Who’s tracking casualties in Iraq? A California high school teacher – Los Angeles Times
Joel Wing, a high school social studies teacher in Oakland, was at home working on his MacBook Air one recent afternoon when he saw troubling news out of Baghdad.
The United Nations had just released its estimate for the number of soldiers and other fighters killed in Iraq in November: 1,959 security forces dead, a number that looked like the highest monthly total in two years.
But that wasnt what was really troubling Wing. The U.N. also announced that it would be releasing no future combatant casualty estimates: Iraqi military commanders had been criticizing the reports, calling their numbers inaccurate and much exaggerated, and the international agency was bowing out until a sound methodology of verification can be found to better substantiate the figures.
It was a sad moment for tracking the violence and security situation in Iraq, said Wing, who immediately fired back on his nine-year-old blog, Musings on Iraq.
The Iraqi Joint Operations Command said that those figures were exaggerated without giving any correction of its own, Wing wrote, noting that the U.N.s decision, will create a huge gap in keeping up with the cost of the war.
Someone would have to fill it. For many who have followed the war in Iraq and the number of lives it has claimed, that would be Wing.
The 47-year-old teacher at Oakland Technical High School has never been to Iraq, but he has become one of the go-to sources for reliable data and trends on the violent toll of the 14-year-old conflict in the troubled country.
Wing, a native of Berkeley who earned a bachelors and masters in international relations at San Francisco State University, then a teaching credential at nearby Mills College, has been teaching English and social studies at Oakland Technical High School since 1995.
Back then, Wings main passion was music. He played bass in several punk, ska and heavy metal bands: Dance Hall Crashers, Corrupted Morals, Bumblescrump and Desecration. Rasputin Records in Berkeley put his photo in the window on Telegraph Avenue, and as the bands toured, he got to know members of big-league groups like Metallica and Green Day.
But when the U.S. invaded Iraq in 2003, Wing found himself deeply troubled and was determined to understand the country. He launched his blog as a way to reflect and connect with experts.
Four years ago, as he sensed a battle looming to confront the militant group Islamic States widening hold on territory, he began compiling and posting casualty figures. Soon, academics and experts around the world began following his work.
Wing is older now, with shorter, spiky black hair and glasses, but still has no particular political agenda and takes no outside funding for his blog. His twitter profile photo is of Raiden, the Japanese god of thunder and lightning recently popularized in the Mortal Kombat video game (and the 1986 cult classic Big Trouble in Little China).
Wing reads 44 English and Arabic language newspaper daily, with the help of Google Translate, and has always posted regular analysis, civilian and combatant casualty totals.
Since the offensive began to retake Mosul, he expanded his blog to include daily analysis of the attacks.
He has shared interviews with Iraq experts, including Bruno Geddo, head of the U.S. refugee agency in Iraq, the governor of Anbar province, former military commanders, CIA analysts and diplomats.
Wing compiles figures from attacks reported in the media as well as from U.N. figures. He includes locations, allowing him to report that 63% of attacks last year occurred in the provinces surrounding Baghdad and Mosul.
The totals represent a disturbing trend: The number of Iraqi combatants killed in November was 1,988, the highest monthly death toll since Islamic State seized Mosul in June 2014 and more than all the Americans killed each year since the 2003 invasion.
(A total of 4,514 U.S. forces have been killed in Iraq, with the highest death toll occurring in 2007, when 904 Americans were killed, according to the icasualties website.)
Wing loves to network and talks to everyone, from contractors removing roadside bombs in Fallujah to Iraqi reporters in Baghdad, one of whom was killed in a bombing last year which was documented on his blog.
Michael Knights, an Iraq expert at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy, called Wing a committed Iraqi analyst very emblematic of how technology mixed with obsessive interest can nowadays create experts in unconventional ways.
His work is a solid collation of open source data and decent trend spotting from the data. It is a legitimate source. He spotted a lot of stuff before traditional analysts and even intel agencies, Knights said.
Hamit Dardagan, who co-founded the London-based Iraq Body Count website in 2003, which tracks mainly civilian casualties, called Wing amazing, his numbers credible.
Dardagan said Iraqi government criticism of the release of casualty statistics appears politically motivated.
Combatant casualty figures are closely guarded by Iraqi military commanders, who see them as damaging to morale and a propaganda boost for Islamic State.
Theyre concerned about winning and anything that might weaken morale is something theyre going to be very careful with, Dardagan said.
As Wing sees it, hes providing a public service. Violence is part of everyday Iraqi life. Its important to keep track of whats going on and how much the violence has cost the country in terms of peoples lives, he said.
