US sent Iran an aircraft-carrier ‘message,’ but it’s at a …
John Bolton, President Donald Trump's national security adviser, announced on Sunday that the US would send the USS Abraham Lincoln aircraft carrier and its associated strike group to the waters near Iran to "send a message" and respond to vague threats.
But the US will be sending the powerful carrier to a job it's arguably ill-suited for, putting thousands of sailors at a major military disadvantage. And if a conflict were to arise, the sinking of a US aircraft carrier would be in Iran's sights.
Though the carrier's deployment to Iran's nearby waters may have been planned long ago, Bolton has been clear that the ship's return to the region marks a response to "a number of troubling and escalatory incident and warnings" from Iran.
Read more: Why the US suddenly decided to send an aircraft carrier and bombers to check Iran
DoD photo
While Bolton did not get into specifics, a report from Axios said Israel passed the US "information on an alleged Iranian plot to attack" US forces or interests in the region.
The Wall Street Journal cited US officials as saying new intelligence "showed that Iran drew up plans to target U.S. forces in Iraq and possibly Syria, to orchestrate attacks in the Bab el-Mandeb strait near Yemen through proxies and in the Persian Gulf with its own armed drones."
Read more: Iran harassed and humiliated the US Navy under Obama here's why it stopped under Trump
US aircraft carrier strike groups represent the highest order of naval power ever put to sea, but they're not the right tool for every job.
Caitlin Talmadge, an associate professor of security studies, said on Twitter that US carriers are "designed for operations on the open ocean."
As a floating air base with guided-missile destroyers and cruisers sailing nearby for antimissile defenses from land and sea, the carriers are best off when moving around far from the range of missiles fired from the shore.
The narrow, "confined waters of the Persian Gulf make carriers tremendously more vulnerable to asymmetric air, land, and naval threats," Talmadge wrote.
Iranian military personnel participate in the Velayat-90 war game near the Strait of Hormuz. REUTERS/Fars News/Hamed Jafarnejad
In the shallow brown waters of the Persian Gulf and the Strait of Hormuz, the narrow pass through which about one-fifth of the world's oil passes through, Iran's outdated submarines and missiles see a vastly uneven playing ground leveled out.
"Ideally, a Nimitz-class carrier would operate within comfortable range of its targets (based on the range of its air wing) but at sufficient stand-off distance to minimize the risk of enemy threats," Omar Lamrani, a senior military analyst at the geopolitical consulting firm Stratfor, told Business Insider. "This varies based on operating environment but is usually between 300 to 400 nautical miles."
Aircraft carriers do send a message and have been relied on for such by presidents for decades, but according to Talmadge, it's kind of empty in this situation.
Read more: Iran releases video of its submarine sinking a US aircraft carrier by exploiting a key weakness
In the Gulf wars and against militants such as ISIS, aircraft carriers made plenty of sense.
"Iraq has tiny coast, couldn't contest US carrier presence, so unusual situation," added Talmadge, who said that Iran was a different kind of beast.
But "Iran's geography & military capabilities, particularly presence of significant assets near Strait of Hormuz, make sailing carrier through Gulf a lot riskier, and w/ less benefit given US ability to deploy carriers in Arabian Sea & Indian Ocean instead," she said. Google Maps
In fact, the Persian Gulf, Iran's home waters, plays directly into their hands. One of Iran's favorite and best documented ways to harass the US Navy is to use fast-attack boats in a swarming attack.
Swarm boat attacks would "not be much of a danger in the open sea," where the carrier had room to maneuver, but could be a problem in the choked gulf.
"Iran has various systems that can be a threat within the Persian Gulf, including anti-ship cruise missiles, fast attack craft and swarm boats, mini-submarines, and even asymmetric tactics like UAV swarms that seek to harass rather than disable the carrier," Lamrani added.
Read more: Iran has found a new way to mess with the US Navy
Aircraft carriers lack onboard defenses against torpedo attacks, something that an old Iranian submarine could manage. In the noisy brown waters of the Persian Gulf, the US Navy may also struggle to track such small boats.
Furthermore, the Iranian media has fantasized for years about sinking an aircraft carrier. In the country's state-controlled media, the massive ships are often seen as targets ripe for sinking.
