Iran will soon have ICBMs armed with nukes by way of North …
Heres a prediction by yours truly that you can take to the bank: In just a few years Iran will have intercontinental ballistic missiles, or ICBMs, that can attack targets all over the Middle East, Europe and the United States.
And it might all be thanks to the rogue state the Trump administration has labelled the biggest national security threat of our time: North Korea.
Oh, and to twist the knife in a little deeper, those missiles could be armed with nuclear weaponsonce the Iran deal expires. That is, unless America puts a stop to this threat once and for all.
Now wait a second. Youre shocked? You really shouldnt be.
Before we get to all that, maybe we should take a step back for a moment.
You see, making such predictions isnt always popular, but they spur action. Foreign policy analysts here in Washington love to hedge their bets with words like possibly, perhaps, likely and so on when trying to predict the next big threat. However, there is always certain trends that are easy to seeand even easier to run away from because they arent super solvable.
The American people didnt vote for such dithering last cycle. To be frank, they voted for the opposite of Barack Obama.
When it comes to matters abroad voters wanted an America that would seek out the challenges of the future and take them on before they were aimed at our collective heads. And that is what President Trump has done by taking on North Koreas nuclear and missile programs as well as calling out Iran for its own menacing missile plans.
While all of this is great news, the Trump administration is now facing a much bigger problem: the potential for North Korea and Iran to collaborate on long-range missile technology that can be used to strike our allies and the homeland.
In many respects, the evidence is right out in the open of past collaboration, according to some experts.
In an interview with Fox News, Jeffrey Lewis, an expert at the Middlebury Institute of International Studies at Monterey explained that the very first missiles we saw in Iran were simply copies of North Korean missiles. He also noted that over the years, we've seen photographs of North Korean and Iranian officials in each other's countries, and we've seen all kinds of common hardware.
Many experts have been warning for years now that Tehran and Pyongyang have been trading missile technology. If the Trump administration doesnt act fast it wont be just the hermit kingdom that has nukes that can strike at targets thousands of miles awaybut it will also be the only nation on planet Earth that has turned chanting death to America into a national pastime.
Now, to be fair, there are those who downplay the linkages between Iran and North Korea. But if history tells us one thing it is that to never, ever, dismiss the power of a common threat. And both of these countries seek to offset U.S. military mightat any price. Clearly long-range missiles armed with nuclear payloads do that quite nicely.
One could easily imagine a scenario in a decade or so when the Iran nuclear deal has lapsedsomething many on the left seem to forgetand Tehran decides that it no longer needs to hide its intentions.
Iran instead takes what it feels is its rightful place as the dominant power of the Middle East and hold on to its arsenal of nuclear weapons and the missiles to carry them into battle. With the nuclear research it already has done in the past, along with careful cooperation with Pyongyang on missile technology the nuclear deal currently in place never restricted such cooperationit decides to push ahead unabated.
So what should the Trump administration do about this threat? Thankfully, Washington has considerable options to explore.
First, we should name and shame any North Korean, Iranian or outside partners that are helping these rogue regimes collaborate on missile technologies.
Pentagon and intelligence officials have told me on several occasions they have strong leads on who is helping facilitate these exchanges. Its time to shine a light on these groups or individualsnow. They need to be outed for the whole world to see and publicly shamed.
The Trump administration should declare that if you help Pyongyang or Tehran build long-range missiles you are an enemy of the international community and will be treated accordingly. Such shaming should include those providing material or technical assistance or any banks, financial institutions or front companies passing along funds for such assistance between both nations.
Second, with such entities out in the open, Team Trump should impose sanctions on such groups as soon as possible. The goal should be to drive up the costs for both sides and make them feel the financial pinch as much as possible.
Third, we should get creative in how we try to stamp out such cooperation. In a 2012 report by the National Bureau of Asian Research, author John S. Park offers the idea of using a a monetary reward program to interdict components or technicians central to ballistic missile development. He notes that:
Hiding in the open is a particularly effective tactic employed by North Korea. Contracting private Chinese companies to serve as middlemen to facilitate cargo launderinga creative process of disassembling components and moving them through different logistics routesenables North Korean state trading companies to utilize commercial shipping containers. Monetary rewards would offer a double payday for some Chinese companies, who could collect the commission fee from a North Korean client as well as the reward for anonymously providing a copy of the freight insurance to local authorities in busy Southeast Asian ports.