Theres a history of such laymen tracking Iraq casualties. After the 2003 invasion, a Bay Area anti-war activist and Georgia software engineer built the icasualties.org site into the most reliable source for accurate figures on U.S. casualties there and, later, in Afghanistan. But that website, like others of its kind, doesnt track Iraqi combatants.
Wing has faced his share of scrutiny from Iraq experts.
All of these people are in Washington, D.C., and theyre like, Who is this Joel Wing guy? Why is he in California? A high school teacher?, Wing said as he sat in his classroom after school one recent afternoon, the wall covered with whiteboards and photos from dozens of former pupils.
Hes had a student serve in Afghanistan, but not in Iraq. His 12th grade American history students, whom he calls my kids, seem to take only a passing interest in his blog and the Iraq books on his desk (hes reading Sir John Chilcots 12-volume report on the war, published in July).
Wing tries to limit blogging to his lunch, conference period and after school, but that doesnt always work. His girlfriend has taken to calling his MacBook your other girlfriend, he said, because Im always on the computer doing Iraq stuff.
The Pentagon has asked Wing to come work for them as an analyst, but he declined. He also declined two opportunities to travel to Iraq, once when the U.S. ambassador asked him to serve at the embassy for six months. He cant leave his 140 students behind, he says.
I'm very committed to teaching at a public urban school, Wing said, and wasn't going to step away from the kids for that much time.
molly.hennessy-fiske@latimes.com
Twitter: @mollyhf
Read more:
Who's tracking casualties in Iraq? A California high school teacher - Los Angeles Times
- Iraqi Military Forces Capacity in the Wake of a Likely U.S. Withdrawal from Iraq - New Lines Institute - April 25th, 2025 [April 25th, 2025]
- Returning from the Middle East, Michael Baumgartner reflects on Iraq's progress since he left in 2008 - The Spokesman-Review - April 25th, 2025 [April 25th, 2025]
- So was Poland a sucker when it supported the US in Iraq? - The Hill - April 25th, 2025 [April 25th, 2025]
- Iraq says Pope Francis' calls for coexistence 'will leave an indelible impact' - NPR - April 25th, 2025 [April 25th, 2025]
- Turkiye expands military occupation of northern Iraq: Report - thecradle.co - April 25th, 2025 [April 25th, 2025]
- JJs Star Spangled Salute: A Kansas Veteran On The Frontlines In Iraq - 101.3 KFDI - April 25th, 2025 [April 25th, 2025]
- Whats missing from Alex Garlands Iraq movie Warfare? Context, motivation and, for the most part, Iraqis - The Guardian - April 25th, 2025 [April 25th, 2025]
- In pictures: Easter celebrated around the world from Greece to Iraq - BBC - April 25th, 2025 [April 25th, 2025]
- Hemorrhagic Fever Death Toll Rises to Four in Iraq, Health Ministry Confirms - kurdistan24.net - April 25th, 2025 [April 25th, 2025]
- Iraq veteran and film-maker Ray Mendoza: Writing Warfare with Alex Garland was like going to a therapist - The Guardian - April 25th, 2025 [April 25th, 2025]
- French FM visits Iraq as part of regional tour to prepare for Palestine conference - The Arab Weekly - April 25th, 2025 [April 25th, 2025]
- Warfare review nerve-shredding real-time Iraq war film drags you into visceral frontline combat - The Guardian - April 25th, 2025 [April 25th, 2025]
- 'Warfare': The true story behind Ray Mendoza's Iraq War movie - USA Today - April 12th, 2025 [April 12th, 2025]
- Warfare brings realistic carnage of Iraq War to theaters - Military Times - April 12th, 2025 [April 12th, 2025]
- Why a Navy SEAL Vet Relived His Iraq War 'Nightmare' to Make the Harrowing Movie Warfare (Exclusive) - People.com - April 12th, 2025 [April 12th, 2025]
- Is Warfare Fact or Fiction? Inside the Real-Life Iraq War Mission That Inspired the Shocking Movie - People.com - April 12th, 2025 [April 12th, 2025]
- 'Warfare': The True Story Behind Iraq War Mission Gone Wrong - Men's Health - April 12th, 2025 [April 12th, 2025]
- Global agriculture index: Iraq ranks 109th - Shafaq News - - April 12th, 2025 [April 12th, 2025]
