Iran’s President Rouhani Is The Favorite In Friday’s …
Iranian President Hassan Rouhani and his archconservative challenger held dueling rallies in northeastern Iran on Wednesday, the final day of campaigning before a closely watched election.
With voters preparing to go to the polls Friday, Rouhani is a slight favorite over Ebrahim Raisi, a former attorney general who is custodian of Irans most important Shiite Muslim shrine in the northeastern city of Mashhad, where both candidates held rallies.
As fears over a confrontation with the Trump administration have given way to more mundane economic concerns, Iranian voters will choose between Rouhanis promises to create jobs by continuing a tentative rapprochement with the West and Raisis pledges to dole out cash subsidies to the poor.
Irans quadrennial presidential elections are heavily choreographed by the theocracy. The slate of candidates is determined by an unelected, 12-member Guardian Council and the usual restrictions on dress code and free speech are somewhat relaxed to generate enthusiasm among voters.
High turnout at the polls more than 60% of eligible voters have cast ballots in every Iranian presidential election since 1997 confers legitimacy on the political process, and by extension the mullahs leadership.
After two candidates from a field of six dropped out in recent days part of the choreography the election has turned into a two-man race between Rouhani, a relative moderate on social issues, and Raisi, a religious conservative who is close to Irans ruling clerics.
Although there are few reliable opinion polls, Rouhani appears in good position to win reelection. Every Iranian president since 1981 has secured a second term.
But there are questions about the intensity of Rouhanis support as voters weigh his signature achievement the 2015 deal he struck with six world powers to curb Irans disputed nuclear program in exchange for an easing of international sanctions.
While many Iranians supported Rouhanis effort to end their countrys isolation and avert military conflict with the United States, there is growing frustration that the results of the agreement including an increase in oil exports have not translated to real economic benefits for most people.
In one presidential debate, Raisi likened the agreement to a check the government has been unable to cash. But just as President Trump has failed to tear up what he once called the worst deal ever, Raisi has not indicated he would back out of the agreement if elected.
Analysts say Rouhani faces flagging enthusiasm among his urban, educated base because he has been unsuccessful in relaxing the rules surrounding Iranians social lives, including dress codes and speech restrictions. And an angry protest that greeted Rouhani when he visited the site of a deadly coal mine explosion this month signaled discontent in the provinces.
There may be a lot of voter apathy in Iran right now, said Alireza Nader, a senior policy analyst at the Rand Corp. Its not clear if a great majority of people are going to come out and vote for Rouhani. Hes the most attractive candidate when you put him up against Raisi. But he has vulnerabilities.
If turnout among Irans 56 million eligible voters is low, analysts said Rouhani could struggle to win a majority Friday. That would open the door to a runoff election in which Irans ultra-conservative deep state, including the powerful Revolutionary Guards, could mobilize support for Raisi.
The little-known hard-liner who is best known for presiding over the 1988 executions of thousands of political prisoners, Raisi is widely seen as the preferred candidate of and possible successor to Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.
An archetype of the theocracy, Raisi nevertheless has run as a populist, promising to revive cash handouts in a bid to appeal to the working-class supporters of former President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad.
Most experts agree the policy would return Iran to the economically disastrous days of the isolationist Ahmadinejad, but the promises have gained resonance in a country with stifling unemployment.
At a pro-Raisi rally in Tehran this week, low-income and conservative supporters said Rouhani had sold out Iran by signing the nuclear deal and has gotten little foreign investment or jobs in return.
Others said Rouhanis promises of social freedoms were leading to moral lassitude.
My husband is sexually provoked by these ladies in their tight dresses, said Noreyye Mahdi, a 26-year-old draped in a full-length black abaya on a warm afternoon. I hope Mr. Raisi will contain them. And he has promised to provide jobs for the unemployed.
The avuncular Rouhani has tried to rally his base by promising further social freedoms and criticizing Irans security forces for attempting to sabotage the nuclear deal in part by displaying a missile with the sign, Death to Israel, during a recent military parade.
His campaign issued an economic policy statement that criticized cash giveaways as unfeasible, while casting himself as a pragmatist focused on achievable goals, such as controlling inflation and increasing economic production.
Overall Rouhani has been a candidate whose message has been, implicitly, that if you dont vote for me, things could get even worse, Nader said.
