Reporting on the Iran nuclear deal: ‘nothing happens until everything happens’ – The Guardian
Countries tend to go to war when diplomacy fails. But Washington and Tehran are now facing off because it succeeded. It was because the 2015 nuclear deal was Barack Obamas proudest foreign policy achievement that Donald Trump was so determined to destroy it.
The US and Iran are sliding back towards the brink of conflict. If a missile had landed a little bit differently in the course of the latest exchange of hostilities, they would probably be at war by now.
As the pendulum has swung one way and then the other, the Guardian has tried to cover the diplomacy with the same depth and emphasis as the military manoeuvres, even when it seems slow-moving and complex.
When formal talks began between the Obama administration and the new government of Hassan Rouhani in September 2013, our foreign editor, Jamie Wilson, decided we should cover the whole process in detail because of the potentially historic nature of success, and the very high price of failure.
That began for me a 22-month odyssey, trailing the diplomats from a number of countries, many a time while perched uneasily in a hotel lobby waiting for them to finish an elaborate and expensively catered meal. My colleagues and I have wondered whether the negotiations might not have moved a bit more rapidly if the parties had been booked into a Holiday Inn Express.
On the other hand, you could add up all the room service and minibar bills over the months and it would still cost less than a brace of cruise missiles. Diplomacy always seems expensive until you consider the alternative.
There was something heroic, too, about the diplomacy back then. The US secretary of state, John Kerry, and his Iranian counterpart, Mohammad Javad Zarif, regularly worked into the earlier hours and everyone else had to follow suit. All that effort in the service of compromise is hard to imagine now.
I first got drawn into the endlessly complicated world of the Iranian nuclear programme through a stroke of luck. In July 2007 I answered the phone to an Iranian diplomat with a special offer. He said a rare opportunity had opened up would I like to be part of a small group of European and American journalists on a comprehensive tour of Iranian nuclear facilities? It felt, at the time, like finding one of Willy Wonkas golden tickets, but with a nuclear reactor at the end of the ride in place of a chocolate factory, and Irans combative, messianic president at the time, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, as a very unlikely Wonka.
The nuclear programme had been enveloped in intrigue since 2002, when it was revealed that the government had secretly been building a uranium enrichment facility and a heavy water production plant both possible routes to a bomb.
At the time of the call from the Iranian embassy, the UN security council was days away from passing the first of many resolutions aimed at getting Iran to halt its programme. So when we met at the airport on 19 July, it was as if we were about to enter the eye of the storm.
The mystery tour became somewhat less magical on arrival in Tehran. The foreign ministry, which had invited the eight of us, assumed it had approval from the supreme leader, but it soon became clear that the military and the Revolutionary Guards felt they had not been adequately consulted. Items were crossed off our menu like the specials at a cheap diner at closing time. The enrichment plant at Natanz? That will no longer be possible. What about the heavy water plant at Arak? Ah, that was never possible. The interview with Ahmadinejad? An awkward silence.
Perhaps the low point was driving five hours south to Isfahan to be greeted by the news that the visit to the uranium conversion plant was off, but there was a very impressive steelworks nearby.
The happy outcome of the resulting standoff between mutinous journalists and resolute officials was that we had two days to walk around the old Persian capital, surely one of the worlds most beautiful cities. When Donald Trump threatened to target Irans cultural sites this month, it was Isfahan I pictured in flames.
In the end, the authorities relented and we were allowed into the conversion plant (where uranium is turned into a gas that can be enriched to make it more fissile), a cluster of squat yellow-brick buildings, in the semi-desert 10 miles from Isfahan, ringed by anti-aircraft batteries at the foot of sandstone crags.
Once we were inside, staring at gleaming machinery, the underlying absurdity of our trip became evident. We had no independent way of knowing what we were looking at. It could have been a vast dishwasher for all we knew.
The one exception to our collective cluelessness was spotting the red and black wires that stretched from a concrete wall to the giant white tanks full of uranium, passing through a brass seal. This was the safeguard by which inspectors of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) hoped to detect whether any uranium was being diverted.
The great unanswered question at the time was whether Iran had a weapons programme and how advanced it was. The US administration was trying to play down reports of covert weapons plots, not wanting to derail the overall deal, while it was the inspectors at the IAEA who were suspicious.
Their suspicions about these possible military dimensions were ultimately published as an annexe to an IAEA report in November 2011. The inspectors did find evidence of weapons design studies but also found there were no credible indications that they had continued beyond 2009.
