Tillerson looks to global effort on Iran as model for North Korea – CNN
Tillerson, who arrives in Tokyo on Wednesday followed by stops in Seoul and Beijing, is also in Asia to lay the groundwork for an expected US visit by Chinese President Xi Jinping in April.
Revamping the international approach to North Korea is expected to be the top US diplomat's central focus, though, as leader Kim Jung Un takes increasingly aggressive steps to expand his military and nuclear capabilities.
Tillerson will tell allies that North Korea's efforts to develop long-range missiles that can reach London and Los Angeles as easily as they can target Tokyo and Seoul will require broadening the current regional strategy.
He will explore with regional powers the creation of a broader international campaign similar to the Obama administration's global approach on the nuclear deal with Iran, according to administration officials who spoke on condition of anonymity to discuss the trip. Key to that will be more European participation, one official said.
"He is taking a fresh and deep look at the North Korea policy and approach," another official said. "It is important to engage with the Chinese and other partners, but as North Korean pushes forward toward a test of an intercontinental ballistic missile, this becomes a global threat, not regional."
Trump excoriated the Iran deal on the campaign trail, and his administration has been generally hostile to multilateral approaches and organizations, however. While bringing in multiple players to rein in a rogue regime can make it harder for a country such as Iran or North Korea to find partners to work with and thereby contribute to an agreement's success, it also can make deal-making more difficult and less responsive to unilateral steps. The administration's dislike of the Iran deal raises questions about how Tillerson would adopt this approach to the Trump era.
Tillerson will also be working to improve ties with China, even as he juggles differences with Beijing over its territorial claims in the South China Sea -- which the US rejects -- and disagreements on how to handle North Korea.
Tillerson has already made a mark in this area, having successfully defused a major point of potential friction between the Trump administration and Beijing by having the US recommit to the "One China" policy. After the President seemed to flirt with formally improving relations with Taiwan, which could jeopardize the formulation in which Washington only recognizes a unified China, Tillerson worked with President Donald Trump's son-in-law Jared Kushner to convince Trump to back the bedrock policy of relations between the US and China.
But Tillerson could face pressure from China about his proposed new approach to North Korea. For years China has tried to define North Korea as a regional issue to be solved within the Six Party talks that include the US, North Korea, China, Japan, Russia and South Korea. China has also played up the idea, officials said, that the threat is aimed at the 28,500 American soldiers, sailors, airmen and Marines on the Korean Peninsula.
Tillerson will argue that intercontinental ballistic missile capability, which US officials believe North Korea could soon perfect, threatens the entire West, making it necessary for Europe -- which has joined in applying UN sanctions -- to step up involvement.
While Tillerson's policy is still being developed, the administration officials said the campaign against Iran is a model and that Tillerson will seek to include Europe and others in diplomatic, economic and defensive military measures against North Korea.
Officials say the new approach could also bring more pressure to bear on China to use its own levers of influence against North Korea.
"North Korea will soon be in reach of ICBM capacity. If they do, they can strike Los Angeles or London," one of the administration officials said. "The Six Party Talks structure doesn't make sense anymore. And the Chinese won't be able to only speak to this in a regional context."
As Tillerson travels East, he'll be working against a backdrop of tense uncertainty.
A day later, the US announced the arrival of the first pieces of the advanced THAAD missile defense system in South Korea -- a move that led Beijing to take a series of punitive economic steps against South Korean companies. Meanwhile, Japan has announced that in May it will dispatch its largest warship into the contested South China Sea in its largest show of naval force since World War II.
It is, said Bruce Klingner, a senior fellow at the Heritage Foundation, a "perfect storm of tensions in northeast Asia." And it's happening at a time when US policy in the region is still being defined.
"The Trump administration is formulating its North Korea policy amidst accelerating threats and deteriorating relations in the region," Klingner said.
A State Department official said there has been widespread acknowledgment that the past 15 years of US policy on North Korea -- a carrot-and-stick medley of sanctions, incentives and aid -- hasn't been effective.
"We're trying to come up with what the approach of the new administration is going to be," the official said.
More broadly, the Obama administration embraced a "pivot" to Asia that saw the US devote more instruments of hard and soft power to demonstrate the importance Washington places on the region and securing its allies there.