- Warfare aims to be the most authentic Iraq War film yet - CNN - April 12th, 2025 [April 12th, 2025]
- UNFPA and German Delegation Visit Womens Protection Center in Anbar, Reaffirming Continued Commitment to Womens Empowerment in Iraq [EN/AR] -... - April 12th, 2025 [April 12th, 2025]
- Iraq finally confirms parliamentary elections for this November - The New Arab - April 12th, 2025 [April 12th, 2025]
- From Artsakh to Iraq: economic blockades as gendered violence - The Armenian Weekly - April 12th, 2025 [April 12th, 2025]
- 'Warfare' is based on the true story of a Navy SEAL team that fought in Iraq. The directors made it for a soldier who doesn't remember how he lost a... - April 12th, 2025 [April 12th, 2025]
- ICRC in Iraq: Key Figures 2024 [EN/AR/KU] - ReliefWeb - April 12th, 2025 [April 12th, 2025]
- Iran defies Trump by arming proxy forces in Iraq with missiles - The Times - April 12th, 2025 [April 12th, 2025]
- Alex Garland's Iraq-war film Warfare is visceral, exciting and unethical - CBC - April 12th, 2025 [April 12th, 2025]
- How Warfares All-Star Cast Made the Most Intense Iraq War Film Ever - GQ - April 12th, 2025 [April 12th, 2025]
- GE Vernova partners with Iraq on 24,000 MW natural gas power project - energynews.pro - April 12th, 2025 [April 12th, 2025]
- Al-Sudani in Erbil: Iraq Has Withstood Crises, Now Focused on Stability and Economic Growth - kurdistan24.net - April 12th, 2025 [April 12th, 2025]
- Warfare pays tribute to those who served in Iraq War with raw and powerful filmmaking - AZFamily - April 12th, 2025 [April 12th, 2025]
- Exclusive: Iran-backed militias in Iraq ready to disarm to avert Trump wrath - Reuters - April 8th, 2025 [April 8th, 2025]
- Executions at 10-year high after huge increases in Iran, Iraq and Saudi Arabia - The Guardian - April 8th, 2025 [April 8th, 2025]
- Why Trump threats have cowed Tehrans axis of resistance in Iraq - The Times - April 8th, 2025 [April 8th, 2025]
- Iran seeks indirect talks with US, warns Iraq, Kuwait over supporting strikes - Hindustan Times - April 8th, 2025 [April 8th, 2025]
- Iran-backed militias in Iraq are ready to disarm following Trumps threats - New York Post - April 8th, 2025 [April 8th, 2025]
- Pro-Iran militias in Iraq mulling disarming under threat of US attack, sources say - The Times of Israel - April 8th, 2025 [April 8th, 2025]
- Iraq, 2nd top destination of Iranian non-oil goods in a year - Tehran Times - April 8th, 2025 [April 8th, 2025]
- Iraq calls for meeting to resume negotiations on Kurdistan regional oil exports - Reuters - April 8th, 2025 [April 8th, 2025]
- Iranian proxies in Iraq willing to disarm to avoid conflict with US, commanders and Iraqi officials say - The Times of Israel - April 8th, 2025 [April 8th, 2025]
- Exclusive-Iran-backed militias in Iraq ready to disarm to avert Trump wrath - MSN - April 8th, 2025 [April 8th, 2025]
- Iran's influence in neighboring Iraq is waning - Neue Zrcher Zeitung - April 8th, 2025 [April 8th, 2025]
- A man wielding an axe wounds 3 people at the Assyrian Christian new year parade in Iraq - AP News - April 8th, 2025 [April 8th, 2025]
- Landmines and explosive remnants cast a long shadow over Iraq amid recovery efforts - International Committee of the Red Cross - April 8th, 2025 [April 8th, 2025]
- Marine writes book aiming to clear his name after bloody Iraq ambush - Marine Corps Times - April 8th, 2025 [April 8th, 2025]
- Washington halted the Iraq-Iran electricity waiver. Here is how it's perceived by Washington and Baghdad. - Atlantic Council - April 8th, 2025 [April 8th, 2025]
- In the minefields of Iraq, Noora works to restore life and hope to her homeland - International Committee of the Red Cross - April 8th, 2025 [April 8th, 2025]
- Iraq aims to utilize 70% of flared gas by end of 2025 - Iraqi News - April 8th, 2025 [April 8th, 2025]
- How Carey Mulligans brother found himself dodging bombs and bullets in Iraq - The Irish News - April 8th, 2025 [April 8th, 2025]
- Who are the main Iran-backed militias in Iraq? - thenationalnews.com - April 8th, 2025 [April 8th, 2025]
- Iraq Seizes Over Two Tons of Drugs, Arrests More Than 1,500 Traffickers in Major Crackdown - kurdistan24.net - April 8th, 2025 [April 8th, 2025]