Iran's Ghadir submarine menaces behind a US carrier strike group in a propaganda video. Iranian TV via MEMRI
With US-Iranian relations hitting a startling new low, the Trump administration's decision to send an aircraft carrier to Tehran's home waters seems like a risky choice with little apparent payoff.
Accompanying the carrier deployment announced by Bolton was an increase in bombers in the region. Business Insider has previously reported that Iran is highly unlikely to attack even small exposed groups of US troops in the region because the response from nearby US air bases would all but obliterate the country.
Read more:
US sent Iran an aircraft-carrier 'message,' but it's at a ...
- Iran and Britain summon envoys over alleged spying in UK - BBC - May 19th, 2025 [May 19th, 2025]
- US and Iran Clash Over Nuclear Red Lines - Newsweek - May 19th, 2025 [May 19th, 2025]
- Witkoff says US red line in Iran talks is any ability for Tehran to enrich uranium - The Times of Israel - May 19th, 2025 [May 19th, 2025]
- Harvard University's alleged ties to Chinese paramilitary group, Iran-backed research spark GOP probe - Fox News - May 19th, 2025 [May 19th, 2025]
- Will Any New 'Nuclear Deal' Between the U.S. and Iran Be Worth The Paper It's Wr - Crude Oil Prices Today | OilPrice.com - May 19th, 2025 [May 19th, 2025]
- Iran, Azerbaijan hold military drill in disputed Nagorno-Karabakh: What to know - AL-Monitor - May 19th, 2025 [May 19th, 2025]
- Crude Oil Prices Supported by Dollar Weakness and Iran Nuclear Deal Doubts - Nasdaq - May 19th, 2025 [May 19th, 2025]
- Senior House Republicans question Harvard over Iran connections - Jewish Insider - May 19th, 2025 [May 19th, 2025]
- Trump 0.2 in Riyadh: Oil, arms, and a shadow over Iran - Tehran Times - May 19th, 2025 [May 19th, 2025]
- Witkoff: US red line in Iran talks is any ability for enrichment - The Times of Israel - May 19th, 2025 [May 19th, 2025]
- Minimums for a new Iran nuke deal, beware fake experts and other commentary - New York Post - May 19th, 2025 [May 19th, 2025]
- UK Plans New Powers to Tackle Rise in Iran-Backed Threats - Bloomberg - May 19th, 2025 [May 19th, 2025]
- 'Evil will not triumph': Witkoff pledges action against Hamas, Iran, calls for unity - The Jerusalem Post - May 19th, 2025 [May 19th, 2025]
- Iran Insists It Will Continue to Enrich Uranium With or Without a Nuclear Deal - Crude Oil Prices Today | OilPrice.com - May 19th, 2025 [May 19th, 2025]
- Marco Rubio warns Iran 'at the threshold' of nuclear weapon capability as US-Iran talks continue - Fox News - May 19th, 2025 [May 19th, 2025]
- New impasse? Iran rejects US demands to give up enrichment, says it will continue with or without deal - All Israel News - May 19th, 2025 [May 19th, 2025]
- Israeli suspected of spying on former PM Bennett on behalf of Iran - JNS.org - May 19th, 2025 [May 19th, 2025]
- Trump Wants an Iran Deal, but It May Be Weaker Than His Supporters Demand - The New York Times - May 17th, 2025 [May 17th, 2025]
- Iran says it will continue nuclear talks with the U.S., shrugging off Trumps threats - Los Angeles Times - May 17th, 2025 [May 17th, 2025]
- Iran says it will continue nuclear talks with the US, shrugging off Trumps threats - AP News - May 17th, 2025 [May 17th, 2025]
- Trump says Iran has a proposal from the US on its rapidly advancing nuclear program - AP News - May 17th, 2025 [May 17th, 2025]
- Trump says Iran wont be given time to build a nuclear weapon | Iran International - - May 17th, 2025 [May 17th, 2025]
- Iran Reaffirms Nuclear Rights Amid U.S. Warnings of 'Grave Risk' - kurdistan24.net - May 17th, 2025 [May 17th, 2025]
