Opinion: If the Liberals really wanted a successful federal daycare program, this one isn’t it – National Post
Breadcrumb Trail Links
Janice MacKinnon and Jack Mintz: The program will take too long to implement and fail to meet the needs of Canada's diverse workforce
Author of the article:
Publishing date:
The federal governments 2021 budget introduces a daycare program, fashioned after Quebecs, as a $10-a-day, 50/50 shared-cost conditional grant program with the provinces. By adopting a conditional grant program that requires a one-size-fits-all approach without recognizing provincial differences in fiscal capacity, the program will take too long to implement and fail to meet the needs of Canadas diverse workforce.
Daycare regulation is a provincial responsibility and the needed policies to achieve the goal of making daycare more affordable and accessible vary across Canada. What works in Quebec might not work in Nova Scotia or Saskatchewan. The success of the federal daycare initiative will depend significantly on how much flexibility the provinces have to design daycare programs that suit their unique needs.
The federal budget goes over the top, claiming the program is one of the most significant actions taken since the North American free trade agreements to create economic opportunities for Canadians. While it is true that daycare spending brings economic benefits by encouraging both parents in a family to work, it will not pay for itself. And the price tag is high: its annual cost is expected to be $18 billion in five years, including the provincial share and indigenous support and excluding any cost related to Quebecs to-be-negotiated package.
This advertisement has not loaded yet, but your article continues below.
The programs benefits are being exaggerated in three ways. First, the federal government is relying on the Quebec experience, but there is no reason to believe that the increase in employment seen in that province will hold true for the others. The Quebec daycare plan did produce economic benefits, but a number of studies such as one conducted by Pierre Fortin, which estimated that for every dollar spent on daycare the economy grows by $5 have significantly overestimated the benefit.
Second, as pointed out by economists Michael Baker and Kevin Milligan, there are some social and health advantages with competing at-home care that should be quantified in any economic assessment. Third, daycare could provide some important learning benefits, although the best response might be an expansion of full-time junior kindergarten, as some provinces have done.
The federal budget states that, TD Economics has pointed to a range of studies that have shown that for every dollar spent on early childhood education, the broader economy receives between $1.50 and $2.80 in return. Omitted was the qualifier that followed in the same 2012 report: One needs to acknowledge, however, that quantifying these benefits is not an exact science and a large margin of error likely exists. So, the benefit/cost ratio must be interpreted with caution.
This advertisement has not loaded yet, but your article continues below.
Significant new federal money to help parents with daycare costs is good news, but at issue is the model chosen to spend federal money in an area of provincial jurisdiction. The federal government could have used a model like the Canada child benefit: a federal program that provides support to low-income families to encourage parents to move from welfare to work. This has reduced welfare costs for the provinces, which used the savings on other social programs.
The federal government could subsidize the cost of daycare by providing tax credits or transfers directly to parents. Spaces could be increased by federal subsidies to operators and provinces could focus on enhancing their own daycare offerings.
Instead, the federal government chose a model reminiscent of the 1960s approach to medicare: a universal program, with federal cost sharing available only to provinces that accept the national standards. The model is outdated and rigid.
In terms of costs, why should provinces move from daycare costs of more than $1,000 a month to $10 a day? What if some provinces want to charge more than $10 a day so that they can afford to fund more spaces?
This advertisement has not loaded yet, but your article continues below.
Why is it good public policy to provide cheap daycare to wealthy Canadians? What if some provinces want to base fee levels on income, so that upper-income people pay more, and the money is used to expand the supply of daycare? Gearing costs to income and providing more supply to others is arguably fairer than the proposed Quebec-based model. Provinces need the flexibility to decide the parental payment structure and level that works best for their jurisdictions.
Flexibility also means subsidizing many kinds of daycares to meet the needs of todays diverse workforce. The budget commits support primarily for the not-for-profit sector, which would leave out private operators, often small female-owned businesses, that provide daycare to todays workforce, which includes many shift workers, more part-time and temporary workers, and people whose daycare needs vary from week to week.
As two female private daycare operators wrote in the Globe and Mail: Failing to enable diverse care models means only middle-class, full-time, permanently employed parents will benefit from a $10/day model. Surely, we do not want to create a two-tiered system where an elite group of parents are fortunate enough to access not-for-profit, $10-a-day daycare, while leaving many others to pay much more for less traditional but equally essential daycare services.
This advertisement has not loaded yet, but your article continues below.
What is required is compromise and accommodation, especially since provinces are understandably skeptical about the prospect of another federal-provincial cost-sharing program. When medicare was created, the federal government used 50/50 cost sharing to pressure provinces to support the program. Today, even if federal personal tax point transfers are included, provinces pick up two-thirds of medicare costs (without tax points, the federal share is only 21 per cent).