- FM Fidan calls on Iraq to confront PKK terror group with same determination shown against Daesh - Trkiye Today - April 8th, 2025 [April 8th, 2025]
- Iran-backed militias in Iraq ready to disarm to avert Trump wrath - The Japan Times - April 8th, 2025 [April 8th, 2025]
- Pressured by US, Iraq calls for negotiations on Kurdistan regional oil exports - The Arab Weekly - April 8th, 2025 [April 8th, 2025]
- All the Mountains Give review gripping portrait of smugglers on the Iran-Iraq border - The Guardian - April 8th, 2025 [April 8th, 2025]
- Iran-Backed Militias In Iraq: American Embassy, Targets In Iraq Will Be Attacked If Iran Attacked - MEMRI | Middle East Media Research Institute - April 8th, 2025 [April 8th, 2025]
- The Real Military History Behind the New Iraq War Film 'Warfare' - Military.com - April 1st, 2025 [April 1st, 2025]
- One Photo from Abu Ghraib Lost the Iraq War. Kristi Noem Continues the Tradition - Rolling Stone - April 1st, 2025 [April 1st, 2025]
- Iraq agrees to supply Lebanon with fuel for six months - Reuters - April 1st, 2025 [April 1st, 2025]
- Iran Joins Russia, Mexico, Venezuela, Ukraine, North Korea, Belarus, Myanmar, and Iraq as US Issues New Do Not Travel Alert: What You Need to Know -... - April 1st, 2025 [April 1st, 2025]
- Activation of TIR system in Iraq to boost connectivity and trade across Central Asia, Middle East and Europe - UNECE - April 1st, 2025 [April 1st, 2025]
- Crafting Warfare: Inside the intense, star-studded film about an Iraq War battle and the Navy SEALs who lived it - Entertainment Weekly - April 1st, 2025 [April 1st, 2025]
- UN-Habitat and the Government of Japan Expand Efforts to Support Returnees in Northern Iraq [EN/AR] - ReliefWeb - April 1st, 2025 [April 1st, 2025]
- Iraq joins TIR transit system - Heavy Lift & Project Forwarding International - April 1st, 2025 [April 1st, 2025]
- Trkiyes Development Road Project advances toward Iraq and Syria - Trkiye Today - April 1st, 2025 [April 1st, 2025]
- Iraq Officially Announces Sunday as First Day of Eid Al Fitr - Morocco World News - April 1st, 2025 [April 1st, 2025]
- Iraq agrees to supply Lebanon with fuel for six months - The New Arab - April 1st, 2025 [April 1st, 2025]
- Iran committed to implementing agreements with Iraq - - April 1st, 2025 [April 1st, 2025]
- The Iraq War lasted nearly 9 years, claiming the lives of almost 4,500 Americans. Hampton Roads ships, planes and troops played important roles. -... - April 1st, 2025 [April 1st, 2025]
- PM: Iraq rejects the threats facing the Islamic Republic of Iran - ina.iq - April 1st, 2025 [April 1st, 2025]
- Palestine keep hopes of first World Cup alive with dramatic Iraq turnaround - Al Jazeera - April 1st, 2025 [April 1st, 2025]
- Hakim ccalls for Iraq's exemption from sanctions on Iranian gas and electricity imports - Tehran Times - April 1st, 2025 [April 1st, 2025]
- 'I know what I'm doing next fall': Disabled Iraq veteran in Star honored with big game hunting tags - KIVI-TV - April 1st, 2025 [April 1st, 2025]
- Iranian Ambassador To Iraq, Mohammad Kazem Al-Sadegh: If Trump Is Willing To Return To Nuclear Talks We Are Prepared To Do So Following The P5+1... - April 1st, 2025 [April 1st, 2025]
- KFC expands in Iraq with tenth location in Baghdad - Iraqi News - April 1st, 2025 [April 1st, 2025]
- Boosting ties with Iraq help counter enemy plots: Pezeshkian - Tabnak - April 1st, 2025 [April 1st, 2025]
- Iran's MOIS-Linked APT34 Spies on Allies Iraq & Yemen - Dark Reading - March 28th, 2025 [March 28th, 2025]
- Warfare Review: Alex Garlands Iraq War Film Is Full Of Bombastic Aestheticism That Leaves You Feeling Empty - Deadline - March 28th, 2025 [March 28th, 2025]
- Warfare Review: Ray Mendoza and Alex Garlands Harrowing Retelling of an Iraq War Mission - slantmagazine - March 28th, 2025 [March 28th, 2025]
- Alex Garland and Ray Mendozas brutal Iraq film Warfare offers only violence to its detriment - The Independent - March 28th, 2025 [March 28th, 2025]
- Kurds ponder future in Turkey, Syria and Iraq with guarded optimism - South China Morning Post - March 28th, 2025 [March 28th, 2025]