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A betting man, which The Fix is most definitely not, would say that the odds of some sort of immigration reform measure passing before the 2014 elections are decidedly less than 50-50 after a week when both Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell and House Speaker John A. Boehner talked down the idea.

The logic is simple: The Republican base a.k.a. the voters the party badly needs in order to win back the Senate and hold the House in November doesnt like the idea of providing the 11million illegal immigrants in the United States with a path to legalization or, especially, citizenship. Those in the base also dont believe that the Obama administration is up to the task of enforcing more-stringent border security measures, even if Congress passes some.

Chris Cillizza

Chris Cillizza is founder and editor of The Fix, a leading blog on state and national politics. He is the author of The Gospel According to the Fix: An Insiders Guide to a Less than Holy World of Politics and an MSNBC contributor and political analyst. He also regularly appears on NBC and NPRs The Diane Rehm Show. He joined The Post in 2005 and was named one of the top 50 journalists by Washingtonian in 2009.

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Why Republicans shouldnt wait to pass immigration reform