Poll: Tory cuts and low-key NDP campaign helping Liberals

The Liberals appear to be benefitting from a low-key NDP campaign and voter concerns about a Progressive Conservative plan to cut 100,000 public service jobs, according to a new poll.

In the latest Forum Research survey, Kathleen Wynnes Liberals lead with 41 per cent to 34 per cent for Tim Hudaks Conservatives, and 20 per cent for Andrea Horwaths New Democrats. The Greens, led by Mike Schreiner, have 4 per cent.

Forum president Lorne Bozinoff said challenges lay ahead for the Tories and the NDP in the lead up to the June 12 election.

The NDP . . . campaign has just been slow to launch. There is a bit of a price to pay . . . for not announcing their platform yet, Bozinoff said Wednesday.

In Toronto, for example, where the NDP holds five seats, support has dipped to 14 per cent. That compares with 51 per cent for the Liberals, who have 17 city seats, and 33 per cent for the Tories, who have one.

Compounding the New Democrats dilemma is a left-leaning Liberal Party that appeals to traditional progressive voters and a right-wing PC platform that could lead to anti-Hudak strategic voting, the pollster said.

With the Tories . . . they havent, for some people, explained the 100,000 jobs and the million jobs, he said, referring to the 100,000 jobs Hudak plans to eliminate from the broader public sector over four years in order to create 1 million private-sector jobs in eight years.

Thats 100,000 people and they all have spouses and they all have parents and they all have friends so it takes time for this to percolate through.

In last weeks poll, 62 per cent disapproved of the proposed cuts while 26 per cent approved and 11 per cent werent sure. Similarly, 63 per cent doubted 1 million jobs could be generated while 26 per cent believe they would and 11 per cent didnt know.

Using interactive voice-response phone calls, Forum surveyed 1,136 people across Ontario on Tuesday and results are considered accurate to within three percentage points, 19 times out of 20.

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Poll: Tory cuts and low-key NDP campaign helping Liberals

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