Liberal and Labor on a knife edge in WA, while things look up for One Nation – The Sydney Morning Herald
Despite a late poll slump, scrappy organisation and the selection of "fruitcakes" as candidates, One Nation remains in a position to seize the balance of power in Western Australia's upper house, largely due to the enduring strength of Pauline Hanson's political brand, less than a week before the state election.
A ReachTEL poll commissioned by Fairfax last week showed that the Labor opposition was leading Colin Barnett's Liberal government by 52-48 on a two-party-preferred basis.
Play Video Don't Play
Play Video Don't Play
Previous slide Next slide
A poll of around 1700 residents shows the WA state election is set to be a tight contest.
Play Video Don't Play
A Camillo man has been charged with evading police through a number of Perth suburbs in the dramatic chase captured by WA Police's air-wing.
Play Video Don't Play
Trevor Gleeson says Matt Knight is a 50-50 chance to play in Sunday's final against Illawarra.
Play Video Don't Play
Trevor Gleeson says Matt Knight is a 50-50 chance to play in Sunday's final against Illawarra.
Play Video Don't Play
Winner of over 70 international awards, Matilda the musical makes it way to Perth.
Play Video Don't Play
Mother Nature put on an impressive display overnight, with a massive thunder and lightning storm. Vision: Today Perth News.
Play Video Don't Play
Perth barrister Lloyd Rayney speaks to the media ahead of his defamation case against the state government Vision: Network Ten.
A poll of around 1700 residents shows the WA state election is set to be a tight contest.
But the Liberal Party's controversial preference deal with One Nation, which is polling at 8.5 per cent, could leave Ms Hanson's party with the balance of power in the upper house.
Dr Martin Drum, a senior lecturer in politics at the University of Notre Dame, said such a result suggests that should One Nation learnfrom its mistakes and should Ms Hanson continue to operate as effectively as she has in recent months, One Nation could wreak havocfor the Liberal and National parties in other state and federal elections in the future.
When the WA campaign began One Nation was polling at just over 13 per cent. The slump since then appears to have been inflicted by the quality of its local candidates, some of whom have proved to be "fruitcakes" saidDr Drum. "When they are in the headlines, it is normally for the wrong reasons."
Dr Drum notedthat polling throughout the campaign has shown discontent with both major parties, with Liberal losses not all flowing to Labor.
He said given that One Nation failed to find enough candidates to run in all the state's contestable seats and because some candidates appear not to have been closely vetted the scope of its impact in this environment was unpredictable.
In January an article that the party's candidate for the crucial seat of Pilbara, David Archibald, held by the National Party's leader Brendon Grylls, wrote in the musty conservative journal Quadrant was dusted off and republished to a broad audience.
Listing lifestyle choices that the government should defund, he began with "ugly" single mothers.
"The first that springs to mind is single motherhood," Mr Archibald wrote.
"These are women too lazy to attract and hold a mate, undoing the work of possibly 3 million years of evolutionary pressure.
"This will result in a rapid rise in the portion of the population that is lazy and ugly."
On Friday One Nation's candidate for another crucial seat, Kalamunda, on the eastern fringe of Perth, suddenly quit, citing a preference deal between One Nation and the Liberal Party.
"I've had enough," Ray Gould, told ABC radio.
"I'm talking to voters and they say, 'We like Pauline Hanson but she's done a deal with the Liberals and she can't be trusted'.
"I don't think I'll even get 4 per cent of the vote because she's messing with the voters' heads."
Kalamunda could help decide which party wins government. It is held by the Liberal Party with a margin of 10.3 per cent, which is almost exactly the size of the swing Labor needs to win governmentand, according to recent polling, just about the size of the swing that polling suggests we might see on election day.
The Liberal Party has faced criticism for cutting a deal with One Nation that will see it giving preferences to the insurgent outlier in the upper house in return for One Nation's preferences in the lower house.