As part of the July 2015 nuclear deal (the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action, JCPOA), Iran pledged to cooperate in the IAEAs inquiries but with no fixed definition of what cooperation would look like. Its critics were also quick to point out it did not address Irans missile programme.
Nor did it have anything to say about human rights, an issue that was driven home to us journalists when one of our number, the Washington Posts Jason Rezaian, and his wife, Yeganeh Salehi, were arrested in July 2014. A few days earlier we had gone for a pizza in Vienna, and he was talking enthusiastically about Tehran and Iranian food. He was held for 544 days on absurd charges of espionage.
For Rezaian now a Washington columnist and many of those who saw the worst side of the Islamic Republic, its cruelties are all the more reason to prevent it developing nuclear weapons, and bind it into an international agreement. For others, particularly on the American right, any deal that eased the pressure on Irans economy would make the west complicit in Irans oppression at home and aggression abroad.
In the end, all those years of diplomacy and all the delicate compromises of the JCPOA, by which the Iranians accepted nuclear limits for sanctions relief, came to naught. Tehrans nuclear programme is expanding again, and the US and Iran are back on the brink of conflict.
It is a chilling thought that no one in the US chain of command has the authority to stop Trump if he were to pick up the verification codes on the small plastic card (for some reason called the nuclear biscuit) that a US president always has close by, and order up Armageddon.
With that other extinction-level threat, the climate emergency, there is so much happening that it is impossible to keep up. But the nuclear threat is different: nothing happens until everything happens. By the time there is something substantial to report on, it could be far too late.
See the original post:
Reporting on the Iran nuclear deal: 'nothing happens until everything happens' - The Guardian
- U.S. negotiating position on Iran in flux as talks continue - The Washington Post - April 25th, 2025 [April 25th, 2025]
- Trump wants Iran deal but will be "leading the pack" for war without one - Axios - April 25th, 2025 [April 25th, 2025]
- Negotiations between Iran and the US over Tehran's nuclear program return to secluded Oman - AP News - April 25th, 2025 [April 25th, 2025]
- Congratulations to Paraguay for Confronting Iran and its Proxies - U.S. Department of State (.gov) - April 25th, 2025 [April 25th, 2025]
- 'Waste That St': In Interview With Free Beacon, Fetterman Tells Trump To Dump Iran Talks and Destroy Tehran's Nuclear Facilities - freebeacon.com - April 25th, 2025 [April 25th, 2025]
- Iran rejects demand from US to rely on imported uranium - The Guardian - April 25th, 2025 [April 25th, 2025]
- Israel said to fear US moving fast toward bad deal that wont block Iran from nukes - The Times of Israel - April 25th, 2025 [April 25th, 2025]
- Iran fortifying buried nuclear sites as talks with US continue, report says - Reuters - April 25th, 2025 [April 25th, 2025]
- Iran, France signal readiness for nuclear talks amid US negotiations - Reuters - April 25th, 2025 [April 25th, 2025]
- Rubio says Iran must give up nuclear enrichment in any deal with the US - AP News - April 25th, 2025 [April 25th, 2025]
- The US, Iran and the bomb - Al Jazeera - April 25th, 2025 [April 25th, 2025]
- What do 'expert level' talks signal for the progress of Iran-U.S. nuclear negotiations? - NBC News - April 25th, 2025 [April 25th, 2025]
- Act of negotiating with Iran is 'problematic,' rocket scientist says - Fox Business - April 25th, 2025 [April 25th, 2025]
- What do expert level talks signal for the progress of the Iran-US nuclear negotiations? - AP News - April 25th, 2025 [April 25th, 2025]
- U.S. Offers Iran Civilian Nuclear Program in Possible Compromise With Tehran - WSJ - April 25th, 2025 [April 25th, 2025]
- As Iran fortifies nuke sites, US says it can have civilian nuclear program if no enrichment - The Times of Israel - April 25th, 2025 [April 25th, 2025]