For now, Tillerson and Defense Secretary James Mattis has been delivering a message of continuity on that front, telling allies that "the United States remains a Pacific power and we will be active and engaged in Asia in this administration" and committed to defending allies, the State Department official said.
And even as he tries to smooth relations with China, Tillerson is also primed to flex American muscle, perhaps by discussing the possible expansion of US sanctions to target Chinese companies that do business with North Korea, the State Department official said -- though he won't be making announcements.
"Certainly we've talked to the Chinese about these issues before and will continue, I'm sure," the official said, "as well as with our other partners in Seoul and Tokyo."
Sandy Pho of the Wilson Center's Kissinger Institute for China and the United States said that staffing shortages, the pressing nature of the North Korean threat and divisions within the Trump administration on China has led the White House to fall back on Obama administration positions for now.
"The reason why you are hearing more of the same is that they haven't been able to do a comprehensive review and this is all happening so quickly," Pho said. Many leadership positions at the State Department remain unfilled, including in the Asia bureau.
"They've been focused on ISIS, but North Korea's latest saber-rattling is now forcing them to look at Asia," Pho said.
Then there is a split among those who advise Trump. The head of the White House Trade Council, Peter Navarro, and Trump chief strategist Stephen Bannon take very hawkish views on China.
Others, including Tillerson, Kushner, Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin and the new director of the National Economic Council, Gary Cohn, seem to take a more pragmatic view, said Pho.
"They're not necessarily panda-huggers," said Pho, using a nickname for pro-China policymakers, "but they're more traditionally pro-trade."
See the original post here:
Tillerson looks to global effort on Iran as model for North Korea - CNN
- Iran says its stance on nuclear talks with US remains constant - Reuters - May 5th, 2025 [May 5th, 2025]
- Iran unveils new missile capable of striking US targets as war threat rises - Newsweek - May 5th, 2025 [May 5th, 2025]
- Iran denies ordering Houthi attacks, as Yemen group reports wave of US airstrikes - The Times of Israel - May 5th, 2025 [May 5th, 2025]
- Trump fired Waltz because he wanted to attack Iran - Responsible Statecraft - May 5th, 2025 [May 5th, 2025]
- Waltzs coordination with Netanyahu on Iran strike contributed to his firing report - The Times of Israel - May 5th, 2025 [May 5th, 2025]
- Fire breaks out in IRGC ammunition depot in Iran - report - The Jerusalem Post - May 5th, 2025 [May 5th, 2025]
- Why US-Iran nuclear talks in Oman have stalled - Middle East Eye - May 5th, 2025 [May 5th, 2025]
- Another explosion in Iran? Fire breaks out at Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps ammo depot - www.israelhayom.com - May 5th, 2025 [May 5th, 2025]
- How Trump blindsided Netanyahu with his Iran nuclear gamble - Reuters - May 5th, 2025 [May 5th, 2025]
- Iran Slams Trump as Nuclear Tensions Grow: "Destructive and Unlawful" - Newsweek - May 5th, 2025 [May 5th, 2025]
- Iran's FM: Tehran has the right to 'possess the full nuclear fuel cycle' - The Jerusalem Post - May 5th, 2025 [May 5th, 2025]
- Netanyahu disputes report that fired NSC chief Mike Waltz coordinated extensively with him on Iran - The Jerusalem Post - May 5th, 2025 [May 5th, 2025]
- US targets Iran with fresh sanctions ahead of next nuclear talks - Reuters - May 5th, 2025 [May 5th, 2025]
- US-Iran nuclear talks postponed, Iran says next round depends on US approach - The Times of Israel - May 5th, 2025 [May 5th, 2025]
- China's top diplomat backs Iran's nuclear diplomacy ahead of US talks - Reuters - May 5th, 2025 [May 5th, 2025]
- Iran maintains tough rhetoric on Israel and US, even while seeking nuclear deal - The Times of Israel - May 5th, 2025 [May 5th, 2025]
- Fourth round of US-Iran nuclear talks postponed amid continued tensions - Al Jazeera - May 5th, 2025 [May 5th, 2025]
