Final Emmy Predictions: Creative Arts Night One Will be Dominated by Barack Obama, Joanna Gaines and Arcane – Variety
The first night of the 2022 Creative Arts Emmy Awards is taking place on Saturday, Sept. 3, and well see where the Primetime ceremony could be heading based on the first wave of winners.
With an evening that features categories for animated program, reality host, documentaries and short form, we could get a strong sense of where some of the support lies for the main ceremony on Monday, Sept. 12.
There are significant history-making moments that can take place.
Barack Obama could become the second U.S. president to win an Emmy for outstanding narrator for Netflixs Our Great National Parks. Dwight Eisenhower won in 1956, while still in office when he picked up the Governors Award for his use and encouragement of television.
If Obama wins, hell be halfway to EGOT status after netting two Grammys for best spoken word album for Dreams from My Father (2006) and The Audacity of Hope: Thoughts on Reclaiming the American Dream (2008). Other presidents that have won Grammys include Bill Clinton and Jimmy Carter.
Netflix could be the big winner of the first night of honors, as the streamer is projected to take home nine statuettes, including outstanding short form comedy, drama or variety series for I Think You Should Leave with Tim Robinson and critically acclaimed and fan-favorite series Arcane in animated program. The projected big night could also have up to five more Emmy wins land in its favor, based on the predictions.
Other notable races to keep an eye on are the reality races that could see reigning champ RuPauls Drag Race: Untucked bested by the heartwarming Love on the Spectrum U.S. for unstructured reality. In the structured reality category, Im going on a limb and foreseeing Chip and Joanna Gaines walking away with their first Emmy for Fixer Upper: Welcome Home. The power couple could be unseated by either Queer Eye or Shark Tank, which would become the most awarded show in the categorys history.
Finally, well see if the Will Smith slap helps the 94th Oscars squeak past Norman Lear or the Super Bowl Halftime show or if John Oliver should prepare multiple speeches since his show is nominated in the writing variety lineups.
Check out the final predictions for Night One of the Creative Arts ceremony below. The forecasts for Night Two will be revealed on Friday.
Read Varietys Awards Circuit predictions to keep up with the latest Emmy and Oscar race updates.
Outstanding Animated Program
Will win: Arcane (Netflix)
Episode: When These Walls Come Tumbling Down Christian Linke (executive producer/story by), Marc Merrill (executive producer), Brandon Beck (executive producer), Jane Chung (executive producer), Thomas Vu (executive producer), Jerme Combe (co-executive producer), Melinda Wunsch Dilger (co-executive producer), Pascal Charrue (co-executive producer/directed by), Arnaud Delord (co-executive producer/directed by), Alex Yee (co-executive producer/directed by), Ash Brannon (co-executive producer/story by), Conor Sheehy (story by), Barthelemy Maunoury (animation director), David Lyerly (voice director)
Could win: Rick and Morty (Adult Swim)
Outstanding Casting for a Reality Program
Will win: Love on the Spectrum U.S. (Netflix)
Casting directors: Laura Ritchie, Kat Elmore and Jeffrey Marx
Could win: Lizzos Watch Out for the Big Grrrls (Amazon Prime Video)
Outstanding Character Voice-Over Performance
Will win: Maya Rudolph, Big Mouth (Netflix)
Episode: A Very Big Mouth Christmas as Connie the Hormone Monstress
Could win: Chadwick Boseman, What If? (Disney+)
Outstanding Choreography for Variety or Reality Programming
Will win: Step Into The Movies With Derek and Julianne Hough (ABC)
Episode: Moulin Rouge Roxanne Tessandra Chavez, Derek Hough
Could win: Dancing with the Stars (ABC)
Outstanding Cinematography for a Nonfiction Program
Will win: Our Great National Parks (Netflix)
Episode: Chilean Patagonia Christiaan Muoz-Salas and Ignacio Walker
Could win: 100 Foot Wave (HBO)