And finally, all of this is the clearest argument yet for Washington to lead a much more robust effort at ensuring more missile defense platforms are brought into the Middle East, Asia and also upgraded for the defense of our homeland.
Stopping an Iranian ICBM armed with a nuclear weapon by way of North Korea is one of the greatest challenges America faces today. The Trump administration must act now before its too late.
Harry J. Kazianis (@grecianformula) is director of defense studies at the Center for the National Interest, founded by former President Richard M. Nixon. Click here, for more on Mr. Kazianis.
Link:
Iran will soon have ICBMs armed with nukes by way of North ...
- U.S. negotiating position on Iran in flux as talks continue - The Washington Post - April 25th, 2025 [April 25th, 2025]
- Trump wants Iran deal but will be "leading the pack" for war without one - Axios - April 25th, 2025 [April 25th, 2025]
- Negotiations between Iran and the US over Tehran's nuclear program return to secluded Oman - AP News - April 25th, 2025 [April 25th, 2025]
- Congratulations to Paraguay for Confronting Iran and its Proxies - U.S. Department of State (.gov) - April 25th, 2025 [April 25th, 2025]
- 'Waste That St': In Interview With Free Beacon, Fetterman Tells Trump To Dump Iran Talks and Destroy Tehran's Nuclear Facilities - freebeacon.com - April 25th, 2025 [April 25th, 2025]
- Iran rejects demand from US to rely on imported uranium - The Guardian - April 25th, 2025 [April 25th, 2025]
- Israel said to fear US moving fast toward bad deal that wont block Iran from nukes - The Times of Israel - April 25th, 2025 [April 25th, 2025]
- Iran fortifying buried nuclear sites as talks with US continue, report says - Reuters - April 25th, 2025 [April 25th, 2025]
- Iran, France signal readiness for nuclear talks amid US negotiations - Reuters - April 25th, 2025 [April 25th, 2025]
- Rubio says Iran must give up nuclear enrichment in any deal with the US - AP News - April 25th, 2025 [April 25th, 2025]
- The US, Iran and the bomb - Al Jazeera - April 25th, 2025 [April 25th, 2025]
- What do 'expert level' talks signal for the progress of Iran-U.S. nuclear negotiations? - NBC News - April 25th, 2025 [April 25th, 2025]
- Act of negotiating with Iran is 'problematic,' rocket scientist says - Fox Business - April 25th, 2025 [April 25th, 2025]
- What do expert level talks signal for the progress of the Iran-US nuclear negotiations? - AP News - April 25th, 2025 [April 25th, 2025]
- U.S. Offers Iran Civilian Nuclear Program in Possible Compromise With Tehran - WSJ - April 25th, 2025 [April 25th, 2025]
- As Iran fortifies nuke sites, US says it can have civilian nuclear program if no enrichment - The Times of Israel - April 25th, 2025 [April 25th, 2025]
- Iran weighs pace of nuclear talks with US, unsure if to push for deal with Trump - analysis - The Jerusalem Post - April 25th, 2025 [April 25th, 2025]
- Iran's FM Araghchi to head to Oman for nuclear talks with US - The New Arab - April 25th, 2025 [April 25th, 2025]
- UN watchdog asks Iran to clarify tunnels but upbeat on deal - France 24 - April 25th, 2025 [April 25th, 2025]
- Trump: Willing to meet Leader Khamenei as Iran talks advance - Shafaq News - - April 25th, 2025 [April 25th, 2025]
- Rubio says war with Iran would be much messier than what people are used to seeing - The Hill - April 25th, 2025 [April 25th, 2025]
- After blows to proxies, Iran advances huge space program with Russian assistance - The Times of Israel - April 21st, 2025 [April 21st, 2025]
- Everything you need to know about Iran-US nuclear negotiations - Al Jazeera - April 21st, 2025 [April 21st, 2025]