Speaking on ABC TV on Sunday morning, during an interview in which she backed a cut to weekend penalty rates, voiced her support for the Russian President Vladimir Putin and cast doubt on the safety of vaccines, Ms Hanson was frank in support of the agreement.
"I have no problem with saying that because it is our best chance of getting One Nation candidates selected to the floor of Parliament. Of course, who is not going to do it?"
The deal has increased tensions between the Liberal Party and its National Party coalition partners, and demonstrated how seriously the Liberal Party takes the One Nation threat.
Some observers believe Mr Barnett has effectively sacrificed the lower house seat of Perth, where voters have expressed anger at the deal, in order to stave off One Nation challenges in rural and regional seats.
In the aftermath of a mining boom thatsome analysts consider to have been wasted, the election is being fought over bread and butter economic issues such as unemployment and debt. This has pitted the state's giant resources and agricultural sectors against one another, in turn increasing tension between the coalition partners.
The National Party under Mr Grylls is pushing to increase a state production tax on iron ore from 25 cents a tonne to $5, a proposal being fought by WA's Chamber of Minerals and Energy.
The Chamber's chief executive, Reg Howard-Smith, has been watching the electorate closely in the lead-up to the election.
"We've been close to the ground over the last few months and the feedback we've got is that everyone is concerned about jobs," he said.
"Resource sector jobs, but jobs more generally always comes at the top of the order."
Although the tax increase would generate an extra $3 billion in revenue for state coffers, Rio Tinto and BHP Billiton have argued it would cost jobs in the Pilbara and across WA.
Mr Howard-Smith also believes the tax rise,which would require legislation to overhaul state agreements with the two companies, would damage the investment attractiveness of the state.
"We've had fantastic support across the sector for this campaign we're running about iron ore and that's focused on two companies, but the reason is there are many, many people who can remember the RSPT [Resource Super Profits Tax]," he said.
"When the RSPT was announced, on that Saturday the Dockers and the Eagles were to play I never got to that game capital dried up instantly."
But Mr Howard-Smith was also concerned about a Nationals plan to give companies payroll tax breaks for workers in the Pilbara who were not fly-in, fly-out (FIFO), an idea which could cost jobs everywhere but in Mr Grylls' own electorate.
Mr Howard-Smith said the plan would devastate small towns in the south-west like Busselton and Manjimup where many FIFO workers choose to live, and where the Liberal Party holds a swathe of crucial seats.
"If you're coming out of Busselton and you've made the choice to live there but to maintain your job you have to travel to the Pilbara, then it's clearly a matter of choice," he said.
"Manjimup only has a small number of FIFO workers, in the twenties, but by the time you look at families and everything else, the contribution they make is significant.
"Rio reached out to those workers in Manjimup. At the time the timber industry was closing there were some good operators who they took on, so it just doesn't make any sense.
"They would have the most mature FIFO model, so you have a lot of people coming out of Busselton, a number from Albany, Geraldton, and Broome and Broome is essentially Aboriginal employment.
"That's working extremely well and I don't think the National party policy is realistic for one moment."
Unions have been quick to link the Liberal Party to One Nation.On Sunday the Victorian CFMEU leader John Setka tweeted in reference to the penalty rates decision, "Pauline Hanson is just another Liberal who hates workers!"
MsHanson herself travelled to Western Australia to begin a week's campaigning on Sunday, with an itinerary planned to include stops in Perth and towns in the south-west as well as regional centres including Port Hedland, Karratha, Kalgoorlie and Geraldton.
The Labor leader Bill Shorten is expected to join the campaign later in the week.
So far the Prime Minister, Malcolm Turnbull, whose last WA visit was not warmly received, has no plans to make the trip.