- Over 550 UK lawmakers urge proscription of Iran's IRGC as terrorist group - - May 17th, 2025 [May 17th, 2025]
- 'U.S. Must and Will Leave the Region,' Says Iran's Khamenei - kurdistan24.net - May 17th, 2025 [May 17th, 2025]
- Iran honors 2nd anniversary of 86th Naval Fleets global mission - Tehran Times - May 17th, 2025 [May 17th, 2025]
- Master negotiator who 'drowns the devil in words': Iran's man in nuclear talks with US - Ynetnews - May 17th, 2025 [May 17th, 2025]
- Iran says itll continue nuclear talks with US, shrugging off Trump threats - AP News - May 17th, 2025 [May 17th, 2025]
- Iran says it will continue nuclear talks with the US, shrugging off Trump's threats - The Daily Reflector - May 17th, 2025 [May 17th, 2025]
- Trump says Iran needs to move quickly on nuclear proposal - Reuters - May 17th, 2025 [May 17th, 2025]
- Iran's Khamenei: Trump 'lying when he speaks of peace' in region - The New Arab - May 17th, 2025 [May 17th, 2025]
- Iran says it will continue nuclear talks with the US, shrugging off Trump's threats - Citizen Tribune - May 17th, 2025 [May 17th, 2025]
- Three charged in UK with aiding Iranian intelligence, targeting Iran International - - May 17th, 2025 [May 17th, 2025]
- The Presidents Inbox Recap: The Iran Nuclear Talks - Council on Foreign Relations - May 17th, 2025 [May 17th, 2025]
- France & Iran Stars To Lead The Line For Inter Milan In Serie A Clash Vs Lazio - Yahoo Sports - May 17th, 2025 [May 17th, 2025]
- Spain, Germany, Russia, Iran, Sudan, Afghanistan, Lebanon, Venezuela and more Included in New US Travel Risk Update as Global Threat Levels Rise -... - May 17th, 2025 [May 17th, 2025]
- Trump says the US and Iran have sort of agreed on the terms for a nuclear deal - AP News - May 15th, 2025 [May 15th, 2025]
- Imposing Sanctions on China- and Iran-based Entities and Individuals that Support Irans Ballistic Missile Program - U.S. Department of State (.gov) - May 15th, 2025 [May 15th, 2025]
- Opinion | Trumps reversal on Iran may be his most consequential - The Washington Post - May 15th, 2025 [May 15th, 2025]
- Heres how a Trump nuclear deal with Iran could impact global oil supplies and prices - MarketWatch - May 15th, 2025 [May 15th, 2025]
- State Department confirms 'constructive' nuclear talks with Iran; Trump says deal 'sort of' agreed to - Fox News - May 15th, 2025 [May 15th, 2025]
- US targets Iran-backed Hezbollah with new sanctions, Treasury Departments says - Reuters - May 15th, 2025 [May 15th, 2025]
- Trump appeals for Qatars help in persuading Iran to give up its nuclear program - AP News - May 15th, 2025 [May 15th, 2025]
- Emerging nuclear agreement between US and Iran seems problematic, officials tell 'Post' - The Jerusalem Post - May 15th, 2025 [May 15th, 2025]
- Oil Extends Drop as Trump Says US Is Closer to Deal With Iran - Bloomberg.com - May 15th, 2025 [May 15th, 2025]
- Iran, European powers to hold nuclear talks in Turkey - Times of India - May 15th, 2025 [May 15th, 2025]
- Republicans urge Trump to follow through on his plan to dismantle Iran's nuclear capabilities - Fox News - May 15th, 2025 [May 15th, 2025]
- Trump Says US and Iran Close to Nuclear Deal - AllSides - May 15th, 2025 [May 15th, 2025]
- Iran is the most lonely country in the world right now, says KT McFarland - Fox Business - May 15th, 2025 [May 15th, 2025]
- Trump pulls sanctions on Syria, extends olive branch to Iran - The Washington Post - May 15th, 2025 [May 15th, 2025]
- WATCH: Trump urges Iran to take 'new and a better path' for nuclear deal in remarks at U.S.-Saudi investment forum - PBS - May 15th, 2025 [May 15th, 2025]