- Source close to White House: US-Iran talks expected to collapse - www.israelhayom.com - April 21st, 2025 [April 21st, 2025]
- Iran-US talks over Tehrans nuclear program hinge on a billionaire and a seasoned diplomat - AP News - April 21st, 2025 [April 21st, 2025]
- Iran, US task experts with framework for a nuclear deal after 'progress' in talks - Reuters - April 21st, 2025 [April 21st, 2025]
- US and Iran say talks over Tehrans nuclear program make progress and set plans for more - AP News - April 21st, 2025 [April 21st, 2025]
- Trump cant afford to simply revive Obamas Iran nuclear deal - Atlantic Council - April 21st, 2025 [April 21st, 2025]
- What to know about the tensions between Iran and the US before their second round of talks - AP News - April 21st, 2025 [April 21st, 2025]
- In Iran Talks, Trump Is Edging Toward Reviving an Old Deal - The New York Times - April 21st, 2025 [April 21st, 2025]
- Iran, US report progress in nuclear talks, confirm third round next week - Al Jazeera - April 21st, 2025 [April 21st, 2025]
- Iran Says Talks With U.S. to Continue After Positive Meeting - WSJ - WSJ - April 21st, 2025 [April 21st, 2025]
- Iran says nuclear deal is possible if Washington is realistic - Reuters - April 21st, 2025 [April 21st, 2025]
- After Rome talks, Tehran says Iran and US to start designing framework for nuclear deal - The Times of Israel - April 21st, 2025 [April 21st, 2025]
- Trump Is About to Learn That Iran Is a Problem Without a Solution - Foreign Policy - April 21st, 2025 [April 21st, 2025]
- Hopes for Iran nuclear talks tempered by threats and mixed messages - BBC - April 21st, 2025 [April 21st, 2025]
- With his promises of peace unmet in Gaza and Ukraine, Trump may find Iran just as tough - Reuters - April 21st, 2025 [April 21st, 2025]
- Second round of US-Iran nuclear talks end, third round set for next week - France 24 - April 21st, 2025 [April 21st, 2025]
- U.S., Iran officials project progress in second round of nuclear talks - The Washington Post - April 21st, 2025 [April 21st, 2025]
- Iran offered US a nuclear agreement with same enrichment cap as 2015 deal report - The Times of Israel - April 21st, 2025 [April 21st, 2025]
- As Iran talks resume, White House fends off bombing hawks - The Washington Post - April 21st, 2025 [April 21st, 2025]
- Trump says he is in no rush to attack Iran over nuclear program - Reuters - April 21st, 2025 [April 21st, 2025]
- US-Iran: future stability of Middle East hangs on success of nuclear deal but initial signs are not good - The Conversation - April 21st, 2025 [April 21st, 2025]
- Omans sultan to meet Putin in Moscow after Iran-US nuclear talks mediated by Muscat - The Times of Israel - April 21st, 2025 [April 21st, 2025]
- Israel said to still eye limited attack on Iran nuclear sites despite Trump waving off plan - The Times of Israel - April 21st, 2025 [April 21st, 2025]
- Netanyahu: We will not surrender to Hamas, Iran won't have a nuclear weapon - The Jerusalem Post - April 21st, 2025 [April 21st, 2025]
- US and Iran agree to another round of talks to end nuclear stand-off - Financial Times - April 21st, 2025 [April 21st, 2025]
- Mossad chief, Dermer meet US envoy Witkoff in Paris ahead of US-Iran nuclear talks - The Times of Israel - April 21st, 2025 [April 21st, 2025]
- Iran and US move to expert-level talks after 'good meeting' in Rome - Middle East Eye - April 21st, 2025 [April 21st, 2025]
- April 19: US official: Very good progress made in Iran talks; well meet again next week - The Times of Israel - April 21st, 2025 [April 21st, 2025]
- Iran confirms that the 2nd round of nuclear talks with the US will be in Rome - AP News - April 18th, 2025 [April 18th, 2025]