- MR. RIGHT: How To Politely Nuke The Liberals At Your Thanksgiving Dinner - dailycaller.com - November 23rd, 2025 [November 23rd, 2025]
- Newsroom edition: can the Liberals survive an existential crisis? Full Story podcast - The Guardian - November 23rd, 2025 [November 23rd, 2025]
- Liberals to target international students and skilled migrants in proposed cuts to immigration - The Guardian - November 23rd, 2025 [November 23rd, 2025]
- Carneys Liberals win budget vote and avoid election in Canada - AP News - November 23rd, 2025 [November 23rd, 2025]
- Liberal Party MP - at least I think hes an MP, its hard to keep track of people this irrelevant - is upset because I wont kneel before the new... - November 23rd, 2025 [November 23rd, 2025]
- Mark Speakman stands down as leader of NSW Liberals with Kellie Sloane expected to replace him - The Guardian - November 23rd, 2025 [November 23rd, 2025]
- Liberals hoped their border bill would quickly pass. Now they're aiming for next year - CBC - November 23rd, 2025 [November 23rd, 2025]
- How MAGA Hijacked Patriotismand What Liberals, and America, Lost - LA Progressive - November 23rd, 2025 [November 23rd, 2025]
- After ousting from Quebec Liberals, Rizqy's former chief of staff fires back with lawyer's letter - Montreal Gazette - November 23rd, 2025 [November 23rd, 2025]
- Chris Selley: Here's to the MP who's not afraid to denounce the Liberals' 'national school lunch' program - National Post - November 23rd, 2025 [November 23rd, 2025]
- Conservative MP says Liberals 'buried' policy change over cost of care for veterans - CBC - November 23rd, 2025 [November 23rd, 2025]
- Liberals in two big states are realigning themselves to the centre - abc.net.au - November 23rd, 2025 [November 23rd, 2025]
- Most Canadians say Liberals falling short, but still approve of Carney: poll - National Post - November 10th, 2025 [November 10th, 2025]
- The most conservative Supreme Court justices will likely join the liberals against Trump's tariffs, analyst says - Fortune - November 10th, 2025 [November 10th, 2025]
- 'Kiss goodbye': Insider tells PVO the real reason why some Liberals are melting down over climate plan - Daily Mail - November 10th, 2025 [November 10th, 2025]
- Canada's Carney welcomes ex-Conservative MP Chris d'Entremont to the Liberals - BBC - November 10th, 2025 [November 10th, 2025]
- Australia news live: Jay Weatherill named next high commissioner to UK; former radio host to lead ACT Liberals after leader and deputy step down - The... - November 10th, 2025 [November 10th, 2025]
- Russian liberals are no friends of Israel - The Times of Israel - November 10th, 2025 [November 10th, 2025]
- View from The Hill: fractured Liberals drown net zero and themselves in a torrent of verbiage - The Conversation - November 10th, 2025 [November 10th, 2025]
- Geoff Russ: The Liberals need to get serious on cutting regulatory crud - MSN - November 10th, 2025 [November 10th, 2025]
- The next steps the Liberals must take to restore Canadas fiscal stability - The Globe and Mail - November 10th, 2025 [November 10th, 2025]
- Liberals live to see another day after second confidence vote on budget - National Post - November 10th, 2025 [November 10th, 2025]
- Geoff Russ: The Liberals need to get serious on cutting regulatory crud - National Post - November 10th, 2025 [November 10th, 2025]
- Bloc, NDP vote with Liberals in first of three confidence budget votes - National Post - November 10th, 2025 [November 10th, 2025]
- View from The Hill: Could the return of Josh Frydenberg help the Liberals fortunes? - The Conversation - November 10th, 2025 [November 10th, 2025]
- Liberals live to see another day after second confidence vote on budget - Yahoo News Canada - November 10th, 2025 [November 10th, 2025]
