Situation Report: How Iran Won Iraq War; Secret Service Vs. Trump Team – Foreign Policy (blog)
With Adam Rawnsley
Gulf hack. The hack of Qatari government Web sites earlier this year was carried out by the United Arab Emirates, and not Russia, as had initially been suspected. The revelation which will likely only deepen the diplomatic row between Qatar and its Gulf neighbors comes after Saudi Arabia, the UAE and other countries slapped an economic blockade on the tiny Gulf monarchy.
U.S. officials who described the latest twist to the Washington Post said theyre unsure whether the UAE carried out the hacks itself or contracted the job out. The hacks took place on May 24, just after President Trump sat down with Persian Gulf leaders in neighboring Saudi Arabia and declared them unified. The UAE on Monday officially denied responsibility.
Iran won the Iraq war. After the U.S. invasion of Iraq in 2003, Tehran saw an opportunity to use the chaos that resulted to increase its own influence in the region. And their plan appears to have worked, the New York Times reports. Iran has for years planted friendly ministers inside the Iraqi parliament and government agencies, and is training Iraqi Shiite militias to fight ISIS in Iraq, and for the Syrian government over the border.
Consider this: At some border posts in the south, Iraqi sovereignty is an afterthought. Busloads of young militia recruits cross into Iran without so much as a document check. They receive military training and are then flown to Syria, where they fight under the command of Iranian officers in defense of the Syrian president, Bashar al-Assad. Iran is also training thousands of Afghan fighters to battle in Syria.
Secret Service pushes back on Trump lawyer. This is awkward. The U.S. Secret Service on Sunday firmly denied a statement from President Donald Trumps personal lawyer that its agents vetted a meeting between the presidents son and Russian nationals during the 2016 campaign, in which the Russians claiming to represent the Kremlin promised damaging information about Hillary Clinton. Secret Service spokesman Mason Brayman said later in the day that Trump Jr. was not under Secret Service protection at the time of the meeting, which included Trumps son and two senior campaign officials. Whelp.
Elsewhere, the New York Times profiled one of the Russians who were in the room with Trump Jr., campaign head Paul Manafort, and son in law and advisor Jared Kushner. They did the same with another Russian tied to the burgeoning scandal.
Civilian casualties spike under Trump. A new report from a researcher with independent watchdog Airwars claims that civilian casualties in Iraq have risen to an average of 12 per day since January, or 360 a month. Under the Obama administration, the average was about 80 a month.
More bad news in Syria. Turkish-backed rebels battled with Kurdish fighters from the U.S.-backed Syrian Democratic Forces in northwestern Syria on Monday, the Syrian Observatory for Human Rights reported. Things had been somewhat quiet in the area around Aleppo for the past several weeks, where an uneasy calm has prevailed.
Strikes. The U.S. killed the leader of the Islamic States Afghan affiliate in a drone strike early last week, the Pentagon announced on Friday. Defense Secretary James Mattis described the death of ISIS-K leader Abu Sayed as obviously a victory on our side in terms of setting them back. The U.S. had killed the groups two previous leaders, Hafiz Sayed Khan and Abdul Hasib, in strikes carried out over the past year.
Welcome to SitRep. Send any tips, thoughts or national security events to paul.mcleary@foreignpolicy.com or via Twitter: @paulmcleary or @arawnsley.
American intelligence officials tell the Washington Post that the United Arab Emirates was behind the hack of a Qatari state news agency that posted fake quotes from Emir Sheikh Tamim Bin Hamad al-Thani praising Hamas and Iran. Americans spies picked up information on Emirati officials discussing the plan to plant the fake quotes in the website on May 23, shortly before the hack.
Art of the deal. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu says the Syrian ceasefire that President Trumps agreed to with Russia is a bad deal in a rare public break with the Trump administration, according to Haarertz. Israel had insisted that any ceasefire deal include provisions to keep Iranian-backed forces away from the Israeli border, prevent Iran from fortifying its position in Syria, and not allow Russian troops to produce buffer zones.
Human rights. Locals along the banks of the Tigris are seeing a steady stream of bound human bodies of military-age men floating outside Mosul, raising fears of summary executions by Iraqi forces in the wake of Mosuls liberation. Freelance reporter Fazel Hawramy has been monitoring Iraqi social media pages and highlighted video showing Iraqi forces torturing and abusing alleged Islamic State members in Mosul.
