Qatar and Arab powers are already at warin Libya – Washington Examiner
Among the many civil wars ravaging the Arab world in Syria, Iraq, Yemen and Egypt the one Westerners hear the least about may prove the most dangerous: Libya. The civil war that has been raging in Libya since 2011 is, in many ways, a proxy war pitting Qatar and its Muslim Brotherhood allies against the United Arab Emirates and Saudi Arabia.
The Qatari-Emirati rivalry, which became front-page news last week when Saudi Arabia and its allies severed diplomatic ties with Qatar, has been the significant factor in the continuation of the current Libyan Civil War, much more so than nationalistic or Islamist ideologies.
Qatar and the UAE both punch above their weight in the conflict because unlike in Yemen or Syria, the role of the United States and other major powers is somewhat muted.
At stake for both Gulf monarchies is influence in post-war Libya as well as economic opportunity. The country is home to some of the last significant underexplored oil and gas basins in the Middle East. Outside the oil sector, Qatar has financial deals with Libya that date to the Ghaddafi era. The UAE, as an early investor in Libya, has also sought controlling positions in the Libyan financial sector.
After disputed elections in 2014, Libya has once again descended into chaos, with numerous factions warring against one another. These include Berber militias, ISIS terrorists, repentant former members of Ghaddafi's military, and many other factions. Over the last three years, however, Libyan politics have been defined by three large coalitions, each claiming to be Libya's legitimate government.
The General National Congress is largely Muslim Brotherhood-influenced and is supported by Qatar. Conversely, the UAE along with Saudi Arabia now support General Khalifa Haftar and his Libyan National Army (LNA). The LNA claims to represent Libya's House of Representatives, a rival government based in Tobruk.
Both of the above factions give lip service to the Government of National Accord, the body recognized by the United Nations as Libya's legitimate government.
Both sides also have other allies, of course. Egypt also supports Haftar, and in the past the General National Congress has received support from Turkey.
Qatar has long been involved in Libyan politics and had ties to the Islamist opposition since the Ghaddaffi era. When the Arab Spring uprisings of 2011 began, it supported the Muslim Brotherhood, which was the best organized political force in several Arab states.
Qatar was the first country to recognize the Libyan rebels and had begun sending them arms early in 2011 as they fought to topple Ghaddaffi. Media reports also suggest that Qatari special forces were deployed to Libya and at least some Libyan rebels received military training in Qatar.
The Emirates also sent weapons to rebel groups early in the conflict but failed to build lasting ties. Instead the Emirates turned to General Haftar, a supposed former CIA asset who was living in exile in Northern Virginia as recently as 2011.
In May 2014, Haftar launched a military movement to create a unified Libyan National Army (LNA) and to eliminate Islamic extremists. (Haftar's definition of extremists includes many whom others would consider moderates.) This moment set in stone the Qatar-UAE rivalry. When each nation officially backed opposing sides in the Libyan armed conflict, Bahrain, UAE, and Saudi Arabia pulled their ambassadors from Qatar's capital, Doha. The diplomats did not return for eight months.
The septuagenarian Haftar is perhaps the ablest military commander Libya has ever produced. He also makes little secret of his Neo-Ghaddaffi ambition to rule the country. Personality traits aside, his rapid rise has been accelerated by Egyptian and Emirati airstrikes in support of the LNA.
At first, those two countries kept their role secret due to U.S. disapproval. But following a massacre of Coptic Christians in February 2015, Egypt publicly launched airstrikes against Islamist militants in Libya. The Qatari-backed New General National Congress called Egypt's airstrikes a "horrible assault." Al-Jazeera coverage highlighted the civilian casualties of the strike.
The continuous airstrikes increasingly suggest an escalation of the conflict in a conventional sense. A once semi-secret activity is now being conducted in the open.
Qatar did not respond militarily to support its clients. Even if it wanted to, Libya is beyond the operational range of Qatari aircraft. Even the 24 longer-ranged Dassault Rafale fighter jets Qatar has ordered from France could not attack Libya without access to access to friendly airbases or mid-air refueling.
In any case, diplomatic relations soon returned to normal in the GCC, and on the surface Gulf politics seemed calm, with Qatar even joining the Saudi-led military intervention in Yemen.