- Letters: NDP pull Liberals fat out of the fire again - Edmonton Sun - November 10th, 2025 [November 10th, 2025]
- 'It's time to leave shit behind': Mark Parton's plan to lead unified Liberals to government - Region Canberra - November 10th, 2025 [November 10th, 2025]
- Liberals clear first confidence vote on federal budget - AM 800 CKLW - November 10th, 2025 [November 10th, 2025]
- George Santos tells Tucker Carlson prison was not a good time: Theres a lot of liberals - New York Post - November 3rd, 2025 [November 3rd, 2025]
- Globe editorial: The Carney Liberals arrive at a fiscal fork in the road - The Globe and Mail - November 3rd, 2025 [November 3rd, 2025]
- Why liberals, people of color and LGBTQ Americans say they're buying guns - NPR - November 3rd, 2025 [November 3rd, 2025]
- How can the minority Liberals get the votes to pass their budget through Parliament? - CBC - November 3rd, 2025 [November 3rd, 2025]
- Lorne Gunter: Liberals likely to survive federal budget but honeymoon period won't last forever - Yahoo News Canada - November 3rd, 2025 [November 3rd, 2025]
- Liberals face a choice between net zero or the Coalition - The Nightly - November 3rd, 2025 [November 3rd, 2025]
- First results show neck-and-neck finish between liberals and far right in Dutch general election - Euronews.com - November 3rd, 2025 [November 3rd, 2025]
- Australia politics live: Ley says Coalition will come together as two mature parties to develop energy policy once Liberals position settled - The... - November 3rd, 2025 [November 3rd, 2025]
- The Liberals are set to unveil their new budget. Send in your questions for our experts - The Globe and Mail - November 3rd, 2025 [November 3rd, 2025]
- Liberals prepare for budget, Quebec municipal elections, Fighting fungal disease in bats, and more - CBC - November 3rd, 2025 [November 3rd, 2025]
- Lorne Gunter: Liberals likely to survive federal budget but honeymoon period won't last forever - Edmonton Journal - November 3rd, 2025 [November 3rd, 2025]
- Opinion: With their long-awaited budget, Liberals must answer the question: What do we want Canada to be about? - The Globe and Mail - November 3rd, 2025 [November 3rd, 2025]
- Liberals accused of cheapening citizenship with new bill - Western Standard - November 3rd, 2025 [November 3rd, 2025]
- Black Republican Shreds Gavin Newsom Over Code-Switching Accent: White Liberals Are the Most Racist - Yahoo - October 28th, 2025 [October 28th, 2025]
- Mark Ruttes Dutch liberals were dominant for years. Now the party is bleeding support. - politico.eu - October 28th, 2025 [October 28th, 2025]
- Elizabeth Lee and Peter Cain suspended from Canberra Liberals party room - Australian Broadcasting Corporation - October 28th, 2025 [October 28th, 2025]
- Conservatives press Liberals on cost of living as reports show food bank use soaring - SteinbachOnline - October 28th, 2025 [October 28th, 2025]
- Liberals, NDP bid to undo Harper-era rule on citizenship for Lost Canadians - The Globe and Mail - October 28th, 2025 [October 28th, 2025]
- Liberals Rion Rhoades to be Inducted in NJCAA Hall of Fame - KSCB News - October 28th, 2025 [October 28th, 2025]
- Trump sends bulldozers in to level a useless wing of the White House - and rich liberals lose their minds, writes TANYA GOLD - Daily Mail - October 26th, 2025 [October 26th, 2025]
- Letters: Liberals should match their actions to their beliefs - The Morning Call - October 26th, 2025 [October 26th, 2025]
- LETTER: Liberals can't seem to find the truth - yoursun.com - October 26th, 2025 [October 26th, 2025]
- TRUDEAU LIBERALS OPENED DOOR TO MEXICAN CARTELS WITH VISA REMOVAL CARNEY MUST REVERSE DAMAGE, NOW - The Bureau | Sam Cooper - October 24th, 2025 [October 24th, 2025]