- Report: Waltz's huddling with Netanyahu to plan Iran strike angered Trump, contributing to ouster - i24NEWS - May 5th, 2025 [May 5th, 2025]
- Netanyahu threatens Houthis, and Iran, as cabinet convenes after missile hits airport - The Times of Israel - May 5th, 2025 [May 5th, 2025]
- Waltzs intense coordination with Netanyahu on Iran strike contributed to firing report - The Times of Israel - May 5th, 2025 [May 5th, 2025]
- Iran executes a man convicted of spying for Israel, but activists say his confession was forced - CBS News - May 5th, 2025 [May 5th, 2025]
- Trump says any country that buys oil from Iran will not be allowed to do any business with U.S. - CNBC - May 5th, 2025 [May 5th, 2025]
- 'Losing the base': MTG warns Trump over Iran threats - www.israelhayom.com - May 5th, 2025 [May 5th, 2025]
- Trump threatens sanctions against buyers of Iranian oil after US-Iran nuclear talks are postponed - AP News - May 5th, 2025 [May 5th, 2025]
- U.S. negotiating position on Iran in flux as talks continue - The Washington Post - April 25th, 2025 [April 25th, 2025]
- Trump wants Iran deal but will be "leading the pack" for war without one - Axios - April 25th, 2025 [April 25th, 2025]
- Negotiations between Iran and the US over Tehran's nuclear program return to secluded Oman - AP News - April 25th, 2025 [April 25th, 2025]
- Congratulations to Paraguay for Confronting Iran and its Proxies - U.S. Department of State (.gov) - April 25th, 2025 [April 25th, 2025]
- 'Waste That St': In Interview With Free Beacon, Fetterman Tells Trump To Dump Iran Talks and Destroy Tehran's Nuclear Facilities - freebeacon.com - April 25th, 2025 [April 25th, 2025]
- Iran rejects demand from US to rely on imported uranium - The Guardian - April 25th, 2025 [April 25th, 2025]
- Israel said to fear US moving fast toward bad deal that wont block Iran from nukes - The Times of Israel - April 25th, 2025 [April 25th, 2025]
- Iran fortifying buried nuclear sites as talks with US continue, report says - Reuters - April 25th, 2025 [April 25th, 2025]
- Iran, France signal readiness for nuclear talks amid US negotiations - Reuters - April 25th, 2025 [April 25th, 2025]
- Rubio says Iran must give up nuclear enrichment in any deal with the US - AP News - April 25th, 2025 [April 25th, 2025]
- The US, Iran and the bomb - Al Jazeera - April 25th, 2025 [April 25th, 2025]
- What do 'expert level' talks signal for the progress of Iran-U.S. nuclear negotiations? - NBC News - April 25th, 2025 [April 25th, 2025]
- Act of negotiating with Iran is 'problematic,' rocket scientist says - Fox Business - April 25th, 2025 [April 25th, 2025]
- What do expert level talks signal for the progress of the Iran-US nuclear negotiations? - AP News - April 25th, 2025 [April 25th, 2025]
- U.S. Offers Iran Civilian Nuclear Program in Possible Compromise With Tehran - WSJ - April 25th, 2025 [April 25th, 2025]
- As Iran fortifies nuke sites, US says it can have civilian nuclear program if no enrichment - The Times of Israel - April 25th, 2025 [April 25th, 2025]
- Iran weighs pace of nuclear talks with US, unsure if to push for deal with Trump - analysis - The Jerusalem Post - April 25th, 2025 [April 25th, 2025]
- Iran's FM Araghchi to head to Oman for nuclear talks with US - The New Arab - April 25th, 2025 [April 25th, 2025]
- UN watchdog asks Iran to clarify tunnels but upbeat on deal - France 24 - April 25th, 2025 [April 25th, 2025]
- Trump: Willing to meet Leader Khamenei as Iran talks advance - Shafaq News - - April 25th, 2025 [April 25th, 2025]
- Rubio says war with Iran would be much messier than what people are used to seeing - The Hill - April 25th, 2025 [April 25th, 2025]
- After blows to proxies, Iran advances huge space program with Russian assistance - The Times of Israel - April 21st, 2025 [April 21st, 2025]
- Everything you need to know about Iran-US nuclear negotiations - Al Jazeera - April 21st, 2025 [April 21st, 2025]
- Source close to White House: US-Iran talks expected to collapse - www.israelhayom.com - April 21st, 2025 [April 21st, 2025]