Observers. The Defense Department tested a Terminal High Altitude Area Defense (THAAD) battery last week in order to demonstrate to North Korea that the system, currently deployed in South Korea, can knock down ballistic missiles. But the THAAD test had another observer, according to CNN. North American Aerospace Defense Command tells the cable news channel that a Chinese spy ship showed up in international waters off the coast of Alaska.
Retaliation. Russia is raising the temperature over its diplomatic feud with the U.S. over the Obama administration expulsion of alleged Russian spies. If the U.S. doesnt return a seized Russian diplomatic compound and allow an increase in the number of Russian diplomats in America, Kremlin mouthpiece Dmitry Kiselev recently said, U.S. diplomats will be expelled, and those who remain behind will be harassed.
Trouble in the alliance. NATO is trying to nudge Germany and Turkey to cooperate after Germany began pulling its troops from Incirlik Air Base following a diplomatic dispute with Ankara. NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg said the two countries should have their foreign ministers meet for a sit down to resolve their differences following Germanys refusal to extradite Turkish asylum seekers that Turkey accuses of participating in last year coup attempt and Turkeys refusal to allow German members of parliament to visit troops at Incirlik.
Heatwave. Summer heat got you down? It could be worse. American U-2 spy planes supporting the anti-Islamic State fight are watching their tail wheels melt on the runway because temperatures in the Middle East are so high right now.
Afghanistan. Army Maj. Gen. Robin Fontes is now commander of Combined Security Transition Command-Afghanistan, giving her the highest position of any American female officer.
Iran. Iran jails Chinese-American Xiyue Wan, accusing the Princeton University academic of espionage charges. The U.S. State Department calls the charges fabricated.
Shes a rainbow. Chinas Cai Hong (rainbow) series of armed drones has taken the export market by storm, with the CH-4 model proving especially popular among customers in the Middle East. This week, the newest member of China Aerospace Science and Technology Corporations Cai Hong drone family, the CH-5, underwent flight trials in Hebei Province and might soon be showing up in the skies over Middle Eastern conflicts.
Turkey. Turkey has carried out its first drone strike in combat, using its domestically-built Anka drone to fire a missile at members of the PKK terrorist group in eastern Anatolia, reportedly killing five.
Twitter Facebook Google + Reddit
Read more:
Situation Report: How Iran Won Iraq War; Secret Service Vs. Trump Team - Foreign Policy (blog)
- 2026 World Cup: Coach Arnold feels Iraq's passion to pass final playoff test after 40-year wait - the-independent.com - November 23rd, 2025 [November 23rd, 2025]
- Tears and solemnity at Cheney funeral but no memorial for those killed in Iraq - The Guardian - November 23rd, 2025 [November 23rd, 2025]
- Greece to operate direct flights to Iraq within weeks - Iraqi News - November 23rd, 2025 [November 23rd, 2025]
- Haditha: Two US marines implicated in killing family in notorious Iraq war shooting, expert tells BBC - BBC - November 23rd, 2025 [November 23rd, 2025]
- Iraq between the quest to end US military presence and fear of Iran-backed militia dominance - The New Region - November 23rd, 2025 [November 23rd, 2025]
- Cheney, Bush, and the crime against Iraq - Middle East Monitor - November 23rd, 2025 [November 23rd, 2025]
- I voted against the Iraq War. My fellow Republicans must do the same on Venezuela | Opinion - Miami Herald - November 23rd, 2025 [November 23rd, 2025]
- Iraq, DR Congo and their unsung heroes earn World Cup shot at play-off tournament - thenationalnews.com - November 23rd, 2025 [November 23rd, 2025]
- Iraq beat UAE to keep qualification hopes alive - AFC website - November 23rd, 2025 [November 23rd, 2025]
- Past Kurdish kingmakers in Iraq face dual government formation contests - Amwaj.media - November 23rd, 2025 [November 23rd, 2025]
- Iraq votes, but who governs? The post-election bargaining begins - The New Arab - November 23rd, 2025 [November 23rd, 2025]
- MN Man Who Pretended To Be Iraq War Vet And Purple Heart Recipient Convicted Of Stolen Valor - Patch - November 23rd, 2025 [November 23rd, 2025]
- Iraq score in 17th minute of stoppage time to keep World Cup qualifying hopes alive - The Independent - November 23rd, 2025 [November 23rd, 2025]