The same budget that introduced the new federal-provincial daycare plan ignored provincial appeals to make a long-term increase in federal transfers for provincial health-care systems that are overburdened with COVID-19 patients and long-term care facilities, which have been devastated during the pandemic.
It would have been simpler and more expedient for the federal government to directly fund daycare costs through grants or tax credits. Probably, to keep the program targeted, a focus on affordability for parents needing to work would have enabled the federal government to save some money for other health-related provincial transfers.
National Post
Janice MacKinnon is a former Saskatchewan minister of social services and Jack Mintz is the presidents fellow at the University of Calgarys School of Public Policy.
This advertisement has not loaded yet, but your article continues below.
This advertisement has not loaded yet, but your article continues below.
Sign up to receive the daily top stories from the National Post, a division of Postmedia Network Inc.
A welcome email is on its way. If you don't see it please check your junk folder.
The next issue of Posted Newsletter will soon be in your inbox.
We encountered an issue signing you up. Please try again
Postmedia is committed to maintaining a lively but civil forum for discussion and encourage all readers to share their views on our articles. Comments may take up to an hour for moderation before appearing on the site. We ask you to keep your comments relevant and respectful. We have enabled email notificationsyou will now receive an email if you receive a reply to your comment, there is an update to a comment thread you follow or if a user you follow comments. Visit our Community Guidelines for more information and details on how to adjust your email settings.
- The Week in Polling: Liberals and Conservatives neck and neck; American trust in mainstream media hits all-time low; Canadians overwhelmingly reject... - October 11th, 2025 [October 11th, 2025]
- Conservative distrust of journalism threatens to spread among liberals - Kansas Reflector - October 11th, 2025 [October 11th, 2025]
- Budget 2025: What the federal Liberals are pitching in their upcoming budget - Yahoo News Canada - October 11th, 2025 [October 11th, 2025]
- 'Long overdue' say those who welcome the Liberals' promised automatic tax filing system - CBC - October 11th, 2025 [October 11th, 2025]
- Budget 2025: What the federal Liberals are pitching in their upcoming budget - The Spec - October 11th, 2025 [October 11th, 2025]
- Budget 2025: What the federal Liberals are pitching in their upcoming budget - Toronto Star - October 11th, 2025 [October 11th, 2025]
- Liberals in closed-door talks to boost NDP funding, claim its not related to upcoming budget vote - Toronto Star - October 11th, 2025 [October 11th, 2025]
- Grattan on Friday: Will the Liberals hold firm in the fight over freedom to find information? - The Conversation - October 11th, 2025 [October 11th, 2025]
- Budget 2025: What the federal Liberals are pitching in their upcoming budget - saskNOW - October 11th, 2025 [October 11th, 2025]
- These rural Californians want to secede. Newsoms maps would pair them with Bay Area liberals - el-observador.com - October 11th, 2025 [October 11th, 2025]
- Liberals seem intent on winning the battle of new terms over the war of ideas - AJC.com - October 9th, 2025 [October 9th, 2025]
- Conservatives Love Him. Liberals Actually Listen to Him. How Does Ross Douthat Do That? - Slate - October 9th, 2025 [October 9th, 2025]
- The Liberals find a better balance in fighting hate - The Globe and Mail - October 9th, 2025 [October 9th, 2025]
- The ground is shifting: whats driving One Nations surge and could it replace the floundering Liberals? - The Guardian - October 9th, 2025 [October 9th, 2025]
- Supreme Court's Liberals Offer Muted Defense of 'Conversion Therapy' Ban - Law.com - October 9th, 2025 [October 9th, 2025]
- Michael Higgins: Tamara Lich was never an insurrectionist. It just suited Liberals to pretend - Yahoo News Canada - October 9th, 2025 [October 9th, 2025]
- The Yukon Liberals Are Coming Apart at the Worst Possible Time - The Walrus - October 9th, 2025 [October 9th, 2025]
- Liberals pledge support for tech sector, defence. PCs double down on supporting the trades - CBC - October 9th, 2025 [October 9th, 2025]
- Trump sends Navy officers wild with powerful message to liberals claiming he's 'unwell' - Daily Mail - October 7th, 2025 [October 7th, 2025]