- Iran-US talks over Tehrans nuclear program hinge on a billionaire and a seasoned diplomat - AP News - April 21st, 2025 [April 21st, 2025]
- Iran, US task experts with framework for a nuclear deal after 'progress' in talks - Reuters - April 21st, 2025 [April 21st, 2025]
- US and Iran say talks over Tehrans nuclear program make progress and set plans for more - AP News - April 21st, 2025 [April 21st, 2025]
- Trump cant afford to simply revive Obamas Iran nuclear deal - Atlantic Council - April 21st, 2025 [April 21st, 2025]
- What to know about the tensions between Iran and the US before their second round of talks - AP News - April 21st, 2025 [April 21st, 2025]
- In Iran Talks, Trump Is Edging Toward Reviving an Old Deal - The New York Times - April 21st, 2025 [April 21st, 2025]
- Iran, US report progress in nuclear talks, confirm third round next week - Al Jazeera - April 21st, 2025 [April 21st, 2025]
- Iran Says Talks With U.S. to Continue After Positive Meeting - WSJ - WSJ - April 21st, 2025 [April 21st, 2025]
- Iran says nuclear deal is possible if Washington is realistic - Reuters - April 21st, 2025 [April 21st, 2025]
- After Rome talks, Tehran says Iran and US to start designing framework for nuclear deal - The Times of Israel - April 21st, 2025 [April 21st, 2025]
- Trump Is About to Learn That Iran Is a Problem Without a Solution - Foreign Policy - April 21st, 2025 [April 21st, 2025]
- Hopes for Iran nuclear talks tempered by threats and mixed messages - BBC - April 21st, 2025 [April 21st, 2025]
- With his promises of peace unmet in Gaza and Ukraine, Trump may find Iran just as tough - Reuters - April 21st, 2025 [April 21st, 2025]
- Second round of US-Iran nuclear talks end, third round set for next week - France 24 - April 21st, 2025 [April 21st, 2025]
- U.S., Iran officials project progress in second round of nuclear talks - The Washington Post - April 21st, 2025 [April 21st, 2025]
- Iran offered US a nuclear agreement with same enrichment cap as 2015 deal report - The Times of Israel - April 21st, 2025 [April 21st, 2025]
- As Iran talks resume, White House fends off bombing hawks - The Washington Post - April 21st, 2025 [April 21st, 2025]
- Trump says he is in no rush to attack Iran over nuclear program - Reuters - April 21st, 2025 [April 21st, 2025]
- US-Iran: future stability of Middle East hangs on success of nuclear deal but initial signs are not good - The Conversation - April 21st, 2025 [April 21st, 2025]
- Omans sultan to meet Putin in Moscow after Iran-US nuclear talks mediated by Muscat - The Times of Israel - April 21st, 2025 [April 21st, 2025]
- Israel said to still eye limited attack on Iran nuclear sites despite Trump waving off plan - The Times of Israel - April 21st, 2025 [April 21st, 2025]
- Netanyahu: We will not surrender to Hamas, Iran won't have a nuclear weapon - The Jerusalem Post - April 21st, 2025 [April 21st, 2025]
- US and Iran agree to another round of talks to end nuclear stand-off - Financial Times - April 21st, 2025 [April 21st, 2025]
- Mossad chief, Dermer meet US envoy Witkoff in Paris ahead of US-Iran nuclear talks - The Times of Israel - April 21st, 2025 [April 21st, 2025]
- Iran and US move to expert-level talks after 'good meeting' in Rome - Middle East Eye - April 21st, 2025 [April 21st, 2025]
- April 19: US official: Very good progress made in Iran talks; well meet again next week - The Times of Israel - April 21st, 2025 [April 21st, 2025]
- Iran confirms that the 2nd round of nuclear talks with the US will be in Rome - AP News - April 18th, 2025 [April 18th, 2025]
- Iran's Khamenei sends letter to Putin ahead of talks with US - Reuters - April 18th, 2025 [April 18th, 2025]
- Saudi defence minister arrives in Tehran ahead of Iran-US talks - Reuters - April 18th, 2025 [April 18th, 2025]
- Iran Says Despite Shifting U.S. Messages, It Plans to Keep Participating in Nuclear Talks - The New York Times - April 18th, 2025 [April 18th, 2025]
- Opinion | Its a Mistake to Think the Biggest Problem With Iran Is Nuclear Weapons - The New York Times - April 18th, 2025 [April 18th, 2025]
- Mike Pompeo: We Dont Need a Fake Deal with Iran - The Free Press - April 18th, 2025 [April 18th, 2025]