- Iraq launches Glass Room initiative in Tahrir Square to fund 1,000 electric wheelchairs - Iraqi News - November 23rd, 2025 [November 23rd, 2025]
- An Unusual Election in Iraq Offers the U.S. an Unusual Opportunity - Foreign Policy - November 18th, 2025 [November 18th, 2025]
- Is Venezuela a redux of the lead-up to the Iraq war? Not exactly - CNN - November 18th, 2025 [November 18th, 2025]
- Irans Grip on Iraq Tested as Election Math Threatens Its Allies - The Media Line - November 18th, 2025 [November 18th, 2025]
- Iraqi PM-led coalition tops Iraq election with 46 seats, commission says - Reuters - November 18th, 2025 [November 18th, 2025]
- What happens if Iraq win, tie or lose vs United Arab Emirates today in AFC 2026 World Cup Qualifiers? - Bolavip - November 18th, 2025 [November 18th, 2025]
- Soldiers from 2nd Battalion, 218th return after year in Jordan, Iraq, Syria - KMTR - November 18th, 2025 [November 18th, 2025]
- What Does Iraq Need To Qualify for the 2026 World Cup? - beIN SPORTS - November 18th, 2025 [November 18th, 2025]
- PM Sudani-led alliance wins majority of seats in Iraq general elections - PressTV - November 18th, 2025 [November 18th, 2025]
- Al-Sudani: There are no political issues between Iraq and the Kurdistan Region - ANF | Articles - November 18th, 2025 [November 18th, 2025]
- Power Deals in Iraq - PressTV - November 18th, 2025 [November 18th, 2025]
- Purple Heart Iraq veteran deported to unknown location - Herald/Review Media - November 18th, 2025 [November 18th, 2025]
- Iraq v UAE: Kick-off time, TV coverage and all you need to know about World Cup play-off second leg - thenationalnews.com - November 18th, 2025 [November 18th, 2025]
- Rebuilding After War And Why Iraq Cant Keep The Lights On - Forbes - November 16th, 2025 [November 16th, 2025]
- Congratulations to the brotherly people and government of Iraq for successful management of peaceful parliamentary elections. The election was a... - November 16th, 2025 [November 16th, 2025]
- Turkey to navigate enduring Iranian influence in Iraq following elections - AL-Monitor - November 16th, 2025 [November 16th, 2025]
- Sugar Land man found guilty of smuggling firearms to Iraq - Click2Houston - November 16th, 2025 [November 16th, 2025]
- With voting in Iraq complete, government formation begins - Long War Journal - November 16th, 2025 [November 16th, 2025]
- Exclusive: Lukoil declares force majeure in Iraq over US sanctions, sources say - Reuters - November 16th, 2025 [November 16th, 2025]
- Watch Iraq v UAE on OneFootball as Asian WC qualifying comes to an end - Yahoo Sports - November 16th, 2025 [November 16th, 2025]
- Highlights and goals of UAE 1-1 Iraq in World Cup qualifying playoffs - VAVEL.com - November 16th, 2025 [November 16th, 2025]
- Panorama of Week: Al-Sharaa in Washington, and Setbacks for the Sadrists and Maliki Bloc in Iraq - hawarnews.com - November 16th, 2025 [November 16th, 2025]
- Iraq security sweep: Party office closure, extortion arrests, and drug-smuggling foiled - Shafaq News - - November 16th, 2025 [November 16th, 2025]
- What Do the United Arab Emirates and Iraq Need To Reach the 2026 World Cup Playoff in Monterrey and Guadalajara? - beIN SPORTS - November 16th, 2025 [November 16th, 2025]
- Egypt, Iraq discuss ways to exchange expertise on healthcare - Egypt Independent - November 16th, 2025 [November 16th, 2025]
- Feb. 3, 1991: Iraq launches Scud missile at Israel, West Bank residents from Chicago area react - CBS News - November 16th, 2025 [November 16th, 2025]
- What lies ahead in Iraq: the hard task of forming a government - Yahoo - November 16th, 2025 [November 16th, 2025]
- Hoping for second term, Iraq PM Sudani claims election win taking advantage of high voter turnout - The Arab Weekly - November 16th, 2025 [November 16th, 2025]
- The Last 600 Meters Review: The Iraq Wars Realities on PBS - The Wall Street Journal - November 7th, 2025 [November 7th, 2025]
- News - 5,000-Year-Old Monumental Building Excavated in Iraq - Archaeology Magazine - November 7th, 2025 [November 7th, 2025]
- Iraq can only disarm militias once US troops leave the country, PM says - Middle East Eye - November 7th, 2025 [November 7th, 2025]
- Twelve questions (and expert answers) on the Iraq elections - Atlantic Council - November 7th, 2025 [November 7th, 2025]
- Tensions soar as Pentagon chief issues final warning to Iraq over armed groups - Amwaj.media - November 7th, 2025 [November 7th, 2025]
- Iraq PM on Putting His Nation First Amid US-Iran Feud and Elections - Newsweek - November 7th, 2025 [November 7th, 2025]
- Iraq can disarm factions only when the US withdraws, prime minister says - Reuters - November 7th, 2025 [November 7th, 2025]