- Liberals vote against Tory bail reform motion, vow opposition will be happy with new legislation - Global News - October 7th, 2025 [October 7th, 2025]
- 8 days out from election, Liberals pitch office to cut through red tape, NDP promises cuts to heating tax - Yahoo News Canada - October 7th, 2025 [October 7th, 2025]
- In travelling a spread-out province, the Liberals and PCs are trying to navigate N.L.'s rural-urban divide - CBC - October 7th, 2025 [October 7th, 2025]
- The Liberals need to be clear cut on spending cuts - The Globe and Mail - October 4th, 2025 [October 4th, 2025]
- Liberals Are Losing the Clip War, How Can We Fight Back? (w/ Adam Mockler) - The Bulwark - October 4th, 2025 [October 4th, 2025]
- Liberals hope to entice Paradise voters with promises of solution to traffic gridlock - Yahoo News Canada - October 4th, 2025 [October 4th, 2025]
- A hearty welcome for the Liberals in the district of Fogo Island-Cape Freels indicates its a race between red and blue - Yahoo News Canada - October 4th, 2025 [October 4th, 2025]
- Mike Johnson Threatens Liberals With a Good Time: If Democrats Took Over the House Theyd Impeach Trump - Yahoo - October 2nd, 2025 [October 2nd, 2025]
- Liberals and conservatives are familiar foes of California gerrymandering | Opinion - Yahoo News Canada - October 2nd, 2025 [October 2nd, 2025]
- Gap between Liberals and Conservatives narrows to four points as Canadians increasingly focus on jobs/the economy. (Nanos) - Nanos Research - October 2nd, 2025 [October 2nd, 2025]
- Provincial Liberals Held Commanding Lead Prior to Writ Drop: Narrative Research - VOCM - October 2nd, 2025 [October 2nd, 2025]
- Liberals and conservatives are familiar foes of California gerrymandering | Opinion - Sacramento Bee - September 30th, 2025 [September 30th, 2025]
- POLL: Liberals More Likely to Cut Ties with Friends and Family Over Politics - AMAC - The Association of Mature American Citizens - September 30th, 2025 [September 30th, 2025]
- Liberals say they're confused by Poilievre's call to 'argue' against B.C. land-claims ruling they've already appealed - MSN - September 30th, 2025 [September 30th, 2025]
- Liberals say they're confused by Poilievre's call to 'argue' against B.C. land-claims ruling they've already appealed - Yahoo News Canada - September 30th, 2025 [September 30th, 2025]
- The Dark Passions Driving American Politics: Why Liberals Must Acknowledge Anger, Fear, and the Lust for Domination - Keen On America - September 30th, 2025 [September 30th, 2025]
- Daily Caller Editor Literally Calls for Conservatives to Violently Attack Liberals: I Want Blood in the Streets - Yahoo - September 30th, 2025 [September 30th, 2025]
- OPINION: Ontario Liberals should mirror federal counterparts' voting safeguards to prevent foreign interference and coercion - The Trillium - September 30th, 2025 [September 30th, 2025]
- What Liberals Get Wrong About Trumps Executive Order on Antifa - The Intercept - September 28th, 2025 [September 28th, 2025]
- Liberals say they have 'no intention' of repealing Online News and Streaming Acts. For now - National Post - September 28th, 2025 [September 28th, 2025]
- David McWilliams: Where does the political aftermath of Charlie Kirks killing leave Maga and US liberals? - The Irish Times - September 28th, 2025 [September 28th, 2025]
- Cost of living on the ballot as Liberals visit west coast, NDP criticize lack of transparency - CBC - September 28th, 2025 [September 28th, 2025]
- Conservative MP says Liberals are the architect' of Canada Post's problems - CBC - September 28th, 2025 [September 28th, 2025]
- The Right Wants to Exterminate Trans People. Liberals Are Helping. - The Nation - September 25th, 2025 [September 25th, 2025]
- Liberals say they have 'no intention' of repealing Online News and Streaming Acts. For now - Yahoo News Canada - September 25th, 2025 [September 25th, 2025]
- Braid: The Liberals face a furious Prairie battle over mandatory gun buybacks - Calgary Herald - September 25th, 2025 [September 25th, 2025]
- 2 more Yukon Liberals added to roster in rural ridings ahead of election call - Yukon News - September 25th, 2025 [September 25th, 2025]
- Maher blasts Hollywood liberals for not acknowledging Charlie Kirk's assassination at the Emmys - Yahoo - September 23rd, 2025 [September 23rd, 2025]
- CNNs Abby Phillip Says More Liberals Need To Actively Acknowledge Their Part in Cancel Culture - Yahoo - September 23rd, 2025 [September 23rd, 2025]