At a spirited campaign rally last week at a basketball arena in Tehran, thousands of Rouhani supporters demanded the release of opposition leaders who have been under house arrest since 2009 election protests were violently crushed by state security forces.
The arena is named Hijab, for the Islamic veil, yet many of the attendees were women who eschewed the mandatory headscarf a sign of the greater social freedoms of election time.
Rouhani promised to have the remaining sanctions against Iran lifted a long shot because many stem from Iranian security forces ballistic missile program and support for militant groups. To cheers from the crowd, he promised a further easing of social restrictions.
I have honored all the promises I campaigned on four years ago, Rouhani said. If I have failed to deliver on some of my promises, it is because they [the hard-liners] have prevented me from doing so.
For young, Western-oriented Tehran residents, Rouhani remains popular.
Reihane Taravati, a 26-year-old who was among several Iranians arrested in 2014 for participating in an online video set to Pharrell Williams hit summer anthem Happy, credited Rouhani with securing her release after he tweeted, Happiness is our peoples right.
He has saved us from war, and if he is out of office, we dont know what will happen to us, Taravati said. If the extremist candidate wins, then we will definitely face war. Trump in the White House and a hard-line president here in Tehran then, bang!
ALSO
Iran convicted two U.S. citizens of espionage. Their relatives are pressing Trump for help
Trump campaigned on 'America First.' Now he's getting ready for his first trip overseas
Jordan looks to repeal long-reviled rape-marriage law
Special correspondent Mostaghim reported from Tehran and Times staff writer Bengali from Mumbai, India.
Follow @SBengali on Twitter for more news from South Asia
Link:
Iran's President Rouhani Is The Favorite In Friday's ...
- Exclusive | How China Secretly Pays Iran for Oil and Avoids U.S. Sanctions - The Wall Street Journal - October 7th, 2025 [October 7th, 2025]
- The complex puzzle of Iran's exit from the FATF black list - Tehran Times - October 7th, 2025 [October 7th, 2025]
- Iran Hits Back After Trumps Threat - newsweek.com - October 7th, 2025 [October 7th, 2025]
- Iran adds 10 trillion cubic feet of gas to its reserves - Reuters - October 7th, 2025 [October 7th, 2025]
- US will 'take to grave' wish to limit Iran's missile range, official says - - October 7th, 2025 [October 7th, 2025]
- 'Iran is developing a nuclear missile to hit the US,' Netanyahu warns in Ben Shapiro interview - The Jerusalem Post - October 7th, 2025 [October 7th, 2025]
- Two years after Oct. 7, an upended Mideast reels from Iran-Israel melee - - October 7th, 2025 [October 7th, 2025]
- When Egypt, Israel and Iran could talk about peace in the Middle East - Dallas News - October 7th, 2025 [October 7th, 2025]
- Iran rejects EU and GCC criticism over nuclear and defense issues - - October 7th, 2025 [October 7th, 2025]
- Pezeshkian Returns From New York to Find Iran More Isolated Than Ever - IranWire - October 7th, 2025 [October 7th, 2025]
- LuminUltra fined $685K by BIS for illegal shipment to Iran - Compliance Week - October 7th, 2025 [October 7th, 2025]
- Iran, Astrakhan expand cooperation in industry, energy, logistics - Tehran Times - October 7th, 2025 [October 7th, 2025]
- Iran and October 7 - PressTV - October 7th, 2025 [October 7th, 2025]
- Islamic Republic of Iran aim to improve in return to the IHF Women's World Championship - IHF - October 7th, 2025 [October 7th, 2025]
- Why Iran is removing four zeroes from its currency: The reason behind the major reform - Times of India - October 7th, 2025 [October 7th, 2025]
- Report: Leaked documents reveal fighter jet deal between Russia and Iran - www.israelhayom.com - October 7th, 2025 [October 7th, 2025]
- Araghchi assures MPs Iran will push on with efforts to protect nuclear know-how - Tehran Times - October 7th, 2025 [October 7th, 2025]
- Iran To Remove Four Zeros From Currency After Years Of Inflation - NDTV - October 7th, 2025 [October 7th, 2025]