- Iran's Khamenei sends letter to Putin ahead of talks with US - Reuters - April 18th, 2025 [April 18th, 2025]
- Saudi defence minister arrives in Tehran ahead of Iran-US talks - Reuters - April 18th, 2025 [April 18th, 2025]
- Iran Says Despite Shifting U.S. Messages, It Plans to Keep Participating in Nuclear Talks - The New York Times - April 18th, 2025 [April 18th, 2025]
- Opinion | Its a Mistake to Think the Biggest Problem With Iran Is Nuclear Weapons - The New York Times - April 18th, 2025 [April 18th, 2025]
- Mike Pompeo: We Dont Need a Fake Deal with Iran - The Free Press - April 18th, 2025 [April 18th, 2025]
- Ahead of 2nd round of nuclear negotiations, U.S. and Iran harden positions - PBS - April 18th, 2025 [April 18th, 2025]
- US, Iran Set for Second Round of Nuclear Talks as Iranian FM Warns Against Unrealistic Demands - Algemeiner.com - April 18th, 2025 [April 18th, 2025]
- Trump team's Iran divide: Dialogue vs. detonation to end nuclear threat - Axios - April 18th, 2025 [April 18th, 2025]
- Iran says its right to uranium enrichment is non-negotiable - Reuters - April 18th, 2025 [April 18th, 2025]
- Iran confirms next round of nuclear talks with US set for Rome on Saturday - Al Jazeera - April 18th, 2025 [April 18th, 2025]
- Oil posts weekly gain on trade deal hopes, new Iran sanctions - Reuters - April 18th, 2025 [April 18th, 2025]
- Trump Warns Iran: A Nuclear Iran Will Never Bring Happiness to Its People - kurdistan24.net - April 18th, 2025 [April 18th, 2025]
- Scoop: Trump holds situation room meeting on Iran nuclear deal negotiations - Axios - April 18th, 2025 [April 18th, 2025]
- Why Iran Doesnt Need the Bomb - The National Interest - April 18th, 2025 [April 18th, 2025]
- Iran's folded rocks: The crumpled mountains at the intersection of Asia and Europe - Live Science - April 18th, 2025 [April 18th, 2025]
- IAEA chief on Tehran visit: Iran, US dont have much time to reach nuclear deal - The Times of Israel - April 18th, 2025 [April 18th, 2025]
- Trump Gives Conflicting Signals and Mixed Messages on Iran Nuclear Talks - The New York Times - April 18th, 2025 [April 18th, 2025]
- Trump holds Situation Room meeting on Iran, officials say - Reuters - April 18th, 2025 [April 18th, 2025]
- Trump warns Iran it can thrive and be a great country without death - Cleveland.com - April 18th, 2025 [April 18th, 2025]
- Another US aircraft carrier in Mideast waters ahead of second round of Iran-US nuclear talks - AP News - April 18th, 2025 [April 18th, 2025]
- Trump blocked Israeli-proposed joint attack on Iran to pursue nuclear deal report - The Times of Israel - April 18th, 2025 [April 18th, 2025]
- If US and Iran Clash, This Remote Base Could Be First To Fight - Newsweek - April 18th, 2025 [April 18th, 2025]
- Trump Trashed the Iran Nuclear Deal. Will His Be Any Better? - The New York Times - April 18th, 2025 [April 18th, 2025]
- Iran wants to drag out talks, Trump wants a deal now. Neither is good for Israel - The Times of Israel - April 18th, 2025 [April 18th, 2025]
- Rubio blames Iran for JCPOA collapse, overlooks U.S. withdrawal from the deal - Tehran Times - April 18th, 2025 [April 18th, 2025]
- Iran seeks Russia's support for its nuclear talks with US - theheraldreview.com - April 18th, 2025 [April 18th, 2025]
- Iran believes it can reach nuclear agreement with US, wants Russia to play role - The Times of Israel - April 18th, 2025 [April 18th, 2025]
- Iran wants guarantees Trump will not quit a new nuclear pact, official says - The Times of Israel - April 18th, 2025 [April 18th, 2025]
- US-Iran talks to be held in Rome following confusion over location - Euronews.com - April 18th, 2025 [April 18th, 2025]