However, in Libya, tensions between the two countries continued unabated with the Emirates and Egypt increasing their military support to Haftar in recent months.
This was apparent in the most recent Egyptian bombing campaign in Libya. Though it used the May 26 attack on Coptic Christians as a pretext, the Egyptian government acknowledged its new bombing campaign was not aimed at the perpetrators of that attack per se. Instead, the Derna Mujahideen Shura Council, an Islamist group, bore the brunt of the campaign. The group was an impediment to Haftar's efforts to consolidate control of the country. According to Arab press reports, the group has received support from Qatar.
Still isolated and left with few options, Qatar may choose Libya as the place where it strikes back at the UAE. If so, the long and wrongly ignored war in Libya is likely to be even longer.
Joseph Hammond, a former Cairo correspondent for Radio Free Europe, is a senior contributor with the American Media Institute. Suhaib Kebhaj is a Research Assistant at the International Monetary Fund and has worked extensively in his native Libya. The views expressed here do not necessarily reflect those of his employer.
If you would like to write an op-ed for the Washington Examiner, please read our guidelines on submissions.
Read more:
Qatar and Arab powers are already at warin Libya - Washington Examiner
- Libya rejects European interference in maritime agreement with Turkey - The Arab Weekly - June 29th, 2025 [June 29th, 2025]
- The Prime Minister of Eastern Libya threatens Greece - - Greek City Times - June 29th, 2025 [June 29th, 2025]
- Three Libyan companies win awards in Athens International Olive Oil Competition - Libya Herald - June 29th, 2025 [June 29th, 2025]
- Explosion Reported on Crude Tanker Off the Coast of Libya - The Maritime Executive - June 29th, 2025 [June 29th, 2025]
- Libyan and Omani Economy Ministers meet agree to activate several existing agreements and hold a business forum - Libya Herald - June 29th, 2025 [June 29th, 2025]
- Libya, Trkiye defend deal as Greece sustains objection | Daily Sabah - Daily Sabah - June 29th, 2025 [June 29th, 2025]
- Greece deploys 3 warships in the Eastern Mediterranean between Turkey and Libya - The Libya Observer - June 29th, 2025 [June 29th, 2025]
- Economy Ministry warns against speculation on the Dinar, assures gradual stability of exchange market - The Libya Observer - June 29th, 2025 [June 29th, 2025]
- Libyan Italian Forum concludes with the signing of 98 MoUs - Libya Herald - June 28th, 2025 [June 28th, 2025]
- Greek Political Tensions Resurface Over Turkey-Libya Pact - Greek City Times - June 28th, 2025 [June 28th, 2025]
- UN urges renewed political and climate action in Libya amid humanitarian and governance crises - africanews.com - June 26th, 2025 [June 26th, 2025]
- Warehouse fire and explosion in Ajkharrah injures 18 - The Libya Observer - June 26th, 2025 [June 26th, 2025]
- Pakistan urges all stakeholders in divided Libya to address outstanding issues through dialogue - Associated Press of Pakistan - June 26th, 2025 [June 26th, 2025]
- Libya, Turkey sign MoU on offshore areas, Athens reiterates rejection - eKathimerini.com - June 26th, 2025 [June 26th, 2025]
- Remarks at a UN Security Council Briefing on Libya - United States Mission to the United Nations (.gov) - June 26th, 2025 [June 26th, 2025]
- Pakistan urges continued intl support for peace in Libya - RADIO PAKISTAN - June 26th, 2025 [June 26th, 2025]
- Greece to deploy frigates off Libya to curb increased migrant flows, PM says - Reuters - June 24th, 2025 [June 24th, 2025]
- Libya's Al-Khadim airbase becomes a hub for Russian arms in the Sahel - RFI - June 24th, 2025 [June 24th, 2025]
- Greek Navy Deploys Warships To Thwart Surge Of Migrant Vessels Off Libya - Marine Insight - June 24th, 2025 [June 24th, 2025]