- The Israeli Influence Operation in Iran Pushing to Reinstate the Shah Monarchy - Haaretz - October 4th, 2025 [October 4th, 2025]
- Round two: Why the next Israel-Iran War will shatter the Middle East - Middle East Monitor - October 4th, 2025 [October 4th, 2025]
- Australia, New Zealand to implement revived UN sanctions on Iran - - October 4th, 2025 [October 4th, 2025]
- Iran Breaks Seven-Year Record in Oil and Gas Production - WANA News Agency - October 4th, 2025 [October 4th, 2025]
- Iran to open more houses of innovation and technology in regional countries - Tehran Times - October 4th, 2025 [October 4th, 2025]
- Iran at the Oscars: Art or Politics? - WANA News Agency - October 4th, 2025 [October 4th, 2025]
- Iran Defense Minister: US Threats Are Part of Cognitive War - - WANA News Agency - October 4th, 2025 [October 4th, 2025]
- Science news this week: Famed primatologist Jane Goodall dies, Iran sinks at an alarming rate, and scientists create human egg cells from skin - Live... - October 4th, 2025 [October 4th, 2025]
- Russia Invites Iran to Join Lunar Research Station Project - WANA News Agency - October 4th, 2025 [October 4th, 2025]
- Iran may release hundreds of thousands of Afghan refugees into Iraq and Turkey - The Guardian - October 4th, 2025 [October 4th, 2025]
- State Department reportedly denies visas for Iran delegation ahead of December's World Cup draw in Washington, D.C. - Goal.com - October 4th, 2025 [October 4th, 2025]
- IDF reservist, associate latest to be charged for Iran espionage; 3rd man arrested - The Times of Israel - October 4th, 2025 [October 4th, 2025]
- With Iran under pressure, fears grow of new Israeli strikes - The Washington Post - October 2nd, 2025 [October 2nd, 2025]
- Dozens of Iranians to be deported from US to Iran, Tehran says - CNN - October 2nd, 2025 [October 2nd, 2025]
- Family's fear as East Sussex couple held in Iran face verdict - BBC - October 2nd, 2025 [October 2nd, 2025]
- Supporting Snapback of UN Sanctions on Iran with Additional Sanctions - U.S. Department of State (.gov) - October 2nd, 2025 [October 2nd, 2025]
- Trkiye follows US sanctions on Iran with asset freezes - Trkiye Today - October 2nd, 2025 [October 2nd, 2025]
- Iranian Regime Hits 200 Executions in September 2025, Highest in 36 Years - National Council of Resistance of Iran - NCRI - October 2nd, 2025 [October 2nd, 2025]
- When the door to freedom in Iran opens, are Christians ready? - Mission Network News - October 2nd, 2025 [October 2nd, 2025]
- Iran among 'world's most extreme subsidence hotspots' with some areas sinking up to 1 foot per year, study finds - Live Science - October 2nd, 2025 [October 2nd, 2025]
- Why Europes snapback gamble against Iran will backfire - Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists - October 2nd, 2025 [October 2nd, 2025]
- Iran Warns of Deadlier Strikes on Anniversary of Missile Attack on Israel - IranWire - October 2nd, 2025 [October 2nd, 2025]
- We Teach Courage: The Afghan Sisters Promoting Karate in Iran - EA WorldView - October 2nd, 2025 [October 2nd, 2025]
- Rather than fight over the legacy of Iran's 2015 nuclear deal, its leaders need to look ahead - thenationalnews.com - October 2nd, 2025 [October 2nd, 2025]
- The Comprehensive Strategic Partnership Agreement between Russia and Iran has entered into force - - - October 2nd, 2025 [October 2nd, 2025]
- Family of British couple detained in Iran express alarm over ongoing trial - The Guardian - October 2nd, 2025 [October 2nd, 2025]
- Iran's offensive power 10 times more than 12-day war: Gen. - Mehr News Agency - October 2nd, 2025 [October 2nd, 2025]
- The Guardian: Georgian political prisoners call on UK to sanction Georgian Dream over its ties to Iran - JAM-news.net - October 2nd, 2025 [October 2nd, 2025]
- India mulls next step in wake of US sanctions on its port project in Iran - Nikkei Asia - October 2nd, 2025 [October 2nd, 2025]
- European nations hit Iran with snapback sanctions over its nuclear program. Heres what that means - CNN - September 30th, 2025 [September 30th, 2025]
- Iran hangs a man accused of spying for Israel's Mossad in a wave of executions - CBS News - September 30th, 2025 [September 30th, 2025]