- Iraqi FM: U.S. Stance on Armed Factions in Iraq is Clear and Consistent - kurdistan24.net - November 7th, 2025 [November 7th, 2025]
- Iraq worries about rising tensions with US following Hegseth call - Yahoo - November 7th, 2025 [November 7th, 2025]
- President Barzani: Partnership, Balance, and Harmony Key to Saving Iraq from 'Central Tyranny'" - kurdistan24.net - November 7th, 2025 [November 7th, 2025]
- Iraq and U.S. officials reaffirm commitment to a new phase of security cooperation - Iraqi News - November 7th, 2025 [November 7th, 2025]
- Iraq seeks to benefit from IRCS's expertise, services - Tehran Times - November 7th, 2025 [November 7th, 2025]
- 5,000-year-old monumental building in Iraq reveals ties to the worlds first cities - Archaeology News Online Magazine - November 7th, 2025 [November 7th, 2025]
- The Politics of Personal Status Law in Egypt and Iraq - Carnegie Endowment for International Peace - November 7th, 2025 [November 7th, 2025]
- Iraq awards $764 million Baghdad airport project to CAAP and Amwaj - Reuters - November 7th, 2025 [November 7th, 2025]
- See photos of Iraq War Veteran who has published a book of poetry - Greensboro News and Record - November 7th, 2025 [November 7th, 2025]
- Dick Cheney, Iraq and the Making of Halliburton - CounterPunch.org - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]
- 'I was right about Iraq.' It was Dick Cheney's war, and he owned it until the very end. - USA Today - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]
- Local Iraq veterans share unfiltered stories of service and sacrifice - Madras Pioneer - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]
- Ancient building in Iraq reshapes Uruk-era history - The Jerusalem Post - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]
- A Review of Central America in the Crosshairs of War; on the Road from Vietnam to Iraq - Harvard University - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]
- Iraq, Turkey sign deal on Iraqi water infrastructure projects - Reuters - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]
- Former Vice President Cheney, architect of Iraq War, dies at 84 - Axios - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]
- Washington pushes back after Iraq links US pullout to resistance disarmament - thecradle.co - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]
- Dick Cheney, architect of Iraq war and towering US vice president, dies at 84 - The Arab Weekly - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]
- Dick Cheney, former vice president who unapologetically supported wars in Iraq, Afghanistan, dies at 84 - Los Angeles Times - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]
- 'I never saw the sun': Israeli captive breaks silence on 903 days of torture in Iraq - www.israelhayom.com - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]
- Archaeologists unearth 5,000-year-old temple in Northern Iraq, redefining early Mesopotamian history - SyriacPress - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]
- 'Strung Up and Tortured': Elizabeth Tsurkov Recounts Over Two Years of Captivity in Iraq - Haaretz - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]
- Nineveh ready for Iraq's elections, governor says - Shafaq News - - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]
- Mastermind of the Iraq War Lies Dick Cheney Dies at 84 - The Daily Beast - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]
- Iraq settles with Cypriot award creditor over sea wall - Global Arbitration Review - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]
- 5,000-year-old temple unearthed in Northern Iraq - Iraqi News - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]
- Two Days in Northern Iraq: Come Pray with Us - Assemblies of God - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]
- Dick Cheney dies: giant of the US conservative movement whose legacy was defined by the Iraq war - The Conversation - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]
- Dick Cheney, architect of the US invasion of Iraq, dies aged 84 - Middle East Eye - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]
- Iraq, gay marriage and other key Dick Cheney moments - The Washington Post - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]
- McLean resident who helped engineer invasion of Iraq dies at 84 - FFXnow - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]
- Dick Cheney, Architect of Iraq Occupation and U.S. Torture Program, Dies at 84 - Democracy Now! - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]