- MSF remains ready to resume medical activities in Libya - MSF - June 24th, 2025 [June 24th, 2025]
- Greek Navy Sending Refugee Hunting Patrols Near Libya - The National Herald - June 24th, 2025 [June 24th, 2025]
- New appointments for Stability Support Apparatus and Judicial Police Authority - The Libya Observer - June 24th, 2025 [June 24th, 2025]
- Greece plans to deploy navy ships off Libya to 'send a message' to migrant smugglers - MSN - June 24th, 2025 [June 24th, 2025]
- CBL penalizes three banks over unauthorized customer fees - The Libya Observer - June 24th, 2025 [June 24th, 2025]
- Analyst doubts impact of Berlin talks on Libya - Libyan Express - June 22nd, 2025 [June 22nd, 2025]
- General Authority for Exhibitions discusses strengthening cooperation with Turkey - The Libya Observer - June 22nd, 2025 [June 22nd, 2025]
- Qatar reaffirms commitment to work with partners to achieve peace in Libya - The Peninsula Qatar - June 22nd, 2025 [June 22nd, 2025]
- Libya's parallel government rejects Greeces drilling moves in the Mediterranean - The Libya Observer - June 22nd, 2025 [June 22nd, 2025]
- At least 60 people feared dead after shipwrecks off the coast of Libya - Al Jazeera - June 20th, 2025 [June 20th, 2025]
- IOM Reports 60 Migrants Missing in Two Deadly Shipwrecks off Libya - International Organization for Migration - June 20th, 2025 [June 20th, 2025]
- Russias Potential Withdrawal from Syria and Pivot to Libya - New Lines Institute - June 20th, 2025 [June 20th, 2025]
- Soccer fans storm field in Libya and a Portuguese referee is injured during a suspended match - Houston Chronicle - June 20th, 2025 [June 20th, 2025]
- Gaza-bound activist convoy retreats to Misrata after being blocked in east Libya - France 24 - June 20th, 2025 [June 20th, 2025]
- Libya : Moscow fears being excluded from the Berlin process - Africa Intelligence - June 20th, 2025 [June 20th, 2025]
- Tunisia calls for stronger ties with Libya and Algeria - Libyan Express - June 20th, 2025 [June 20th, 2025]
- Activists stopped in Libya and Egypt ahead of planned march to protest Gaza blockade - The Times of Israel - June 20th, 2025 [June 20th, 2025]
- UN envoy: Hate speech threatens Libyas unity and stability - The Libya Observer - June 20th, 2025 [June 20th, 2025]
- Libya is without justice, peace and a functioning state - Arab News - June 20th, 2025 [June 20th, 2025]
- At least 60 people feared missing in two deadly shipwrecks off Libya, IOM says - Yahoo - June 20th, 2025 [June 20th, 2025]
- Injustice By Design: Need for Comprehensive Justice Reform in Libya - Human Rights Watch - June 4th, 2025 [June 4th, 2025]
- Tripoli Just Flipped: Why the U.S. Cant Afford to Miss This Moment in Libya - Middle East Forum - June 4th, 2025 [June 4th, 2025]
- Mi-26s and T-62s: What Russia's military backing of Haftar means for Libya - AL-Monitor - June 1st, 2025 [June 1st, 2025]
- Libyan political parties call for inclusive political process - The Libya Observer - June 1st, 2025 [June 1st, 2025]
- Libya protesters call on PM to quit in third weekly march - The New Arab - June 1st, 2025 [June 1st, 2025]
- Libyan ambassador checks on community in Alexandria after storm - The Libya Observer - June 1st, 2025 [June 1st, 2025]
- Two summits for Egypt, Algeria, and Tunisia on Libya before end of year - The Libya Observer - June 1st, 2025 [June 1st, 2025]
- 11 Sudanese migrants killed in a car crash in the Libya desert, authorities say - ABC News - May 30th, 2025 [May 30th, 2025]
- Libya Arrests Three for Storming NOC Amid Threats to Oil Supply - Crude Oil Prices Today | OilPrice.com - May 30th, 2025 [May 30th, 2025]
- France supports the renewal of the arms embargo on Libya - France ONU - May 30th, 2025 [May 30th, 2025]
- Libya's Eastern Government Warns Of Force Majeure on Oil Ports and Fields - Crude Oil Prices Today | OilPrice.com - May 30th, 2025 [May 30th, 2025]