Outstanding Cinematography for a Reality Program
Will win: Life Below Zero (National Geographic)
Episode: Fire in the Sky Danny Day, Michael Cheeseman and Simeon Houtman
Could win: Deadliest Catch (Discovery)
Outstanding Commercial
Will win: Teenage Dream (Sandy Hook Promise) BBDO New York, Ad Agency; Smuggler, Production Company
Could win: Detectives (Apple iPhone 13 Pro)
Outstanding Directing for a Documentary/Nonfiction Program
Will win: The Beatles: Get Back (Disney+) Peter Jackson
Episode: Part 3: Days 17-22
Could win: We Need to Talk About Cosby (Showtime) W. Kamau Bell
Outstanding Directing for a Reality Program
Will win: Lizzos Watch Out for the Big Grrls (Amazon Prime Video) Nneka Onuorah
Episode: Naked
Could win: RuPauls Drag Race (VH1) Nick Murray
Outstanding Directing for a Variety Series
Will win: Saturday Night Live (NBC) Don Roy King and Liz Patrick
Episode: Host: Billie Eilish
Could win: Last Week Tonight with John Oliver (HBO) Paul Pennolino and Christopher Werner
Outstanding Directing for a Variety Special
Will win: Jerrod Carmichael: Rothaniel (HBO) Bo Burnham
Could win: The Pepsi Super Bowl LVI Halftime Show Starring Dr. Dre, Snoop Dogg, Mary J. Blige, Eminem, Kendrick Lamar and 50 Cent (NBC) Hamish Hamilton
Outstanding Documentary or Nonfiction Series
Will win: The Beatles: Get Back (Disney+) Paul McCartney, Ringo Starr, Yoko Ono Lennon and Olivia Harrison, producers; Peter Jackson, Clare Olssen and Jonathan Clyde, produced by
Could win: We Need to Talk About Cosby (Showtime)
Outstanding Documentary or Nonfiction Special
Will win: Lucy and Desi (Amazon Prime Video) Michael Rosenberg, Justin Wilkes, Jeanne Elfant Festa, Nigel Sinclair, Amy Poehler and Mark Monroe, produced by
Could win: George Carlins American Dream (HBO) Teddy Leifer, Judd Apatow, Michael Bonfiglio and Kelly Carlin, executive producers; Joe Beshenkovsky, co-executive producer; Amanda Glaze, supervising producer; Wayne Federman, producer
Outstanding Exceptional Merit in Documentary Filmmaking
Will win: Frederick Douglass: In Five Speeches (HBO) Henry Louis Gates Jr., Dyllan McGee, Nancy Abraham, Lisa Heller and Sara Rodriguez, executive producers; Oluwaseun Babalola, producer
Could win: Changing the Game (Hulu)
Outstanding Host for a Reality or Competition Program
Will win: RuPaul, RuPauls Drag Race (VH1)
Could win: Padma Lakshmi, Top Chef (Bravo)
Outstanding Hosted Nonfiction Series or Special
Will win: The Problem with Jon Stewart (Apple TV+) Jon Stewart, executive producer/host; Brinda Adhikari, James Dixon and Richard Plepler, executive producers; Chris McShane, co-executive producer; Lorrie Baranek, supervising producer; Caity Gray, producer
Could win: Stanley Tucci: Searching for Italy (CNN)
Outstanding Individual Achievement in Animation
Will win: The Boys Presents: Diabolical (Amazon Prime Video)
Episode: Boyd in 3D Lexy Naut (storyboard artist)
Could win: Love, Death & Robots (Netflix)
Outstanding Lighting Design/Lighting Direction for a Variety Series
Will win: Americas Got Talent (NBC) Noah Mitz, Michael Berger, William Gossett, Ryan Tanker, Matt Benson, Patrick Brazil, Scott Chmielewski
Episode: Finale Results
Could win: Dancing with the Stars (ABC)
Outstanding Lighting Design/Lighting Direction for a Variety Special
Will win: Adele One Night Only (CBS) Noah Mitz, Bryan Klunder, Patrick Boozer, Patrick Brazil, Matthew Cotter
Could win: Annie Live! (NBC)
Outstanding Makeup for a Variety, Nonfiction or Reality Program
Already awarded: *TIE* Legendary (HBO) Tonia Green, Tyson Fountaine, Sean Conklin, Marcel Banks, Jennifer Fregozo, Silvia Leczel, Glen Alen and Were Here (HBO) Jeremy 6 Austin, Martin de Luna Jr. Lushious Massacr, Tyler Laila McQueen Devlin
Outstanding Music Composition for a Documentary Series or Special (Original Dramatic Underscore)
Will win: Only Murders in the Building (Hulu) Siddhartha Khosla
Episode: The Boy from 6B
Could win: Severance (Apple TV+) Theodore Shapiro
Outstanding Music Direction
Will win: The Pepsi Super Bowl LVI Halftime Show Starring Dr. Dre, Snoop Dogg, Mary J. Blige, Eminem, Kendrick Lamar and 50 Cent (NBC) Adam Blackstone
