nd, 2025]
- Michelle Obama on being glad she didnt have a son: He wouldve been a Barack Obama - The Hill - June 20th, 2025 [June 20th, 2025]
- Did Obama deport more people than Trump? What to know as Trump calls for more ICE arrests - USA Today - June 20th, 2025 [June 20th, 2025]
- OutKick founder Clay Travis: Trump has replaced Obama as the 'most consequential politician of the 21st century' - Fox News - June 20th, 2025 [June 20th, 2025]
- Obama Breaks Silence to Troll Trump About His Crowd Sizes - The Daily Beast - June 20th, 2025 [June 20th, 2025]
- Barack Obama warns the U.S. is dangerously close to slipping into autocracy under Trump - MSNBC News - June 20th, 2025 [June 20th, 2025]
- Hear former President Obama's warning about direction of the US - CNN - June 20th, 2025 [June 20th, 2025]
- Obama warns the U.S. is 'dangerously close' to slipping into an autocracy - MSNBC News - June 20th, 2025 [June 20th, 2025]
- Michelle Obama So Glad Not to Have Son Whod Have Been a Baby Barack - The Daily Beast - June 20th, 2025 [June 20th, 2025]
- Obama Takes a Swipe at Trump Without Mentioning Him by Name - Newsweek - June 20th, 2025 [June 20th, 2025]
- Michelle Obama says she is glad to not have a son. Heres why - The Economic Times - June 20th, 2025 [June 20th, 2025]
- NBA's Masai Ujiri teams with President Obama to bring basketball to African youth - NBC New York - June 20th, 2025 [June 20th, 2025]