- Turkey's strategy towards Libya: analysis of regional dynamics and future perspectives - - iari.site - May 30th, 2025 [May 30th, 2025]
- Libya's eastern-based government says it may announce force majeure on oil fields, ports - Reuters - May 28th, 2025 [May 28th, 2025]
- Haftar vows military will have final say at key moments - The Libya Observer - May 28th, 2025 [May 28th, 2025]
- Sharing influence in Libya, Russia and Turkey work for calm after Haftars threats - The Arab Weekly - May 28th, 2025 [May 28th, 2025]
- Tripoli Just Flipped: Why the US Cant Afford to Miss This Moment in Libya - The Times of Israel - May 28th, 2025 [May 28th, 2025]
- Libya mandates underwater hull inspections - safety4sea - May 28th, 2025 [May 28th, 2025]
- For King and BP: How Britains MI6 infiltrated Libya to plunder its oil resources - PressTV - May 28th, 2025 [May 28th, 2025]
- PC advisor: Forming new authority in Libya could lead to war - The Libya Observer - May 28th, 2025 [May 28th, 2025]
- Russia, Turkey to use their influence to prevent renewed fighting in Libya - The Libya Observer - May 28th, 2025 [May 28th, 2025]
- National Oil Corporation denies storming of its headquarters in Tripoli - The Libya Observer - May 28th, 2025 [May 28th, 2025]
- HoR Speaker says delay in forming new government will lead to chaos - The Libya Observer - May 28th, 2025 [May 28th, 2025]
- Libya: Sudanese human rights defender disappeared and under imminent threat of forced return - Amnesty International - May 26th, 2025 [May 26th, 2025]
- Can the UN bridge the political divide in Libya? - BBC - May 26th, 2025 [May 26th, 2025]
- Libya: Technical Assistance Report-Workshop on Tax Administration Digitalization in Fragile and Conflict-Affected States - International Monetary Fund - May 26th, 2025 [May 26th, 2025]
- Libya Faces Another Wave of Violence - ISPI - May 26th, 2025 [May 26th, 2025]
- Libya urged to investigate civilian abuses in Tripoli after clashes between rival armed groups - JURIST Legal News - May 26th, 2025 [May 26th, 2025]
- Libya Passenger Car Market to Surpass 5.5 Mn Units by 2031 with 6.1% CAGR Growth Rate - openPR.com - May 26th, 2025 [May 26th, 2025]
- Atrocity Alert No. 440: Israel and the Occupied Palestinian Territory, Protection of Civilians and Libya - Global Centre for the Responsibility to... - May 26th, 2025 [May 26th, 2025]
- Rubio blasts judge who tried to block deportation of murderers from US to Libya - libyaupdate.com - May 26th, 2025 [May 26th, 2025]
- Libyas Foreign Ministry denies Al-Arabiya TV's claims of storming incident in its building - The Libya Observer - May 26th, 2025 [May 26th, 2025]
- Menfi briefs political parties' representatives on efforts to contain security threats in Tripoli - The Libya Observer - May 26th, 2025 [May 26th, 2025]
- Ministry of Interior, UNSMIL discuss technical and administrative cooperation - The Libya Observer - May 26th, 2025 [May 26th, 2025]
- Most intense fighting for years rocks Libyan capital - CNN - May 15th, 2025 [May 15th, 2025]
- Libya accepts ICC jurisdiction over alleged crimes from 2011 to the end of 2027 - | International Criminal Court - May 15th, 2025 [May 15th, 2025]
- L.A. Vietnamese man came for annual ICE check-in, then nearly got deported to Libya - Los Angeles Times - May 15th, 2025 [May 15th, 2025]
- France reaffirms its support for the ICCs work in Libya - France ONU - May 15th, 2025 [May 15th, 2025]
- Deadly Clashes in Libya Risk Ending OPEC-Nations Relative Calm - Bloomberg - May 15th, 2025 [May 15th, 2025]
- Security Council Meets on Situation in Libya - UN Media - May 15th, 2025 [May 15th, 2025]
- Militias Last Stand: How an Ambush in Libya Opens the Door for America - The Times of Israel - May 15th, 2025 [May 15th, 2025]
- 444th Brigade and Military Intelligence head Mahmoud Hamzas narrative of the SDF / RADA Tripoli clash - Libya Herald - May 15th, 2025 [May 15th, 2025]