Could win: 43rd Annual Kennedy Center Honors (CBS) Rickey Minor
Outstanding Narrator
Will win: Barack Obama, Our Great National Parks (Netflix)
Episode: A World of Wonder
Could win: David Attenborough, The Mating Game (Discovery+)
Outstanding Picture Editing for a Nonfiction Program
Will win: The Beatles: Get Back (Disney+)
Episode: Part 3: Days 17-22 Jabez Olssen
Could win: The Tinder Swindler (Netflix)
Outstanding Picture Editing for a Structured Reality or Competition Program
Will win: RuPauls Drag Race (VH1)
Episode: Big Opening #1 Jamie Martin, Paul Cross, Ryan Mallick and Michael Roha
Could win: Lizzos Watch Out for the Big Grrrls (Amazon Prime Video)
Outstanding Picture Editing for an Unstructured Reality Program
- Jesse Jackson: How he paved way for Barack Obama - and helped change US - BBC - February 18th, 2026 [February 18th, 2026]
- Obama Took On Recession, Health Care and Iraq. What He Didnt See Coming Was Trump. - The New York Times - February 18th, 2026 [February 18th, 2026]
- Obama, Trump and Biden lead tributes to Jesse Jackson: one of Americas greatest patriots - The Guardian - February 18th, 2026 [February 18th, 2026]
- Democrats struggles could be partly because theyre just too old, says Obama - Politico - February 18th, 2026 [February 18th, 2026]
- Complete Obama Presidency Oral History Archive Is Now Available - Columbia University in the City of New York - February 18th, 2026 [February 18th, 2026]
- Jesse Jackson was the living bridge between King and Obama - The Guardian - February 18th, 2026 [February 18th, 2026]
- Obama clarifies views on aliens after saying 'they're real' on podcast - BBC - February 18th, 2026 [February 18th, 2026]
- Obama clarifies alien comments after telling podcast theyre real - CNN - February 18th, 2026 [February 18th, 2026]
- Did Obama deport more people at the start of his second term than Trump did during his? - MinnPost - February 18th, 2026 [February 18th, 2026]
- Barack Obama clarifies he's seen 'no evidence' of aliens after saying they're real - NBC News - February 18th, 2026 [February 18th, 2026]
- Obama said aliens exist on a podcast then posted to clarify - CNN - February 18th, 2026 [February 18th, 2026]
- Aliens are real, Obama says, as Washington shrugs - The Washington Post - February 18th, 2026 [February 18th, 2026]
- Why did Obama say aliens are real? | The Latest - The Guardian - February 18th, 2026 [February 18th, 2026]
- How a struggling Democratic party can win the midterms, according to Obama - MassLive.com - February 18th, 2026 [February 18th, 2026]
- Atlanta Black-owned toy store to be featured in Obama Presidential Center - CBS News - February 18th, 2026 [February 18th, 2026]
- Trump praises the late Rev. Jackson as good man, claims he disliked Obama - New York Daily News - February 18th, 2026 [February 18th, 2026]
- JD Vance Takes Cheap Shot at Obama After Death of Civil Rights Icon - The Daily Beast - February 18th, 2026 [February 18th, 2026]
- Symone: There would be no Barack Obama without Jesse Jackson - MS NOW - February 18th, 2026 [February 18th, 2026]
- Barack Obama pays tribute to Jesse Jackson: He laid the foundation - TheGrio - February 18th, 2026 [February 18th, 2026]
- From the archives: Jesse Jackson reacts to Barack Obama's election win in 2008 - CBS News - February 18th, 2026 [February 18th, 2026]
- A 'clown' who wouldn't go away: Inside Obama's teams blind spot on Trump - The Killeen Daily Herald - February 18th, 2026 [February 18th, 2026]
- Obama shuts down alien buzz and says theres no evidence theyve made contact - AP News - February 18th, 2026 [February 18th, 2026]
- Sasha Obama Makes Rare Appearance With Parents Barack, Michelle Obama at NBA All-Star Game - E! News - February 18th, 2026 [February 18th, 2026]
- Despite Trump's claim Jesse Jackson 'could not stand' Obama, here's what he said about Trump before his death - TheGrio - February 18th, 2026 [February 18th, 2026]
- Conspiracy Theorists Think Obama Is Sending Secret Messages With Talk About Aliens - Gizmodo - February 18th, 2026 [February 18th, 2026]