- Iran weighs pace of nuclear talks with US, unsure if to push for deal with Trump - analysis - The Jerusalem Post - April 25th, 2025 [April 25th, 2025]
- Iran's FM Araghchi to head to Oman for nuclear talks with US - The New Arab - April 25th, 2025 [April 25th, 2025]
- UN watchdog asks Iran to clarify tunnels but upbeat on deal - France 24 - April 25th, 2025 [April 25th, 2025]
- Trump: Willing to meet Leader Khamenei as Iran talks advance - Shafaq News - - April 25th, 2025 [April 25th, 2025]
- Rubio says war with Iran would be much messier than what people are used to seeing - The Hill - April 25th, 2025 [April 25th, 2025]
- After blows to proxies, Iran advances huge space program with Russian assistance - The Times of Israel - April 21st, 2025 [April 21st, 2025]
- Everything you need to know about Iran-US nuclear negotiations - Al Jazeera - April 21st, 2025 [April 21st, 2025]
- Source close to White House: US-Iran talks expected to collapse - www.israelhayom.com - April 21st, 2025 [April 21st, 2025]
- Iran-US talks over Tehrans nuclear program hinge on a billionaire and a seasoned diplomat - AP News - April 21st, 2025 [April 21st, 2025]
- Iran, US task experts with framework for a nuclear deal after 'progress' in talks - Reuters - April 21st, 2025 [April 21st, 2025]
- US and Iran say talks over Tehrans nuclear program make progress and set plans for more - AP News - April 21st, 2025 [April 21st, 2025]
- Trump cant afford to simply revive Obamas Iran nuclear deal - Atlantic Council - April 21st, 2025 [April 21st, 2025]
- What to know about the tensions between Iran and the US before their second round of talks - AP News - April 21st, 2025 [April 21st, 2025]
- In Iran Talks, Trump Is Edging Toward Reviving an Old Deal - The New York Times - April 21st, 2025 [April 21st, 2025]
- Iran, US report progress in nuclear talks, confirm third round next week - Al Jazeera - April 21st, 2025 [April 21st, 2025]
- Iran Says Talks With U.S. to Continue After Positive Meeting - WSJ - WSJ - April 21st, 2025 [April 21st, 2025]
- Iran says nuclear deal is possible if Washington is realistic - Reuters - April 21st, 2025 [April 21st, 2025]
- After Rome talks, Tehran says Iran and US to start designing framework for nuclear deal - The Times of Israel - April 21st, 2025 [April 21st, 2025]
- Trump Is About to Learn That Iran Is a Problem Without a Solution - Foreign Policy - April 21st, 2025 [April 21st, 2025]
- Hopes for Iran nuclear talks tempered by threats and mixed messages - BBC - April 21st, 2025 [April 21st, 2025]
- With his promises of peace unmet in Gaza and Ukraine, Trump may find Iran just as tough - Reuters - April 21st, 2025 [April 21st, 2025]
- Second round of US-Iran nuclear talks end, third round set for next week - France 24 - April 21st, 2025 [April 21st, 2025]
- U.S., Iran officials project progress in second round of nuclear talks - The Washington Post - April 21st, 2025 [April 21st, 2025]
- Iran offered US a nuclear agreement with same enrichment cap as 2015 deal report - The Times of Israel - April 21st, 2025 [April 21st, 2025]
- As Iran talks resume, White House fends off bombing hawks - The Washington Post - April 21st, 2025 [April 21st, 2025]
- Trump says he is in no rush to attack Iran over nuclear program - Reuters - April 21st, 2025 [April 21st, 2025]
- US-Iran: future stability of Middle East hangs on success of nuclear deal but initial signs are not good - The Conversation - April 21st, 2025 [April 21st, 2025]
- Omans sultan to meet Putin in Moscow after Iran-US nuclear talks mediated by Muscat - The Times of Israel - April 21st, 2025 [April 21st, 2025]
- Israel said to still eye limited attack on Iran nuclear sites despite Trump waving off plan - The Times of Israel - April 21st, 2025 [April 21st, 2025]
- Netanyahu: We will not surrender to Hamas, Iran won't have a nuclear weapon - The Jerusalem Post - April 21st, 2025 [April 21st, 2025]
- US and Iran agree to another round of talks to end nuclear stand-off - Financial Times - April 21st, 2025 [April 21st, 2025]
- Mossad chief, Dermer meet US envoy Witkoff in Paris ahead of US-Iran nuclear talks - The Times of Israel - April 21st, 2025 [April 21st, 2025]