- US bases to be severely targeted if Iran attacked - Mehr News Agency - September 30th, 2025 [September 30th, 2025]
- Iran Sends New Warning: War With the United States - Newsweek - September 30th, 2025 [September 30th, 2025]
- UK publishes new sanctions over Iran nuclear programme - Reuters - September 30th, 2025 [September 30th, 2025]
- The Wall of Mistrust Grows Thicker Between the US and Iran - Stimson Center - September 30th, 2025 [September 30th, 2025]
- Iran hangs a man accused of spying for Israel in a wave of executions - AP News - September 30th, 2025 [September 30th, 2025]
- Iran rial hits record low 1.13M to dollar as UN snapback sanctions resume: What to know - AL-Monitor - September 30th, 2025 [September 30th, 2025]
- Iran: Illness and Critical Condition of Political Prisoner Mohammad Ali Akbari Monfared and the Risk of His Death - National Council of Resistance of... - September 30th, 2025 [September 30th, 2025]
- Iran behind botched attempt to contact Ben-Gvir's daughter, Shin Bet says - - September 30th, 2025 [September 30th, 2025]
- How Iran spread misinformation about Israel using AI - The Jerusalem Post - September 30th, 2025 [September 30th, 2025]
- Netanyahu Claims US Strike On Iran Was Never Meant to Destroy Irans Nuclear Stockpile: We Knew We Wouldnt Get it - Yahoo - September 30th, 2025 [September 30th, 2025]
- From the Mosque to the Church in Iran - radical.net - September 30th, 2025 [September 30th, 2025]
- Trumps mega-deal Is underway and even Hamas or Iran can't stop it - www.israelhayom.com - September 30th, 2025 [September 30th, 2025]
- Israel and Iran on a collision course for another war - www.israelhayom.com - September 30th, 2025 [September 30th, 2025]
- Iran warns of harsh penalties for illegal opium poppy cultivation - - September 30th, 2025 [September 30th, 2025]
- Iran judiciary warns of legal action against those stoking fear over sanctions | Iran International - - September 30th, 2025 [September 30th, 2025]
- Sanctions Against Iran Reinstated by Multiple Nations - WANA News Agency - September 30th, 2025 [September 30th, 2025]
- Iran weighs how to respond to reimposed UN sanctions over nuclear program - Politico - September 30th, 2025 [September 30th, 2025]
- Iran hangs man accused of being one of Israels top spies - www.israelhayom.com - September 30th, 2025 [September 30th, 2025]
- Guess who the Western sanctions on Iran have crippled? The middle class - Al Jazeera - September 30th, 2025 [September 30th, 2025]
- Israel Approves Massive Budget Increase to Cover Costs of Gaza War, Attack on Iran - Haaretz - September 30th, 2025 [September 30th, 2025]
- Satellite images show construction under way at Iran nuclear sites hit in strikes - BBC - September 28th, 2025 [September 28th, 2025]
- Video: Israel, Iran and the Family Killed in the Crossfire - The New York Times - September 28th, 2025 [September 28th, 2025]
- Iran: Over 1,000 people executed as authorities step up horrifying assault on right to life - Amnesty International - September 28th, 2025 [September 28th, 2025]
- UN imposes 'snapback' sanctions on a hungrier, poorer and more anxious Iran - ABC News - Breaking News, Latest News and Videos - September 28th, 2025 [September 28th, 2025]
- British woman accused of spying in Iran placed on drip in jail - The Times - September 28th, 2025 [September 28th, 2025]
- Snapback: What are the sanctions that have been reimposed on Iran? - The Times of Israel - September 28th, 2025 [September 28th, 2025]
- Iran weighs how to respond to reimposed UN sanctions over its nuclear program - AP News - September 28th, 2025 [September 28th, 2025]
- Are We Headed for War with Iran? - thefp.com - September 28th, 2025 [September 28th, 2025]
- 'Snapback' sends West back to the drawing board on Iran's nuclear programme - Reuters - September 28th, 2025 [September 28th, 2025]
- UN sanctions reimposed on Iran over nuclear program - The Jerusalem Post - September 28th, 2025 [September 28th, 2025]
- Family of British couple held in Iran say their health is deteriorating in prison - The Guardian - September 28th, 2025 [September 28th, 2025]