- Reports on political violence may favor liberals and inflate right-wing numbers - KDBC - September 23rd, 2025 [September 23rd, 2025]
- Reports on political violence may favor liberals and inflate right-wing numbers - WUHF - September 23rd, 2025 [September 23rd, 2025]
- Presumptive Cancer Care Still Part of Liberals Campaign Promises NAPE is Told - VOCM - September 23rd, 2025 [September 23rd, 2025]
- Liberals hit the brakes on buying Teslas - University of Colorado Boulder - September 21st, 2025 [September 21st, 2025]
- CNN's Abby Phillip Says Liberals Should 'Actively Acknowledge' Role in Cancel Culture: 'Not Just in Passing' | Video - TheWrap - September 21st, 2025 [September 21st, 2025]
- Maher blasts Hollywood liberals for not acknowledging Charlie Kirk's assassination at the Emmys - Fox News - September 21st, 2025 [September 21st, 2025]
- Jimmy Kimmel canceled? Liberals are finally reaping what they sowed. | Opinion - MSN - September 21st, 2025 [September 21st, 2025]
- How both conservatives and liberals doctored the same photo of the Charlie Kirk murder suspect - France 24 - September 19th, 2025 [September 19th, 2025]
- Jimmy Kimmel canceled? Liberals are finally reaping what they sowed. | Opinion - USA Today - September 19th, 2025 [September 19th, 2025]
- Liberals shifting Coast Guard to defence is creative accounting: Conservatives - Juno News - September 19th, 2025 [September 19th, 2025]
- Tariffs on imported sugar to hit liberals, Gen Z even MAHA where it hurts: organic food - Fortune - September 19th, 2025 [September 19th, 2025]
- Jimmy Kimmel Hammered MAGA With Jokes, Barely Touched Liberals - Here Are The Stats - OutKick - September 19th, 2025 [September 19th, 2025]
- Sharp rise in satisfaction with N.B. government 1 year after Liberals take power: survey - Global News - September 19th, 2025 [September 19th, 2025]
- J.D. Vance says 26 percent of young liberals justify political violence. Here's what the data really say. - Reason Magazine - September 17th, 2025 [September 17th, 2025]
- Charlie Kirk Wanted American Education Wrested from Liberals - FlaglerLive - September 17th, 2025 [September 17th, 2025]
- Liberals and younger Americans are more likely to justify political violence, poll says - Washington Times - September 17th, 2025 [September 17th, 2025]
- Liberals blocked moment of silence for Charlie Kirk in Parliament - Juno News - September 17th, 2025 [September 17th, 2025]
- Liberals to table the federal budget on Nov. 4 - Investment Executive - September 17th, 2025 [September 17th, 2025]
- Trump And Crew Promise Crackdown On Liberals In The Name Of Charlie Kirk - NewsOne - September 17th, 2025 [September 17th, 2025]
- Opinion: The Ontario Liberals need a new leader. Doug Ford would be perfect - The Globe and Mail - September 17th, 2025 [September 17th, 2025]
- Liberals will table the federal budget on Nov. 4, Champagne says - Toronto Star - September 17th, 2025 [September 17th, 2025]
- Liberals will table the federal budget on Nov. 4, Champagne says - CityNews Toronto - September 17th, 2025 [September 17th, 2025]
- Liberals will table the federal budget on Nov. 4, Champagne says - thecanadianpressnews.ca - September 17th, 2025 [September 17th, 2025]
- Liberals will table federal budget on Nov. 4, Champagne says - Calgary Journal - September 17th, 2025 [September 17th, 2025]
- Advocates Urge Liberals to Keep Promise on Live Horse Export Ban - Humane World for Animals - September 15th, 2025 [September 15th, 2025]
- Carney moved Liberals 'far to the right,' says Green Party leader - CBC - September 15th, 2025 [September 15th, 2025]
- Liberals, Conservatives lay out fall priorities as parties gear up for House of Commons return - CBC - September 15th, 2025 [September 15th, 2025]
- Some Liberals believe Australia is letting in the wrong immigrants - Australian Broadcasting Corporation - September 15th, 2025 [September 15th, 2025]
- Liberals need to get it together on pharmacare - The Hill Times - September 15th, 2025 [September 15th, 2025]
- Jim Warren: Carney Liberals could provide opponents of petroleum and pipelines with a $1.0 billion war chest - Pipeline Online - September 15th, 2025 [September 15th, 2025]
- Bonnie Crombie to resign after Ontario Liberals narrowly voted against leadership contest - The Globe and Mail - September 15th, 2025 [September 15th, 2025]
- Trump Just Went on Fox and Issued an Unnerving Threat Against Liberals - The New Republic - September 13th, 2025 [September 13th, 2025]