- Trump pays powerful tribute to force of nature Rev. Jesse Jackson, takes swipe at Obama - New York Post - February 18th, 2026 [February 18th, 2026]
- The Obama Meme on Trumps Truth Social Was Exactly What It Looked Like - The Atlantic - February 7th, 2026 [February 7th, 2026]
- Trump ends Obama-era restrictions on commercial fishing in protected area off New England - PBS - February 7th, 2026 [February 7th, 2026]
- GOP breaks with Trump White House on Obama post as Tim Scott opens the floodgates - The Hill - February 7th, 2026 [February 7th, 2026]
- To his bones a racist: Hayes says Trump taking the mask off with Obama video - MS NOW - February 7th, 2026 [February 7th, 2026]
- Trump shared Obama ape video. Here's the dark history behind the imagery. - USA Today - February 7th, 2026 [February 7th, 2026]
- Trump breaks record for deportations of migrants without criminal backgrounds, but still hasnt surpassed Obama and Bidens total removals - EL PAS... - February 7th, 2026 [February 7th, 2026]
- Barack Obama & Michelle Obama may be taking the high road as usual, but Trump can't seem to say the word "sorry" after posting a vile... - February 7th, 2026 [February 7th, 2026]
- Vile: Racist Obama video posted by the White House removed after bipartisan backlash - MassLive.com - February 7th, 2026 [February 7th, 2026]
- White House Initially Downplayed Trump's Racist Obama Post Before Deleting It and Blaming Staffer - People.com - February 7th, 2026 [February 7th, 2026]
- Trump Is Still Posting About Arresting Obama and Prosecuting Election Workers - Mother Jones - February 1st, 2026 [February 1st, 2026]
- Trump, Iran, and the Ghosts of Bush and Obama - The Dispatch - February 1st, 2026 [February 1st, 2026]
- From Bill Gates to Elon Musk and ex-Obama Official: What the New Epstein Files Reveal - TheWire.in - February 1st, 2026 [February 1st, 2026]
- Clinton and Obama urge Americans to 'speak out' and take action after Minneapolis shootings - NBC News - February 1st, 2026 [February 1st, 2026]
- Barack Obama warns Trump's ICE operations are a threat to all Americans: 'Get off the sidelines' - TheGrio - February 1st, 2026 [February 1st, 2026]
- Obama: Whats Happening In Minnesota Threatens All Americans - BIN: Black Information Network - February 1st, 2026 [February 1st, 2026]
- Barack and Michelle Obama Team Up With Airbnb CEO Brian Chesky To Announce Scholarship Program For Aspiring Leaders - AfroTech - February 1st, 2026 [February 1st, 2026]
- Quote of the day by Barack Obama: We don't ask you to believe in our ability to bring change, rather - The Economic Times - February 1st, 2026 [February 1st, 2026]
- Michelle Obama, 62, Inspired Me, 27, to Shop the Retro Denim Trend That Kelly Clarkson, 43, Just Wore - People.com - February 1st, 2026 [February 1st, 2026]
- From Obama award to Minnesota op: Why Trump tapped Tom Homan for on-the-ground crackdown - Fox News - February 1st, 2026 [February 1st, 2026]
- Crump and Obama are the Top Black News Makers of the 21st Century - The Sacramento Observer - February 1st, 2026 [February 1st, 2026]
- The Breakfast Routine Barack Obama Maintained During His Run For The White House - Mashed - February 1st, 2026 [February 1st, 2026]
- 2010 Obama clip goes viral where he defends deportations, even of those just trying to earn a living - Fox News - February 1st, 2026 [February 1st, 2026]
- Was Tom Homan Obama's 'ICE chief' who received award for deportations? We inspected - Snopes - February 1st, 2026 [February 1st, 2026]
- Michelle Obama explains why she thinks the U.S. isn't ready for a female president - nbcwashington.com - January 24th, 2026 [January 24th, 2026]
- Michelle Obama gives 3-word response on if her husband would seek 3rd term - masslive.com - January 24th, 2026 [January 24th, 2026]
- Michelle Obama, who called herself "Mom-in-Chief," now says she doesn't recommend women leave careers for children - Yahoo - January 24th, 2026 [January 24th, 2026]
- Michelle Obama Reacts to Criticism of Her Appearance During Time as First Lady - E! News - January 24th, 2026 [January 24th, 2026]