- Joe Rogan has a wild idea for Trumps next job to troll liberals - the-independent.com - October 24th, 2025 [October 24th, 2025]
- Opinion - Dems, liberals lose their minds over Trumps White House renovations - AOL.com - October 24th, 2025 [October 24th, 2025]
- Confronting the Warrior Ethos / Liberals With Attitude - KPFA - October 24th, 2025 [October 24th, 2025]
- Metsola, slap in the face of socialists and liberals: 'Get the numbers where you can find them' - Eunews - October 24th, 2025 [October 24th, 2025]
- Joe Rogan has a bonkers idea for Trump to troll liberals with a new job after leaving the White House - Yahoo News New Zealand - October 24th, 2025 [October 24th, 2025]
- Juno Jump Start | Liberals invited convicted killer to advise MPs on bail reform - Juno News - October 24th, 2025 [October 24th, 2025]
- Will Carneys budget trigger election? Liberals say thats up to opposition - Global News - October 23rd, 2025 [October 23rd, 2025]
- Opinion: The Liberals still have a nagging political weakness on crime - The Globe and Mail - October 23rd, 2025 [October 23rd, 2025]
- Dems, liberals lose their minds over Trumps White House renovations: Robby Soave | RISING - The Hill - October 23rd, 2025 [October 23rd, 2025]
- View from The Hill: Liberals are now squabbling among themselves over Kevin Rudd - The Conversation - October 23rd, 2025 [October 23rd, 2025]
- NDP MP hopes Liberals will help reverse Tory-proposed changes to birthright citizenship - iPolitics - October 23rd, 2025 [October 23rd, 2025]
- Support for Liberals and Conservatives within the margin of error Jobs/the economy top concern. (Nanos) - Nanos Research - October 23rd, 2025 [October 23rd, 2025]
- GOLDBERG: The Liberals want an election but they wont get one - Western Standard - October 23rd, 2025 [October 23rd, 2025]
- Liberals will accelerate pace of decision-making, premier says - CBC - October 21st, 2025 [October 21st, 2025]
- Liberals say anti-fraud measures to protect bank customers coming with federal budget - Village Report - October 21st, 2025 [October 21st, 2025]
- Calmatters: These Rural Californians Want To Secede. Newsoms Maps Would Pair Them With Bay Area Liberals - SFGATE - October 21st, 2025 [October 21st, 2025]
- Liberals, Greens, NDP call on Poilievre to apologize over RCMP comments - Toronto Star - October 21st, 2025 [October 21st, 2025]
- What the federal Liberals are pitching in their upcoming budget - DARPAN Magazine - October 21st, 2025 [October 21st, 2025]
- Liberals, Greens, NDP call on Poilievre to apologize over RCMP comments - National Newswatch - October 21st, 2025 [October 21st, 2025]
- Newfoundland and Labrador election a wake-up call for federal Liberals - The Hill Times - October 21st, 2025 [October 21st, 2025]
- Conservative Liberals want to use immigration to bludgeon Labor. But its bad politics, and bad on principle - The Guardian - October 19th, 2025 [October 19th, 2025]
- White House taunts liberals with provocative meme-filled debut on Bluesky - FOX 8 TV - October 19th, 2025 [October 19th, 2025]
- Liberals and conservatives overlap in rejecting Trump education compact - The Center Square - October 19th, 2025 [October 19th, 2025]
- Can the Liberals find anyone to help pass their budget? - iPolitics - October 19th, 2025 [October 19th, 2025]
- Matthew Lau: Another recession brought to you by the Liberals, with an assist from Trump - Yahoo News Canada - October 19th, 2025 [October 19th, 2025]
- What the federal Liberals are pitching in their upcoming budget - Business in Vancouver - October 19th, 2025 [October 19th, 2025]
- Liberals, conservatives overlap in rejecting Trump education compact - The Bradford Era - October 19th, 2025 [October 19th, 2025]
- What the federal Liberals are pitching in their upcoming budget - Toronto Star - October 19th, 2025 [October 19th, 2025]