- Iran and US move to expert-level talks after 'good meeting' in Rome - Middle East Eye - April 21st, 2025 [April 21st, 2025]
- April 19: US official: Very good progress made in Iran talks; well meet again next week - The Times of Israel - April 21st, 2025 [April 21st, 2025]
- Iran confirms that the 2nd round of nuclear talks with the US will be in Rome - AP News - April 18th, 2025 [April 18th, 2025]
- Iran's Khamenei sends letter to Putin ahead of talks with US - Reuters - April 18th, 2025 [April 18th, 2025]
- Saudi defence minister arrives in Tehran ahead of Iran-US talks - Reuters - April 18th, 2025 [April 18th, 2025]
- Iran Says Despite Shifting U.S. Messages, It Plans to Keep Participating in Nuclear Talks - The New York Times - April 18th, 2025 [April 18th, 2025]
- Opinion | Its a Mistake to Think the Biggest Problem With Iran Is Nuclear Weapons - The New York Times - April 18th, 2025 [April 18th, 2025]
- Mike Pompeo: We Dont Need a Fake Deal with Iran - The Free Press - April 18th, 2025 [April 18th, 2025]
- Ahead of 2nd round of nuclear negotiations, U.S. and Iran harden positions - PBS - April 18th, 2025 [April 18th, 2025]
- US, Iran Set for Second Round of Nuclear Talks as Iranian FM Warns Against Unrealistic Demands - Algemeiner.com - April 18th, 2025 [April 18th, 2025]
- Trump team's Iran divide: Dialogue vs. detonation to end nuclear threat - Axios - April 18th, 2025 [April 18th, 2025]
- Iran says its right to uranium enrichment is non-negotiable - Reuters - April 18th, 2025 [April 18th, 2025]
- Iran confirms next round of nuclear talks with US set for Rome on Saturday - Al Jazeera - April 18th, 2025 [April 18th, 2025]
- Oil posts weekly gain on trade deal hopes, new Iran sanctions - Reuters - April 18th, 2025 [April 18th, 2025]
- Trump Warns Iran: A Nuclear Iran Will Never Bring Happiness to Its People - kurdistan24.net - April 18th, 2025 [April 18th, 2025]
- Scoop: Trump holds situation room meeting on Iran nuclear deal negotiations - Axios - April 18th, 2025 [April 18th, 2025]
- Why Iran Doesnt Need the Bomb - The National Interest - April 18th, 2025 [April 18th, 2025]
- Iran's folded rocks: The crumpled mountains at the intersection of Asia and Europe - Live Science - April 18th, 2025 [April 18th, 2025]
- IAEA chief on Tehran visit: Iran, US dont have much time to reach nuclear deal - The Times of Israel - April 18th, 2025 [April 18th, 2025]
- Trump Gives Conflicting Signals and Mixed Messages on Iran Nuclear Talks - The New York Times - April 18th, 2025 [April 18th, 2025]
- Trump holds Situation Room meeting on Iran, officials say - Reuters - April 18th, 2025 [April 18th, 2025]
- Trump warns Iran it can thrive and be a great country without death - Cleveland.com - April 18th, 2025 [April 18th, 2025]
- Another US aircraft carrier in Mideast waters ahead of second round of Iran-US nuclear talks - AP News - April 18th, 2025 [April 18th, 2025]
- Trump blocked Israeli-proposed joint attack on Iran to pursue nuclear deal report - The Times of Israel - April 18th, 2025 [April 18th, 2025]
- If US and Iran Clash, This Remote Base Could Be First To Fight - Newsweek - April 18th, 2025 [April 18th, 2025]
- Trump Trashed the Iran Nuclear Deal. Will His Be Any Better? - The New York Times - April 18th, 2025 [April 18th, 2025]
- Iran wants to drag out talks, Trump wants a deal now. Neither is good for Israel - The Times of Israel - April 18th, 2025 [April 18th, 2025]
- Rubio blames Iran for JCPOA collapse, overlooks U.S. withdrawal from the deal - Tehran Times - April 18th, 2025 [April 18th, 2025]
- Iran seeks Russia's support for its nuclear talks with US - theheraldreview.com - April 18th, 2025 [April 18th, 2025]
- Iran believes it can reach nuclear agreement with US, wants Russia to play role - The Times of Israel - April 18th, 2025 [April 18th, 2025]
- Iran wants guarantees Trump will not quit a new nuclear pact, official says - The Times of Israel - April 18th, 2025 [April 18th, 2025]
- US-Iran talks to be held in Rome following confusion over location - Euronews.com - April 18th, 2025 [April 18th, 2025]