- Tearful Regina King Thanks Sasha and Malia Obama for Their Friendship With Her Late Son Ian - E! News - January 24th, 2026 [January 24th, 2026]
- Rewind: Obama roasts Trump at the 2011 White House Correspondents' Dinner. - Brut - January 24th, 2026 [January 24th, 2026]
- Regina King Reflects on Son Ian's Friendship With Michelle Obama's Daughters Malia and Sasha Before His Death - instyle.com - January 24th, 2026 [January 24th, 2026]
- Michelle Obama says friendships are as important as the degree that you got in college, your job title, and your salary - Fortune - January 24th, 2026 [January 24th, 2026]
- Id Actively Work Against That: Michelle Obama Shuts Down Third Obama Term Talk - bet.com - January 24th, 2026 [January 24th, 2026]
- OOPS! Megyn Kelly And Guests May Be Telling On Themselves In Angry Michelle Obama Rant - HuffPost - January 24th, 2026 [January 24th, 2026]
- Michelle Obama Just Revealed the Sad Truth About How the Media Actually Viewed Her in the White House - The Root - January 24th, 2026 [January 24th, 2026]
- Moments When Donald Trump Was Jealous of Barack Obama - Inquisitr News - January 24th, 2026 [January 24th, 2026]
- Michelle Obama Would Actively Work Against Husband Barack Becoming President Again - Globe Magazine - January 24th, 2026 [January 24th, 2026]
- Actor Craig Robinson Says a Past Girlfriend Thought He Was Michelle Obama's Married Brother - People.com - January 24th, 2026 [January 24th, 2026]
- Michelle Obama clarifies woman President comments on Call Her Daddy Podcast | RISING - The Hill - January 24th, 2026 [January 24th, 2026]
- Michelle Obama pressed on whether Barack would run for White House a third time if Trump changed the law - Yahoo - January 24th, 2026 [January 24th, 2026]
- Michelle Obama and Gretchen Whitmer Disagree on Americas Readiness for a Female President - The New York Times - January 22nd, 2026 [January 22nd, 2026]
- Michelle Obama issues brutal verdict on whether Barack should run for president again - The Independent - January 22nd, 2026 [January 22nd, 2026]
- Michelle Obama explains her comments that the US wasnt ready for a female president - CNN - January 22nd, 2026 [January 22nd, 2026]
- Barack Obama, Where the F--k Are You? - The Daily Beast - January 22nd, 2026 [January 22nd, 2026]
- Former first lady Michelle Obama said on a popular podcast that she would actively work against her husband, Barack, running for a hypothetical third... - January 22nd, 2026 [January 22nd, 2026]
- Michelle Obama pans possibility of third term for presidents: 8 years is enough - The Hill - January 22nd, 2026 [January 22nd, 2026]
- Michelle Obama Says She Would 'Actively Work Against' Another Barack Presidency if Term Limits Were Changed - People.com - January 22nd, 2026 [January 22nd, 2026]
- Michelle Obama Slams Critics for Putting Women in Their Place by Attacking Their Physical Being - Yahoo - January 22nd, 2026 [January 22nd, 2026]
- Michelle Obama Celebrates 62nd Birthday in a Vest Held Together by a Safety Pin for Surprise 'Call Her Daddy' Appearance - instyle.com - January 22nd, 2026 [January 22nd, 2026]
- New court doc asserts former Obama WH counsel advised Jeffrey Epstein during critical reputational and legal battles - CNN - January 22nd, 2026 [January 22nd, 2026]
- Michelle Obama Sits Down With Call Her Daddy to Talk Fashion, Scrutiny, and Looking Beyond Appearance - Harper's BAZAAR - January 22nd, 2026 [January 22nd, 2026]
- Michelle Obama would 'actively work against' a hypothetical third term from Barack, she says - New York Post - January 22nd, 2026 [January 22nd, 2026]
- Michelle Obama is asked if Barack would run again if Trump changed the law - The Independent - January 22nd, 2026 [January 22nd, 2026]
- Michelle Obama Reveals What She'd Want Her Husband To Do If Trump Ran For A Third Term - HuffPost - January 22nd, 2026 [January 22nd, 2026]
- Michelle Obama Admits That She Used to Want Husband Barack to "Be Different" - instyle.com - January 22nd, 2026 [January 22nd, 2026]