- Iran and Ethiopia have a security deal heres why they signed it - The Conversation - May 15th, 2025 [May 15th, 2025]
- Trump says Iran has sort of agreed to terms of nuclear deal - The Hill - May 15th, 2025 [May 15th, 2025]
- Trump says he doesnt want to make nuclear dust in Iran - Al Jazeera - May 15th, 2025 [May 15th, 2025]
- Iran Nuclear Deal Would Give a Little Boost to Global Oil Supply - Bloomberg.com - May 15th, 2025 [May 15th, 2025]
- Hailing Syria, arming Saudis, dealing with Iran and Houthis, Trump relegates Israeli concerns - The Times of Israel - May 15th, 2025 [May 15th, 2025]
- Trump is not an isolationist, he will stop Iran from getting a nuclear weapon, expert says - Fox News - May 15th, 2025 [May 15th, 2025]
- US says latest round of nuclear talks with Iran were 'encouraging' - BBC - May 11th, 2025 [May 11th, 2025]
- Iran's top diplomat arrives for indirect nuclear talks with US in Oman - ABC News - May 11th, 2025 [May 11th, 2025]
- Iran and the US conclude a 4th round of negotiations over Tehrans nuclear program in Oman - CNBC - May 11th, 2025 [May 11th, 2025]
- Iran and US begin 4th round of negotiations over Tehrans nuclear program in Oman - Politico - May 11th, 2025 [May 11th, 2025]
- U.S. "encouraged" by progress in fourth round of nuclear talks with Iran, official says - Axios - May 11th, 2025 [May 11th, 2025]
- Iran and US conclude a fourth round of negotiations over Tehrans nuclear program in Oman - AP News - May 11th, 2025 [May 11th, 2025]
- US and Iran agree to future nuclear talks as negotiations wrap up in Oman - France 24 - May 11th, 2025 [May 11th, 2025]
- Iran, US begin 4th round of talks in Oman, with focus on uranium enrichment - The Times of Israel - May 11th, 2025 [May 11th, 2025]
- NCRI Reveals Irans Secret Rainbow Facility Linked to Nuclear Weapons and Missile Program - National Council of Resistance of Iran - NCRI - May 11th, 2025 [May 11th, 2025]
- US and Iran hold fresh round of nuclear talks in Oman - France 24 - May 11th, 2025 [May 11th, 2025]
- Will the real Iran policy stand up? - Politico - May 11th, 2025 [May 11th, 2025]
- Iran eying closer tech cooperation with China, bypassing the West - analysis - The Jerusalem Post - May 11th, 2025 [May 11th, 2025]
- Iran vows not to back down from its nuclear rights, as talks with US set to resume - The Times of Israel - May 11th, 2025 [May 11th, 2025]
- US, Iran nuclear talks end with 'agreement' to move forward - www.israelhayom.com - May 11th, 2025 [May 11th, 2025]
- Five Signs of Growing Risk of US War With Iran - Newsweek - May 11th, 2025 [May 11th, 2025]
- Iran Sends Stark Warning to US: "Gates of Hell" - Newsweek - May 11th, 2025 [May 11th, 2025]
- Iran ready to respond decisively to any threat, military chief vows while inspecting Persian Gulf - Tehran Times - May 11th, 2025 [May 11th, 2025]
- Trump heads to Middle East amid Iran nuclear standoff and Gulf investment drive - The Jerusalem Post - May 11th, 2025 [May 11th, 2025]
- Iran's top diplomat arrives for indirect nuclear talks with US in Oman - MSN - May 11th, 2025 [May 11th, 2025]
- Iran is up to its old tricks - Israel National News - May 11th, 2025 [May 11th, 2025]
- U.S. Holds Fourth Round of Nuclear Talks With Iran in Oman Ahead of Trump's Mideast Trip - Haaretz - May 11th, 2025 [May 11th, 2025]
- The axis of illusion: How Russia and Iran are partnering to manipulate Trump - The Hill - May 11th, 2025 [May 11th, 2025]
- Reports: Iran pressed Houthis into truce with US to build momentum in nuclear talks - The Times of Israel - May 11th, 2025 [May 11th, 2025]